Sabre Corporation (Revised) | SABR | Long at $1.76This is a revised analysis of Sabre Corp NASDAQ:SABR as seen here
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Full disclosure: I am still a holder of shares at $2.06 and newest entry at $1.76. My stop was triggered near $3.00 (original entry) a few days ago. If the price rises above $2.06, I plan to sell out of that entry a keep my lowest position moving forward.
This is a ***highly risky*** trade given the recent news around slower earnings growth and slump in travel demand in certain areas the company caters to. Do your own due diligence.
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NASDAQ:SABR stock took a major hit today after the company reported revenue growth below its projections in Q2 2025. Revenue was $687 million, down 1% year-on-year, missing the company's own guidance of "low single-digit" growth. They also significantly lowered full-year guidance for 2025, expecting Air Distribution Volumes to grow between 4-10% and full-year Adjusted EBITDA between $530-$570 million, down from previous projections. The company's higher exposure to corporate and government travel, including a decline in U.S. government and military travel, negatively impacted its performance.
From a technical analysis perspective, the price dropped today to an area 6 standard deviations away from the historical simple moving average zone (which rests now at $1.69 - blue line). While there may be a dead-cat bounce then further drop to near $1.00, the stock is behaving as expected given the bad news. However, a drop in interest rates will significantly benefit this company's debt burden. NASDAQ:SABR consistently ranks as one of the top players in the global travel technology landscape, so while I think the future is bright for the company given earnings projections (beyond 2025) and analyst estimates, 2025 will absolutely be a tough year.
So, at $1.76, I am buying the fear. Last entry near $1 if it gets there and the overall fundamentals do not change. Whatever my lowest entry is, I will be holding that and selling all previous entries near even to limit exposure.
Revised Targets into 2028:
$2.20 (+25.0%)
$2.90 (+64.8%)
TECH
Is NEAR NEARing Its Next Explosion? Watch This Perfect Pattern!NEAR is dancing to a powerful rhythm — and it’s all in the cycles 🔁
This chart uncovers a repeating top-bottom cycle that has held since early 2023, with precise peaks and valleys emerging every few months 📉📈.
After bouncing off a major bottom at ~$2, NEAR is now approaching the mid-line of the descending red channel, suggesting a potential trend reversal is underway 🔄.
Each previous “BOTTOM” aligned with strong recovery waves 🚀, while the projected “TOP” now points toward the $6–7 zone — aligning perfectly with the upper green trendline resistance 🎯.
If the pattern continues, we could be looking at another macro push before year-end 2025 📆.
📊 Will NEAR ride this wave to new local highs — or is it just another lower high in the making? Either way, the rhythm of this chart is too clean to ignore.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Microsoft Sees Declining Trading Volume Despite All Time HighsSince December of 2021, MSFT traded within a Rising Wedge structure that has gradually resulted in lower and lower highs in volume, at the same time IV on the Options Chain has begun to price down the strikes above $515 while Shorter Term Downside IV has begun to price up all the way out to $240.00. If this trend continues we will likely see the $515 area act as strong resistance as liquid interest above it begins to dry out.
This could be the beginning of a move to break down the wedge and trade down to the lower strikes first targeting the $365 price level and resolving around $240 near the 200 Period SMA.
USNAS100 Outlook – CPI Data to Confirm Breakout or PullbackUSNAS100 – Bullish Momentum Holds Ahead of CPI
USNAS100 continues to show strong bullish momentum, trading above 22,905 and recently printing a new all-time high (ATH).
As long as price remains above this level, the next upside target is 23,170, followed by 23,300.
Market Focus – CPI Data Today:
• Expected: 2.6%
• Below 2.6% → bullish reaction likely
• Above 2.6% → bearish pressure expected
• Exactly 2.6% → could trigger a short-term bearish pullback
Key Risk Level:
A confirmed break below 22,905 would signal weakness and open the door for a correction toward 22,615.
NASDAQ at Risk – Tariffs Pressure Tech IndexUSNAS100 – Market Outlook
The index is currently in a sensitive zone, heavily influenced by ongoing tariff tensions. If the current geopolitical pressure continues, it may fuel bearish momentum across the tech-heavy index.
To regain a bullish outlook, we need to see signs of negotiation or de-escalation, which could stabilize the price and lead it toward 23010 and 23170.
However, as of today, the market appears to be setting up for a correction, potentially dipping to 22815, followed by a deeper bearish move targeting 22420.
Support Levels: 22615 – 22420
Resistance Levels: 22905 – 23010
SelectQuote | SLQT | Long at $2.18SelectQuote NYSE:SLQT is currently resting within my historical simple moving average zone. This often signals consolidation and a future move (in this case, let's hope up). Looking at the company's financials, NYSE:SLQT is currently profitable. For Q3 2025 (ended March 31, 2025), the company reported a net income of $26.0 million, up from $8.6 million in Q3 2024. This follows a strong Q2 2025 with a net income of $53.2 million. While like most companies there are likely headwinds in 2025 (earnings are projected at a loss of -$0.20 per share due to seasonal fluctuations and investments in 2025 (e.g., new Kansas facility)), profitability is likely to stabilize in 2026, with EPS forecasts of $0.05, supported by improved Medicare reimbursement rates and operational efficiencies. Ongoing Department of Justice allegations could pose risks... but SelectQuote’s recent $350M investment and cost management suggest profitability may continue if legal issues are resolved favorably.
Thus, at $2.18, NYSE:SLQT is in a personal buy zone. There is a potential for the price to dip to the bottom of the historical simple moving average channel (near $1.25) in the near-term, but time will tell.
Targets:
$2.64
$4.24
USNAS100 Bullish Ahead of NVIDIA Milestone – 23010 in SightUSNAS100 – Outlook
The index continues its bullish momentum, supported by strong tech performance — notably NVIDIA surpassing a $4 trillion market cap.
As long as the price holds above 22880, the trend remains bullish toward:
23010 Then extended targets near 23170
However, a 1H close below 22815 would signal weakness, potentially opening the way for a retracement toward: 22705 And 22615, especially if tariff tensions escalate.
Resistance: 23010, 23170
Support: 22815, 22705, 22615
GOOGLE Count changed, Bullish outlook.I have adjusted NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL Elliot wave count with a wave 1 completing a leading diagonal backed up by a deep wave 2 correction into High Volume Node support (HVN). We potentially have another 1-2 with fast drop and recovery to the S1 daily pivot which would make long term outlook extra bullish by extending target.
Wave 3 is underway with a target of the all time hime high HVN for wave 5. The next resistance HVN is $191.
Price above the daily pivot and is continuing upwards after testing as support.
Analysis is invalidated below $162 swing low.
Safe trading
USNAS100 Key Level: 22,740 – Will the Trend Continue or Reverse?USNAS100 Update – Bullish Momentum Holds Above 22,740
USNAS100 has continued to push higher, following through as expected from yesterday’s analysis.
The index maintains bullish momentum as long as it trades above the key pivot at 22,740.
However, a 1H close below 22,730 could trigger a bearish correction toward 22,615.
A sustained break below that level may shift the trend to bearish.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 22,870 / 23,000
• Support: 22,615 / 22,410
NVIDIA to $228If Nvidia were truly done for, why is it impossible to find their latest 5000 series GPUs?
Even if someone wanted to buy one, they simply can't.
The reason lies in Nvidia's commitment to fulfilling the soaring demand from AI data centers, which has left them unable to produce enough H100 and H200 models.
This situation also allows Nvidia to increase their profit margins significantly, capitalizing on the disparity between demand and the media frenzy surrounding them.
DeepSeek serves as a prime example of how out of touch mainstream media can be.
All DeepSeek did was replicate Chat GPT.
Training models requires substantial computing power. The panic surrounding Nvidia and other semiconductor companies is quite amusing; the demand for computing power is skyrocketing!
The gap between the reality of the AI mega-trend and the narrow focus of mainstream media is staggering! It's astonishingly out of touch! Just as out of touch as Cramer was when he declared META was done at $100, or when he thought Chat GPT would obliterate Google at $88.
Stock prices fluctuate between being overvalued and undervalued. While we have metrics like EGF and PE ratios to assess valuation, indicating that Nvidia is currently inexpensive, this doesn't guarantee it won't drop further. However, it is generally wiser to buy stocks when they are cheap rather than when they are costly.
The greater the deviation from the high then the greater the BUYING OPPORTUNITY being presented for the very best leading companies.
The key takeaway is that the deeper Nvidia falls during its corrections, the more advantageous it could be.
Those who are experiencing anxiety during these declines may find themselves selling at a loss, or for a marginal profit possibly around previous highs, while the stock has the potential to rise to $228 and beyond.
The potential for growth is significant; the $228 Fibonacci extension may not represent the peak. Attempting to predict a top for Nvidia could be misguided. Once it reaches $228, Nvidia might maintain a valuation similar to its current $130 level.
Beeline Holdings | BLNE | Long at $0.72**This is a VERY risky penny stock. Please do not invest if you are risk averse.**
Beeline Holdings NASDAQ:BLNE
Book value = $5.00-$6.00
Revenue past 12 months: $5.21 million (grew by 27.4% over the past year)
Debt-to-equity: 0.21x (low)
Insiders purchased almost $500k in shares in the past 6 months and volume increasing
6 million float, 1.96% short interest, 0.85 days to cover
This is purely a gamble play based on value and insider purchases. Thus, at $0.72, NASDAQ:BLNE is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$1.00
$1.25
Google MUST hold this critical level!NASDAQ:GOOG local analysis update
📈 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 Further decline below the daily 200EMA, High Volume Node (HVN) and pivot point which it closed below on Friday could see google price fall back below $140.
📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 the bullish run has ended with Fridays bearish engulfing, first support below the support it is currently sat at is $156.
Irans conflict has investors shaken and not willing to hold assets over the weekend on the fear of worse news. However, if the conflict is resolved investors could have a great buying opportunity.
𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨
Price is challenging a triple shield: major support HVN, daily pivot and the daily 200EMA. Holding this level is critical and locks in a corrective Elliot Wave pattern from the $140 level completing between the 0.5-0.618 Fib retracement.
Daily DEMA Is about to produce a death cross while RSI is neutral with plenty of room to fall.
Safe trading
Who likes Apple Crumble....WWDC Event FlopSome Key Areas:
Unified Design: Liquid Glass
- Apple unveiled a new design language called Liquid Glass, inspired by visionOS. This aesthetic introduces rounded, translucent elements across iOS 26, iPadOS 26, macOS 26 ("Tahoe"), watchOS 26, tvOS 26, and visionOS 26, aiming for a cohesive and modern look across all devices
Apple Intelligence & AI Enhancements
- Apple expanded its AI capabilities under the Apple Intelligence umbrella:
On-Device AI Models: Developers can now access Apple's on-device large language models to integrate AI features into their apps, ensuring privacy and efficiency.
- Genmoji: A new feature allowing users to create personalized emojis by merging existing ones.
- ChatGPT Integration: Siri can now delegate complex queries to ChatGPT, powered by GPT-4o, with user consent.
- Live Translation: Real-time translation is now available in Messages, FaceTime, and Phone apps, enhancing multilingual communication.
iOS 26 & iPadOS 26: Enhanced User Experience
- Redesigned Apps: Updated Camera, Safari, and Phone apps featuring the new Liquid Glass design.
iPadOS 26 brings
- Advanced Multitasking: Enhanced window management and a Mac-like Preview app.
macOS 26 ("Tahoe"): Productivity Focus
- Personalized Spotlight: Improved search functionality with AI-driven suggestions.
WatchOS 26 & AirPods Enhancements
- AI-Powered "Workout Buddy": Provides real-time insights and encouragement during fitness activities.
Gaming & Developer Tools
- Apple Gaming Hub: A new app aggregating games and challenges, enhancing the gaming experience across devices.
Apple is at a technical inflection point. It needs to hold the wedge or it runs the risk to going lower to the previous lower boundary range.
ALTCOIN ROADMAP: REVISITED!!! Ethereum vs NvidiaOne of the most insightful ratio charts that provides a remarkable glimpse into the vitality of Altcoins and the appetite for risk is when Ethereum outshines one of the fastest rising stars in the stock market, #NVDA!
The conventional Altcoin index indicates how many of the top 100 Altcoins are outperforming #BTC.
This is indeed a valuable metric that we can rely on for identifying peaks.
However, I believe that if we broaden our perspective and examine the ETH ratio against a Tech Titan, we can truly pinpoint the timing of the banana zone. When it starts and when it is confirmed violent uptrend.
My interest in this ratio was sparked when ETH was still a proof of work coin, validated through GPUs; it seemed like a natural starting point to assess whether the ETH price was overvalued or undervalued.
Even after the transition to POS, I still think it’s worth analysing, as shown by the recent double bottom on the ratio!
The next crucial question is when we can break the multi-year downtrend to genuinely confirm the Banana zone. Because without ETH, there’s no party.
If we enter a big strong banana zone, I believe the ratio could swiftly trend towards 100, so we will be keeping a close eye on it!
Honeywell: Quantum Leap or Geopolitical Gambit?Honeywell is strategically positioning itself for significant future growth by aligning its portfolio with critical megatrends, notably aviation's future and quantum computing's burgeoning field. The company demonstrates remarkable resilience and foresight, actively pursuing partnerships and investments designed to capture emerging market opportunities and solidify its leadership in diversified industrial technologies. This forward-looking approach is evident across its core business segments, driving innovation and market expansion.
Key initiatives underscore Honeywell's trajectory. In aerospace, the selection of the JetWave™ X system for the U.S. Army's ARES aircraft highlights its role in enhancing defense capabilities through advanced, resilient satellite communication. Furthermore, the expanded partnership with Vertical Aerospace for the VX4 eVTOL aircraft's critical systems positions Honeywell at the forefront of urban air mobility. In the realm of quantum computing, Honeywell's majority-owned Quantinuum subsidiary recently secured a potentially $1 billion joint venture with Qatar's Al Rabban Capital, aiming to develop tailored applications for the Gulf region. This significant investment provides Quantinuum with a first-mover advantage in a rapidly expanding global market.
Geopolitical events significantly influence Honeywell's operational landscape. Increased global defense spending presents opportunities for its aerospace segment, while trade policies and regional dynamics necessitate strategic adaptation. Honeywell addresses these challenges through proactive measures like managing tariff impacts via pricing and supply chain adjustments, and by realigning its structure, such as the planned three-way breakup, to enhance focus and agility. The company's strategic planning emphasizes leading indicators and high-confidence deliverables, bolstering its ability to navigate global complexities and capitalize on opportunities arising from shifting geopolitical currents.
Analysts project strong financial performance for Honeywell, forecasting substantial increases in revenue and earnings per share over the coming years, which supports expected dividend growth. While the stock trades at a slight premium to historical averages, analyst ratings and institutional investor confidence reflect positive sentiment regarding the company's strategic direction and growth prospects. Honeywell's commitment to innovation, strategic partnerships, and adaptable operations positions it robustly to achieve sustained financial outperformance and maintain market leadership amidst a dynamic global environment.
NASDAQ Harmonic pattern indicating strong bounce incoming.AI vs. Dot-Com Bubble
When drawing parallels between #AI and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, many express concerns that current valuations may be excessively inflated. However, significant differences are apparent.
To begin with, the current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the NASDAQ-100 is approximately 30, whereas during the dot-com bubble, it skyrocketed to 200, with many companies lacking any earnings in sight.
Additionally, the market capitalisation to #GDP ratio reached unprecedented levels in the late 1990s, while today's figures, although still high, are supported by robust earnings and solid cash flows from established business models.
Innovations in AI, cloud computing, and digital transformation have fuelled revenue growth, exemplified by #NVIDIA's data centre sales, which surged 409% year-over-year in Q4 2024, and Microsoft's Azure, which experienced a 28% year-over-year increase in 2024. This surge in productivity is being driven by individuals, businesses, and governments alike.
As a result, major tech firms are making substantial investments in AI research and development, with clear strategies for monetisation.
AI is poised to become a transformative force, akin to the transistor, a groundbreaking invention that scales effectively and permeates various sectors of the economy.
Lastly, the Federal Reserve raised interest #rates to 6.5% to tackle inflation after previously lowering them to address Y2K concerns before the bubble burst in 2000.
In contrast, current expectations suggest that interest rates will stabilise or decrease, which would support valuations.
BULLISH RSI DIVERGENCE ON NINTENDO? SWITCH 2 RELEASE DATE BELOW!Nintendo (NTDOY), the Kyoto based home entertainment company known for games like Mario, recently announced the release date of its new video game console: the Nintendo Switch 2. According to Nintendo they hope to have the system released by June 5th 2025 for customers. A bullish divergence has formed on the 1 hour chart. Will this provide investors with a bullish opportunity, or will Trump Tariff's keep this stock's costs from rising?
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
WILL APPLE (AAPL) BREAK SUPPORT ON 1 HOUR CHART? CRASH INCOMING?The California based AAPL is down nearly -18% since March. It appears to be approaching some key support trend lines. Will the support prices hold for this tech giant? Are Trump Tariff's fueling a sell off?
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
Nasdaq updated forecast with sell-side & buy-side targetsNQ futures aiming at 18900 level off these last highs. Now seeing developing weakness... expecting sellers to take it down for one more low as we approach the implementation of Trump's tariffs on 4/2.
Look for renewed buyer strength after the next set of lows as we approach the next FOMC rate decision into first half of May 2025.
This is a great swing trade setup for TQQQ, if desired, or long dated in-the-money QQQ call options.
Angi | ANGI | Long at $20.05***New analysis / price targets given the recent 1/10 split:**
The historical simple moving average (SMA) I've selected for Angi (formerly Angie's List Inc) NASDAQ:ANGI is starting to enter stock price. This often means a directional change in price: up in this case. The price drop after the last earnings, I believe, was an algorithmic move for price entry/further consolidation. If true, the two large gaps above may be filled in the future. 70M float, 20% short interest...
Fundamentally, Angi maintains a solid financial foundation with $395 million in cash and cash equivalents. The company's free cash flow increased $29.2 million to $78.4 million for the first nine months of 2024, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The company's transition to a consumer choice model, already successful in its European operations, positions Angi to capture greater market share. Despite revenue headwinds, Angi demonstrates robust financial health with operating income increasing to $7.8 million in third-quarter 2024, a significant improvement from the previous year. The company's adjusted EBITDA grew 27% to $35.4 million, while year-to-date operating income reached $20 million with adjusted EBITDA rising 47% to $114 million, showcasing effective cost management and improving operational efficiency.
Thus at $20.05, NASDAQ:ANGI is in a personal buy zone (this is the adjusted price from the original entry in December 2024 at $2.00, post 1/10 split). There absolutely could be more downside aside for this stock, but it is a personal buy and hold for the coming years (unless fundamentals drastically change).
Targets:
$22.50
$25.00
$30.00
$37.00
PALANTiR PLTR: $26.00 | 6 months of Accumulation is over and now the sitting begins for the Digital Fortress of the US of A
should be a nice ride towards $100 only for those who got volume ..
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this is the only stock i own...
unloaded UBER TWTTR at $30
unloaded FB at $30..
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time to sit tighter
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