Xmoon Indicator Tutorial – Part 2 – Pivots🔻🔻🔻+ Persian translation below 🔻🔻🔻
🔹 What Is a Pivot?
In the Xmoon strategy, every high or low that forms on the chart is considered a pivot.
The number of candles between two highs or two lows defines the size of the pivot.
The more candles there are between them, the larger and more reliable the pivot becomes.
🔸 Types of Pivots in the Xmoon Indicator Settings
In the settings panel, you can choose which types of pivots the patterns should be based on.
There are 4 pivot types :
• Super Minor → the smallest pivot
• Minor
• Mid Major
• Major → the largest pivot
⏫ As you move from Super Minor to Major, the strength of the pivot increases — but the number of signals decreases.
⚖️ Choosing the Right Pivot = Your Trading Style
• Want more signals? → Use smaller pivots like Minor or Super Minor
• Prefer higher accuracy and lower risk? → Use larger pivots like Major or Mid Major
💡 Pro Tip: On higher timeframes, pivots perform better and help reduce risk.
✍️ Summary
If you're looking for frequent signals, trade on lower timeframes, and can handle higher volatility and pressure, then smaller pivots like Super Minor and Minor are a better choice.
But if you prefer quality over quantity, work on higher timeframes, and value clarity, peace of mind, and higher success rates, then larger pivots like Mid Major and Major are the way to go.
📣 If you have any questions or need guidance, feel free to ask us. We’d be happy to help.
🔻🔻🔻 Persian Section – بخش فارسی 🔻🔻🔻
🔹 پیوت چیست؟
در استراتژی ایکسمون، هر قله یا درهای که روی چارت شکل میگیرد، یک پیوت محسوب می شود
فاصله زمانی بین دو قله یا دو دره (یعنی تعداد کندلهایی که بینشان قرار دارد) اندازهی پیوت را مشخص میکند
هرچه تعداد کندل بین دو سقف یا کف بیشتر باشد، آن پیوت بزرگتر و معتبرتر است
🔸 انواع پیوت در تنظیمات اندیکاتور ایکسمون
در بخش تنظیمات، میتوانید مشخص کنید که الگوها بر اساس چه نوع پیوتهایی شناسایی شوند
ما ۴ نوع پیوت داریم
• سوپر مینور ← کوچکترین پیوت
• مینور
• میدماژور
• ماژور ← بزرگترین پیوت
⏫ هرچه از سوپرمینور به سمت ماژور برویم، قدرت پیوت بیشتر میشود، ولی تعداد سیگنالها کمتر می شود
⚖️ انتخاب پیوت مناسب = سبک معاملاتی شما
• به دنبال سیگنال زیاد هستید ← پیوت کوچک تر = مینور و سوپرمینور
• به دنبال دقت بیشتر و ریسک کمتر هستید← پیوت بزرگتر = ماژور و میدماژور
💡 نکته حرفهای: در تایمفریمهای بالا، پیوتها عملکرد بهتری دارند و به کنترل ریسک کمک میکنند
✍️ جمعبندی
اگر دنبال سیگنالهای زیاد هستید، در تایمفریمهای کوچکتر کار میکنید و میتونید نوسانات و فشار روانی بالاتر رو تحمل کنید، پیوتهای کوچکتر مثل سوپرمینور و مینور انتخاب مناسبتری هستند
اما اگر در تایم فریم های بزرگتر کار می کنید و کیفیت سیگنال، آرامش ذهنی و احتمال موفقیت برایتان مهمتر است، پیوتهای بزرگتر مثل میدماژور و ماژور انتخاب بهتری هستند
📣 اگر سوالی دارید یا نیاز به راهنمایی دارید، خوشحال میشویم از ما بپرسید
با کمال میل در خدمتتان هستیم
Tradingstrategy
Still Losing After Backtesting? This Fixed It.Let’s get straight to it.
If you’ve gone through the "nerd arc" and the "backtesting arc" but still aren’t profitable...
What’s the fix?
In this short write-up, I’ll walk you through 3 brutal truths that made me finally see green.
Is it hard?
UH—Damn right.
But let’s go 👇
1. Market Understanding
This isn’t something you "learn" from a course.
It’s something that clicks after dozens of stop losses and live trades.
Here are a few ways I got more comfortable with it:
1. Don’t fear opening trades or hitting stop loss.
Each trade gives you data. More trades = more experience = better market feel.
What’s the requirement? Capital and risk management. Without that, you won’t even survive long enough to "get" it.
2. Journaling every single trade.
Write everything: your thoughts, screenshots, feelings — before and after.
Too lazy to do it? Left trading. Simple.
3. Be the detective.
Read the chart like a story. No, seriously.
Think of Bitcoin as a character with real moods.
Every candle tells you something.
That 5% pump? Buyers pushing up. Then bears smacked it down — candle closed red.
Now price is bleeding again.
Why?
🔍 Be the detective.
4. Analyze the market every day — even without trading.
The more you observe, the more you see. Structures. Patterns. Behavior.
Easy? Nah.
It takes discipline — like posting one story text to Insta for 1,000 days straight. Still wanna try?
2. Personal Trading Plan
Remember how I said "don’t fear opening trades"?
Well — after you’ve opened a bunch, you can start tailoring your own trading plan based on you.
This isn’t a PDF you can steal off Google.
Only after seeing how you behave in trades, you’ll know what rules make sense.
Maybe:
"I don’t trade when I’m emotionally off."
"This setup gave me the best results over 100 trades."
Just don’t copy-paste someone else’s rules.
Make a flexible structure, then let the details emerge from the market and your own experience.
Now —
Take a deep breath.
When was the last time you enjoyed your coffee?
More than a day ago?
Go make one now.
Might not get to taste it tomorrow.
Not everything in life is trading :)
3. Psychology
Ah, the final boss.
Still my weakest area, honestly.
But here are a few real things that helped:
Tip 1: WRITE.
Just write whatever you feel.
Telegram saved messages? Notebook?
Or if you're like me (🧠nerd), Notion.
Do it for 60 days straight — then feed that journal to ChatGPT and analyze yourself.
Takes time, but the patterns you'll see are... magical.
Tip 2: Money & Risk Management.
When you know your stop loss means only -0.25% of your capital…
why should you panic?
For me:
I place the SL, set a TP alert, and leave the screen.
No emotions, no fear.
Why? Because when capital is protected, so is my psychology.
Truth is, trading emotions aren’t just during the trade — they live in your head all day.
When your mental energy’s drained?
You’ll miss A+ setups.
Fall for BS ones.
Lose focus.
It’s complicated.
Because humans are complicated.
Our brains are the most tangled system known.
And somehow, out of all that noise, consciousness emerges.
A miracle.
So don’t expect to always feel calm.
Just aim to get better.
That’s it.
Thanks for sticking around.
These are just my thoughts, from one tired trader to another 🧠
I’m no expert—just sharing what’s worked (and what hasn’t).
If it helped, a boost would mean a lot.
🚫 Don’t FOMO
✅ Manage your capital
Until tomorrow —
Peace out. ✌️
Check if the second step-up trend can be maintained
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow" us, you'll always get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day.
-------------------------------------
(TRXUSDT 1M Chart)
We need to see if the price can sustain itself by rising above the left Fibonacci level 3.618 (0.3607) and the right Fibonacci level 1 (0.3742).
When the next monthly candlestick is formed, we need to check the movements of the supporting indicators.
-
(1W Chart)
The DOM (60) indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of forming a new trend.
Accordingly, we need to examine whether a rise above the left Fibonacci level of 3.618 (0.3607) will trigger a new wave.
The left Fibonacci level was created during the first rising wave.
Therefore, if the price rises above the left Fibonacci level of 3.618 (0.3607), a new wave is expected to form.
Since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at 0.2683, if the price declines, support near 0.2683 will be crucial.
-
(1D chart)
If the price maintains above the 0.3079-0.3261 range, further upside is expected.
For the price to rise above the left Fibonacci ratio of 3.618 (0.3607) and the right Fibonacci ratio of 1 (0.3742), the OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel must rise above the High Line and remain above it.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered an overbought zone, the upward movement may be limited.
Therefore, we need to consider how to reset the indicator.
-
The price is continuing a stepwise upward trend, rising above the HA-HIgh indicator.
It is currently in its second stepwise upward movement.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can sustain above the HA-High indicator.
Whether a third stepwise upward movement occurs will depend on whether the price can sustain itself around or above the 0.3079-0.3261 level.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Xmoon Indicator Tutorial – Part 1 – Strategy🔻🔻🔻+ Persian version below🔻🔻🔻
📘 Xmoon Indicator Tutorial – Part 1
🎯 3Push Divergence RSI Strategy
🔥 The core of the Xmoon indicator
is built upon one of the most powerful strategies in technical analysis:
The advanced 3Push Divergence RSI pattern
🔁 A pattern that typically appears at key market turning points.
📉 When the price moves in the same direction three consecutive times on pivot points (e.g., making lower lows or higher highs), but the RSI shows the opposite behavior, it indicates a clear divergence !
💡 This divergence can act as a strong signal for a potential trend reversal.
🎯 The Xmoon Indicator is designed to detect this critical moment.
⚙️ Xmoon Indicator Settings Panel
The Xmoon settings panel offers the following options:
🔸 Pattern Type Selection: In the first and second lines, you can specify which type of pattern should be displayed: only bullish patterns or only bearish ones. You can also check both options.
🔸 Pivot Type Selection: From the dropdown menu, you can choose one of four pivot types:
“Super Minor”, “Minor”, “Mid-Major”, and “Major”, ordered from smallest to largest.
📌 Educational Note: The greater the distance (in candle count) between two lows or two highs, the larger the pivot is considered.
A Major Pivot is the largest among them.
✅ Larger Pivot = Higher Accuracy
❗ But naturally = Fewer Signals
📣 If you have any questions or need guidance, feel free to ask us. We’d be happy to help.
🔻🔻🔻بخش فارسی – Persian Section 🔻🔻🔻
📘 آموزش اندیکاتور ایکسمون - قسمت اول
🎯 استراتژی سهپوش واگرایی (3Push Divergence RSI)
🔥 هسته اصلی ایکسمون
بر پایه یکی از قویترین استراتژیهای تحلیل تکنیکال طراحی شده است
الگوی پیشرفته سهپوش واگرایی
🔁 الگویی که معمولاً در نقاط چرخش مهم بازار ظاهر میشود
📉 وقتی قیمت سه بار پشت سر هم روی نقاط پیوت ، در یک جهت حرکت میکند (مثلاً کفهای پایینتر یا سقفهای بالاتر میسازد) ، اما آر-اِس-آی خلاف آن را نشان میدهد، یعنی یک واگرایی آشکار رخ داده است
💡این واگرایی میتواند سیگنالی قوی برای برگشت روند باشد
🎯 اندیکاتور ایکسمون این لحظه را شناسایی میکند
⚙️ پنجره تنظیمات اندیکاتور ایکسمون
در بخش تنظیمات اندیکاتور ایکسمون، امکاناتی در اختیار شما قرار دارند
🔸 انتخاب نوع الگو: در خط اول و دوم میتوانید مشخص کنید چه نوع الگویی نمایش داده شود
فقط الگوهای صعودی یا فقط نزولی. همچنین می توانید تیک هر دو گزینه را بزنید
🔸 انتخاب نوع پیوتها: از پنجره کشویی بالا، می توانید یکی از ۴ نوع پیوت را انتخاب کنید
پیوت ها به ترتیب از کوچک به بزرگ عبارتند از: سوپر مینور ، مینور ، میدماژور و ماژور
📌 نکته آموزشی: هرچه فاصله بین دو کف یا دو سقف بیشتر باشد (یعنی تعداد کندلهای بین آنها زیادتر باشد)، آن پیوت، بزرگتر محسوب میشود
پیوت ماژور از بقیه بزرگ تر است
✅ پیوت بزرگتر = دقت بالاتر
❗ اما طبیعتاً = تعداد سیگنال کمتر
📣 اگر سوالی دارید یا نیاز به راهنمایی دارید، خوشحال میشویم از ما بپرسید
با کمال میل در خدمتتان هستیم
5 Lessons from My First 100 TradesAfter executing and reviewing over 100 real trades in crypto, forex, and gold — I found patterns. Bad patterns. Repeating mistakes. And lessons I wish someone had told me earlier.
So I broke them down into 5 key insights that changed how I trade — and might just save you thousands.
📘 Here’s what’s inside:
1️⃣ Smart Profit-Taking:
How I turned 10 R/R into 32 R/R using a dynamic exit plan.
📘Further resource:
Cycle Mastery (HWC/MWC/LWC)
---
Multi-Timeframe Mastery
2️⃣ The Sleep Edge:
70% of my losing trades happened after bad sleep. Here’s why that matters more than emotions.
3️⃣ No More Blind Stop Orders:
Why I stopped using buy/sell stops without real candle confirmation — and what I do instead.
📘 Further reading:
Breakout Trading Mastery
---
Indecision Candle Strategy
4️⃣ Multi-Layered Setups Win:
How structure, S/R, patterns, and timing stack into high-probability entries.
5️⃣ News Trading? Just Don’t.
The data behind why most of my SLs were hit near news time — and how I avoid the trap.
💡 These aren’t theories. These are real lessons from real trades.
If this video helped you or sparked an “aha” moment, give it a boost, commenting your takeaway, and sharing it with a fellow trader.
lets grow together :)
Volatility Period: July 24-26
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
BTC is in a step up trend.
Looking at the bigger picture, it can be seen that it is in the second step up trend.
The important volatility period in this step-up is expected to be around August 2-5 (up to August 1-6).
Therefore, we need to look at what kind of movement it makes as it passes through the previous volatility period of around July 25 (July 24-26) and around July 31 (July 30-August 1).
In other words, we need to check which section is supported and which section is resisted, and see if it breaks through that section.
What we can see now is that it is checking whether there is support in the 115854.56-119086.64 section, that is, the HA-High ~ DOM (60) section.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart has risen to the 115854.56 point, the key is whether it can receive support at the 115854.56 point and rise.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart and shows resistance, it is likely to meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
This flow is an interpretation of the separation learned when studying the price moving average.
Therefore, we can see that the maximum decline point is when it meets the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
-
Industries (coins, tokens) that are renewing the ATH are actually outside the predictable range.
Therefore, we should think of it as a situation where it is not strange whether it falls or rises at any time and think of a response plan.
Since it is currently within the predictable range, we can create a response strategy by checking whether there is support in the 115854.56-119086.64 section.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the volatility period is about to begin, so caution is required when making new transactions.
That is, you need to check whether it breaks out of the 115854.56-119086.64 range during the volatility period that continues until July 26.
And if it breaks out, you need to check whether it is supported or resisted in that area and respond accordingly.
-
The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing a pattern of rising above the High Line.
Accordingly, if the OBV indicator is maintained above the High Line, it is expected to show an additional rise.
In accordance with this, you need to check whether the K of the StochRSI indicator shows a movement to rise in the oversold range and a transition to a state where K > D.
You also need to check whether the TC (Trend Check) indicator continues its upward trend and can rise above the 0 point.
If these conditions are met, it is expected that BTC will rise above 119086.64 or show a pattern of rising.
-
This decline created a low trend line, creating a perfect rising channel.
Therefore, we need to see how far we can go up along the rising channel created this time.
In that sense, we should pay close attention to the movement during the volatility period around July 25th (July 24-26).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Welcome Back! Gold Trading Strategy & Key Zones to WatchIn this week’s welcome back video, I’m breaking down my updated approach to XAU/USD and how I plan to tackle the Gold markets in the coming days. After taking a short break, I’m back with fresh eyes and refined focus.
We’ll review current market structure, identify key liquidity zones, and outline the scenarios I’m watching for potential entries. Whether you’re day trading or swing trading gold, this breakdown will help you frame your week with clarity and confidence.
📌 Covered in this video:
My refreshed trading mindset after a break
Key support/resistance and liquidity zones
Market structure insights and setup conditions
What I’ll personally avoid this week
The “trap zones” that might catch retail traders off guard
🧠 Let’s focus on process over profits — welcome back, and let’s get to work.
XRP/USD – Bearish Shift After Momentum Exhaustion🧠 Summary:
XRP/USD has shown clear signs of exhaustion after sweeping the previous high. Following a breakout from a daily bull flag, price struggled to hold momentum near the key level of 3.4194, forming an ascending channel that eventually broke down. Liquidity zones below current price are now in focus.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Daily Bull Flag → Broke out with strength
⚠️ Rejection near Previous High (3.4194) → No follow-through
🔼 Ascending Channel → Formed post-impulse, now broken
📉 Momentum Shift → Structure flipped bearish
💧 Liquidity Zones (LQZ) below price acting as magnets
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Last High: 3.4194 (Rejection Point)
🔹 Broken LQZ: 3.2868
🔹 Current Support: 3.1689 (LQZ - being tested)
🔹 Target 1: 2.9849 (4HR Liquidity Zone)
🔹 Target 2: 2.7667 (Daily Liquidity Zone)
🧩 Confluences:
Liquidity sweep of prior high
Momentum loss near key resistance
Break of ascending structure
Retesting broken zones with room below
⚠️ Final Thoughts:
This trade is playing out just as we described in the post before this on XRP. We discussed watching how price would react to this area before making any type of "Late Entries". XRP is still a huge and vital part of the Crypto Eco System so long term i am holding my Long position. The areas on the chart are still great areas to buy in at "Dollar Cost Average". This will be one of those positions that though it may be bearish on the lower time frame you need to zoom out and always keep an eye on the weekly and daily chart before making any drastic moves.
Check if HA-High indicator is forming at 3587.13
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
HA-High indicator is showing that it is about to form at 3587.13.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is newly created, the support in the 3587.13-3762.33 section is an important issue.
If it falls below 3587.13, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore, we should check whether it touches the area around 3265.0-3321.30 and rises.
-
This can be seen as a time to test whether it will continue the first step-up trend while rising in the important section of 2419.83-2706.15.
ETH's volatility period is around August 6-10, but we should check what kind of movement it shows after passing the volatility period of BTC.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
BTCUSD Analysis – Supply Pressure vs Demand Rejection 📊 Overview:
This BTCUSD 2-hour chart is giving us a clear structure of how price is currently reacting between a strong demand base and a descending trendline supply. We're at a critical decision point, where both buyers and sellers are gearing up for a potential breakout or breakdown. Let’s break it down level by level.
🟢 Demand Zone – Major Support Holding Firm
The Major Support Zone marked at the bottom of the chart is not just any random area—it has been tested multiple times and acted as a launchpad for bullish moves previously. This is also aligned with the Previous Reversal Zone, which adds confluence to this demand base.
Price dipped into this zone and immediately rejected with strong bullish candles, showing aggressive buyer interest.
This is a high-probability area for long setups as long as price stays above it.
You’ve noted on the chart: “If market closes this supply, we will double it” – that makes sense because a confirmed hold above this base increases the probability of upside continuation.
🔻 Trendline & Supply Zone – The Wall Ahead
Moving up the chart, price is being pressured by a descending trendline, acting as dynamic resistance. This trendline is not just drawn for decoration—it has rejected price at least twice already, and is also intersecting with a minor horizontal resistance zone.
This creates a confluence of resistance, making it a tough wall for buyers to break through without strong volume.
You’ve labeled it as “Evidence 1”, meaning the first confirmation of supply reacting here.
If BTC fails here again, we could easily see another pullback to the 116,800 – 116,400 range.
⚖️ QFL Pattern in Play
The QFL (Quick Flip Logic) is in action, where price aggressively dropped and formed a base, followed by a sharp move up. Price is now attempting to return to that base (demand zone) for a potential flip back upward.
If QFL holds and price breaks above the trendline, this will be a strong reversal confirmation.
This aligns with many institutional trading strategies which look for such formations near support zones.
📈 Potential Bullish Scenario:
Break above the descending trendline resistance
Price sustains above Minor Resistance Zone (around 118,800 – 119,600)
Next target: Major Resistance Zone between 120,800 – 121,200
This could create a higher-high structure and resume overall bullish trend
📉 Potential Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break the trendline
Rejection leads to price retesting the Major Support
If that zone breaks cleanly (especially below 116,400), price may drop toward 115,600 or lower
This opens up a possible short opportunity depending on price action and momentum
🎯 Conclusion:
This chart is a textbook example of consolidation between major zones. Bulls are defending hard at the bottom while bears are pushing down from the top. The direction of the breakout will dictate the next major move. Until then, wait for confirmation, avoid early entries, and let the market show its hand.
🧠 Patience = Profits.
🕒 Chart Timeframe: 2H
📌 Strategy in Focus: Supply & Demand Zones, Trendline Breakout, QFL Base Pattern
📍 Sentiment: Neutral-Bullish (Watching Trendline Reaction)
Gold (XAUUSD) – 21 July | M15 Pullback Within Bearish Structure🟠 Gold (XAUUSD) – 21 July Analysis | M15 Pullback in Bearish Trend
Gold is currently in a pullback phase within a bearish M15 trend .
The market structure is defined between the M15 lower high at 3377.650 and the previous low at 3310 .
On Friday, price retested the M15 supply zone near the lower boundary, and again today, it has reacted from the same area. This repeated rejection suggests that sellers are still defending this level.
🔍 Trend Context:
– M15: Bearish (Lower High → Lower Low structure intact)
– H4: Currently in a pullback phase
Unless the price breaks above the key 3377.650 level, the bearish structure remains valid. As such, our directional bias continues to favour shorts.
🟥 Key Supply Zone: 3358–3377.650
– Recent rejections seen from this zone
– Acts as the active short-term supply zone
– Watching for internal M15 bearish shift for possible entry
Preferred Scenario:
As price has already retested the M15 supply zone, if we now see a downside shift in internal M15 structure (e.g., ChoCH + BoS), we will look for a potential short entry aligned with the dominant M15 trend .
No confirmation, no entry. Always follow structure.
Alternate Scenario:
If the market breaks above the 3377.650 lower high, it would signal a potential bullish structure shift . In that case, we will step back from the short bias and re-evaluate long opportunities accordingly.
📌 Trade Plan:
– Wait for M15 internal structure to shift (ChoCh) bearish, followed by a Break of Structure (BoS)
– On the retest, mark the Point of Interest (POI) for potential short setup
– Only act on confirmation (e.g., M1 ChoCH + BoS)
– SL: 40 pips | TP: 120 pips | Risk-Reward: Always 1:3
Summary:
– Gold is in a pullback phase within a bearish M15 trend
– Key levels to watch: 3377.650 (lower high) and 3310 (previous low)
– Bias remains bearish unless structure flips
– Watch for internal structure shift for short opportunity
– Stay patient and aligned with the dominant trend
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Support around 115854.56-116868.0 is the key
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The DOM(60) indicator of the 1W chart is generated at the 119177.56 point, and the DOM(60) indicator of the 1D chart is generated at the 119086.64 point, and then shows a downward trend.
However, since the HA-High indicator is formed at the 115854.56 point, it is difficult to say that it has yet turned into a downward trend.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether it is supported in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
The next volatility period is expected to occur around July 25 (July 24-26).
However, the important volatility period is expected to be around August 2-5 (maximum August 1-6), so we need to look at what kind of movement it shows as it passes through the volatility period that will occur in the future.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, there is a possibility that the decline will be restricted.
Therefore, the key is whether there is support around 115854.56-116868.0.
This is because if it falls below the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility that a downtrend will begin.
Also, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising around 115854.56, it can be seen as an important zone.
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An indicator called Trend Check has been added to the OBV indicator.
This indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the StochRSI, PVT-MACD oscillator, and OBV indicators and expresses them in a column.
Accordingly, if the TC indicator rises from the 0 point, it can be interpreted that the buying force is dominant, and if it falls, the selling force is dominant.
Therefore, if it rises above 0, it is likely to show an upward trend, and if it falls below 0, it is likely to show a downward trend.
Also, if the TC indicator touches the highest point (6) or lowest point (-6), there is a high possibility that the trend will reverse, so you should think about a response plan for this.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
0.002198-0.002671 The key is whether it can break above
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BOMEUSDT.P 1D chart)
BOME is a BOOK OF MEME, which is a meme coin and belongs to the Solana Ecosystem.
If the price breaks through the 0.002198-0.002671 section upward and maintains, it is expected to rise to around 0.005200-0.007204.
As a condition for this,
- The K of the StochRSI indicator should show an upward trend with K > D below the overbought section.
- The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator should show an upward trend. (If possible, it should be above the 0 point.)
- The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel should show an upward trend. (If possible, it should be above the High Line. It should maintain a state where at least OBV > OBV EMA.)
When the above conditions are met, if the 0.002198-0.002671 section breaks through upward, it is expected to continue the upward trend.
If not and it falls, you should check if it is supported near 0.001921.
This is because I think that the upward trend can continue if it receives support near the 0.001921 point, which is the volume profile section.
Therefore, if it falls below 0.001921, you should stop trading and watch the situation.
You can trade with a SHORT position in futures trading, but since it falls below the volume profile section, you should be aware of the volatility.
Therefore, if you insist on trading, a short and quick response is required.
-
(15m chart)
The trading method is simple.
Buy near DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low, and sell near HA-High ~ DOM(60).
However, if it falls from DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend, and if it rises from HA-High ~ DOM(60), it is likely to show a stepwise uptrend.
Therefore, you should maximize your profits by taking a split transaction format.
Other indicators can be used as points where you can conduct split transactions depending on the situation.
That is, sell about 25% at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, and sell about 10% at the support and resistance points on the 15m chart to maximize your profits.
While conducting transactions in this manner, you may wonder if you can actually drag the transaction to around 0.005200-0.007204, but it is possible.
It is good to hold to make a big profit, but since the current price range is in the support and resistance range, I think it is an unstable range to just hold.
-
Thank you for reading to the end. Wishing you a successful trade.
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5 Proven Tricks to Trade Without FOMO After Missing Your TriggerYo traders! In this video, I’m breaking down what to do if you miss a trading trigger , so you can stay calm , avoid FOMO , and still catch the next move. We’re diving into five solid strategies to re-enter the market without losing your cool:
Buy on the pullback zone.
Buy with an engulfing candle after a pullback.
Buy after breaking the resistance formed by the pullback.
Buy after the second wave with an indecision candle.
Buy after breaking a major resistance post-second wave, confirmed by RSI or momentum oscillators.
These tips are all about keeping your trades smart and your head in the game. For more on indecision candles, check out this lesson . Wanna master breakout trading? Here’s the breakout trading guide . Drop your thoughts in the comments, boost if you vibe with it, and let’s grow together! 😎
Has the DXY got you confused? Well, check out this analysis.Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 😎 , the DXY has entered a corrective phase over the past weeks. In this analysis, I’ve broken down the technicals and chart with a skeptical eye, outlined long and short triggers on the 4h timeframe , and tried to give you a solid multi-timeframe view of the setup. At the end, I’ve shared a key educational tip that can seriously boost your win rate and R/R , so make sure you check out the full analysis.
💬If you’ve got a specific symbol in mind for analysis, drop it in the comments. Have a profitable Friday, fam <3
Check support at 115854.56-119086.64
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
On the 1W chart, the DOM(60) indicator was created at the 119086.64 point.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 119086.64.
The meaning of the DOM(60) indicator is to show the end of the high point.
In other words, if it rises above HA-High ~ DOM(60), it means that there is a high possibility of a stepwise upward trend.
On the other hand, if it fails to rise above DOM(60), it is likely to turn into a downtrend.
The basic chart for chart analysis is the 1D chart.
Therefore, if possible, check the trend of the 1D chart first.
The DOM(60) indicator of the 1D chart is currently formed at the 111696.21 point.
And, the HA-High indicator was created at the 115854.56 point.
Therefore, since it cannot be said that the DOM(60) indicator of the 1D chart has been created yet, if the price is maintained near the HA-High indicator, it seems likely to rise until the DOM(60) indicator is created.
We need to look at whether the DOM(60) indicator will be created while moving sideways at the current price position or if the DOM(60) indicator will be created when the price rises.
If the price falls and falls below 111696.21, and the HA-High indicator is generated, the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section is formed, so whether there is support in that section is the key.
-
Since the DOM(60) indicator on the 1W chart was generated, if it fails to rise above the DOM(60) indicator, it is highly likely that the HA-High indicator will be newly generated as it eventually falls.
Therefore, you should also look at where the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is generated when the price falls.
-
The next volatility period is around July 18 (July 17-19).
Therefore, you should look at which direction it deviates from the 115854.56-119086.64 section after this volatility period.
Since the K of the StochRSI indicator fell from the overbought section and changed to a state where K < D, it seems likely that the rise will be limited.
However, since the PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is above 0 and the OBV indicator is OBV > OBV EMA, it is expected that the support around 115845.56 will be important.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Need a trading strategy to avoid FOMO
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
1D chart is the standard chart for all time frame charts.
In other words, if you trade according to the trend of the 1D chart, you can make profits while minimizing losses.
This can also be seen from the fact that most indicators are created based on the 1D chart.
In that sense, the M-Signal indicators of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are suitable indicators for confirming trends.
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it is highly likely that the upward trend will continue in the medium to long term, so it is recommended to take note of this advantage especially when trading spot.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1D chart shows the medium-term and short-term trends.
The M-Signal indicator uses the MACD indicator formula, but it can be seen as a price moving average.
You can trade with just the price moving average, but it is difficult to select support and resistance points, and it is not very useful in actual trading because it cannot cope with volatility.
However, it is a useful indicator when analyzing charts or checking general trends.
Therefore, what we can know with the M-Signal indicator (price moving average) is the interrelationship between the M-Signal indicators.
You can predict the trend by checking how far apart and close the M-Signal indicators are, and then checking the direction.
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If you have confirmed the trend with the M-Signal indicator, you need support and resistance points for actual trading.
Support and resistance points should be drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
The order of the roles of support and resistance points is 1M > 1W > 1D charts.
However, the strength of the role of support and resistance points can be seen depending on how long the horizontal line is.
Usually, in order to perform the role of support and resistance points, at least 3 candles or more form a horizontal line.
Therefore, caution is required when trading when the number of candles is less than 3.
The indicators created considering this point are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart and indicate when the Heikin-Ashi candle turns upward or downward.
Therefore, the creation of the HA-Low indicator means that there is a high possibility of an upward turn.
In other words, if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is a time to buy.
However, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should also consider a countermeasure for this.
The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that there is a high possibility of a downward turn.
In other words, if there is resistance from the HA-High indicator, it is a time to sell.
However, if it rises from the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise upward turn, so you should also consider a countermeasure for this.
This is where a dilemma arises.
What I mean is that the fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that there is a high possibility of a downward turn, so you know that there is a high possibility of a downward turn, but if it receives support and rises, you think that you can make a large profit through a stepwise upward turn, so you fall into a dilemma.
This is caused by greed that arises from falling into FOMO due to price volatility.
The actual purchase time should have been when it showed support near the HA-Low indicator, but when it showed a downward turn, it ended up suffering a large loss due to the psychology of wanting to buy, which became the trigger for leaving the investment.
Therefore, if you failed to buy at the purchase time, you should also know how to wait until the purchase time comes.
-
It seems that you can trade depending on whether the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are supported, but the task of checking whether it is supported is quite difficult and tiring.
Therefore, to complement the shortcomings of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, the DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators were added.
The DOM(-60) indicator indicates the end of the low point.
Therefore, if it shows support in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it is the purchase time.
If it falls below the DOM(-60) indicator, it means that a stepwise downtrend is likely to begin.
The DOM(60) indicator indicates the end of the high point.
Therefore, if it is supported and rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it means that a stepwise uptrend is likely to begin.
If it is resisted and falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it is likely that a downtrend will begin.
With this, the basic trading strategy is complete.
This is the basic trading strategy of buying when it rises in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and selling when it falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
For this, the trading method must adopt a split trading method.
Although not necessarily, if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it will show a sharp decline, and if it rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it will show a sharp rise.
Due to this volatility, psychological turmoil causes people to start trading based on the price, which increases their distrust in the investment market and eventually leads them to leave the investment market.
-
When looking at the movement of the 1D chart, it can be seen that it is not possible to proceed with trading at the moment because it is already showing a stepwise upward trend.
However, since there is a SHORT position in futures trading, trading is possible at any time.
In any case, it is difficult to select a time to buy because the 1D chart shows a stepwise upward trend.
However, looking at the time frame chart below the 1D chart can help you select a time to buy.
The basic trading strategy is always the same.
Buy when it rises in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and sell when it falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
Currently, since the 1D chart is continuing a stepwise upward trend, the main position is to eventually proceed with a long position.
Therefore, if possible, you should focus on finding the right time to buy.
However, if it falls below the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart, the possibility of a downtrend increases, so at that time, you should focus on finding the right time to sell.
In other words, since the HA-High indicator of the current 1D chart is generated at the 115845.8 point, you should think of different response methods depending on whether the price is above or below the 115845.8 point.
Therefore, when trading futures, increase the investment ratio when trading with the main position (a position that matches the trend of the 1D chart), and decrease the investment ratio when trading with the secondary position (a position that is different from the trend of the 1D chart) and respond quickly and quickly.
When trading in the spot market, you have no choice but to trade in the direction of the 1D chart trend, so you should buy and then sell in installments whenever it shows signs of turning downward to secure profits.
In other words, buy near the HA-Low indicator on the 30m chart, and if the price rises and the HA-High indicator is created, sell in installments near that area.
-
You should determine your trading strategy, trading method, and profit realization method by considering these interrelationships, and then trade mechanically accordingly.
If you trade only with fragmentary movements, you will likely end up suffering losses.
This is because you do not cut your losses.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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1INCHUSDT - fear zone, return to the channel, growth potential1inch - is a decentralized exchange (DEX) aggregator that combines multiple DEXs into a single platform, aiming to provide users with the most efficient routes for swaps across all platforms.
📍 CoinMarketCap : #160
📍 Twitter(X) : 1.3M
The coin has already been listed on exchanges during the distribution phase of the cycle and was partially sold off in waves. Then, in line with the overall market, it declined to more reasonable accumulation prices, shaking out small investors and those who entered positions on positive news.
The price has been moving within a horizontal channel for a couple of years, and the channel’s percentage range reflects the coin’s liquidity. Currently, the coin is in a fear zone, at its lowest price levels. In moments like this, very few people have funds left to accumulate positions, as they’ve already been trapped by optimistic bloggers and a positive news background earlier.
Many were wiped out recently due to a breakdown and consolidation below the previous support of the inner channel, and now there's emptiness and fear below. What’s happening now is an attempt to return back into the inner channel. If this zone holds, the channel targets may be realized.
Resistance zones where the price may react are marked on the chart. Potential final downside wicks are also indicated. It’s important to allocate funds wisely for position building and use proper percentage distribution, according to your own experience!
______
📌 Not financial advice. Observing structure and recurring phases.
Operate within your strategy and with an awareness of risks.
CVX/USDT – Is the scenario repeating? Continuing to work.The previous trading idea has played out with 3 out of 4 marked zones reached.
We saw a false breakout from the descending channel, followed by a pullback in line with the overall market—returning to the channel’s support zone.
I’ve noticed a potential formation of either a diamond pattern or an expanding triangle, but we’ll see how it plays out further.
Regarding declines and support zones:
-10.71% drop to the support of the descending channel.
-26.27% drop to the anticipated support of the expanding triangle.
-50% drop, likely as a squeeze under extremely negative news.
Regarding growth and resistance zones:
+65% rise to the resistance of the internal channel.
+110% rise to the resistance of the external channel (and if a diamond pattern forms, then its boundary).
+246% rise as a second attempt to break out of the descending channel.
+440% rise as a potential realization of diamond pattern pricing (if it forms).
All of this should be factored into your trading strategy, even the less likely scenarios.
I'll share the execution of the previous trading idea in my TG. I've also marked it on the chart.
XAUUSD Analysis : Gold's Bullish Comeback + Target📊 Chart Overview:
Gold has shown a technically strong structure on the 4-hour time frame, respecting multiple layers of support, while slowly shifting momentum in favor of buyers. What stands out most in this chart is the parabolic curve formation at the bottom, labeled the "Black Mind Curve Support" — a key psychological zone that has guided price action back to the upside.
Let’s walk through the key elements and why this current setup deserves your attention:
🧠 1. Black Mind Curve Support – Bullish Base Formation:
This curved structure at the bottom is no ordinary pattern. It reflects gradual accumulation and buyer dominance, often seen in textbook rounded bottom formations. The market printed multiple higher lows along this curve, suggesting a deliberate and patient entry by smart money.
Whenever price touched this curve, it found strong demand — a clear sign that the bulls are defending their territory.
🧱 2. Channel Support + SR Interchange – Historical Demand:
Zooming into the left side of the chart, you’ll notice how price dropped into a converging zone where a descending channel support intersected with a historical support/resistance (SR) level. This confluence created a high-probability buy zone — the very origin of the current bullish wave.
This channel breakout also represents a structural shift, marking the beginning of bullish control.
🔁 3. Major SR – Interchange Zone:
One of the most critical areas in this chart is the Major SR Interchange zone, where former resistance was broken and later retested as support. This is a classic support-resistance flip — the type of zone institutional traders watch closely.
This level currently acts as a launchpad for bulls, reinforcing bullish structure and offering low-risk long opportunities when respected.
⚔️ 4. Minor BOS (Break of Structure):
Recently, the price broke above a short-term lower high, indicating a minor bullish break of structure. This is confirmation that momentum has shifted in the short term. Such BOS events are powerful signals, especially when backed by curve support and SR flips.
This also paves the way for the price to push into the next liquidity pocket above.
🧭 5. Central Zone – 50% Equilibrium:
The horizontal line drawn around the $3,330 level marks the central 50% zone — the midpoint of this entire price range. This acts as a natural equilibrium zone where buyers and sellers usually fight for control.
Price is now trading above this zone, giving the upper hand to bulls. Holding above the 50% line increases the probability of continuation to higher resistance levels.
🧨 6. Target Area – "Next Reversal Zone":
Looking ahead, the $3,370 – $3,380 range is labeled as the Next Reversal Zone. This is where sellers previously stepped in and rejected price hard. However, if momentum remains strong and bulls can push price into this zone again, we might witness either:
A sharp pullback (if bearish reaction occurs), or
A major breakout above toward the $3,400 key resistance (if buyers overpower).
This is the zone to watch for either short-term profit taking or potential trend continuation setups.
📌 Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Support: $3,330 – $3,315 (Central + Retest Zone)
Major Support: $3,290 (Mind Curve Base)
Short-Term Resistance: $3,370 – $3,380 (Reversal/Reaction Zone)
Bullish Continuation Target: $3,400+
📒 Conclusion & Strategy Insight:
This chart presents a textbook bullish reversal setup with clean structural progression:
Price formed a rounded base
Broke out of previous range resistance
Retested multiple key SR zones
Now targeting liquidity above
The bulls are in control as long as the price remains above the curve and the major SR zone. A retracement into $3,330 could offer an ideal long entry, targeting the $3,370–$3,380 zone with tight risk.
✅ Suggested Trading Approach:
Buy Opportunities: On pullbacks toward $3,330–$3,315 with confirmation
Sell Watch: Near $3,375–$3,380 if bearish divergence or strong rejection appears
Invalidation: Break and close below $3,290 curve support
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Gold continues to build a strong bullish base. The parabolic nature of the support curve suggests rising demand. As long as support holds, the bulls may take price to fresh highs in the coming days.
Keep an eye on how price behaves around the Next Reversal Zone — that will reveal whether this bullish rally is ready for a breakout or a cooldown.
Check support above 2.5102-2.6013
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(XRPUSDT 1D chart)
It has broken through the important support and resistance zone.
Accordingly, the key is whether the price can be maintained above 2.5102-2.6013 and rise.
If the price is maintained above 2.5102-2.6013, it is possible that a stepwise rise will occur.
At this time,
1st: Right Fibonacci ratio 0.618(3.2085) ~ Left Fibonacci ratio 3.618(3.2983)
2nd: Right Fibonacci ratio 1(4.1944)
You need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
The strong support area is 1.5-1.9669.
----------------------
The left Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the initial rising wave, and the right Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the recent rising wave.
Therefore, if the price rises above 3.618(3.2983) of the Fibonacci ratio drawn in the initial rising wave and maintains it, there is a high possibility of creating a new wave.
Since the Fibonacci ratio is a tool for analyzing the chart, it is not good to use this point as a support and resistance point.
Therefore, we need to check whether the DOM(60) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created and create a response strategy depending on whether there is support.
Currently, the DOM(60) indicator is formed at the 2.5102 point, and the HA-High indicator is formed at the 2.4269 point.
The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if it receives support in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section and rises, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend, and if it receives resistance in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
Therefore, trading begins by checking whether there is support in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is a description of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Support and resistance zones: 115854.56-116868.0
Hello, traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This decline created a new trend line.
This added a period of volatility around July 31st.
If the HA-High indicator is generated at the 115854.56 point, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around that point.
If it falls below the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a downward trend.
Therefore, it is necessary to look at which support and resistance points the price is maintained at as it passes the volatility period around July 18 (July 17-19).
-
Since the StochRSI 80 indicator is formed at the 116868.0 point, it is important to be able to maintain the price above 116868.0 if possible.
Therefore, assuming that the HA-High indicator will be generated at the 115854.56 point, the key is whether there is support around 115854.56-116868.0.
Next, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising above 116696.20, we need to check if it is supported by the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart or around 116696.21.
-
So far, we have talked about how to maintain an upward trend by breaking through a certain point or section.
That is,
- The K of the StochRSI indicator should be below the overbought section and should show an upward trend with K > D.
- The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator should show an upward trend. (If possible, it should be above the 0 point.)
- The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel should show an upward trend. (If possible, it should be maintained by rising above the High Line.)
I said that when the above conditions are met, there is a high possibility that the upward trend will continue.
On the other hand, in order to change to a downward trend,
- The DOM (60) indicator should be created and show resistance near the DOM (60) indicator.
- When the HA-High indicator is generated, it should show resistance near the HA-High indicator.
- When the K of the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone, it should switch to a state where K < D and show a downward trend. (However, caution is required as volatility may occur when K reaches around the 50 point.)
- The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator should show a downward trend. (If possible, it is better if it is located below the 0 point.)
- The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel should show a downward trend. (However, it should show a downward trend in the state where OBV < OBV EMA is present.)
When the above conditions are satisfied, there is a high possibility of a downward trend.
Among these, the most intuitive thing to know is whether the DOM (60) indicator and the HA-High indicator are generated.
This is because, in order to first switch to a downward trend, a signal that the current price position is a high point must appear.
The DOM(60) indicator is an indicator that indicates the end of the high point.
Therefore, if the DOM(60) indicator is generated, it is likely to be a high point.
However, since it can be supported and rise near the HA-High indicator, you should check whether there is support in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section and respond accordingly.
The HA-High indicator is an indicator created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart, and if it falls below the HA-High indicator, it is likely to be a point where a downtrend will begin.
-
Since the same principle applies to any time frame chart you trade, it is easier to understand the chart and determine the timing of the start and end of the transaction.
However, the basic trading method must be a split trading method.
The reason is that if it rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend, and if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
This basic trading method, that is, buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator, will eventually make you familiar with day trading, which will have an effective influence on finding a buying point when making mid- to long-term investments.
It is wrong to say that you are good at mid- to long-term investments when you are not good at day trading.
You were just lucky.
Unfortunately, this kind of luck cannot last.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
BTCUSD Analysis : Bitcoin Trend Shifted/Bullish Pattern + Target🧭 Overview:
Bitcoin’s recent price action has delivered a textbook sequence of institutional liquidity play, volume-driven breakout, and supply zone rejection. After rallying on increasing volume, BTC tapped into a significant 3x Supply Zone—which also served as a previous reversal point—and was swiftly rejected. The market is now trading around a key decision zone where traders must stay alert for a confirmed bullish reversal, or risk getting caught in further downside.
🔍 Step-by-Step Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Liquidity Grab + Volume Expansion
The move began with a liquidity sweep, as BTC pushed above recent highs, hunting stop-losses and inducing breakout traders. This kind of price manipulation is typical of smart money accumulation/distribution zones.
Immediately following that, we observed a volume expansion—a strong signal that institutional players had stepped in, propelling BTC upward with conviction. This expansion pushed price sharply into the 3x Supply Zone, a critical zone of interest from a previous bearish reversal.
🔸 3x Supply Zone – The Turning Point
Once price entered the 3x Supply Zone, bearish pressure resumed. No bullish continuation pattern appeared on the second attempt into this zone—confirming that sellers were defending it aggressively. This area has now been validated as a strong supply barrier, capable of initiating trend reversals.
🔸 Major BOS – Structural Shift Confirmed
Price broke below key support around $120,500, which marked a Major Break of Structure (BOS). This BOS is crucial—it represents a shift from a bullish to bearish market structure and is often the signal that retail longs are trapped.
This BOS was followed by a mini reversal zone, but again, no bullish confirmation appeared there—highlighting market weakness.
🔸 Minor BOS & Trendline Breakdown
Further downside action led to a Minor BOS near $117,800, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Additionally, the ascending trendline—which had supported BTC’s rally—was decisively broken and retested from below. This confirms a shift in momentum, now favoring sellers.
📍 Current Price Action – Critical Decision Zone
BTC is currently hovering around $117,000, right at a potential demand zone. While there was a brief bullish reaction, the market hasn’t formed a valid bullish reversal pattern yet.
There’s a clear message from the chart:
“We want a bullish pattern here—otherwise, support will break and supply will double.”
In simple terms, unless bulls step in with structure (higher low, engulfing candle, etc.), sellers will likely take over, and price may test deeper support levels.
🎯 What to Watch Next:
✅ Bullish Case:
If BTC forms a strong reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom, bullish engulfing, or inverse head & shoulders), we can expect a short-term recovery back to:
Target 1: $118,500
Target 2: $120,000–$120,500
❌ Bearish Case:
Failure to hold this zone and no clear bullish pattern = likely continuation to the downside, potentially targeting:
$116,000
Even $114,500 in extended moves
🧠 Trading Insights (Educational):
Volume + Structure = Edge
Don’t rely solely on candlestick signals—combine them with structural breaks and volume to get confluence.
Supply Zones Aren’t Just Rectangles
The 3x Supply Zone was powerful because it had historical context, volume convergence, and psychological resistance. These layered factors make zones more reliable.
BOS Isn’t a Trendline Break
BOS means real structural shift. In this case, lower highs and lower lows confirmed the change.
💡 Final Thoughts:
BTC is at a make-or-break level. The recent rejection at the 3x supply zone has shifted the momentum, and buyers must prove their strength now—or risk watching the price unravel further.
Stay patient, wait for structure, and never fight momentum.