New to the Cryptogame and learning painful lessons along the wayI always believed that you learn the most when you get hurt. I dove into the market with the fear of missing out on the tremendous upside and potential of this platform. I have long been programmed by the mainstream institutional investors that getting 10-15 gains are the best. I have risked a lot in the stock market before and have been fairly successful so this is yet another endeavor into something new. The first mistake that i made was getting swooped in by the herd mentality and thinking that I was still early in the game. Besides I was the only one talking about bitcoin and its potential. So I figured there's time and since everybody else was not able to take I chance. I went ahead and decided to jump in. Unfortunately I got trapped into the coinbase waiting game and wiped out about 30 percent of my initial investment on paper. When the correction was happening I kept thinking in my head that I should pull out and save the remaining capital. Fortunately, the same thing that got me trapped during the fall also prevented me from getting out and actually realizing the loss. Its just paper loss so far. Then came the lessons learned from the stock market crash during the bank crash. Dizzy and nauseated by what appeared to be an imminent crash all the way down to zero a sudden calm state emerged. Ive been here before. Ive done this before. One mistake on the upside cant be corrected by another mistake on the downside. Painful lessons being learned will hopefully translate into success into this new platform. To all the ones that are dipping their toes...educate yourself, learn from the experience, and tread cautiously. Take your time and contemplate your actions. In time if you truly believe that cryptocurrencies are not a scam or a ponzi scheme...things will be alright. Here's to learning growing and maybe making a new living!
The
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Trading the BreakdownBitcoin: BTCUSD Trading The Breakdown
The massive head and shoulders top formation that has been building since the weekend highs has been completed today.
Though quite loosely defined and with two potential neck-lines lying 300 points apart at 15814 and 15509 the pattern is
undeniably bearish for the next 24 to 48 hours by look of the chart. But in very near term Bitcoin is staging a counter-rally
which has taken it back to the upper neckline at 15814 where it's meeting resistance - it will now have to push on through
here and hold up to trigger a further unwinding of shorts back up to 16447 and into the upper parallel before it crashes back
down again. But whilst unable to beat 15814 and hold Bitcoin is vulnerable - a sell from 15800 with stops 60 higher for small
loss if wrong and it can beat this level and hold - in which case it should rally a further 800 points to the upper parallel
and then come off from there - so presenting a second chance to short from highest extreme likely with a stop about 80
points above the patrallel. So two chances to short from here.
It should fall away from 15814 (and from 16447/upper parallel at highest) - to test 14040 at least and more likely 13086.
The minimum downside target implied by the head and shoulders is 11391. The blue lines of support and then resistance
have been working OK so far since the descent began - as usual a fall below any line by more than 25 points or so should
lead to further weakness to the next. The new parallels guiding this descent are wide and strong - wider than any of
the up-trends on the other side of this mountain. It's big. Obviously. The chart shows it clearly.
Right now Bitcoin is making a little continuation pattern - under the neckline - it will fight at 15000 and just above - a
lot of orders still determined to buy at this round number - but they are matched by equally determined sellers at 15814.
Eventually the bears are likely to win...use any last rally up to 15814 as a selling opportunity with stops just 60 points higher
for small loss if wrong, looking for a fall to 14035 initially, then lower still, as above.
If not already short any break below 15000 by more than 10 points can be followed for a fall to 14040. And when this gives way
another short opens up, this time to 13086. Or look to use this little rally attempt to sell from 15500 with stops 60 points higher
*Stops - cannot be used in traditional manner with Bitcoin. You have to keep a stop number in your head and set an alert
so if it comes within 50 points or so you get a notification and then have to watch to see price action: is it a spike down to
your level and quickly bought back up or is it sticking... be cold, emotionless, machine-like. Easier said than done sometimes.
BCHUSD What a BlastBCHUSD
A dream impulse wave has seen BCH rip through the structure to its left on chart in a 2 hour blast last night - from 1580 to
2100, up 33% in just over 120 minutes. And people think FB's cool! This does in 2 hours what FB does in a year. It is indeed
a strange and beautiful world, especially crypto world.
It's now consolidating, perhaps in the early stages of a flag formation...likely to bounce from each of the blue support
lines, at 1766 for bounce to 1849 where it should come off again, ideally to 1700 where it should bounce once more back
to 1766 and come off one last time, maybe right back too 1638 start point of this entire recent blast - where, after
rinsing out every stale bull still left long from higher levels, it will be ready to go again. It's a game. Recognise it for what it
is. And play it.
Wyckoff's 'Composite Man' showing his handCrypto is still the wild west, even with the adoption that has happened so far; here we can see a huge wash trade unfolding in Ripple. To copy from stockcharts, here are Richard D. Wyckoff's remarks on market operators (the composite man) and wash trading:
-The Composite Man carefully plans, executes, and concludes his campaigns.
-The Composite Man attracts the public to buy a stock in which he has already accumulated a sizeable line of shares by making many transactions involving a large number of shares, in effect advertising his stock by creating the appearance of a “broad market.”
-One must study individual stock charts with the purpose of judging the behavior of the stock and the motives of those large operators who dominate it.
-With study and practice, one can acquire the ability to interpret the motives behind the action that a chart portrays. ----Wyckoff and his associates believed that if one could understand the market behavior of the Composite Man, one could identify many trading and investment opportunities early enough to profit from them.
If you are looking to make large returns on the XRPUSD or XRPBTC pair right now, keep a tight stop-loss and consider the (lack of) forces behind this sudden momentum.
It is interesting to see how the XRPUSD price has been kept in a very tight range for so many months and over the last few hours pushed to a breakout. With analysis of volume and price action I believe it may be possible to measure if something is being manipulated. Which could be valuable information if you would like to join such a force. If anyone is interested in working on a project regarding this please message me.
Brent Crude Oil: UKOIL Brent is back in the Buy Zone HereBrent Crude Oil UKOIL Back in the Buy zone
Well the stop on the short from 63.77 never got hit and Brent
duly came off back to the first target at 63.10 for a small 65
pip win - but should have held it longer as it then went on to
test the lower parallel of the flag, bang on 62.17 support at
the same point in time, and has since rallied much more
strongly than anticipated last week, taking Brent right back
up to the old highs at 64.25 before falling away again. (My
bad here for getting way too involved with Alt/USD's last week
and ignoring this complex in the resulting maelstrom)
Anyway, Brent looks OK...Look to buy around current values
down to 63.00 with stops at 62.88 for small loss if wrong
from here. First upside target is the highs at 64.25-64.61
range - (can close out here if you want) but be ready to get
long again on a move above 64.65 for next stage of rally up to
the upper big parallel - close out here if struck and look to
short with stops 30 pips above the parallel on first touch.
BTGUSD Back in the buy zone againBTGUSD
Was banned for 24 hours for posting a text wall yesterday so was unable to update this - which was a pity because that little
continuation pattern running down the parallel when we left it was so well defined, just backing and filling - it needed
a new line over the highs as it ran down the parallel to redefine the perfect trigger for beakout... and when it came
it was excellent quality, big green bear engulfing candle, again, all the things we want to see when trading a breakout.
Not allowed to get to this to update, the trigger here was left at 308 for a move up to 320 minimum...in fact it shot though
here and spiked into the top parallel over a 3 hour period at 339 ...from al ow at 280 to a high at 339 in 6 hours - 20% in 6
hours! Unbelievable what these can do in such a short space of time.
Now it's a buy again on any dips back to 300 - it should rally to 320 minimum
again and more likely to test the same larger parallel at around 330 now
that it hit earlier today before coming off again
BCHUSD: Next Trade set-ups ahead of weekendBCHUSD Next Trade Set-ups ahead of Weekend
This was left as a short backk to 1180-1100 range and with a subsequent low at 1152 it did ok. Obviously the slick trader
will not just close out if the last trade has gone to plan, he (and increasingly frequently, she) will naturally seek to
reverse, with stops underneath and see what comes. If you managed this here you are a star trader in the making (good
traders close out when targets are reached, great ones reverse: who said that?) Anway those who managed the trick
or just got long somewhere around the lows have already seen over 20% gains since yesterday. This market is just
unbelievable. You can compound money faster than ever before in history 24/7. Still find it astounding that the biggest
crap shoot in history is still playing very time we get up, just a button away.
BCH is trading in a little wave from the lows, good green showing, bear engulfing those hours of backing and filling in
minutes...but it's reached close to the limits of its neat term upside potential and meets a crossroads at 1415 where 3 lines
converge, so it's understandable that BCH is shying away from here, being sold off at the natural spot, or just under in fact
so far. If long here it'sthe obvious spot to close out and bank gains and then look to buy from lower and/or add once 1415
is broken to the upside. This will free up the space above and let BCH have a damn good weekend in prospect, opening the
way for a move up to 1516-1539 initially and way above here in medium term, most likely.
In near term whilst BCH continues to track within the impulse wave (loosely defined, so far, early days) it's trend will remain
positive. Buy any dips towards the lower parallel if seen - if not it's strong, isn't it? - so buy again on the break above 1415
with stops 50 below
ETHUSD: Back in the buy zone nowETHUSD
ETHis back in the buy zone - look to buy on dips or put an
order in and go fishing - how deep to lay the bait? 413 with
stops below 409. And then a long shot at 392. Old bull/young
bull - again...to chase or to wait and let the cow come to you
(in this tale of mixed metaphors, it's late) - old bull will sling
an order in at 392 and if it gets hit great and if it doesn't
there are other fish/cows to catch.
BTGUSD Back in the Buy ZoneBTGUSD Update
This has been a good reliable short once the dynamic support
gave way, as per comment from Monday. Now it's back in the
buy zone so shorts get closed out and reversed long with stops
under 318. Short term target is the falling dynamic around
350 where some day traders will reverse once more for
another short with stops above the dynamic. Pin bars of
rejection off this line shows it's still strong. Price will then
need to break above this line and hold on any retest to trigger
the next long from here.
On the downside major support lies close by at 319.
Any failure to hold here over the coming days would be
extremely bearish for BTG signalling another good shorting
opportunity back to 260 at least, and potentially all the
way back to 156.
BCHUSD Now in the buy ZoneBCHUSD Back in the buy zone now
A little burst of Dollar strength on back of DXY touching near
term support at 92.62 has seen all the alts v USD weaken.
BCH is now coming back into the buy zone, either from 1539 if
touched or alternatively on a break above the dynamic from
the highs.There have been two minor spikes through this line
but both have failed. We want to see some buying power
emerge and green candles as it breaks that dynamic and to
hold up on any retest. It;s getting very close now...be ready
for it. Stops need to stay under the dynamic by 20 points or so
when the break occurs.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Number of the BeastBITCOIN: BTCUSD
Turn your back on Bitcoin for a few hours and ...just wish
we'd all been around at 2.30 am GMT: The first really big bear
engulfing red candles appear, smashes through the parallel
(our long stop has already been taken for 25 point loss,
earlier) the panic the increases and Bitcoin falls to the
perfect spot...falling away the beginning of the structure to
the immediate left of the chart...you know this behaviour,
it's text-book stuff. What a buy with stops underneath. So
damn perfect too. See, even in a panic, Bitcoin behaves in a
technically perfect way. It doesn't every day, but a hell of a
lot of the time. So we missed the big moment of the day. Now
we know the new line in the sand that separates bulls from
bears: 8533 is new number of the beast for now.
The line rises higher with each failed attempt. Bullish, still
So Bitcoin continues to grind higher after that failed bear raid
left an enormous pin bar at 8533: buying interst down there is
strong, therefore. Most of the price action is still taking place
around the uppermost parallel...
The Chinese session has seen Bitcoin bid up to new highs,
driving higher all session once the bear raid had failed so
abjectly. Even at these levels it's still not working out for
them. So Alts v Bitcoin have taken a hammering and only now
have a little respite as Bitcoin unwinds an overbought
condition at the highs.
Once again want to wait to see how this consolidation
develops and what pattern Bitcoin slings together next.
Looking like a dynamic is forming off the top which we can
maybe use as an entry point later when it gets broken to the
upside. We don't have to trade every minute, though younger
bulls might disagree. So it's a waiting game here for now.
In meantime look at the chart action last night. Order, perfect
order within a moment of chaos. Till later.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Update Key Levels inside the parallels now Bitcoin BTCUSD Badly Drawn Boy
Wow. Broken the upper parallel and now consolidating around
where we sold. It looks like a buy from 8530 but must hold
here or it's likely to fall away more, potentially back to 8410
at lowest so stops on longs from here need to be quite tight
underneath.
Bit slow to see the new fantastic parallels emerging...should
have used that and not the other dying parallels from the last
couple of days as exit.My slowness, looking at other stuff - But
have left the old parallels on which may look confusing but
it's interesting so see these old resistance lines now seem to
act as support, containing the consolidation inclose up...draw
these lines on your chart! They live...so no bying under that
big new powerful parallel now in control of the upside, and
careful with day trading...you can seewhat it's
doing...dancing between the parallels...so wild. Use
this...fine lines..fishing...for now. It should build a little
flag as it does it...two strikes on the lower line will show hot.
Otherwise not so much near term
And the Alts V Bitcoin will get some respite now so they are a
buy...You got this now. yes?
Cashing out on market asymmetries Skip to the second paragraph to get to the point, first paragraph discusses observations...
What you see in the bottom of the screen is a script I recently published just for fun; it's a momentum measurement for bitcoin against several fiat pairs and crypto pairs, and all summed together. The top of the screen is essentially the btc price, but somewhat more reactive. What is really interesting here is that on the morning of 21.11 the red line (which represents the sum of bitcoin momentum across multiple pairs) took a steep dive to an order of magnitude less than it has often been at (bottom pink circle), an obvious red flag for long holders. Then 3 hours later the XBTUSD price took a quick decline as well! The steep decline in the momentum looks largely responsible by the DASHBTC pair, but took a few hours to show in the BTCUSD pair. The reason so many prices of cryptos are stable is because of the work of the people doing arbitrage, this normalizes the market. However in this case it took longer than expected, possibly for a number of reasons, due to time of day, blockchain verification delays, or simply there are not so many arbitrage bots on the DASHBTC pair, or any other reason... Then 3 hours later the bitcoin price followed suit. The insane divergence of DASHBTC from the overall value of BTC can be taken in only 2 ways: Dash has a sudden market strength, or money is moving from BTC to DASH, possibly foreshadowing a decline in BTC.
What would be interesting is a suite of indicators that measure how volume moves through a specific crypto to find its overall worth (ie. multiple exchanges and multiple pairings). If a lot of money is being poured into, or out of, one pair then the overall value may also be effected with a time delay. Enough of a time delay to get a great position (like the 3 hours mentioned above). I will need to think about how to appropriately measure this, normalizations schemes, volumes, momentum, price, ect... If anyone wishes to discuss ideas related to this I would be more than happy to talk.
Cheers!
GOLD: XAUUSD Back in perfect buy zone with low risk GOLD/DOLLAR Switch-Play
Gold has crashed back into the perfect buy-zone again whilst
the dollar DXY is at the very top of it's inverted flag and about
to come off again. Perfect time to go long gold again with
stop under 1274. This looks perfect right now.
GODD XAUUSD How Gold Traders stay ahead with aid of DXY chartGold: XAUUSD 1.25% How DXY -0.25% is the gold 1.24% trader's best friend right now
So far gold 1.24% has behaved in the bear-mangling mode expected of it since the dollar broke
down below key support on DXY -0.25% at 94.26 (right hand chart) but it wasn't too smart to let
it go again at 1290. That rally on Friday was vicious for bears - the shape of price action
as gold 1.24% turned resistance at 1281 into support shows the market adjusting before gold 1.24%
powers 16 points north, a volte-face - which you would have been expecting if you've
been experienced enough, wise enough to run the two charts in tandem.
If you don't you're dealing with a blindfold over one eye...
The pin bars on the one hour chart here show strong rejection
at 1296.78 down to current levels at 1293 and a streak of
uncontested green...very rare for a space like that to remain
uncontested and it should flip back to 1288, and potentially to
1284 before it rallies again. On the other side of the street,
we can see that DXY -0.25% is flipping in a range beween 93.99 (the
high for the week was exactly 93.99 as forecast, giving a
precise point at which to sell gold 1.24% - with stops only triggered
in event that DXY -0.25% breaks above 94 and holds, in which case
DXY -0.25% is going up and Gold 1.24% is going back down. Just the best
duo/tandem trade there is in almost any market anywhere.
Use it or lose it. Probably the best companion
a gold 1.24% trader can ever have.
DXY: Dollar index 0.11%
Through all the noise of currency pairs and most commodity markets there
is a still, small, much neglected voice that can tell usually show you the
bigger picture/helicopter view of all that close combat fighting going
on below. Not always, but usually. DXY -0.25% , so far since the breakdown at
94.26, has been very helpful. It's flipping between 94 key resistance and
93.50 key near term support and this is what's causing such grief and
whipsaw in the price of gold 1.24% . Right now it's giving mixed near term signals...
believe it will break lower still eventually, but the chart is not confirming that
here....it's just double bottomed at 93.50...was Ok to bounce here for sure but
that was quite a big bounce - pins at top and botttom of move...just near
term a little confusing, at least to this writer anyway. But gold 1.24% is toppy -0.73% near
term and DXY -0.25% is showing a double bottom near term. If it can rally from here then it should push
back up to the 93.99 where it should meet profit takers. (Do same with gold 1.24% shorts
at that point). And only if DXY -0.25% can then manage to break above 94 and hold is
the tide turning back in favour of Dollar, at which point we look to short gold 1.24% again.
And on the other side, if at any point DXY -0.25% breaks 93.50 it enters a zone of uncertainty/whipsaw
between 93.50 and 93.35 where positions can sudddenly reverse - like quicksand
on a map this zone cannot be trusted - a zone to avoid if possible. However, if
at any point DXY -0.25% is driven below 93.5 for more than 2 hours it will become llikely that
support is eroding and it should start to fall away quite hard to 92.80-92.62 - and
thereby triggering aggressive gold 1.24% longs.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Something for the Weekend Breakout ScenarioBitcoin: BTCUSD Update into the Weekend:Scenarios
The battle continues and finally the bears have made an impression on the upper parallel, pushing price down to 7800,
where pin bars from earlier show some demand (not shown on chart, but significant to the very near term now). There is no
winner yet, though. It can move sideways from here, meeting demand off the parallel and more still at 7717 freezer lid
level and down to 7660 at an absolute pinch, building a new rectangular range between 7717 and 7990-8000. It can move
sideways further, out of the pull of the parallels, large and small, but still be Ok so long as 7717-7660 holds - but it would
be a sign of strength if it could avoid all that, use the large parallel as support and then power higher, and back through
the neck line again - if and when it gathers enough buying power to manage that, this next time could well prove
successful in breaking the last bears that still stand strong at 7990-8000. So far, from their viewpoint, looking down the
mountain from 8000 with stops just above, there's nothing to scare them...yet. OK, that big bear raid first thing in London
didn't work out so well for them this time, but their stops still haven't pinged yet. When that happens and 8000 is broken by
20 points it becomes another breakout/momentum play. It will maybe need China to open to create enough
volume...they like breakouts - but we need to see one now to add to long positions from here...should it come (but think it
will at some point this weekend even if they try to sell it off in China first thing Saturday) it could well be explosive in
nature. Doesn't have to be but could well be. And once 8000 is actually broken the upside is, by nature of the beast,
incalculable. Anyone who says they have a value for Bitcoin is not to be trusted any more than asking your dog how much it's
worth. No one has ANY clue. It could be 15000, it could be 30000, it could be 5000 and it could be 5 one day. No one
knows. You KNOW that though. And it's enough to make money - big money - either way. You don't even have to
believe in Bitcoin per se, just believe what the chart is telling you, and no one else.
And so to the poential for downside this weekend coming: the big parallel remains the first line of support, and then
7717-7660 (stops for remaining longs from 7570 tight under 7660). So if 7717 fails and then 7060 also then fails we have a
near term problem emerging and Bitcoin should fall away to 7531 again and the rectangular range suddenly expands from
8000 at top to 7531 at bottomwith 7717 as the dividing line between the three...fantastic for day traders, trading
between these lines. This could take a large part of Saturday to play out if we see it..again great for day traders, a nice
wide range to play within, potentially developing this weekend as a consequence of this type of price action, if 7717
gives way, as above. But, the bull case is strong whilst above 7717 and still just fine at 7531. But if this fails at any point
this weekend, the bears are getting control again. It's a buy on any retest of 7531 with stop just under 7500 for rally to
7719. Then close if a day trader and only go long again from 7730 to 7980 with a stop under 7700, trading between the
three blue lines.
Long Story short:
Turn aggressively bullish again on a break above 8000 by 20 points, that can be sustained (very careful here as it could
explode upwards, and potentially downwards too, so stops need using and the risk of being hit quite high so they need to
be some way away from 8000 if longs are triggered, at least 100) This is still tough work but the bulls won't quit... That
parallel above, just holding it back now...if it breaks above it soon, then the break out could well follow soon after. Good
for swing traders. Otherwise we'll be heading for a Saturday made for day-traders, as above.
And turn aggressively bearish again only a break below 7531 looking to short rallies back u
EURUSD Buy this dip with tight stop for small lossEURUSD
There was a beautiful big head and shoulders top forming
here until the Dollar (DXY) fell out of its lower parallel, (see
DXY comment from yesterday to help time entry/exit in EUR),
meaning that the 2 month long corrective pattern it's been
hammering out had come to an abrupt end. DXY has quite a lot
further to fall and right now is just making a little counter-
rally before turning lower again -(should have another 15 pips
upside to 93.99 at a maximum) and falling at least another
1.5% from there, and potentially a full 3%. This means that,
although it's in our instincts to look for the short on a break
below 1.1780 (worth the short back to 1.1728, if
we do see it and this call is wrong...) it's actually more likely
that EUR rallies from here, firstly to 1.1871-1.1877 range
where it should get sold off again - and then if 1.1880 can be
beaten on the second attempt to breach it, it will signal that
DXY is declining the 3% and not just 1.5% close certainty. This
would force the EUR back to the highs centred around 1.20
where it will become a sell again with stop just above 1.21.
So it's a buy with stop just under 1.1780, only reversing
if this level is broken as above.
Gold: XAUUSD Back in the buy zone for next swing higherGOLD : XAUUSD Update
Continues to grind higher on a weakening dollar. It's a nice
trade if you get the push and pull here...loads of bears who
haven't looked at the dollar (muppets), they are the guys
going to keep buying us dinner. The dollar is just completing a
another failed counter-rally and this has pulled gold back into
the buy zone again around the blue line on the chart for the
next push higher to 1290. Then let it go again but only to
1284 and then buy again for bear-mangling surge to 1305
where it becomes a big short again with stop 3 points higher.
Bitcoin: BTCUST Hitting next downside target - next set-upBitcoin: BTCUSD Update
Hitting the first downside target and should get a bounce, if so can go back to hit the central parallel and recoil, giving
another great shorting opportunity if seen with stop 50 points above the parallel as it hits it.
Returning to downside, need to cover potential for Chinese losing all faith and causing the ultimate flush out...it's
Bitcoin. We need to remember that ANYTHING can happen and be psychologically prepared for pretty much any
eventuality over the next few hours.
Still think that the best chance for recovery should be from
5098-4973 range as things stand - though there is a slim chance that this double bottom here might be the low...if so
the bounce won't stop at the parallel, but it will stop there at very best on the next rally attempt.
It's possible that 4973 will not stop the rout...it will do first time it's hit, but if that fails it will fall away to 4700 which is
last-gasp support for Bitcoin, meaning failure to hold up here at the worst will unleash another torrent of selling, including us with stops above 4700, taking
Bitcoin back to 2974 - at which case we go long again. So be careful at the 5098-4973 range...we really are looking for
evidence of a reversal there - which may be V shaped and fast. So stops need placing and only go long if 4973 or close is
touched with stop noless than 50 to 100 points away - it may get swept away...don't feel sorry a that point. It was a brave
long. React. Get short, suck it up and place a stop 50 points above 5000. if we see this price action, the first point of
support lies at 4700 . Critical, as above.
This last total wipe-out phase is not likely to happen. But it could. We need to be ready for pretty much anything.
Stay Lucky
BITCOIN: BTCUSD ON the brink of the next abyssBITCOIN: BTCUSD On the Brink Right Now
Testing the first support 6425 range. Day-traders will be closing out again here, looking to see if selling power wanes
...don't think so but it could create a little counter rally from 6425-6400 , with 6400 being the exact point where the
medium term trend line stands right now - and if it does, it should get stopped by the parallels above it which look to be
controlling this descent now (couldn't get a grip on those yesterday, because the all-time high was screwing up any
symmetry in the chart)...it's breaking now right on to the long term trend line at 6400 now...it's really thinking about it
here, looking down and trying to hold up...but no one's buying are they? It's just selling has stopped here, understandably -
itFailure here will seal the next stage in Bitcoin's descent - It should fall away to 6312 at least, make a feeble bounce
maybe and then fall away further to at least 6165, and then 5997...last gasp support here at 6000 so it should try to pull
back from the precipice for a while, and make some kind of getaway here...if this then fails Bitcoin will start to fall in a
near straight line back to 5121-4973 range.
It's extremely weak whilst trapped within the parallels that
are bossing this wave now. Any return to the upper parallel should be viewed as another selling opportunity for now until
downside targets are achieved. More as this move develops.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD In touching distance now from ParabolaBITCOIN: BTCUSD The Parabola
Price was 7181 nearly 5 hours ago and it's 7169 now, just
managing to hold above the nearest support line at 7150
Bitcoin certainly has turned dead (remember the end of Carrie?) -
but we know it's just pretending. Amazingly the low today put
it within 24 points of the parabola, which is rising at a hell of
a lick and is at 7080 right now, rising by 6 points every hour
now, and becoming ever steeper, as all parabolas must to
remain parabolas...not really getting too excited by it and
have no strong clue whether it will mean anything on a test of
7080, which should happen if/when 7150 gives way...just that
it will be interesting to watch a big parabola in play, just to
see if it's nothing more than a pretty pattern, or as with
dynamic supports and resistance lines, they really are for
real, just invisible to the blind and unitiated.
BITCOIN: BTCUSD Playing the ParabolaBITCOIN:BTCUSD Gone Parabolic
Bitcoin throws some beautiful moves on the chart and will go down in the history
books and Charting Books of the future as a text-book example of what a scrap
of (electonic) paper can do if the story behind it is written well enough.
Right now this is the best of the best, making Facebook and Google and Tesla
look lame. How long can this keep going on before it boils over?
One thing for sure, parabolas are very rare in real time (they are everywhere
on the monthly charts...put the Dow DOWI on monthly chart and see all history
and a parabola emerges - not so perfect as Bitcoin, but basically parabolic in
shape on linear chart) .
But Bitcoin is something else - so rare and beautiful to see one unfold.
There is no sense in fighting a parabola. Every bear lies slaughtered for miles
around as evidence. This bull will rip you a new one before you even have a
chance to take your pants down.
Nevertheless we can see from the chart on right that the current surge from
6165 up to 7500 high precisely has been very lightly contested/fought over -
there has been some push and pull, shown on the left hand chart, throughout
this recent ascent, with some nice positive pin bars each time the rising support
line that's underpinning the ascent is touched - but returning to right hand chart
it's clear that usually moves such as these have to be backed and filled first
before the rally resumes in earnest, and in doing so it should give those still
wishing to get long of this monster one last fleeting chance to do so...
At the moment it's found support just above the supports shown on left hand
chart and trying to fly higher - it needs to take out 7500 now to stay positive...
if we see it falter and fail just above or just below 7500 then we have the first
sign that a turn might be approaching fast...next sign would be a breaking below
7061 and a fall below the rising support line shown on left hand chart. Only at
that point will the near term picture start to turn negative for Bitcoin.
It should then fall back to the old highs around 6165 - to the rising support
line shown on right hand chart at around this level - that would be the perfect
entry point for those wishing to ride this tiger...time will tell.






















