Tradingview
Macro Recap & Crude Oil Trade SetupNYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1!
Markets Overview
Markets have largely shrugged off the U.S. government shutdown, with major indices pressing to fresh all-time highs. While the headline optimism continues, it’s important to note that over one million federal employees remain furloughed, leading to delays in key economic data releases and potential short-term distortions in macro readings.
Despite the Atlanta Fed GDPNow model projecting stronger growth, underlying household dynamics suggest stress ahead. Lower-income consumers, already contending with tighter credit and depleted savings, are likely to see further deterioration in spending and sentiment, which may weigh on Q4 consumption trends.
Market Positioning & Flows
While equities appear to be in a new leg of the bull market, positioning data suggests this may not be entirely organic. According to publicly available data many hedge funds continue to under-perform the S&P 500, forcing catch-up buying after missing the April lows. This dynamic may also be contributing to the current momentum-driven equity strength, even as macro headwinds persist.
Metals Performance
Precious metals have been standout performers year-to-date, reflecting declining real yields and persistent inflation hedging flows:
• Gold: +42.46% YTD
• Silver: +56.88% YTD
• Platinum: +71.29% YTD
(Source: Finviz YTD Futures Performance)
This rally underscores a broader rotation toward real assets, consistent with expectations of lower real interest rates and a weaker U.S. dollar trajectory.
Crude Oil Technical & Trade Setup
Crude oil prices reached $66.42 in September before retracing lower. The recent OPEC+ announcement of additional voluntary cut unwinding at a pace of 137 kbpd for November adds a modest supply-side loosening.
From a technical perspective, price action has bounced at the yearly Volume Profile’s Value Area Low (VAL), a key area of structural support.
Current positioning shows:
• Price trading below Q2 VAL
• Price trading above yearly VAL (yVAL)
Scenario 1: Long on Reclaim of Q2 VAL
• Setup: Watch for crude to confirm acceptance back above the Q2 VAL as a support level.
• Trigger: Long entry on confirmation of acceptance above VAL.
• Target:
o First target: 2025 mid-range at $62.97
o Secondary target: Yearly open at $65.17
Scenario 2 : Long on Deeper Retest
• Setup: Should price reject Q2 VAL, patience is warranted.
• Entry Zone: Wait for price to move lower toward yVAL and March 2025 low confluence.
• Target: Return move toward 2025 mid-range ($62.97).
Despite near-term noise from policy uncertainty and supply adjustments, the broader technical structure favors accumulation on weakness rather than chasing momentum.
Crude remains range-bound but biased for upside stabilization into Q4, supported by resilient demand and disciplined OPEC+ management.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #188👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the Bitcoin analysis. Today, after pulling back to its previous resistance, Bitcoin is ready to start its next move.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin continues its upward trend. Yesterday, after a pullback to the 122574 area and support from the channel’s bottom, it is once again ready to begin its next leg upward.
✨ The top formed at 125186 is Bitcoin’s new ATH resistance, and breaking this level would lead to further bullish continuation.
✅ Today, if this level breaks, we can have a long position on Bitcoin. If you already have an open position, there’s no need to re-enter at this point — it’s better to look for opportunities in other coins.
🎲 Since Bitcoin’s dominance trend is generally declining, if the next bullish leg begins, altcoins could also become attractive options. Therefore, it’s best to hold one position on Bitcoin and another on selected altcoins.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | SUI: Approaching Key Breakout From Channel👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to review the SUI coin for you, one of the coins that gained significant attention in 2024 and currently ranks 14th on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $13.22 billion.
📅 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, this coin has formed a supply zone near $4, and for the past few months, the price has been struggling with it.
⭐ At the moment, after the latest rejection from this zone, a descending channel has formed, guiding the price slowly downward.
✅ The support level that the price has recently built is 3.1726, which has been tested twice, and now the price is moving toward the top of the channel.
🎲 If the channel breaks to the upside, we can consider opening a long position. The main bullish confirmation will come after breaking the upper resistance zone, but an early long position can be opened upon the breakout of 3.9071.
🔍 If the downward movement resumes and 3.1726 breaks, the move could extend to the next support area at 2.4378.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Gold surges to recordGold surges to record
Gold prices soared to new highs Monday, briefly $3,950 per ounce, as mounting expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and prolonged U.S. government shutdown uncertainty fueled safe-haven demand. Markets now assign a 95.7% probability of a rate cut in October and an 84.1% chance of another in December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool—further supporting non-yielding assets like gold.
The shutdown has halted key economic releases, including employment and inflation data, leaving investors with limited visibility on U.S. economic conditions. Despite this data blackout, gold has surged nearly 50% year to date, driven by geopolitical risks, central-bank buying, and strong ETF inflows.
UBS recently lifted its near-term price target for gold to $4,200, citing lower real interest rates as reducing the opportunity cost of holding bullion. Until Washington breaks its budget deadlock, uncertainty is likely to keep gold firmly in demand.
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 52☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has broken through all major resistance levels, setting a new ATH, and then experienced a 2% price drop due to profit-taking and FOMO-driven selling. It then moved toward its key support zone around $122,584, bounced from there, and is now moving toward its early trigger zone at $124,113.
🧮 The RSI oscillator shows two important levels — 63 and 45 — and once the volatility threshold crosses especially above 63, Bitcoin could see a sharp increase in volatility, activating its triggers and enabling breakout moves.
🕯 Bitcoin’s volume has decreased after each touch of resistance, but now with a noticeable volume increase, our early trigger could become active, allowing Bitcoin to form larger, high-volume candles either upward or downward. Since the high-wave cycle remains bullish, the current scenario still favors upside continuation and resistance breakouts.
🧠 For Bitcoin positions, it’s better to wait for all confirmations to align — including activation of the early trigger, an RSI breakout above 63, and rising buy volume — before opening a long position.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
XRP 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing XRP on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, XRP recently completed a solid bullish rally, reaching resistance around $3.06, before retracing toward its local support zone near $2.94. The coin has tested its top level about three times, getting rejected each time under selling pressure. After the latest rejection and rebound from the $2.94 zone, a short-term trigger has formed around $2.98 — a breakout above this level could significantly increase the likelihood of a resistance breakout.
🧮 The RSI oscillator shows that after ranging below the 50 zone, it has now crossed above it and is heading upward. A 1-hour candle close above the trigger zone would confirm bullish momentum; otherwise, the move risks failing.
🕯 The recent candle structure on the 1-hour chart has been relatively range-bound, partly due to low market activity during holidays. However, with increasing volume and the larger size of recent bullish candles, there’s potential for stronger upward continuation.
🧠 For XRP positions, traders can consider low-risk entries once a candle closes above the marked trigger zone in this analysis. Rising volume and strong candle closures may fuel volatility and expand long opportunities.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
NZDCHF: rebound after downtrend with Fibonacci targetsNZDCHF has found support after a prolonged decline and broke through the local descending trendline. The price is now holding above the 0.4650–0.4660 area, aligning with key Fibonacci retracement levels, which strengthens the bullish outlook.
Technically, if the pair stays above 0.4650, a retest could follow before the next push toward 0.4674 and 0.4706, which aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Some consolidation around 0.4660–0.4670 is possible before continuation higher.
From a fundamental view, the New Zealand dollar benefits from commodity price resilience and Asian market optimism, while the Swiss franc remains a safe haven. As global risk appetite improves, investors tend to rotate into higher-yielding currencies, supporting NZD.
This is a classic reversal setup: a base after oversold conditions, with confirmation needed before further entries. As always, wait for signals and avoid emotional trading.
NASDAQ 100 (1W) – Elliott Wave + Smart Money Analysis by FIBCOSThe index (NASDAQ) continues its macro impulsive structure, now expanding through Wave (3) — targeting the 2.618 Fibonacci extension near 26,997( 27K ).
Smart Money is driving this leg with clear bullish order flow, creating multiple Fair Value Gaps and Breaks of Structure along the way.
After this expansion, we expect a Wave (4) correction between 22,000–17,500, where institutional demand zones await for re-accumulation before the next macro bullish leg (Wave 5) toward 35,000–38,000.
📊 Confluence Highlights:
Wave (3) → 2.618 extension (target zone: 26.9K–27K)
Wave (4) → 0.382–0.618 retracement (zone: 22K–18K)
Wave (5) → 1.618 projection (target zone: 35K–38K)
🧠 Elliott Wave Theory Interpretation
① Wave (1) — The Initial Expansion (2020–2021)
Early bullish impulse following pandemic recovery.
Represents Smart Money accumulation followed by a breakout.
Retail participation remains limited; institutional footprints dominate.
② Wave (2) — Corrective Pullback (2022–2023)
Sharp decline toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.
This phase was a liquidity grab — Smart Money re-entering after shaking out weak hands.
Price formed a higher low , maintaining long-term bullish structure.
③ Wave (3) — The Power Leg (2023–2026)
The strongest and most extended wave — aligned perfectly with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~26,997 zone).
Confirms institutional markup phase , where:
Retail short sellers are trapped.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are created during impulsive moves.
Continuous Break of Structure (BOS) validates bullish order flow.
Smaller degree sub-waves (1–5) visible inside, confirming internal impulse rhythm.
④ Wave (4) — The Upcoming Correction (2026–2027)
Expected macro re-accumulation zone , likely between 22,000 – 17,500 .
Market may enter a sideways complex correction (W–X–Y)/(W-X-Y-X-Z) pattern.
This is the Smart Money re-accumulation phase — liquidity collection before the next macro expansion.
Demand zones: previous unmitigated order blocks around 20,000–18,000 area.
⑤ Wave (5) — The Final Expansion (2028–2029)
After consolidation, the index may aim for new all-time highs toward 35,000–38,000 range.
This represents a distribution phase , where Smart Money offloads positions near cycle tops.
Expect divergence in momentum indicators , hinting at the end of the 5-wave structure.
---
💡 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Confluence
Concept | Observation | Implication
Liquidity Sweep - Below 2022–2023 lows (Smart Money accumulation confirmation)
Order Blocks - 22,000–18,000 zone {Institutional demand zone for Wave (4)}
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) During Wave (3) impulsive rise {Will likely get mitigated during Wave (4)}
Break of Structure (BOS ) Continuous bullish BOS confirms institutional intent
Premium/Discount Zones Current price at premium (above equilibrium) Ideal region for institutional profit-taking
🧭 Smart Money Flow:
Accumulation → Expansion → Re-accumulation → Final Distribution
---
📐 Fibonacci Confluence Levels
Wave (3) → 2.618× extension of Wave (1–2) → ~26,997 (expected macro resistance).
Wave (4) → retracement likely between 0.382–0.618 → 22,000–17,500 zone.
Wave (5) → projected 1.618× of Wave (1–3) → 35,000–38,000 .
---
🧭 Market Outlook Summary
Timeframe | Bias | Expectation
Short-Term (2025–2026) 📈 Bullish Continuation toward 26,900–27,000
Medium-Term (2026–2027) ⚠ Corrective Re-accumulation phase, smart money reloads
Long-Term (2028–2029) 🚀 Bullish Wave (5) macro expansion toward 35K–38K
---
🔖 FIBCOS Summary
> NASDAQ 100 Weekly Chart (Elliott + SMC)
Currently expanding through a powerful Wave (3) toward the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~27K).
After completion, a macro correction (Wave 4) is expected, providing the next Smart Money accumulation zone between 22K–18K before the final Wave 5 expansion toward new highs beyond 35K.
📘 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Educational purpose only.
#FIBCOS #NASDAQ100 #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #MarketCycle #Fibonacci
TradeCityPro | PEPEUSDT a trigger ready for buying👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s move on to the analysis of PEPEUSDT a trigger ready for buying.
We’re analyzing the most popular meme coin in the current market PEPE, which lately has been taking steps to increase its value and move beyond being just an online joke.
🌐 Overview of Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, let me remind you that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section to a separate daily report at your request, so we can discuss Bitcoin’s condition, price action, and dominance in more detail
📊 Weekly Timeframe
After breaking the 0.00000168 level, PEPE experienced a strong upward rally and recorded a new ATH at 0.00002605. Currently, the price is holding around the 0.00000875 support.
If you entered from lower levels, it’s a good time to take profits and secure gains.
If your entry was around the current area, the active stop-loss should be set below 0.00000541
🕐 Next Entry Plan
For re-entry, patience is required. Wait and observe the chart in weekly and daily timeframes we might see a fake breakout around this support.
However, the main trigger for a new entry will be a confirmed breakout above 0.00001413, ideally with strong volume to confirm the move.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #187👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s go over Bitcoin’s analysis — today, Bitcoin has recorded a new ATH. Let’s review the market conditions together.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, Bitcoin is moving inside an ascending channel with a steady upward slope.
⭐ After a corrective move from the top of the box, the price made a fake breakdown of the channel’s bottom and then, with the bullish momentum that followed, moved upward and managed to set a new ATH.
✔️ During the correction, the volume was decreasing, but after the price was supported at the key support zone and the fake breakdown occurred, buying volume entered the market.
✨ The main confirmation of the bullish continuation could be taken after breaking above 117056. Currently, the next confirmation trigger is a price stabilization above 123433.
💥 In my opinion, since RSI is getting rejected from the 70 level and the price has reached a strong resistance zone, there’s a high chance that the market will range below this resistance for a few days to test it.
🧩 At the moment, the main RSI resistance level seems to be 75.38 — if this level breaks, the main market momentum could start, leading to a sharp move upward.
📊 It’s completely normal for the trend to show weakness after reaching an ATH, because this level is Bitcoin’s largest supply zone. These wicks hitting the resistance zone don’t necessarily mean trend weakness — it’s typical for the price to form such candles when testing its all-time high.
🔑 What really matters is how the price reacts in the next few attempts at this zone, which will tell us whether we have an actual trend weakness or not.
💫 Right now, the most important support Bitcoin has built is around 107000. If a bearish move begins, the first confirmation of a downtrend will be breaking this area. However, the main confirmation of a full bearish reversal would be the break of 100961.
🎲 Overall, since the price is currently at the top of the market, finding precise triggers on Bitcoin is difficult. But considering Bitcoin dominance has the potential to drop, altcoins could provide excellent trading setups in the coming days if that dominance decline begins.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCity Pro | WLD: Consolidating at Key Fibonacci Support👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis I want to review the WLD coin for you. This is one of the crypto projects where Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI, also serves as the CEO. The coin currently has a market cap of $2.81 billion and is ranked 42 on CoinMarketCap.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the 4-hour timeframe, this coin is sitting on a very important support area. This PRZ zone is significant not only as a key support but also because it aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
✔️ After a bullish move that pushed the price up to 2.038, WLD entered a corrective phase. Following the break of the 0.382 Fibonacci level, the price has now corrected down to this important area.
⭐ A very attractive range box has formed around this PRZ zone, and the price has built a clean structure within it.
📊 Volume has gradually decreased inside this box, but after a shadow wick touched the bottom of the support, buying volume entered the market again, suggesting that the price now has enough momentum to potentially break above 1.396.
⚡️ There are two SMAs (25 and 99) on the chart, both showing a slight upward slope and converging toward each other.
💥 This indicates that volatility in the market has decreased significantly, and since the market tends to move after periods of low volatility, the likelihood of a breakout has increased.
🔄 If the box breaks to the upside and the 1.396 trigger is activated, a bullish move can begin. The main confirmation of the uptrend will come after stabilization above 1.468, but in my opinion, the breakout of 1.396 alone is strong enough to justify an early long entry.
🔑 However, if the box breaks downward, the trend for this coin will turn completely bearish, with the next major support zone located at 1.037. The price could even decline further in the future.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️






















