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XAU/USD – 01/10 | US Government Shutdown Confirmed | Gold awaits🔎 Context & News US Politics : The US government officially shut down after the Senate failed to pass the federal funding bill. A major political risk catalyst, triggering safe-haven flows into Gold. FED : Probability of a -25bps rate cut in October rises to 96.2% → almost certain. Key Events Today (ET / UTC) : • ADP Employment Change: 08:15 ET / 12:15 UTC • ISM Manufacturing PMI: 10:00 ET / 14:00 UTC → Both will be crucial data points that may shake Dollar and Gold. 📌 Summary : US politics + FED easing = Gold remains supported, but ADP & ISM tonight could spark strong volatility in the US session. 📈 Technical Analysis (H1) Main Trend : Bullish after multiple BoS. EMA : EMA 34 > EMA 89 → bullish momentum intact. Resistance : 3,897 – 3,907 (Sell scalp – Fibo 0.5–0.618). 3,920 – 3,921 (Liquidity / ATH test). Support : 3,872 – 3,876 (old high retest). 3,833 – 3,841 (OB zone). 3,814 – 3,822 (deep Support Zone – losing this shifts bias). 🎯 Trade Plan ✅ Buy (trend priority) Buy Zone 1 : 3,872 – 3,876 • SL: 3,869 • TP: 3,897 → 3,907 → 3,920 Buy Zone 2 (OB) : 3,833 – 3,841 • SL: 3,826 • TP: 3,872 → 3,897 → 3,907 Buy Zone 3 (Deep Support) : 3,814 – 3,822 • SL: 3,808 • TP: 3,841 → 3,872 → 3,897 ⚡ Sell (short scalps only – lower RR) Sell Zone 1 : 3,897 – 3,907 • SL: 3,912 • TP: 3,885 → 3,876 → 3,841 Sell Zone 2 (ATH sweep) : 3,920 – 3,921 • SL: 3,925 • TP: 3,907 → 3,885 → 3,876 📝 Conclusion Gold remains strongly supported by the US government shutdown + FED rate cut expectations. Strategy today: Prioritize Buy at support; Sell only for short scalps around 3,907 – 3,921. ⚠️ Watch out: ADP & ISM tonight may trigger unexpected volatility → manage risk carefully and move SL to BE after TP1. 📢 If you find this Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow Captain Vincent ⚓ for the latest updates. 💬 What do you think, crew? Will Gold break ATH 3,920 right after ADP & ISM tonight?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is recovering from yesterday’s sharp pullback and is currently trending just above the $3,861 level. A sustained break above this area could see price push toward the $3,883 resistance, with a possible extension to $3,903. Failure to hold above $3,883 could trigger another pullback into lower support zones. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: $3,883 $3,903 $3,920 Support: $3,861 $3,842 $3,828 $3,796 $3,753 $3,734 🔎 Fundamental Focus – Wed, Oct 1 Key US data on deck today: 🚩ADP Non-Farm Employment 🚩ISM Manufacturing PMI 🔶ISM Manufacturing Prices 👉 Expect high volatility and swings.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Trade Setup – Bullish Continuation in Play?Gold (XAU/USD) has recently shown a strong bullish recovery after a sharp drop from the $3,870 area. The price is currently consolidating near the $3,843 zone, forming a potential bullish continuation pattern. We’ve now seen: A V-shaped reversal off the $3,805 support zone Strong bullish candles breaking short-term resistance A potential higher low formation, signaling buying interest 🧠 Trade Idea: 🟢 Long Position Setup Entry: Around $3,840.80 Stop Loss: $3,830.48 (below the recent low) Targets: 🎯 TP1: $3,854.94 🎯 TP2: $3,861.25 🎯 TP3: $3,871.18 (extended) This gives a solid risk-to-reward ratio of ~2:1 or better, depending on your target level. 🔍 Technical Highlights: Key resistance levels: $3,855, $3,861, $3,871 Key support level: $3,830 Candlesticks show strong bullish momentum with little selling pressure during pullbacks. Price is trading above the breakout zone, indicating buyers are in control. ⚠️ Risk Management: As always, wait for confirmation near the entry zone. Be cautious of false breakouts, especially around the $3,840–$3,845 region. Stick to your stop loss and take profit levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
LiamTrading – Follow the Buy trend, target ATH 3915 The gold market continues to show the strength of the upward trend. After yesterday's shakeout, we witnessed a very clear Long Squeeze: all buying forces were forced to exit, but immediately after, the price quickly rebounded. This is the hallmark of a strong trend – the more it shakes out, the more momentum it creates for a new peak. Today's perspective: Continue to follow Buy, do not SELL against the trend. The Buy position from 3797 is still held, if the price returns to retest, we will continue to add orders. Prioritize observing the POC of the Volume Profile to place Buy orders, in case the price adjusts deeper, the VAL area coinciding with the rising trendline will be an extremely safe buying point. Trading scenario Buy 3847–3844, SL 3840, TP 3868 – 3880 – 3900 – 3915 Buy 3821–3819, SL 3814, TP 3835 – 3850 – 3868 – open In summary: The upward trend remains extremely strong, the short-term target is ATH 3915. Just follow the trend, prioritize Buy to maximize profits. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please follow the scenario and follow me to get the earliest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
NEXT: big move in the makingNEXT: recent trend change from down ward to up in combination with increased volumes and positive corporate developments - closest target at $0.93C. *** Graphite - as every mining corporation/ governments are chasing new graphite projects and and industrial corporations are trying to secure enough graphite "ex-china" to continue their normal operations - NEXT already is producing and recently got its first graphite supply contract, also NEXT has capacity to rapidly increase production and get more contracts. *** Graphite is needed almost everywhere - from Nuclear plants to tanks, plains and electric cars and with 700%+ tariffs on Chinese graphite are coming by Dec/2025 - most of the western world will be under supplied by a minimum of 30% for at least next 5 yrs+. Perfect Cash Storm for NEXT is in the making. Closest price test for NEXT is $0.93 (probably will break it with ease) - 2nd stop - $1.78 - also possibility of FOMO run in Dec/2025(once tariffs finalized) that could drive NEXT to test $4.85 by end of FEB/2026.
TSX:NEXTLong
by My_ko
EUR/AUD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! Bearish trend on EUR/AUD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 1.778. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
GBP/AUD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT Hello, Friends! GBP/AUD is making a bullish rebound on the 1H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 2.043 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
ETHUSD ANALYLTICAL IDEA, FOR 30 SEP, 2025.After the quick fall below $4000, in value, the second in command on the coin market sharply went back to its original position and currently trades around $4100, but the overall direction is bullish as considered the altcoin season. But the question is, will it hold? Or continue pushing above or below well, for now, we can only sit tight on our hands, as my Bias remains bearish for the short term, and I look forward to taking sell trade positions as the price continues to push further in that direction. As usual, my calls or analysis are based on what we see, the current Bias, and from a probability standpoint, meaning that this projection may be or may not be validated, so tread carefully, and as usual, this is not financial advice, trade responsibly.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by BlaedTrading
GBPJPY 2H, TRADE IDEA FOR 30, SEPT 2025.Price successfully broke through the previous day's low and also swept the asian low range and structure, which forms my BIAS for the day bearish as price currently broke a structure, will it hold? as price moves further down to find a next balance. As usual, my calls or analysis are based on what we see, the current Bias, and from a probability standpoint, meaning that this projection may be or may not be validated, so tread carefully, and as usual, this is not financial advice, trade responsibly
Short
by BlaedTrading
Gold 09/30 |Safe-haven flows surge | Gold sails toward new highs🟡 XAU/USD – 30/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News US Politics : Meeting between Trump and bipartisan leaders ended without agreement → growing risk of a US government shutdown by Wednesday. Conflict : Democrats demand concessions, Republicans fiercely oppose → wide gap remains, both sides blaming each other. Market : Investors watch JOLTS data and speeches from 3 FED members, but political risks are the strongest catalyst for Gold. Trend : Safe-haven flows keep pouring into Gold → increasing likelihood of testing new ATH. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : US political seas are stormy, Gold becomes the fortress of safety. The voyage toward ATH is widening. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (H1) EMA : EMA 34 (yellow) > EMA 89 (red) → bullish trend clearly dominant. Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Near FVG: 3,856 FVG Scalping: 3,842 Big Volume Dock: 3,827 Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) ATH test: 3,916 – 3,917 Market Structure : Gold broke out strongly, now trading around 3,870. Main trend remains bullish, with 3,842 – 3,827 as key anchor zones. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (main priority) Buy Zone 1 – Scalping FVG Entry: 3,842 – 3,844 SL: 3,835 TP: 3,846 – 3,849 – 3,852 – 3,859 – 3,8xx Buy Zone 2 – Big Volume Entry: 3,827 – 3,824 SL: 3,815 TP: 3,870 – 3,899 – 3,916 ⚡ Sell (short scalp – high risk) Sell Zone – ATH test Entry: 3,917 – 3,920 SL: 3,925 TP: 3,899 – 3,870 – 3,856 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails are filled by safe-haven winds, pushing the ship close to ATH. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,842 – 3,827) is the ideal dock for sailors to position Buys. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,916 – 3,920) may unleash violent waves, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. If the political storm from Washington breaks out, Gold’s voyage could surpass the peak and expand its horizon.” 📢 If you find the Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the earliest updates. 💬 What’s your view, crew? Will Gold conquer ATH around 3,917 this week?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD – Will ATH Diminish Gold's Value?Hello Traders, Gold once accounted for up to 21% of total global assets, but now this figure is only about 5%. Two perspectives are clear: Gold is gradually losing its relative importance in the financial system. The total value of global assets has surged (expanding the denominator), reducing gold's proportion, while its absolute value still plays a crucial role. Technical Analysis In today's Asian session, gold continues to set higher price marks, indicating that the upward momentum remains very strong. The ascending channel on H1 has reached the upper boundary, showing slight hesitation, but the main trend is still upward. The H1 and H4 frames maintain strong buying power, with market sentiment leaning heavily towards buyers, ready to push prices to higher levels. According to Elliott Wave, the price is currently in wave 5 (the market psychology wave). The current task is to observe the reaction when this wave completes, to prepare for the ABC correction cycle. Regarding Fibonacci, the next important resistance area is at 3880, where a bearish reaction may occur. Trading Scenario Sell (at Fibo resistance 3880): Entry: 3880 SL: 3886 TP: 3866 – 3850 – 3835 Buy (trend-following priority): Entry: 3813 – 3816 SL: 3809 TP: 3828 – 3843 – 3860 – 3878 👉 Note: Smaller frames H1 – M15 will provide additional confirmation signals to optimize entry points. Conclusion The upward trend of gold is still prioritized, wave 5 has not ended, and the scenario towards 4000 – 4050 is entirely plausible. Short-term selling at strong resistance areas can be considered, but risk management must be tight. Traders need to closely monitor support – resistance areas in smaller frames to maximize profits. Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes and to further discuss scenarios in the community.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
CHF/JPY BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG Hello, Friends! CHF/JPY is trending up which is evident from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 187.473. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
2