Gold Testing a Key EMA, the Pullback Remains TechnicalOn the OANDA:XAUUSD H1 chart, gold is entering a short-term corrective phase following the previous strong rally. The key point to emphasize is that the bullish structure remains intact, and current price action is mainly about how the market reacts around the major EMA levels.
From a technical perspective, price is hovering around the EMA 89, corresponding to the 4,435–4,440 zone. Meanwhile, the EMA 34 sits higher near 4,455 and has temporarily turned into a short-term dynamic resistance. Price failing to hold the faster EMA and pulling back toward the slower one is a familiar scenario within a healthy uptrend, where larger players closely observe price reactions to assess whether the trend continues to be defended.
The constructive sign so far is that gold has not printed a clear H1 close below the EMA 89 . The corrective candles remain relatively small and show lower wicks, suggesting that selling pressure is still limited. Although volume has ticked up slightly during some of the pullback legs, there is no evidence of aggressive distribution or heavy unloading.
Overall, this decline is better interpreted as a pullback toward a balance zone after price had extended significantly away from the EMAs during the prior advance. Given gold’s volatility characteristics, such corrections often serve to relieve pressure and rebuild a base before the market decides on its next directional move.
Trading
XAUUSD – Bullish Wave Structure Still Intact, Waiting for Wave 4Gold is moving within a clear 5-wave bullish structure, where:
Wave 1 → Wave 3 have already completed with strong impulsive momentum.
Price is currently in the corrective phase of Wave 4, which is technical in nature and not a trend reversal.
Wave 5 to the upside is still expected once downside liquidity absorption is completed.
Key Structure & Technical Context
The H1 trend remains bullish as long as the key swing low below is not broken.
The current pullback is corrective; no bearish CHoCH has been confirmed.
The lower Demand zone aligns with the rising trendline + Fibonacci levels + GAP, creating a high-probability reaction area.
Preferred Trading Plan (MMF Style)
🔵Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY
BUY zone: 4,398 – 4,350
This is a strong confluence area (Demand + trendline + GAP).
Only execute buys after clear price reaction and structure holding.
Avoid FOMO entries in the middle of the range.
Targets:
TP1: 4,444
TP2: 4,496
TP3: 4,534
Alternative Scenario:
If price does not pull back to the lower zone and instead breaks and holds above 4,496, wait for a retest to continue buying with the trend.
🔵Invalidation
If an H1 candle closes below 4,350, invalidate the BUY bias and wait for a new structure to form.
🔵Summary: The broader bullish wave structure remains valid. The current decline is a Wave 4 correction, and patience is key to positioning for a potential Wave 5 continuation from discounted levels.
GOLD TODAY Slowing Down to Move FurtherHello, I’m Camila.
Looking closely at the current H8 chart, I see gold entering a very typical phase after a strong rally. The previous sequence of bullish candles pushed price close to the upper resistance zone, but at this point the market has started to slow down and move sideways. This does not surprise me. When price advances too quickly relative to the underlying support, the market usually needs a pause to reassess the strength of buyers.
From a structural standpoint, the uptrend remains intact. Price is still trading above the key moving averages, and the series of higher lows has not been broken. This indicates that buying pressure has not left the market, but is simply decelerating. In gold, this phase often represents a period of compression before the next expansion.
From a fundamental perspective, the recent rally has not been random. Based on Forex Factory and major mainstream news sources, the market continues to react to ongoing geopolitical and global economic risks. Geopolitical tensions have not eased, while the Federal Reserve maintains a data dependent stance without signaling any new tightening. These factors continue to provide a supportive backdrop for gold, while also making it difficult for price to move higher in a straight line without short term corrections.
The price zone I am watching most closely at the moment lies between 4,360 and 4,330. In strong momentum driven uptrends like this, the market often repeats a familiar pattern: a sharp push higher that creates a breakout narrative, followed by a pullback to test the base and support, and only then does the market decide whether it has enough strength to continue higher. If gold corrects into this zone and shows a clear buying reaction, the bullish structure will remain clean and healthy.
On the upside, once the consolidation process is complete, I expect price to rotate back toward the upper resistance area around 4,500 to 4,550. A decisive breakout above this zone would open the door for a higher price range to be established in the next phase.
For me, gold today is not weakening. It is simply slowing down to prepare for its next move. I wish you successful trading and the patience to stay focused while the market is “catching its breath.”
NZDUSD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.574.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.578 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Gold Trapped Between Supply & Demand Price is approaching a strong supply zone around 4,500–4,520, where selling pressure has previously entered the market aggressively. The recent upside move shows signs of momentum loss, suggesting this rally may be corrective rather than impulsive.
A clear rejection from the supply zone would favor a pullback toward the 4,450–4,440 area, with further downside continuation likely into the 4,420 demand zone, where buyers previously stepped in.
If the 4,420 demand fails to hold, bearish continuation could extend toward 4,380–4,360. Only a strong breakout and close above the supply zone would invalidate the bearish pullback scenario and shift the bias back to bullish expansion.
Gold Respects EMA 50 — Short-Term Bullish Continuation in FocusGold (XAUUSD) on the 30-minute timeframe is showing early signs of bullish continuation after completing a healthy pullback within a broader recovery structure. Following the prior impulsive leg higher, price corrected in a controlled manner and has now reacted cleanly from the EMA 50, confirming it as dynamic support.
The recent higher low formed along the ascending trendline indicates that buyers are still in control of the short-term structure. This pullback appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting the market is reloading for the next expansion phase instead of reversing.
Price is currently trading back above the EMA 50 and holding above the 4,458–4,460 intraday support area, which acts as a key pivot zone. As long as this level holds, bullish continuation remains the preferred scenario.
On the upside, the next liquidity objectives are clearly defined. The 4,495–4,500 zone marks the first resistance and reaction area, followed by the higher-timeframe target near 4,545–4,550, where previous highs and resting liquidity sit.
Trading Plan:
Bullish scenario: Holding above the EMA 50 and the 4,458 support opens the door for continuation toward 4,495, with extension toward 4,545–4,550 if momentum accelerates.
Bearish scenario: A loss of the EMA 50 followed by acceptance below 4,440 would invalidate the short-term bullish setup and expose a deeper pullback toward 4,420–4,400.
Overall, Gold is behaving technically clean on M30. As long as price respects dynamic support, the bias remains buy-the-dip, with confirmation favored over anticipation.
$STRK - Long term outlookNASDAQ:STRK - Long term outlook 🚨
Long-term outlook remains pretty bearish under the $0.1050 - $0.1000 monthly previous key support...📉
Levels to watch:
📍 $0.0770 - $0.0850 - $0.0920 - $0.0960
Accumulation & sideways phase possible inside yellow zone 📊
A daily candle break under $0.0770 would trigger another sell breakout! ⚠️
Not financial advice - DYOR & manage your risk accordingly.
Gold Is Coiling in a Descending Triangle — Breakdown Risk Market Outlook (XAUUSD – H1)
Price is compressing inside a well-defined descending triangle, with lower highs pressing against a flat support around 4,420–4,430, signaling increasing sell-side pressure. Momentum remains capped below the descending trendline and the EMA, keeping the short-term bias bearish.
A minor bounce toward 4,450–4,460 is likely to act as a corrective retest of triangle resistance rather than a reversal.
A decisive break and close below 4,420 would confirm the pattern breakdown, exposing downside liquidity toward 4,380–4,350. Only a clean breakout above the descending trendline would invalidate the bearish setup and shift the bias back to bullish continuation.
XAUUSD – Pullback Only, Trend Not Broken YetGold is not reversing — this is a controlled pullback inside a broader bullish structure.
Price has rejected the upper zone and is now retracing to rebalance liquidity. As long as the key demand below holds, the bullish bias remains intact.
Key Technical View
Market is still respecting the rising structure.
Current drop is corrective, not a confirmed bearish CHoCH.
Strong demand cluster below aligns with trendline + prior imbalance → high reaction area.
Primary Plan – Trend BUY
Focus on BUY opportunities at discounted zones.
Wait for price reaction and structure confirmation — no chasing candles.
Upside Targets
TP1: 4,449
TP2: 4,477
TP3: 4,494
Risk Note
If price fails to hold the demand zone, step aside and reassess — patience > prediction.
➡️ Bias stays bullish until structure says otherwise.
EURUSD Tests Key Support — Is This the Base for a Bullish ReversFX:EURUSD on the H1 timeframe has been in a corrective bearish phase following a prolonged distribution period at the highs, with price trending lower beneath declining moving averages. Momentum weakened sharply during the selloff, culminating in a strong downside extension that swept liquidity below prior lows before price began to stabilize.
Current price action shows FX:EURUSD reacting directly from a clearly defined support zone around the 1.1670 region. The sharp rejection from this area suggests the presence of responsive buyers stepping in after the liquidity sweep, creating conditions for a potential short-term base. While the broader intraday structure remains corrective, this reaction indicates that selling pressure is beginning to lose momentum.
If price can continue to hold above the support zone and build higher lows, a corrective rebound toward the 1.1710 region becomes the first area of interest. This level aligns with prior intraday structure and represents the initial objective where sellers may attempt to re-engage. Acceptance above this zone would improve the probability of further upside rotation.
A sustained move beyond 1.1750 would signal a deeper mean reversion within the range, opening the path toward the 1.1780 region where prior distribution occurred. Such a move would reflect a broader corrective recovery rather than an immediate trend reversal, but it would still offer constructive upside potential in the near term.
However, failure to hold the 1.1670 support would invalidate the recovery scenario and expose the pair to further downside continuation. In that case, price could extend lower as the market searches for deeper liquidity before any meaningful structural shift develops.
EURUSD at Major Support — Hold for Reversal or BreakPrice is testing a well-defined support zone around 1.1670–1.1680, where selling pressure has slowed after an extended bearish move. This area represents a critical decision point for short-term direction.
A strong hold above support could trigger a corrective recovery toward 1.1700–1.1725, with further upside potential toward 1.1740–1.1780 if buyers regain momentum and reclaim the moving average.
However, a clean break and close below 1.1670 would confirm bearish continuation, exposing downside liquidity toward 1.1650 → 1.1630, with extension risk toward 1.1600. Price reaction at this support will define the next directional move.
XAUUSD (H1) – Riding the bullish channelpatience before continuation ✨
Market structure
Gold remains in a well-defined ascending channel on the H1 timeframe. Despite recent intraday pullbacks, the overall structure is still bullish with higher highs and higher lows preserved. Current price action shows consolidation inside the channel rather than any sign of trend reversal.
Technical outlook (Lana’s view)
Price is rotating around the midline of the rising channel, indicating healthy digestion after the previous impulsive leg.
The recent pullback appears to be a controlled correction, likely aimed at collecting buy-side liquidity before the next expansion.
Market is still respecting structure and trendline support — no breakdown confirmed so far.
Key levels to watch
Buy-side focus
FVG Buy zone: 4434 – 4437
A clean reaction here could offer a good continuation entry within the trend.
Major buy zone: 4400 – 4404
This is the stronger demand area aligned with channel support and previous structure.
Sell-side reaction (short-term only)
4512 – 4515
This zone aligns with Fibonacci extension and channel resistance, where short-term profit-taking or reactions may appear.
Scenario outlook
As long as price holds above the lower channel boundary, bullish continuation remains the primary scenario.
A pullback into FVG or the lower buy zone followed by confirmation would favor another push toward channel highs and liquidity above.
Only a clean break and acceptance below 4400 would force a reassessment of the bullish bias.
Lana’s trading mindset 💛
No chasing price near resistance.
Let price come back into value zones inside the channel.
Trade reactions, not predictions.
Trend is your friend — until structure says otherwise.
This analysis reflects a personal technical perspective for educational purposes only. Always manage risk carefully.
GOLD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 4,427.50
Target Level: 4,459.93
Stop Loss: 4,405.83
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD (H3) – Liam Plan Trendline break confirms the uptrend ✅ | Buy the discount, scalp-sell at ATH
Quick overview
On the H3 chart, the story is clean: price has broken the bearish trendline and held structure after a clear BOS, which keeps the bias bullish for continuation.
But the best execution is still the same: no FOMO. I’d rather buy from discount liquidity zones than chase mid-range candles.
Key Levels (from your chart)
✅ Buy Zone 1 (re-buy): 4434 – 4437
✅ Buy Zone 2 (liquidity imbalance): 4340 – 4343 (deep sweep zone)
✅ ATH Sell scalping: 4560 (main profit-taking / reaction sell)
Technical read (Liam style)
Breaking through the trend confirms uptrend: the trendline break signals buyers are back in control.
4434–4437 is the clean re-entry area: a logical pullback zone with better R:R.
If volatility spikes and price hunts liquidity, 4340–4343 is the “best value” area to look for a strong reaction.
Trading scenarios
✅ Scenario A (priority): BUY the pullback at 4434–4437
Entry: 4434 – 4437
SL: below 4426 (or below the most recent H1/H3 swing low)
TP1: 4485 – 4500
TP2: 4560 (ATH – main target)
Logic: Uptrend confirmation is in place — I only want the pullback entry, not a chase.
✅ Scenario B (deep buy): If price sweeps down into 4340–4343
Entry: 4340 – 4343
SL: below 4330
TP: 4434 → 4500 → 4560
Logic: This is the “sweet spot” if the market does a liquidity reset before pushing higher again.
⚠️ Scenario C (scalp only): SELL reaction at ATH 4560
Entry: 4560 (only if we see clear rejection / weakness)
SL: above the sweep high
TP: 4520 → 4500 (quick scalp)
Note: This is a scalp idea at ATH — not a long-term bearish call while the bullish structure is intact.
Key notes
Avoid entries mid-range. Only execute at 4434–4437 or 4340–4343.
Wait for confirmation on M15–H1 (rejection / engulf / MSS).
Risk management: 1–2% per idea, scale out into ATH.
Are you waiting for the 4434 pullback buy, or hoping for a deeper sweep into 4340 for the cleanest entry? 👀
Repeated Rejections at Resistance — Is Gold Deeper Drop?Gold is trading inside a broader corrective range after a prior bullish impulse, with price repeatedly failing to break and hold above a well-defined higher-timeframe resistance zone. Multiple rejections from this area clearly show that upside momentum is being absorbed, not expanded.
While the larger structure has not fully flipped bearish yet, the current price action reflects distribution near the highs, not accumulation. Buyers are struggling to generate follow-through, and each push into resistance is met with increasing selling pressure.
The resistance zone around the 4,48x–4,50x area has been tested several times, with clear rejection wicks and weak closes a classic sign of supply dominance. At the same time, the EMA 200 is flattening below price, indicating a loss of bullish momentum rather than trend acceleration.
Volume behavior further supports this view: recent upside attempts are occurring on declining volume, suggesting the move higher lacks participation and strength. This divergence often precedes either a deeper pullback or a full corrective leg.
Resistance: 4,480 – 4,510 (major supply / rejection zone)
Support:
4,420 – 4,430 (intermediate reaction level)
4,350 (major downside support / correction target)
EMA / Dynamic Level: EMA 200 around 4,425 (loss of momentum / balance level)
➡️ Primary Scenario (Bearish Continuation):
Failure to break and accept above the resistance zone leads to another rejection. A move back below the 4,420–4,430 level would confirm distribution and open the path toward the 4,350 support zone, where a broader corrective leg is likely to unfold.
⚠️ Risk Scenario (Bullish Extension):
If price manages a clean breakout and acceptance above the 4,510 resistance with expanding volume, the distribution thesis would be invalidated. In that case, gold could transition into renewed bullish continuation rather than correction.
AUD-USD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUDUSD has reacted into a well-defined horizontal demand zone after a corrective sell-off. Sell-side liquidity has been swept, with clear smart money mitigation and bullish response forming, suggesting continuation toward higher liquidity pools and premium pricing. Time Frame 10H.
Buy!
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GBPCAD Will Go Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.865.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.860 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Jan 8, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Jan 8, 2026 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
• Labor check ahead of payrolls: Jobless claims act as the final labor signal before Friday’s jobs report.
• Growth efficiency read: Productivity data feeds directly into margin and inflation narratives.
• Macro breadth day: Trade deficit and consumer credit round out the growth and demand picture.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
8 30 AM
• Initial Jobless Claims Jan 3: 210,000
• U.S. Trade Deficit Oct: -58.4 billion
• U.S. Productivity Q3: 4.9 percent
3 00 PM
• Consumer Credit Nov: 9.2 billion
⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #JoblessClaims #Productivity #macro #markets #trading #stocks
GOLD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 4426.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 4420.0
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 4441.8
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD: Is That a Trap?! 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD may retrace from a key daily resistance.
I see a highly probable bullish trap on intraday time frames.
The pair may drop to 1.3835 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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XAUUSDXAUUSD is still in an uptrend. If the price can remain above $4420, further price growth is expected.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
This content is not financial advice. Always conduct your own financial due diligence.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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