AUD/USD: Buy Opportunity, Forecast for Continued Rise!The AUD/USD pair has shown strong signs of upward movement in recent days. This is especially true in the context of strong economic data from Australia, particularly core inflation, and the expectation that the RBA will not cut interest rates in the short term, which has strengthened the AUD. Additionally, the market continues to maintain confidence in Australia's monetary policies.
The 4-hour chart shows that the AUD/USD pair is in a clear uptrend, breaking through previous resistance levels and staying above the rising trendline. The pair is now approaching the resistance at 0.66500; if this level is broken, the price could continue to rise towards 0.66800 or higher in the short term. The nearest support level is 0.65800, where the price is creating a new bottom and maintaining the upward trend.
Conclusion: With strong economic data and support from solid resistance levels, AUD/USD is likely to continue rising in the short term. Traders can consider buying near the 0.65800 support zone with a target towards 0.66500.
Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) - Daily Retracement into Fair Value Gap (FVG)Prior Bullish Move & Sharp Reversal: The chart shows a strong rally throughout late September and early October, followed by a dramatic and impulsive bearish reversal starting around October 24th.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) is clearly defined by the gray shaded box. This gap represents an area of price inefficiency created during the aggressive drop.
The price is currently trading within the lower boundary of this FVG (the current price is around $3,983.70).
CRT-L (Consequent Retracement Low): The upper line of the FVG (around $4,070) is the price level that marked the top of the range.
CRT-H (Consequent Retracement High): The lower line (around $3,935) appears to mark the 50% midpoint of the large down candle that created the FVG, or possibly a key level within the gap.
Proposed Price Action:
The current price action suggests an immediate continuation of the drop (indicated by the large green arrow) towards the CRT-H level ($3,935).
The curved black arrow suggests an alternative or subsequent scenario: the price might retest the upper part of the FVG (near $4,000) before making its eventual move.
Interpretation & Trading Bias
The overall bias is bearish due to the magnitude and speed of the recent drop.
The immediate focus of the analysis seems to be on a potential move lower to fill the remaining portion of the FVG, specifically targeting the CRT-H level. The FVG itself acts as a large zone of resistance and price mitigation. The daily timeframe suggests this drop is part of a major structural shift.
KSMUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 10.115BINANCE:KSMUSDT.P remains in consolidation, clearly confirming the level — no false breakouts or sweeps, just consistent touches and short pullbacks. The asset has held this structure for nearly two weeks and will eventually break out. In my view, the likely scenario is a short below 10.115.
Today, the asset has already tested the level once and is gradually approaching it again. Maintaining low volatility during this approach will be important.
Key factors for this scenario:
Global & local trend alignment
Volatility contraction on approach
Prolonged consolidation
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Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) – Bulls Still Holding the Door OpenWhat a ride it’s been for OPEN!
Back in early July 2025, the stock finally broke above its 50-day MA, and that was the spark that started an incredible rally — all the way to a major resistance zone from June 2022.
Then, as always, the market had to test everyone’s patience — a shooting star reversal formed, price pulled back into the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci zone, and built a solid double bottom.
Once that double bottom broke out around 13–14 August, it was rocket fuel — a massive +247% run until 11 September 2025! 🚀
Since that peak, OPEN has been cooling off — retracing with low volume and shaping a falling wedge, which usually hints at bullish continuation. The price even bounced at EMA-50 and printed a hammer candle, showing that buyers are still defending the trend.
As long as the price holds above $6.23 (hammer support), bulls are still in charge.
Break that level? Then the bears might finally get a turn.
Until then — the door’s still open for another breakout! 😉
Trade Idea 💡
Bullish scenario: Wait for a breakout above the falling wedge with volume — that’s your green light.
Support to watch: $6.23 (hammer low).
Stop loss: Just below that support.
Take profit: Trail as long as price stays above the MA-50 or aim for the $13.70 zone .
Kaspa Completes A Correction After A Huge SpikeKaspa Completes A Correction After A Huge Spike that can be supportive, as we see a corrective structure within the uptrend by Elliott wave theory.
Kaspa is a proof-of-work (PoW) cryptocurrency that uses the novel GHOSTDAG protocol (a block-DAG consensus rather than a single linear chain) to allow many blocks to be produced more rapidly and co-exist. It was launched without an ICO / pre-mine (fair launch) and positions itself as more scalable than many PoW chains. Because of this, it has attracted interest as a “next-gen PoW” or “fast chain” alternative.
Kaspa’s sell-off appears of a combination of leveraged long liquidations intensifying a move down, weak macro/altcoin sentiment and structural risks (adoption/supply concentration). Despite a massive price drop, sparking fear and pessimism across the market, such deep pullbacks often create opportunity rather than signal failure. Despite the volatility, Kaspa’s fundamentals remain solid. Its innovative GHOSTDAG technology, fair launch, and strong network activity continue to set it apart. When fear dominates and sentiment turns overly negative, it can actually be a supportive setup for long-term investors looking to accumulate quality projects at discounted levels.
From Elliott wave perspective, KASUSD(Kaspa) spiked down out of a wave B triangle pattern into wave C, so it’s a higher degree ABC correction. It still looks promising for the future, and we may still see some rally in the current bullish cycle. Bullish confirmation is above 0.091 area.
GBPJPY – Bearish Divergence Playing Out | Watch the Gap FillGBPJPY is moving perfectly within its symmetrical channel, showing a clean rejection from the 204.00 zone (PDH) — a strong area that has triggered clear selling pressure.
Now price is heading toward the 0.618 Fib zone around 200.50–199.80 (Gape still open), where we could expect a short-term reaction. If buyers fail to defend this zone, the next wave of bearish continuation could unfold.
1H Timeframe:
We have a crystal-clear bearish divergence in play, confirming weakness as the pair continues to print lower highs and lower lows with strong bearish momentum.
Daily Timeframe:
Price has shown a strong rejection from the pivot zone, and a gap remains unfilled, suggesting we could see a move lower to fill it before a possible bullish correction. The overall higher-timeframe (daily) structure still leans uptrend, but short-term bias remains bearish until the gap is filled.
Key Zones:
Resistance: 203.50–204.00 (Supply Zone / PDH)
Support: 202.022-201.200 (0.618 Fib Zone)
Bias: Short-term bearish | Medium-term bullish after gap fill
SOFI — Bullish Breakout with Strong VolumeSOFI has broken out to a new all-time high with strong volume, signaling strong buying pressure and renewed bullish momentum.
The stock remains in a clear uptrend, trading above the 50-day EMA. Recently, SOFI rebounded perfectly at the EMA 50, confirming it as a strong dynamic support zone. The bullish pennant pattern breakout further strengthens the case for a trend continuation.
The uptrend line is still intact, and as long as the price holds above the EMA 50, the bullish outlook remains valid.
Entry Price : 31.00 - 32.00
Stop Loss: Below EMA 50 (~26.80–26.90)
Targets: 35.00 and 38.00
IBM Bullish: Flag Breakout Toward 335–345IBM on the 1D chart has reversed higher since mid-August, sprinted to a new high at $319.35, and is now digesting in a classic bull-flag. Price is hovering near $312.57, with the flag’s upper boundary around $315 and a well-defined demand zone turned support at $299.50. Trend structure remains constructive (price above key MAs), but momentum has cooled during consolidation—exactly what you want to see if a continuation is coming.
Primary path: a daily close above $319.50 with expanding volume would confirm the flag and open room toward $335 first, with a stretch objective near $345. For traders preferring pullbacks, an orderly dip into $299.50–$305 that holds bid would keep the pattern intact and can set the stage for another test of $319.35.
Alternative: failure to hold $299.50 on a sustained daily close invalidates the immediate bullish read and shifts risk toward $305 initially, then $295 and even $285 if sellers press the breakdown. Invalidation for the upside thesis sits cleanly below $299.50; the setup improves materially only on a break-and-hold back above $315–$319.35.
This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
AMD Bullish Breakout: Flag Resolution Toward 278–290AMD on the 1D chart is pausing after a powerful October run from ~170 to above 260, with a clear Bullish Flag forming. The prior swing high near 264.58 is the immediate ceiling. Price holds above all key MAs, with the MA20 around 222.61 acting as nearest dynamic support, while the MA60 aligns with structural support near 183.87. Bollinger Bands remain expanded, and momentum is constructive but cooling—typical of a digestion phase before the next leg.
Primary path: a break-and-daily-close above ~265 with rising volume would confirm the flag and open a push toward the upper band/prior extremes around 278 first, then 290, with a stretch objective near 300 if momentum expands. If buyers don’t get the close, a controlled pullback into 222–225 (MA20 area) could offer a higher-low retest before another attempt higher.
Invalidate the short-term bullish thesis on a daily close below 220. That would shift risk toward the 185 area (183.87) where the MA60 and prior breakout structure converge. Until confirmation, position sizing should remain moderate; if the breakout triggers, trail risk under reclaimed levels to protect gains.
This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
F Bullish Flag: Breakout Toward 14.50Ford (F) on the 1D chart is trending higher after an early-October surge from ~12.50 to ~13.97 on heavy volume. Price has since eased into a tight consolidation that reads like a bullish flag, with momentum still constructive above the rising 20/60/120-day MAs. Bollinger Bands that exploded on the breakout are now contracting, hinting at energy building for the next move.
The primary path is continuation: a daily close above ~13.50 (flag resistance) with an uptick in volume opens a run back to the October high near 13.90–14.00, with 14.50 as a measured-move objective. On pullbacks, the 12.55–12.70 area—former resistance and now a Demand zone—is the first spot buyers are likely to defend. If bulls control the breakout, trailing into strength and trimming near 13.90–14.00 makes sense before aiming for 14.50.
If price cannot clear 13.50 and instead closes below ~12.50, expect the flag to fail and momentum to cool toward 12.60, with risk of a deeper check toward the mid-term trend support. The bullish thesis is invalidated on a decisive daily close below ~12.20 (beneath the 20-day MA), which is the clean line in the sand for risk.
This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
XLMUSD — Bullish Continuation Valid While Red B HoldsFrom the top-down view, XLM completed a deep corrective structure that bottomed inside the previous WCL (blue box). The current sequence builds a new bullish cycle , with the red ABC wave mapping cleanly against both structural and liquidity geometry.
Price reacted strongly from the red BC demand zone , producing a local yellow ABC micro-sequence. The setup anticipates continuation toward the upper WCL region (0.38 – 0.42) .
The re-entry area sits near the mid-trend retest—confirmation required via MSS + FVG displacement.
Invalidation:
This idea remains bullish until the red B low is broken . Violation of that pivot voids the wave count and resumes the broader correction.
Strengths: – Multi-timeframe alignment (macro + micro)
– BC demand reaction with displacement
– Defined invalidation under red B (lowest-risk logical stop)
Weaknesses:
– Correlation drag if majors retrace
– Shallow pullbacks may induce premature MSS signals
Summary:
Bulls control the rhythm while red B stands. Break B — and the music stops.
Best Harmonic Patterns For Beginners in Forex Gold Trading
In the today's article, I will share with you 4 best harmonic patterns for beginners. We will discuss the structure of each pattern and the rules.
Harmonic ABCD Pattern
That pattern is based on 3 legs of a price movement:
AB leg - impulse leg,
BC leg - retracement with the range of XA leg,
CD leg - impulse leg that has the same direction, the same time horizon and the same length as the XA leg
AB and BC legs should be equal or almost equal, that makes the pattern harmonic.
The completion point of the pattern - D point can be applied for predicting a pullback.
ABCD pattern can be bullish and bearish.
In a bullish ABCD pattern, AB leg is bearish.
D point of the pattern will be a safe point to buy from.
In a bearish ABCD pattern, AB leg is bullish.
D point will be a safe place to sell from.
The next 3 patterns will be based on 4 legs of a move:
XA, AB, BC, CD and will have XABCD structure with the initial point of the pattern being X point.
D point will be a completion point of the pattern from where a pullback will be anticipated.
The type of the harmonic pattern will be identified with Fibonacci numbers. The exact placement of each point of the pattern will define the name of the pattern.
Harmonic Gartley Pattern
In Harmonic Gartley,
B point of the pattern should strictly be between 618 and 786 retracement of the XA leg.
C point should lie between 618 and 786 retracement of AB leg.
D point will be 1.272 extension of AB leg.
Bullish Gartley Pattern will be based on a bullish XA leg.
Bearish Gartley will be based on a bearish XA leg.
Harmonic Bat Pattern
In Harmonic Bat,
B point of the pattern should strictly be between 50 and 618 retracement of the XA leg.
C point should lie between 618 and 1 retracement of AB leg.
D point will be 886 retracement of XA leg.
Bullish Bat Pattern will be based on a bullish XA leg.
Bearish Bat will be based on a bearish XA leg.
Harmonic Cypher Pattern
In Harmonic Cypher,
B point of the pattern should strictly be between 382 and 618 retracement of the XA leg.
C point should lie between 1.272 and 1.414 extension of XA leg.
D point will be 786 retracement of XC leg.
Bullish Cypher will be based on a bullish XA leg.
Bearish Cypher will be based on a bearish XA leg.
These patterns are phenomenally accurate and they are very simple to recognize.
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XAU/USD Strong Rally: Will Gold Continue Its Upward Trend?XAU/USD has experienced a strong recovery , bouncing back from the key support zone around 3,950,000. This short-term rebound is driven by a combination of factors, especially the positive market sentiment following expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates. Hopes for economic stimulus measures have increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, particularly in the context of economic and geopolitical instability .
Looking at the chart, we can see that the price of gold is respecting an upward trendline, creating higher lows. This indicates that the bullish momentum remains intact after recent pullbacks. The price is currently hovering around 4,018,210, near a short-term resistance zone.
Support Zone: The most recent low near 3,950,000 has held strong, acting as a key support level.
Resistance Zone: The short-term resistance lies around 4,080,000, which is a critical level to watch if the upward momentum continues. A break above this level could lead to further upward movement.
The next market move will depend on whether the price can maintain the 4,000,000 level. Traders should monitor price action around these key levels to confirm a breakout or a correction.
AUDUSD – corrective math in motion.Price retraces into the prior order block that broke structure, completing a textbook ABC correction inside a premium zone. Liquidity pools just above IDM hint at a sweep before continuation toward 0.63.
Strengths :
Confluence between wave symmetry, premium retracement, and liquidity structure. Clear invalidation point above IDM keeps risk defined.
Weaknesses :
AUD fundamentals (RBA policy shifts, USD softness) could disrupt structure-based setups. No confirmed momentum shift yet on lower timeframes — patience required.
SmellyTaz — decoding chaos .
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Consolidation Ahead of FOMC
Dollar Index weakens ahead of FED rate decision today.
The market formed a symmetrical triangle pattern on a daily.
A breakout of one of its boundaries after an interest rate decision
announcement will accurately indicate a future direction of the market.
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Gold Recovers 1000 Pips Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus📊 Market Overview
After a sharp selloff that shook long positions, Gold has rebounded nearly 1000 pips, recovering from the 388x area toward 398x ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting.
Despite the short-term recovery, Gold remains down around 3.5% this week, reflecting cautious sentiment as traders reposition before the Fed decision and amid fading U.S.–China trade tensions.
Currently, price is trading near $3,980–3,990 during the Asian session, consolidating under the psychological $4,000 zone.
💎 Technical Outlook (H1–M15)
Gold continues to trade within a short-term ascending channel, forming a corrective recovery inside a broader downtrend.
Immediate Support Zones:
• 3,961 – 3,937 → Trendline retest & OBS Buy Zone
• 3,918 → Structural invalidation area
Resistance & Key Reaction Levels:
• 4,018 – 4,085 → Mid-term key resistance
• 4,094 – 4,102 → Major Sell Zone (Fibo 1.5–1.618 confluence)
📍If Gold breaks and holds above 4,018, momentum could extend toward 4,085 – 4,102, where strong selling pressure may reappear.
📍If the price rejects at 4,094 – 4,102, expect a corrective move back toward 3,961 – 3,937, aligning with the channel base and trendline retest.
🌍 Macro Context – FOMC Ahead
Markets expect the Fed to cut rates by another 25bps, following September’s “risk management” cut.
However, if Powell’s tone turns hawkish, Gold could face renewed downside pressure as rate-cut expectations fade, particularly for December.
Conversely, a cautious or dovish tone emphasizing inflation risks and slower growth could boost Gold above $4,100 in the short term.
Meanwhile, easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China and the ongoing equity rally may continue to limit safe-haven demand.
🧭 Summary
Gold is holding a short-term recovery bias, yet the medium-term trend remains fragile ahead of the FOMC.
Expect volatility around the 4,000–4,100 zone, with the Fed statement likely to set the next major direction.
🛡️ Stay patient — liquidity builds before clarity, and key reactions around $4,094–4,102 will reveal the next macro impulse.
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to struggle amid renewed optimism around US–China trade talks.
The shift in sentiment has reduced safe-haven demand, while softer expectations of further Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar capped — offering limited downside support for XAUUSD.
However, the technical landscape remains clearly bearish.
The break below the $4,000 handle confirms continuation of the downtrend first outlined in early-week plans.
📊 Technical Analysis
Structure: Gold maintains a clean bearish channel on the H1–H4 frame.
Immediate resistance: $3,985 – $4,000 (former support, now supply zone).
Target zones:
• Short-term liquidity area near $3,925–$3,930
• Extended target sits around $3,880–$3,860, aligning with Fibo 1.618.
Invalidation: Only a sustained break and hold above $4,020–$4,030 would neutralize this short-term bearish bias.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the broken $4,000 zone and fails to regain it,
expect sellers to extend control toward $3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC meeting.
That event may later define the next recovery point — but for now, momentum remains firmly on the downside.
⚜️ Summary
Gold’s recent slide isn’t random — it’s structural.
The market is rebalancing after excessive bullish sentiment,
and liquidity below $3,900 is likely to attract attention before any significant rebound.
Watch the reaction near $3,920–$3,880 —
that’s where the next meaningful decision for gold may emerge.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
IFL Finance Limited BUY Setup Entry: ₹506-508 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹516-520
Target 2: ₹525-530
Stop Loss: ₹495
Technical Rationale:
Stock trading above EMA (469.90), showing bullish momentum
RSI at 68.69 indicating strength but not yet overbought
Price consolidating in a rectangular pattern between 490-507
Recent breakout with strong volume (2.38M)
Support from rising trendline visible
+4.43% gain today shows buying interest
Risk-Reward: Favorable 1:2+ ratio
VST Tillers: Explosive Volume Breakout! Target 5,900+BUY Setup 🚜
Entry: ₹5,703-5,720 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹5,779-5,800
Target 2: ₹5,887-5,900
Target 3: ₹6,000+ (Extended)
Stop Loss: ₹5,620
Technical Rationale:
Massive volume spike (8.71K) - highest in recent period, highlighted with blue arrow
Strong bullish momentum with +5.23% surge today
Breaking out from consolidation range (5,460-5,700)
Price moving above resistance zone marked at 5,700
Rounding bottom formation visible - classic bullish reversal
RSI around 65, showing strength with room for upside
Volume confirmation is exceptional - institutional buying evident
Agricultural/tractor sector showing renewed interest
Two major resistance levels clearly marked at 5,779 and 5,887
Support established at breakout zone (5,650-5,680)
Risk-Reward: Strong 1:3+ ratio
Pattern: Rounding bottom breakout with exceptional volume - highly reliable bullish signal
Strategy: Short to medium-term swing - Book 30% at T1 (5,790), 30% at T2 (5,890), trail remaining with SL at 5,720 after T1
Key Catalysts:
Volume explosion indicating smart money accumulation
Agricultural sector tailwinds
Festive season demand
Key Levels:
Strong Resistance: 5,779, 5,887
Support: 5,650, 5,620, 5,600
education purpose only
GBPUSD – Weak Rebound Before Returning to the Downtrend?After a brief technical recovery, the British pound is losing momentum as recent data shows inflationary pressure in the UK continues to cool. The UK Shop Price Index fell for the first time since March, while food prices recorded their sharpest decline in nearly five years — clear signs that inflation is easing faster than expected.
This increases the likelihood that the Bank of England (BoE) will soon loosen its monetary policy, leading to a slight weakening of GBP against the USD.
On the H4 chart, GBPUSD is trading within a descending channel that has extended since early October. The recent swing highs continue to form lower, reflecting strong control by the bears.
Currently, price is retracing toward the 1.3400 zone, where the descending trendline, the EMA34, and a previous static resistance converge. This area is seen as a key barrier — if the price fails to break above it, GBPUSD is likely to turn lower toward 1.3300, possibly retesting 1.3250 in the short term.
Overall, the main trend remains mildly bearish , with the USD maintaining strength while the GBP remains weighed down by rate-cut expectations.
XAUUSD – Bearish Pressure After Historical HighsGold prices continue to experience significant downward pressure as profit-taking surges after a strong rally. From the historical peak of nearly 4,400 USD/ounce, gold has lost nearly 12 million VND per tael , and is at risk of falling further if the 4,000 USD/ounce level cannot hold.
On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is forming a bearish trend with a clear price structure. Gold is facing a downward trendline , and each recovery from the lows encounters strong selling pressure . Currently, the price is hovering around 3,935 USD, near the support zone at 3,990 USD, and could drop further to 3,750 USD if this level fails to hold.
Key factors affecting the price:
USD recovery: The strengthening of the US dollar and rising US Treasury yields have reduced gold's appeal, as it does not yield interest.
Increased risk appetite: Progress in US-China trade talks is drawing funds towards equities and industrial commodities.
Trading Strategy: Sell gold around 4,000 USD, with a target of 3,750 USD, and stop loss above 4,050 USD.
Conclusion: XAUUSD remains in a mild bearish trend, with further downside potential if the 4,000 USD level is broken.
Gold (XAU/USD) - Bearish Reversal and Potential ContinuationPrior Uptrend: The chart clearly illustrates a strong, sustained uptrend from late September to mid-October, where the price rose consistently, making higher highs and higher lows.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): Around October 21-23, the price broke decisively below a significant previous low (the swing low marked by the MSS line, near $4,040). This event signals a likely change in market character or a Market Structure Shift, suggesting the uptrend is over and a downtrend has begun.
Impulsive Down move: Following the MSS, the price fell sharply.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): The chart highlights a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is an area of price inefficiency created during the sharp move down. This gap acts as a potential magnet or resistance zone. The price is currently near the bottom of this FVG area (around $3,930 - $3,960).
Current Price Action and Bias: The overall sentiment is bearish following the MSS. The analysis suggests the price may retrace higher into the FVG (the dashed arrow indicates a possible move into the FVG) before continuing its move lower.
Target: The TARGET is marked by a dashed horizontal line around $3,870 - $3,880. This suggests a specific price level the analyst expects the price to reach if the bearish continuation plays out.
Interpretation
This chart suggests a bearish trading opportunity based on the recent change in trend. The immediate plan seems to be to watch for a reaction within the FVG for a potential entry to short Gold, aiming for the $3,870-$3,880 target.
UX2! Uranium Futures Daily OutlookDaily update on the previously posted weekly outlook on COMEX:UX2! Uranium futures. Price is potentially making a i, ii, (i), (ii) with a bullish outbreak looming. Nice moves today on LSE:YCA and TSX:U.UN which i have covered recently, but need to update. The miners have moved more, haven't checked the news, but if Spot breaks out as the chart suggests then not going to hurt the upside is it!! More comments on the chart.






















