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“Gold Is Not Overextended — This Is Controlled Accumulation CURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS & TODAY’S TREND Gold (XAUUSD) – H1 Market Context Gold continues to maintain a dominant bullish trend on the H1 timeframe. Following the Wyckoff accumulation process (Phase B), price has shown clear absorption behavior, breaking above the previous equilibrium area. This confirms that smart money remains in control of the trend. Structure & Technical Perspective Price is developing a continuation impulsive structure, where corrective legs (2) and (4) remain purely technical and do not damage the bullish framework. The market stays above key moving averages, validating sustained upside momentum. The 4.46x – 4.47x zone is acting as a dynamic support area. As long as price holds above this region, bullish strength remains intact and continuation pressure builds. Today’s Scenario Primary bias: BUY with the trend. Focus on pullback entries, not chasing highs. If momentum persists, the market is positioned to extend toward the 4.57x zone and beyond. Only a clear breakdown below the lower support zone would require reassessing the bullish outlook. Market Conclusion Main Trend: UP Market State: Re-accumulation within a strong bullish cycle Strategy: Follow the trend, execute patiently, manage risk strictly Gold is not distributing — it is absorbing supply and preparing for the next leg higher. TODAY’S LIMITED STRATEGY — DEC 24 Intraday Bias: Re-accumulation 📌 SETUP 1: Timing Sell Zone (Counter-trend scalp) SELL ZONE: 4576 – 4579 TP: 4573 – 4568 SL: 4583 Short-term reaction trade only. Strict risk control required. 📌 SETUP 2: Timing Buy Zone (Trend-following) BUY ZONE: 4430 – 4433 TP: 4436 – 4441 SL: 4426 Preferred setup — aligns with the dominant bullish structure. Final Note: Stay disciplined. Trade in alignment with structure, respect risk management, and let the market confirm continuation rather than forcing entries.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RexTraderSignal
USD/JPY(20251224)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The US economy expanded at a rate of 4.3% in the third quarter, the fastest growth in two years, but the US consumer confidence index declined for the fifth consecutive month. ADP Weekly Employment Report: In the four weeks ending December 6, 2025, private sector employers added an average of 11,500 jobs per week. Trump: Those who disagree with him will never become Fed Chair. Next Fed candidate Hassett: Predicts monthly job growth may return to 100,000+, and the Fed is far behind the times on interest rate cuts. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 156.30 Support and Resistance Levels: 157.71 157.18 156.84 155.76 155.42 154.90 Trading Strategy: If it breaks above 156.30, consider buying, with a first target price of 156.84. If it breaks below 155.76, consider selling, with a first target price of 155.42.
by FlyingTowardsWealth
USD/JPY(20251218)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Ben Waller, one of the final candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair and current Governor, said on Wednesday that the current job market is "very weak" and job growth is "not optimistic," therefore the Fed still has room to cut interest rates. He supports further rate cuts to restore the central bank's interest rate setting to a neutral level, while stating that policymakers do not need to rush into doing so. Speaking at the Yale University CEO Summit, Waller noted that the Fed's current interest rate is 50 to 100 basis points higher than the neutral rate, but he emphasized that "aggressive action is not needed" and that rate cuts can continue "at a moderate pace." Waller stated that "the job market indicates the Fed should continue cutting rates," while also assuring that "we are not seeing a cliff-like drop in the job market." Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 155.30 Support and Resistance: 156.52 156.06 155.77 154.83 154.54 154.08 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 155.77, consider buying, with a first target price of 156.06. If the price breaks below 155.30, consider selling, with a first target price of 154.83.
by FlyingTowardsWealth
BTCUSD: Bearish Trend Confirmed with Downside TargetsAs per the updated analysis, BTCUSD has reversed its previous bullish momentum and is now poised for a downtrend toward lower targets. The chart shows a well-defined resistance zone at 91,563, where price has started to recoil and move lower. 🔹 Market State: Bearish Reversal Confirmed BTCUSD has now entered a consolidation phase below the resistance zone, with price rejecting the higher levels around 91,563. The market is setting up for a downside continuation with clear price action signals. The move lower has already begun, and targets are positioned around 89,200 (Target 1), 88,000 (Target 2), and 86,386 (Target 3). 🔹 Macro Factors Driving the Decline: 1. Risk-Off Sentiment Prevails Yesterday's decline can be attributed to the broad market risk-off sentiment. Concerns about global economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and weaker-than-expected economic data are pressuring risk assets like Bitcoin. 2. Strong USD and Profit-Taking The US dollar’s strength has been a key factor in BTC's retreat. As the dollar rises, investors typically retreat to more secure assets, causing Bitcoin and other risk assets to experience declines. Profit-taking after Bitcoin's recent surge also contributed to the market's downward movement. 3. Fed Rate Expectations Fed's hawkish stance (with interest rates possibly staying higher for longer) is placing further pressure on risk assets, making them less attractive to investors. This also increases the capital inflow into USD and dampens demand for Bitcoin. 4. Macro Data Weakness Poor economic indicators such as reduced job growth or disappointing inflation figures could contribute to the broader market decline. The weak economic data creates more uncertainty, prompting liquidation of higher-risk assets. 🔹 Price Expectations and Targets: Resistance Zone: 91,563 (Key Rejection Point) Target 1: 89,200 Target 2: 88,000 Target 3: 86,386 As long as price remains below 91,563, the bearish continuation setup is intact, and the market is expected to decline towards Target 1, then Target 2 and Target 3.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Fed Cuts, Treasuries Bounce, Dollar Slips FurtherGood morning traders! The Fed cut interest rates by 0.25% yesterday, marking the third straight cut. A few members dissented, showing the committee isn’t fully aligned. They proceeded with the cut as the job market continues to cool, even though inflation is still sticking around. The Fed also hinted this could be the last cut for a while and announced plans to start buying short-term Treasuries to keep liquidity stable. The US dollar remains under bearish pressure, while stocks hold steady, keeping the risk-on sentiment intact. This momentum could carry into year-end, we should just be aware of potential short-term pullbacks. USDollar Index - DXY remains nicely bearish, supported by 10Y US Treasury chart, as anticipated. If we consider that 10Y US Notes chart is now turning back to bullish mode, then DXY could easily see more weakness at least towards the open/unfilled GAP at 97.74 area.
TVC:DXY
by ew-forecast
SMH Is In Wave 5 Extension as Semiconductors Aim for 400 AreaSMH is the VanEck Semiconductor ETF, giving concentrated exposure to major global semiconductor companies like NVIDIA, TSMC, and Broadcom. It holds about 25 stocks and is known for higher volatility because a few large chipmakers dominate the fund. Investors use SMH to bet on long-term growth in chips, AI, and tech hardware, but it can swing sharply due to the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry. VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is trading within a five-wave bullish impulse from the April lows. Based on Elliott Wave theory, the ETF appears to be in the final Wave 5, which can still extend above the October highs toward the 400 area. Short-term pullbacks are possible, but the broader trend remains bullish. With current risk-on sentiment, semiconductor stocks could continue higher into late 2025 or even early 2026.
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by ew-forecast
BTC Reversal Loaded — The Uptrend Has Officially Started1) Market Structure - After a strong sell-off, BTC formed a new low and immediately bounced from a confluence zone of trendline + support (circled area). - The previous move was a descending structure, but the sharp rebound signals the formation of a first Higher Low → a clear early sign of trend reversal. - Price has slightly broken the descending trendline and is now retesting it, building the foundation for a bearish → bullish structure shift. 2) Key Levels Support Zone: Strong support around 86,300, where the price rejected and reversed. Resistance Zone: Major resistance between 93,600 – 94,400, previously a strong rejection area. Uptrend Line: - A new uptrend line is forming. - Every pullback toward this trendline → a potential long opportunity. 3) Scenarios ✅ Main Scenario (Bullish – High Probability) As long as BTC holds the circled support area and continues forming Higher Highs & Higher Lows, the uptrend remains intact. Strategy: wait for pullbacks to the trendline to enter long positions. Targets: TP1: retest 93,600 TP2: break higher into 94,400 ❌ Invalidation Scenario (Bearish) - If price breaks below the uptrend line and falls back toward 86,300, the bullish structure fails. - That would signal a deeper correction or a full bearish continuation. 4) Summary BTC has bounced off a critical support zone with clear signs of a trend reversal. The bullish structure is forming, and pullbacks to the uptrend line will be the key opportunities. The market rewards discipline — wait for your setup, then execute with confidence
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
2
The F1 Mindset Every Trader Needs!!!Most traders behave like they’re trying to win the race on the first lap. Full throttle. No patience. And then they wonder why they spin out before the finish line. 🏎 But in Formula 1, especially under the lights of Abu Dhabi, the winners don’t drive the fastest… They manage the race the smartest. And trading is no different. Here are the three F1 lessons every trader should master: 1️⃣You Don’t Win by Being Fast => You Win by Being Controlled F1 drivers don’t go maximum speed all the time. They manage tyres, fuel, engine temperature, and track conditions. In trading, your “tyres” are your capital. Burn them early with emotional trades, and your race is over. Consistency beats speed. Control beats excitement. 2️⃣ Your Strategy Is Your Pit Crew No F1 driver wins alone, they rely on a team that’s fast, disciplined, and precise. For traders, your “pit crew” is your: - trading plan - risk management - journaling - strategy rules - routines When your system is aligned, your performance becomes predictable. When it's sloppy, you get undercut by the market every time. 3️⃣ The Race Is Won on Corners, Not Straights Every driver can accelerate on the straights. Champions gain their advantage in the corners — the difficult, technical parts of the track. In trading, the “corners” are: - drawdowns - losing streaks - choppy markets - hesitation - volatility spikes Anyone can trade a trending market. True professionals shine in difficult conditions. 🏁 Final Lap Insight The Abu Dhabi Grand Prix doesn’t reward the loudest driver, it rewards the most disciplined. Trading is exactly the same. ✔ The market is your circuit. ✔ Your account is your car. ✔ Your rules are your race line. ✔ And your mindset determines whether you finish… or crash out on turn one. Trade like an F1 driver: calm, calculated, consistent, and always thinking about the full race, not a single lap. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
38
GBP/USD Is Approaching a Key Zone—Don’t Miss This Setup!What are your thoughts on GBP/USD? Price recently reacted strongly from the upper resistance zone, showing clear loss of momentum after the latest bullish push. The pair is now pulling back, and as long as price remains below this resistance, a short-term bearish correction is the more likely scenario. If the pullback extends toward the 1.3180–1.3150 demand zone, we could see a potential bullish reversal from that area. However, if price continues to reject the resistance zone, the bearish corrective scenario remains valid toward the marked target below. Setup Sell Area: 1.3330 – 1.3350 Target Zone: 1.3180 – 1.3150 Reason: - Strong rejection at resistance - Clear loss of momentum - Clean liquidity below to collect This matches the grey corrective path shown in the chart. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by RexTraderSignal
USD/JPY(20251107)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Revelo Labs, a US private data provider, reported that US non-farm payrolls decreased by 9,100 in October; Challenger job cuts in the US surged 175% year-over-year in October, and year-to-date layoffs increased by 65%; Chicago Fed data showed the October unemployment rate was approximately 4.36%, a four-year high. Federal Reserve officials remain cautious. Chicago Fed President Goolsby believes a lack of reliable inflation data and remains hesitant about interest rate cuts; Cleveland Fed President Hammarck emphasized inflation risks and opposed further rate cuts; however, Governor Milan continues to expect a Fed rate cut in December; New York Fed President Williams believes the model-based estimate of the US neutral interest rate is around 1%. Governor Barr pointed out that the impact of artificial intelligence may be affecting hiring in some industries. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 153.33 Support and Resistance Levels: 154.63 154.15 153.83 152.83 152.52 152.03 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 153.33, consider buying with a first target price of 153.83. If the price breaks below 152.83, consider selling with a first target price of 152.52.
Long
by GoldenSpaceship
USD/JPY(20251029)Today's AnalysisMarket News: A survey by the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) predicts gold prices will reach $4,980.3 per ounce and silver prices will reach $59.1 per ounce in one year. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 152.22 Support and Resistance Levels: 153.33 152.91 152.64 151.80 151.53 151.11 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 152.22, consider buying with a first target price of 152.64. If the price breaks below 151.80, consider selling with a first target price of 151.53.
Short
by GoldenSpaceship
1
SPX500: Trump's trip to East Asia shakes marketsHello Traders, This is the Daily Chart!! We had great bullish year! A bullish channel is crystal clear! we are about to be considered as overbought buyers! But since it's stocks and the channel is broken, we are till bullish!! And this is the chart of recent 3M, 1- the break is powerful. 2- we need a correction, technically. 3- we are about the mid-term channel. 4- top of the long-term channel could also be firsthand support, they call it SL hunt, I don't.
FX:SPX500Long
by AliSignals
Chorus (CNU) major resistance test. Price discovery? CNU being in the Telcom space has seen a steady and consistent upwards trend since near its inception and being listing on the ASX, with over 600% gain since 2013. In the last 5 years or so we've seen a sideways trend, as the price begins to advance towards test its previous major resistance @ around the $8.80 mark. On the (W) we can see a gap down after a test of this key area and a mean reversion to the 200MA with a close on the 50MA. Some big seller volume moved in to push the price down, but encouragingly price as respected the current trend line, with signs of a bounce this week. A potential GAP fill is in play, and a potential for a break above major resistance and then into price discovery for this company. A clear BUY signal would be a break or break and hold after a retest of the resistance of the $8.80 mark. Good luck.
ASX:CNULong
by Craftycro
USD/JPY(20251023)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The shutdown continues, and the US Senate has rejected the temporary funding bill for the 12th time. Technical Analysis: Today's buy/sell levels: 151.83 Support and resistance levels: 152.38 152.17 152.04 151.61 151.48 151.27 Trading Strategy: If the stock breaks above 152.04, consider buying, with the first target price being 152.17. If the stock breaks below 151.83, consider selling, with the first target price being 151.61.
Long
by GoldenSpaceship
1
USD/JPY(20251021)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The US government shutdown entered its 20th day on Monday after senators failed to break the impasse for the tenth time last week. The shutdown has also delayed the release of key economic data, leaving investors and Federal Reserve policymakers with a data vacuum ahead of next week's policy meeting. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, delayed by the shutdown, is scheduled for release this Friday. Meanwhile, traders are pricing in a 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week, with another cut expected in December. As a non-interest-bearing asset, gold typically performs well in a low-interest rate environment. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 150.73 Support and Resistance Levels: 151.65 151.30 151.08 150.37 150.15 149.81 Trading Strategy: On the upside, consider buying on a break above 151.08, with the first target at 151.30. On the downside, consider selling on a break below 150.73, with the first target at 150.15.
Long
by GoldenSpaceship