BTCUSD: Watching for the Dip and Bounce to the Trend LineHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price of Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a large Range, just below a major descending Trend Line. This indicates a period of balance and energy build-up after a significant prior move.
Currently, the price is in a corrective pullback within this Range. It is heading towards the lower support levels, a key area where buyers have previously shown strength and absorbed selling pressure.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the idea that this consolidation is a bullish accumulation phase. I think that before the main rally continues, the market will make a small corrective movement down to test the Support zone.
I'm looking for a confirmed bounce from this Support zone around the 109000 level. This would be the key signal that the pullback is over and that buyers are ready to take control for a move towards the upper boundary of the consolidation.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful rebound would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the subsequent rally is the 115500 trend line at the top of the Range.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Trend
ETH – Bulls Eyeing the Next Push!ETH has been showing strength after reclaiming the $4,000 psychological level and breaking back above structure. Price is now trading inside a rising channel, keeping the overall outlook bullish in the short term.
At the moment, ETH is hovering around the $4,040–$4,000 support area. This zone aligns with the lower red trendline of the channel, creating a strong confluence for potential bullish continuation.
As long as ETH holds above this zone, I’ll be looking for long opportunities with the next impulse higher in mind. If broken downward, however, we could see a deeper correction before the bulls step back in.
The key level to watch remains $4,000 . Stay above = bullish bias intact. Break below = caution for further downside.
Do you think ETH will maintain its momentum above $4,000, or will the bears step in for another retest lower? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
USD/CHF - Trade Setup🔥 USD/CHF 1H Breakdown – Let’s Go! 🔥
Alright fam, here’s what’s cooking on the Swissy 👇
🕐 1H Structure
Price tapped that 4H demand zone around the 71% fib pocket and started bouncing. We’ve been bleeding inside a 1H liquidity trend channel (classic corrective pullback vibes), but now bulls are showing teeth.
📍 Key Levels
Entry : 0.7931 (right off that sweet spot discount)
Stop : 0.7907 (beneath the liquidity pocket / invalidation)
Target : 0.8026 (back into 4H supply – clean liquidity grab zone)
Risk/Reward sitting around 3.9R – tasty 🍽
🧠 Technical Breakdown
Liquidity sweep: Bears tried to drive price lower, but buyers defended the 71% retrace zone.
Trendline break: Watch for price to bust out of that 1H descending liquidity channel = rocket fuel 🚀.
Zones in play: 8H demand gave the bounce, 4H supply is the target. Classic AMD cycle loading.
🎯 Play Idea
Looking for a long as price flips structure. If bulls keep momentum, we ride it into that higher timeframe supply pocket. If stop gets clipped, we let it go and wait for deeper liquidity (no chasing).
✅ Summary
Bulls stepping back in. Long setup looks valid with nearly 4R on the table. Key is the break & hold above that liquidity channel.
DGB CAN ENTER 40% TREND INCREASE - Update 29-09-2025DGB/USDT Trading Update
🔹 Main trend support: DGB is currently holding around its main trend level, showing early signs of stability after a strong correction.
We have seen before similar trend
🔄 New cycle forming: A recovery setup is visible, with the market potentially entering a new cycle if momentum continues upward.
🎯 First target: The next significant target lies at $0.0106, aligning with resistance from the previous cycle.
📈 Upside potential: If this cycle gains confirmation, there is a 40% increase potential from current levels, making this a key area to watch.
📌 Summary:
DGB is stabilizing at the main trend, showing promising signs of a new cycle activation. If the upward push holds, the first target of $0.0106 could mark a potential 40% increase in price.
The previous increase from the start to now until the target took 14 days.
BITCOIN ON WAY TO MAINTREND - UPDATE 28-09-2025📊BTC/USDT Trading Update
✅ Low time frame confirmed: Bitcoin has established support in the $109.3K – $109.7K zone, which now acts as a strong base.
📈 Price is moving toward the main trend zone ($110.8K – $111.5K). This will be the key resistance area to watch.
🔑 Breakout potential:
If BTC clears the main trend zone, momentum could accelerate with the next target around $112K – $113K.
This would confirm a stronger continuation of the short-term uptrend.
Scenarios:
Bullish case: Hold above $109.3K and break $111.5K → expansion toward $112K – $113K.
Bearish case: Failure to break the main trend could lead to sideways action or retest of $109K support.
📌 Summary:
BTC has confirmed its low time frame breakout and is now targeting the main trend zone. A break above this range will likely fuel a push toward $112K – $113K.
SPX500 – Bearish Below 6,662 as Shutdown Risks Cloud Fed OutlookSPX500 – Overview
SPX500 is trading cautiously as Wall Street weighs the risk of a potential U.S. government shutdown and the Fed’s next policy steps.
The lack of clarity over upcoming economic data—especially if NFP is delayed—adds to volatility and makes short-term moves highly data- and headline-driven.
Technical Outlook
The index has stabilized below the 6,662 pivot, which supports ongoing bearish momentum.
→ As long as price stays under 6,662, downside targets are 6,635 and 6,617, with a further extension toward 6,580 if momentum accelerates.
However, if price stabilizes above 6,673, the bullish trend could resume toward 6,699 and higher.
Pivot: 6,662
Support: 6,635 – 6,617 – 6,580
Resistance: 6,674 – 6,699 – 6,742
AUDJPY — Buy the Retest?AUDJPY remains overall bullish inside a rising channel. Price is hovering above a 96.0–96.5 support zone, which previously acted as resistance and now aligns with the channel’s lower boundary, a solid confluence area.
🔑 Key levels
Support: 96.0–96.5 (zone to watch for bullish rejection)
Resistance: 98.5 then 100.0 (round number / channel upper band)
📊 Scenarios
Bullish 📈 If price retests 96.0–96.5 and prints confirmation (higher low / bullish candle), I’ll look for longs toward 98.5 → 100.0.
Bearish 📉 A daily close below 96.0 would invalidate the setup and open room toward the next liquidity pocket near the channel low.
What’s your plan here => wait for the retest into 96s, or trade the continuation if momentum kicks in first? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
SEIC / SEI Investment / Fractal inspired seasonal LONG ScenarioRoundabout 21th of september SEIC should show upside.
My fractal analysis suggests a ling entry from that marked area of price.
From there I suggest to take at least partial profit when 9-10% are reached or time reached 5th or deceber.
Some weakness end of october until early november may give a change to add to the position.
NZDCAD: HTL HoldDaily Timeframe
Price holds below HTL as it fails despite opening higher after last week's closing bar
H1 Timeframe
Price crosses below ATL to signal possible downside momentum
Price crosses below EMA20 and is moving away from the band
EMA20 hovers below EMA60 to indicate bearish sentiment
USD/CAD - Multi Timeframe Analysis🚀 USD/CAD Forecast – Multi-TF Breakdown 🚀
Alright fam, let’s break this pair down clean and simple 👇
🕰 Weekly Outlook
Big picture: USD/CAD is pressing right into that juicy weekly supply zone around 1.39 – 1.40. Price has been riding the liquidity trend, and structure suggests there’s still room to climb into the 1.42 – 1.44 swing range before any major rejection.
Bias : Bullish until we see rejection from the 1.40s.
📆 Daily Structure
On the daily, we just had a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside. Price tapped into a clean daily demand zone near 1.38 – 1.385 and bounced hard. Now we’re marching toward that daily supply at 1.40 – 1.405.
If buyers hold momentum, expect a sweep into that zone before deciding whether we get:
🐂 A clean breakout → continuation to 1.42+.
🐻 A rejection → deeper pullback back toward 1.38 – 1.375.
⏱ 4H Play
Zooming in, the 4H shows an impulse-retracement-impulse cycle. Price just tagged resistance near 1.395. Short-term, we could get a pullback into the discount zones (1.388 – 1.384) before another leg up.
The 71% fib retrace aligns with demand — that’s where buyers likely reload for a push back at the highs.
🎯 Summary
Bias : Bullish to neutral.
Upside Target: 1.405 → 1.42 (weekly supply).
Downside Risk: 1.384 (4H demand). Lose that → deeper flush into 1.375.
Gameplan: Wait for a pullback into 1.388-1.384 for longs, or fade rejection at 1.405 for shorts.
🔥 USD/CAD is heating up — the real fight will be in that 1.40 supply zone. Will bulls break it, or will bears smack it back down?
EURCAD: Trend ContinuationA cautious trade for this week's open, expecting volatility to remain low on a Sunday night.
Daily Timeframe
Price is in an uptrend as EMA20 remains above EMA60, and price is also bouncing off of EMA20
Price recently broke above the HTL marked
H1 Timeframe
Price is accelerating away from the EMA20, and EMA20 is expanding away from EMA60
Price also crossed above the DTL
USDCHF Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.80000 zone, USDCHF is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase on which it is approaching the trend at 0.80000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD/JPY - Multi Timeframe analysis🚀 USD/JPY – Forecast Breakdown 🚀
Let’s cook this pair up across the timeframes 👇
🕰 Weekly View
Price has been battling along that weekly liquidity trendline. After months of chop, buyers finally punched through the consolidation zone and are now aiming higher. Big picture → the path of least resistance points north toward the 152–154 zone. But, keep in mind, weekly still has major resistance around 150 lurking.
📅 Daily Structure
Daily chart shows a clean BOS after running stops. Price cleared liquidity above 149, tapped into the daily imbalance, and is reacting nicely. If bulls keep control, momentum could carry us toward 151. But if daily sellers defend that major resistance, we could see a dip back to 148 (daily demand).
⏱ 4H Breakdown
On the 4H:
Fresh BOS + 71% fib reaction 🔥
Price grabbed liquidity below before rocketing higher.
Market is now stalling under 149.5 – 150 major resistance.
Short-term scenario: Possible pullback into 148.3 – 148.5 (4H demand) before another leg up. If that zone holds, bulls likely reload and push us toward 151+.
🎯 Summary
Weekly : Breaking higher, aiming for 152–154 🎯
Daily : Strong BOS, but resistance at 150 needs clearing ⚔️
4H : Demand at 148.3–148.5 is the key re-entry zone 🟩
Bias → Bullish overall, with healthy pullbacks likely. Watch 150: break it clean and we’re on rocket mode 🚀; rejection could mean a retest of 148 support.
⚠️ Risk note: USD/JPY is a stop-hunter — mind your entries and size.
PORT3/USDT UPDATE ✅PORT3/USDT Update
The coin has activated its cycle after holding and bouncing strongly from the cycle zone (~0.032 – 0.034).
It has now also cleared the main trend zone (~0.038 – 0.040), confirming momentum shift.
Key levels:
Cycle base: 0.032 – 0.034 → must-hold area for long-term bullish cycle.
Main trend breakout: 0.038 – 0.040 → successfully reclaimed, now acting as support.
Next resistance/target: 0.053 – 0.055 → upside level to watch if momentum continues.
Upside scenario:
With the cycle activated and the main trend reclaimed, price has room to expand toward 0.053 – 0.055 in the coming sessions.
Downside risk:
Losing 0.038 – 0.040 again would weaken the breakout and increase risk of retest toward the cycle base (0.032).
📌 Summary
Cycle activation confirmed above 0.032.
Main trend breakout confirmed above 0.040.
Target: 0.053 – 0.055 if momentum continues.
Support: 0.038 (main trend) & 0.032 (cycle).
AUDUSD - Bullish Control Ahead!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AUDUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
This week, AUDUSD has been retesting the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower blue trendline and green support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
CHFJPY: Trend ContinuationI see another trend continuation opportunity over on the CHFJPY pair. One thing to note is that rollover is in a few hours so consider exiting and re-entering this position to avoid getting stopped out.
Daily Timeframe:
Price crossed above HTL and the fakeout was invalidated quickly as price crossed back above HTL
H1 Timeframe:
I see quite a bit of confluence here with the following signals observed in the subsequent bullets
Price is moving out of EMA band again
Price crossed above DTL so that signals a likely end to the intraday counter-trend move
EMA20 remains above EMA60 to show overall uptrend confluence with the daily timeframe
POL - Confluence at Demand: Longs on the Trendline?POL BINANCE:POLUSDT has been overall bullish on the daily, moving inside a rising channel. Price is sliding toward the demand zone at $0.19–$0.21, right where the channel’s lower trendline comes in, clean confluence for dip buyers.
This zone is key 🔑. If bulls defend it, I’ll look for a rotation toward $0.25, then $0.29–$0.31 near the channel mid/upper bounds 🚀.
If $0.19 fails on a daily close, I’ll step aside and reassess lower before looking for fresh confirmation.
What’s your move => bid the confluence at $0.19–$0.21, or wait for strength back above $0.25 first? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XLM - Waiting for the Wedge × Support RetestXLM is drifting inside a falling wedge and approaching the 0.34–0.32 blue support. I’m waiting for a retest of the intersection between the wedge’s lower trendline and this support to look for longs.
If buyers defend that confluence, I’ll look for a move toward 0.39–0.41, then 0.46–0.52 into the upper supply. A daily close below 0.32 invalidates and puts 0.24–0.23 back in play.
What’s your plan => bid the retest at the intersection, or wait for a clean wedge break first? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
USDJPY - Red Low or Orange Resistance: Your Trigger Map!USDJPY squeezed off 146.0 and is testing the 148.8–149.2 orange resistance on the 4H while momentum cools.
Here’s the plan 🔑
If the last low in red is broken downward, the bears take over, and I’ll look for 147.2 first, then the 146.0 support zone.
If the orange resistance is broken upward and holds, I’ll expect continuation toward the upper supply at 150.7–151.0 (with 150.0 as a waypoint).
What’s your move => fade a failure at the orange band, or buy a clean break and hold into 150s? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
USDJPY - Support Holding Strong!📈USDJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
This week, USDJPY has been bearish trading within the falling red wedge and it is currently rejecting the lower bound of it!
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower red trendline and orange support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDJPY is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr