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Technical-analysis

USD/JPY(20251107)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Revelo Labs, a US private data provider, reported that US non-farm payrolls decreased by 9,100 in October; Challenger job cuts in the US surged 175% year-over-year in October, and year-to-date layoffs increased by 65%; Chicago Fed data showed the October unemployment rate was approximately 4.36%, a four-year high. Federal Reserve officials remain cautious. Chicago Fed President Goolsby believes a lack of reliable inflation data and remains hesitant about interest rate cuts; Cleveland Fed President Hammarck emphasized inflation risks and opposed further rate cuts; however, Governor Milan continues to expect a Fed rate cut in December; New York Fed President Williams believes the model-based estimate of the US neutral interest rate is around 1%. Governor Barr pointed out that the impact of artificial intelligence may be affecting hiring in some industries. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 153.33 Support and Resistance Levels: 154.63 154.15 153.83 152.83 152.52 152.03 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 153.33, consider buying with a first target price of 153.83. If the price breaks below 152.83, consider selling with a first target price of 152.52.
Long
by GoldenSpaceship
USD/JPY(20251029)Today's AnalysisMarket News: A survey by the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) predicts gold prices will reach $4,980.3 per ounce and silver prices will reach $59.1 per ounce in one year. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 152.22 Support and Resistance Levels: 153.33 152.91 152.64 151.80 151.53 151.11 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 152.22, consider buying with a first target price of 152.64. If the price breaks below 151.80, consider selling with a first target price of 151.53.
Short
by GoldenSpaceship
1
Chorus (CNU) major resistance test. Price discovery? CNU being in the Telcom space has seen a steady and consistent upwards trend since near its inception and being listing on the ASX, with over 600% gain since 2013. In the last 5 years or so we've seen a sideways trend, as the price begins to advance towards test its previous major resistance @ around the $8.80 mark. On the (W) we can see a gap down after a test of this key area and a mean reversion to the 200MA with a close on the 50MA. Some big seller volume moved in to push the price down, but encouragingly price as respected the current trend line, with signs of a bounce this week. A potential GAP fill is in play, and a potential for a break above major resistance and then into price discovery for this company. A clear BUY signal would be a break or break and hold after a retest of the resistance of the $8.80 mark. Good luck.
ASX:CNULong
by Craftycro
USD/JPY(20251023)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The shutdown continues, and the US Senate has rejected the temporary funding bill for the 12th time. Technical Analysis: Today's buy/sell levels: 151.83 Support and resistance levels: 152.38 152.17 152.04 151.61 151.48 151.27 Trading Strategy: If the stock breaks above 152.04, consider buying, with the first target price being 152.17. If the stock breaks below 151.83, consider selling, with the first target price being 151.61.
Long
by GoldenSpaceship
1
USD/JPY(20251021)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The US government shutdown entered its 20th day on Monday after senators failed to break the impasse for the tenth time last week. The shutdown has also delayed the release of key economic data, leaving investors and Federal Reserve policymakers with a data vacuum ahead of next week's policy meeting. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, delayed by the shutdown, is scheduled for release this Friday. Meanwhile, traders are pricing in a 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week, with another cut expected in December. As a non-interest-bearing asset, gold typically performs well in a low-interest rate environment. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 150.73 Support and Resistance Levels: 151.65 151.30 151.08 150.37 150.15 149.81 Trading Strategy: On the upside, consider buying on a break above 151.08, with the first target at 151.30. On the downside, consider selling on a break below 150.73, with the first target at 150.15.
Long
by GoldenSpaceship
USD/JPY(20250924)Today's AnalysisMarket Analysis: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the policy rate remains somewhat restrictive, but allows the Fed to better respond to potential economic developments; tariffs are expected to have a one-time pass-through effect; and decisions will "never be based on political considerations." Fed spokespersons noted that Powell's comments indicate that he believes interest rates remain tight, potentially opening the door for further rate cuts. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 147.66 Support and Resistance Levels: 148.13 147.95 147.84 147.49 147.37 147.20 Trading Strategy: If the market breaks above 147.84, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price being 148.13. If the market breaks below 147.66, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price being 147.49.
Long
by GoldenBigAge
Ethereum: Undervalued Powerhouse or September Slump? Ethereum: Undervalued Powerhouse or September Slump? Breakout to $5K on the Horizon? Ethereum (ETH) has held steady around $4,300 this month amid a choppy crypto market, down about 15% from its August all-time high but showing resilience with a modest 0.52% gain today to $4,328.5. Early September saw over $500 million in outflows from spot Ethereum ETFs, reversing summer inflows and fueling doubts about institutional appetite. Yet, with analysts eyeing a potential rally to $9,000–$12,000 by year-end 2025 driven by ETF rotation and broader adoption, is ETH the undervalued blue-chip crypto ready for a rebound, or will seasonal weakness cap its upside? Let's dive into the fundamentals, charts, and key levels to navigate this pivotal moment. Fundamental Analysis Ethereum's core drivers remain tied to its ecosystem growth and macroeconomic tailwinds, but recent ETF flows have introduced volatility. As the backbone for DeFi, NFTs, and layer-2 scaling, ETH benefits from rising staking rewards and network upgrades like Dencun, which have boosted efficiency. Analysts project ETH could hit $5,194 by late September, with long-term forecasts up to $12,000 in 2025 if institutional demand surges via ETFs. However, sticky inflation and Fed policy uncertainty could delay rate cuts, pressuring risk assets like crypto. - **Positive:** - Record ETF inflows in July–August signal growing institutional interest; recent positive territory returns hint at rotation back to ETH. - Staking growth and adoption in DeFi (e.g., Aave, Uniswap) underscore undervaluation, with ETH's market cap at ~$520 billion versus Bitcoin's dominance. - Broader trends like AI-blockchain integration and regulatory clarity (e.g., potential spot ETFs for challengers like Sui) bolster ETH's utility. - **Negative:** - $500M+ ETF outflows in early September reflect profit-taking and risk-off sentiment amid U.S. labor market weakness. - Seasonal September weakness in crypto, compounded by geopolitical risks, could extend the correction if Bitcoin falters. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, ETH is coiling in a tight symmetrical triangle pattern after bouncing from the $4,320–$4,325 support base, with volume picking up on the upside. This consolidation follows a descending channel breakdown, but the hold above key EMAs suggests building momentum for a potential impulse wave higher. Current price: $4,328.5, with VWAP at $4,300 providing intraday support. Key indicators: - **RSI (14-day):** Hovering at 48, neutral but nearing oversold territory— a dip below 40 could signal a strong bounce. 📈 - **MACD:** Histogram in negative territory, but the signal line crossover is imminent, hinting at bullish divergence if volume confirms. ⚠️ - **Moving Averages:** Price above the 21-day EMA ($4,280) but testing the 50-day SMA ($4,350)—a sustained hold here avoids short-term bearish pressure. Support/Resistance: Firm support at $4,320 (recent low and 200-day EMA), with major resistance at $4,500 (August high). Patterns/Momentum: The triangle apex nears; a bullish breakout above $4,500 could target $4,800–$4,952, while failure risks a retest of $4,200. 🟢 Bullish signals: Accumulation on hourly charts. 🔴 Bearish risks: Death cross if 50-day SMA flips below 200-day. Scenarios and Risk Management - **Bullish Scenario:** A clean break above $4,500 on ETF inflow news or positive macro data (e.g., softer PCE) targets $4,800 initially, then $5,000–$9,000 by Q4. Buy on pullbacks to $4,320 support for optimal entry. - **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below $4,320 eyes $4,200 (psychological level); a full death cross could accelerate to $3,800. Avoid longs if Bitcoin slips under $60K. - **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $4,200–$4,500 if data remains mixed, ideal for scalping or options plays. Risk Tips: Set stops 2–3% below support ($4,200) to cap losses. Risk no more than 1–2% of portfolio per trade. Diversify with BTC or stablecoins to hedge crypto correlations—avoid overexposure in this volatile September. Conclusion/Outlook Overall, a bullish bias emerges if ETH reclaims $4,500 and ETF flows reverse, positioning it as an undervalued play with 100%+ upside potential into 2025 amid institutional rotation. But watch today's crypto volatility and upcoming Fed signals for confirmation—this fits the classic September Effect of weakness before Q4 rallies. What's your take? Bullish on ETH's rebound or sitting out the slump? Share in the comments!
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by DCAChampion
3
Waiting for that next spark in Gold For now, TVC:GOLD price remains inside a couple triangle formations. We are waiting for the next big thing that could bring the precious metal out of its "shell" and send it upwards or downwards. Let's dig in. MARKETSCOM:GOLD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
G
by Marketscom
USD/JPY(20250807)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Federal Reserve Chairman Kashkari: A rate cut may be appropriate in the short term, and two rate cuts this year are reasonable. Trump: The new Fed governor will likely be temporary, and the appointment will be announced within 2-3 days. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 147.40 Support and Resistance Levels: 148.30 147.96 147.74 147.05 146.83 146.49 Trading Strategy: If the market breaks above 147.40, consider a buy entry, with the first target price being 147.74. If the market breaks below 147.05, consider a sell entry, with the first target price being 146.83
Long
by NicolaZhu
USD/JPY(20250804)Today's AnalysisMarket News: ① The US non-farm payrolls rose by 73,000 jobs in July, far below the expected 110,000; the previous two months saw a significant downward revision of 258,000 jobs, prompting traders to fully price in two Fed rate cuts before the end of the year. ② The US ISM Manufacturing PMI for July unexpectedly fell to 48, below the expected 49.5 and the lowest level since October 2024. ③ The University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for July reached a five-month high. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 148.53 Support and Resistance Levels: 152.12 150.78 149.91 147.15 146.28 144.94 Trading Strategy: If it breaks above 148.53, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price being 149.91. If it breaks below 147.15, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price being 146.28.
Long
by NicolaZhu
USD/JPY(20250729)Today's AnalysisMarket news: After gold prices soared to an all-time high of more than $3,500 an ounce in April, the latest report from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that fund managers have increased their bullish bets to the highest level in 16 weeks. Technical analysis: Today's buy and sell boundaries: 148.19 Support and resistance levels: 149.23 148.84 148.59 147.78 147.53 147.14 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 148.59, consider buying, the first target price is 148.84 If the price breaks through 148.19, consider selling, the first target price is 147.78
Long
by NicolaZhu
USD/JPY(20250728)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump announced that the US and Europe reached a trade agreement: 15% tariffs on the EU, $600 billion in investment in the US, zero tariffs on the US by EU countries, the EU will purchase US military equipment, and will purchase US energy products worth $750 billion. However, the US and Europe have different opinions on whether the 15% tariff agreement covers medicines and steel and aluminum. Von der Leyen: 15% tariff rate is the best result that the European Commission can achieve. US Secretary of Commerce: The deadline for tariff increase on August 1 will not be extended. The United States will determine the tariff policy on chips within two weeks. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 147.47 Support and resistance levels: 148.58 148.17 147.90 147.04 146.77 146.35 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 147.90, consider buying, the first target price is 148.17 If the price breaks through 147.47, consider selling, the first target price is 147.04
Long
by NicolaZhu
1
CNC|Let's take a swing at a falling dagger! NYSE:CNC slicing through the void, well.... like a falling dagger through a void. Not trying to catch this bad boi, but we should expect a bounce at some point. Let's swing for a bounce in that $26.90ish area. This is NOT a YOLO and I hope it's not an "oh no!" Let's keep our wits about us - starter position only. We can add if we need to, but let's just hope we sell and make some quick Christmas money. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION ON THIS MATTER
NYSE:CNC
by MonsterStockPicks
2
USD/JPY(20250724)Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. President Trump continued to lash out at the Federal Reserve on Tuesday, but seemed to back off from the remaining plan to fire Chairman Powell. "I think he's doing a bad job, but he's going to be out of office soon anyway," Trump said in an exchange with reporters at the White House. "In eight months, he'll be out of office." Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 146.60 Support and resistance levels: 147.70 147.29 147.02 146.18 145.92 145.51 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 146.60, consider buying in, with the first target price at 147.02 If the price breaks through 146.18, consider selling in, with the first target price at 145.92
Short
by NicolaZhu
USD/JPY(20250718)Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① Kugler: It is appropriate to keep the interest rate policy stable for "a while". ② Daly: Whether to cut interest rates in July or September is not the most critical. ③ Bostic: It may be difficult to cut interest rates in the short term. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 148.45 Support and resistance levels: 149.80 149.30 148.97 147.93 147.61 147.10 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 148.97, consider buying in, the first target price is 149.30 If the price breaks through 148.45, consider selling in, the first target price is 147.93
Long
by NicolaZhu
USD/JPY(20250714)Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① Fed's Goolsbee: The latest tariff threat may delay rate cuts. ② The Fed responded to the White House's "accusations": The increase in building renovation costs partly reflects unforeseen construction conditions. ③ "Fed's megaphone": The dispute over building renovations has challenged the Fed's independence again, and it is expected that no rate cuts will be made this month. ④ Hassett: Whether Trump fires Powell or not, the Fed's answer to the headquarters renovation is the key. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 147.02 Support and resistance levels: 148.39 147.88 147.55 146.49 146.15 145.64 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 147.55, consider buying, and the first target price is 147.88 If the price breaks through 147.02, consider selling, and the first target price is 146.49
Short
by NicolaZhu
Quick take on the S&P500From the very short-term perspective, the SP:SPX is currently stuck in a tight range. Waiting for a little breakout. Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
TVC:SPX
by Marketscom
USD/JPY(20250620)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 145.32 Support and resistance levels: 146.35 145.96 145.72 144.93 144.68 144.30 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 145.72, consider buying, and the first target price is 145.96 If the price breaks through 145.32, consider selling, and the first target price is 144.93
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
1