Gold Testing a Key EMA, the Pullback Remains TechnicalOn the OANDA:XAUUSD H1 chart, gold is entering a short-term corrective phase following the previous strong rally. The key point to emphasize is that the bullish structure remains intact, and current price action is mainly about how the market reacts around the major EMA levels.
From a technical perspective, price is hovering around the EMA 89, corresponding to the 4,435–4,440 zone. Meanwhile, the EMA 34 sits higher near 4,455 and has temporarily turned into a short-term dynamic resistance. Price failing to hold the faster EMA and pulling back toward the slower one is a familiar scenario within a healthy uptrend, where larger players closely observe price reactions to assess whether the trend continues to be defended.
The constructive sign so far is that gold has not printed a clear H1 close below the EMA 89 . The corrective candles remain relatively small and show lower wicks, suggesting that selling pressure is still limited. Although volume has ticked up slightly during some of the pullback legs, there is no evidence of aggressive distribution or heavy unloading.
Overall, this decline is better interpreted as a pullback toward a balance zone after price had extended significantly away from the EMAs during the prior advance. Given gold’s volatility characteristics, such corrections often serve to relieve pressure and rebuild a base before the market decides on its next directional move.
Trading
XAUUSD – Bullish Wave Structure Still Intact, Waiting for Wave 4Gold is moving within a clear 5-wave bullish structure, where:
Wave 1 → Wave 3 have already completed with strong impulsive momentum.
Price is currently in the corrective phase of Wave 4, which is technical in nature and not a trend reversal.
Wave 5 to the upside is still expected once downside liquidity absorption is completed.
Key Structure & Technical Context
The H1 trend remains bullish as long as the key swing low below is not broken.
The current pullback is corrective; no bearish CHoCH has been confirmed.
The lower Demand zone aligns with the rising trendline + Fibonacci levels + GAP, creating a high-probability reaction area.
Preferred Trading Plan (MMF Style)
🔵Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY
BUY zone: 4,398 – 4,350
This is a strong confluence area (Demand + trendline + GAP).
Only execute buys after clear price reaction and structure holding.
Avoid FOMO entries in the middle of the range.
Targets:
TP1: 4,444
TP2: 4,496
TP3: 4,534
Alternative Scenario:
If price does not pull back to the lower zone and instead breaks and holds above 4,496, wait for a retest to continue buying with the trend.
🔵Invalidation
If an H1 candle closes below 4,350, invalidate the BUY bias and wait for a new structure to form.
🔵Summary: The broader bullish wave structure remains valid. The current decline is a Wave 4 correction, and patience is key to positioning for a potential Wave 5 continuation from discounted levels.
EURUSD Tests Key Support — Is This the Base for a Bullish ReversFX:EURUSD on the H1 timeframe has been in a corrective bearish phase following a prolonged distribution period at the highs, with price trending lower beneath declining moving averages. Momentum weakened sharply during the selloff, culminating in a strong downside extension that swept liquidity below prior lows before price began to stabilize.
Current price action shows FX:EURUSD reacting directly from a clearly defined support zone around the 1.1670 region. The sharp rejection from this area suggests the presence of responsive buyers stepping in after the liquidity sweep, creating conditions for a potential short-term base. While the broader intraday structure remains corrective, this reaction indicates that selling pressure is beginning to lose momentum.
If price can continue to hold above the support zone and build higher lows, a corrective rebound toward the 1.1710 region becomes the first area of interest. This level aligns with prior intraday structure and represents the initial objective where sellers may attempt to re-engage. Acceptance above this zone would improve the probability of further upside rotation.
A sustained move beyond 1.1750 would signal a deeper mean reversion within the range, opening the path toward the 1.1780 region where prior distribution occurred. Such a move would reflect a broader corrective recovery rather than an immediate trend reversal, but it would still offer constructive upside potential in the near term.
However, failure to hold the 1.1670 support would invalidate the recovery scenario and expose the pair to further downside continuation. In that case, price could extend lower as the market searches for deeper liquidity before any meaningful structural shift develops.
GOLD TODAY Slowing Down to Move FurtherHello, I’m Camila.
Looking closely at the current H8 chart, I see gold entering a very typical phase after a strong rally. The previous sequence of bullish candles pushed price close to the upper resistance zone, but at this point the market has started to slow down and move sideways. This does not surprise me. When price advances too quickly relative to the underlying support, the market usually needs a pause to reassess the strength of buyers.
From a structural standpoint, the uptrend remains intact. Price is still trading above the key moving averages, and the series of higher lows has not been broken. This indicates that buying pressure has not left the market, but is simply decelerating. In gold, this phase often represents a period of compression before the next expansion.
From a fundamental perspective, the recent rally has not been random. Based on Forex Factory and major mainstream news sources, the market continues to react to ongoing geopolitical and global economic risks. Geopolitical tensions have not eased, while the Federal Reserve maintains a data dependent stance without signaling any new tightening. These factors continue to provide a supportive backdrop for gold, while also making it difficult for price to move higher in a straight line without short term corrections.
The price zone I am watching most closely at the moment lies between 4,360 and 4,330. In strong momentum driven uptrends like this, the market often repeats a familiar pattern: a sharp push higher that creates a breakout narrative, followed by a pullback to test the base and support, and only then does the market decide whether it has enough strength to continue higher. If gold corrects into this zone and shows a clear buying reaction, the bullish structure will remain clean and healthy.
On the upside, once the consolidation process is complete, I expect price to rotate back toward the upper resistance area around 4,500 to 4,550. A decisive breakout above this zone would open the door for a higher price range to be established in the next phase.
For me, gold today is not weakening. It is simply slowing down to prepare for its next move. I wish you successful trading and the patience to stay focused while the market is “catching its breath.”
NZDUSD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.574.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.578 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Gold Is Coiling in a Descending Triangle — Breakdown Risk Market Outlook (XAUUSD – H1)
Price is compressing inside a well-defined descending triangle, with lower highs pressing against a flat support around 4,420–4,430, signaling increasing sell-side pressure. Momentum remains capped below the descending trendline and the EMA, keeping the short-term bias bearish.
A minor bounce toward 4,450–4,460 is likely to act as a corrective retest of triangle resistance rather than a reversal.
A decisive break and close below 4,420 would confirm the pattern breakdown, exposing downside liquidity toward 4,380–4,350. Only a clean breakout above the descending trendline would invalidate the bearish setup and shift the bias back to bullish continuation.
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Clear Technical RejectionPrice reacted strongly from a major resistance zone and respected the descending trendline.
After a clean bullish channel move, market shows signs of exhaustion & reversal.
🔍 What’s visible on chart:
* Strong resistance rejection
* Rising channel breakdown potential
* Previous support zone below
* Momentum shifting bearish
🎯 Bias: Short-term downside continuation toward marked target
⚠️ Wait for confirmation & manage risk properly
This is technical structure, not prediction.
Smart traders trade levels, not emotions.
Gold H1 Analysis: Resistance Reaction Signals a Healthy PullbackHello, I’m Camila.
Looking at the H1 chart, I can see that gold has reached a well-defined resistance zone and is now reacting rather than breaking through impulsively. Instead of aggressive continuation, price action is showing hesitation, with shorter candles and overlapping ranges. This behavior tells me that bullish momentum is pausing, not reversing, as the market reassesses value after the recent advance.
From a structural standpoint, the broader bullish framework remains intact. The prior impulse leg is still respected, and there is no evidence of a confirmed bearish break of structure. What we are witnessing now is a controlled pullback, typical in trend-driven markets, where price steps back to test whether previous demand is still active. In healthy uptrends, this kind of retracement is often a necessary process to build fuel for the next leg higher.
The zone I am monitoring most closely sits around 4,450, where price is likely to seek liquidity and test buyer commitment. If gold rotates lower into this area and selling pressure continues to fade, I would expect buying interest to re-emerge. Such a reaction would reinforce the bullish narrative and open the door for price to rotate back toward the upper resistance band around 4,520 – 4,550. Only a clean loss of this support area would force me to reassess the current bullish bias.
On the fundamental side, the backdrop continues to favor gold. Persistent geopolitical uncertainty and unresolved macroeconomic risks are keeping safe-haven demand alive. At the same time, expectations that the Federal Reserve will avoid a sharply hawkish shift are limiting upside pressure on the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. With several high-impact U.S. data releases ahead, I expect volatility to remain uneven, reinforcing the likelihood of a pullback-then-continuation environment rather than a one-directional move.
In summary, I view the current price action as a pause within an ongoing uptrend. As long as gold holds above the key support area and continues to show diminishing bearish momentum, the path of least resistance remains higher after this corrective phase.
Wishing you calm execution and disciplined trading.
AUDJPY Under Pressure! SELL
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the AUDJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 105.33
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 105.06
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
How to audit your own trades like a risk manager would Auditing your trades is not about replaying charts to confirm whether you were right or wrong. A risk manager audits to protect capital durability, reduce mistake frequency, and identify exposures created by process, not emotion. When you adopt this mindset, performance leaks become easy to detect and easier to correct.
A professional audit begins with environment classification. Every trade is labeled by the market phase it was executed in. Volatility is assessed as expanding or compressing. Liquidity incentives are identified before execution, not after it. For example, BTCUSDT and SOLUSDT produce wider candle ranges during expansion and thinner order books when liquidity drains. These are high-invalidation conditions. If you increased size here, you paid an execution tax without a volatility reason. A risk manager never scales into widening ranges. They scale into tightening ranges.
The second step is measuring invalidation distance. Risk officers place stops beyond structure, not arbitrary percentages. A stop below a random 1% or 2% rule means nothing if the structure required 3.5% distance to invalidate the narrative. Your stop must sit beyond the point where the market proves the opposite story. If your invalidation distance widens while volatility expands, that is alignment. If it widens while volatility contracts, that is a process breach.
Next comes execution quality scoring. Professionals deconstruct execution into sequence components: liquidity sweep first, micro-structure break second, displacement third, retest respected fourth, impulse continuation fifth. A trade that triggered on the first touch of a level without displacement is not a good fill. It is the fill the market used for liquidity. Score execution quality based on whether the sequence completed before entry, not whether the P&L was positive.
The fourth layer is correlation risk. Risk auditors measure how many positions were open simultaneously on the same asset or narrative theme. One trade rarely kills a small account. Correlated trades during the same thesis do. Mistake correlation compounds drawdown faster than strategy flaws ever could. Limit correlation by design, not hindsight.
Finally, audit outcomes against process wins. A trade that worked without a reason is not audit approval. A trade that worked because it followed a reasoned sequence is. When you measure behavior instead of candles, you gain intervention points. Intervention points protect capital. Reflection points identify capital already lost.
Small accounts scale when traders audit like capital protection matters more than capturing the entire move. Your audit should produce fewer open questions and more closed rules. The goal is not to defend the trade. The goal is to defend the account.
BTC/USD H4 – Pausing to Consolidate the UptrendHello everyone,
Looking at the BTC/USD H4 chart, what stands out to me is not the few recent red candles, but the way the market is slowing down after a very decisive rally. After moving from the 88,000 area up toward nearly 95,000, Bitcoin has started to cool off and pull back into the 92,000–93,000 zone. To me, this is a fairly natural price reaction following a strong advance, as capital needs time to rebalance before the market commits to its next directional move.
From a technical standpoint, the medium-term bullish bias has not been compromised. Price is currently pulling back into the confluence zone of EMA 34 and EMA 89 — an area that often acts as a “support base” within a healthy trend. The fact that BTC continues to hold above the slower EMA suggests that bullish momentum has not been broken, and that the current retracement is more consistent with short-term profit-taking than with genuine distribution.
A constructive detail lies in the price behavior during the recent pullback. Selling volume has not expanded, while the corrective candles show narrower ranges compared to the prior impulsive advance. This indicates that supply pressure is fading, while buyers have not stepped aside. Historically, this type of price action often leads to a brief consolidation phase before the market resumes its primary direction.
Stepping back from the chart to look at the broader context, the current macro backdrop remains supportive for Bitcoin. Recent US economic data point to easing inflation while growth remains moderate. This makes a shift toward a more aggressive monetary stance less likely, helping to preserve a relatively stable “risk-on” environment for risk assets.
In addition, early-year market sentiment has improved noticeably after the holiday period.
Capital is flowing back into equities and crypto, and Bitcoin is often among the first beneficiaries when risk appetite improves. Reports from international financial media also suggest that institutional money has not exited the market, but is instead repositioning after the strong year-end rally — a narrative that aligns well with what the H4 chart is currently showing.
XAUUSD – A Healthy Reset Before Trend ContinuationHello, I’m Camila.
Observing the XAUUSD H4 chart, I believe the market is unfolding exactly as a technical correction within a well-defined uptrend. After price was rejected at the upper resistance of the ascending channel, gold deliberately pulled back to retest the channel’s dynamic support. This move should not be interpreted as a trend reversal, but rather as a natural and rational response following a steep and extended rally.
What stands out to me is how price behaves upon reaching the support zone. Selling pressure has not expanded further; instead, downside momentum has clearly slowed, accompanied by signs of supply absorption at the highlighted support area. This is classic price behavior in a healthy uptrend: the market retraces to lower levels to assess whether buyers remain committed to defending the underlying structure.
From a structural perspective, the ascending channel remains intact. Price has not broken below the lower boundary of the channel, and the entire pullback still falls well within acceptable corrective limits. This indicates that the medium-term bullish trend remains unbroken. I see no clear evidence of distribution at this stage; rather, the market appears to be undergoing a temporary rebalancing of supply and demand before the primary trend resumes.
My preferred scenario is for gold to stabilize and consolidate around the dynamic support zone, marked as a BUY area on the chart. If buying interest continues to emerge and price maintains its higher-low structure, the market is likely to form a technical rebound. From there, gold could move back toward a retest of the upper resistance zone previously highlighted. A decisive breakout above that area would confirm trend continuation and open the door to higher targets in the next phase.
From a macro perspective, the broader backdrop continues to support this bullish outlook. Ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainties sustain demand for safe-haven assets, while expectations of a more accommodative Federal Reserve stance help cap U.S. dollar strength and Treasury yields. In this environment, pullbacks in gold are better viewed as strategic opportunities, rather than early signals of a trend reversal.
In summary, based on what the chart is showing, I consider the current decline to be a necessary step back before the next advance. Once the market completes its support test and buying strength is reaffirmed, gold is likely to revisit resistance and continue along the upward path already established.
Wishing you disciplined trading, a calm mindset, and decisions aligned with market structure.
Technical Rebound at Key EMA, Medium-Term Uptrend Remains IntactHello everyone,
EUR/USD has just completed a fairly deep but well-controlled correction. The prior sell-off pulled price back toward the medium-term EMA zone around 1.1680–1.1700, and the subsequent rebound suggests selling pressure is no longer expanding, while buyers have started to step in to defend the broader structure.
Although price briefly printed a lower low in the short term, the medium-term picture has not been broken. At the moment, EUR/USD is fluctuating around the confluence of EMA 34 and EMA 89 near 1.1730–1.1740 — a key decision area. Holding above this zone would give the market room to continue consolidating and recovering; failure here could open the door for a retest of the prior lows.
From a macro perspective, the current backdrop does not place significant pressure on the euro. The Fed remains cautious and data-dependent, limiting the upside in US Treasury yields. Meanwhile, the ECB continues to maintain a moderately firm stance, helping EUR hold a stable price base. Upcoming data such as services PMI and US jobless claims may trigger short-term volatility, but in my view, they are unlikely to alter the medium-term trend unless a major surprise emerges.
XAUUSDXAUUSD is still in an uptrend. If the price can remain above $4420, further price growth is expected.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
This content is not financial advice. Always conduct your own financial due diligence.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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GOLD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 4,427.50
Target Level: 4,459.93
Stop Loss: 4,405.83
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPCAD Will Go Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.865.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.860 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBP/AUD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
GBP/AUD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 2.006
Target Level: 2.002
Stop Loss: 2.008
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Liquidity Range — Breakout Confirmation or Another Trap?Gold on the H1 timeframe is currently transitioning into a critical decision zone after failing to maintain momentum from the previous bullish leg. Following the rejection from the 4,500 area, price has formed a descending structure, with lower highs developing beneath a clearly defined bearish trendline. This shift signals a pause in upside strength and highlights growing two-sided participation as the market digests prior expansion.
At present, price is rotating around the 4,430–4,440 region, which aligns with a well-defined liquidity price range. This zone has acted as a magnet for price, reflecting balance between buyers and sellers rather than directional commitment. The repeated tests and lack of follow-through suggest that the market is waiting for confirmation before committing to the next impulsive move.
From a bullish perspective, a clean break and sustained acceptance above the descending trendline would be required to invalidate the corrective structure. Such a move would signal a successful liquidity absorption phase and open the path for continuation toward the 4,500 level initially, with further upside potential extending toward the 4,550 region if momentum builds.
Conversely, failure to reclaim the trendline and confirm bullish candlestick structure increases the risk of downside continuation. A clear bearish confirmation from the current range could trigger a liquidity sweep toward the 4,350 support zone, where deeper resting demand is located. This scenario would still be considered corrective within the broader structure unless selling pressure accelerates aggressively.
Overall, Gold remains in a compression phase, with price coiling between structural resistance and liquidity support. The next decisive move will be driven by confirmation rather than anticipation, making this zone a key inflection point for short-term direction.
GBP/NZD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on GBP/NZD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 2.327.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER price has tapped into a well-defined horizontal demand zone after a corrective pullback. Smart money mitigation is evident, with sell-side liquidity swept and bullish displacement forming, suggesting a continuation toward higher liquidity pools.
Stop Loss: 76.34$
Take Profit: 81.08$
Entry: 78.23$
Time Frame: 2H
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Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 4426.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 4420.0
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 4441.8
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$STRK - Long term outlookNASDAQ:STRK - Long term outlook 🚨
Long-term outlook remains pretty bearish under the $0.1050 - $0.1000 monthly previous key support...📉
Levels to watch:
📍 $0.0770 - $0.0850 - $0.0920 - $0.0960
Accumulation & sideways phase possible inside yellow zone 📊
A daily candle break under $0.0770 would trigger another sell breakout! ⚠️
Not financial advice - DYOR & manage your risk accordingly.






















