5 Essentials of Trading Success
Trading is the greatest roller coaster you’ll ever ride.
Trading has its thrills, challenges, and endless potential for growth.
But, before you hit “Buy” or “Sell,” it’s crucial to lay down a solid foundation.
Too many traders jump in without preparation, and without knowing the real life variables.
When things go great, they feel normal and you feel in charge.
When things go bad, you feel it’s the end of the world.
So you need to learn to harness each of the 5 essentials to trading success.
Essential #1: Build a Solid Foundation of Knowledge
You wouldn’t drive a car without knowing the rules of the road, right?
Trading is no different.
Before placing your first trade, you’ll need to understand the key concepts and market basics that will serve as your roadmap.
Key areas to cover include:
Market types:
Know the difference between stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. Know which is the best stock screener. Also you need to know which markets will work for you and your trading personality.
Trading terminology:
Terms like “bearish,” “bullish,” “short-selling,” “leverage,” and “margin” might sound like jargon now, but they’ll soon become your everyday vocabulary.
Order types:
Limit orders, market orders, stop-loss, take-profit. Each of these orders serves a specific purpose. Mastering them is essential for making controlled and effective trades.
Essential #2: Select what you want to trade first: The Art of Asset Allocation
Trading is thrilling, but let’s face it.
No one knows what the market will do tomorrow.
That’s why choosing the right mix of assets—and learning the art of asset allocation—is crucial for long-term success.
What does asset allocation mean in practice?
Diversify your portfolio: Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Invest and trade across different asset classes to spread out risk.
It’s better to trade different portfolios with stocks, Forex, indices and even commodities.
Successful trading isn’t about picking one “winning” asset.
It’s about managing risk and creating a balanced portfolio that can weather market storms.
Diversification is KEY!
Essential #3: Risk Management: Strategies to Protect Your Capital
If you only remember one thing from this article, let it be this:
Risk management is your best friend in trading.
Not only do you learn how to be a trader, but also a risk portfolio manager.
A smart trader doesn’t only think about potential gains—they think about how to protect their capital when things don’t go as planned.
Simple, powerful ways to manage risk include:
Set stop-loss orders: Automatically sell a position when it drops to a certain price to minimize losses.
Use position sizing: Avoid putting too much of your capital into a single trade. Limit each trade to a small percentage of your total funds—usually no more than 0.5%-2%.
Apply the “2% rule”: Never risk more than 2% of your capital on a single trade. This can help prevent one loss from wiping out your progress.
Remember, every trader has losses; it’s part of the game.
But with a solid risk management strategy, those losses won’t be catastrophic.
Essential #4: Charting the Path: Introduction to Technical Analysis
Charts are a trader’s treasure map. Learn to interpret them, and you’ll have insights into market trends, price movements, and potential buy/sell signals. Technical analysis allows traders to make data-driven decisions rather than relying on gut feelings.
Key tools for technical analysis:
Candlestick patterns: These can show trends, reversals, and market sentiment. Patterns like “doji,” “hammer,” and “engulfing” candles can offer powerful insights.
Indicators: Tools like moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) help you assess price momentum and potential reversal points.
As you might know by now. I like to stick to three indicators: Breakout patterns, 2 Moving Averages and Trend lines.
We need to learn to simplify our strategy because we will be following it over our entire trading career.
Trendlines: Drawn on charts, trendlines reveal price direction and potential breakout or breakdown levels.
Essential #5: The Psychology of Success: Developing a Trader’s Mindset
Trading isn’t just about strategies and technical skills; it’s also a mental game.
Emotions—fear, greed, EGO, frustration — can interfere with sound decision-making.
If you can’t manage your mind, you can’t manage your portfolio.
And that’s why it’s essential to develop a mechanical, professional and calm mind when trading.
Developing a disciplined mindset is what separates successful traders from those who burn out.
Conclusion
Let’s sum up the 5 ESSENTIALS to trading success.
Essential #1: Knowledge First: Understand trading terminology, market types, and order types.
Essential #2: Asset Allocation: Diversify your portfolio based on your risk profile.
Essential #3: Risk Management: Protect your capital with stop-losses, position sizing, and the 2% rule.
Essential #4: Technical Analysis: Learn chart patterns, indicators, and trendlines to guide decisions.
Essential #5: Trader’s Mindset: Control emotions, maintain discipline, and focus on long-term success.
Trading isn’t just a skill—it’s an adventure that rewards preparation, patience, and resilience.
Keep learning, stay focused, and remember: your success is built one trade at a time.
Tradingstrategy
ATOMUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 3.110BINANCE:ATOMUSDT.P confirmed a local level today — a clear hit occurred a few hours ago, followed by a gradual approach. This behavior indicates weakening buyer pressure. As always, the key factors are low volatility and an entry point that aligns with the trading system.
Key factors for this scenario:
Global & local trend alignment
Correlation with the market
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
See if it can rise above 110644.40-111696.21
Hello, fellow traders!
Please "Follow" to always get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W Chart)
Support levels for maintaining an uptrend are:
1st: 104463.99-108353.0
2nd: 87814.27-93570.28
Support must be found within the first and second levels above.
To rise above the right Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92), which is my target level, the price must rise above the uptrend line (1) and maintain its position.
In other words, the price must rise above the HA-High indicator level of 116259.91 on the 1W chart and maintain its position.
-
(1D Chart)
The key is whether the price can find support near 10443.99-108353.0 and rise above the 110644.40-111696.21 range.
If the price fails to rise, it is highly likely to fall further, so we need to consider countermeasures.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1D charts is passing near the 110644.40-111696.21 range, I believe the trend will likely be determined by the presence of support.
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1W chart is formed within the 116,259.91-119,086.64 range, while the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1D chart is formed within the 120,760.81-124,658.54 range.
Therefore, the 116,259.91-124,658.54 range is likely to act as resistance.
Therefore, I believe a surge in capital is needed to break above this range.
-
Therefore, I believe BTC dominance should rise while USDT dominance should decline.
If BTC dominance rises, most altcoins are likely to move sideways or decline, so altcoin trading requires a strategy to counter this.
BTC dominance is likely to rise to around 61.73,
USDT dominance is expected to fall below 4.55 and break above the resistance level.
-
If both BTC and USDT dominance decline simultaneously, an altcoin bull market could begin.
However, BTC dominance must decline below 55.01, and USDT dominance must also decline below 4.91.
The next period of volatility is expected to occur around October 25th (October 24th-26th).
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Thank you for reading.
We wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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REVEALED: What REAL Trading isWhat is Financial Trading in a nutshell?
For the last 20 years I’ve summed up trading as just ONE BIG AUCTION.
It sounds like a fast-paced, high-risk, Wall Street movie scene with shouting brokers and skyrocketing graphs.
But, here’s the truth:
Trading is the most relaxing thing – when done right!
It’s a lifestyle, a process, and a mindset.
It’s one thing where YOU can take your finances on an exciting adventure — if you do it right.
Whether you’re a complete newbie or a seasoned trader, here is a refresher to dive into what trading really is.
Trading Is More Than Just an Auction of buying or selling…
Let’s clear up one thing first.
For the last 20 years I’ve summed up trading as just ONE BIG AUCTION.
And yes it is one big market of buying and selling – but that’s only part of it.
TRADING is all about solving a puzzle of analyzing probabilities, managing risks, and navigating uncertainty.
Every time you enter a trade (buy or sell), you’re making an educated guess on where the market is LIKELY to go next.
And you’re placing a bet on human behavior — how millions of people around the world (with their emotions, news reactions, and strategies) will affect the price of an asset.
That’s the technical side of trading. Here’s where I want you to integrate trading into your life…
Trading Is A Lifestyle
It’s not just about making money — it’s about integrating trading into your lifestyle.
You need to find the right markets, time, time frame, styles, strategy and approach.
Trading is like hitting the gym; it requires discipline, consistency, and a whole lot of sweat equity.
And just like you don’t get a six-pack or lose weight after ONE workout.
You shouldn’t expect to master trading overnight.
It’s a routine you build day by day.
A typical trading day might include:
Pre-market analysis (Weekly bias):
You need to check what’s happening in the world with other markets with both Asian, American, European and even London session.
You also need to look at the US Economic Calendar to see what news is arising for the week.
Analyse and Execute trades:
Once done the pre analysis, you need to do the actual analysis. See what trades are lining up according to your proven strategy. And if anything looks good to go EXECUTE.
Review and track your trades:
This is where you will reflect on what went right and what went wrong. This is where you’ll track and review your trades that lined up to add to your journal.
The key takeaway: Trading isn’t just what you do; it’s who you become.
Trading Is a Forever Game
When it comes to trading, think long-term.
Like, REALLY long-term. Because trading is a forever game.
Unlike sports with seasons or video games with levels, trading doesn’t end.
The markets will be there tomorrow, next week, and 100 years from now.
And as a trader, your mission is to stay in the game for the long haul.
That means managing your risk, protecting your capital, and always looking to improve your skills.
Trading Is A Business Where YOU Are The Boss
The beauty of trading?
You’re in control.
Trading is a business, and you are the CEO.
You call the shots, decide when to enter and exit trades, and ultimately, you take control of your financial destiny.
Like any business, trading requires:
Planning and strategy:
Risk and reward management:
Tracking performance and improving:
And, just like in any business, you’ll make mistakes.
But those mistakes are not failures; they’re lessons.
You learn from them, adapt, and get better. That’s what makes trading such an empowering journey.
Final Words:
Financial trading is more than a job, a hobby, or a side hustle.
It’s a process-driven approach to decision-making, a lifestyle to live, a forever game to play, and a business where you’re in charge.
If done right, trading can be one of the most rewarding pursuits you’ll ever undertake.
Key Takeaways
Trading is a process: Follow a set strategy, criteria, and rules for success.
Trading is a lifestyle: Incorporate trading into your daily routine and stick with it consistently.
Trading is a forever game: It’s not a one-time event; it’s a lifelong pursuit.
Trading is a business: You’re the CEO — plan your moves, manage your risk, and take charge of your financial destiny.
The Real 3 Thrills of Trading: (Hint: It’s Not When You Think)Trading.
It’s a game.
A challenge.
A journey.
It’s a lifestyle.
And yes having a passion to trade is half the battle won.
But it’s not just about winning.
If you feel thrill when you win a trade. Then you’re enjoying the wrong parts of successful trading.
If you’re in a winning streak and feel thrill – Same story.
Because you know the losses are inevitable.
And you know the drawdown is coming too.
So that’s why you need to enjoy the FULL journey…
And here’s where you should feel the THRILL for trading.
THRILL #1: When you survive the drawdown
Like I said earlier, your next drawdown is coming.
Your BIGGEST drawdown is coming.
So you need to embrace and prepare for these times.
I have gone through more drawdowns than you can imagine.
And yet my portfolio keeps heading to all time highs.
HOW?
Well you need to endure the drawdown.
You need to keep following your rules and strategy.
And when the market environment is more favourable, your portfolio will turn from down to up.
And it will continue to go up until you not only recover – but your portfolio breaks to all time highs.
And when you survive the drawdown – FEEL THRILL!
THRILL #2: Knowing your strategy works (through the good and bad)
The markets are like an ocean.
Waves come and go, the tide shifts, and sometimes there’s a storm.
If you go look at the US Economic Calendar you’ll know the market is about to swivel in ways you can’t even imagine!
The thrill doesn’t come from riding one good wave (winner).
It should come from taking every trade that lines up perfectly with the strategy.
If you followed your rule and criteria to a T – Feel THRILL that you are on the right path to success.
Regardless of whether the trade is a winner or a loser.
See the bigger picture and what it can do for you!
THRILL #3: The Love for the Game and the benefits of trading
Remember I said trading is more than just money.
Trading helps with everything in your life!
It teaches you to be a risk manager.
It teaches you how to toughen your mind.
It teaches you how to be disciplined, consistent.
And it teaches you how you can CREATE your own wealth without depending on a BOSS.
The Challenge, the Mental Toughness, and the Growth
And the thrill?
FINAL WORDS – Celebrate the Right Thrills
The thrill of trading isn’t about the quick wins, the big gains, or riding the market waves.
It’s about resilience. Mastery. Passion. Patience. And growth.
Well fall in love with what trading has offered and taught you, other than the money aspect.
It’s not just about making money; it’s about becoming better. Sharper. Wiser.
Every trade you take is a lesson.
Every loss is a learning opportunity.
And every time you wake up excited to face the market, that’s the thrill of passion.
Because trading isn’t just a job.
It’s a craft.
A skill.
A calling.
If you find yourself waking up early, excited to start your day, knowing full well there’s a challenge waiting for you—you’ve found the thrill.
If you find weekends are not ending early enough because you want to trade – that’s a thrill!
Let’s sum up some reasons to feel THRILL when trading.
THRILL #1: When you survive the drawdown
THRILL #2: Knowing your strategy works (through the good and bad)
THRILL #3: The Love for the Game and the benefits of trading
Do you agree and how has trading changed your life?
WHY Financial Markets Will Always ChangeChange is the only constant in the financial markets.
And that’s why it’s important to stay humble and grounded because everyday is a UNIQUE day to the markets and the pre market movers.
No matter how much experience you have, you can’t get too comfortable with the way things are.
Because we know they won’t stay that way for long.
The markets are like a living, breathing entity—constantly shifting, evolving, and transforming.
And now I want to explain why I believe the markets are ALWAYS changing.
REASON #1: The Fresh Faces of Trading
Continuous flow of new and old traders.
Every day, new traders enter the game while seasoned veterans continue to play.
This constant influx of fresh perspectives creates a dynamic market environment.
New traders bring innovative strategies, emotions, and decision-making processes into the market, while the veterans tweak their systems to keep up with ever-evolving trends.
And so the demand and supply is constantly shifting in new ways – which changes the markets style, moves and algorithms.
End of the day, the market is one big AUCTION as I have told my members for the last 15 years.
They’re influenced by the people who trade in them.
REASON #2: The Never-Ending Stream of New Information
New information – shining on the market
Here’s the thing: the financial markets thrive on information.
New data points, news reports, earnings releases, and economic indicators flow in non-stop, impacting prices and trends at every turn.
Sometimes there is good days with amazing news coming out.
Other days there is catastrophic news.
And then you get the mundane boring days with no reaction.
If a central bank announces an unexpected interest rate cut, or if a company releases disappointing earnings, the market is going to react swiftly.
Even geopolitical events and natural disasters play their part in shaping the direction of markets.
So no matter how much analysis you’ve done, be prepared for the fact that new info can change the game in an instant.
REASON #3: Micro, Macro, and Inner Fundamentals
New micro, macro and inner fundamentals
The fundamentals that underpin market movements are far from static.
On the micro level, individual companies are constantly evolving.
New product launches
Mergers and acquisitions
News and earning reports
Prospects
Leadership changes can all affect a stock’s price.
Zoom out a little, and you’ve got macro fundamentals.
These show the big-picture factors like:
Interest rates
inflation, and
unemployment rates,
All of which influence the broader economy.
REASON #4: Global Economies and World Events
World info from the economies
The financial markets are more interconnected than ever.
What happens in one part of the world now ripples through the rest of the global economy in minutes, not weeks.
A change in China’s trade policy can directly impact European markets.
An unexpected election result in America could influence the South African or UK equities.
REASON #5: The Endless Actions of Traders
Constant actions of traders around the world
Then, of course, we have the daily actions of traders around the world.
Every time a buy or sell order is placed, the market shifts.
I like to think of it as the Stock Market’s Butterfly-Effect.
These actions are a direct result of human behavior—our emotions, analysis, strategies, and even fear and greed.
When traders believe in a trend, they pile on, creating momentum.
But when panic strikes, markets can spiral down in a blink of an eye.
Since traders are constantly reacting to new information, the market flows like an ever-shifting river.
Conclusion
The financial markets are in a constant state of flux.
They will forever change and we need to learn how to evolve, adapt or die trying.
But there is one thing that is inevitable.
The markets will KEEP moving and trending. And for that, we will always be profiting in the medium to long term.
Let’s sum up why the markets will always change…
REASON #1: The Fresh Faces of Trading
Continuous flow of new and old traders.
REASON #2: The Never-Ending Stream of New Information
New information – shining on the market
REASON #3: Micro, Macro, and Inner Fundamentals
New micro, macro and inner fundamentals
REASON #4: Global Economies and World Events
World info from the economies
REASON #5: The Endless Actions of Traders
Constant actions of traders around the world
POWERFUL Quote about TradingHere is a quote I want you to write down and hold close to your heart.
Trading is a Game of Focus, Sheer Will, and Unstoppable Determination
Trading is not for the faint-hearted.
It’s a game of focus, sheer will, and the kind of determination that doesn’t back down when the market throws punches.
If you’ve been in the trading world long enough, you know it’s not about making a quick buck.
It’s about holding your ground when the waves get rough and staying in the game even when the winds are blowing against you.
Let’s break this down…
Focus Is Your Superpower
To succeed, you need to zero in on your strategy and trust the process, no matter how loud the noise around you gets.
Focus is what separates a good trader from a great one.
It’s about staying laser-focused on your plan.
Do not get rattled when the market throws a curveball.
If you’re jumping from one strategy to another or chasing every shiny new stock, you’re spreading your energy too thin.
And in trading, scattered focus equals scattered results.
How to Strengthen Your Focus:
Create a daily routine and stick to it. Consistency fuels discipline.
Set specific trading goals for each session.
Block out distractions. Social media can wait.
Review your trades regularly to keep your mind sharp.
Sheer Will Gets You Through the Tough Times
Let’s not sugarcoat it:
There will be rough patches.
Trading will test you.
Your willpower will be stretched like a rubber band, and sometimes it might snap.
But those who make it are the ones who refuse to quit.
There’s a misconception that the best traders are the ones who never lose. Wrong.
The best traders are the ones who keep getting back up.
You will lose trades.
It’s part of the game.
But if you have the will to persist, those losses become your greatest teachers.
Ways to Build Your Willpower:
Start small. Set short-term, achievable goals to build momentum.
Learn from each mistake. Losses are part of the learning curve.
Celebrate your progress, even if it’s slow.
Stay connected with other traders to keep motivated.
Determination is Your Guiding Force
What makes a trader stick to their plan even when everything seems to be going wrong?
Determination.
It’s that relentless drive to keep going no matter what.
It’s about having a clear vision of where you’re headed and refusing to let setbacks derail you.
Determination means playing the long game.
It’s easy to get discouraged after a few losses or slow weeks, but successful traders know that big wins take time.
You’ve got to be in it for the long haul.
Strengthening Your Determination:
Write down your trading goals and review them daily.
Make sure you have checked the US Economic calendar with your trading strat.
Remind yourself of why you started trading in the first place.
Don’t let a losing streak shake your confidence—adjust, don’t abandon.
Stay flexible but committed to your strategy.
Conclusion: Keep Grinding, Keep Growing
Trading is a game of focus, sheer will, and relentless determination.
It’s not easy, but if you can master these qualities, you’ll find yourself ahead of the pack.
Success in trading doesn’t come from luck or overnight gains.
It comes from grinding it out, day after day, with a sharp mind and an unbreakable spirit.
Remember, the markets will test you.
They’ll try to break your focus, test your will, and challenge your determination.
But if you stay committed, keep your focus razor-sharp, and push through the tough times, you’ll come out stronger, smarter, and more successful.
So, what are you waiting for?
Tighten up your focus, flex that willpower, and get ready to tackle the markets with unstoppable determination.
BLESSUSDT.Pshort setup from daily support at 0.03388BINANCE:BLESSUSDT.P is likely to continue moving within the short trend. The asset dropped sharply and stopped right before the key level, now remaining in a narrow consolidation range. The key factor here is the absence of a corrective rebound.
Key factors for this scenario:
Global & local trend alignment
Correlation with the market
Liquidity grab (false move against the trend)
Momentum stall at the level
Immediate retest
Factors that contradict this scenario:
Closing far from the level
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GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS
“The Rise of Real Money in a Failing Fiat World”
Elliott Waves | Fibonacci | Smart Money | Macro Fundamentals | Market Psychology
📅 Date: October 22, 2025
📍 Current Price: ~$4,039/oz
⏳ Time Horizon: 1970s to post-2050
🎯 Focus: Multi-decade Elliott Wave structure signaling the endgame for fiat currencies
🌐 SUPER CYCLE NARRATIVE – GOLD’S MONETARY METAMORPHOSIS
🔵 Wave I (1971–1980): The Rebirth of Real Money
Gold's first major secular rally began when the Bretton Woods system collapsed and President Nixon ended the U.S. dollar’s convertibility to gold in 1971. Gold soared from around $35 to nearly $875 by 1980. This wave was driven by runaway inflation, the oil embargo, and shattered confidence in fiat money.
🔴 Wave II (1980–1999): The Great Fiat Illusion
Following the 1980 peak, gold entered a brutal 19-year corrective phase, falling to the $250 zone. During this time, the U.S. dollar gained strength, Volcker’s interest rate hikes reined in inflation, and a new era of debt-based prosperity and stock market euphoria unfolded. Gold was dismissed, even by central banks who sold reserves. Structurally, this corrective phase formed a complex WXYXZ pattern , setting the groundwork for the massive Wave III rally.
🟢 Wave III (1999–~2033): The Fiat Reckoning Has Begun
This is the longest and most powerful supercycle wave and the one we are currently in. It is subdivided into five impulsive macro waves. As of now, gold is deep within Wave iii of III , the most explosive phase of the entire structure. The current rally is no longer driven by inflation fears but by existential doubts about the long-term viability of fiat currencies.
📈 Wave I of III (1999–2011): The Institutional Accumulation
Gold rose from around $250 to $1,920 over this period. Triggers included the dot-com bust, 9/11, the 2008 global financial crisis, and the launch of the first gold ETFs like GLD. This wave marked the beginning of institutional interest in gold as a systemic hedge.
📉 Wave II of III (2011–2015): The Disbelief Correction
Gold corrected nearly 45%, bottoming near $1,050. The narrative shifted — QE hadn't caused hyperinflation, the stock market was booming again, and faith in the dollar resurged. Retail abandoned gold, but institutional buyers quietly accumulated from newly created demand zones.
🚀 Wave iii of III (2015–~2026): The True Price Discovery Phase
This is where we are now. Since 2015, gold has exploded upward, driven by COVID-era QE, negative real interest rates, geopolitical instability, and major central banks accumulating gold for cross-border settlements outside the dollar system.
We are currently in the middle of this wave — micro wave (3) of iii — with price around $4,039. According to Fibonacci projections, this wave is expected to peak near $6,552 , corresponding to the 2.618 extension level . If bullish momentum continues, gold could overshoot toward $22,744 , matching the 3.618 Fibonacci extension and marking the likely top of macro Wave III.
In an extreme scenario where fiat trust collapses entirely, the 4.618 extension projects a possible target of $78,940 . All of these levels align with the upper bounds of the long-term logarithmic channel, validating both structure and projections. But most likely this target is for Wave V TOP .
🟣 Wave IV (Projected: 2026–2033): The Great Shakeout
After the parabolic run of Wave iii, a deep multi-year correction is likely. This correction — Wave IV — may retrace toward the long-term red trendline and could coincide with a temporary return to “faith” in fiat through reforms like CBDC rollouts or aggressive fiscal pivots.
This wave could resemble a WXY pattern or large ABC structure and may unfold alongside capital controls, deflationary pressure, and a resurgent tech or dollar narrative. However, this will likely be the last major buying opportunity before gold enters its final, euphoric revaluation.
🟢 Wave V (2033–2045+): The Final Blow-Off Top
Wave V is expected to be driven by an overt crisis of confidence in the global fiat system. Scenarios could include:
Mass adoption of gold-backed or commodity-tied digital currencies
Loss of global trust in the USD as the reserve currency
BRICS or emerging alliances introducing gold into cross-border settlements
Global central banks returning to physical gold as a monetary base
The upside potential here is monumental. The 4.618 Fibonacci extension already targets $78,940 , but under full systemic collapse or monetary reset conditions, gold could reprice toward $100,000–$250,000 per ounce — not as a bubble, but as a return to its role as sound, base-layer money.
📐 Fibonacci Milestones and Structure Alignment
Each major wave has closely respected its corresponding Fibonacci extension. Wave I topped around the 1.618 level ($1,887) . The ongoing Wave iii appears on track to reach the 2.618 level ($6,552) . From there, macro Wave III could stretch toward 3.618 ($22,744) . If Wave V extends fully, a 4.618 projection leads to $78,940 — all within the bounds of the established logarithmic trend channel. In a full-blown systemic reset, price could break even higher.
These levels are not speculative but grounded in structural alignment with Elliott wave geometry , Fibonacci mathematic s, and long-term institutional order flow .
🧠 Smart Money Concepts & Technical Validations
Smart money activity has left clear fingerprints across this cycle. Each break of market structure (in 2016, 2020, and 2023) confirmed higher time-frame bullish continuation. Institutional demand zones — especially during the 2018–2019 consolidation and 2022 pullback — were respected to the dollar.
This cycle isn’t retail-driven mania — it's a stealth institutional accumulation that’s now evolving into price discovery.
📊 Market Psychology Across the Cycle
Investor sentiment has followed classic psychology stages:
From 1999 to 2004, disbelief reigned: “Gold is dead.”
Between 2005 and 2011 came growing awareness: “Gold might work again.”
The 2011–2015 correction brought denial: “It was just a bubble.”
Hope returned in 2016–2020 as price quietly rallied.
From 2022 to 2026, euphoria dominates: “Gold will never go down.”
Wave IV will likely bring fear and capitulation between 2026 and 2033.
Finally, Wave V will ignite mania: “Gold to the moon!”
🚨 Final Synthesis: What This All Means
We are living through the largest repricing of monetary value in modern financial history. Gold is no longer just an inflation hedge — it’s becoming a hedge against the system itself . The structure on the chart doesn't just map price — it maps the collapse of fiat trust and the return of monetary sanity.
Gold is transitioning from:
A commodity hedge →
To a central bank hedge →
To a currency hedge →
And finally, to a system hedge
The current leg — Wave iii of III — is nearing its climax. After a correction in Wave IV, Wave V could take gold into previously unthinkable territory, not because gold changed — but because everything else did.
📌 Final Position Summary
We are currently in wave (5) of iii of III — the most powerful segment of the bull run
The next Fibonacci target is $6,552
The broader Wave III could peak near $22,744
After a correction (Wave IV), the final wave could send gold toward $78,940 , or even into the $100,000–$250,000 zone under extreme monetary reset conditions
This is not a mere forecast — it’s a macro-monetary blueprint for the coming decades.
🌊 "Those who understand the waves will ride them. Those who don’t will be swallowed by the tide." – FIBCOS
📘 Disclaimer: This is an educational market outlook based on technical and macroeconomic structure. It is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and risk management.
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #Commodities #InflationHedge #MacroEconomics #CentralBanks #BRICS #MonetaryReset
ZBTUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 0.3052BINANCE:ZBTUSDT.P has been steadily declining since its initial listing. The 0.3052 level marks the price at which the decline stopped two days ago, and today the asset has already tested this level precisely. If volatility remains low and the asset continues to move closer to it, this would represent a technically favorable setup for trading.
Key factors for this scenario:
Global & local trend alignment
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
No reaction after a false break
Closing near the level
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Volatility Period: Around October 22nd (October 21st-23rd)
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(TSLA 1M Chart)
The key is whether the price can rise above the target level of 488.54 by following the rising channel.
If the price fails to rise, we should check for support near 381.59.
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(1W Chart)
The rising trend line (1) has formed, forming an ascending channel.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can maintain above the rising trend line (2) and rise along the rising channel.
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1W chart is formed in the 382.40-421.06 range. If the price remains above this range, a stepwise uptrend is expected to continue.
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(1D chart)
The key question is whether the price can continue its upward trend toward 488.54 after passing through this volatile period around October 22nd (October 21st-23rd).
To do so, we need to see if it can find support and rise around 439.60-442.79.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Check if 224.47-260.42 can be supported
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(ZECUSDT 1M chart)
You might be wondering why it's rising, but you don't need to know why.
Because it's already rising.
It's a sharp rise, breaking above the important support and resistance area of 56.29-78.91.
The key is whether the price can hold above the Fibonacci 1.618 (338.52) level.
If not, we need to check for support near 220.20, the previous DOM (60) indicator level.
Since the chart was broken by a surge, I believe the next support period is crucial.
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(1W chart)
The next volatility period is expected to be November 3-23, around the week of November 10.
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(1D chart)
As mentioned earlier, since the chart was broken by a surge, I think we can calculate the next volatility period based on the next support period.
Until then, we need to see how the price moves after this volatility period, which runs around October 21 (October 20-22).
Looking at the current 1D chart, the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range is forming between 224.47 and 260.42. Therefore, we need to see if it can find support within this range and rise.
If it falls below 220.20, it could fall to around 115.72, so we should consider a response plan.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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YBUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 0.463BINANCE:YBUSDT.P is trading near its historical low and continues to confirm the established level. A strong signal came from today’s false breakout, to which the asset showed no meaningful reaction. On the next approach to the level, monitoring volatility and entry formation will be key.
Key factors for this scenario:
Global & local trend alignment
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Correlation with the market
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
No reaction after a false break
Closing near the level
Closing near the bar's extreme
Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Top-Down Analysis Strategy: How I Open and Manage TradesLearn how I use top-down analysis from senior to junior timeframes to find high-probability entry points and confidently follow through on trades.
On the weekly chart, I identify point A and the presumed point B — this is my idea. Then, gradually shifting through the timeframes, I need to confirm this idea. I get confirmation when volume appears on the chart.
On the daily chart, I note the formation of a new trading range, which arises as a result of the interaction of the price with the key level. I determine the POI in the form of a daily FVG — my idea is confirmed, and the price is ready to move towards point B.
I also note the daily SNR as a potential zone of interest. If the price reacts to the SNR, it will mean that I am working in a strong trend. If the reaction occurs on the FVG, the movement simply continues along the trend.
If you are interested in the topic of working in ranges, write in the comments — I will definitely cover it.
As a result of the daily SNR test, the price confirms the presence of volume through the formation of a 4-hour True SNR. You can open a position from it with a limit order with a target beyond point B and fix the risk/profit ratio at 1:2.
If you found this article interesting and my method useful, I would appreciate your support — please like, share, and help promote this article so that it reaches more traders.
The key is whether it can rise above 67.21
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(IBIT 1W Chart)
Since the chart was created recently, the M-Signal indicator for the 1M chart is missing.
However, the HA-High and DOM (60) indicators indicate a stepwise upward trend.
The key question is whether the price can maintain its upward momentum above the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range of 62.41-67.21.
If it falls below 62.41, it is likely to touch the uptrend line (1) and re-establish the trend.
At this point, the key support and resistance levels are 53.05-54.90.
We need to check for support near this 53.05-54.90 range.
If it rises above 67.21, the target levels are:
1st: 74.93
2nd: 93.96
The target levels are expected to be around the first and second levels above.
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Because BTC is linked to the stock market and is being linked to it, it is highly likely to be affected by stock market movements.
However, it is always advisable to check the fund flow in the coin market first, as the coin market itself can exhibit price defense.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Volatility Period: October 16 (October 15-17)
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(ETHUSDT 1D Chart)
Following BTC, ETH is also entering a volatility period.
This period of volatility for ETH is expected to last until October 16th (October 15th-17th).
After this period of volatility, the key question is whether the price can find support around 3900.72-4372.72 and rise above 4403.87 to maintain its price.
If the price fails to rise, it is expected to encounter the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, so a response plan should be considered.
-
(1M chart)
The StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is entering an overbought zone, potentially limiting its upward movement.
Therefore,
1st: 3900.73-4107.80
2nd: 3321.30-3438.16
We need to determine whether the price can rise after finding support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
In other words, we need to see if the price remains above the M-Siganl indicator on the 1M chart.
-
(1W chart)
Looking at the 1W chart, the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range is formed in the 4393.04-4780.15 range. Therefore, a rise above this range is necessary for a stepwise uptrend.
Ultimately, the key question is whether the price can rise above the 4393.04-4780.15 range.
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Therefore, the key question is whether the 4393.04-4780.15 range, which corresponds to the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1W and 1D charts, can rise after this period of volatility.
As I always say, to break above this important point or range and continue the uptrend,
1. The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it's best to avoid entering the overbought zone.
2. The On-By-Sign-Observable (OBV) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line.
3. The TC (Trend Check) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the 0 level.
If the above conditions are met, the uptrend is likely to continue.
It's recommended to draw support and resistance points or ranges on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and utilize auxiliary indicators to determine the significance of these points or ranges.
When drawing support and resistance points or zones, we often think of them as important, but it can be difficult to recognize how important they actually are.
Therefore, when drawing support and resistance points or zones, it's important to be able to develop a basic trading strategy.
Once you've established a basic trading strategy, the key to trading is figuring out how to maintain that strategy and respond accordingly.
No matter what chart analysis you use, you'll ultimately need to draw support and resistance points or zones.
Therefore, the first step is to draw support and resistance points or zones on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Next, you should check auxiliary indicators to determine the importance of the drawn support and resistance points or zones and determine whether you should respond.
To achieve this, you need to understand your investment size and how to manage your reserve funds.
You should always keep a certain portion (approximately 20%) of your total investment in cash.
This allows you to respond to volatility when it occurs.
If you've invested too much money in a single coin (token, stock), it's a good idea to sell some of it when the price rises to a certain level and secure cash.
Ultimately, overcoming the relentless volatility of the beginning and achieving profit depends on how you manage your funds.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Support around 212.91 is crucial
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(SOLUSDT 1W Chart)
The chart may look complicated due to the drawn lines, but the key is whether the price can rise above the boxed area.
In other words, whether the price can rise above the 179.53-237.60 range and maintain its upward momentum is crucial.
-
(1D Chart)
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is showing signs of forming at the 212.91 level.
Therefore, if support is confirmed around 212.91, it would be a good time to buy.
However, the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range has formed in the 236.88-237.60 range, so we need to see if it can break above this range.
If the upward breakout fails, it's time for a partial sell-off.
-
To continue the uptrend by breaking above a key zone or point,
1. The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should be below the overbought level.
2. The On-By-Value (OBV) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line.
3. The TC (Trend Check) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the 0 level.
If the above conditions are met, the uptrend is likely to continue.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Next volatility period: Around October 23rd (October 22nd-24th)
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(XRPUSDT 1D Chart)
After this period of volatility, the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is forming at the 2.5949 level.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator forms at the 2.5949 level, it will be important to determine whether support is found near that level.
Furthermore, the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is forming at the 2.4810 level.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can find support and rise near the important support and resistance levels of the left Fibonacci ratio (2.618 (2.4696)) and the right Fibonacci ratio (0.382 (2.5993)).
However, to continue the step-up trend, the price must rise above 3.4037-3.4540 and hold, so you should also consider a countermeasure.
-
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a step-up trend is likely, while if the price falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, a step-down trend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator is showing signs of forming, so if support is confirmed near the HA-Low indicator, it would be a good time to buy.
From a medium- to long-term perspective, if the price holds above the 1.5-1.9669 range, the upward trend is likely to continue.
-
Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading.
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INUSDT: short setup from daily support at 0.16050Note that the current setup BINANCE:INUSDT.P is rather localized.
However, the overall trend in the asset remains clear — a consistent dump pattern of “drop — pause — further decline.”
A solid pre-breakdown base is forming, providing an opportunity for a tight and well-defined stop placement.
Key factors for this scenario:
Global & local trend alignment
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Correlation with the market
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
Closing near the level
Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
The key is whether it can fall below 1504.0
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(USDTKRW 1D chart)
Important support and resistance levels are marked with circles.
The key is whether it can fall below 1504.0.
Next, we need to see if it falls below the 1428.0-1442.0 range.
If it fails to fall, it is likely to rise along the uptrend line.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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This year's target: Around 133889.92
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The price has been rising above the HA-High indicator, forming a step-up trend.
You can see that the upward movement of the step-up trend is slowing down.
The key question is whether the price can rise above the right Fibonacci level 2.618 (133889.92), which is considered this year's target.
If it shows further upward movement, it could rise to around the right Fibonacci level 3 (151018.77).
Even so, it must ultimately break above the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range on the 1W chart. Therefore, we need to see if the price can rise above the 116259.91-119086.64 range and maintain its upward momentum.
If it fails to rise, it will eventually touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart again.
From a long-term perspective, the price must remain above the 69000-73499.86 level to maintain the uptrend.
Therefore, we must first confirm support near the first, second, and third levels.
-
(1D chart)
The 116259.91-119086.64 range is the resistance zone on the 1W chart.
If the price rises above this range, the 120760.81-124658.54 range, which is the resistance zone on the 1D chart, awaits.
Therefore, the 116529.91-124658.54 range should ultimately be considered the resistance zone.
To determine whether this range is important, you should examine the movements of auxiliary indicators such as StochRSI, On-By-Signal (OBV), and TC (Trend Check).
To break above this important range and continue the uptrend,
1. The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. Ideally, it should not be in the overbought zone.
2. The On-By-Signal (OBV) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line.
3. The TC (Trend Check) indicator should show an upward trend. If possible, it should remain above the 0 level.
It's important to meet the above conditions when breaking above the resistance zone of 116529.91-124658.54.
If not, there's a high chance of failing to break above the resistance zone.
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The HA-Low and HA-High indicators included in this chart are designed for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts.
Therefore, a basic trading strategy can be utilized: buy near the DOM (-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell near the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, it is likely to exhibit a step-like upward trend. If the price falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, it is likely to exhibit a step-like downward trend.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading approach.
We can see that the HA-High to DOM(60) range, i.e., the resistance zone, is likely to form, and then a pullback is likely to occur as it attempts to break above it.
Auxiliary indicators (StochRSI, OBV, TC) indicate the strength needed to rise again from a pullback, or a downward trend.
Although the 110644.40 level still serves as weak support, the DOM(-60) level has been identified.
For the 110644.40 level to function as support, it must hold for at least three days.
Therefore, during this period of volatility, we need to monitor whether the DOM (-60) indicator holds at 110644.40 after October 14th (October 13th-15th).
This is because if the price fails to break above the resistance zone of 116259.91-124658.54, the 110644.40 level could serve as support.
-
I believe the bull market is likely to continue until this year.
If it rises further, the upward trend could continue through the first quarter of 2026.
However, a major bear market is expected in 2026.
Therefore, we need to finish the year on a good note.
-
Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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Xmoon Indicator Tutorial – Part 3 – Step Entry (DCA Entry)📘 Xmoon Indicator Tutorial – Part 3
🎯 Step Entry (DCA Entry)
Step-by-step entry, also known as DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging), is one of the key parts of the Xmoon – 3 Push Divergence strategy.
🔹 Why is it important?
After a 3 Push Divergence pattern appears, the market usually doesn’t reverse immediately.
It often moves a bit further in the same direction before turning back.
If we put all our capital in at once, the risk of liquidation increases.
🔹 The solution
We split the capital into several parts and enter the market step by step:
✦ If the market doesn’t reverse from Entry 1 , the chance of reversal at Entry 2 is higher
✦ If it doesn’t reverse from Entry 2, the chance at Entry 3 increases even more
✦ And so on — with each new step, the probability of reversal grows
Benefits of step entries:
✅ Lower overall risk
✅ Higher win rate
✅ Positions reach the Risk Free point faster
📣 If you have any questions or need guidance, feel free to ask us. We’d be happy to help.
Understanding the Money Flow in the Coin Market
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-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D Chart)
(USDC 1D Chart)
I believe that USDT and USDC show a gap up trend when funds flow into the coin market, and a gap down trend when funds flow out.
Therefore, unless the gap turns into a downtrend, the coin market is expected to maintain its upward trend.
-
(USDT.D 1D Chart)
(1M Chart)
As funds flow into and out of the coin market through USDT and USDC, USDT dominance is likely to ultimately rise.
However, I believe that the funds (USDT, USDC) flowing into the coin market will change dominance through trading.
In other words, if USDT dominance declines, the coin market is likely to trend upward.
This is because coins (tokens) are being purchased with USDT.
If USDT dominance remains below 4.91 or declines, the coin market is likely to trend upward.
Therefore, if USDT dominance rises without any evidence of fund outflows through USDT or USDC, it can be interpreted as a temporary increase in selling pressure.
If USDT or USDC gaps downward in this situation, the price will fail to defend, leading to a downward trend in the coin market.
Therefore, it's best to look at the USDT and USDT.D charts to understand the general flow of funds.
-
(BTC.D 1D chart)
(1M chart)
I believe BTC dominance reflects the relationship with altcoins, rather than the rise or fall of the coin market or the rise and fall of BTC itself.
In other words, rising BTC dominance indicates a concentration of funds toward BTC, increasing the likelihood that altcoins will gradually move sideways or experience a downward trend.
Therefore, for an altcoin bull market to begin, it must remain below 55.01-62.47 or show a downward trend.
Therefore, it is recommended to check BTC dominance before trading altcoins and develop a trading strategy.
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Summary of the above:
For the coin market to continue its bull market,
1. USDT and USDC must maintain a gaping upward trend.
2. USDT dominance should decline below 4.91.
3. BTC dominance should decline below 55.01.
-
Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
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