XAUUSD – Geopolitical Rally, Market Near Trend ConfirmationHello everyone, this is Domic.
During the Asian session, gold rebounded sharply from the 4.33x area to above 4.39x, signaling a clear return of defensive flows after news that the US launched a military operation in Venezuela and detained President Maduro. Although the military action itself has concluded, Washington’s announcement of a temporary takeover to stabilize the country and oversee oil production has kept geopolitical uncertainty in Latin America elevated. In this context, gold continues to be favored as a safe haven rather than higher-risk assets.
Another notable factor is crude oil pulling back toward the 57 USD/barrel area. This suggests the market is viewing the Venezuela situation primarily through a geopolitical risk lens rather than as an immediate threat to energy supply. Rising uncertainty without a corresponding spike in oil-driven inflation expectations creates a more supportive short-term backdrop for gold.
On the H4 timeframe, technical signals are turning more constructive. Price remains above the slower EMA and has reclaimed the faster EMA after the year-end pullback. In hindsight, the decline from the 4.55x area down to 4.28x appears corrective rather than distributive. The strong reaction from the demand zone and the ability to sustain the rebound indicate that buyers have regained short-term control, placing the market in a phase where the uptrend is being confirmed rather than challenged.
Wishing you all effective and successful trading!
Trading
EUR/USD: A Healthy Correction Ahead of the Next RallyHello everyone, Camila here!
On the H4 timeframe, the bullish structure remains clearly intact. Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, while the ascending trendline drawn from key swing lows is still being respected by the market. This indicates that the primary buying pressure has not left the market.
After breaking out of the compression area and printing a new high, EUR/USD has entered a correction to retest the previous breakout zone. This is a very common technical behavior associated with institutional money flows. The market often returns to recently broken levels to confirm the role shift from resistance to support.
The current correction, in my view, represents a healthy pullback rather than a distribution phase. Selling pressure has not expanded, downside momentum remains controlled, and the bullish structure has not been compromised. In particular, the 1.1650–1.1660 area stands out as a key support zone, as it aligns with prior structural support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse.
In the scenario I am monitoring, EUR/USD may continue to decline toward the 1.1650–1.1660 area to test demand. If price holds this zone and fresh buying signals emerge, the market is likely to rebound toward the 1.1740–1.1760 resistance zone. A strong break above this resistance would open the door for further upside extension in the medium term.
From a news and macroeconomic perspective, EUR/USD is receiving a degree of support. Expectations that the Fed will maintain a dovish stance throughout 2026 continue to put pressure on U.S. Treasury yields, leading to a relatively weaker U.S. dollar. Recent U.S. economic data point to slowing growth, while inflation is gradually easing, increasing the likelihood of monetary policy easing going forward.
In Europe, the ECB continues to maintain a cautious stance without signaling aggressive easing, which helps the euro preserve relative stability. Amid ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainty, capital flows are becoming more flexible rather than being concentrated entirely in the U.S. dollar as in previous periods.
In conclusion, in my personal assessment, EUR/USD does not appear weak at this stage. Instead, the market is undergoing a necessary phase of consolidation and technical correction. The 1.1650–1.1660 area will be the key zone that determines the next directional move. As long as price remains above the ascending trendline, I continue to prioritize a trend-following long scenario, patiently waiting for confirmation rather than chasing short-term volatility.
Wishing you successful trading.
Trading Liquidity – Quick Guide in 5 StepsWelcome back everyone to another guide, today we will speed run "Trading Liquidity" in a quick 5 step guide. Be sure to like, follow and join the community!
1) Identify Liquidity:
- Equal highs or cluster of highs (Buy-side Liquidity)
- Equal lows or cluster of lows (Sell-side Liquidity)
- Obvious highs & lows
2) Identify Liquidity Direction (Price moves towards liquidity first):
- Equal highs > Price is likely to sweep above
- Equal lows > Price is likely to sweep below
3) Wait for Liquidity Sweeps
- Price takes out lows
- Stops get triggered
- Look for rejection or close back inside
Do NOT enter before the sweep or before the confirmation.
4) Enter Trade:
Enter after confirmation, away from liquidity
- Stop loss: Longs > Below Swept Lows
- Stop loss: Shorts > Above Swept Highs
5) Take Profits:
- Take Profit: Nearest opposing liquidity
- Take Profit: Previous high/low
- Take Profit: Range boundaries
RESULTS:
Liquidity sweep > confirmation > clean move
Thank you all so much for reading! Hopefully this is a useful guide in the future or present! If you would like me to make any simplified guides, articles or tutorials, let me know in the comment section down below - or even contact me through trading view.
Thank you!
XAUUSD (H2) – BUY priority today Gold holds above 4,400 on safe-haven flows | Trade liquidity, don’t chase
Quick summary
Gold started the week with strong momentum and pushed above 4,400 during the Asian session as global markets rotated into safe-haven assets. Geopolitical risk is the key driver after reports of US ground strikes in Venezuela and the detention of President Nicolás Maduro and his wife.
With that backdrop, my plan today is simple: prioritise BUY setups at liquidity zones, and avoid FOMO while price is elevated.
1) Macro context: Why gold is supported
When geopolitical risk escalates, capital typically flows into gold.
Headline-driven sessions often bring:
✅ fast pumps, ✅ liquidity sweeps, ✅ larger wicks/spreads.
➡️ The safest execution is waiting for pullbacks into predefined buy zones, not chasing highs.
2) Technical view (based on your chart)
On H2, gold has bounced sharply and your chart highlights clear execution areas:
Key levels for today
✅ Buy zone: 4340 – 4345 (trend/structure pullback zone)
✅ Strong Liquidity: lower support band (marked on chart)
✅ Sell zone: 4436 – 4440 (near-term supply / reaction area)
✅ Sell swing / target: 4515 – 4520 (higher objective / profit-taking zone)
3) Trading plan (Liam style: trade the level)
Scenario A (priority): BUY the pullback into 4340–4345
✅ Buy: 4340 – 4345
SL (guide): below the zone (adjust to spread / lower TF structure)
TP1: 4400 – 4410
TP2: 4436 – 4440
TP3: 4515 – 4520 (if momentum continues with headlines)
Logic: 4340–4345 offers a cleaner R:R than chasing above 4,400.
Scenario B: If price holds above 4,400 and only dips lightly
Look for a buy only on clear holding signals near the closest support/strong liquidity (M15–H1).
Still not recommending FOMO entries in headline volatility.
Scenario C: SELL reaction (scalp) at supply
✅ If price tags 4436–4440 and shows weakness:
Sell scalp: 4436 – 4440
SL: above the zone
TP: back toward 4400–4380
Logic: This is a near-term supply area — good for quick profit-taking, not a long-term reversal call.
4) Notes (avoid getting swept)
Asian session can spike hard on headlines → wait for pullback confirmations.
Reduce size if spreads widen.
Only execute when price hits the level and prints a clear reaction (rejection / engulf / MSS).
What’s your plan today: buying the 4340–4345 pullback, or waiting for price to push into 4515–4520 before reassessing?
BTC at a Critical Inflection Point Following a Decisive Sell-OffHello, I'm Camila.
Price declined decisively, reflecting strong bearish momentum as sellers maintained clear control over the market. However, once price reached a key support area, selling pressure began to fade, suggesting that buyers were starting to show interest.
This was followed by a strong rebound that broke above the short-term descending trendline, marking the first meaningful sign of a potential trend shift. This breakout indicates that buyers are returning to the market and actively attempting to regain control.
The immediate upside target is located around the 107,000 USD area, which aligns with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone. This region often acts as a magnet for price, attracting corrective moves before the market commits to its next directional decision.
If buyers are able to hold above the recent breakout level and build momentum, a deeper recovery move may unfold. On the other hand, failure to sustain price above this level could lead to a pullback into the demand zone for a retest before the next advance.
In summary, buyers are cautiously probing the market. The key question now is whether they can maintain control above the breakout point and confirm the shift in market structure.
Wishing you disciplined and successful trading.
GOLD Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD price has reclaimed a key horizontal demand zone after a clean liquidity sweep below prior lows. Strong displacement to the upside signals smart money accumulation, with structure favoring continuation toward the next buy-side liquidity pool. Time Frame 12H.
Buy!
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XAUUSD - Macro Tailwinds Align with a Technically Intact UptrendHello everyone, Camila here!
From a fundamental perspective, gold continues to receive clear support from macroeconomic factors. Expectations that the Fed will maintain a dovish stance throughout 2026 are keeping downward pressure on U.S. Treasury yields. As yields cool, the opportunity cost of holding gold declines, allowing capital to rotate back into the precious metal. In addition, ongoing geopolitical risks and unresolved global economic uncertainties mean that gold remains a preferred defensive asset.
From a technical standpoint, I see no signs of a trend reversal at this stage. On the H4 timeframe, the bullish structure remains firmly intact, with a clear sequence of higher lows. The ascending trendline extending from November to the present continues to be respected, indicating that buying pressure still dominates the medium-term market direction.
The 4.28x–4.30x price zone plays a critical role in the overall structure. This area previously acted as strong resistance and has now successfully flipped into support after being broken. Repeated price reactions and rebounds from this zone suggest that the market is accepting a higher price base, rather than entering a distribution phase.
Following the sharp correction from the recent peak, price behavior indicates that selling pressure has lost momentum. Instead of extending lower, price has begun to consolidate and form a structure resembling an inverse Head & Shoulders. The right shoulder remains relatively tight, signaling weakening bearish pressure and active supply absorption. This phase often represents a “pause” before the primary trend resumes.
My preferred short-term scenario is a modest break above the upper resistance, followed by a pullback to retest the newly broken area. If the underlying support continues to hold, this retracement should remain purely technical. In that case, gold would have a solid foundation to extend its advance toward the 4.49x region in the coming sessions.
Wishing you successful trading.
SILVER FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅SILVER is reacting inside a higher-timeframe supply zone after a strong impulsive push. This move shows clear buy-side liquidity capture, with displacement losing momentum. Expect a bearish rotation toward the discounted imbalance below.
—————————
Entry: 76.50$
Stop Loss: 78.12$
Take Profit: 74.00$
Time Frame: 2H
—————————
SHORT🔥
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Climbing the Channel — ATH Is the MagnetOANDA:XAUUSD continues to trade inside a well-defined ascending channel, with price respecting both channel support and structure of higher highs – higher lows. Pullbacks remain shallow and are consistently absorbed, signaling sustained bullish control rather than exhaustion.
Momentum remains constructive as price holds mid-channel, keeping the focus on continuation toward the previous all-time high (OLD ATH) rather than a structural reversal.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4,525 → 4,550 (OLD ATH)
Support: 4,460 – 4,470 (channel support)
Structure invalidation: below 4,440
➡️ Primary: hold above 4,460 → grind higher → test 4,525, then OLD ATH.
⚠️ Risk: loss of channel support → deeper pullback toward 4,440 before trend reassessment.
Technical Rebound at Key EMA, Medium-Term Uptrend Remains IntactHello everyone,
EUR/USD has just completed a fairly deep but well-controlled correction. The prior sell-off pulled price back toward the medium-term EMA zone around 1.1680–1.1700, and the subsequent rebound suggests selling pressure is no longer expanding, while buyers have started to step in to defend the broader structure.
Although price briefly printed a lower low in the short term, the medium-term picture has not been broken. At the moment, EUR/USD is fluctuating around the confluence of EMA 34 and EMA 89 near 1.1730–1.1740 — a key decision area. Holding above this zone would give the market room to continue consolidating and recovering; failure here could open the door for a retest of the prior lows.
From a macro perspective, the current backdrop does not place significant pressure on the euro. The Fed remains cautious and data-dependent, limiting the upside in US Treasury yields. Meanwhile, the ECB continues to maintain a moderately firm stance, helping EUR hold a stable price base. Upcoming data such as services PMI and US jobless claims may trigger short-term volatility, but in my view, they are unlikely to alter the medium-term trend unless a major surprise emerges.
XAUUSD retracing uptrend – Buy the dip at demand zonesMarket Context (Short-Term)
After the previous sharp sell-off, Gold has recovered and moved back into an ascending channel. The current price action suggests a technical rebound and rebalancing phase, not a full trend reversal.
Market structure is forming Higher Lows within the channel, indicating that buyers are still in control of the short-term flow.
Technical Structure & Key Zones
Price is consolidating around the mid-range of the ascending channel.
Pullbacks remain shallow, showing healthy bullish behavior.
Key technical levels on the chart:
Sell / Resistance Zone: 4,461 – 4,465
Pivot Zone: 4,422
Buy Zone 1: 4,393
Buy Zone 2 (GAP / Demand): 4,366 – 4,350
Deep Buy Zone: 4,329
→ The lower Buy zones align with ascending trendline support + demand + price gap, making them high-probability reaction areas.
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario (Trend-Following BUY):
Wait for price to pull back into 4,393 → 4,366.
Look for bullish confirmation (rejection wicks, strong closes, structure holding).
BUY on confirmation.
Targets:
TP1: 4,422
TP2: 4,461
Secondary Scenario (Short-Term SELL):
If price reaches 4,461 – 4,465 and fails to break and hold, a short-term correction may occur.
SELL setups here are counter-trend scalps only, with tight risk management.
Invalidation & Risk Notes
The bullish structure is invalidated if price closes decisively below 4,329.
Avoid FOMO in the middle of the range.
Only execute trades at predefined key zones.
Adjust position size carefully, as the market is still in a technical pullback phase.
Gold Rewards Timing, Not Activity🟡 Gold Rewards Timing, Not Activity ⏳✨
Gold is not a market that rewards constant action.
It rewards waiting, observation, and precise timing.
Many traders believe that trading more means earning more. In Gold, this mindset often leads to overtrading, emotional decisions, and unnecessary losses.
⏱️ 1. Gold Moves in Phases, Not Constant Trends
Gold spends a large amount of time in:
consolidation 🔄
slow accumulation 🧩
controlled ranges 📦
During these phases, price appears “boring,” but the market is actually preparing.
Trading aggressively in these conditions usually means trading noise, not opportunity.
🧠 2. Activity Feeds Emotions, Timing Controls Risk
High activity leads to:
impatience 😤
forced entries 🎯
emotional exits ❌
Good timing, on the other hand, comes from:
understanding context 🧭
waiting for price to show intent 📊
acting only when conditions align ✅
Gold punishes impatience faster than most markets.
🏦 3. Institutions Trade Less, But Trade Better
Large players do not chase every candle.
They wait for:
liquidity to build 💧
weak hands to exit 🧹
price to reach meaningful zones 📍
When timing is right, Gold often moves fast and decisively — leaving overactive traders behind.
⚡ 4. Big Gold Moves Come After Quiet Periods
Some of the strongest Gold expansions begin after:
low volatility 😴
reduced participation 📉
trader boredom 💤
This is why patience is not passive — it is strategic.
🧩 Key Insight
In Gold, doing less at the right time often outperforms doing more at the wrong time.
🎯 Final Takeaway
❌ More trades ≠ more profits
✅ Better timing = cleaner execution
🟡 Gold rewards discipline, context, and patience
Master timing, and activity will take care of itself.
AUDUSD LOCAL SHORT|
✅AUDUSD rallies into a clear premium PD array after sharp bullish displacement. Price is expected to mitigate supply, with smart money likely distributing before a bearish continuation toward sell-side liquidity below. Time Frame 2H.
SHORT🔥
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EUR/USD at the Edge — Is This the Final Dip Before a Sharp......Market Structure Overview
FX:EURUSD remains in a short-term bearish structure after a sustained selloff, but downside momentum is clearly decelerating. Price has reached a well-defined support zone around 1.1670–1.1680, where selling pressure is no longer expanding aggressively. This suggests the market is transitioning from trend to reaction mode.
Support Zone: Where Sellers Are Slowing
The current support zone has absorbed multiple bearish pushes without continuation. Recent candles show smaller bodies and overlapping price action, indicating seller exhaustion rather than renewed breakdown intent. As long as price holds above this zone, the probability of further immediate downside is limited.
Resistance Zone and Mean-Reversion Path
Above price, the 1.1740–1.1760 resistance zone aligns with prior structure and the descending EMA. This zone represents the first major upside obstacle. From a technical standpoint, a rebound toward this area would be a mean-reversion move, not yet a trend reversal, unless price can reclaim and hold above it with acceptance.
Scenario Outlook
- Primary scenario: Price stabilizes above support and develops a higher low, triggering a corrective rebound toward 1.1720 → 1.1760.
- Alternative scenario: A clean breakdown and close below the support zone would invalidate the rebound thesis and open the door for continuation lower.
Technical Conclusion
EUR/USD is no longer in a high-conviction sell zone. The market is reacting at support, and risk-to-reward now favors patience and confirmation, not chasing shorts. The next directional move will be defined by how price behaves around the current support defense leads to rebound, failure leads to continuation.
USDCHFUSDCHF: If the price can remain above 0.79259, there is a possibility of an upward price movement. Consider buying in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
This content is not financial advice. Always conduct your own financial due diligence.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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BTC Hits a Wall: Is a $90k Liquidity Grab Next?COINBASE:BTCUSD is currently testing the upper limits of its recent relief rally, which saw a ~17% recovery from its late-2025 local bottom of $80,600. After a strong five-day streak of gains to start January 2026, momentum is showing signs of exhaustion as price encounters a dense supply wall in the $93,600 – $94,500 range. The market structure on the H1 timeframe reveals a series of failed attempts to break the local high, suggesting a transition from an impulsive phase to a distribution or corrective phase.
The technical alignment remains precarious. While the broader sentiment has improved due to slowing ETF outflows and new institutional positioning for the year, the short-term price action is struggling to maintain its footing above the psychological $93,000 level. The price is currently hovering near the EMA 50, which is the immediate dynamic support. A failure here would likely confirm the bearish projection indicated by the current rejection from resistance.
Key Levels
Resistance: 93,696 – 94,563 (Local High & Supply Zone)
Support: 90,690 – 90,979 (Major Support Zone)
Mid-Level Pivot: ~92,222
EMA 50 Support: ~92,737
Trading Scenarios
➡️ Primary: Rejection at the $93,339 resistance level → downward move to test the $92,222 pivot → eventual deeper correction into the $90,690 – $90,979 Support Zone to gather fresh liquidity.
⚠️ Risk: A decisive breakout and acceptance above $94,563 would invalidate the corrective outlook, potentially triggering a "short squeeze" toward the $97,000 – $100,000 targets.
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Jan 6, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Jan 6, 2026 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
• Quiet macro session: No major inflation or labor data ahead of Wednesday and Friday’s heavier releases.
• Services tone in focus: Final PMI helps confirm whether services momentum held up into year-end.
• Markets in reset mode: Early-year positioning and flows remain the primary driver.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
9 45 AM
• S and P Final U.S. Services PMI Dec: 52.9
⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #PMI #services #markets #trading #stocks #macro
EURUSD Is Not Reversing — This Is a Support Reaction Hello everyone,
On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the recent bearish push, but how EURUSD is reacting at a clearly defined support zone and attempting to rebuild structure. Price has already completed a corrective leg down; what matters now is whether demand can hold and fuel a measured recovery.
OANDA:EURUSD sold off into the 1.1720–1.1730 support area, where downside momentum stalled and price began to stabilize. This zone has acted as a reaction base before, and the current candles show absorption rather than continuation, suggesting sellers are losing follow-through at these levels.
Structurally, the market is transitioning from impulsive downside into a corrective recovery sequence. The first objective is a push toward 1.1747, which marks the nearest intraday resistance. A successful reclaim and hold above this level would set up a retest-and-continue move toward 1.1755, followed by 1.1765. These levels align precisely with prior breakdown points, making them natural upside magnets during a correction.
The projected path on the chart reflects this logic clearly:
- Hold above support (1.1720–1.1730) → initiate rebound.
- Reclaim 1.1747 → short-term confirmation.
- Retest and continuation toward 1.1755 and 1.1765.
Only a clean break and acceptance below 1.1720 would invalidate the recovery scenario and reopen downside risk.
Importantly, there is no evidence of aggressive distribution at the lows. Price action remains orderly, and rebounds are developing step by step, which supports the view of a technical pullback resolution, not a trend reversal.
As long as EURUSD holds above the highlighted support, the path of least resistance is a corrective grind higher toward the marked targets, with patience and level discipline remaining key.
Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
SILVER (XAGUSD): More Growth is Coming?!
Silver had a very bullish opening today.
The market violated a minor intraday horizontal resistance
with a buying imbalance candle.
I think that the price has great potential to rise more.
Next resistance is 77.5
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