AUD_USD LONG FROM SUPPORT|
✅AUD_USD is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 0.6560
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 0.6600
LONG🚀
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Trading
GBPAUD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPAUD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.0506
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 2.0453
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPNZD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
GBPNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2.3053 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 2.3012
Recommended Stop Loss - 2.3075
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD – H1 Trading Scenario
EURUSD is currently testing the rising trendline resistance, which also coincides with a prior liquidity accumulation zone during the previous bearish leg. A reaction from this area is highly likely.
That said, the corrective phase is not yet over, and several Fibonacci retracement levels remain untested. This leaves room to continue expecting further upside momentum.
The plan is to look for buy opportunities at zones where liquidity gaps (FVG) appear, with stops placed at nearby support levels. On the other hand, sell setups will be considered at Fibonacci retracement levels, prioritising short-term profit taking through scalping.
Trading Scenarios
Buy Setup
Entry: 1.1750 – 1.1760
Stop Loss: 1.1720
Take Profit: 1.1785 – 1.1810 – 1.1855
Sell Setup
Entry: 1.1820 – 1.1830
Stop Loss: 1.1860
Take Prfit: 1.1790 – 1.1765 – 1.1730 – 1.1710
You can use this scenario as a reference to shape your own trading plan. Stay tuned for my next updates to catch new setups in real time.
EURNZD: More Growth Ahead! 🇪🇺🇳🇿
EURNZD broke a significant daily resistance cluster on Friday, providing
a confirmed bullish BoS.
We see a retest of a broken structure today, with a consequent consolidation on that.
A bullish violation of its intraday resistance leaves another bullish clue.
I think the pair will rise more and reach 2.015 soon.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD – Technical Analysis on H1GBPUSD – Technical Analysis on H1
On the GBPUSD chart, the Elliott Wave count suggests that wave 5 may have already completed, and the final ABC corrective cycle is now in progress. While this remains a corrective expectation, it aligns with the broader downward channel currently in play.
Price action at the termination of wave 5 coincided with a prior resistance zone, adding further weight to the expectation of a pullback from this level.
The plan now is to look for buying opportunities on minor retracements as price seeks liquidity, while also keeping an eye on short setups around resistance.
Trading Scenarios
Buy Setup
Entry: 1.3480 – 1.3490
Stop Loss: 1.3450
Take Profit: 1.3510 – 1.3535 – 1.3560 – 1.3600
Sell Setup
Entry: 1.3530 – 1.3540
Stop Loss: 1.3570
Take Profit: 1.3515 – 1.3490 – 1.3460 – 1.3430
I hope this trading outlook proves useful for you. Stay tuned for more updates and let’s follow the market closely together.
GBPUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.3500 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.3561
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1779
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1759
Safe Stop Loss - 1.1790
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCHF Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDCHF below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.7961
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.7924
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 173.67
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 174.03
My Stop Loss - 173.52
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPJPY Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 199.30
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 199.99
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
#026: USD/CHF SHORT Investment Opportunity
The USD/CHF is in a key resistance area after a bullish extension that showed signs of exhaustion. Hello, I'm Andrea Russo, an independent Forex trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time.
Price action shows a clear rejection from recent highs, with the formation of indecision candles followed by bearish pressure.
Technical indicators confirm this reading: the RSI has reached the overbought zone while the MACD is beginning to diverge, suggesting a possible shift in momentum.
In terms of volume, the main cluster has been touched, indicating a likely redistribution rather than a continuation of the trend.
The intermarket environment also supports this view: the dollar is showing signs of relative weakness, while the Swiss franc is maintaining a defensive stance, typical during correction phases.
In summary, we are in a situation where the odds favor a bearish correction, with technical targets set lower than current values.
Buyers (bulls) are pushing price higher but momentum is weakenin1. Technical Structure
Recent trend: Gold has been moving upward but is gradually forming higher highs with narrowing momentum.
Resistance line: The upper red trendline indicates a dynamic resistance zone where price has been repeatedly rejected.
Support zone: The lower red box (around 3,685 – 3,695) is acting as a demand zone, where price has bounced multiple times.
2. Current Pattern
The chart shows a Rising Wedge pattern: price is climbing with converging highs and lows, which is often a bearish reversal signal.
After touching the upper trendline, the blue arrow indicates the potential for a downward correction.
The downside target could be a retest of the support zone (red box).
3. Market Psychology
Buyers (bulls) are pushing price higher but momentum is weakening at resistance.
Sellers (bears) may take advantage of the higher price levels near the trendline to enter short positions.
The market may create a liquidity grab at the highs before reversing downward.
4. Trade Scenarios (for reference)
Scenario 1 (primary): If price touches the upper trendline and shows reversal signals (e.g., pin bar, bearish engulfing), a Sell position can be considered with the target near the red support zone.
Scenario 2: If gold breaks strongly above the trendline, the bullish trend may continue, with the next observation zone around 3,740 – 3,750.
👉 This is purely a technical analysis. You should also combine it with macroeconomic factors (Fed policy, USD Index, bond yields) to increase reliability before making a trading decision.
Gold: Holding Ground or Preparing for the Next Rally?Hello everyone,
After a pullback from the 3,703 USD/oz peak to the 3,68xx area, gold appears to be in a natural correction rather than signalling a trend reversal. On the H1 chart, the bullish structure remains intact: the market is still printing higher-highs and higher-lows, trading above the Ichimoku Cloud, while leaving behind Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) as potential support.
This cooling phase is understandable, as short-term players take profits while the US dollar and Treasury yields edge higher, temporarily reducing gold’s appeal. Yet, the broader picture remains supportive, particularly after the Fed’s 25bps rate cut and its openness to further easing if economic data allows.
In this context, my base case is that gold will stabilise around 3,65x–3,66x before attempting a break above 3,700, potentially extending gains toward 3,724–3,735 and even 3,742–3,750.
The alternative scenario would only emerge if gold breaks below 3,650, which could trigger selling pressure and push prices down to 3,62x before establishing a new base.
Personally, I still favour the bullish path: a breakout above 3,700, a retest around 3,69x, followed by a rally toward the 3,73xx region. However, with major catalysts like Core PCE on 26 September and upcoming Fed speeches, I’ll be reducing position size to manage the risk of sudden volatility.
So what do you think? Will gold reclaim momentum and push beyond 3,700? Share your view!
If price hits the 3,720 – 3,730 resistance zone and shows reversTechnical Structure
Main trend: Still within an upward channel but approaching the upper trendline resistance.
Key levels:
Resistance: around 3,720 – 3,730 (red trendline).
Support: around 3,640 – 3,650 (highlighted red box).
Scenario
The blue line illustrates a bullish move testing the upper trendline, followed by an expected drop back to the 3,640 – 3,650 support zone.
This reflects a market maker’s “range play”: pushing price up to attract retail BUY orders, then driving it down to accumulate at cheaper levels.
Market Psychology
Retail traders: Often jump into BUY positions when they see a short-term breakout, but they risk getting “trapped” when the market maker distributes at resistance.
Big players / market makers: Likely to use the resistance zone for distribution, then push price down toward support to reload long positions at a discount.
Trading Strategy (for reference)
Short-term SELL: If price hits the 3,720 – 3,730 resistance zone and shows reversal signals (e.g., pinbar, bearish engulfing).
Take Profit target: 3,640 – 3,650 (red support box).
Stop Loss: Above 3,740.
Safer BUY: Only consider if price reacts strongly bullish at the 3,640 – 3,650 support zone.
👉 In summary: The chart suggests a scenario of testing the upper resistance, then retracing to support. For short-term traders (T+ style), the better play is to look for SELL setups at resistance and BUY setups at support.
Would you like me to also outline an alternative scenario in case price breaks and sustains above 3,730
XAUUSD – Strategic Selling Zone and Detailed Trading ScenariosTechnical Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is experiencing a strong upward trend and has now reached the Fibonacci extension zone of 1.618 – 2.618, a common area for short-term profit-taking and distribution.
Sell Zone Fibo 2.618 (3,730–3,735): the first potential supply zone, where a bearish confirmation candle on H1/H4 could likely trigger a correction.
Sell Zone Swing (3,745–3,750): a strong supply zone converging multiple Fibonacci extensions, with a higher risk of reversal.
Short-term Buy Zone (3,690–3,700): an intermediate support zone after breaking the previous peak, suitable for scalping buys if retested and confirmed.
Buy Swing (3,645–3,650): the main support zone, converging with EMA200 H1 and an old trendline, considered a 'safe buying point' if a deep correction occurs.
The RSI (14) is currently at 77, indicating an overbought condition. Historically, every time RSI exceeds 75, a significant correction follows. This is a warning signal for traders to consider gradually taking profits on short-term Buy positions and prepare for Sell or Buy scenarios at lower price levels.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Sell at Supply Zone:
Entry: 3,732–3,735 (Fibo 2.618) or extend to 3,745–3,750 (Sell Zone Swing)
SL: above 3,740
TP1: 3,707
TP2: 3,690–3,700 (Buy Zone)
TP3: 3,661
TP4: 3,645
Scenario 2 – Short-term Buy (regression scalping):
Entry: 3,670–3,700 (after H1 confirmation candle)
SL: below 3,690
TP1: 3,718
TP2: 3,730
Scenario 3 – Long-term Buy Swing:
Entry: 3,645–3,648 (EMA200 + main support zone)
SL: below 3,640
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,707
TP3: 3,730
Key Price Levels to Watch
3,730–3,750: the strongest current supply zone, suitable for Sell scenarios based on Fibonacci extensions.
3,690–3,700: short-term Buy Zone, a crucial retest area to confirm the trend.
3,661: an intermediate level, a break below could lead to a decline towards EMA200.
3,645: potential Buy Swing, the main support of the upward structure.
Overall Assessment
The main trend on H1 remains upward, but the current price level is overbought, suggesting a likely correction towards support before continuing the trend.
The most suitable strategy now: Look for short-term Sells at the supply zone – take profits at support, then wait for Buy Swings at lower levels to follow the main trend.
GOLD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,699.37.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,660.31 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURUSD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.174.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.191 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURAUD Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for EURAUD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.780.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.774.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NZDJPY Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 86.830.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 88.074 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Understanding Currency Derivatives: Types and Trading Roles1. Types of Currency Derivatives
Currency derivatives come in several forms, each designed to serve specific purposes. The main types are:
1.1 Currency Forward Contracts
What they are: A forward contract is a private agreement between two parties to exchange a specific amount of currency at a predetermined rate on a future date.
Key features:
Customized terms (amount, rate, settlement date)
Traded over-the-counter (OTC), not on exchanges
Use in trade:
Companies use forwards to hedge against currency fluctuations. For example, an exporter expecting $100,000 in 3 months can lock in a rate today, ensuring revenue stability regardless of market movements.
1.2 Currency Futures
What they are: Futures are standardized contracts to buy or sell a currency at a fixed price on a future date. They are traded on exchanges, unlike forwards.
Key features:
Standard contract sizes
Daily settlement (marked-to-market)
Reduced counterparty risk due to exchange involvement
Use in trade:
Futures allow both hedgers and speculators to manage risk. For example, an importer can lock in costs for future purchases in foreign currency using futures contracts.
1.3 Currency Options
What they are: Options give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a currency at a specific price within a certain period.
Types:
Call option: Right to buy
Put option: Right to sell
Use in trade:
Options are popular for hedging with flexibility. For example, an exporter may buy a put option to protect against a falling foreign currency while still benefiting if the currency rises.
1.4 Currency Swaps
What they are: A swap is a contract to exchange cash flows in one currency for cash flows in another over a period.
Key features:
Can involve both principal and interest
Often used between banks or large corporations
Use in trade:
Swaps help companies obtain foreign currency loans at better rates than borrowing directly in foreign markets.
1.5 Cross-Currency Contracts
What they are: These contracts allow the exchange of currencies without involving a common base currency like the USD.
Use in trade:
Useful for companies trading between countries whose currencies are not widely paired, e.g., INR and JPY.
2. Role of Currency Derivatives in Trade
Currency derivatives serve multiple roles in global commerce:
2.1 Hedging Against Currency Risk
Companies engaging in international trade face unpredictable currency movements.
By locking in exchange rates using derivatives, businesses stabilize revenue and costs.
Example: An Indian IT company exporting to Europe can hedge against the euro weakening against the rupee.
2.2 Speculation
Traders and investors use currency derivatives to bet on currency movements to make profits.
Speculation adds liquidity to the market, which indirectly benefits businesses by making it easier to execute hedging strategies.
Example: A trader may buy USD futures if they anticipate the dollar will rise against the rupee.
2.3 Arbitrage Opportunities
Arbitrage involves exploiting price differences in the same currency across different markets.
Currency derivatives allow arbitrageurs to profit from mismatches while keeping markets efficient.
Example: If EUR/USD is slightly higher in one exchange than another, a trader can simultaneously buy low and sell high.
2.4 Portfolio Diversification
Investors use currency derivatives to diversify their portfolios by gaining exposure to foreign currencies.
This can help mitigate risks from domestic market volatility and improve returns.
Example: A mutual fund in India may use currency options to reduce risk exposure from foreign investments.
3. Market Participants
The main participants in currency derivatives markets include:
Hedgers – Companies or institutions aiming to reduce currency risk.
Speculators – Traders aiming to profit from currency movements.
Arbitrageurs – Market participants exploiting price differences across markets.
Market Makers – Entities providing liquidity, ensuring smoother trading operations.
4. Regulatory Framework
In India, currency derivatives are regulated by:
SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India): Ensures transparency and fair trading practices.
RBI (Reserve Bank of India): Ensures participants have genuine foreign currency exposure to prevent excessive speculation.
This regulatory framework ensures the market remains safe, transparent, and reliable.
5. Advantages of Currency Derivatives
Risk Management: Protects businesses against unexpected currency fluctuations.
Flexibility: Especially with options, businesses can choose to benefit from favorable movements while limiting losses.
Liquidity: Standardized contracts in futures and options provide liquidity to the market.
Efficient Global Trade: Reduces uncertainty in cross-border transactions, encouraging international business.
6. Challenges and Risks
Market Risk: Currency values can be volatile; wrong predictions can lead to losses.
Counterparty Risk: In OTC contracts, one party may default.
Complexity: Some derivatives like swaps are complex and require expertise.
Regulatory Constraints: In some countries, rules may limit derivative usage or impose restrictions.
Conclusion
Currency derivatives are indispensable tools for modern international trade. They allow businesses to manage risk, stabilize cash flows, and plan effectively. At the same time, they provide opportunities for traders and investors to profit from currency movements and engage in arbitrage.
By understanding and using these instruments responsibly, companies can reduce uncertainty in global transactions, while financial markets benefit from improved liquidity and efficiency.
With increasing globalization and cross-border trade, the importance of currency derivatives will continue to grow, making them a critical part of financial markets worldwide.
LiamTrading – Today's XAUUSD Trading ScenarioGold continues its strong upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also where sellers might make a strong comeback.
Technical Analysis
On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't decisively broken through. This indicates emerging profit-taking pressure.
A sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, with a potential correction target around 3,673.
The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is where a bullish reaction is likely to occur.
Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered a solid support on the larger timeframe, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity.
Conversely, if the price decisively breaks above the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the uptrend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+.
Trading Plan Reference
Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673.
Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690.
Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720.
These are my personal views on XAUUSD, which you can refer to for building your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,698.25
Target Level: 3,667.27
Stop Loss: 3,718.92
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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