Principles And Elements Of TradingEver wondered why... Do you have those perfect art pieces in the gallery? Those perfect pieces; have a reason they exist in the first place... They also have guidelines followed for them to turn out perfect.
Similarly, "Trading"... We can't all be perfect but, trust me---having the idea makes you really good.
In this video, I talk about all you need to know as a trader... see this as a "starters kit".
Even if you think you are perfect, trust me---you need this!
Trader
PRICE ACTION TRADING | RISING WEDGE PATTERN 🔰
Hey traders,
Rising wedge pattern is one of the most accurate price action patterns.
Being relatively simple to recognize, it is applied in various trading strategies.
⭐️The pattern itself signifies the exhaustion of bulls.
Even though the asset keeps growing in value, the price action legs contract forming a narrowing channel.
Being stuck between two contracting trend lines, one serving as support and one serving as resistance, the price forms a wedge pattern.
🔔The trigger that we are looking for to sell the market is a bearish breakout of the support of the wedge (candle close below).
To not be caught by a false breakout, it is highly recommendable to wait for a bearish violation of the last higher low level as well.
Only then the wedge breakout is confirmed.
⚡️Trading the market aggressively, one opens a short position on spot just after the candle closes.
⚡️The conservative trader will wait for a retest of the broken support of the wedge though for a safer entry.
✔️Safest stop will lie strictly above the highest wick within the wedge.
✔️Initial target will be based on the closest key structure support.
Learn to recognize this pattern and be disciplined to wait for its confirmed breakout. Only then a high trading performance will be achieved.
What price action pattern do you want to learn in the next post?
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The Squid Game Shows Why Most People Don’t Make Money TradingSquid game is the hottest series on Netflix ($NFLX) right now, in which 456 players join a game of death, where they have a chance to win 456 Billion Korean Won (KRW), or 38.5 Milllion US Dollars.
What’s interesting about this series is that it depicts human sentiment in a very realistic way. We could see how market participants think and act by looking at the participants of the squid game.
A random guy appears at the subway station, and offers to play card flip, where he’d slap the player if he wins, and pay $100 if he loses. He actually ends up paying the players, stimulating their curiosity. Later, players are taken to a remote island where they have no clue what game they’re playing, with hopes of potentially winning life-changing money.
Beginners Luck turns to Attribution Bias
People who join the stock market are not different. They don’t know what game they’re playing, and what rules there are. Just as the subway guy invokes curiosity from the players by paying them small amounts of actual money, people are dragged into the stock market through stories of their friends and acquaintances making life-changing money by trading.
You try to remember the name of the stock or cryptocurrency your friend mentioned, and buy it without doing any due dilligence. You participate in the game of the market with 0 understanding of the game and rules.
When the stock/crypto you bought goes up (by chance), you fall into the trap of beginner’s luck. Beginner’s luck refers to a phenomenon or situation in which a beginner experiences a disproportionate ferquency of success against even experts in a certain field or activity. It’s often used in gambling and sports. But beginner’s luck leads to overconfidence and attribution bias.
Overconfidence refers to one’s excessive trust in his decisions based on gut-feeling and his cognitive abilities. This often leads to overtrading, and the market participant ends up paying excessive trading fees. Overconfident traders also tend to neglect statistics, and put all their eggs in one basket. They hardly listen to other people, and tend to choose the stocks/crypto they invest in themselves.
Attribution bias, or cognitive bias, is when people find reasons for their own and others’ behaviors. So when they’re in profit, they think that it’s all thanks to their amazing prediction. When they’re at a loss, it’s because the market was in an unfavorable situation, or simply because they were unlucky. Essentially, they constantly come up with excuses for every situation.
We all know Isaac Newton as a genius physicist, but he was a failure as an investor. He made the wrong investment decision when he invested in South Sea stocks, which led him to lose 20,000 pounds (about $4M today). He lost most of his life savings and famously said that “you can calculate the motions of heavenly stars, but not the madness of people” - a classic example of someone with attribution bias.
Mob Psychology and the Bandwagon Effect
This is accurately reflected in Squid Game. When players play ‘Red Light Green Light’, they are shocked to see other players get massacred. After the game is over, they later vote whether they want to continue playing the game or not. The surviving players fall into the trap of overconfidence and attribution bias.
Only 1 person out or 456 will survive and win the prize money. Statistically, every player has a 0.22% chance of survival. While this is statistically low, they’re taken away by the pile of cash hanging from the ceiling, and start believing that they’re special, and that they can win. Lotteries and gambling work in the same way, in which people bet on a probable case that is close to impossible. Sadly, most people approach trading like gambling.
In Squid Game, right before they play tug of war, a riot breaks out, and players are split into different factions. So when they’re told to team up for tug of war, teams are formed based on the factions that were formed the day before. This shows us mob psychology and the bandwagon effect.
Mob psychology, or mob mentaility, is when people follow the actions and behaviors of their peers when in large groups. The bandwagon effect falls within the scope of mob mentaility, and is a phenomenon in which people do something primarily because others are doing it , regardless of their own beliefs.
The same psychological phenomena can be applied to investors and traders in the market. Instead of trading based on their own trading rules, strategies, and analyses, they simply follow the actions of other market participants. These are the people who end up panic buying or selling, and falling victim to pump and dump schemes.
Conclusion
These psychological phenomena prevents us from making the right decisions in the market, and making the wrong decisions indicates that we lose money. Just like how most people in the Squid Game end up dying, there are many other people who entered the market with dreams of becoming a millionaire, only to lose everything. But unlike the Squid Game, the financial markets isn’t a winner-takes-all. If you can understand the characteristics and rules of each market, and do your due diligence on different ways to beat the market, you can have a statistical edge. As a trader, I would say that technical knowledge accounts to less than 5% of what it takes to be successful. It’s more about understanding your cognitive bias and controlling your emotions and psychological state.
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Here's How To Trade & Work Full Time EffectivelyWhat's going on traders!
Are you working full time? and trying to trade at the same time? Having difficulties trying to do both at the same time?
In this video I break down what I did when I was working full time and still trying to trade around a busy life.
There are 2 options - Trade very short term and get in and out of trades in a few hours OR swing trade. I go through some basics in this video so check it out!
The nature of the movement of financial markets
1. Key levels breakout
Bulls/bears become strong enough to violate a key support/resistance and are willing to push to new lows/highs
The best opportunity for trade entries.
2. Trend continuation
Strong bearish/bullish trend following movement.
More and more trades join the rally after a breakout.
3. Consolidation & accumulation
Oversold/overbought condition of the market & local accumulation.
Market participants are waiting for a trigger to continue pushing.
The best opportunity to protect profits.
Black line - price action within the stages
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ETH An example in why retail traders are wrong!Good Morning traders!
Today I have a great example of order protection and liquidity building.
This is something that I have been speaking about for a long time and this current PA shows it well.
The blue boxes show places where large orders have been placed and and initiated moves. See how price returns to retest these areas?! this gives the Banks, Whales and big players a chance to protect orders.
Retail traders place orders outside of these areas "support and resistance areas" These orders can easily be seen, and therefore hunted. The highs and lows create areas for the big players to exit the large volume positions as every buy order needs a seller and vice versa.
I hope this information has been helpful.
As always trade safe.
EnvisionEJ
4 TIPS ON USING TECHNICAL INDICATORS 🤖🖥
Hey traders,
Technical indicators are an essential part of technical analysis.
With multiple different indicators on a chart, the trader aims to spot oversold/overbought conditions of the market and make a profit on that.
Though, I don't consider myself to be an expert in indicators trading, here are the great tips that will help you dramatically improve your trading with them.
#1️⃣ Do not overload your chart with indicators.
There is a fallacy among so many traders:
more indicators on the chart lead to an increase in trading performance.
Following this statement, traders add dozens of technical indicators to their charts.
The chart becomes not readable and messy.
The trader gets lost and makes wrong trading decisions.
Instead, add 1-2 indicators to your chart. That will be enough for you to make correct judgments. Do not overload your chart and try to make it clean: your task is to analyze the price action first and only then look for additional clues reading the indicators.
#2️⃣ Learn what exactly the indicator shows
The data derived from technical indicator must make sense to you.
You must understand the logic behind its algorithm.
You must know exactly what it shows to you.
Confidence in your actions plays a key role in trading.
During the periods of losing streaks and drawdowns, many traders drop their trading strategies. It happens because they lose their confidence.
You will be able to overcome negative trading periods only by being confident in your actions.
Only knowing exactly what you do, what do you rely on and why you can proceed even in dark times.
#3️⃣ Use the indicators that compliment each other
Many indicators are based on the same algorithms.
Most of the time the only difference between them is a minor change in its input variables.
For that reason, such indicators leave very similar clues.
In order to improve your trading, try to rely on indicators based on absolutely different algorithms. They must complement each other,
not show you the same thing.
#4️⃣ Price action first!
Remember that your trading strategy must be based primarily on a price action. Trend analysis and structure analysis must go first.
You must know the way to make predictions relying on a naked chart.
The indicators must be applied as the confirmation signals only.
They must support the trading strategy but not be its core.
❗️Remember that the indicators won't do all the work for you.
Indicator is just a tool in your toolbox that must be applied properly and in strict combination with other tools.
Would you add some other tips in this list?
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TRADING BASICS | What is a Pip? 📚
📏Pip is a measurement of the price change in a currency pair trading on the forex market. In most cases, pip is the equivalent to 1/100th of 1%.
That rule is applicable to all the currency pairs quoted to the 4th decimal place like EURUSD.
➡️Current EURUSD price is 1.1696
6 is the 4th decimal place representing a pip.
If the pair moves from 1.1696 to 1.1697, that 0.0001 USD rise in value is ONE PIP.
❌That rule is not applicable, for example, to USDJPY which is only quoted to 2 decimal places.
➡️Current USDJPY price is 109.62
2 is the 2nd decimal place representing a pip.
If the pair moves from 109.62 to 109.63, that 0.01 JPY rise in value is ONE PIP.
🦉The word pip stands for "price interest point" or "percentage in point".
Even though a pip might appear as an extremely small unit of measurement, in leverage trading even the one pip price change of the instrument may lead to a sufficient gain or loss.
➗How to calculate the value of a pip?
Each and every currency has its own relative value.
In the following example, I will show you how to calculate the value of a pip for a particular currency pair.
USD/CAD = 1.2753
Reading that as 1 USD to 1.2753 CAD or 1 USD / 1.2753 CAD
1 Pip =
* 1 USD = 0.00007841 per unit traded.
Following this example, if we trade 10.000 units of USD/CAD, then a one pip change to the exchange rate would be approximately 0.78 USD change in the position value.
Alternatively, pip value can be calculated with various calculators & apps.
I hope that with these examples and my explanation you will understand the concept of a pip easily.
Let me know what do you want to learn in the next posts!
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IMPROVE YOUR TRADING | 4 TYPES OF TRADE CONFIRMATION ✅👌
"Look for a confirmation!"
"Wait for a confirmation!"
When I was learning how to trade and when I was watching and reading different trading educators, these words naturally pissed me off. What the hell are you talking about? What confirmation?
It was a full-blown mystery...🤯
Then, once I started to mature in trading and trade full-time, I became an author on TradingView.
Posting my forecasts and trading setups, I frequently mentioned the confirmation.
And now the newbies that are reading me and learning from me are pissed off...🤬
That is so funny I guess.
But the truth is that the confirmation must become a fundamental part of your trading strategy. It is your key to successful trading.
What exactly is the confirmation?
It depends on many many different things, in this article I will discuss with you the 4 main types of confirmation and give you detailed examples.
1️⃣ - PRICE ACTION CONFIRMATION
That is actually what I prefer.
Analyzing different markets and searching for decent trading opportunities often times we find some peculiar instruments to watch.
Identifying the market trend and key levels we find the potential spots to trade from.
But do we just open the trade once the "ZONE" is spotted?
I wish it could be that simple...
Trading just the zone, without additional clues brings very negative figures. We definitely need something else.
Price action & candlestick patterns can be those clues.
Accurate reflection of the current local market sentiment makes the patterns a very reliable confirmation.
Dodji's, pin bars, double tops/bottoms ...
Proven by history, the skill of identification & reading the patterns will pay off quickly.
Being in some sense the language of the market, the patterns are the fundamental part of my trading strategy.
2️⃣ - FIBONACCI LEVELS
Fibonacci levels are a very popular technical tool. Being applied properly it helps the trader to confirm or, alternatively, disqualify the identified "ZONE".
With multiple different methods like confluence trading, fibs are applied in hedge funds and various banking institutions.
The main problem with the fibs, however, is complexity and a high degree of subjectivity. Meeting different traders and watching different posts on TradingView I noticed that all traders tend to have their own vision. There is no universal system to apply here, a proper fib.confirmation technique can be built only with long-lasting backtesting and practicing.
3️⃣ - FUNDAMENTAL NEWS
The figures in the economic calendar, news, tweets. Actual fundamental news can become your best confirmation tool.
However, the main obstacle right here is the promptness, validity and reliability of the data that you get.
The information shouldn't be delayed and it must be objectively true.
The search for such a source is by itself is a very time-consuming and labor-intensive business not even mentioning its potential costs.
And that is not all. Knowing how to make sense of that data, its proper perception, and understanding requires a solid economical and financial background and experience.
At the end of the day, becoming an expert in fundamental analysis , the trader can easily sort the trading zones and trade only the ones that are confirmed by a decent fundamental trigger.
4️⃣ - TECHNICAL INDICATORS
I believe all the traders apply some indicators. From a simple moving average to some complex composite algorithms, indicators play a very important role in trading.
Being 100% objective and providing up-to-date real numbers and figures, they are our allies in a battle against subjectivity.
For many traders, the various signals from indicators are considered to be accurate and reliable confirmations.
Many algotrading solutions are operating simply relying on such signals and being able to bring consistent profits proves the power of technical indicators.
What confirmation type should you rely on?🧐
I guess the main rule right here is that the confirmation must MAKE SENSE to you. You should feel the logic behind that. It must make you confident in your action, even in case of the occasional losses, it must keep you calm and humble.
Let me know in a comment section what confirmation do you prefer!
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Thank you for reading.
YOUR PROFIT FORMULA | Three Essential Ingredients 🤔💭💫
Hey traders, We must admit that it is phenomenally difficult to become a consistently profitable trader.
This journey requires years of practicing and training, constant losses, and nervous breakdowns.
If you are a struggling trader, if you are still looking for your way to succeed in this game, here is the formula that will help you to chase consistent profits.
💰Consistent profits = 📝Trading Strategy + 🤬Emotions + 📈Market Sentiment
Let's discuss each element separately.
📝Trading Strategy:
To be in profit in a long run requires an understanding of what do you actually trade.
You must have strict and objective entry conditions.
You must rely on the objective & verifiable rules for the execution of market analysis.
You must have a plan to follow.
A plan that is backtested and proved its efficiency.
🤬Emotions:
Even the best trading plan, the most accurate trading strategy can be easily beaten by emotions.
Emotional decisions such as revenge trading and early position close
can easily blow the account of any size in a blink of an eye.
The most disappointing thing to note right here is the fact that you can be taught how to execute technical analysis but you can not be taught to control your emotions.
Your main enemy here is yourself and being in a constant battle with your greed and fear it is very easy to go broke.
Only by being humble, disciplined and patient, you can successfully apply a trading strategy.
📈Market Sentiment:
Mastering your emotions and having studied a trading strategy, it looks like it is finally the time to make money.
However, occasionally the market tends to be irrational.
Being chaotic and unpredictable, sometimes the market neglects every technical and fundamental rule.
Crisis, euphoria: the reasons can be different.
The fact is that such things happen.
And it is your duty to learn to deal with unfavorable market conditions.
💰To become a consistently profitable trader, you must become the master of these three elements.
Only then the doors to freedom and independence will be opened to you.
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Dealing with "failure" in your trading 😎Failure in trading is frequent, yet for some it is permanent and for the few it is temporary, the choice is always yours!
In this video we go over our advice on how you should deal with failure so you can keep it as a learning experience and grow and develop as a trader!
If you're having challenges in your trading and cant seem to find solutions to them just send us a DM and we'll do our outmost to help you overcome them and find solutions to your "trading problems' :)
Have a great day!
Price Action patterns that i like to tradeHello guys hope u are all having good week. I will start with this series and i will name it patterns that i like to trade. If u like it drop a like and comment and maybe i will start doing full video breakdowns in the near future. Wish u to catch many many pips this week.
📚SPOT A MARKET REVERSAL WITH CANDLESTICK PATTERNS📚
Candlestick patterns are frequently applied for the identification of early trend reversal signs .
Here are the three most common reversal formations that you may encounter trading different markets:
1️⃣ - Equal inside bar formation
Once the price reaches some important pivot point quite often it tends to form a weak candle with a long rejection wick (long in comparison to the buddy of the candle).
In case if the consequent candle's body has the same range, we call that the equal inside bar .
It can be treated as the reversal formation ONLY with additional confirmation.
Without an additional trigger, chances will be high that the market will start a sideways movement instead .
2️⃣ - Engulfing candle
Once the price reaches some important pivot point quite often it tends to form a weak candle with a long rejection wick (long in comparison to the buddy of the candle).
In case if the consequent candle's body engulfs (has a bigger range) the previous candle, we call that the engulfing candle .
By itself, it is a quite strong reversal signal and can be applied as a trigger for opening a trading position.
3️⃣ - Engulfing candle (2X)
Sometimes, the engulfing candle engulfs not only the previous candle but also one more preceding one .
We also can call such a candle a high momentum candle .
It is considered to be the strongest reversal formation (among these 3) and can be applied as a signal for a trade entry.
❗️ Remember that candlestick patterns work only on strong pivots/structure levels. Being formed on random levels, the performance of these formations is relatively low.
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No its not a picture of Mickey Mouse...🐭It's a super clear diagram on what key ingredients you need to find the 'sweet spot' = profitability.
The thing is, most people are desperately hunting for the holy-grail, you know - that 100% winning strategy... the silver bullet.
It doesn't exist - I'm sorry. 😢
So even a profitable strategy that's awesome can blow your account if the other 'factors' are not considered....
Greed and risk management.
With poor risk management you can blow your account on a profitable strategy.
Much like if the casino didn't set a trade limit - they could go bust if a gambler got 'lucky' - because its the casino that has the mathematical 'edge', right?
You must factor in your losing runs to ensure you not exposing your account to the 'risk of ruin'.
So yeah a profitable 'edge' is key, but without managing your mindset and using effective risk management, its actually useless too.
Having an understanding of probability is fine too - but if you don't execute your 'edge' or if you don't have one, you won't be profitable too.
And lastly, yeah - you can have your risk management nailed on - but if you've not got a profitable edge too, you'll lose money.
Just less money.
You could absorb 500 consecutive losses on a £1000 account at 1% risk per trade, but you'd only have about £6 left. Your strategy would have to be really poor for that to happen!
But you catch my drift, that effective risk management is vital.
So in summary, you need these three key ingredients...
Strategy with an Edge
Effective Risk Management planning for probability
Trading Psychology - (greed under control, no fear, discipline, resilience, etc)
You can't get to the 'sweet spot' without all 3 being in perfect alignment.
Good luck.
Darren
If this helps - please show me by liking this post if you can, its appreciated and I'll do more like this 😎
Be Realistic ! there are always alternative scenariosit is vital for all traders to control their emotions. getting excited is natural for everyone but if you want to be a successful trader you have to learn how to control your feeling. we trade based on the facts not feelings!.
there are always alternative scenarios and a wise trader should be prepared in advance. being aware of alternatives can help you to control your feelings and manage your trade well. one tool to manage the trade is using Multi Unit Trade Strategy which will be discussed in another separate post. Here I want to introduce some alternatives for market path when a trader enters to a trade after an ABC correction .
First I should emphasize that I used BIDU chart just as an example and I do not claim that BIDU will follow what has been shown on the chart.
Alternatives after a possible ABC corrections are:
1- starting a new impulse wave and making a new major high : traders hope for this scenario and enter into the trade for making noticeable profit but does it always happen?
2- what we consider a wave C is not actually what we considered and it was in fact wave 3 of a descending impulse wave. experienced traders have faced this scenario many times. I showed this possible scenario on the BIDU Chart.
3- Stock may make a flat correction. this alternative has been drawn on the chart and you can see it's internal structure. flat corrections can be very misleading. be cautious !.
4- Dobule or triple Three correction. this scenario may pose huge loses to unexperienced traders when they feel correction is over and they see market is going up but suddenly every thing will change. Also recognizing a new entry point is not so easy in this type of correction. an example of a Double Three Correction has been shown on the chart.
Good Luck Friends
GOOD VS BAD REJECTION PATTERNSHello Traders and welcome to out channel. GOOD VS BAD REJECTION PATTERNS. If u like this educational content please support it with a like so we can keep posting more content like this. If you have any additional questions let us know in the comments and we will provide you with the answer! SharkFx wish you a wonderfull weekend and successful trading week ahead!
MOST HEAVILY TRADED CURRENCIES Hello Traders and welcome to out channel. MOST HEAVILY TRADED CURRENCIES. If u like this educational content please support it with a like so we can keep posting more content like this. If you have any additional questions let us know in the comments and we will provide you with the answer! SharkFx wish you a wonderfull weekend and successful trading week ahead!
MOST COMMON CANDLESTICK PATTERNSHello Traders and welcome to out channel. MOST COMMON CANDLESTICK PATTERNS IN ONE PLACE! If u like this educational content please support it with a like so we can keep posting more content like this. If you have any additional questions let us know in the comments and we will provide you with the answer! SharkFx wish you a wonderfull weekend and successful trading week ahead!
The Market Cycle of EmotionsWhen things are great, we feel that nothing can stop us. And when things go bad, we look to take drastic action. Because emotions can be such a threat to an investor's financial health, it is important to be aware of them. This awareness can then protect you from the negative consequences of impulsive and irrational reactions to these emotions.
1: Optimism, thrill and euphoria
Investors all start with optimism. We commonly expect things to go our way, or we tend to expect a return for the risk of investing.
As expectations are met, it is common to get excited about the possibility of even greater returns and the excitement becomes thrilling as the returns exceed expectations.
At the top of the cycle is when investors experience euphoria. But it is here where investors are at the point of maximum financial risk. When we believe everything we touch turns to gold , we fool ourselves into believing we can beat the market, we cannot make mistakes, that excessive returns are commonplace and that we can tolerate higher levels of risk.
2: Complacency, denial, hope
The second phase of the cycle occurs when the market stops meeting our new lofty expectations and begins to turn. At first, we anxiously watch the market for any signs of direction. Anxiety turns to denial and then quickly to fear, as the value of the investments decline. Many people will then start to act defensively and may think about switching out of riskier assets to more defensive shares or other asset classes such as bonds.
3: Panic, capitulation, despondency
In the third phase of the cycle, the realities of a bear market come to the fore and an investor may become desperate. Many panic and withdraw from the market altogether – afraid of further losses. Those who persevere become despondent and wonder whether the markets are ever going to recover and whether they should be there at all.
Ironically, at these times, an investor will commonly fail to recognize they are actually at the point of maximum financial opportunity.
4: Skepticism, caution, worry
In the fourth stage of the cycle, investors may experience some skepticism when markets start to rise. They often have a sense of caution or worry, wondering if market growth will last.—and may be reluctant to invest money in the market at a point when prices are still relatively low and opportunities are attractive.
What are the consequences of this emotional roller-coaster?
Emotions turn rational investors into irrational investors. So it is important to remember that markets move and investments will always go in and out of favour.
Developed, diversified long-term financial plans are placed in jeopardy when investors are confronted by extraordinary events because we are guided by our emotions. This is where the role of the financial advisor is of utmost importance – your advisor can help you separate your emotions from reality and endeavour to steer you on the path of rational investing.
You can also help to avoid the emotional roller coaster by being aware of the emotions you are likely to experience. The five most common behavioural pitfalls are:
Overconfidence – when investors over-rate their ability to select winning shares or investment managers.
Loss aversion – research indicates a loss causes about twice as much pain as a gain causes pleasure. During periods of market volatility investors experience the sense of loss more acutely.
Chasing past performance – we see this time and time again, but unfortunately, individual investors who abandon a well-diversified portfolio for bonds, or even cash, may be jeopardizing their future financial security.
Timing the market – It is difficult to correctly predict the market's movements.
Failure to rebalance – the risk/return characteristics of an investor's portfolio should be independent of what's happening in the market and this means selling high and buying low.*
The temptation to fall into one of these traps can be resisted by developing and committing to a well defined, long-term investment plan. This may be the best way to protect yourself from your emotions.
Diversification does not assure a profit and does not protect against loss in declining markets.
People do not change over time. Information and actions of the consonant received information people do the same actions.
Best regards EXCAVO






















