Bitcoin Is Not Weak — It’s Reloading LiquidityBTC/USD – QUICK ANALYSIS (1H)
Structure
Price is rotating inside a high-liquidity range
Recent sell-off did not break structure → liquidity grab
Buyers defended the range low / intraday support
Key Zones
Support: ~87,000 – 86,800
Range Mid: ~88,300
Resistance: ~90,500 – 90,800
Price Behavior
Sharp drop = stop-hunt, not trend reversal
Current bounce shows absorption + acceptance back into range
Outlook
Base case: Range continuation → push back to range high
Bullish trigger: Acceptance above 88.5k
Invalidation: Clean breakdown below 86.8k
Bias
Neutral → Bullish within range
Strategy: Trade the range, not the breakout
Traders
Gold Is Not Overbought — This Is a Controlled ExpansionGOLD (XAUUSD) – SHORT ANALYSIS (1H)
Technical
Strong impulsive uptrend with shallow pullbacks → bullish strength.
Price holds well above EMA34 & EMA89 → trend intact.
Previous resistance (~4,430–4,450) flipped into key support.
Current move = impulse → brief consolidation → continuation.
Key Levels
Support: 4,430 – 4,450
Upside continuation: 4,520 → 4,580+
Macro / News Drivers
USD softness and easing real yields support gold.
Ongoing rate-cut expectations keep dip-buying active.
Persistent geopolitical risk & central bank demand underpin bullish bias.
Bias
Buy the pullbacks, not chase highs.
As long as price holds above the new support, trend continuation remains the base case.
Gold Isn’t Topping — This Is a PauseGOLD (XAUUSD) – H1
Technical Structure + Macro Context
1. Price Action & Structure
Gold just delivered a strong impulsive breakout, accelerating vertically from the 4,35xx base.
Current price action is consolidating just below the recent high, not rejecting.
This behavior = bullish continuation, not distribution.
Key observation:
➡️ Strong moves don’t reverse at the high — they pause, absorb liquidity, then expand.
2. Key Levels on Chart
Immediate Resistance / Pause Zone: ~4,485 – 4,500
Support Zone (Buyers’ Control): ~4,400 – 4,415
Trend Support: Rising impulse trendline remains intact
As long as price holds above 4,400, the bullish structure remains valid.
3. Market Psychology
Sellers failed to push price back below the support zone.
Pullbacks are shallow and corrective, showing weak selling pressure.
Liquidity is being absorbed above former resistance → acceptance at higher prices.
This is a textbook bullish flag / continuation pause.
4. Macro & Financial Drivers
USD Weakness:
Market expectations are shifting toward slower Fed tightening / future easing bias.
Real yields are stabilizing → USD momentum fades.
Safe-Haven & Inflation Hedge Demand:
Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty keeps risk premium priced into gold.
Central bank gold accumulation remains structurally supportive.
Inflation expectations remain sticky → gold retains long-term demand.
➡️ Macro environment continues to favor gold upside, not aggressive selling.
5. Forward Scenarios
Primary Scenario (High Probability):
Short-term pullback into 4,440–4,460
Continuation toward 4,520 → 4,550 zone
Invalidation:
Clean breakdown and acceptance below 4,400 would pause the bullish cycle.
🧠 Final Takeaway
Gold is not overextended it is repricing higher.
this ETH Structure Usually Breaks Higher — Most Traders Miss ItETH/USD – H1 |
Technical Structure
ETH is holding firmly above the key support zone and both EMA 34 & EMA 89, confirming trend control by buyers.
Recent pullbacks are shallow and corrective, forming higher lows → classic bullish continuation behavior.
Price is compressing below the next resistance around 3,100, indicating energy build-up rather than distribution.
As long as support holds, the structure favors step-by-step expansion, not reversal.
EMA 34 & EMA 89 remain below price, acting as dynamic support.
Macro Context
Risk appetite remains supported as markets price in softer USD conditions and future Fed easing.
ETH benefits from capital rotation into majors, especially when BTC stabilizes.
No major macro headwinds at the moment → momentum stays with trend-following buyers.
Outlook
Primary scenario: Hold above support → consolidation → push toward 3,100+.
Invalidation: Only a clean breakdown below the support zone would delay the bullish continuation.
Bottom Line
ETH is not overextended it’s absorbing liquidity above support.
This structure typically resolves higher, not sideways or lower.
ETH Isn't Chasing— It’s Building Pressure for the Next ExpansionETHEREUM (ETHUSD) – 1H TECHNICAL & MACRO UPDATE
Technical Structure
Price is printing higher highs and higher lows, confirming short-term bullish structure.
The support zone around 2,910–2,920 is holding firmly → buyers are defending pullbacks.
Current price is consolidating above the prior breakout level, a classic continuation setup.
Target 1 (~3,060) acts as the first liquidity objective.
Target 2 (~3,160) aligns with the next major supply zone if momentum persists.
No bearish reversal pattern is present unless price loses the highlighted support zone decisively.
Macro Context
USD strength has stalled, reducing downside pressure on risk assets.
U.S. yields are stabilizing, allowing capital to rotate back into crypto.
Broader market sentiment favors risk-on accumulation, especially for large-cap crypto like ETH.
No negative macro catalyst currently strong enough to invalidate the bullish structure.
Summary
Bias remains bullish while above support.
Expect shallow pullbacks → continuation toward Target 1, then Target 2.
Strategy favors buying pullbacks, not chasing breakouts.
ETH is advancing with structure and macro alignment this is controlled expansion, not excess.
Bitcoin Isn’t Stuck — It’s Trapping Liquidity BTCUSD – H1 Technical Analysis
Market Structure:
Bitcoin is trading inside a high-liquidity range, holding firmly above the key support zone. The sharp rejection from support followed by strong recovery confirms buyers are still in control.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: ~85,200 — aggressively defended, forming a solid base.
Liquidity Range: 86,800 – 89,500 — price is compressing here to absorb orders.
Resistance Zone: ~90,500 — the next major breakout trigger.
Price Action Insight:
Sideways movement after a strong bounce = accumulation, not weakness.
Higher lows inside the range indicate building bullish pressure.
No heavy selling despite repeated tests → supply is being absorbed.
Primary Scenario:
Continuation toward the 90,500 resistance, followed by a breakout targeting new highs above 91,000 once liquidity is cleared.
Invalidation:
Only a clean breakdown and acceptance below 85,200 would shift the bias bearish.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is not ranging randomly it is coiling. As long as support holds, the path of least resistance remains upward.
“ETH Pullback Is a Reload — Not the TopETH/USD – 1H QUICK ANALYSIS
Technical
Price is forming a higher low after the recent impulsive rally.
Current consolidation sits above short-term demand → bullish continuation structure intact.
Upside path remains open toward the major resistance ~3,160.
Only a clean break below the recent swing low would weaken the setup.
Key Levels
Support: 2,900–2,920
Resistance / Target: 3,050 → 3,160
Macro Drivers
Risk-on sentiment returning into year-end.
USD weakness as markets price Fed rate cuts in 2025.
ETH beta advantage: Ethereum tends to outperform during early risk-on rotations.
Bias
Buy dips, not breakouts.
Trend remains bullish while holding above support.
BTC Is Trapped — The Next Move Won’t Be SmallBTCUSD (H4) — Technical & Macro Analysis
1) Market Structure
- Bitcoin is currently trading inside a well-defined range / accumulation zone, capped by a strong Resistance Zone above and supported by a clear Support Zone below.
- Price is still below EMA34 and EMA89, meaning short-term momentum remains neutral-to-weak until these levels are reclaimed.
- Overall structure confirms a sideways market, not a confirmed trend yet.
2) Key Technical Levels
- Key Resistance / Pivot: 88,000 – 89,400
→ Reclaiming this zone is required to shift momentum bullish.
- Mid-range target: 90,000 – 92,000
- Major Resistance (Range High): 94,000 – 95,000
- Local Support: 85,000 – 86,000
- Critical Support (Range Low): 82,000 – 83,000
3) Price Behavior
- Failure to hold above the EMAs shows buyers are still cautious.
- However, repeated defense of the 85k–86k zone suggests accumulation rather than distribution.
- This is classic range behavior: build liquidity → fake moves → real breakout later .
4) Scenarios Ahead
Primary Scenario (Preferred): Sideways Accumulation → Push Higher
- Condition: Price holds above 85k–86k and reclaims 88k–89.4k.
- Target path: 90k–92k → 94k–95k.
Alternative Scenario: Rejection → Retest Support
- If BTC is rejected again at the EMA resistance zone, price may revisit 85k–86k, or deeper toward 82k–83k.
Invalidation: A clean breakdown below 82k–83k would invalidate the range structure and open downside risk.
5) Macro Context
- Fed policy uncertainty keeps risk appetite cautious.
- High bond yields & strong USD continue to pressure risk assets.
- Major US data (CPI, NFP, PCE) often trigger volatility, but price typically compresses before these events.
- Liquidity conditions favor accumulation and consolidation, not impulsive trends.
Summary
BTC remains in a clear consolidation phase. Until a strong breakout occurs, the market should be traded as a range with patience, confirmation, and strict risk management.
What do you think about BTC at this key zone?
EURUSD Is Quiet — But This Structure Signals the Next MoveEURUSD – H1 | Technical + Macro Analysis
Technical Structure
Price has broken the descending trendline and is now stabilizing above the key support zone.
The market is forming higher lows, signaling selling pressure is weakening.
Price is holding near the EMA cluster, suggesting a transition from correction to accumulation.
Upside targets sit at the previous supply zone, where a range breakout could accelerate.
Macro Context (EUR vs USD)
USD momentum is fading as markets price in slower US growth and future rate cuts.
ECB policy remains restrictive relative to growth risks, helping stabilize EUR.
Risk sentiment has improved slightly, reducing defensive USD demand.
Outlook
Primary scenario: Consolidation above support → gradual push toward resistance.
Invalidation: Clean break below the support zone would reopen downside risk.
Bottom Line
EURUSD is no longer trending down it’s building a base.
If macro pressure on USD continues, this structure favors a controlled upside rotation, not a breakdown.
Bitcoin Isn’t BreakingBTCUSD (H1) — Focused Analysis
Market Structure
BTC remains in a clear range-bound market.
Price is rotating between strong support and resistance, not forming a trend.
The prior downtrend has transitioned into accumulation / balance.
Key Zones
Resistance Zone: ~90,500
Support Zone: ~85,200
Current Price: Mid–upper range → liquidity-driven moves dominate.
Liquidity Context
The highlighted area is a high-liquidity price range.
Price is designed to sweep both sides:
Push up to resistance → trap longs
Flush to support → trap shorts
This environment favors range trading, not breakout chasing.
Scenarios
Primary Scenario (High Probability):
Continued sideways oscillation inside the range.
Expect fake breakouts and sharp reversals.
Breakout Scenario (Lower Probability):
Only valid with a strong close above 90,500 + volume expansion.
Until then, upside spikes are likely liquidity grabs.
Summary
Bitcoin is not trending it’s absorbing orders.
Patience is the edge. Wait for confirmation, or trade the range with discipline.
GBPUSD Isn’t Trending — It’s Loading Liquidity for BreaKGBPUSD – H1 Technical Analysis
Market Structure:
GBPUSD is currently trading inside a well-defined moving range, not a trend. Price is rotating cleanly between support and resistance, indicating liquidity-building behavior rather than directional commitment.
Key Zones:
Resistance Zone: ~1.3450–1.3460
Support Zone: ~1.3315–1.3330
Price Action Insight:
Repeated rejections from both extremes confirm a range-bound environment.
Recent higher low inside the range suggests short-term bullish momentum, but still within consolidation.
No strong impulsive breakout candle → market is waiting for confirmation.
Primary Scenario:
Price continues to oscillate inside the range, potentially pushing toward the upper resistance zone to test sell-side liquidity before a decision point.
Alternative Scenario:
A failure near resistance could send price back toward range support for another liquidity sweep.
Conclusion:
GBPUSD is not ready to trend yet. Until a clean breakout with acceptance occurs, the market favors range trading and patience, not aggression.
Smart Money Is Executing the Next PhaseGOLD MARKET ANALYSIS (XAUUSD) — DAILY UPDATE
📌 Market Context
Gold continues to follow a Wyckoff schematic, transitioning from Phase B into Phase C/D.
The breakout from the prolonged range confirms active participation from large players, not retail-driven noise.
🔎 Structure & Technicals
Price holds above key moving averages, keeping the primary uptrend intact.
Current advance represents a markup leg, followed by a healthy technical pullback.
Momentum indicators remain elevated → volatility is expected, but no reversal signals are present.
📈 Today’s Scenarios
Primary Scenario:
Mild correction → re-accumulation above new support → continuation toward higher targets.
Alternative Scenario:
Deeper pullback = liquidity test (Spring / Shakeout) before the next leg higher.
Daily Bias:
BUY with structure. Avoid FOMO.
🎯 Strategic Insight
This move is driven by smart money positioning, not emotional buying.
Patience and phase recognition remain the edge.
TODAY’S LIMITED STRATEGY — DEC 22
Intraday Focus: Re-Accumulation
📌 Setup 1 — Timing Sell Zone
Sell Zone: 4418 – 4421
TP: 4415 – 4410
SL: 4425
📌 Setup 2 — Timing Buy Zone
Buy Zone: 4332 – 4335
TP: 4338 – 4343
SL: 4328
⚠️ Strict risk management required. Protect capital first.
Bottom Line:
The trend is bullish.
The edge is patience not speed.
Gold Is Building the Base for a Fresh ATH — Macro Is the FuelXAUUSD – H1 | Technical
Technical Structure
Gold is holding above former resistance, now acting as support — a classic post-breakout consolidation.
Higher lows remain intact, momentum structure is bullish.
Price is compressing just below old ATH, signaling acceptance at high levels, not rejection.
Macro Drivers Supporting a New ATH
US Dollar weakness: Expectations of rate cuts and slowing US growth continue to pressure USD.
Falling real yields: This directly supports gold as a non-yielding asset.
Central bank demand: Ongoing accumulation from global central banks keeps long-term demand strong.
Geopolitical & macro uncertainty: Sustains safe-haven flows into gold.
Scenario Outlook
Primary: Short consolidation → breakout → New ATH expansion.
Pullbacks: Any retracement toward previous breakout levels is likely buy-the-dip, not trend reversal.
Bottom Line
Gold is not chasing highs it is building value above resistance.
With macro conditions aligned, the probability favors a clean breakout into a new all-time high rather than a major correction.
How Smart Money Trap Retailer 22 Dec 2025This video explains how smart money traps retail traders by focusing on how institutional participants think and operate as a coordinated group rather than as individuals. The discussion highlights how liquidity is created around obvious price levels, how collective positioning works, and why retail traders often react emotionally while smart money plans strategically.
The objective of this video is to build awareness about smart money behavior, team-based execution, and liquidity-driven market movement, helping viewers understand market dynamics from a learning perspective rather than a signal-based approach.
Gold Is Not at a Top — It’s Compressing Below HistoryGold continues to trade in a strong bullish structure on H4, with a clear sequence of higher lows confirming that buyers remain firmly in control. After the impulsive leg up, price is now consolidating directly below the previous highest high around 4,380 a textbook bullish consolidation rather than a distribution phase. This range-bound movement shows that selling pressure is being absorbed, not expanded, as pullbacks remain shallow and demand consistently steps in. As long as price holds above the higher-low base of the consolidation, the broader bias stays bullish, and this sideways action should be viewed as a buildup of pressure. A clean acceptance above the 4,380 resistance zone would likely trigger continuation toward a new ATH, while failure to break simply extends the consolidation, not invalidates the trend. This is a wait for expansion environment patience is the trade.
This Is Not a Breakout Yet — Gold Is Quietly Loading the MoveOANDA:XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis
Market Structure
Gold is no longer trending impulsively. Price has transitioned into a clear accumulation → sideways expansion phase right below the old ATH.
What matters here is behavior, not direction.
- Strong impulsive leg already completed
- Price failed to immediately break higher
- Market shifted into range compression instead of reversal
This confirms buyers are still in control, but they are absorbing supply rather than chasing price.
Key Zones on the Chart
Upper Range / Pre-ATH Supply: ~4,350 – 4,380
- Sideway Zone (Value Area): Mid-range where price is rotating
- Accumulation Base: ~4,260 – 4,280 (range low / demand pocket)
Price continues to respect the range boundaries:
- Highs are capped → liquidity building above
- Lows are defended → no breakdown structure
This is balanced price action, not weakness.
Price Action Logic
Inside the box:
- Overlapping candles
- Repeated up/down rotations
- No follow-through selling
This is time-based correction, not price-based correction.
Markets often do this before expanding through major highs.
Scenarios Ahead
Primary (Higher Probability):
- Continued oscillation inside the range
- Liquidity builds on both sides
- Expansion → break above old ATH
Alternate:
- Sweep lower range once more
- Immediate reclaim
- Same upside continuation
A clean break below the accumulation base would be the only structure failure — and that has not happened.
Bottom Line
Gold is not stalling.
It is compressing energy inside value.
When this range resolves, it will not be subtle.
Ethereum Is Loading — Breakout or Fake Move?ETHUSD (H1) — Quick Market Analysis
Market Structure
ETH is holding a short-term bullish structure after a strong rebound from the lower demand zone.
Price is printing higher lows, showing buyers are gradually regaining control.
Key Levels
Support Zone: ~2,915 – 2,920
Current Pivot: ~2,970 – 2,980
Target 1: ~3,050
Target 2: ~3,160
Price Behavior
Price is consolidating above support, forming a bullish continuation pattern.
No strong rejection yet → selling pressure remains weak.
The dotted path suggests a pullback → higher low → expansion structure.
Scenarios
Primary Scenario (Bullish):
Hold above support → push toward Target 1, then extension to Target 2.
Alternative Scenario:
A brief dip toward support to absorb liquidity before continuation higher.
Summary
ETH is not topping it’s pausing and building energy.
As long as support holds, upside targets remain valid.
Correction Is Not a Reversal — Gold Is Reloading 1. Market Structure Overview
- Gold is still trading within a medium-term bullish structure, but price has entered a short-term corrective phase after failing to hold above the upper resistance zone.
- Strong rejection occurred at the POC / resistance area 4.35x – 4.38x, confirming active profit-taking.
The current price action is developing a classic ABC correction:
- Wave A: Completed with a sharp pullback.
- Wave B: Ongoing technical rebound.
Importantly, price remains above the major moving averages, meaning the primary uptrend is still intact.
This correction is technical in nature, not a trend reversal.
2. Market Context & Liquidity Behavior
Sellers are active near the highs, but downside momentum remains controlled.
The market is likely seeking liquidity clearance before deciding the next impulsive move.
The 4.26x – 4.20x zone stands out as a key re-accumulation area where buyers may step back in.
3. Today’s Price Scenarios
🔹 Primary Scenario (High Probability)
Price continues its corrective leg toward 4.26x – 4.20x.
This zone acts as a decision point:
Holding above it → supports re-accumulation and trend continuation.
Strong breakdown → opens room for a deeper short-term correction.
🔹 Alternative Scenario (Lower Probability)
Failure to reclaim strength after the correction may extend downside pressure.
Confirmation only occurs if support is decisively broken with volume.
4. Intraday Trading Setups — Re-Accumulation Focus
📌 SETUP 1 – Intraday Sell (Correction Timing)
XAUUSD SELL ZONE: 4369 – 4372
Take Profit: 4366 – 4361
Stop Loss: 4376
📌 SETUP 2 – Intraday Buy (Re-Accumulation Zone)
XAUUSD BUY ZONE: 4262 – 4265
Take Profit: 4268 – 4273
Stop Loss: 4258
⚠️ Always apply strict risk management to protect capital.
5. Summary & Trading Guidance
Main Trend: Bullish
Short-Term State: Correction → Re-accumulation
Bias: Wait for price to reach key zones, avoid chasing highs
👉 Today’s session is a balancing phase. The market’s reaction at the support zone will define whether gold resumes its uptrend or extends the correction. Patience and discipline remain the optimal strategy.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKGold 4H Analysis
On the 4H chart, price is currently moving between two major weighted levels, with an imbalance (gap) above around 4124 and another below near 4000. As long as price remains trapped between these zones, we should expect a series of side-to-side tests until one of the weighted levels breaks and holds to confirm the next directional range.
With this structure in mind, the plan remains to buy dips from our key support levels. These updated levels — including POI, BB, OB, and demand zones — help us track the move downward and catch bullish reactions as price bounces.
Scenario 1:
If price rejects from above at the BB zone at 4115–4120, we anticipate a bearish move back toward the OB + Demand zone, potentially into the Retracement Range, to sweep liquidity.
A 4H candle closing below the Demand zone around 3930 would confirm a deeper leg into the Swing Range near the 3700 levels.
If the 4H candle does not close below demand and only performs a liquidity sweep, then we expect a push to higher levels afterward.
Scenario 2:
If price cross above level, the BB zone at 4115–4120, we consider bullish and target will be above supply zone at 4330.
Note:
The Swing Range produces much larger bounces compared to our weighted levels, which is the key difference between the two.
Continue buying dips at our support levels, aiming for 20–40 pip scalps.
Each structural level we mark is designed to give 20–40 pip bounces — ideal for clean entries and exits.
Please boost, share and comment if you like the idea and analysis.
The QUANTUM TRADING MASTERY
Bitcoin Is Trapped in a High-Liquidity RangeMarket Structure (H1)
Bitcoin is currently locked inside a clearly defined range, capped by a heavy resistance zone around 90,500 and supported by a well-defended demand area near 85,200. Price action inside this box is choppy and overlapping, with repeated sweeps of both highs and lows — a classic liquidity-building environment rather than a trending phase.
The sharp sell-off from the left side of the chart established a lower structural regime, after which BTC transitioned into sideways rotation. Each bounce toward resistance fails to achieve acceptance, while each dip into support is aggressively defended. This confirms balance, not strength or weakness.
Liquidity & Price Behavior
The green projected swings highlight how price is likely to continue oscillating between resistance and support, hunting liquidity on both sides. This behavior typically precedes a range expansion, but until a clean breakout occurs, moves inside the range remain low-probability and noise-driven.
Macro & U.S. Policy Context
From a macro perspective, Bitcoin remains constrained by unfavorable U.S. conditions:
The Federal Reserve maintains a restrictive policy stance, keeping real yields elevated.
A relatively strong USD continues to pressure risk assets.
Liquidity conditions remain tight, reducing follow-through on upside attempts.
These factors explain why BTC struggles to accept above resistance despite multiple tests — macro headwinds are capping momentum.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is not trending it is accumulating liquidity.
Above 90,500 with acceptance → upside expansion becomes likely.
Failure at resistance → continued rotation and potential downside sweep toward support.
Until price leaves the range with intent, patience is the edge.
ETH Is Bouncing — But This Is Still a Reaction, Not a BreakoutMarket Structure (H1)
Ethereum is showing a clear rebound from the 2,750–2,800 support zone, confirming that buyers are defending demand effectively. The impulse off support is strong, but structurally ETH remains below two key resistance layers — the first around 3,000–3,050, and the higher supply zone near 3,150–3,200. As long as price trades beneath these zones, the broader structure remains corrective.
Price Action & Context
The recent sell-off flushed downside liquidity, which often leads to sharp relief bounces. However, current price action still fits a range-to-range rotation rather than trend continuation. A rejection from the first resistance would likely form a lower high, keeping ETH compressed inside the larger consolidation. Only clean acceptance above resistance would shift control back to buyers.
Macro & U.S. Policy Backdrop
Macro conditions remain a headwind for crypto:
- The Federal Reserve is maintaining a restrictive stance, with rate cuts not yet clearly signaled.
- U.S. yields remain elevated, supporting the USD and limiting risk-asset expansion.
- Liquidity conditions favor short-term trades, not sustained upside trends.
This macro environment explains why rebounds are fast but often lack follow-through.
Conclusion
ETH is reacting well from support, but this move is still technical in nature.
- Acceptance above 3,000–3,050 is required to unlock upside continuation.
- Failure at resistance keeps ETH vulnerable to another rotation lower.
For now, this is a relief rally inside consolidation patience and confirmation remain key.
EURUSD Lost Momentum — And the Pullback Is Not Finished YetHello Guys
EURUSD on H1 has shifted from impulsive upside into a clear corrective phase after failing to hold above the prior structure high. The sharp rejection from the top was followed by strong bearish candles that broke back below the key intraday support around 1.1710, signaling that buyers have stepped aside and short-term control has rotated to sellers. Current price action shows weak rebounds and lower highs, consistent with a corrective unwind rather than consolidation for continuation.
Structurally, price is now retesting broken support from below, which is acting as resistance. As long as EURUSD remains capped under the 1.1710–1.1720 zone, the path of least resistance stays to the downside. The projected sequence favors a brief corrective bounce, followed by continuation lower toward the next demand zone around 1.1680–1.1690, where stronger buying interest may reappear.
From a macro perspective, this technical pullback aligns with a short-term USD bid driven by cautious risk sentiment and relative strength in U.S. data. With the Fed maintaining a restrictive stance longer than the ECB and rate differentials still favoring the dollar, EUR upside lacks strong macro support in the near term. This environment reinforces the idea that EURUSD rallies are corrective unless macro conditions shift meaningfully.
In summary, EURUSD is in a short-term corrective decline. Below reclaimed resistance, downside continuation toward lower support remains favored. This is not a trend-reversal setup yet, but a momentum reset — patience is required until price reaches demand or macro conditions change enough to justify renewed euro strength.
Why We Think Retail Trader Exit Their Position | Smart MoneyThis video explains why retail traders often exit their positions early, especially on the first candle. The discussion focuses on how early volatility, emotional reactions, lack of structure clarity, and liquidity-driven price behavior can force premature exits. By observing first-candle behavior and market structure, the video highlights common mistakes that lead traders to exit before the market reveals its true intent.
The purpose of this video is to build awareness around early-session price behavior and help understand why retail traders struggle to hold positions—purely from an educational and price-action perspective.






















