USDCHF 10-year support points to major breakdown to 0.70! USDCHF BREAKDOWN ALERT: Decade-long support shattered – here's why this could be the start of a major move to 0.70 and below!
The Dollar-Swiss Franc pair is setting up for a potentially significant breakdown after breaking decade-long support levels since May. Both fundamental and technical factors are aligning for Swiss franc strength, creating what could be a rare high-probability trading opportunity.
Key Drivers:
Fed Dovish Pivot: Powell's Tuesday signal acknowledged downside risks to job markets, with 97% probability of October rate cuts and two more by December fully priced in
Swiss Franc Strength: CHF has strengthened nearly 9% over the past 12 months, now testing the 0.78 level, while Trump's tariff escalation forces Switzerland to slash GDP forecasts
Technical Breakdown: Multiple analytical methods (range breakouts, Fibonacci projections, and triangle pattern analysis) all point to targets around 0.7417-0.6840, representing potential moves to levels not seen since 2011
SNB Constraints: The Swiss National Bank cannot intervene in forex markets while trade talks are ongoing, meaning the Franc is likely to stay strong by default, with stable inflation data
Don't miss this detailed technical and fundamental breakdown! Like and subscribe for more high-probability forex setups, and drop a comment below with your USD/CHF targets - are you seeing the same bearish signals?
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Swissfranc
Bearish continuation setup?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8039
1st Support: 0.7737
1st Resistance: 0.8199
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF is about to enter a new multi-month Bull Cycle.The USDCHF pair has been under heavy pressure all year long since the January 13 2025 High rejection on its 2-year Resistance Zone.
However, for the first time in years, its 1W RSI is on Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows since April, which is a massive Bullish Divergence. This is an occurrence that technically emerges on market bottoms and is a huge Buy Signal.
Our confirmation signal will be once the price breaks above its shorter term 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been intact as a Resistance since March 03. If broken, we will target a potential 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) test at 0.88000. The 1W MA200 is critical as a Resistance because it has formed the last 4 massive High rejections since February 27 2023.
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Market Analysis: USD/CHF Corrects LowerMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Corrects Lower
USD/CHF declined from 0.8000 and is now struggling to stay above 0.7945.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF declined below the 0.7985 and 0.7965 support levels.
- There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7965 on the hourly chart.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF, the pair started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above 0.8000. The US Dollar dropped below 0.7985 to move into a negative zone against the Swiss Franc.
There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7902 swing low to the 0.8014 high. The bears pushed the pair below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.7965.
Finally, the pair tested the 61.8% Fib retracement at 0.7945. It is now consolidating losses and facing resistance near the 50-hour simple moving average and a major bearish trend line at 0.7965. A clear move above the trend line could send the pair to 0.7985.
The next major barrier for the bulls might be 0.8015, above which the pair could test the 0.8050 level. If there is a clear break above 0.8050, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could even surpass 0.8100.
On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is 0.7945. The first major area of interest could be 0.7925. Any more losses may possibly open the path for a move toward the 0.7900 level in the coming sessions.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
SHORT ON USD/CHFUSD/CHF is pulling back to a major supply area/zone
News today for the dollar (PCE) will most likely push price into these zone before dropping.
If news for the dollar comes out negative we might see a drop without the rise to supply.
But its always better to SELL HIGH so set sell limit orders in these zones to take full advantage.
150-200 pips on the table.
Enjoy!
USD/CHF Holds Steady Following Central Bank DecisionUSD/CHF Holds Steady Following Central Bank Decision
Today, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) decided to keep its interest rate unchanged at zero, in line with analysts’ expectations.
Notably:
→ The SNB’s interest rate remains arguably the lowest among central banks of developed economies;
→ According to official statements, the main obstacle to Swiss economic growth is Trump’s tariffs.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
In 2025, the Swiss franc strengthened — which is unsurprising given the high demand for safe‑haven assets (as evidenced by gold’s record high) amid rising geopolitical and macroeconomic risks. At the same time, lower highs and lows have allowed the construction of a descending channel on the USD/CHF chart (shown in red).
However, a closer look at recent price dynamics suggests there are grounds to believe that the downtrend may be coming to an end. Why?
Firstly, the price is holding in the upper half of the channel, indicating insufficient selling pressure.
Secondly, consider the strength of the 0.7900 support level. In July, it prevented the market from falling further after the breach of the 0.8080 support level, and it continues to hold in September — note the price behaviour indicated by the arrow:
→ A bearish breakout attempt failed. After a brief dip below 0.7900, the price confidently returned above this level.
→ The median of the descending channel acted as support, and the chart shows lows that exhibit signs of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
This suggests that:
→ The current red channel may be broken in the near term, potentially driven by factors supporting USD strength;
→ There may be a bullish attempt to establish a rally, with targets indicated in blue.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURCHF Ascending Triangle giving a sell signal.The EURCHF pair has been trading within an Ascending Triangle pattern since the April 10 Low and finds itself now on the latest Bearish Leg.
As you can see, it is very similar to the previous one, so we expect direct contact with the pattern's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) within this month.
Sell and target 0.92900
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EUR/USD range and USD/CHF breakdown risk into payrollsIn a shortened US week, August jobs data will be the key event.
Nonfarm payrolls, the unemployment rate, wage growth, the ADP report, the JOLTS, and Challenger job cuts will all reveal whether the labour market continues the sharp slowdown seen in prior releases.
For Europe, attention will be on inflation prints from both the Eurozone and Switzerland, providing fresh direction for EUR- and CHF-linked pairs.
On the 4H chart, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1680, caught in a choppy sideways range. Price has repeatedly tested both support near 1.1640 and resistance. Strong jobs data could weigh on the pair and push it back below 1.1640, while weaker labour data may allow a breakout toward 1.1740–1.1780.
USD/CHF shows a rounding top pattern on the 4H timeframe, with price pressing the neckline near 0.8000. Sellers have steadily pushed lower highs since mid-August, and this pattern could hint at further downside momentum.
EURCHF | Tech. 4h.Hello "Forexadors". It's Nika.
First thing to say, the current price mark is mostly supporting "the bull's" zone...
With this chart pattern, sure, we may predict the price will go down to check lower level.
But understand that this zone is a bull zone. I mean, it is so strong support levels.
What is your opinion?!
Have a good day!
USDCHF Strong buy signal on a 2024 fractal.Last time we looked at the USDCHF pair (June 19, see chart below), we took the most optimal sell at the top of the Channel Down, which easily hit the 0.80565 Target:
This time we are getting a strong buy signal as not only is the price supported on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) in what seems like a Bull Flag, but also the 1D RSI is on a huge Bullish Divergence (Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows), similar to he August 2024 pattern.
That sequence rose all the way to the upper Resistance (even broke it), so we do expect the pair to resume the rally and Target 0.84750. That might also be just in time to test the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since April 03.
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EURCHF - the little up & than down. Forming of Triangle.Right now, on market it is more predictable to be again bear movements!
The Elliot wave analysis shows as the price may go down again.
For them who is looking for entering sell, here we have two places for it.
First, it's when the price will touch resistance diagonal line. (Light-green colored).
The second place is after the price will enter that main resistance area.
Thx,
have a profitable day!
Swiss Gaining Momentum Against The DollarSwiss futures gaining strength against the dollar. We have broken back into previous rotation that was somewhat balanced, but still leaning towards a "b" style volume profile . If we are able to get above the POC, then we''ll go straight for TP2 close to Value are high.
If the POC is really strong and we reject hard from the POC then we might lose the value area and fall back down to previous value area to continue consolidation there until further notice.
Bullish CHF/JPY Heist! Risk vs. Reward Setup💰 SWISS-YEN BANK HEIST! 🚨 CHF/JPY Bullish Raid Plan (Risk & Reward Setup)
🌟 Attention Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌟
"The vault is unlocked—time to loot!"
🔎 THIEF TRADING ANALYSIS (CHF/JPY)
Entry (📈): "The Bullish Loot is LIVE!"
Buy limit orders within 15-30min pullbacks (recent swing lows/highs).
Aggressive? Enter anywhere—heist mode activated!
Stop Loss (🛑): Recent swing low (wick) – adjust based on your risk & lot size!
🎯 Target: 186.300 (High-risk Red Zone – Police Resistance!)
Overbought? Reversal risk? Bears lurking? Yes. But thieves play smart!
🏴☠️ SCALPERS & SWING RAIDERS:
Scalp ONLY Long (Use trailing SL to lock profits).
Low on ammo? Join swing traders for the big heist!
📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist?)
Bullish momentum in play (check COT, Macro, Sentiment).
News Alert (⚠️): Avoid new trades during high-impact news—trail your SL!
💥 BOOST THE HEIST!
Hit 👍 LIKE & 🔄 SHARE to strengthen our robbery squad!
More heists coming—stay tuned! 🚀
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
Not financial advice. Risk = Reward. Adjust SL/targets based on your strategy. Market conditions change—adapt or get caught!
CHF is the new gold? Safe-haven flows keep pressure on USDCHFBank of America argues that the Swiss franc has reasserted itself as the true safe-haven hedge.
BofA says the trend of the CHF being used more like gold, and a hedge against problems like rising US debt, could continue. Unlike the yen, which has lost much of its appeal as a pure haven.
Technically, recent candles might indicate buyers are attempting to build a base, but there’s no decisive reversal yet.
Should price fail to reclaim the 0.8030–0.8050 region soon, the broader bearish structure could resume - possibly testing fresh lows. Meanwhile, rallies in USD/CHF may face pressure as the franc’s macro backdrop continues to attract inflows.
USD/CHF SWISSY Forex Heist Plan | Thief-Style Buy Setup🔥💰 "Forex Bank Heist: Thief Trading Blueprint for USD/CHF SWISSY 💵💸" 💣🚨
"Steal Pips, Not Dreams. Trade Like a Robber, Think Like a Mastermind." 🕶️💼
🌟 Hello World! Bonjour! Ola! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Welcome, all Money Makers, Market Hustlers & Chart Robbers 🕵️♂️🤑🚁
Let’s gear up for our latest USD/CHF "Swissy" Forex Bank Heist, crafted using our high-level Thief Trading Style—a bold fusion of technical know-how, street-smart price action, and strategic risk maneuvers.
💎 HEIST PLAN SUMMARY
This trade is locked, loaded, and ready to target the vault using a Bullish Breakout / Pullback strategy.
We are eyeing the SWISSY with laser focus, watching closely for price action to retest key support zones, then blast through resistance to secure our escape route.
Let’s not get caught in the police trap zone (aka overbought resistance with fakeouts and bearish ambushes). Keep those trailing stops tight and your loot tighter. 🏃♂️💨
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY — “The Vault is Open!” 📈
💰 Buy Limit Orders near recent swing low or pullback zone (15M–30M timeframe).
💣 Use DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) or Layered Entry strategy to spread risk and improve entry points.
🏹 Entry range: Monitor consolidation for the perfect dip-snatch setup.
🛑 STOP LOSS — “Fallback Safe House” 🚨
📍 Place SL just below recent swing low using 2H timeframe (e.g., 0.79200).
💡 Adjust based on position size, number of entries, and personal risk.
🏴☠️ TARGET ZONE — “The Getaway” 🎯
🎯 TP Level: 0.80700
🚁 Or escape early if momentum weakens—profit is profit.
💹 Scalpers: Ride only the bullish getaway car. Use Trailing SLs to ride and protect gains.
📊 MARKET STATUS — "SWISSY Watchtower" 🕵️
The market is currently neutral, but pressure is building. Expect a bullish breakout if macro & technicals align.
💡 Smart Robbers read the full blueprint:
→ Macro Outlook
→ COT Reports
→ Sentiment Analysis
→ Intermarket Trends
→ Seasonality & Institutional Flow
📰 TRADING ALERT — “Dodge the Sirens” 🚓
🚨 Avoid opening new trades during high-impact news events
💼 Use Trailing Stop-Loss to lock in profits
🧠 Plan your risk and exit BEFORE the bullets (candles) start flying
❤️ BOOST THE CREW! 💥
If this plan helps you pull clean profits, show love and Boost the chart 🔥📈
Your support fuels more strategies and keeps the crew funded 💼💵
Stay sharp, stay ruthless, and always trade like a Thief in the Charts 🎩🕶️
📌 Disclaimer
This strategy is educational and should not be considered investment advice.
Always trade based on your own analysis, risk profile, and market research.
🗓️ Stay tuned for the next Forex Heist Blueprint — we rob charts, not wallets.
📡 Tap follow. Boost the crew. Profit like a pro.
July 7 - 11th: Sell The RIPs, Buy The DIPs! (PART 2)Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast!
This is Part 2 of the FOREX futures outlook for the week of July 7 - 11th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
CHF and JPY
Last Friday was a bank holiday, so the price action is discounted. This Monday has no red folders on the calendar, so the environment is set for a day of misdirection. Be careful to take only trades that confirm your directional bias!
USD is still weak, and analyst have determined the FED will put off cutting rates until September. Tariffs wars may start up again July 9th. And Trumps Bill can add 3+ trillion to the debt.
None of this supports the USD!
Look to buy the dips xxx USD, and look to sell the rips vs USD xxx.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
USD/CHF Slips LowerUSD/CHF Slips Lower
USD/CHF declined and now struggling below the 0.8000 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF declined below the 0.8000 and 0.7950 support levels.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7920 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from well above the 0.8080 zone. The US Dollar dropped below the 0.8000 support to move into a negative zone against the Swiss Franc.
The bears pushed the pair below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.7940. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 0.7870 level. A low was formed near 0.7872 and the pair is now consolidating losses.
There was a minor increase above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8080 swing high to the 0.7872 low. On the upside, the pair could face resistance near the 0.7920 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7920.
The next major resistance is near the 0.7940 level, above which the pair could test the 0.7975 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8080 swing high to the 0.7872 low.
If there is a clear break above the 0.7975 resistance zone, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could even surpass 0.8030.
On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is 0.7870. The first major support is near the 0.7850 level. The next major support is near 0.7800. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward the 0.7720 level in the coming days.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FOREX USD/CHF🥇 CHF The Silent Assassin
While the world screamed about inflation, recession, and banana peels on the geopolitical stage, the Swiss Franc just stood there sipping Rivella and quietly murdered the competition.
+14.10% vs EUR?
+19.34% vs USD?
CHF walked into the forex party, didn’t say anything, and left with everyone’s respect.
🥈 USD – The Gym Bro on a Sugar Crash
Big muscles, loud talk, but oh no, look at those gains over time:
-4.41% vs EUR
-19.34% vs CHF
The USD resembles the guy who used to bench 250 and still talks about it while eating Doritos.
Rate hikes gave it a short-lived boost, but now it's just aired—trillions in debt and a lack of direction.
USD/CHF Exchange Rate Falls to Multi-Year LowUSD/CHF Exchange Rate Falls to Multi-Year Low
According to the chart, the USD/CHF exchange rate has settled below the key psychological level of 0.8000. The rate hasn’t been this low since the financial crisis of 2008.
On one hand, the drop in USD/CHF is driven by weakness in the US dollar. The US dollar index has fallen to its lowest level in over three years, largely due to the conflicting trade policies pursued by the Trump administration. On the other hand, geopolitical instability has increased the appeal of the Swiss franc as a so-called safe-haven asset.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
Since mid-May, price fluctuations have formed a downward channel (marked in red), and by the end of June the rate had stabilised around the psychological threshold of 0.8000 (indicated by an arrow) — right at the median of the channel.
However, this balance between supply and demand proved temporary, tipping in favour of sellers. As a result, we now see a decline in USD/CHF along a steep trajectory (marked in black), potentially targeting the lower boundary of the red channel — which suggests a possible move down to 0.7800 USD per franc. Along this path, support may come from the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level (0.7875); note how the 0.8055 level previously acted as support (marked with a blue arrow).
The RSI indicator confirms strong selling pressure — but will the bearish trend continue?
Much will depend on the broader fundamental context. As reported by the Wall Street Journal, the sharp strengthening of the franc against the dollar is causing growing concern at the Swiss National Bank (SNB), as an overly strong franc harms Swiss exporters. This suggests that the current market sentiment could shift dramatically if the SNB issues any relevant statements.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NZD/CHF Heist Blueprint: Snag the Kiwi vs. Franc Profits!Ultimate NZD/CHF Heist Plan: Snag the Kiwi vs. Franc Loot! 🚀💰
🌍 Greetings, Wealth Raiders! Hola! Ciao! Bonjour! 🌟
Fellow money chasers and market bandits, 🤑💸 let’s dive into the NZD/CHF "Kiwi vs. Franc" Forex heist with our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, blending sharp technicals and solid fundamentals. Follow the charted strategy for a long entry, aiming to cash out near the high-risk ATR zone. Watch out for overbought signals, consolidation, or a trend reversal trap where bearish robbers lurk. 🏴☠️💪 Seize your profits and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 🎉
Entry 📈
The vault’s open wide! 🏦 Grab the bullish loot at the current price—the heist is live! For precision, set Buy Limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe, targeting a retest of the nearest high or low.
Stop Loss 🛑
📍 Place your Thief SL at the recent swing low on a 4H timeframe for day trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders.
Target 🎯
Aim for 0.50400 or slip out early to secure your loot! 💰
Scalpers, Listen Up! 👀
Stick to long-side scalps. Got big capital? Jump in now! Smaller stacks? Join swing traders for the robbery. Use a trailing SL to lock in your gains. 🧲💵
NZD/CHF Market Intel 📊
The Kiwi vs. Franc is riding a bullish wave, fueled by key drivers. Dig into the fundamentals, macro trends, COT reports, sentiment, intermarket analysis, and future targets for the full scoop. 🔗👇
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Safety 📰
News drops can shake the market! To protect your loot:
Skip new trades during news releases.
Use trailing stops to secure profits and limit losses. 🚫
Join the Heist! 💥
Support our robbery plan—hit the Boost Button! 🚀 Let’s stack cash with ease using the Thief Trading Style. 💪🤝 Stay sharp for the next heist plan, bandits! 🤑🐱👤🎉
CHFJPY: Massive bullish breakout taking place.CHFJPY is highly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 77.325, MACD = 1.496, ADX = 39.317), having crossed above its 1 year High (R1), staging a bullish breakout much like April 28th 2023. This is a direct outcome of the 1D Golden Cross, following also 1 year of accumulation. A 1W closing over the R1 validates a bullish extension to the 2.0 Fibonacci (TP = 194.000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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