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Technical Analysis

Weak U.S. PMI – EURUSD Ready to Bounce from the Bottom!Hello traders, The market is entering an exciting phase! As the U.S. PMI numbers continue to signal “fatigue,” the USD is losing momentum, while EURUSD quietly prepares for a strong rebound from the lows. This isn’t just a technical setup — it’s the market’s pulse before a potential breakout. The U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI is projected at 49.4, still below the 50 threshold — a clear sign that the manufacturing sector remains in contraction. As the U.S. economy weakens, the USD loses strength , creating favorable conditions for EURUSD to recover in the short term. On the 4H timeframe, EURUSD continues to move within a descending channel, but the price structure is showing encouraging signals. The 1.15000 zone is a solid support, aligning perfectly with the channel’s lower boundary. If the price holds above 1.15000, there’s a strong chance EURUSD could rebound toward 1.16000, which coincides with the upper edge of the channel. 👉 Preferred Scenario: Wait for a small retest around 1.15000, then buy following the recovery trend, targeting 1.16000. The USD is weakening — and this might be the perfect moment for the bulls to regain control.
Long
by Kairo_Vexen
8
LLY Bullish Breakout: Retest or Continuation Toward 950–1000Eli Lilly (LLY) just cleared the key ceiling at 865 with a wide-range bullish day, closing near 896.53 and printing a session high at 901.34. The breakout resolves an ascending triangle and comes with expanding volatility and volume—classic continuation behavior in a dominant uptrend. With price above the 20/60/120-day MAs and bands widening, momentum favors the upside while acknowledging short-term overbought conditions. Primary path: treat 865–880 as the new Demand zone (polarity flip). A clean retest that holds this band and shows a bullish candle is a higher-probability entry, aiming first for 925, then the psychological markers at 950 and ultimately the measured move area around 980–1000. For traders preferring strength, a daily close through 902 would signal continuation in price discovery, using 880–865 as the first check on risk. If buyers fail to defend the breakout, a decisive close back below 860 invalidates the bullish thesis and opens room for a deeper shakeout. Until then, dips into 865–880 are potential buys, while strength above 902 can be used to add or initiate, with partial profit-taking into 950 and 980–1000 to respect the expanded volatility. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
NYSE:LLYLong
by bbqgio
BoE Slows Down Rate Cuts – GBPUSD Gears Up for a Strong Rebound!Hello everyone, The market’s attention this week is on the Bank of England (BoE) , and in my view, the central bank may slow its rate-cut cycle as inflation remains elevated and economic conditions are still uncertain. At the same time, the UK Manufacturing PMI edged up to 49.7, signaling a mild recovery after a prolonged slowdown. ➡ This dual signal supports the GBP, while the USD weakens slightly as the U.S. PMI stays below 50. On the 4H chart, GBPUSD is moving within a falling wedge pattern — a classic structure that often indicates a potential bullish reversal . The 1.3060 area acts as a strong support, with clear buying pressure shown by the long-tailed candles. If this level holds, the pair is likely to rebound toward 1.3170, which aligns with the upper resistance of the wedge. Preferred scenario: Wait for a minor pullback around 1.3060, then buy following the recovery trend, targeting 1.3170. With USD weakening and BoE staying cautious , GBPUSD now has a golden opportunity to bounce back from its technical bottom.
Long
by Kairo_Vexen
13
Recap: ORB Pro in Action | “Discipline > Direction”Date: November 3rd 2025 Ticker: QQQ / NQ1! (5-min TF) Strategy: ORB Pro + Golden Pocket Retest + Volume Filter Focus: Trend confirmation & controlled execution 🧭 Market Context The morning opened sideways inside the ORB range — no clean conviction early on. Around mid-morning, sellers gained control as lower highs formed beneath the EMA band and the Golden Pocket retest (0.5/0.618) failed with volume confirmation. That break produced the clean short setup of the day, perfectly aligned with the higher-timeframe (HTF) downtrend. 🧠 Trade Review Early Entries: Entered pre-confirmation and took initial heat. Mid-Morning Setup: All filters aligned — EMA, volume, HTF direction. This was the textbook short that delivered follow-through. Late Session Attempts: Momentum faded after lunch, with signals correctly blocked as “Too Late.” Result: Several small wins offset by early losses, closing the day + $7.34 realized P/L after fees. 📊 Performance Snapshot Metric Value Win Rate ≈ 42 % Best Trade + $287.94 Largest Loss – $189.05 Net Result + $7.34 (Realized) Setup Accuracy High — execution mixed 📈 Chart Breakdown The 5-minute chart highlighted a short trigger around 26 260 – 26 280, with smooth continuation into ORB extensions. The ORB Pro filter marked “Blocked / Too Late” after the move — confirming that the system logic protected capital from late chases. 💡 Key Takeaways Patience > Prediction — early entries rarely pay off. Protect Green — partial profit lock once 1 R:R is reached. System Strength — ORB Pro continues to validate structure when filters align. 🧘‍♂️ Reflection “The system nailed the move — I jumped early. Still finished green, proving that execution discipline is the real edge. Tomorrow’s goal: one clean setup, one confident hold, and protect the profit.” 🧩 Next Steps ✅ Wait for full confirmation before entry ✅ Hold until 1:2 R:R min ✅ Avoid re-entries once HTF zone is tapped
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by TradeswithB
$SPY $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Nov 4, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Nov 4, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚩 Jobs data on deck: Tuesday’s focus is on labor demand — the JOLTS report remains a key barometer for wage pressure, though it may not print due to the shutdown. ⚠️ Data blackout continues: The Trade Balance and Factory Orders are both delayed government releases, keeping markets dependent on Fed tone and price action. 💬 Fed-speak pre-jobs: Vice Chair Bowman’s early-morning remarks will frame policy bias ahead of ADP and Friday’s NFP. 💻 Volatility compression: With few confirmed reports, traders watch AMEX:SPY ’s range behavior and TVC:VIX positioning before the labor-data surge mid-week. 📊 Key Data and Events (ET) ⏰ 6:35 AM — Michelle Bowman (Fed Vice Chair) speech ⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — U.S. Trade Deficit (Sept) — may not print ⏰ ⚠️ 10:00 AM — Factory Orders (Sept) — may not print ⏰ ⚠️ 10:00 AM — Job Openings (JOLTS, Sept) — may not print ⚠️ Note: All three macro reports are subject to delay under the continuing government shutdown. Expect headline-driven trading and low data-volume volatility until Wednesday’s ADP and ISM Services releases. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #Bowman #JOLTS #TradeBalance #FactoryOrders #bonds #yields #economy #shutdown #macro
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
BTCUSD — RangeBTCUSD — Range Dilemma 🧭 Context BTC attacked the daily volume low at 106 463.30 — precise hit, clean reaction, but no reclaim yet. Price stalled under that zone through NY session, keeping structure heavy while the dollar impulse held firm. The move reflects a controlled liquidity sweep, not yet a shift in intent. 📈 Technical POV We’re parked at the 106 463.30 daily volume node, the structural hinge of the current range. A close below confirms algorithms pressing the next leg lower. If we reclaim and hold above, the path opens toward 111 629, the next liquidity magnet capped by a single-print zone. Daily structure remains stretched; weekly bias still corrective. 🌍 Macro View Dollar strength persists after the Fed’s “pause for now” tone and steady 4 % yields. Global risk tone stays cautious — crypto remains reactive, not leading. Until DXY cools off, BTC trades inside compression with limited directional clarity. 🎯 Plan Patience first. Wait for a 1-hour structure shift to confirm bias. If the dollar corrects, BTC can rotate higher; if not, expect continued testing near the lows. 🧠 CORE5 Note Professionals don’t chase noise. They let structure prove strength before conviction follows. Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Update: Wave (iv) Correction UnfoldingThis EUR/USD chart shows the market undergoing a complex corrective phase, labelled as wave (iv), likely forming a triangle pattern (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e) after an impulsive rally. The correction is taking place within a well-defined base channel, suggesting consolidation before a potential breakout into wave (v) targeting higher levels near 1.19–1.20. As long as the channel holds, the Elliott Wave structure supports a bullish continuation once the correction completes. Keep following for regular breakdowns as the bigger trend unfolds.
by EWaveInsights
NVDA Bull Flag: Breakout Toward 220–230NVDA’s 1D chart remains firmly bullish. Price cleared the ~$195 “BOS” and pushed to fresh highs above $205, with MA20 > MA60 > MA120 and widening bands supporting momentum. The near-term map is clear: Demand sits around $183 (former ceiling turned floor), while supply is forming at the new swing high near $209.50. Primary path: I’m looking for continuation on strength. A daily close above 209.50 would confirm buyers in control and opens room toward 220–225, with a stretch scope to 230 if momentum persists. If price hesitates first, a constructive retest of 195–198 (prior breakout area) can serve as the higher-low buy zone—especially if volume firms and intraday closes reclaim $200–203 quickly. Alternative: Failure to hold recent gains brings a deeper check. A daily close below 203.00 risks a slide toward the $200 psych handle and then $195–198. The broader bullish thesis is invalidated on a decisive daily close below 183.00, which would mark a clear break of structure and shift the bias back to neutral/bearish until reclaimed. Triggers to watch: daily close > 209.50 for continuation; weakness below 203.00 for a corrective leg. Manage entries around 195–198 or on strength through 209.50, and keep risk tight relative to 203/183 lines. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by bbqgio
COIN Bullish Continuation: Breakout Above 361 Toward 390–400COIN on the 1D chart is pressing near recent highs after breaking a multi-month range in early October and flagging through most of the month. Momentum stays constructive with price above the 20/60/120-day cluster and Bollinger Bands expanding. The prior range top has flipped to support, keeping the structure bullish. The immediate hurdle is resistance at 355, with the recent swing high at 361.40 acting as the confirmation line. A daily close above 361.40 would validate the bull-flag continuation and opens room toward the 390–400 zone, with interim interest around 375. If momentum pauses first, a controlled pullback into 330—aligned with the breakout retest and the MA60—would be a constructive demand zone; 320 is the key higher-timeframe floor that anchors the trend. Primary path: look for a break-and-hold above 355/361.40 to extend into 375 and then 390–400 as the next resistance band. Alternative path: if price fails to reclaim 355 and loses 330, expect a drive toward 320; a daily close below 320 would invalidate the bullish thesis and shift risk to a deeper correction. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
NASDAQ:COINLong
by bbqgio
2
AMD Bull Flag: Breakout Above 262 Toward 286AMD on the 1D chart remains firmly bullish after its October surge, now pausing in a tight flag beneath the recent swing high at 262. Price is riding above the 20/60/120 MAs with all slopes positive, and Bollinger Bands have contracted after expanding during the rally—classic consolidation behavior. The prior ceiling at 240 has flipped to support, framing a clean structure for continuation. Primary path: a break-and-close above 262 confirms the bull flag and opens room toward 286, where measured move projections align with the first objective. Traders wanting earlier exposure can stalk dips into the MA20 buy zone at 245–255, but confirmation still matters—strength should be reflected by a daily close reclaiming 250s and then 262. If momentum extends post-breakout, consider trimming into 285–290. Alternative: if buyers fail to punch through 262, expect further range development between 240–262 while energy builds. The bullish thesis is invalidated on a daily close below 240, which would point to a deeper retrace toward prior October levels; risk should be sized with that line in mind. Trigger: daily close > 262 (breakout). Targets: 286 first, then manage into 285–290. Invalidation: daily close < 240. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by bbqgio
Fish Hook Pattern: the setup that catches liquidity, not tradersThere’s one pattern that never gets enough attention in textbooks, yet it’s one of the purest reflections of smart money logic - the Fish Hook. It looks simple: price breaks out, triggers stops, traps breakout traders, and snaps back just as fast. But the psychology behind it is what makes it truly powerful. When the market consolidates under a level, stop orders start to pile up. Big money knows that liquidity sits there - waiting to be taken. They push the price beyond the level, trigger the stops, and absorb liquidity. The breakout traders think they’ve caught momentum, but in reality, they’ve just become the exit liquidity. Then comes the reversal - fast, decisive, emotional. That sharp return to the range is the “hook.” If price breaks a key high or low and immediately rejects it - without structure, without a clean retest - you’re watching a Fish Hook in action. The entry comes on the retest of that level from the opposite side. The stop goes right beyond the “hook’s tip.” Targets? The opposite edge of the range or the next liquidity pool. The beauty of the Fish Hook lies in its simplicity. It’s not an indicator or a signal. It’s the behavior of money - watching how capital manipulates emotion. When you start to see it often, you realize the market isn’t random. It’s intentional. Trading becomes less about chasing candles and more about reading footprints. Fish Hook setups happen daily across pairs, stocks, and crypto and once you train your eye, you’ll never unsee them. If your stops keep getting hit before the move - congratulations, you just met the Fish Hook from the wrong side.
Education
by TotoshkaTrades
XAU/USD Daily Structure – Bullish Reversal Targeting BPR ZoneA potential bullish reversal after a recent pullback, aiming for a retest of higher price levels. Prior Price Action: The price experienced a strong uptrend (sequence of large green candles) leading up to the mid-October high, followed by a sharp pullback (red candles) which broke below a previous low, labeled as BOS (Break of Structure). This BOS confirms a short-term bearish shift or the start of a deep correction within the larger uptrend. Current Price Level: The price is currently near $4,008.10, having shown recent bullish momentum (the last green candle) off a recent swing low. Key Levels and Concepts: D/FVG (Daily Fair Value Gap): There are two Fair Value Gaps marked on the chart. The lower D/FVG (around $4,000 - $4,060) acted as an initial target or point of interest during the decline. The price has started to move up from this area. The upper D/FVG (around $4,170 - $4,220) represents a future potential target. BPR (Balanced Price Range): This blue area (around $4,160 - $4,180) is an area where a previous down move's FVG overlaps with a subsequent up move's FVG (or vice versa), suggesting a zone where the market might find temporary balance or resistance/support. Projected Path: The black arrow illustrates a bullish projection. The price is expected to continue its upward move, potentially targeting the lower D/FVG for a re-entry/retest before making its way towards the BPR and the upper D/FVG as the final target of this short-term analysis.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
1
Gold compression before expansionGold remains in a controlled accumulation phase after a strong move, holding rising lows and respecting the fair value zone near 3990. As long as buyers defend the 3985–4000 range, the setup favors a false dip and re-entry scenario with continuation higher. A clean break and hold above 4040 unlocks the first target at 4110, and extension toward 4200 remains valid on structural expansion and Fibo alignment. The market is balanced on a hinge: levels are defined, buyers present, but confirmation lies only in price reclaiming the breakout zone. Fundamentally gold still tracks macro uncertainty. Rates, inflation expectations, dollar hesitation and US debt dynamics keep capital rotating defensively. This is one of those periods where expectations and reality diverge, and the longer the compression holds, the stronger the eventual move. Still, discipline first — price must confirm above 4040. Bias remains bullish while above 3985. Break below opens a corrective path toward 3920–3890 before another attempt higher.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by InvestWorld_777
1
EURUSD Plunges: Hawkish Fed Crushes the Euro?Hey traders, let’s take a look at EURUSD — the market is revealing an exciting opportunity for the sellers! After the September meeting, the Fed emphasized its “data-dependent” stance, signaling it’s not ready to ease policy while the U.S. economy remains solid. This reinforces expectations that the USD will stay strong , as the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer. As the dollar gains momentum, EURUSD faces clear downward pressure. On the H4 chart, the price is clinging to a descending trendline that has rejected three previous attempts to break higher — each touch has been sharply sold off. Currently, EURUSD trades around 1.1560, below the 1.1600 resistance, which acts as a potential bull trap . The likely scenario: a mild pullback toward 1.1600 before continuing lower to the 1.1520 support zone. A break below that level could open the door toward 1.1450. In summary, the overall trend for EURUSD remains bearish . With the Fed maintaining its hawkish stance, every rebound is simply a chance for sellers to enter at better prices. Stay disciplined, follow the trend — the market rewards those who have patience!
Short
by Kairo_Vexen
6
$SPY $SPX Scenarios — Week of Nov 3 → Nov 7, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY SP:SPX Scenarios — Week of Nov 3 → Nov 7, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚩 Post-FOMC digestion: After Powell’s Oct 29 presser, traders watch whether yields and the dollar cool or extend higher. 📈 Labor-week spotlight: Friday’s Jobs Report (NFP, wages, unemployment) anchors the week — rate-path odds hinge on those prints. 💬 Fed tone in focus: Multiple governors and regional presidents hit the circuit after the FOMC — every nuance matters for December guidance. ⚠️ Shutdown watch: Several BEA and Census releases (Factory Orders, Trade Balance, GDP components) may not print on time if the government remains partially shuttered. 💻 Earnings taper off: Final big-cap names and sector leaders wrap Q3 results, shaping sentiment into mid-November. 📊 Key Data and Events (ET) Mon Nov 3 ⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — Durable Goods Orders (Sept) | Ex-transportation subset — BEA report; possible delay ⏰ 10:00 AM — Factory Orders (Sept) ⚠️ possible delay Tue Nov 4 ⏰ 9:00 AM — S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index (Aug) ⏰ 10:00 AM — Consumer Confidence (Oct) 🚩 Wed Nov 5 ⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — Advanced Trade Balance in Goods (Sept) | Retail and Wholesale Inventories — Census; may be delayed ⏰ 10:00 AM — Pending Home Sales (Sept) ⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — FOMC Rate Decision ⏰ 🚩 2:30 PM — Fed Chair Powell Press Conference Thu Nov 6 ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 25) expected on schedule ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — GDP (Q3, Advance) ⚠️ BEA data; delay possible ⏰ 9:55 AM — Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman speaks Fri Nov 7 ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — PCE and Core PCE (Sept) along with Personal Income, Spending, and Employment Cost Index ⚠️ BEA risk ⏰ 9:45 AM — Chicago PMI (Oct) ⏰ 12:00 PM — Cleveland Fed President Hammack and Atlanta Fed President Bostic remarks ⚠️ Note: Shutdown risk applies to BEA and Census releases marked with ⚠️ Confirmed live data include Jobless Claims, FOMC decisions, and Fed speeches — these will drive most of the week’s price action. Friday’s PCE print (if released) remains the key inflation gauge. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #Powell #FOMC #PCE #GDP #JoblessClaims #inflation #bonds #yields #economy #macro
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
1
NZDUSD Faces Pressure as Hawkish Fed Supports Dollar Strength!!!Hey Traders, in tomorrow’s trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around the 0.57450 zone. The pair is trading within a broader downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the trendline and resistance area at 0.57450. From a fundamental perspective, the Federal Reserve’s recent hawkish remarks—hinting that rate cuts in December are unlikely—have provided renewed support for the U.S. Dollar, adding downside pressure to risk-linked currencies like the NZD. If the pair rejects the 0.57450 zone with strong bearish momentum, further continuation toward recent lows could be expected. Trade safe, Joe
Short
by JoeChampion
3
BTCUSD — TP1 Hit | Structure Validation Bitcoin tagged its first target at 111,066, wrapping up another disciplined weekend for structured traders.The move is still unfolding, completing the measured leg mapped last week. Price action remains just behind Thursday’s range as the market quietly fills the week’s single-prints near 111,629. Technical View BTC continues to trade inside its mid-range structure. The current rotation follows a clean, measured rhythm — confirming that prior resistance has been absorbed. Next focal zone: 111,900, where untested liquidity remains. A sustained break above that region would signal continuation; a rejection keeps us boxed in for another session. Macro Overview Dollar Index (DXY): Holding near 106, giving mild support to risk assets. Rates: U.S. 10-year yields steady around 4.25 %, showing markets in “wait mode.” Seasonality: Early November typically brings moderate inflows after October volatility. Expect slower rotations until U.S. sessions return to full volume. Volume / Flow Weekend turnover reached roughly $23 billion across BTC pairs — moderate and balanced. Order flow stayed clean, with no signs of forced liquidation or excess speculation. Plan Keep it simple: 111.9 k = magnet zone. We’re still in range logic — control, not chase. Note The system did what it’s designed to do: read rhythm, not emotion. Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CORE5DAN