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DIA 5M Short Aggressive CounterTrend DayTradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse - unvolumed T1 - one bar reversal + irregular volumed 2Ut- + weak test? + weak retest? Calculated affordable stop market 1 to 2 R/R take profit 1H CounterTrend "- short impulse - unvolumed T1 + resistance level + weak approach + biggest volumed unsuccessful manipulation bar" 1D CounterTrend "- short balance + expanding CREEK + weak approach" 1M countertrend "- long impulse - neutral zone + exhaustion volume?" 1Y CounterTrend "- long impulse + beyond rotation point - neutral zone"
AMEX:DIAShort
by MishaSuvorov
GM Short 5M DayTrade Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade + short impulse + T2 level + resistance level + volumed 2Ut-? + weak test + first selling bar close entry Calculated affordable stop loss 1 to 2 R/R take profit I also bought puts at $4.91 for March 20th 1H CounterTrade "- long balance + unvolumed expanding CREEK + volumed Ut" 1D CounterTrend "- long impulse - neutral zone + exhaustion volume?" 1M CounterTrade "- long impulse - unvolumed T1 + resistance zone + volumed manipulation bar - volumed reaction bar looks for break - volume distribution is long" 1Y CounterTrend "- long balance + expanding volumed CREEK + resistance level"
NYSE:GMShort
by MishaSuvorov
WMB 1D Short Aggressive CounterTrend Trade (Put Buy to Open)Aggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse - unvolumed TE / T1 + weak approach + biggest volume Ut + weak test + first selling bar close entry level Buying put 1 to 2 R/R take profit Monthly CounterTrend "- short balance + volumed expanding CREEK + resistance level = wrong volume distribution weak approach" Yearly CounterTrend "- short balance + volumed expanding CREEK + resistance level = wrong volume distribution weak approach"
NYSE:WMBShort
by MishaSuvorov
F 5M Daytrade Long Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade - short impulse + volumed TE / T1 level + support level + long volume distribution approach + biggest volume 2Sp+ - no test Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit before 5M T2 Hour Trend "- long impulse - volumed T2 + support level + 1/2 correction + biggest volume manipulation" Day Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction - neutral zone - context direction short" Month CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1/2 correction - unvolumed T1 + support level + long volume distribution + biggest volume manipulation" Year Trend "+ long impulse + volumed T2 level + volumed 2Sp+ + 1/2 correction + weak test"
NYSE:FLong
by MishaSuvorov
1
UPS Swing Long 1H Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade + long impulse - supporting reaction bar + support zone + 1/2 correction + biggest volume Sp Calculated affordable virtual stop loss 1 to 2 R/R take profit Daily Trend + long impulse = neutral zone" Monthly CounterTrend "+ short impulse + biggest volume T1 + support zone + biggest volume manipulation bar - one bar reversal?" Yearly trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + T2 level + support zone + biggest volume manipulation bar"
NYSE:UPSLong
by MishaSuvorov
UPS Swing 1H Long Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade + long impulse - support bar above JOC level + support level - above 1/2 correction + volumed 2Sp- + weak test Calculated affordable virtual stop loss 1 to 2 R/R take profit above 1H T1 below 1D CREEK Daily CounterTrend "= uniderectional balance + expanding ICE level + support level" Monthly CounterTrend "- short impulse + biggest volume T1 + biggest volume breaking bar with bad result" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + T2 level + support level"
NYSE:UPSLong
by MishaSuvorov
KHC 1H Long Swing Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + volumed T1 / TE level + support level + biggest volume 2Sp- + 5M volume distribution long + weak test + first bullish bar close entry Calculated affordable virtual stop loss 1 to 2 R/R take profit 1D CounterTrend "- short impulse + support level + volumed T1 level + volumed interaction" 1M CounterTrend "- short impulse +biggest volume T1 + support level + volumed interaction" 1Y no context
NASDAQ:KHCLong
by MishaSuvorov
WMT 1H Short Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade + short balance + expanding CREEK + resistance level + biggest volume Ut + weak test + first bearish bar close entry Calculated affordable virtual stop through buying put 1 to 2 R/R take profit 1D CounterTrend "- long impulse + resistance level + volumed 2Ut+ + weak test" 1M CounterTrend "- long impulse + volumed T1 + resistance level" 1Y CounterTrend "- long impulse + far beyond impulse potential"
NYSE:WMTShort
by MishaSuvorov
Gold smashes record high: Gov shutdown + EOM flows drive rallyGold hit fresh all-time highs above $3,875 as multiple catalysts converged on September 30th. Let's break down the perfect storm driving this bull run and critical technical levels ahead. Key Market Drivers: US Government Shutdown: Congress fails to agree on fiscal budget by tonight's deadline – no jobs data Friday, Fed flies blind into October meeting Fed Rate Cut Odds: 89% probability of October cut, 65% chance of December follow-up as economic data blackout begins China's Golden Week: 8-day market closure starting tomorrow removes world's largest gold consumer from active trading End-of-Month Flows: Quarter-end portfolio rebalancing adding fuel to momentum Technical Analysis: Triangle Breakout : Confirmed breakout from major consolidation pattern Fibonacci Targets : 200% extension at $3,885 (current area), next target $3,920 Elliott Wave Count : Approaching potential 5th wave completion near $4,000 RSI Setup: Flat momentum suggests another leg higher before divergence Trading Levels: Resistance: $3,885 (200% Fib), $3,920 (triangle target), $4,000 (psychological) Support: $3,830, $3,790 (swing low), $3,750 (triangle support) Channel: Ascending channel intact – trend bullish while above support Strategy : Bullish Bias : Continuation above $3,850, target $3,920-$4,000 Risk Scenario: IF (possible) government deal reached, watch for profit-taking to $3,790 Stop Loss: Above $3,910 for any short-term correction trades A historic confluence of political dysfunction, monetary policy uncertainty, and technical breakout adds to bullish bias. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ThinkMarkets
Gold Futures (GC) – “Top Is In” Schematic ReviewExecutive Snapshot 🧭 Primary stance: Bearish swing/top-in thesis (Wyckoff Distribution complete via UTAD). Bias strength: High, while price remains below 3,825–3,860 and fails to accept above. Game plan: Fade strength into supply; look for Phase D → E breakdown confirmation → target 3,534/3,509 → 3,209 → 3,123 then extended 2,970–2,795 if momentum accelerates. Multi-Framework Confluence: A) Wyckoff (your schematic) ♟️ Phases: A/B: BC/ST established range highs; AR/SOW tagged mid/low of range. C: UT → UTAD (new high on diminishing relative spread & mixed volume). D (now): Throwback rallies holding beneath UTAD; look for LPSY near 3,760–3,825; failure → Phase E markdown. Validation: Lower highs after the UTAD and repeated rejections of the supply shelf 3,760–3,825. Confirmation trigger: Break and accept below ICE/Creek = 3,534–3,509 (your pink band) → distribution confirmed. Macro Frame 🌐 Gold’s cyclical up-leg is extended; near-term macro supports a pause/reversion: Real yields/beta & USD shocks can catalyze a value-seeking dip. COMEX time-and-price run suggests heat above without equivalent build in value → mean-revert first, trend later. Invalidation & Risk: Hard invalidation (swing): Weekly close > 3,860 and acceptance above for 2–3 sessions (no swift rejection). Soft invalidation (tactical): Daily close back inside 3,760–3,825 after a breakdown → step aside, wait for next LPSY. Position/Risk Template: Initial risk: above 3,825 (or 3,860 for wider swing). Size: start ½–⅔ unit at first tag/reject; complete size on breakdown retest of 3,534–3,509. Trailing: swing stop > last LPSY high once 3,534 is lost. Momentum & Internals (Quick Read) ⚙️ RSI/ultimate RSI (your panels): persistent bearish divergence into UTAD zone. MACD: high, curling; ripe for signal cross on daily if price slips under 3,600s → 3,534. Squeeze/Momentum: elevated; release down would align with the distribution thesis. Execution Checklist ✅ Pre-break: Fade 3,760–3,825 on rejection candles/footprint absorption. Track delta & volume—no expansion = stronger distribution read. Break event: Daily close < 3,534 → reduce discretion, execute plan; seek retest → LPSY to add. Manage: Cover +30–50 handles into 3,209–3,180; roll runner. Data to watch: USD DXY spikes, GLD OI/put skew, dealer GEX flips around GLD 300. One-Page Risk Map 🗺️ Bearish while: < 3,825–3,860. Confirmation: < 3,534–3,509 (close/accept). Targets: 3,209 → 3,123 → 2,970 → 2,795 → 2,541. Stop/Invalid: > 3,860 w/ acceptance. Marked UTAD and supply stack 3,760–3,825 present a clean risk-defined top. Until the market accepts above 3,860, the probabilistic path favors Phase E markdown back toward 3,2xx value and possibly the 2,9xx–2,795 extension if momentum breaks loose.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by JavierXBT
B Short 1H Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - long impulse + biggest volume T1 + exhaustion volume + resistance level + biggest volume Ut + weak test - below first bullish bar close entry Calculated affordable virtual stop loss 1 to 2 R/R take profit 1D CounterTrend "- long imluse - neutral zone - volume distribution long + exhaustion volume" 1M CounterTrend "- long impulse + volumed interaction bar" 1Y countertrend "- long impulse + volumed T1 level + resistance level"
NYSE:BShort
by MishaSuvorov
INTC Short 5M Aggressive CounterTrend Day TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - long impulse + biggest volume T1 + resistance level + biggest volume 2Ut+ + weak approach - no test Calculated affordable virtual stop loss 1 to 2 R/R take profit 1H CounterTrend "- long impulse + T1 level + resistance level + 1/2 correction?" 1D CounterTrend ";- long impulse + expanding CREEK / TE + exhaustion volume - too high + correction to 1/2" 1M Trend "+ short impulse + T2 level + resistance level + 1/2 correction" 1Y CounterTrend "- long impulse + correction - 1/2 of impulse - biggest volume"
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by MishaSuvorov
1
TGKA 5M Long Aggressive CounterTrend DayTradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + biggest volume T1 + volumed 2Sp+ ? - T2 level - resistance level Calculated affordable virtual stop loss 1 to 2 R/R expandable to swing take profit 1H CounterTrend "- short impulse + biggest volume T1 + support level + volumed interaction bar - reaction bar went lower" 1D Trend "+ long impulse + biggest volume expanding T2 level + support level + below 1/2 correction + volumed interaction bar" 1Y no context
RUS:TGKALong
by MishaSuvorov
KHC ketchup 1H Swing Long Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade + above exhaustion volume + long impulse + expanding T2 + support level + 1/2 correction + biggest volume 2Sp- - strong test + first bullish bar close level entry Calculated affordable virtual stop loss 1 to 2 R/R take profit Daily CounterTrend "- short impulse + support level - unvolumed T1 level + below 1/2 correction?! + historical volume zone + biggest volume 2Sp- + test - price corrected to 1/2 on 1D CT" Monthly CounterTrend "- short impulse + broken SOS + exhaustion volume + initiative take over" Yearly no context
NASDAQ:KHCLong
by MishaSuvorov
MOEX 5M DayTrade Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + volumed T1? + support level + weak approach? + biggest volume 2Sp+ + weak test + below first bullish bar close entry Calculated affordable virtual stop loss 1 to 2 R/R take profit expandable to 1H 1 to 2 after test on 1H 1H CounterTrend "- short impulse + volumed T1 + support level + bar closed above 1D support level + volumed manipulation bar closed above T1" 1D Trend "+ long impulse + SOS level + support level + 1/2 correction + volumed interaction bar" 1M Trend "+ long impulse - expanding T2 + support level + volumed 2Sp- + 1/2 correction" 1Y Trend "+ long impulse - weak break + neutral zone"
RUS:MOEXLong
by MishaSuvorov