XAUUSD – Daily Trading Outlook
Good day Traders,
Gold opened the Asian session by holding its structure firmly. The 3708 level will act as the pivotal price marker for today:
A sustained break above this resistance would open the way towards 3750, with potential extension to 3780.
Conversely, failure to overcome 3708 and a rejection at this level could trigger a retracement, with 3650 – or even the 355x region – serving as key buying areas.
Fundamental Context
Last week’s corrective move was largely driven by comments from the Federal Reserve Chair regarding interest rate policy. The Fed is reluctant to implement multiple rate cuts, and this week’s PCE data will be critical in shaping expectations.
Trading Scenarios for Today
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3653
Stop-loss: 3645
Targets: 3662 – 3675 – 3690 – 3706 – 3725
Sell Setup 1
Entry: 3700 – 3703
Stop-loss: 3708
Targets: 3690 – 3675 – 3662 – 3650 – 3633
Sell Setup 2
Entry: 3738 – 3740
Stop-loss: 3746
Targets: 3725 – 3710 – 3700 – 3675 – 3650
Conclusion
For today, the preferred bias remains to buy on dips in line with the broader uptrend, while carefully monitoring reactions at the outlined key levels.
Follow me to receive timely updates as soon as price structure changes.
Techincalanalysis
SPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
SPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 663.70
Target Level: 646.15
Stop Loss: 675.36
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZD/CAD BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CAD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously falling on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 0.816 because the pair is oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD – The Decisive Zone and Trading ScenariosTechnical Analysis
Gold prices on the H4 chart are in a recovery phase after testing the 3.661–3.662 support. The latest candle has rebounded strongly to the 3.684 area, yet the structure still shows clear indecisiveness.
The upward trendline was breached in the previous decline, and currently, the price is retesting this area. This is a crucial point to determine whether the short-term uptrend will continue.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed around the 3.613–3.626 area, aligning with the Fibonacci extension, making it a point of interest for deeper pullbacks.
The Volume Profile indicates the main Point of Control (POC) lies lower, around 3.551, which is a potential target for gold to revisit if selling pressure increases.
The RSI (14) is at ~59, leaning towards buyers but not yet overbought → the current momentum is more of a recovery than a sustainable uptrend.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy following the short-term trend:
Entry: wait for a retest of 3.673–3.662
SL: below 3.655
TP1: 3.690–3.700
TP2: 3.708–3.715 (2.0–2.618 Fib extension)
Scenario 2 – Short sell after confirmed failure:
If the price fails to hold above 3.661 and there is a reversal signal on H4, consider selling.
Entry: 3.661–3.650 (after confirmation candle)
SL: above 3.673
TP1: 3.626–3.613 (FVG + support)
TP2: 3.579
TP3: 3.551 (POC Volume Profile)
Key Price Levels to Watch
3.708–3.715: extended resistance zone, Fib confluence, key target for buyers.
3.661–3.662: short-term support, boundary to determine the next trend.
3.613–3.626: FVG + intermediate support, a zone prone to reactions.
3.551: volume POC, deep target if the market breaks all support.
I will apply the long-term trading scenario in the new week, so give me a follow for motivation to write more!
LiamTrading – A Long-Term Trend in XAUUSD is EmergingGold continues its strong upward momentum, currently trading around 3,680 – 3,685. Following a series of consecutive bullish candles, the price is showing signs of consolidation and slight correction, paving the way for an important scenario in the upcoming phase.
Technical Analysis
On the Daily chart, the RSI has surpassed the 70 mark, indicating an overbought condition. This is often an early warning sign for a potential correction.
The price structure suggests that the FVG zone of 3,630 – 3,600 will be the first observation point if a short-term correction occurs.
A stronger support zone lies at 3,510 – 3,475, coinciding with the Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.382 levels and also the previous resistance area that has been broken. This is considered a potential long-term 'Buy zone'.
If the correction phase completes, gold could fully resume its upward trend with a further target around 3,800 (Fibonacci extension levels 2.618 – 3.618).
Trading Scenarios
Short-term: Monitor the reaction at 3,630 – 3,600. If it holds, a short-term rebound may occur. Pay attention to the price area around 3552-3562 for reactions.
Medium-term: Wait for the price to test the 3,500 – 3,475 zone to find more sustainable buying opportunities.
Long-term: The major trend still leans towards an increase, with the expected target aiming for 3,800.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD, and you can use it as a reference to build your own plan. If you find it helpful, follow me for the latest updates on gold scenarios.
XAUUSD – Strong Resistance at 3760–3770 Await ConfirmationHello trader,
Gold continues to oscillate within an accumulation zone following its recent recovery. While the overall trend leans towards an increase, a stronger breakout requires clear confirmation at key resistance-support levels.
Strong Resistance: 3760 – 3770, confluence with the Fibonacci extension zone. This is a pivotal level if the price aims to set a new ATH in the mid-term.
Key Level Sell: 3685 – 3695, currently a short-term resistance zone. If the price fails to break through, gold may face downward pressure.
Important Support:
3564 – 3574: mid-term support.
3534 – 3540: deep support zone, aligning with previous liquidity.
MACD H4: Histogram remains weak, momentum is unclear → the market needs further confirmation to clarify the trend direction.
Trading Scenarios
Bullish Scenario
Condition: Price breaks above 3695 and holds.
Entry: Retest 3665 – 3668.
Target: 3680-3698-3715-3730 – 3760 – 3770.
Extension: If successfully surpassing 3770 → expect a move towards 3800+.
Bearish Scenario
Condition: Price fails at 3695 and reverses.
Entry: Sell at 3685 – 3695 when a rejection signal appears.
Target: 3672-3655-3635 – 3600 – 3574.
Extension: If 3574 breaks, the decline may target 3540, or even lower.
Mid-term Scenario
Price may retest 3534 – 3550 to gather liquidity, then rebound according to the larger trend. This will be an attractive long-term Buy zone.
The gold market is at a crucial stage: buyers need to break 3695 to confirm an uptrend, while sellers still have opportunities at the short-term resistance zone. Deep support areas will continue to serve as the foundation for mid-term Buy strategies.
Keep a close eye on the 3695 and 3760 – 3770 zones to determine the next direction.
Stay tuned for the latest scenarios as the price structure evolves.
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 62.36
Target Level: 63.32
Stop Loss: 61.72
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CHF/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the CHF/JPY with the target of 184.981 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD –Today’s Trading Outlook | Sell Fill Liquidity & Buy ZoneHello traders,
In recent sessions, gold has remained highly volatile around key liquidity areas and major support–resistance levels. The current market structure indicates that the bearish side continues to dominate in the short term, whilst buyers are only likely to re-emerge at deeper support zones.
Technical Outlook
Key Resistance: 3670 – 3680, overlapping with the FVG zone → prime area for Sell to Fill Liquidity.
Short-term Support: 3630 – 3627. A clear break here could trigger a deeper decline.
Buy Scalping Zones: 3613 – 3615 and 3595 – 3598, suited for short-term intraday longs.
Medium-term Buy Zone: 3600 – 3590, aligning with strong liquidity and major structural support.
MACD: showing a bearish bias, with a negative histogram reflecting continued selling pressure.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Setup (preferred)
Sell Liquidity Zone: 3670 – 3680
SL: 3685
TP: 3650 – 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600
Buy Scalping
Zone 1: 3613 – 3615 | SL: 3608 | TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645
Zone 2: 3595 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670
Medium-term Buy
Zone: 3600 – 3590
SL: 3584
Extended TP: 3633 – 3660 – 3675
Conclusion
In the short term, gold is likely to retest the upper liquidity zone before continuing its downward leg. Sellers still hold the advantage, but deeper support levels may present attractive opportunities for medium-term buyers.
Stay focused on these critical price zones and trade in line with your individual plan.
Follow for timely updates as market structure develops.
XAUUSD – End of Week U.S. Session | Trading SetupHello traders,
Today's gold trading range is quite narrow. As of now, the gold price remains steady around the 366x region.
The overall price structure hasn't changed from the previous scenario: we continue to wait to sell at the higher 367x level to secure a better position for the Sell signal. This approach helps optimize profit potential and aims for greater returns.
Market sentiment today seems cautious. Following the release of interest rate news, most investors are staying on the sidelines, resulting in no significant changes in trading volume.
Today's U.S. session trading scenario
Sell Setup (priority)
Sell Liquidity Zone: 3677 – 3680
SL: 3685
TP: 3650 – 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600
Buy Scalping
Buy Zone 1: 3613 – 3615 | SL: 3608 | TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645
Buy Zone 2: 3595 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670
Conclusion
In the end-of-week U.S. session, the priority strategy remains to Sell at higher price levels to ensure a safe position and good profit expectations. Short-term Buy orders should only be considered when the price hits the strong support zones mentioned.
Wishing everyone a disciplined and successful end-of-week trading session! Stay tuned for the quickest updates when the price structure changes.
Euro Falls Near $1.18 as Dollar Strengthens and ECB Policy HoldsThe euro is trading around $ 1.18, just less than its highest levels in the four years reached earlier in the week, as the dollar rose after the decision of the Federal Reserve Policy. While in Europe, the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged for the second meeting in a row last week, indicating that the interest rate reduction course may have ended.
Technically, the dollar recovery left the opportunity for the strength of the bears to dominate the momentum indicators for the 4-hour interval on the EURUSD pair, so the pair is likely to continue to decline during today's trading, targeting the next support levels around 1.1715, especially in case the support levels around 1.1735 do not succeed in stopping the price slippage
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,653.06
Target Level: 3,487.88
Stop Loss: 3,762.88
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZD/JPY BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
NZD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 86.841
Target Level: 87.466
Stop Loss: 86.425
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAUUSD – Correction Target on H4
Technical Analysis
After reacting at the Sell Zone – FVG around 3,670, Gold was unable to sustain its upward move and is now showing signs of weakness. The H4 structure suggests that the correction is extending, with price likely to retest key support zones below.
On the chart, the areas at 3,633–3,632 and 3,626 are acting as interim supports. If these levels fail to hold, bearish pressure could drive price deeper towards 3,614–3,612, before testing the main support confluence with Fibonacci extension and the potential Buy Zone around 3,579–3,560.
RSI is currently moving around 45–50, indicating that momentum is leaning towards a corrective phase rather than a strong bullish trend.
Trading Scenarios
SELL Setup (preferred):
Entry: on a retest of the 3,665–3,670 Sell Zone
Stop Loss: above 3,675
Target: 3,633–3,632, 3,626, 3,614–3,612, 3,579–3,560
BUY Setup (short-term / scalping):
Entry: consider longs around 3,626–3,625 support
Stop Loss: below 3,618
Target: 3,633, 3,645, 3,650
Key Levels to Watch
3,670: Sell Zone – confluence with FVG after FOMC.
3,633–3,626: Short-term support; a clear break would confirm extended downside pressure.
3,612: Critical level for near-term trend direction.
3,579–3,560: Potential Buy Zone and main corrective target on H4.
Keep these levels on watch and adjust trading plans accordingly. Follow for quicker access to future updates.
CAD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
CAD/JPY is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 106.590 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is consolidating between $3,660.93 (resistance / buy trigger) and $3,626.93 (support / sell trigger). Current price is near $3,648, sitting mid-range. Breakout confirmation is key.
🔼 Bullish Plan (needs confirmation)
Trigger: 30-min body close above $3,660.93.
Targets: $3,662.79 → $3,665.17 → $3,669.30.
Management: Take partials at the first target, move SL to breakeven once $3,661 is cleared, trail remainder if momentum continues.
🔽 Bearish Plan (clean if floor breaks)
Trigger: 30-min body close below $3,626.93.
Targets: $3,621.49 → $3,619.00 → $3,616.88.
Management: Scale partials at the first target, protect remaining position at breakeven. Trail if selling momentum builds.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk — small size)
Shorts: rejection near $3,659–$3,660, target $3,648–$3,650, SL above rejection high.
Longs: bounce near $3,627–$3,628, target mid-range (~$3,640–$3,645), SL under wick low.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30-min body close beyond the trigger.
Expansion candles with follow-through.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the box on the next bar.
Multiple wicks through levels without momentum.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,660.93 → bullish bias toward $3,662.79 → $3,665.17 → $3,669.30.
Below $3,626.93 → bearish bias toward $3,621.49 → $3,619.00 → $3,616.88.
Inside range = scalp only, keep risk tight.
AUD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so AUD-JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 96.239.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Take-profit near 3,610 first, and extended target around 3,590.1. Current Trend
Price is moving inside a down channel, marked by the two blue trendlines.
Each time price touches the upper edge of the channel, it gets rejected and turns lower, showing sellers are in control.
Key resistance zone: around 3,645 – 3,655 (red box), which has been tested multiple times but failed to hold.
2. Key Levels
Short-term resistance: 3,650 – 3,655. Unless a breakout occurs, the bearish momentum remains dominant.
Support target: 3,590 – 3,600 (blue box below). This is a previous low and a strong demand zone.
3. Price Scenarios
Main scenario (preferred): Price continues moving inside the down channel → breaks below 3,640 → gradually drops toward 3,600 – 3,590.
Alternative scenario: If there’s a strong breakout above 3,655 with a solid H1 close, the short-term trend may reverse upward, targeting 3,670 – 3,680.
4. Trading View
With the current trend: bias remains Sell within the down channel, with stop-loss above 3,660.
Take-profit near 3,610 first, and extended target around 3,590.
XAUUSD – Trading Plan for the New York SessionHello traders,
The last two trading sessions have been very successful, and I hope they have helped build your confidence in approaching the markets. Today, I will share my perspective on the next steps for gold during the New York session.
Trend Outlook
Gold has declined sharply and reacted well at the liquidity zones and support areas I highlighted earlier.
Although the market has bounced twice from these levels, which may lead some to expect a recovery, my view is that the overall structure still favours the sellers. It is unlikely we will see a significant correction during this session.
Towards the end of the US session, trading volumes may ease, but I believe the downward move will continue, albeit at a slower pace.
Trading Strategies
Sell Setup
Zone: 3642 – 3644
SL: 3648
TP: 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600
Buy Setup 1
Zone: 3613 – 3615
SL: 3608
TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645
Buy Setup 2 (longer-term)
Zone: 3595 – 3598
SL: 3590
TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670
Conclusion
For the New York session, the priority remains to follow the bearish bias, seeking Sell opportunities on the lower timeframes. Buy trades should only be considered at the strong support zones mentioned above.
Stick to the plan and take positions when the setups align.
Follow along to share ideas and receive the quickest updates as the market evolves.
USDCAD – Medium-Term H1 OutlookUSDCAD – Medium-Term H1 Outlook
USDCAD is maintaining a steady corrective uptrend, supported by sustained strength in the US Dollar. This broader USD momentum continues to benefit the pair in the medium term.
The recently filled gap has led to a minor pullback, but this reaction creates an attractive opportunity for long positions at current levels. From a structural perspective, the Point of Control (POC) on the Volume Profile aligns well with a liquidity-driven retracement zone, reinforcing this as a favourable entry for trend-following trades.
Trading Plan (H1)
Buy Entry: 1.3760 – 1.3770
Stop Loss: 1.3730
Take Profit: 1.3795 – 1.3820 – 1.3850 – 1.3875
I will continue to monitor the market and share updates as price action unfolds. Wishing you successful trades with this scenario.
ANFIBO- EURUSD – Medium-Term H1 Trading ScenarioThe bullish structure on EURUSD was broken following the recent FOMC release, which triggered a rebound in the US Dollar Index.
At the start of today’s European session, however, the dollar unexpectedly weakened, sending EURUSD sharply higher. Despite this recovery, the current rally does not appear to be a sustainable bullish wave, as the prior structural break already signalled weakness.
A key area of interest remains at the Point of Control (POC) on the Volume Profile, which aligns closely with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence highlights a strong liquidity zone and presents a potential opportunity for short positions.
H1 Trading Plan
Sell Entry: 1.1845 – 1.1860
Stop Loss: 1.1880
Take Profit: 1.1825 – 1.1800 – 1.1775 – 1.1750
I will provide further updates if market structure shifts and price action develops differently. Stay engaged for continued analysis and discussion.
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook Following Fed Rate CutXAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook Following Fed Rate Cut
Good day traders,
The key event for September has now taken place: the Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, its first cut this year. Market expectations also suggest a further 50 basis point reduction may be on the table at the next meeting. In his remarks, Chairman Powell emphasised a dual risk – inflationary pressures could re-emerge while signs of labour market weakness continue to build.
Technical Perspective
Gold printed an H1 candle closing beneath the ascending channel, which signals a potential breach of the medium-term uptrend.
The bullish side failed to sustain momentum following the rate cut, reflecting a cautious approach to initiating long positions at elevated levels.
Medium-term investors may prefer to await a deeper pullback before considering new long exposure.
That said, the downside is not yet fully confirmed, as price continues to oscillate near the upward trendline → immediate short positions carry a degree of risk.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Strategy
Scalping: 3676 – 3678 | SL: 3683 | TP: 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628
(Stop-loss may be adjusted to breakeven should price respond favourably, allowing trades to run longer).
Sell Zone: 3697 – 3700 | SL: 3705 | TP: 3680 – 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628
Buy Strategy
Scalping: 3634 – 3636 | SL: 3629 | TP: 3645 – 3660 – 3672
Buy Zone: 3600 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3633 – 3645 – 3660 – 3675 (extended)
Conclusion
Gold remains in a delicate phase in the aftermath of the Fed’s rate cut. Close monitoring of price behaviour around key support and resistance levels is essential before a clearer directional bias can be established.
Stay aligned with this outlook — I will provide timely updates should the market structure shift. Follow to receive the latest scenarios as price action unfolds.