Bitcoin Is Quietly Absorbing — The Real Move Comes After ThisBTC/USD – 1H |
Market State: Clear range-bound consolidation between strong support and resistance.
Support Zone: Price is testing the lower liquidity band (~86,400–86,700) — selling pressure is slowing → signs of absorption.
Resistance Zone: Major supply sits around 89,800–90,500 — the level that defines the next directional break.
Structure: Current dip is corrective, not a breakdown. Momentum compression favors a range expansion soon.
Scenario:
Hold above support → bounce toward 88,500 → 90,000.
Clean break above resistance → trend continuation.
Lose support → range remains, not a crash.
Bias: Neutral → bullish only after confirmation. Patience here pays.
Techincalanalysis
BITCOIN SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 87,455.28
Target Level: 86,442.00
Stop Loss: 88,124.65
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/CAD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CAD is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.912.
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ETH/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
ETHUSD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 2,940.08
Target Level: 2,893.01
Stop Loss: 2,971.14
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bitcoin’s Christmas Range — Quiet Market, Loud Move AheadChristmas Range Play – BTC/USD (1H)
Key Points (Short & Direct):
Market State: Clear range / consolidation.
Resistance: Upper range holding → sellers active.
Support: Lower range still defended → no breakdown.
Price Behavior: Sideways swings, liquidity grabs inside the box.
Bias: Neutral → wait for clean breakout.
Macro / Holiday Context:
Christmas period = thin liquidity.
Higher risk of fake moves and stop hunts.
Real direction likely after holidays, not during.
Trading Note:
Range trading only (buy support / sell resistance).
Avoid over-leverage and chasing impulsive candles.
ETH/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
ETHUSD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 2,930.74
Target Level: 2,895.13
Stop Loss: 2,954.48
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP/USD Santa Rally: Testing the 1.3500 Psychological LevelThe GBP/USD pair is currently showing strong bullish momentum as we head into the year-end. After the Bank of England's recent decision to cut rates to 3.75% (in a divided 5-4 vote), the British Pound has remained surprisingly resilient. This is largely due to the "reluctant easing" stance of the BoE and a broadly softening US Dollar.
🔍 Technical Analysis
On the daily and 4-hour timeframes, we are seeing a clear Bullish Structure:
Trend: Price is currently trading in an ascending channel, making higher highs and higher lows.
Key Resistance: 1.3518 (recent high) and the psychological 1.3550 zone.
Key Support: 1.3450 (former resistance turned support) and 1.3370.
Indicators: The RSI is oscillating above the 60 level, suggesting buying momentum is still in control but approaching overbought territory.
💡 The Trade Plan
I am looking for a continuation of this "Santa Rally" provided the price holds above the mid-1.3400s.
Long Bias: Looking for entries on a successful retest of the 1.3470 area.
Targets: First target at 1.3520, with an extended target near 1.3580.
Invalidation: A daily close below 1.3370 would shift the bias to neutral/bearish.
⚠️ Risk Warning
Liquidity is lower due to the holiday season, which can lead to "spikes" or stop-hunts. Trade with caution and use proper position sizing!
NZD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
NZD/JPY pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is evidently rising on the 8H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 90.059 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD (H4) – Today’s Overview Bull trend holds after the ATH break, prefer buying the pullback into liquidity
Strategy snapshot
Gold is still holding a strong bullish structure after breaking a key all-time-high (ATH) resistance. At current elevated prices, I’m not chasing. The higher-probability plan for today is to wait for a pullback into sell-side liquidity and look for long continuation. On the upside, the 1.618 Fibonacci zone remains a realistic area for profit-taking / short-term reaction.
1) Technical view (from your chart)
Key ATH resistance level broken: the previous ATH zone has flipped into a supportive reference level.
After a vertical push, the market often prints a liquidity sweep / reset pullback before continuation.
The chart highlights Sellside Liquidity around 4423.796 — that’s the main area I’m watching for a dip-buy setup.
2) Trading plan (trade the level)
Scenario A (priority): BUY after a liquidity sweep
✅ Buy zone: 4423 – 4425 (sellside liquidity)
SL (guide): below the zone (refine on lower timeframes)
TP1: back towards 4485
TP2: 4572 – 4576
Logic: In a bull trend, a dip into sellside liquidity is a common “shakeout” before the next leg higher — especially when price is extended.
Scenario B: SELL reaction at premium Fibonacci (short-term)
✅ Sell zone: 4572 – 4576 (1.618 Fibonacci)
SL (guide): above the zone
TP: back towards value / the 44xx pullback area
Logic: Premium Fibonacci zones often attract profit-taking when price accelerates.
3) Trend target (if momentum continues)
If the bull leg remains intact, the next upside reference on the chart is 4680.
4) Macro backdrop (why metals remain hot)
Gold, silver, copper and platinum are all printing record highs — strong sector-wide flow into metals.
US data is mixed, which keeps volatility elevated:
US Q3 GDP up 4.3% (fastest in two years) — can support USD and create short-term headwinds for gold.
ADP: private employers added an average 11,500 jobs per week over the four weeks to 6 December — labour still holding.
Consumer confidence down for a fifth straight month — growth concerns keep safe-haven demand supported.
Bottom line: Expect noise and sweeps — let price come to your levels.
5) Risk management (Liam rule)
No FOMO at highs.
Only act at the levels: 4423 for longs, 4572–4576 for reaction shorts.
Risk per trade: max 1–2%.
Which side are you leaning today: buying the 4423 pullback, or waiting for 4572–4576 to sell the reaction?
EURUSD Pullback Is a TrapCURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS – EUR/USD (H1)
Market Structure
EURUSD is maintaining a clear bullish intraday structure. The recent pullback is corrective in nature, forming a higher-low sequence above the key demand area, not a trend reversal.
Price is currently retracing from the short-term high and rebalancing liquidity before the next directional move.
Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: 1.1760 – 1.1770
Immediate Resistance / Target: 1.1800 – 1.1805
Extended Level (Open / Expansion): 1.1818 – 1.1820
The highlighted support zone aligns with:
Previous breakout base
Prior demand reaction
Structure support (HL confirmation)
Price Behavior Insight
Selling pressure is weak and overlapping, not impulsive
Buyers defended the previous pullback aggressively
Current move resembles a bullish flag / continuation pullback
This is typical trend continuation behavior, not distribution.
Probable Scenarios
Primary Scenario (High Probability):
Price holds above 1.1760–1.1770
Shallow pullback completes
Continuation toward 1.1800 → 1.1820
Invalidation Scenario:
Clean break and acceptance below 1.1760
Would signal a deeper correction toward lower demand
Trading Bias
Main Trend: UP
Intraday Bias: Buy pullbacks, avoid chasing highs
Strategy: Wait for confirmation at support before continuation entry
Conclusion
EURUSD is not reversing it is reloading.
As long as the support zone holds, the path of least resistance remains to the upside.
ETH Is Testing DemandCURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS – ETH/USD (H1)
Market Structure
Ethereum is currently correcting within a broader bullish structure. After completing an impulsive move toward the upper resistance (Target 1 area), price has retraced back into a key demand / support zone around 2,91x – 2,93x, where buyers previously stepped in.
This pullback is technical, not a trend reversal.
Technical Breakdown
Trend: Medium-term bullish, short-term corrective
Structure: Higher high → corrective lower high → retest of demand
Support Zone: 2,918 – 2,930 (must hold)
Targets:
Target 1: ~3,059
Target 2: ~3,162
Price is currently compressing near support, indicating potential absorption of selling pressure rather than aggressive distribution.
Probable Scenarios
Primary Scenario (Preferred):
Support zone holds
Short consolidation / base formation
Continuation toward Target 1 → Target 2
Invalidation Scenario:
Strong breakdown below 2,91x with momentum
Would signal a deeper corrective phase before trend continuation
🔔 CRYPTO NEWS UPDATE
ETF Flow Sentiment: Spot ETH ETF inflows remain stable, supporting medium-term bullish bias despite short-term volatility.
Macro Context: Markets are currently pricing in rate-cut expectations, which generally favors risk assets like crypto.
BTC Correlation: Bitcoin holding above key support is helping ETH maintain structural stability.
👉 No bearish fundamental catalyst is currently dominating — price movement remains technically driven.
Conclusion
Main Bias: Bullish continuation
Current Phase: Pullback → Re-accumulation
Strategy: Wait for confirmation at support; avoid chasing price
XAUUSD – H4 Outlook: Lana waits for a pullback to buy while respecting the high resistance zone 💛
Quick summary
Main trend: Strong bullish structure remains intact
Timeframe: H4
Context: Year-end liquidity is thin → price can be choppy and sweep liquidity easily
Strategy: Prefer buying pullbacks, and stay cautious near 4577–4580 resistance
Macro context (brief)
Fresh data shows the U.S. economy is still growing strongly (GDP +4.3%) while inflation sits around 2.8%, supporting Powell’s cautious stance. Rising long-term Treasury yields suggest markets value the Fed’s independence and remain sensitive to long-run inflation risks if policy becomes politicized.
For gold, this backdrop can still be supportive, but short-term price action may be irregular due to thin year-end liquidity.
Technical view (H4)
Price has broken the previous ATH and continues to respect the rising channel. After such a steep rally, a technical pullback is normal as the market rebalances before the next leg higher.
Lana won’t chase price at elevated levels. Instead, I wait for price to return into liquidity / value areas to look for continuation buys.
Key levels Lana is watching
Primary buy zone (liquidity-based)
Buy: 4415 – 4418
This area aligns with liquidity/value and is a clean zone to watch for bullish reaction after a mild pullback.
Deeper buy zone (safer positioning)
Buy: 4370 – 4375
This was the prior ATH area and can act as a key support after the breakout.
Resistance to respect
4577 – 4580: A major resistance zone (Fibonacci extension). If price reaches this area, a short reaction/pullback is possible.
Trading plan
Focus on buying pullbacks, not chasing tops.
Use the lower timeframe for confirmation (Dow structure) before entering.
With thin liquidity: reduce size, keep stops clear, and consider scaling out as price reacts.
Lana’s note 🌿
The trend is strong, but entries matter more than direction. I’d rather wait for a clean zone and protect risk than trade from emotion.
This is Lana’s personal market view, not financial advice. Please manage your own risk before trading. 💛
XAUUSD: Gold Smashes $4,500! New Era or Blow-off Top?Hello traders! Looking at the higher timeframes, Gold's structural bull market is accelerating. We’ve seen a series of higher highs and higher lows within a well-defined ascending channel.
The Narrative:
Fundamental: Safe-haven demand is peaking due to the US-Venezuela naval blockade and ongoing global uncertainty.
Volume: We are seeing "Smart Money" absorption at the highs. Note the lack of aggressive rejection at the $4,500 handle.
Invalidation: A daily close below $4,380 would shift the bias back to neutral/bearish.
Key Levels:
Zone of Interest: $4,490 - $4,510
Profit Targets: $4,550 / $4,580
Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low ($4,440).
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EUR/USD Isn’t Chasing — It’s Preparing the BreakEUR/USD – QUICK ANALYSIS (1H)
Technical Structure
Strong impulsive push up, followed by a controlled pullback
Price holding above former minor resistance → bullish flip
Current consolidation = bullish continuation base, not distribution
Key Levels
Support: 1.1770 – 1.1780
Upside targets:
T1: 1.1804
T2: 1.1819
Price Behavior
No aggressive sell-off → sellers weak
Pullbacks are shallow → buyers defending structure
Momentum remains intact as long as price holds above support
Macro Drivers
USD softness: Markets pricing in a more cautious Fed path into year-end
ECB stance: Still relatively firm vs. Fed → supports EUR
Risk sentiment: Stable risk-on tone favors EUR over USD
Bias
Bullish continuation
Strategy: Buy pullbacks above 1.1770, avoid chasing highs
Gold Is Repricing, Not PumpingGOLD (XAUUSD) – KEY POINTS
Technical
Clean break & hold above previous high (~4,380)
Old resistance → new support confirmed
Structure shows higher highs, higher lows
Pullbacks are continuation, not reversal
Macro / Financial Drivers
USD softening → supports gold
Real yields compressing → bullish for XAUUSD
Central bank buying absorbing dips
Year-end defensive flows into safe havens
Outlook
Bias: Bullish continuation
Strategy: Buy pullbacks, avoid FOMO
EUR/USD Is Not Chasing the TopEUR/USD – 1H
1. Technical Structure
EUR/USD has cleanly bounced from the demand zone (1.1700–1.1720), confirming strong buyer defense.
Price has now broken above the former resistance zone (~1.1755–1.1765), flipping it into short-term support.
The sequence of higher lows + impulsive bullish candles confirms a trend continuation phase, not a mean reversion.
➡️ This is a post-breakout consolidation, not exhaustion.
2. Key Levels
Immediate Support: 1.1750–1.1760 (previous resistance → support)
Major Support: 1.1700
Upside Liquidity / Target: 1.1800–1.1820 (equal highs & resting buy stops)
Price behavior suggests acceptance above the range, which statistically favors continuation.
3. Projection Scenarios
Primary Scenario (High Probability):
Shallow pullback into 1.1755–1.1760
Higher low formation
Expansion toward 1.1800+
Potential liquidity sweep above prior highs
Invalidation:
Acceptance back below 1.1735
Would signal a false breakout → range re-entry
4. Macro & Fundamental Drivers
USD Side Weakness
Markets are increasingly pricing Fed rate cuts in 2025, reducing USD yield attractiveness.
Recent US data shows cooling inflation momentum, limiting further USD upside.
EUR Side Support
ECB remains more cautious on easing, keeping rate differentials from widening further against EUR.
Risk sentiment has improved → capital rotates out of USD safety and into EUR exposure.
➡️ Macro context supports EUR strength, not fights it.
🧠 Final Takeaway
EUR/USD is not overextended it’s transitioning from compression to expansion.
Structure: Bullish
Momentum: Controlled
Macro: Supportive
Liquidity: Above current price
As long as price holds above 1.1750, the bias remains up, with 1.1800–1.1820 acting as the next magnet.
Ethereum Isn’t Pulling Back — It’s Building the LaunchpadETHEREUM (ETHUSD) – 1H
1. Market Structure
ETH remains in a broader bullish structure, with price holding well above the major support zone (~2,760–2,800).
The recent decline from the local high is corrective, not impulsive — showing controlled profit-taking.
Current price is stabilizing around 2,960–2,980, forming a higher low relative to the previous swing.
➡️ This is a bullish pullback inside an uptrend, not a reversal.
2. Key Zones
Support Zone: 2,900–2,940
→ Buyers are actively defending this area.
Resistance Zone: ~3,160
→ This is the next major liquidity target and prior supply zone.
Price is compressing between support and mid-range — a classic pre-expansion structure.
3. Price Path Scenarios
Primary Scenario (Bullish Continuation):
Hold above 2,900
Push back toward 3,040 → 3,100
Final breakout attempt toward 3,160 resistance
If liquidity above 3,160 is taken → continuation toward higher highs
Invalidation Scenario:
Clean acceptance below 2,880
Would open downside toward 2,820–2,780 support
Only then would structure turn neutral
4. Momentum & Context
No signs of aggressive selling or distribution.
Pullback shows overlapping candles, indicating sellers lack conviction.
ETH is still tracking Bitcoin’s range behavior, suggesting synchronized expansion when BTC breaks.
➡️ Market conditions favor patience + positioning, not panic.
🧠 Final Takeaway
Ethereum is not rejecting resistance it’s absorbing it.
Gold Breaks the Channel — Momentum Is Still BuildingGOLD (XAUUSD) – 1H QUICK VIEW
Technical
Clear breakout above ascending channel resistance → bullish continuation signal.
Price holds above EMA34 & EMA89, confirming strong trend control.
Current move = breakout → shallow pullback → potential next impulse.
As long as price stays above the broken trendline, upside bias remains valid.
Key Levels
Immediate support: ~4,450 – 4,430 (retest zone)
Upside extension: 4,520 → 4,580+
Macro / News Context
USD remains under pressure as markets price in future rate cuts.
Real yields stay soft, supporting non-yielding assets like gold.
Ongoing geopolitical tensions & central bank gold accumulation keep demand elevated.
Bias
Buy pullbacks, not breakouts.
Trend remains bullish unless price falls back inside the channel.
Gold Is Not Overbought — This Is a Controlled ExpansionGOLD (XAUUSD) – SHORT ANALYSIS (1H)
Technical
Strong impulsive uptrend with shallow pullbacks → bullish strength.
Price holds well above EMA34 & EMA89 → trend intact.
Previous resistance (~4,430–4,450) flipped into key support.
Current move = impulse → brief consolidation → continuation.
Key Levels
Support: 4,430 – 4,450
Upside continuation: 4,520 → 4,580+
Macro / News Drivers
USD softness and easing real yields support gold.
Ongoing rate-cut expectations keep dip-buying active.
Persistent geopolitical risk & central bank demand underpin bullish bias.
Bias
Buy the pullbacks, not chase highs.
As long as price holds above the new support, trend continuation remains the base case.
EURUSD Is Building MomentumEUR/USD (H1) — MARKET STRUCTURE & TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
1. Market Structure
EURUSD has clearly shifted from consolidation to an intraday bullish structure.
Price formed a base → impulsive leg → higher low
Current structure shows bullish continuation sequencing
No bearish displacement after the last push → trend integrity remains intact
This is trend continuation, not a mean-reversion setup.
2. Key Technical Zones
Support Zone: 1.1740 – 1.1750
→ Previous breakout base & demand zone
→ As long as price holds above this area, buyers remain in control
Mid Resistance / Target: ~1.1800
Upper Target (Open Path): ~1.1820 – 1.1830
Above 1.1800, liquidity opens cleanly with little historical resistance.
3. Price Action Behavior
Pullbacks are shallow and corrective
Each retracement is followed by immediate bullish response
Candles show strong closes near highs, confirming demand absorption
This is classic bullish stair-step price action.
4. Scenario Outlook
Primary Scenario (High Probability):
Short-term pullback toward 1.1765–1.1770
Continuation toward 1.1800 target
Minor consolidation → breakout toward 1.1820+ (open liquidity)
Invalidation:
Strong H1 close below the support zone
Acceptance below 1.1740 would pause the bullish sequence
Until that happens, bias remains bullish.
5. Market Context
USD remains soft-to-neutral
No immediate high-impact USD news forcing risk-off behavior
EUR strength aligns with intraday risk-on flows
This supports trend-following long positions, not counter-trend shorts.
Conclusion
EURUSD is not topping it is preparing.
Trend: Bullish
Structure: Higher high – higher low
Strategy: Buy pullbacks above support, avoid chasing highs
The chart is offering structure, momentum, and clean targets discipline now matters more than prediction.
EUR/USD Weekly: Structural Shift; Long-Term Bearish TrendSummary:
OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD has transitioned from a bullish to a bearish structure on the weekly timeframe, indicating a potential long-term reversal. Over the past 168 days, price action confirmed a market structure shift after breaking the swing low established during the week of June 30, 2025. This breach marked the beginning of a bearish phase.
Key Technical Observations:
Bearish Pin Bar Confirmation:
During the week of September 15, 2025, a textbook bearish pin bar formed, invalidating prior buying orders and reinforcing bearish sentiment.
Resistance Zone & Accumulation Phases:
Strong resistance persists between 1.17774 – 1.18299, acting as the primary accumulation zone following the initial phase from July 28 to September 29, 2025. Current price action suggests we are in Phase Two of the buying climax, targeting this resistance before a potential rollover.
Lower Highs & Lower Lows:
The market continues to print lower highs and lower lows. The bearish mother bar from July 28, 2025 remains dominant, with multiple inside bars failing to break its high—evidence of sustained bearish pressure.
Liquidity & Institutional Activity:
The 1.1299 level is a critical liquidity pool and may see a third test. Volume Price Analysis indicates repeated invalid buying attempts on up legs, likely driven by institutional positioning to absorb retail buy-side liquidity. Recent upticks appear to be profit-taking and repositioning rather than genuine bullish momentum.
Outlook:
Expect EUR/USD to remain under bearish pressure, with a potential rollover during the first 5–7 months of 2026. Unless the key resistance zone is decisively breached, the structural bias favors sellers.
Charting
Primary Trend: Bearish
Key Resistance: 1.17774 – 1.18299
Critical Support / Liquidity Zone: 1.13900
Disney's Possible Swing SetupHi Traders!
As I analyze Disney, I am seeing it's in a counter trend on the 24HR with a resistance at $120. I'm staying patient watching to see how far price will retrace with a 24HR CHOCH sitting at around $102.50. That seems far away, but that would help fill in some of the gap, and give a nice set up for a reversal. In addition, there are 4 days left in the current Monthly candle, and they've been closing small. IMO that could indicate that price could eventually make it to $130.
For now, I have alerts set and I'm planning to take a long swing.
Let me know what you guys think in the comments! Good luck!
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
AUD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
AUD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 104.562
Target Level: 103.936
Stop Loss: 104.979
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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