NZD/USD: Tech and Geostrategic Levers for ReboundThe NZD/USD pair currently trades near $0.5640$, softening after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) survey. Two-year inflation expectations held steady at $2.28\%$ for Q4 2025. This neutral RBNZ outlook currently limits the New Zealand Dollar's (NZD) strength. Furthermore, the likely end of the US government shutdown supports the US Dollar (USD). Despite these immediate headwinds, several structural and technological factors create significant upside potential for the Kiwi currency.
Macroeconomic Catalyst: US Labor Weakness
The USD presently gains strength from the US Senate's vote to end the government shutdown. Nevertheless, the post-shutdown release of delayed US economic data, specifically the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), creates high-risk volatility. Private-sector surveys recently indicated a cooling trend in the US labor market. Any weakness confirmed by official US data will immediately exert severe selling pressure on the USD. This scenario presents the most potent near-term catalyst for NZD/USD appreciation.
Geostrategic Stability and Trade Corridors
New Zealand maintains a stable and predictable political environment. This institutional quality significantly enhances global investor confidence. Geostrategically, New Zealand benefits from its reliable trade links, primarily with the Asian economies. While US-China trade tensions create short-term market risk, New Zealand’s role as a smaller, diversified commodity and services provider mitigates the direct impact severity. The country remains a highly reliable partner, fostering strong long-term capital inflow.
High-Tech Diversification and Patent Strength
New Zealand actively pivots its economy toward higher-value exports. Technology, especially Agritech and Fintech, is driving growth. The tech sector currently ranks as the third-largest export industry, increasing foreign currency revenue. Strong R&D investment supports this structural diversification. New Zealand creates patented solutions for sustainable agriculture worldwide . Global demand for these science-backed, proprietary solutions structurally supports NZD strength long-term.
Conclusion
The NZD faces short-term pressure from US political resolution and RBNZ neutrality. However, market participants must look beyond immediate volatility. Structural drivers are in place. These include conditional USD weakness and New Zealand's growing strength in high-tech exports and geopolitical reliability. We project these factors will drive the NZD/USD pair higher as the market shifts focus from present risks to future economic fundamentals.
Trading
GBPJPY: Bearish Move From Resistance 🇬🇧🇯🇵
There is a high probability that GBPJPY will retrace
from the underlined resistance.
A double top pattern on that and a formation of a bearish imbalance
provide a strong signal.
Goal - 202.7
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Gold H1 - Holds Above 4,140$, Eyes the 4,200$ Breakout🔍 Market Context
Gold continues its relentless climb, trading near a three-week high at 4,146$ as buyers remain firmly in control.
Despite a mild rebound in the US Dollar — driven by cautious sentiment across Asian markets — gold’s momentum stays intact, fueled by expectations that the Federal Reserve may proceed with a rate cut in December.
Soft US data last week and weaker consumer sentiment readings have further strengthened this outlook, keeping real yields under pressure and reinforcing gold’s safe-haven appeal.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4)
The market structure remains bullish, forming a clear ascending channel.
Price has broken above the previous resistance at 4,086$ and is now consolidating around 4,140$, preparing for a potential continuation move.
Key Levels:
• Support Zones: 4,086$ – 4,039$ → retest area for new buyers
• Immediate Resistance: 4,146$
• Breakout Target: 4,203$
• Extended Bullish Target: 4,382$ (ATH zone)
If gold maintains structure above 4,080$, the bias remains strongly bullish.
Only a confirmed close below this zone would suggest a short-term pullback before continuation.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Momentum follows liquidity. Once price reclaims key structure, smart money builds the next leg — not noise, but narrative.”
$SPY $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Nov 11, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Nov 11, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🇺🇸 Veterans Day — U.S. bond market closed, equities open but expect thin liquidity and lower volume.
💬 Fed focus: Fed Governor Michael Barr headlines the day’s lone major event, speaking mid-morning on financial stability and supervision.
📉 Small-business sentiment dips: The NFIB Optimism Index slipped to 98.2 from 98.8, reflecting softer hiring plans and higher cost concerns.
⚠️ Shutdown delays: Broader federal data remains constrained this week — investors will continue watching Fed commentary for policy cues.
📊 Key Data and Events (ET)
⏰ 6:00 AM — NFIB Small Business Optimism (Oct) | 98.2 vs 98.8 prior
⏰ 10:25 AM — Michael Barr (Fed Governor) speech
📉 Bond market closed for Veterans Day; expect quieter sessions and possible afternoon drift in equities.
⚠️ Note:
No Tier-1 data today. With lighter volume and no Treasury trading, price action will likely be headline-driven. Keep an eye on Barr’s tone for any hints on post-shutdown policy or liquidity support.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #trading #Fed #MichaelBarr #NFIB #VeteransDay #markets #macro #liquidity #bonds
Gold price analysis October 11✨ Gold Analysis XAUUSD – 10/11/2025
Gold price has officially broken the Keylevel 4031 zone, confirming a strong bullish wave is forming. This development makes the intraday trading strategy clearer and more favorable when giving full priority to BUY setups following the trend.
Main scenario:
✅ BUY right at the price zone 4045
✅ BUY when the price rejection signal appears around the support zone 4031
🎯 Profit target: 4150
Sub-scenario (low risk):
❌ SELL is only considered if a false break appears and the price closes the candle back below 3985 – however, this possibility is currently very low.
👉 Comment: The break zone 4031 is the perfect confirmation point for the uptrend. Prioritize looking for buying opportunities with the main wave instead of trading against the trend.
EURGBP FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅EURGBP formed a clean liquidity sweep below the equal lows, tapping into a defined demand block before showing displacement to the upside. Targeting the imbalance left behind by impulsive selling.
—————————
Entry: 0.8770
Stop Loss: 0.8762
Take Profit: 0.8785
Time Frame: 2H
—————————
LONG🚀
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SILVER Strong Supply Area Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER tapped into a major supply zone, where liquidity above previous highs got engineered for smart money entries. The structure suggests a bearish continuation toward the next target zone. Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
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USD-CHF Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USDCHF is retracing from a horizontal supply area after internal liquidity sweep. Smart money traders may look for a bearish continuation toward 0.8017 as liquidity below equal lows gets targeted.
---------------------
Stop Loss: 0.8077
Take Profit: 0.8017
Entry: 0.8048
Time Frame: 5H
---------------------
Sell!
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CAD-CHF Short From Supply Area! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CADCHF is reacting from a premium supply zone where liquidity was previously engineered. Expect a short-term drop toward the next demand imbalance as smart money rebalances the range.Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
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GBP-NZD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBPNZD has retested a bullish demand zone after breaking structure to the upside. Smart money may engineer a deeper pullback before pushing toward the next liquidity pool above. Time Frame 3H.
Buy!
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Oruka Therapeutics, Inc. (ORKA) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Oruka Therapeutics NASDAQ:ORKA is a clinical-stage biotech focused on next-generation monoclonal antibody (mAb) therapies for psoriasis and autoimmune/inflammatory diseases, positioning itself in one of biotech’s most durable, high-value markets.
Key Catalysts:
Breakthrough Half-Life Data:
Lead asset ORKA-001 achieved a record 100-day half-life in Phase 1, opening the door to once-yearly dosing — a massive convenience and adherence advantage over current standard biologics like Skyrizi and other IL-23 inhibitors.
A Phase 2a trial is slated for late 2025, serving as the next major value-inflection point.
Deep Immunology Pipeline:
ORKA-002 (IL-17A/F) expands the platform into another validated inflammatory axis.
Additional programs targeting broader inflammatory pathways give ORKA multi-shot-on-goal potential across dermatology and immunology.
Strong Balance Sheet & Runway:
Backed by $455M in funding and cash runway through 2027, the company can run multiple trials in parallel without near-term dilution pressure — a key edge for a clinical-stage biotech.
Massive Market Opportunity:
The global psoriasis market is ~$30B, dominated by biologics — making a once-yearly, high-efficacy therapy highly disruptive.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish above: $22–$23
Target: $55–$56
Driven by best-in-class dosing potential, multiple upcoming clinical readouts, and strong funding to reach value-creating milestones.
📢 ORKA — aiming to redefine psoriasis treatment with ultra-long-acting biologics.
Modine Manufacturing Co. (MOD) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Modine Manufacturing Co. NYSE:MOD is a global leader in thermal management solutions serving automotive, industrial, commercial, and now rapidly growing AI data center markets. The company offers investors exposure to the electrification, energy-efficiency, and digital infrastructure megatrends.
Key Growth Drivers:
AI Data Center Tailwind: MOD is riding the AI infrastructure boom, with Q1 2026 sales up 3% YoY, driven by demand for its precision cooling systems that support high-performance computing environments.
Margin Expansion via Mix Shift: A deliberate focus on high-margin segments—notably data centers and EV thermal systems—has pushed profitability to 24.8% gross margin and 10.7% EBIT margin, underscoring operational excellence and strong cash generation.
Electrification & Energy Efficiency: MOD’s solutions align with ESG and sustainability initiatives, providing energy-efficient heat transfer systems for EVs, buildings, and industrial applications.
Diversified Portfolio: Global footprint and multi-end-market exposure reduce cyclicality and support durable, long-term growth in green and digital infrastructure.
Why It Matters for Investors:
✅ Direct play on AI data center cooling
✅ Strong, improving margins
✅ ESG-aligned, electrification-driven demand
✅ Disciplined portfolio optimization (80/20 execution)
Investment Outlook:
Bullish above: $140–$142
Upside Target: $230–$235
Driven by AI infrastructure growth, premium thermal solutions, and continued margin expansion.
📌 MOD — powering the thermal backbone of AI, EVs, and sustainable infrastructure. 💡🌍
SOLUSDT Breaks Out and Aims for $200!BINANCE:SOLUSDT is trading above the 50 EMA on the 4H chart. a strong sign for short-term momentum. If you look closely, it has also broken out of an ascending triangle pattern and is moving upward with solid volume.
We’re expecting a potential upmove from here, with a short-term target around $200.
Always remember to set your stop loss and manage your risk wisely.
BINANCE:SOLUSDT Currently trading at $167
Buy level : Above $165
Stop loss : Below $154
Target 1: 175
Target 2: 200
Max leverage 3x
Always keep stop loss
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#AN027: US Shutdown Agreement, Effects on the Dollar and Forex
The historic political impasse in the United States – with the 2025 United States federal government shutdown – appears to be nearing a resolution. Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, an independent trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time.
A Senate agreement provides for the reopening of the federal government through a continuing resolution, with the reinstatement of public employees' arrears.
In the FX context, this event has immediate and medium-term implications for the US dollar (USD) and major global currencies. In this article, we analyze the dynamics and provide a guide for those trading on TradingView.
What Happened
The Senate obtained an initial procedural yes to the resolution to reopen the government.
Markets are showing initial relief: the US dollar has halted its recent bullish momentum, pending operational confirmation.
The government shutdown had already caused delays in economic data and a climate of political uncertainty that is hindering the Federal Reserve's clear definition of monetary strategies.
Impact on Forex: Key Factors
1. Political Risk Effect and Sentiment
With the prospect of an end to the shutdown, the risk premium associated with the US government and fiscal governance is decreasing. This tends to favor the dollar in the short term, especially against safe-haven currencies. However, sentiment remains cautious, given the residual uncertainty.
2. Delayed Macroeconomic Data and Volatility
The lack or delay in the release of economic data (e.g., employment, inflation) complicates forecasting the Fed's moves and reduces traders' ability to confidently position themselves on the USD.
3. Yields and Carry Trades
If the agreement fuels an improvement in the US economic profile, US bond yields could rise, attracting flows into the dollar. On the other hand, if the economy shows signs of post-shutdown weakness, the effect could reverse.
4. Technical scenarios in major FX pairs
EUR/USD: Possible dollar rebound → downward pressure on EUR/USD. However, if US data deteriorates, a strong USD-weak trend could be triggered.
USD/JPY: The dollar could benefit from rising yields + carry trades; but a safe-haven turn on the yen if global risks emerge.
GBP/USD / AUD/USD: Commodity or risk-linked currencies could benefit from risk-on, but a strong dollar will limit rebounds.
NZDUSD Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.564.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.561 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 203.050.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 200.345 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPAUD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2.016.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2.041.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SILVER SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,984.0
Target Level: 4,875.1
Stop Loss: 5,056.8
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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GBP/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
GBP/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.315
Target Level: 1.309
Stop Loss: 1.319
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
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EUR/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the EUR/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.152.
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