NQ100 Intraday Outlook – Sept 8, 2025🧠 NQ100 Intraday Outlook – Sept 8, 2025
Bias: Intraday Bearish after NY Open
Price is currently trading within a well-defined premium zone, between the Sunday-Monday Order Block and the BPR M30 area.
🧩 Key Observations:
Price tapped into a minor M5 Order Block (OB) right after the 8:30 NY macro event.
We're seeing a reaction to a short-term OB, with a small push up likely to grab liquidity above the London session high.
Expecting liquidity run + rejection from the upper OB zone (23,810–23,830).
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
After the sweep of local highs, I anticipate a sell-off toward the Imbalance zone below (23,710 area).
Main targets are:
Imbalance fill
Possibly further down toward Weekly Open near 23,680
🔧 Confluence:
Midnight Open has already been reclaimed.
NY AM session is about to open – expecting expansion to provide confirmation.
Potential divergence between NQ (stronger) and ES (weaker) gives context for relative weakness later in the session.
📌 Idea Summary:
I expect one final push into the premium zone to grab liquidity before reversing down toward the Imbalance and possibly into the Weekly Open.
Tradingstrategy
Volatility Period: Around September 7th (September 6th-10th)
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(ETHUSDT 1D Chart)
This volatility period is around September 7th (September 6th-10th).
After this period of volatility, the key question is whether the price can find support and rise above the 4403.87-4749.30 level.
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To continue the cascading upward trend, the price must rise above 4749.30.
Therefore, we need to monitor whether the price maintains above the 4749.30-4868.0 level.
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If resistance is encountered at 4403.87 and the price declines, it is likely to decline until it meets the HA-Low indicator.
Therefore, we need to check for support around 4302.41-4403.87.
However, there is a possibility of a rise after touching the previous all-time high (ATH) range of 3900.73-4107.80, so we need to consider a response plan.
If the price falls below 4107.80, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and resume the trend.
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The On-By-Signal (OBV) indicator is falling below the Low Line.
The TC (Trend Check) indicator is below 0.
The K value of the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of rising from the oversold zone.
If the High Line of the OBV indicator falls and forms a downward channel, it is highly likely that selling pressure will continue to dominate, so caution is advised when trading.
Therefore, the key issue this time is whether support is found around 4302.41-4403.87.
The TC (Trend Check) indicator is a comprehensive evaluation of the StochRSI, On-By-Signal (OBV), and PVT-MACD Oscillator indicators.
Therefore, if the TC indicator is below 0, selling pressure is dominant, and the price is likely to decline.
If the K value of the StochRSI indicator continues to rise, the price is likely to rise after this period of volatility.
However, for the uptrend to continue, the OBV and TC indicators must show upward trends.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
We wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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XAU/USD – FED, Tariffs & NFP Tonight | Captain Vincent 🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News
The probability of the FED cutting rates in September has risen to 99.4% (from 96.6%) → almost a certainty.
FED’s Cook is under fraud investigation, combined with previously weak economic data → further strengthens momentum for Gold.
US–Japan deal: US reduces chip import tariffs to 15% , in return Japan invests $550B + purchases $8B worth of agricultural products. Positive, but not game-changing since markets remain focused on interest rates & inflation.
Trump: Threatens to impose tariffs on all chip/semis companies not entering the US → raises geopolitical concerns.
NFP & Unemployment Rate at 07:30 Us → key event, potential for very strong volatility.
⏩ Captain’s Summary:
Flows remain tilted toward BUY Gold thanks to FED rate cut expectations, but short-term whipsaws may occur before/after the news.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
M30 BOS : Gold just created a Break of Structure, overall trend remains bullish.
Captain’s Shield (Support) : 3484 – 3486 (Main Buy Zone).
Storm Breaker (Resistance) : 3575 – 3593 (aligns with Fibo 0.5 – 0.618).
If Gold breaks above 3591 – 3593 → opens the path toward new ATH at 3608 – 3610 or higher.
If rejected at Storm Breaker → price may retest Golden Harbor (3484) before bouncing back upward.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority)
Entry: 3484 – 3486
SL: 3478
TP: 3490 → 3493 → 3497 → 3505 → 35xx
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short-term)
Entry: 3575 – 3577
SL: 3585
TP: 3570 → 3565 → 3560 → 3555 → 35xx
🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – Resistance)
Entry: 3591 – 3593
SL: 3600
TP: 3588 → 3585 → 3580 → 3575 → 35xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship sails smoothly as the FED is almost certain to cut rates in September. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3484) is the safe haven to continue riding the bullish wave. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3575–3593) may spark big waves for short Quick Boarding 🚤 , but the main current still carries us northward.”
USDJPY – Dual POI Short Setup🧠 Market Context
Previous Day High swept → liquidity grab complete.
CHoCH → Bearish Intent confirmed → directional bias is short.
Price is now retracing into supply zones for potential continuation lower.
🎯 Key Points of Interest (POIs)
Refined 1H POI
Aligned with highest previous day volume.
Strong institutional confluence.
Extreme 5M FVG (sweep origin)
Cleaner entry with tighter risk.
Aligns with the extreme point of interest logic from liquidity models.
⚖️ Execution Plan
Option A: Scale Entries
Partial entry at 1H POI.
Add position at 5M extreme FVG if price sweeps deeper.
Option B: Confirmation Entries
Wait for LTF BOS / rejection candle inside either POI before execution.
🔽 Bearish Targets
147.037 → Previous Daily Low (Liquidity Zone).
146.582 – 146.600 → Deeper liquidity + imbalance fill.
⚠️ Risk Management
Risk 0.5–1% per setup, split across zones.
Move SL to breakeven once 2R is achieved.
Trail stop following bearish structure.
📊 Summary
USDJPY has shifted to bearish intent after the PDH sweep. Two valid POIs are in play — a volume-backed 1H supply and an extreme 5M FVG.
Best approach: scale into both for higher probability while keeping risk controlled.
💬 What do you think? Would you take the refined 1H POI or wait for the extreme 5M FVG?
Check for support near 111696.21
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The TC (Trend Check) indicator appears to have risen above the 0 level.
Accordingly, the key question is whether support can be found around 111696.21.
For the uptrend to continue, the OBV indicator must rise above the High Line and remain so.
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The volatility period in September is expected to occur around September 9th, September 19th, and September 28th.
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Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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Check if it can rise above 347.21
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(TSLA 1D chart)
The key is to determine which direction the price breaks out of the two support and resistance areas of 268.07-311.48 and 347.21-382.40.
For a step-up trend to occur, the price must remain above 334.09-347.21.
However, a step-up trend is highly likely only if the price rises above the support and resistance levels of 382.40 and 421.06 on the 1W and 1M charts.
Even so, a larger increase is likely if the price rises above the 334.09-347.21 range on the 1D chart.
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The 268.07-311.48 range also falls within the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, it's important to remember that the current position is not a buy position, but rather a sell position.
However, for new buys, it's best to initiate them when support is found near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, if possible.
Therefore, when the 268.07-311.48 range acts as a support zone, it can be considered a buying opportunity.
However, since it's within the HA-High indicator zone, trades should be executed with short and quick responses.
The key volatility period is around October 7th, but before that, we should check the movements around September 5th and September 12th.
At this time, the trend is likely to be determined by which direction the price moves: the 268.07-311.48 range or the 347.21-382.40 range.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Checking for support near 171.26
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(NVDA 1M chart)
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
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Looking at the current 1M chart, the HA-High to DOM(60) range is 121.80-138.23.
Therefore, if the price holds above 121.80-138.23, the step-like uptrend is likely to continue.
The left Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the first wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 3.618 (181.85) and hold.
The right Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the second wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 1 (198.88).
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can break above the 181.85-198.88 range.
If the price fails to rise,
1st: 152.89
2nd: 121.80-138.23
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
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(1D chart)
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1D chart is 180.76-182.70.
Therefore, for a stepwise uptrend to begin, the price must rise above 180.76-182.70 and maintain its position.
The 171.26 level is the HA-High indicator level on the 1W chart.
Therefore, the key question is whether support is found near 171.26.
If it falls below 171.26, it is likely to decline until it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this point, the key is whether it can find support near 152.89, the Fibonacci 3 level (157.76) to the left.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, there is a possibility of a downtrend, so you should consider a response plan.
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If this is your first time hearing this explanation, you may not understand what I'm talking about.
The important thing is that the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators indicate lows, while the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators indicate highs.
Therefore, buys should be made near the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators, and sells should be made near the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators.
To interpret charts from a long-term perspective, you need to check the positions of the DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and DOM(60) indicators on the 1M chart.
The 1W chart is interpreted from a medium- to long-term perspective, while the 1D chart is interpreted from a short-term perspective.
In the stock market, price fluctuations are often driven by issues other than the chart itself, so it's important to always be aware of volatility.
Even so, since volatility ultimately occurs after the chart is created, it's best to analyze the chart first and then examine other issues.
Otherwise, you'll likely end up creating a trading strategy that heavily reflects your own subjective opinions.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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The key is whether the price can rise above 240.55 and hold
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(AAPL 1D chart)
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
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The HA-High to DOM(60) range on the current 1D chart is 229.27-232.78.
Therefore, if the price remains above the 229.27-232.78 range, a step-like uptrend is highly likely.
However, looking at the chart overall, the 226.67-240.55 range corresponds to the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, it is necessary to check for support within the 226.67-240.55 range.
If it rises above 240.55, it is expected to attempt to rise to the 250.42-260.10 range.
The 250.42 and 255.59 levels correspond to the DOM(60) indicator on the 1M chart and the DOM(60) indicator on the 1W chart, respectively.
Therefore, to sustain the mid- to long-term uptrend, the price must rise above 250.42-255.59 and maintain its position.
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Based on the basic trading strategy mentioned earlier, this is currently within the range for a partial sell-off.
Buying in this range requires a short and quick response, so be cautious.
Buying is possible when the 226.67-240.55 range shows support.
If it falls below 226.67, cut your losses and wait to see how the situation develops.
If the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and remains there, there's a possibility of a medium- to long-term downtrend, so a countermeasure is needed.
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The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is currently at 192.31.
This point is located within the previous all-time high (ATH) range of 182.94-199.62, making the 182.94-199.62 range an important support area.
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(1M chart)
The area highlighted by the circle represents an important area.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Major Global Financial Markets1. What Are Financial Markets?
A financial market is a platform—physical or electronic—where buyers and sellers trade financial securities, assets, and instruments. These markets bring together those who have surplus capital (investors, savers) with those who need capital (businesses, governments, entrepreneurs).
Key Functions of Financial Markets
Capital Allocation – Directs money to productive uses.
Liquidity Provision – Allows investors to buy/sell easily.
Price Discovery – Determines fair value of securities.
Risk Management – Through hedging instruments like derivatives.
Global Integration – Connects economies and facilitates international trade.
2. Types of Global Financial Markets
Financial markets are broadly categorized into:
Equity Markets (Stock Markets) – Trading of shares in companies.
Bond Markets (Debt Markets) – Governments and corporations raise money through debt instruments.
Foreign Exchange Markets (Forex) – Trading of currencies worldwide.
Commodity Markets – Trading in physical goods like oil, gold, wheat.
Derivatives Markets – Contracts based on underlying assets (options, futures, swaps).
Each of these has regional hubs and global leaders. Let’s go into detail.
3. Major Global Equity (Stock) Markets
a) New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) – USA
The world’s largest stock exchange by market capitalization (over $25 trillion).
Located on Wall Street, New York.
Hosts giants like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Coca-Cola.
Known for blue-chip stocks and IPO launches.
b) NASDAQ – USA
The second-largest stock exchange globally.
Famous for tech-heavy listings like Tesla, Meta, Nvidia, and Alphabet (Google).
Fully electronic, with rapid trading speeds.
c) London Stock Exchange (LSE) – UK
Oldest exchange, dating back to 1698.
Global hub for international listings.
Strong presence in banking, energy, and mining companies.
d) Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) – Japan
Largest stock market in Asia.
Houses Japan’s corporate giants—Toyota, Sony, SoftBank.
Plays a key role in reflecting Asian market sentiment.
e) Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) – China
Among the world’s top three exchanges by market cap.
Known for state-owned enterprises (SOEs).
Plays a critical role in China’s rise as an economic powerhouse.
f) Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) – Hong Kong
A gateway for Chinese companies to global investors.
Strong presence in banking, real estate, and tech listings.
g) Euronext – Europe
A pan-European exchange operating across Paris, Amsterdam, Brussels, and more.
Represents the European Union’s financial integration.
h) Indian Stock Markets – NSE & BSE
Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE): Asia’s oldest exchange (1875).
National Stock Exchange (NSE): Modern, technology-driven, largest in India.
Hosts big names like Reliance Industries, Infosys, and TCS.
India is an emerging market giant, attracting global capital.
4. Major Bond (Debt) Markets
The bond market is even larger than the stock market. It is where governments and corporations borrow money.
a) US Treasury Market
Largest and most important bond market globally.
US Treasuries are considered the safest assets in the world.
Yields on Treasuries influence global interest rates.
b) European Bond Market
Includes German Bunds, UK Gilts, and French OATs.
German Bunds are considered Europe’s safest bonds.
c) Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs)
Japan has one of the highest government debt-to-GDP ratios.
The Bank of Japan often intervenes to control yields.
d) Emerging Market Bonds
Issued by countries like Brazil, India, South Africa.
Higher yields but higher risks compared to developed markets.
5. Foreign Exchange (Forex) Market
The foreign exchange (FX) market is the largest financial market in the world, with daily turnover exceeding $7.5 trillion (BIS, 2022).
Operates 24/5 across major hubs: London, New York, Tokyo, Singapore, Hong Kong.
The US Dollar (USD) dominates, involved in ~88% of all trades.
Other key currencies: Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen (JPY), British Pound (GBP), Chinese Yuan (CNY).
Major FX Centers
London – Largest hub, handling ~40% of global trades.
New York – USD-dominated trades.
Tokyo & Singapore – Asian time zone hubs.
Importance of Forex Markets
Facilitates international trade.
Provides hedging against currency risk.
Acts as a barometer of economic strength.
6. Commodity Markets
Commodities are raw materials traded globally.
a) Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) – USA
World’s largest commodities and derivatives exchange.
Trades in oil, natural gas, gold, corn, soybeans, cattle.
b) London Metal Exchange (LME) – UK
The world’s largest market for industrial metals like copper, aluminum, zinc.
c) New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) – USA
Specializes in energy futures (oil, natural gas).
d) Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) – India
India’s largest commodity exchange.
Active in gold, silver, crude oil, and agricultural commodities.
7. Derivatives Markets
Derivatives are financial contracts whose value is based on an underlying asset (stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies).
a) Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) – USA
Leading exchange for options trading.
Famous for the VIX Index (fear gauge of markets).
b) CME Group – USA
World’s largest futures market.
Handles everything from equity index futures to crypto derivatives.
c) Eurex – Europe
Europe’s main derivatives market.
Active in futures and options on European indices and bonds.
8. Role of International Financial Institutions
Apart from exchanges, global institutions play a vital role:
IMF (International Monetary Fund): Provides financial stability.
World Bank: Funds infrastructure projects.
BIS (Bank for International Settlements): Oversees central banks.
WTO (World Trade Organization): Facilitates trade rules.
9. Interconnectedness of Global Financial Markets
Today’s markets are deeply interconnected. A crash in one market often spreads globally—like the 2008 financial crisis. Similarly, interest rate decisions by the US Federal Reserve ripple through all asset classes worldwide.
10. Challenges in Global Financial Markets
Geopolitical Risks – Wars, sanctions, trade wars.
Currency Volatility – Exchange rate shocks.
Technological Disruption – Rise of AI, algorithmic trading.
Regulatory Differences – Fragmented global rules.
Climate & ESG Risks – Green finance and carbon trading emerging.
11. Future of Global Financial Markets
Digital Assets & Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum gaining mainstream adoption.
Tokenization of Assets: Real estate, art, and stocks being tokenized.
Green Finance: Carbon credits, renewable energy investments.
AI & Algorithmic Trading: Faster, data-driven market participation.
India & Emerging Markets: Expected to become global growth drivers.
Conclusion
The major global financial markets—equities, bonds, forex, commodities, and derivatives—are the backbone of the world economy. They provide a platform for raising capital, investing, hedging risks, and allocating resources. While the US remains the dominant player, Asia and emerging markets are rising fast.
These markets are complex, interconnected, and ever-changing. Understanding them is crucial for investors, policymakers, businesses, and individuals alike.
In the coming decades, technology, geopolitics, and sustainability will reshape how these markets function. But one thing remains certain—financial markets will always be at the heart of global economic activity.
Volatility Period: Around August 28 (August 27-29)
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
It's rising, with support near 4372.72.
However, since the TC (Trend Check) indicator is at 0, it's unclear where the price will bounce.
Therefore, we need to determine whether support is found around 4630.26 or whether the price falls below 4472.33.
This period of volatility is expected to last from August 27th to 29th.
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To initiate a cascading upward trend, support must be found around 4749.30.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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DXY Outlook – Bearish Lean, Choppy SetupDollar had a hard run the last three weeks with heavy bearish candles on the weekly. Price action has been messy, not easy to just get in and ride. My bias is still bearish, but I’m also looking at the bigger picture.
On the monthly chart, key distribution sits under 94.095 and we haven’t reached it yet. Over the last two months price has been filling the bullish order block around 95.971 order block on the dollar index. If the market maker decides to move, it could go fast once the data lines up, whether in the first or second week.
Right now we are sitting in a bearish volume channel lower end. Selling late is not smart because most of the move has already passed. That doesn’t mean there are no trades, but it does mean higher frequency and tighter risk until the next clear setup.
From the economic side the jobs data is weak with only 73K added last month, which keeps pressure on the Fed to cut. The Fed is also seen as politicized, which hurts credibility and weighs on the dollar. Markets are already pricing a September cut and analysts are leaning bearish. At the same time inflation is still sticky near 2.9 percent while jobs are slowing, which leaves the Fed boxed in. Headline PCE is flat, not strong enough to flip hawkish and not weak enough to go fully dovish. That mix can trap the dollar between 97 and 100 until one side breaks.
Best move is to keep watching the data closely before trading dollar markets. Bias stays bearish, but chop risk is high.
Gold’s Relentless Rally: Hard Lessons Every Trader Must Face💥This past week, Gold surged without a single technical pullback. The rally was so sharp and one–sided that many traders who were holding Sell positions had no chance to exit safely. The result? Blown accounts, heavy drawdowns, and a painful reminder of what happens when we ignore risk.
📉 When the Market Ignores Technicals
Technical Analysis (TA) works—until the market decides otherwise.
In periods of aggressive flows, patterns, indicators, and even trendlines can fail completely.
At such times, the only thing that separates survivors from blown accounts is risk management and discipline.
🔑 Trading Lessons You Can’t Afford to Ignore
1️⃣ Stop Loss is your life jacket – Without it, one wrong move can sink your entire capital.
2️⃣ Never hold onto losing trades hoping for a reversal – The market doesn’t care about your hopes.
3️⃣ Capital management is more important than perfect analysis – One bad trade should never define your future.
4️⃣ Accept losses to survive – The best traders aren’t always right, but they always live to fight another day.
💡 A Message to Every Trader
Last week’s move in Gold taught us one brutal truth:
👉 No discipline = No capital.
👉 No capital = No trading career.
If you’ve taken heavy losses, don’t let it break you. See it as a turning point to rebuild with stronger rules and discipline. Markets will always offer opportunities, but only for those who protect themselves first.
✅ Final Takeaway
This week, don’t just stare at charts—revisit your trading plan and strengthen your discipline.
Remember: discipline may not make you rich overnight, but it will keep you alive long enough to get there.
The key is whether it can rise above 237.60
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-------------------------------------
(SOLUSDT 1M Chart)
To understand the strangely drawn trendline, you need to refer to the StochRSI indicator.
This is because the StochRSI indicator was used to draw the trendline.
When the K indicator of the StochRSI forms a peak in the overbought zone, a trend line is drawn by connecting those peaks. When the K indicator forms a peak in the oversold zone, a trend line is drawn by connecting those peaks.
When drawn this way, the trend line drawn in the overbought zone becomes the high trend line, and the trend line drawn in the oversold zone becomes the low trend line.
However, due to the long timeframe of the 1M chart, the high and low trend lines are not separated and are instead displayed as a single line.
Of the three trend lines, we need to determine whether the upward trend can continue along trend line (1).
The DOM (60) indicator is forming at 237.60, so the key question is whether it can break above this level.
Illegible areas are marked with circles.
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(1W Chart)
Looking at the explanation of the big picture below, a major bear market is expected to begin in 2026.
However, the trend lines drawn on the chart suggest that the upward trend could continue until the first quarter of 2026.
With time remaining until the end of 2025, we need to closely monitor BTC's movements.
The DOM (60) indicator on the 1M chart is at 237.60, so the key question is whether it can break above 237.60 and maintain its price.
However, the DOM (60) ~ HA-High range formed in the 202.45-222.61 range on the 1W chart, so whether it can find support within this range is crucial.
Accordingly, the volatility period on the 1W chart is the period around the week of September 29th, i.e., September 22nd to October 5th.
Please refer to the circled area on the 1M chart for the important period.
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(1D chart)
This volatility period ends on August 29th.
The next volatility period will be around September 7th.
After the volatility period around September 7th, we need to see if the price remains above 195.92.
If the price remains above trendline (1), it is highly likely that an attempt to rise above 222.61 will occur.
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As mentioned earlier on the 1W chart, the key question is whether the price can rise above 237.60.
To draw a line, we need to examine whether the 202.45-222.61 range provides support and can move upward.
From this perspective, if the 202.45-222.61 range provides support, it's considered a buying opportunity.
However, considering the basic trading strategy, buying in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and selling in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range is necessary, so we can see that this is actually a selling opportunity.
Therefore, executing a new purchase in the 202.45-222.61 range requires a short and quick response.
If you maintain a basic trading strategy, you can either sell in installments to gain psychological stability or choose to purchase additional shares when the 202.45-222.61 range provides support.
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Some people argue that support and resistance aren't important, but rather whether the price will rise or fall.
Yes, I agree with this.
However, to move up or down, you need to understand the support and resistance points or ranges that serve as reference points.
If you can't distinguish between these, you won't be able to trade, regardless of whether the price is rising or falling.
Therefore, you need to evaluate how important the support and resistance points or ranges formed at the current price are.
If you don't understand this, you'll end up trading by buying late after the price has risen or selling late after the price has fallen.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
GOLD (XAUUSD) INTRADAY OUTLOOKCurrent Price: $3,377.
Range: Resistance at $3,378.86, Support at $3,370.24
Price is moving inside a tight box, rejecting both ends. Higher timeframe candles are showing wicks both sides → clear indecision.
🔼 Bullish Plan
Trigger: A 30min body close above $3,378.86 (not just a wick).
Targets: $3,381.50 → $3,383.00. If momentum holds, extension toward $3,390+.
Management: Partial profits at first target, move stop loss to breakeven once $3,380 is held.
🔽 Bearish Plan
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,370.24.
Targets: $3,367.42 → $3,365.00. Further drop possible into $3,362.80 if selling pressure builds.
Management: Scale partials at first target, protect rest at breakeven.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk)
Shorts: Near $3,378 on strong rejection → target mid-range $3,372–$3,374. SL above rejection high.
Longs: Near $3,370 on rejection wick → target mid-range $3,374. SL under lows.
⚠️ Small size only, chop can reverse fast.
✅ What Confirms Breakout
Strong 30min candle close outside $3,370–$3,378.
Follow through volume in same direction.
❌ What Invalidates
Breakout candle closes back inside range.
Multiple fakeout wicks without follow through.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,378 → Upside targets $3,386+.
Below $3,370 → Downside targets $3,362 and lower.
Inside range = scalpers’ market.
Gold Plan 26/08 – Captain VincentXAU/USD – Trump’s surprise move boosts gold sharply, what’s next?
1. News Waves 🌍
Trump suddenly dismissed FED Governor L. Cook, citing irresponsible recent financial decisions.
👉 This political–monetary shock pushed gold up more than 30 points from 3,350 – 3,352, as investors feared internal instability at the FED could weaken the USD.
Safe-haven demand was triggered, but gold is unlikely to “rally in one straight line.” Markets usually require a pullback to fill liquidity before a clearer trend forms.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
Price bounced strongly from Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3350 – 3342) – a key support area.
Currently, gold is approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 (Resistance 3384 – 3400), where liquidity is concentrated → potential for profit-taking sell pressure.
On H1, multiple FVGs appeared around 3363 and 3355 → gold may return to “fill the gap” before continuing its journey.
👉 Intraday bias: prioritize Sell at resistance, while watching for Buy Scalp opportunities at Quick Boarding 🚤 if price retraces to 3342 – 3340.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Major Resistance): 3384 – 3400
Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp): 3342 – 3340 | SL 3333 | TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone): 3350 – 3342
FVG zones: around 3363 & 3355 (short-term liquidity magnets)
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (priority setup)
Entry: 3400 – 3402
SL: 3408
TP: 3395 → 3390 → 33xx
🔺 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤
Entry: 3342 – 3340
SL: 3333
TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
“Trump’s news wave lifted gold like an unexpected headwind. But ahead, the Storm Breaker 🌊 could unleash turbulent waters. The wise will anchor at Golden Harbor 🏝️, the swift may choose Quick Boarding 🚤. And always remember: today’s gold sea is steered by the sharks’ oars.”
Important range: 115854.56-119177.56
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Follow us for quick updates.
Have a great day!
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to last from August 23rd to 25th.
It found support near 111696.21 and rose above 115854.56.
Therefore, the key question is whether it can find support near 115854.56 and rise above 119177.56.
If it falls below 115854.56, it could fall to around 108353.0.
If it rises above 119177.56 this time and holds, it could attempt to rise near the right Fibonacci level 2.618 (133889.92) during the next volatility period, around September.
Therefore, we should watch for support in the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range of 115854.56-119177.56 and see if it rises above that level.
-
Looking at the OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel, it appears to be transitioning into a downward channel.
Therefore, if the OBV indicator fails to rise above the High Line, there is a possibility of forming a short-term top.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can find support near 44.46 and rise
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-------------------------------------
(ZECUSDT 1M chart)
It appears to have broken away from the long-term downtrend line (1).
However, to initiate an uptrend, the price must remain above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
The key is whether the price can rise above 56.29 and hold its value.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether the price can find support around 44.46 and rise above 49.89-56.29.
To achieve this, we need to see whether the price remains above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart after the volatility period around September 1st.
If it fails and falls, we need to check for support near the first and second levels above:
1st: 37.69
2nd: 31.08-33.69
- Thank you for reading.
We wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-Year Bull Market, 1-Year Bear Market Pattern)
I will explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Check for support near 4302.41-4372.72
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Follow us to get the latest updates quickly.
Have a great day!
-------------------------------------
(BTC.D 1M chart)
For an altcoin bull market to begin, the price must either fall below 55.01 and hold or continue its downward trend.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
I believe that USDT dominance must remain below 4.91 or continue its downward trend for the coin market to continue its upward trend.
The maximum decline in 2025 is expected to be around 2.84-3.42.
After that, the coin market is expected to enter a bear market with an upward trend.
------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
It touched the previous all-time high (ATH) range of 3900.73-4107.80 and is showing an upward trend above 4302.41.
Therefore, we need to check whether it can find support around 4302.41-4372.72.
To continue the step-up trend, it's expected to rise above 4749.30.
-
When a new candlestick is formed, a low trend line is expected to form, consolidating the trend line as shown below.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise along the rising channel after the volatility period around August 28 (August 27-29).
-
The 4302.41-4749.30 range represents a high-boundary zone, requiring a short and quick response when trading.
Therefore, if the price finds support near 4302.41 and rises, it would be wise to develop a trading strategy based on the assumption that the first sell-off will occur around 4749.30.
For the uptrend to continue, rising above 4749.30,
- the StochRSI indicator must remain upward with K > D,
- the OBV must rise above the High Line and remain upward,
- the TC (Trend Check) indicator must remain upward. (Preferably, it should show an upward trend above 0.)
If the above conditions are met, I believe the uptrend is likely to continue.
-
If the price falls below 4302.41,
1st: 3900.73-4107.80
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
-
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the HA-Low ~ DOM (-60) range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, it is likely to exhibit a step-like upward trend, while if it falls from the HA-Low to DOM(-60) range, it is likely to exhibit a step-like downward trend.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
If you purchase a new position because the price appears to be supporting the HA-High to DOM(60) range, you should execute the trade quickly and with short-term responses.
Otherwise, if the price falls below the HA-High indicator, it is likely to decline until it meets the HA-Low or DOM(-60) indicator.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
ES Futures Trade Setup – Long Opportunity
🎯 **ES Futures Trade Setup – Long Opportunity**
📌 **Instrument:** ES
📈 **Direction:** LONG
💰 **Entry Price:** 6415.50
🛑 **Stop Loss:** 6353.98 (1 ATR below entry)
🏹 **Take Profit:** 6480.00 (\~64.5 points)
📏 **Position Size:** 3 contracts
💪 **Confidence:** 65%
⏰ **Timing:** Enter at market open
⚠️ **Key Risks:** Mixed short-term signals may cause volatility. Move below 6400 could invalidate trade.
✅ **Rationale:** Long-term bullish trend remains intact; favorable risk-reward despite short-term bearish momentum.
is BTC going TOP again? Road To 138,000?~ In this trading idea, here is showed how well and nice this wave works.
In first example we got nice uptrend so I'm expecting that we will see something similar in a few days!
~ My prediction is to be ready strong uptrend again.
Like this idea if you see it's useful.
Make comment about your opinions too. <3
Nika. :)
Gold – US Session Trend UpdateGold – US Session Trend Update
During today’s US session, gold once again rejected selling pressure around the 3326 zone. This is the third time price has bounced from this level, and once again it quickly recovered, gaining more than 10 dollars after failing to confirm a bearish continuation.
From a trendline perspective, the price is consolidating within a narrowing channel. This typically signals that a stronger move is approaching once the market breaks out of the channel. While a breakout may not happen immediately today, this setup provides a clear framework for entering trades once confirmation comes, regardless of timing.
The key resistance to watch sits at 3345. A strong H1 close above this level would confirm renewed bullish momentum and open the way for further upside. On the other hand, if 3326 is broken decisively, especially after holding three times, the market could see a sharp downward continuation in line with Dow Theory.
At the moment, traders may consider short-term opportunities within the 3326–3345 range, particularly on lower intraday timeframes like M5, to capture quick profits. Once price breaks decisively out of the channel, swing entries in the direction of the breakout become more favourable.
Successful setups often come from patience. Waiting for the market to confirm direction before committing to larger positions will always provide better odds in the long run.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trendline #Forex #UKTrading #SwingTrading #Scalping
Why You Need LASER Focus When You Trade – 4 ReasonsTrading is not just crunching numbers.
It’s also about precision, timing, and strategy.
You need to be a perfectionist when you trade.
Because every action you take will determine where you get in and out.
Every action will determine what possible amount you can lose and what you can win.
Every action will determine whether you will add it to your track record or now.
So, I’m going to help you to develop laser focus when you trade.
NO LASER FOCUS AND
You Might MISS a GREAT Probability Trading SETUP
Picture this…
You’ve been tracking a market for days.
The setup you’ve been waiting for finally emerges.
But you’re distracted. From your job, from an email, from the family, from your mindset or even a social media notification.
Or you have missed an important economic news calender event.
And by the time you refocus, the opportunity has slipped through your fingers.
Trading needs your undivided attention.
Each setup is like a rare gem, and you need to be sharp-eyed to spot it.
Missing out isn’t just about lost potential profit; it’s about missing the chance to execute your well-crafted strategy.
NO LASER FOCUS AND
You Might Type in the WRONG Trading Levels
You have your setup, charts and trading platform all ready.
You’ve analyzed everything perfectly, and have your levels.
But one moment of distraction and you might type in an extra 0 or type in the wrong number.
This can lead to larger losses or even not being able to enter your trade.
Here’s an idea.
Pretend that the trade you are taking is NOT for you but rather for a big client with millions that you need to execute.
Now you will feel more obliged to execute correctly and with laser focus right?
Precision is key.
NO LASER FOCUS AND
You Might Type in the WRONG Volume
Volume is crucial.
It’s the engine behind your trades.
It’s the amount that will determine your potential gain or loss.
If you get in with the wrong volume, it could disrupt your entire plan.
You smirk, but it’s more common than you think.
You need to look at the MINIMUM contract you can trade.
You need to work out the position size with the Position Size Calculator.
Incorrect volumes can inflate risks and distort your position size.
You can’t afford to risk more than you can financially and emotionally handle.
Be more accurate with your position sizing and your portfolio will thank you.
NO LASER FOCUS AND
You Might MISS Adjusting Profit or Stop Loss Levels
It’s common to get into a trade because the market is running away.
But then, you might forgot to put in your stop loss and take profit levels.
This can be dangerous!
Especially if you hold overnight and you aren’t awake to monitor and protect your position.
Especially, when the market gaps and you have no choice but to close your trade.
Profit and stop loss levels are like the safety net and trampoline of your trading strategy.
Keep a close eye on your trades and levels please.
Final words.
Laser focus in trading is CRUCIAL.
You are the boss of your own portfolio, financial situation and strategy.
So act like the boss with precision, accuracy and laser focus.
Let’s sum up why you need to have Laser Focus…
NO LASER FOCUS AND
~ You Might MISS a GREAT Probability Trading SETUP
~ You Might Type in the WRONG Trading Levels
~ You Might Type in the WRONG Volume
~ You Might MISS Adjusting Profit or Stop Loss Levels
Why You Must NOT Multi-Task When Trading – 4 ReasonsWhy You Must NOT Multi-Task When Trading
We are taught to multi-task through life.
To be a jack of all trades.
With trading, it’s a golden rule to NOT multi task.
Your focus diminishes.
Your productivity slows down.
And your confusion goes up.
So we need to instead focus on ONE thing at a time.
Here’s why…
🔍 #1: You Miss Crucial Opportunities
Picture this: you’re juggling several tasks at once.
You’re looking at hundreds of markets.
You’re monitoring all the news events.
Your charts look like a Christmas treed.
You’re looking at social media and emails.
And then what happens?
You miss the important trade line ups.
A slight delay in executing a trade can mean the difference between a profit and a loss.
You see, when you multi-task – your attention is divided.
And great opportunities can slip right through your fingers.
Stay focused. Stay vigilant. That one trade might be your ticket to your next winning streak.
⏱️#2: There Are Delays in Trading Decision Making
Speed is of the essence in trading.
The markets move fast, and so should you.
But when you’re multi-tasking, your decision-making process slows down.
You find yourself second-guessing every move, doubting your strategies, and hesitating just when you need to act.
This delay can be costly.
A missed opportunity, a wrong move, or a delayed reaction can lead to nothing happening when it should.
😵💫 #3: Your Stress Levels Are High
Trading alone is stressful.
The constant flux of the market, the pressure to make the right decisions, and the potential financial stakes are enough to keep anyone on edge.
Now, add multi-tasking to the mix, and you’re looking at a recipe for burnout.
Your brain is not wired to handle multiple complex tasks simultaneously.
This overload increases your stress levels, affecting your mental clarity and emotional stability.
Lower your stress and focus on one task at a time.
Your mind will thank you, and your trading performance will improve.
🎯 #4: You Make More Mistakes – You Need Laser Focus!
I’ve professed the idea of LASER your trades.
Look, Analyse, Setup, Execute and Record.
Focus on one part of your trading at a time and you’ll see better performance.
✅ Summary of Key Points:
#1: You Miss Crucial Opportunities
#2: There Are Delays in Trading Decision Making
#3: Your Stress Levels Are High
#4: You Make More Mistakes – You Need Laser Focus!