This Does Not Look Good For Bitcoin!Trading Fam,
Real talk. It does not look good for Bitcoin.
I will not make friends with this post. But I'm not into popularity contest. I simply want to show you what the charts are saying.
My old followers know that I ignored the Head and Shoulders pattern I spotted last cycle. Though, I got a much higher ratio of "likes" on that one post because I continued to believe in hope and hype ...I paid dearly.
I show my wins. And I show my most embarrassing losses. But one thing I will not do is lie.
After all, there is truly no loss if we learn. And so, we will either win here with me OR we will learn.
I learned. And maybe? So did you. I'm tired of paying for expensive lessons. It's time to be cautious and preserve our capital.
Though this Head and Shoulders pattern is not even complete yet, we have to put it on our radar. It's an ominous looking beast. Over 85% of the time, these things do play out. If you're into hopium you might be like, "So you're saying there's still a chance"? Well, yeah. I guess. If you want to look at it that way. Maybe, up to a 15% chance Bitcoin negates this pattern. But let's review a few of the other bearish indicators that have already played out (I have noted these numerous times in previous posts and videos):
Couldn't break above that Pi Cycle Top Trendline. Hit it to the 'T' three times but could not break it.
Wyckoff Market Cycle (previous post) currently playing out.
Megaphone pattern (previous post) played out
Bear Flag broken today (though not yet confirmed)
Below that orange 350-day SMA - almost always indicates entry into a bear cycle
A "SELL" signal from my most reliable indicator, The Pivot Zones Indicator .
And now?
Now, we are forming that very ominous Head and Shoulders pattern. I will not ignore it again. A break below that RED 2021 Top Trendline, which is also acting as the neckline, is not good. It's not good at all.
I'll leave it at that and let the chart do the rest of the talking.
Take care friends,
✌️Stew
Targets
XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Technical Levels to WatchGold failed to break above the MA50 on Friday, which was followed by a move lower to test the MA200, where buyers stepped in and triggered a bounce.
Price is now trading just below the 4600 resistance. To see another push higher, gold needs to reclaim 4600 and the MA50, which would open the door for a move toward the 4637 resistance. A clean break above 4637 would expose higher levels.
Failure to reclaim 4600 would likely lead to a deeper pullback into the first reaction zone. If selling pressure builds further, watch the lower support levels for potential bullish reactions.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4600
4637
4664
4690
4722
Support:
4564
4537
4497
4455
4419
👉Let key levels guide your decisions — wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly.
🔍 Fundamental Focus
Trade tensions remain elevated after the US applied tariffs linked to the Greenland dispute, set to take effect from February 1st, prompting a strong response from the EU and raising broader trade risk.
As these announcements were made while markets were closed, today’s open may see increased volatility and potential gaps, especially in gold as a safe-haven asset.
Elite | BTCUSD | 2H – Descending Structure Into Major DemandBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After failing to hold above 92K–94K, BTC continued respecting the descending trendline, showing controlled sell pressure rather than panic. The current reaction at demand suggests sell-side liquidity has been tapped, but structure has not yet flipped bullish. Any upside move without a structural reclaim remains corrective until proven otherwise.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Reversal / Expansion 🚀
Conditions (MANDATORY):
Strong 2H hold above 85,000
Break and acceptance above 88,500
Trendline breakout with follow-through
🎯 Target 1: 90,500
🎯 Target 2: 93,500
🎯 Target 3: 96,400 (major liquidity)
❌ Bearish Continuation 📉
Conditions:
2H close below 84,500
🎯 Downside Target 1: 82,800
🎯 Downside Target 2: 81,000
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 88,500 – 90,500 – 96,400
Support 🟢: 85,200 – 84,500 – 82,800
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice
Berkshire Hathaway ~ Holiday Accumulation Zone $505-507 SupportBRK.B Pre-Christmas Accumulation Setup
Berkshire Hathaway has pulled back into a well-defined support zone at $505-507, presenting a structured entry opportunity heading into the holiday period with targets at the May 2025 highs.
🎯 Setup Overview:
Entry Zone: $505-507 (current support area)
Target: May 2025 highs (~$585-590 range)
Potential Move: ~16% upside from mid-range entry
📊 Technical Context:
Support Confluence:
The $505-507 area represents a previous consolidation zone from earlier in 2024
This level has acted as both support and resistance multiple times throughout the year
Price is testing this zone during typical year-end portfolio re-balancing
Historical Pattern:
Berkshire often consolidates during Q4 as institutional money re-positions for year-end, creating accumulation opportunities before Q1 strength.
Volume Behavior:
Recent selling volume shows signs of exhaustion rather than acceleration, suggesting distribution may be nearing completion.
🎯 Trade Structure:
Accumulation Zone: $505-507
Invalidation: Break and close below $495 (prior support)
First Target: $540 (previous resistance)
Primary Target: $585-590 (May 2025 highs)
Risk Management:
Stop placement below $495 provides clear invalidation
Risk from $506 entry: ~$11 per share
Reward to primary target: ~$80-85 per share
Approximate ratio: 7:1 to 8:1
📈 Why This Level Matters:
Institutional Footprint:
Berkshire's shareholder base is heavily institutional. Year-end window dressing and tax-loss harvesting create temporary pressure that often resolves in Q1.
Fundamental Support:
BRK.B operates as a diversified holding company with minimal single-stock risk
Strong balance sheet and cash reserves provide downside cushion
Historical tendency to outperform during market uncertainty
Seasonal Pattern:
December-January often sees renewed interest in quality names after tax-related selling concludes.
🛡️ Risk Considerations:
Market Environment:
Broader market volatility into year-end could push price below $505 temporarily. Position sizing should account for potential whipsaw.
Timeframe:
This is a swing to position trade (weeks to months), not a day trade. Patience required for target achievement.
Invalidation Discipline:
If price closes decisively below $495, the support thesis breaks and the position should be exited regardless of unrealized loss.
📌 Position Management Approach:
Scaling In:
First entry at $507 (initial test of support)
Second entry at $505 (if support holds on retest)
Reserve capital for $502 if extended weakness occurs
Scaling Out:
Reduce 1/3 at $540 (previous resistance, books profit)
Reduce 1/3 at $560 (midpoint to target)
Final 1/3 at $585-590 (May highs, complete exit)
This approach locks in gains progressively while maintaining upside exposure.
🎄 Holiday Trading Consideration:
Volume typically thins during the final weeks of December. Price action may be erratic with wider spreads. This setup assumes position building now with targets achieved in Q1 2025, not during the holiday period itself.
⚠️ Disclaimers:
This analysis is for educational purposes and represents a technical view based on historical price structure and support zones. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell BRK.B.
Support levels can break. The $495 invalidation point exists precisely because no support is guaranteed. Proper risk management requires accepting potential loss if structure fails.
Targets are based on prior price action and do not guarantee future performance. Market conditions, broader economic factors, and company-specific events can alter outcomes significantly.
Always size positions according to your risk tolerance and conduct independent analysis before making investment decisions. All investing involves risk of loss.
✨ Your Thoughts?
If you're watching BRK for similar setups or have questions about this support zone, drop a comment below. Educational discussions help everyone improve their analysis.
📜 Trade with structure. Manage your risk. Stay disciplined.
Bulls Will Take BTC to 100k Then Become Leftover Turkey Dinner!Trading Fam,
First things first, Happy Thanksgiving to my U.S. followers. I hope your holiday is blessed as you enjoy time with friends and family.
Let's get to the chart.
As noted numerous times in previous posts, BTC is now in a longer-term bearish trend. There are many indicators that have shown us this.
Our first signs came when my indicator flashed a rare sell signal
This coincided with the third touch of our Pi Cycle Top Trendline
It also formed what I thought at the time might be the "spring" of our Wyckoff Market Cycle pattern
After these first three important indicators flashed, I waited for a drop below the support (RED descending TL) of our bearish megaphone pattern. That happened.
Finally, we almost synchronized that drop with the drop below our 350 SMA
I have a target down of 72-76k. We almost reached that but we were stopped by 80k support. That RED ascending TL prints on the weekly starting with one of our tops in April of 2021!
We bounced off of this trendline, using it as strong support. It should be and I expected this bounce! Now, I am expecting we should go to at least 100-102k. Even that is a very underwhelming target. I will NOT be impressed at all if the bulls should succeed at hitting it. This, at least, should be expected!
If we don't hit that target, I will be wrong about how bearish I should have been. Even the "Buy the Dip" Viagra being sold by all these whales as exit liquidity will not have worked for these bulls. What a disappointment they will have become! And my target of 72-76k will still be in play.
But you can all see that I have a question mark there. See, the thing is, what happens when Michael Saylor's Microstrategy goes underwater? Microstrategy owns nearly 650k BTC at an avg cost of 74.5k. Current strategy is: issue shares → raise debt → buy BTC → repeat. If BTC falls below 74.5k it could become: buy back shares → lower debt → sell BTC → repeat. If this occurs, BTC could drop even further. My next serious support is not found until around 46k! Therefore, we have to keep a serious eye on this area of 72-76k if we do in fact visit it.
Now, if bulls do beat 102k and then 110k after that, I think I can admit I was wrong. I missed my downside target by a whopping 4k! I will admit defeat even though I was a small fraction of a coin off. Honestly, I hope I am wrong. I hope the market is revived and Santa gives you all the profit you ever wanted for the Christmas season. But the grinch in me thinks not.
So, play this rally as you like. Personally, I think it's an early gift to some of you who were not expecting this or just didn't believe it would occur. You now have your second chance to exit. This is a contrarian view. I know. But think about who might be propagating the "Buy the Dip" memes. I alluded to it above. If I were a whale and wanted to exit without crashing the market how would I best do this? Ding, ding, ding. That's right. I'd market the hell out of "Buy the Dip". It would become the meme of the hour. Retail would buy it up and hopefully provide the exit liquidity I need. This might be my only way out if I were looking for it.
Something to think about.
✌️Stew
BTC Bulls, this one is for you ;)As most of you know, I’ve been bullish on Bitcoin for quite a while now. And today, I want to show you exactly which resistance levels I’m watching if the breakout continues.
On the weekly BTC/USDT chart, I’ve marked out five key upside targets, all based on Fibonacci extension levels — not just random lines, but technical zones that often attract serious reaction from the market.
Let’s break them down:
🔸 Target 1 — $124K
This lines up with the 141.4% Fibonacci extension and also happens to match the projected move of a textbook Cup & Handle pattern. It’s the first big checkpoint.
🔸 Target 2 — $137K
Here we’ve got the 227.2% Fib level — a classic continuation zone if momentum remains strong.
🔸 Target 3 — $145K
Next up is the 241.4% extension, where we could see some heavier resistance and price interaction.
🔸 Target 4 — $155K
One of the strongest zones on the map. Why? Because it merges four separate Fibonacci extensions in one cluster. A real decision point.
🔸 Target 5 — $167K
And the final target (for now) — the 261.8% extension. If BTC gets here, it’ll be a major event.
🎯 My View:
This isn’t hopium. These levels are based on market structure, Fibonacci math, and historical behavior. As always, I’ll adjust based on price action, but these are the areas I’m preparing for.
BTC/USD 1DHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart to USD, in this situation we can see how the 3rd peak formed us and we are currently fighting to maintain the price or a potential output up if we do not see a try to break out, you can expect a stronger relief.
However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = 108376 $
T2 = 110473 $
Т3 = 112061 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 105444 $
SL2 = 103637 $
SL3 = 100644 $
SL4 = 98285
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
As we entered the upper part of the indicator again, however, there is still a place to try to grow.
LTC/USDT chart technical analysis (1D)🔷 1. Trend and market structure
🔺 Main channels:
The chart is moving in an ascending channel (orange lines), the lower and upper limits of which have been respected since mid-2022.
The current price (around 78.3 USDT) is in the middle range of the channel, with a downward trend in recent weeks.
🔁 Market phase:
The price is in consolidation in a broader uptrend.
The last upward swing did not break through the previous peak (~135 USDT), which may indicate weakening momentum.
🔷 2. Key horizontal levels (support/resistance)
✅ Resistance levels (green lines):
83.46 USDT – the nearest resistance, currently being tested from below.
95.48 USDT – strong resistance from March-April 2024.
105.19 USDT – a level tested many times in the past.
110.00 USDT – a psychological level.
115.83 USDT – a local high from December 2023.
🛑 Support levels (red lines):
78.30 USDT – currently tested support level.
70.98 USDT – a key defensive level for bulls.
52.03 USDT – strong historical support.
39.78 USDT – the last line of defense, consistent with the lows from 2022.
📐 Dynamic support (orange line):
The lower boundary of the ascending channel – currently falls around 65 USDT and increases over time.
🔷 3. Technical indicators
📊 CHOP (Choppiness Index)
Oscillates near the lower values → the market is starting to leave the consolidation phase.
Potential directional movement soon, most likely downward (due to momentum).
📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI below 50, currently around 40–45 → supply advantage.
Not oversold yet, but momentum is downward.
🔄 Stochastic
Well below 20, i.e. in the oversold zone.
Potential for a short-term bounce, but it can also go lower with a stronger sell-off wave.
🔷 4. Technical scenarios
🟢 Growth scenario (long):
Condition: Defending the level of 78.3 USDT and a quick return above 83.46.
Targets:
TP1: 95.48
TP2: 105.19
TP3: 115.83 (upper border of the channel)
SL: below 70.98 USDT
🔴 Bearish scenario (short):
Condition: Break 78.3 and retest as resistance.
Targets:
TP1: 70.98
TP2: 65 (lower channel line)
TP3: 52.03 (large accumulation zone)
SL: return above 83.46
🔷 5. Swing strategy proposal
Long
Entry 78.30–79.00
SL < 70.50
TP1 95.50 TP2 105.00 TP3 115.00
Short
Entry < 77.50 (ret.)
SL > 83.50
TP1 71.00 TP2 65.00 TP3 52.00
🔷 6. Additional comments
It is worth observing the price reaction at 70.98 USDT - this could be a capitulation level or a strong rebound.
The formation on the daily chart resembles a head and shoulders (H&S) - a warning signal for bulls.
DOGE/USD 1H Short-term1. General situation on the chart
Trend: The last few dozen candles show a sideways movement with a stronger upward impulse, which was quickly corrected. We are currently seeing declines after the previous upward wave.
Current price: Approx. 0.1847 USDT.
Last structure: After the upward movement (peak around 0.205), the price dropped quite a bit, now consolidating below 0.19.
2. Formations and structures
Formation:
No clear classic formation (e.g. head-and-shoulders, triangle, flags) on the last candles.
However, something like a local peak ("double top") is visible around 0.203–0.205 — the price touched these areas twice and fell off, which suggests that this is a strong resistance.
Support and resistance:
Support: 0.1800–0.1820 — here is the last local low and the area where the price stopped before the previous upward movement.
Next support: 0.1740–0.1750 — the next low from the previous movements.
Resistance: 0.1900–0.1910 — here was the last consolidation, and then a sharp decline.
Strong resistance: 0.2030–0.2050 (recent highs).
3. Indicators
RSI:
RSI value close to 40 and is heading slightly down, but it is not oversold yet. This may suggest that there is potentially room for further decline.
MACD:
Histogram below the 0 line, MACD line below the signal, the bearish signal is still maintained.
4. Signals and potential scenarios
Base scenario (downside):
If the price breaks below 0.1820, the next target is around 0.1750.
Stop loss in this scenario: above the last resistance, e.g. 0.1910.
Alternative scenario (rebound):
If the price does not break 0.1820, and a demand reaction occurs - we may see an attempt to return to 0.1900, or even to the peaks in the area of 0.2000–0.2050.
Stop loss below 0.1800 (in the case of a long play).
5. Potential targets (by price action):
Short:
TP1: 0.1820 (nearest support, you can take some profit)
TP2: 0.1750 (next low, main target)
Long:
TP1: 0.1900 (nearest resistance)
TP2: 0.2000–0.2050 (highs, if the movement is strong)
Summary
Currently, the chart suggests a bearish scenario.
This is confirmed by the candlestick pattern, negative dynamics and indicators (RSI, MACD).
Key level to watch: 0.1820 – if it falls, we will probably go down to 0.1750.
If there is strong demand for 0.1820, a rebound to 0.19+ is possible.
BTC/USD 1H chartHello everyone, let's look at the 1H BTC chart for USD, in this situation we can see how the price moves over a strong growth trend line. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = 109164 $
T2 = 110207 $
Т3 = 111463 $.
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 107264 $
SL2 = 106314 $
SL3 = 105578 $
SL4 = 104781 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
Return above the upper limit, which can cause an attempt to relax at the coming hours.
LTC/USDT 4H ChartHello everyone, let's look at the 4H LTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a specific yellow triangle, in which we can see an attempt to exit from the bottom. On the other hand, the blue lines mark the main channel of the downtrend and here we can see how the price is fighting with its upper limit, but it is a strong resistance.
Let's start by defining the goals for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 101 USD
T2 = 111 USD
Т3 = 124 USD
Т4 = 147 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 90 USD
SL2 = 80 USD
SL3 = 63 USD
The RSI indicator shows a rebound, but the movement remains around the middle of the range, which further leaves room for a potential deepening of the rebound.
XRP/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D XRP chart to USD, in this situation we can see how the price lasts above the downward trend line.
Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = $ 2.51
T2 = $ 2.67
Т3 = 2.79 $ t4 = $ 2.92
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = $ 2.31
SL2 = $ 2.17
SL3 = $ 2.06
SL4 = $ 1.89
Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see how he reacted and returned to the middle of the range, which creates a place for a panty growth.
BTC-USD 1h chart targets and stoplossHello everyone, let's look at the 1H BTC chart to USD, in this situation we can see how the price dropped below the local upward trend line. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = 109196 $
T2 = 110644 $
Т3 = 111850 $ t4 = 112951 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 108351 $
SL2 = 107537 $
SL3 = 106390 $
SL4 = 105455 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see staying over the upper limit, which can give price drops, while the MacD indicator lasts at the bottom of the range and is close to returning to the upward trend.
BTC/USD 4H Chart targets and stoplossHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BTC to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price has come out of the downtrend channel on top, and the upward movement after leaving the channel is close to the height of the downtrend channel.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
However, at the beginning we can see how the price is struggling with a strong resistance zone from $103882 to $108349. Next, we have potential targets:
T1 = 112,740 USD
T2 = 116,525 USD
Т3 = 120,000 USD
Now let's move on to stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 100,551 USD
SL2 = 97,446 USD
SL3 = 92,525 USD
SL4 = 88,286 USD
The RSI indicator shows that in the 4H interval, the movement is at the upper limit of the range, which clearly affects the sideways movement on the chart.
LTC-USDT 1W chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1W LTC chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price approached the upper limit of the inheritance trend channel, only when it manages to get out of it, the price will be able to go further towards the inheritance trend line.
Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = $ 105
T2 = $ 115
Т3 = 129 $
T4 = $ 147
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = $ 97
SL2 = 80 $
SL3 = $ 63
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
As he approached the center of the range, but we still have enough space for the price to definitely move up.
SOL-USD 12h Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 12h SOL to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price came out sideways from the downtrend line, then formed a downtrend channel, the exit from which gave a strong rebound creating a new uptrend.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = 172 USD
T2 = 195 USD
Т3 = 218 USD
Т4 = 252 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 151 USD
SL2 = 130 USD
SL3 = 115 USD
SL4 = 96 USD
It is worth paying attention to the Stoch RSI indicator, where you can see how the current correction has strongly reacted on the indicator, which may give room for another stronger uptrend.
DOGE/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D dog chart to USDT, in this situation we can see, the price reflection here can be seen how the price continues under the downward trend line.
Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = 0.246 $
T2 = 0.282 $
Т3 = 0.319 $ t4 = 0.369
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 0.229 $
SL2 = 0.195 $
SL3 = 0.157 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see that when the indicator came out the top, it gave the relief for the price and now when the price lasts in a slight side trend, the indicator collects energy for a new move.
LINK/USDT 1W chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1W link to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price is fighting for the mountain from the downward trend line over which we are currently.
Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = $ 18.38
T2 = $ 21
Т3 = $ 23.53
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 15.31 $
SL2 = $ 13.17
SL3 = 10.53 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see a clear increase on the indicator and a return to the upper part of the range, but there is still room for continuing the ongoing strong growth.
BTC/USD 1D chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart for USD, in this situation we can see how the price came out of a strong downward trend, which gave a strong upward movement for the price. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = 96592 $
T2 = 101878 $
Т3 = 109442 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 92363 $
SL2 = 89028 $
SL3 = 83498 $
SL4 = 79350 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we can see that despite a small price change, the indicator strongly reacted what potentially can give energy to further price increases in the coming weeks.
LTC/USDT 12H chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 12H LTC chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price came out of the downward trend and currently you can see the movement of the newly created upward trend line. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = $ 89
T2 = $ 97
Т3 = $ 109
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 85 $
SL2 = $ 77
SL3 = $ 67
SL4 = $ 63
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
Return to the lower limit, which can potentially give energy to make the price re -perform upward movement.
BNB/USDT 1D chart Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D BNB chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in a triangle where there is still space to keep the currently ongoing side trend. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = $ 599
T2 = $ 617
Т3 = $ 644
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = $ 580
SL2 = $ 559
SL3 = $ 542
SL4 = 521 $
Looking at the MacD indicator, you can see an attempt to return to the upward trend, but here we do not have clear confirmation, which is why it is worth being careful.
MKR/USDT 4h chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H MKR chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves on the created upward trend line. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = $ 1576
T2 = 1657 $
Т3 = 1714 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = $ 1529
SL2 = $ 1499
SL3 = $ 1450
SL4 = 1372 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
How slight relaxations give space for further increases by living in the upward trend of price.






















