EUR/USD Set to Test Key Support Level!Hello everyone, the EUR/USD chart currently shows a clear bearish structure. After failing to break the strong resistance at 1.17100, the market has reversed and is forming lower highs and lows. The key support level at 1.16100 is crucial to watch. If the price breaks this support, the pair may continue its strong downtrend, targeting 1.15300.
News supporting the bearish trend:
FOMC minutes: With a dovish FOMC minutes, the USD is likely to continue strengthening, putting pressure on EUR/USD.
Initial jobless claims: Negative data from jobless claims reinforces the bullish trend of USD, pushing EUR/USD lower.
Weak PMI: The weakening PMI indicators from the Eurozone increase the likelihood of EUR/USD continuing its downtrend.
Strategy:
Wait for a break below 1.16100 to enter a SELL trade, targeting 1.15300 as the next levels.
Technical Analysis
Is Gold About to Explode?Hello traders, today we can see gold making a strong recovery from the support level around 3,300 USD. If the price can break through the immediate resistance at 3,372 USD , gold could reach the target of 3,406 USD . The upward trend is supported by successive higher highs and lows, along with the EMA lines.
News Supporting the Bullish Trend:
The FOMC meeting minutes are dovish, jobless claims are higher than expected, and the PMI data is weaker than forecast, all indicating a weak economy. This could lead the Fed to maintain a loose monetary policy, weakening the USD. When the USD weakens, gold becomes more attractive, encouraging investors to turn to gold as a safe-haven asset, driving the price higher.
Conclusion: Based on both fundamental and technical factors, XAUUSD is trending upwards, supported by dovish FOMC minutes, high jobless claims, and weak PMI data. The next targets are 3,372 USD and 3,406 USD.
Strategy:
Buy if the price breaks above 3,372 USD, with a target of 3,406 USD.
Place a stop loss below 3,316 USD to protect capital.
BTC Explodes: Heading Towards New Targets!The BTC/USDT chart shows a strong upward trend, with the price currently trading within a stable ascending channel. Bitcoin has rebounded from the support level at 3,314.700 USD and is now heading towards the next target at 3,372 USD. This price structure, with higher highs and higher lows, indicates that the bullish trend is strengthening. If BTC remains above the support level at 3,334 USD, the probability of continuing the upward movement towards 3,372 USD is very high.
News Supporting the Uptrend:
FOMC Minutes: The dovish tone from the FOMC has weakened the USD, which supports BTC's upward trend.
Jobless Claims: Higher-than-expected jobless claims data signals a weaker economy, pushing BTC higher.
PMI Index: Weak PMI figures reinforce the decline of the USD and create favorable conditions for BTC's price increase.
Trading Strategy:
Buy when BTC stays above the current support level, targeting the next level at 3,372 USD. Protect capital with a reasonable stop loss.
CADCHF: Pullback Will Continue 🇨🇦🇨🇭
There is a high chance that CADCHF will go up from the underlined
support cluster.
The price formed an ascending triangle pattern on that on an hourly time frame
during the Asian session.
Goal - 0.5814
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GOLD 4H - all eyes on 3350, death cross at workThe technical picture on gold strengthens the bearish case: on the 4H chart, a death cross (MA50 crossing MA200 downward) has formed, signaling short-term pressure from sellers. The key sell zone is 3350, where the 0.618 Fibonacci, descending trendline, and volume cluster converge. From here, a downward move is expected with first targets at 3311, then 3285, and extended potential towards 3270 (127.2–161.8 Fibo). Volume confirms declining buyer interest near local highs, while RSI shows reversal divergence, adding weight to the bearish scenario.
Fundamentally , gold is under pressure as the market factors in the possibility of more aggressive Fed actions if inflation risks persist. At the same time, safe-haven demand is weakening due to DXY stabilization. Geopolitics is not providing immediate triggers for gold hedging, which also cools investor interest.
Tactical plan: if 3350 acts as resistance, it opens an attractive short opportunity toward the mentioned targets. However, if price breaks and consolidates above 3350, the scenario must be reassessed as stop-hunting will begin.
Ironically, gold - the eternal store of value - acts like a teenager again: offended at 3350 and ready for a tantrum downwards.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Thursday, August 21, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for Thursday, August 21, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
Tech jitters spill as Jackson Hole kicks off. Global equities slipped following a tech sell‑off driven by concerns over U.S. intervention in chipmakers, while traders await Fed Chair Powell’s policy cues. AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:TLT under pressure as rate‑cut expectations waver.
Sony hikes PS5 prices amid tariffs. Effective August 21, PlayStation 5 models in the U.S. see a $50 price increase—tariff impact spilling into consumer electronics. Raises inflation whispers amid already elevated tech cost narrative.
Healthcare activism heats up. Boards at firms like Medtronic, Pfizer, and Novo Nordisk shift under investor pressure—governance shake‑ups adding a layer of corporate risk and potential M&A signals.
⏱ Key Data Releases & Events (ET)
10:00 AM — Advance Services Report (Q2) (Census bureau). Quarterly weight of service economy—strong print supports Pro side of markets; weak could dial back rate‑cut hopes.
10:00 AM — Summer Youth Labor Force Survey (Annual). Goes with job‑market narrative from July—may tweak Fed sentiment depending on labor softening/stability.
Jackson Hole Symposium begins. Markets now fully focused on Powell; tone could make or break short‑term equity and bond positions.
⚠ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #Fed #JacksonHole #SPY #SPX #TLT #Sony #tech #tariffs #services #labor #activism #healthcare
EURUSD is Nearing 1.17500 Important Resistance!!!Hey traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.17500 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.17500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURAUD is Nearing a Strong Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURAUD for a buying opportunity around 1.78900 zone, EURAUD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.78900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAUUSD Daily Plan | Gold Awaits FOMC – Liquidity Hunt in ActionXAUUSD Daily Plan | Gold Awaits FOMC – Liquidity Hunt in Action
Gold continued to move lower into liquidity during the late US session yesterday and reacted strongly at the BUY ZONE 3314 – 3316 (MMFLOW Entry), already giving more than +70 pips profit so far ✅.
On the M5 – M15 short-term structure, Gold is showing a mild recovery. However, for buyers to take control, price must break the resistance at 3320 – 3322 with strong volume. A confirmed breakout here can trigger further upside momentum and retest higher KeyLevels.
📈 Upside Targets (Intraday): 333x and 334x – these levels may act as Take-Profit zones for longs or potential SELL opportunities in line with the corrective channel on M30 – H1.
🔔 Fundamental Focus – FOMC Meeting Ahead
Today, the FOMC meeting will be the key event during the US session. Traders are waiting for clues about the Fed’s rate decision. Any dovish signals about a possible rate cut in September could be the catalyst for a strong Gold rally, breaking the current bearish channel.
👉 During the Asia – Europe sessions, intraday bias remains bullish towards 333x – 334x, where we will also watch for selling opportunities.
⚠️ During the US session, expect high volatility with FOMC, so manage risk carefully.
📉 Technical Trading Plan
🔹 BUY Scalp Setup
Entry: 3311 – 3309
SL: 3305
TP: 3315 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360+
🔹 BUY Zone (FOMC Plan)
Entry: 3290 – 3288
SL: 3282
TP: 3295 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370+
🔸 SELL Scalp Setup
Entry: 3342 – 3344
SL: 3348
TP: 3338 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320
🔸 SELL Zone (FOMC Plan)
Entry: 3360 – 3362
SL: 3368
TP: 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330
⚠️ Trading Notes
FOMC will bring high-impact volatility – stay alert.
Stick to TP/SL discipline and risk management to protect capital.
Remember: KeyLevels = Profits ✅
Swing Trading Basic- How to Select a Stock for SwingHow to identify a Swing Trading Set up.
Let's take an Example of "Arihant Capital Fin". During that Reversal, price start floating above 20 MA. That's an early sign- Real Time EOD Price is now trending above 20 Day's Average price. It means now price is above monthly Average (22 Trading Days /Month).
Additionally, Volume confirmation also suggest same trend direction (During June 2025). Moreover 20 MA stops decline, pauses & starts it's reversal Journey. Exactly from hereon, if Price starts giving VCP or 20 MA Supporting scenario, get ready for a Swing Trade in such Stocks. You'll see in the chart, every dip to 20 MA was bought nicely.
This is not a buying/ trading advise. Market Factor, Stock & Sector specifics, needs to be considered for trading. Every stock has it's own soul of price movement. This is a psychological journey than Scanning, indicators & Technical skills. You'll master it if you repeatedly practice min 20 charts a Day for at least 6 months!
Wish you Happy Trading & Happy Learning!
USDCAD: Overbought Market & Pullback 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD looks overbought after a yesterday's bullish rally.
The price reached a key daily resistance and I see a confirmed
bearish breakout of a support line of a rising channel on an hourly time frame.
I expect a retracement at least to 1.3864 support.
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EURJPY: Bullish Move After Liquidity Grab 🇪🇺🇯🇵
It looks like we have a huge bearish trap after a
test of a solid rising trend line on a daily.
I see multiple strong bullish confirmations on an hourly:
a bullish imbalance candle and a bullish change of character.
I think that the price may rise to 172.0 level.
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GBPUSD Trend Update – Following the ChannelGBPUSD Trend Update – Following the Channel
The GBPUSD pair is currently moving within a well-defined descending channel. Price behaviour in currency pairs often shows more sustainability, as their values are consistently balanced by fiscal and monetary policies. This makes the present structure an important reference for the coming sessions.
On the H1 timeframe, the 1.3400 level appears to be the next key area to watch. Price may either start a new bullish leg from here or at least stage a meaningful corrective bounce within the channel. This area could also serve as a potential long-term buying zone for GBPUSD.
Until then, traders can take advantage of intraday reactions when price retests the descending trendline near 1.3490 and 1.3445. These levels provide opportunities for short-term scalping setups, with profit targets of around 30–40 pips.
Meanwhile, the 1.3600 region stands as a solid resistance zone. If the long scenario plays out, this would be an important target for longs, or alternatively, a strong level to consider short positions for those looking at longer-term setups.
Overall, the channel is holding well and offering clear structure for trade planning. Traders can use this framework to align entries with market behaviour.
#GBPUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trendline #ChannelTrading #Scalping #SwingTrading
Gold Rejecting Resistance After Liquidity Grab – Bow & Arrow SetThis is a textbook liquidity grab + rejection setup.
Price executed a liquidity grab above structure, shooting into previous highs to build momentum for the drop — classic bow and arrow effect.
After sweeping stops and pulling back, price retested the nearest resistance (around 3,324–3,325), but hasn’t broken the body high — this confirms sellers are still active.
The push down was strong enough to reach the 4H support zone, and although price bounced, it looks like a temporary pullback rather than a reversal.
As long as price stays below 3,347, this short bias holds. The structure still supports downside continuation unless a clear breakout occurs.
Bias:
Bearish — expecting continuation down toward 3,312 and possibly back to test 3,307.
Gold Respecting Key Support — Downtrend Still Active on the 4HPrice on XAUUSD is currently hovering around the 3,324 zone, reacting to a clear support area that’s held firm since the last major dip.
The uptrend is no longer valid — it's been broken multiple times and has now been decisively rejected.
We’re still trading below a short-term descending trendline, which remains active.
A prior liquidity sweep below support (around 3,247.54) may have been a fakeout to trap late sellers.
If price fails to break the short-term trendline, this bounce could be short-lived.
However, a clean breakout above the trendline could open up retracements toward the 3,360–3,384 area.
Stay alert for a retest of support at 3,310–3,324, and watch how price behaves near the trendline before considering entries.
Bias:
Neutral to Slightly Bearish — Until trendline break is confirmed, downside continuation is still on the table.
ETH at $4,100 – Can Bulls Defend Key Support Before FOMC..?ETH + FOMC = Volatility Ahead ? 🔥
Ethereum at Make-or-Break Zone: $4,100 Support in Focus!
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the 4H timeframe is showing a decisive battle between bulls and bears. After topping near $4,700, ETH has been in a steady downtrend, respecting the descending trendline.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
* Immediate Support: $4,100 – $4,150 (0.5 Fib retracement)
* Major Support: $3,950 – $4,000 (0.618 Fib retracement)
* Resistance Zone: $4,300 – $4,350 (descending trendline)
* Major Resistance: $4,600 – $4,700 (recent swing high)
📈 Bullish Scenario
✅ A breakout above $4,300 trendline resistance could trigger strong momentum toward $4,500 - $4,600.
✅ Holding $4,100 support will keep buyers in control.
📉 Bearish Scenario
❌ If ETH fails to hold $4,100, expect a deeper retracement toward $4,000 (0.618 Fib).
❌ A break below $3,950 may extend the fall to $3,700 – $3,600.
⚠️ Market Note
📌 Today’s FOMC meeting could heavily impact the crypto market trend.
Expect volatility as Fed commentary on interest rates may guide ETH’s next major move.
⚖️ Conclusion
ETH is at a critical support zone where the next move will define short-term direction.
* Above $4,300 → Bulls regain control.
* Below $4,100 → Bears target $4,000 and lower.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Wednesday, August 20, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / CBOE:SPX Scenarios for Wednesday, August 20, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News
Jackson Hole in focus; dollar firms. Traders lean ~84% odds of a 25bp cut in September; watch TVC:DXY vs. $SPY/ NASDAQ:TLT as Powell risk approaches.
Retail baton passes from HD to LOW/TGT. After HD’s hold-guidance rally, attention shifts to Lowe’s/Target for read-throughs on DIY vs. pro spend and tariff pass-through.
Risk tone jittery into minutes. Tech led a pullback Tuesday; positioning lightens ahead of Fed minutes and Jackson Hole.
📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET)
7:00 AM — MBA Mortgage Applications (weekly). Prior: +10.9% w/w (8/13). Why it matters: housing demand pulse → rates/affordability → AMEX:XHB and growth tone.
10:30 AM — EIA Weekly Petroleum Status. Prior crude change: +3.036M bbl. Why it matters: oil balance → gasoline/diesel → inflation & AMEX:XLE path.
1:00 PM — U.S. 20-Year Treasury Auction. Typical close: 1:00 ET; also 17-week bill today. Why it matters: term-premium & risk appetite; tails/stop-throughs can shake $TLT/$TNX.
2:00 PM — FOMC Minutes (July 29–30). Watch for: depth of cut debate, tariffs → inflation, labor cooling. Why it matters: reprices path-of-rates across curve and equities.
Earnings (before open): LOW, TGT, TJX, ADI (+ others). Why it matters: U.S. consumer & capex reads; category mix shifts. Lowe’s call 9:00 AM.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #FOMCMinutes #JacksonHole #DXY #TLT #XLE #LOW #TGT #TJX #ADI
LTC long settupLTC is retracing to a rising support around 110. I will be entering long at 110 with a 1/5 RR settup targeting the top rising resitance line. The stop loss will be set at the 101.19.
RR:1/5
TP: 137.08
SL: 101.19
Potential Percentage Gain: %24.5
Potential Percentage Loss: %7.9
Not financial advice. Do your own DD. Thanks for viewing the idea.
XAUUSD Update | Gold Builds Energy Ahead of FOMCGold continues to consolidate within a tight range, with selling pressure becoming more visible. With just over a day left until the FOMC meeting – a key event that could set the tone for the next major trend – the market seems to be loading up for a liquidity sweep.
👉 While price action may look messy and indecisive, for KeyLevel traders, this is the perfect hunting ground. Liquidity zones are being respected with precision, offering clean setups for those who understand MMFLOW structures.
📉 Market Outlook
Primary Bias: Short-term corrective downside.
Possible Play: Liquidity grab into the 331x area before a strong rebound higher.
🔑 Key Trading Levels
Sell Zone: 3340 – 3345 | Tight SL: 4 – 5 pts
🎯 Targets: 3325 → 3317 → stretch 3310
📌 Note: Stay disciplined around these KeyLevels. One sharp BreakOut post-FOMC could trigger the next big directional move.
✨ As always with MMFLOW: KeyLevels = Profits ✅
🔥 Follow MMFLOW TRADING to catch daily setups, smart money footprints, and precision KeyLevels.
Gold – US Session Trend UpdateGold – US Session Trend Update
During today’s US session, gold once again rejected selling pressure around the 3326 zone. This is the third time price has bounced from this level, and once again it quickly recovered, gaining more than 10 dollars after failing to confirm a bearish continuation.
From a trendline perspective, the price is consolidating within a narrowing channel. This typically signals that a stronger move is approaching once the market breaks out of the channel. While a breakout may not happen immediately today, this setup provides a clear framework for entering trades once confirmation comes, regardless of timing.
The key resistance to watch sits at 3345. A strong H1 close above this level would confirm renewed bullish momentum and open the way for further upside. On the other hand, if 3326 is broken decisively, especially after holding three times, the market could see a sharp downward continuation in line with Dow Theory.
At the moment, traders may consider short-term opportunities within the 3326–3345 range, particularly on lower intraday timeframes like M5, to capture quick profits. Once price breaks decisively out of the channel, swing entries in the direction of the breakout become more favourable.
Successful setups often come from patience. Waiting for the market to confirm direction before committing to larger positions will always provide better odds in the long run.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trendline #Forex #UKTrading #SwingTrading #Scalping
GBPAUD: Bullish Wave Will Continue 🇬🇧🇦🇺
On a today's live stream, we discussed GBPAUD.
The price successfully violated both a falling trend line
and a strong horizontal resistance on a daily.
The next historic resistance is 2.095.
It will be the next goal for the bulls.
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XAUUSD: Key Support Under ThreatXAUUSD is currently trading in a clear downward channel. After failing to break the strong resistance at 3,375, the price has reversed and is now testing the important support at 3,330. If this support level is broken, the bearish trend is likely to continue towards the next targets at 3,320 and 3,280.
The market structure indicates that selling pressure is dominant, with the price consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. A break of 3,330 will confirm a strong decline, opening up selling opportunities with targets at lower support levels.
Traders should keep an eye on the support at 3,330; if broken, a sell order should be prioritized, with the next targets at 3,320 and 3,280.
GBPNZD: Important Breakout & Bullish Wave Ahead 🇬🇧🇳🇿
Important event happened on GBPNZD.
The price successfully violated a major daily resistance cluster
and closed above that.
We see a strong bullish reaction to that after its retest.
I think that, with a high probability, the market will continue rising.
Next resistance - 2.295
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