USDCHF 1H Long Trade - 1:6 RRRPair: USDCHF
Action: Buy
RRR: 1:6
SL: 0.89045
TP: 0.91327
Indicators:
EMA200: The EMA200 serves as a critical indicator of the long-term trend direction.
MACD Trend: The MACD indicator helps traders assess the strength and direction of the trend.
Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator acts as a reliable tool for identifying entry points in alignment with the prevailing trend.
Swissfranc
USDCHF: Borderline but still bullish on 1D.USDCHF is borderline bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.216, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 24.748) but still inside the 2024 Channel Up. As long as the 1D MA50 supports, we will stay bullish along with the trend, especially since the 1D MACD formed another Bullish Cross. Despite the presence of the R1 level, the bullish waves of the Channel Up have been clear and dominant. The current one targets the R2 level but we pursue a more modest target (TP = 0.9300).
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Euro bearish guard against Swiss francAt the same time as the price hits the ceiling of the descending channel, it has formed a AB=CD pattern as well as 5 rising Elliott waves. Between wave 3 and 5, we see the formation of negative divergence in the RSI indicator. It is expected that we will see the price fall at least to the Fibonacci range of 23%.
CHFJPY Sell opportunity.The CHFJPY pair is trading on a Falling Wedge pattern, which every time it formed within the long-term Channel Up, it was followed by a sharp decline. The last one hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has so far held twice, rendering it the new Support level.
Notice that all those tops, had a similar 1D MACD structure. As a result, we turn bearish on the short-term on CHFJPY, targetng 169.000 (1D MA200).
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EURCHF Sell signal at the top of Channel Down.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the September 26 2022 Low. Today it hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level which on January 13 2023 formed the last Lower High at the top of the Channel Down.
As a result, this is the first long-term sell signal that has emerged since that date. We want to keep a safer, short-term perspective though and will only short towards the bottom of the current Channel Up (which is the Bullish Leg of the long-term Channel Down) and target 0.977500.
If then EURCHF closes a 1W candle below the Channel Up, we will re-sell and target Support 1 at 0.95700, similar to the March 13 2023 Low.
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CHF (Swiss Franc Futures, CHFUSD)... BULLISH!The Monthly +FVG was filled, then the CISD was formed.
Price traded through the BB, forming the +FVG on the way.
I am expecting the BB+FVG to hold, and price to move higher from here next week.
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USDCHF Channel Up intact. Aim higher.The USDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 28 2023 Low. In the past 2 weeks, it has been forming its 2nd Bearish Leg that almost touched the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been supporting since February 02.
As long as we close 1D candles above it, we stay bullish, targeting 0.94200 (marginally below Resistance 2). Since however the recent Higher High was priced just below Resistance 1 (the October 03 2023 High), we will turn bearish (and take the buy's loss) if the pair closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is what happened on November 14 2023. In that case, our Target will be 0.87350 (Support 1).
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NZDCHF Short-term buy opportunity.The NZDCHF pair delivered a strong buy signal following our last bullish call (February 29, see chart below) and after hitting the top of the Channel Up, it immediately pulled back to its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line):
The price is already on former Resistance 1 but has some more room left to expand to upwards before pulling back again, as the minimum Bullish Leg within the Channel Up has been +4.05%. As a result we are bullish short-term with a 0.54950 Target (+4.05%).
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CADCHF About to turn bullish long-term.The CADCHF pair Has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since January 2023 but recently it has shown growing signs that the long-term bearish trend is coming to an end. First of all, it formed the first Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame since April 01 2022. Since then, it has held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as Supports.
The strongest bullish development is that it turned the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), where it was rejected on September 29 2023, from a long-term Resistance to Support. The last time that this series of events happened following a 1D Golden Cross, was within December 2020 - January 2021. Even the 1D RSI fractals between the two are similar. What the past fractal did after turning those MAs into Supports, was rally aggressively above the previous Resistance.
As a result we turn bullish now on this pair, expecting the Channel Down to break upwards, and target 0.69650 (Resistance 1).
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AUDCHF: Strong bounce inside this Megaphone.AUDCHF is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.496, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 32.323) after a strong bounce and closing above the 1D MA500. The dominant Bullish Megaphone pattern made its previous HH on the 2.0 Fib extension and a new 1D MACD Bullish Cross has validated that it now sets course for the new HH. We target again the 2.0 Fib (TP = 0.61550) which is just under the R1 level.
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GBP/CHF Sell setup 94 Pips Weekly timeframe
Price has massive rejection with wick on top so we could see price retrace to 31.8% fib as it broke the structure
H4 Timeframe
Price has broken the wedge to the downside and now the price has retraced to the 61.8% fib level and we see weakness on momentum to upside, so price is forming downward trend so we shall see a continuation to fill the wicks
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