XRP - Waiting for the Market to Confirm the Next Move!XRP is currently sitting at a key area of interest.
Price is holding around a strong demand zone, right on top of the $2.00 round number. That combination alone is enough to grab attention, especially after the recent impulsive move higher.
For now, this area is where buyers are expected to defend. That’s why my focus is on buy setups, not chasing price.
That said, I’m not jumping in blindly.
The last major high marked in green is the line in the sand. A clean break and hold above that level would confirm that bulls are taking control, and that’s when I’d look for entries with more confidence.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Trend
BTC Stalls at Premium After Vertical Rally — Liquidity Below Hi Guys!! On the H1 chart, Bitcoin has just completed a strong impulsive bullish leg, breaking cleanly above the EMA 89 and accelerating straight into a clearly defined resistance zone around 95,700. This type of vertical expansion typically reflects aggressive buy-side execution, but it also leaves the market structurally imbalanced. As price reaches the resistance area, momentum noticeably slows and candles begin to compress, signaling that buyers are no longer willing to chase at premium levels while early longs start to take profit.
The current price action should be read as a post-impulse distribution and pause, not immediate trend continuation. With price holding just beneath resistance and failing to produce strong bullish follow-through, the probability increases that the market will rotate lower to rebalance. Below current price lies a series of stacked liquidity pools and inefficiencies, first around 94,080, then 93,146, and deeper toward 91,800–90,900, which also aligns closely with the rising EMA structure. These levels represent logical downside magnets where sell-side liquidity rests after the sharp rally.
From a market structure perspective, a pullback into these zones would be technically healthy, allowing Bitcoin to mitigate the imbalance created by the impulsive move and test whether demand is genuinely strong or merely momentum-driven. If price reacts positively and shows acceptance within the lower liquidity zones, that would provide a stronger base for a renewed bullish continuation later on. However, only a clean and sustained acceptance above the 95,700 resistance would invalidate the corrective scenario. Until then, Bitcoin remains in a premium consolidation phase, with downside liquidity acting as the dominant draw before the next major directional decision.
BTC SUPPLY: Breakout Strength or Bull Trap in Disguise?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has just delivered a strong impulsive breakout, reclaiming multiple key levels in a very short period of time. However, where price is currently reacting is far more important than the breakout itself. Right now, BTC is pushing directly into a higher-timeframe supply / resistance zone, and this is where the market must prove whether this move is continuation-driven or simply a liquidity sweep before a deeper correction.
Market Structure Context
From a structural perspective, BTC broke out cleanly above the 92,300–92,500 range, which previously acted as a major resistance and EMA cluster. That breakout was impulsive, confirming bullish intent and momentum strength. Price then accelerated rapidly toward the 95,500–96,400 supply zone, leaving behind multiple inefficiencies and unmitigated demand zones below.
This type of vertical move almost always creates unfinished business underneath.
Key Zones to Watch
Immediate Supply / Resistance: ~95,500–96,400
→ Strong selling pressure previously entered here
First Structural Support: ~94,400–94,600 (flipped resistance)
Major Demand Zone: ~92,300–92,500 (EMA + structure + base)
Primary Scenario – Healthy Pullback (Most Probable)
The current consolidation under supply suggests absorption rather than continuation. If price fails to break and hold above the supply zone, the market is likely to rotate lower to rebalance liquidity.
Expected path:
- Rejection from supply
- Pullback toward 94,400
- If that fails, continuation into 92,300–92,500, where buyers are expected to defend aggressively
This would still keep the overall bullish structure intact, forming a higher low.
Alternative Scenario – Bullish Continuation
If BTC accepts above the supply zone with strong volume and closes, this invalidates the pullback thesis. In that case:
- The market transitions into price discovery
- Upside continuation opens toward 97,000+
This scenario requires acceptance, not just wicks.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is strong but strength alone is not enough at major supply.
Right now, BTC is at a decision zone, where smart money typically distributes or reloads.
Until price shows acceptance above resistance, pullbacks are corrective, not bearish, and they are often the best opportunities within a larger bullish trend.
This is no longer about chasing momentum. It’s about reading where the market wants balance before the next expansion.
Update: IREN Limited (IREN) - structure beats emotionsIREN Limited operates in Bitcoin mining and AI cloud infrastructure, focused on renewable energy and scalable data centers. Mining is the core revenue driver, AI services are still small but growing fast.
On the daily chart, a falling wedge has been broken to the upside, followed by a clean retest. The structure is holding. Price is now sitting in a strong daily support zone at 36–38, aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
MACD is turning bullish on higher timeframes, and short- to mid-term moving averages are stabilizing. This looks like accumulation after a deep correction, not a random bounce.
By the end of 2025, IREN scaled materially.
Revenue grew from $184M in 2024 to roughly $485M in 2025.
Bitcoin mining remains the main contributor, while AI Cloud Services added about $16M and continue expanding.
Consensus estimates point to ~$230M revenue in Q2 2026. EPS is still negative, which fits a capital-intensive expansion phase.
As long as price holds 36–38, the market is pricing a move toward 50 → 60 → 70.
This is not a one-day trade. It’s a structural recovery setup.
The chart already did the talking.
Ethereum Enters a New Market Cycle — Accumulation CompleteOn the H1 timeframe, Ethereum is showing a classic market cycle transition, aligning well with Wyckoff / cycle theory rather than random price movement. The recent structure strongly suggests that ETH has already completed a full corrective cycle and is now rotating into a new bullish expansion phase.
From a cycle perspective, the market first experienced a distribution phase near the previous highs around the 3,280 region, where strong selling pressure entered and ended the prior uptrend. This was followed by a markdown phase, clearly visible in the sustained bearish leg where price traded below the fast and slow moving averages, confirming bearish control and momentum continuation to the downside.
As price approached the 3,050–3,080 area, selling pressure began to weaken. This zone marked the accumulation phase of the cycle. Price action shifted from impulsive bearish candles into a rounded, basing structure, forming a smooth curvature that reflects smart money absorption rather than panic selling. This rounded bottom is a textbook sign that supply is being absorbed and that the market is preparing for a trend transition.
The current price action shows Ethereum moving into the early markup phase. This is confirmed by higher lows, improving structure, and price reclaiming and holding above the faster moving average while compressing toward the slower one. The slope of price is now turning upward, indicating momentum rotation from bearish to bullish control.
From a cycle continuation standpoint, as long as ETH holds above the basing area and maintains acceptance above the moving averages, the bullish cycle remains intact. The projected path aligns with a healthy expansion structure: impulsive pushes higher followed by shallow pullbacks, targeting the previous liquidity high near 3,280 as the next major cycle objective.
In summary, Ethereum is no longer in a corrective or bearish phase. The cycle has reset, accumulation appears complete, and the market is transitioning into markup. Unless price aggressively re-enters the accumulation range, the dominant expectation remains higher highs as the bullish cycle unfolds.
Bitcoin Holding Key Demand: Is This the Launchpad Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is currently in a corrective phase following a sharp sell-off from the recent highs. After breaking below short-term structure, price has transitioned into range-bound consolidation, suggesting that bearish momentum is slowing rather than accelerating. The recent impulse down was followed by compression near support, a common behavior when the market is absorbing sell pressure. Despite the rejection from the mid-range resistance, price has not printed a new lower low, keeping the broader structure in a neutral-to-recovery state.
🟦 SUPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES
- Major Support / Demand Zone: The 90,100–90,300 region is a well-defined support zone, where price has repeatedly reacted and found buyers. This area also aligns with previous consolidation and represents a strong demand base.
- Intermediate Resistance: The 91,600 level acts as the first key resistance. This zone previously supported price and now functions as a supply flip level.
- Upper Target / Supply: The 92,900–93,000 area is the next major upside target, aligning with prior range highs and overhead liquidity.
These levels define the potential recovery path if demand holds.
🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION
- Currently, BTC is trading directly above the key support zone, placing price at a high-probability reaction area. The presence of repeated wicks and small-bodied candles suggests buyer absorption, not aggressive sell continuation.
- Price is also attempting to stabilize around dynamic levels, reinforcing the idea of short-term base formation.
My scenario:
As long as Bitcoin holds above the 90,100–90,300 support zone, the current price action can be treated as a corrective base rather than bearish continuation. A sustained push above 91,600 would likely trigger a relief rally toward the 92,900–93,000 target zone.
However, a clean hourly close below the support zone would invalidate the recovery scenario and open the door for a deeper move lower, signaling renewed bearish control.
For now, the market is defending demand and waiting for confirmation.
⚠️ RISK NOTE
Support zones can fail quickly. Let price confirm strength above resistance or weakness below demand, avoid early entries, and always manage your risk.
Symmetrical Triangle Signals an Imminent ExpansionGold is currently trading in a high-compression environment on the H1 timeframe after a strong impulsive rally that printed a fresh all-time high (ATH). Following this aggressive bullish expansion, price has transitioned into a symmetrical triangle consolidation, reflecting a temporary balance between buyers and sellers rather than a structural reversal.
The triangle is forming above the rising EMA, which is a key bullish characteristic. This indicates that the broader trend remains intact and that the current consolidation is likely a pause for continuation, not distribution. Higher lows are being respected, while lower highs reflect profit-taking and short-term supply entering the market near the ATH.
From a price action perspective, the triangle is developing after an impulsive leg higher — a classic continuation setup. Each rejection from the upper trendline has been met with shallower pullbacks, suggesting sellers are losing strength while buyers continue to absorb supply near the apex. This behavior typically precedes a volatility expansion.
The bullish scenario favors a clean breakout and acceptance above the descending trendline, which would confirm continuation toward the next upside objective near 4,648 and potentially beyond, as breakout traders and trapped shorts add momentum. Given the ATH context, upside liquidity remains largely untapped, increasing the probability of an expansion move once price escapes compression.
Alternatively, a temporary downside sweep toward the lower triangle boundary or EMA could still occur as a liquidity grab, but as long as price holds above the rising EMA and the structure remains intact, such a move would be considered corrective rather than bearish.
In summary, Gold is coiling tightly beneath ATH in a symmetrical triangle continuation pattern. The broader bias remains bullish, and the market is approaching a decisive moment where compression is likely to resolve into a strong directional move with upside continuation currently holding the technical advantage.
AUDCHF - Pullback Into Structure, Watching the ReactionAUDCHF remains overall bullish, trading cleanly inside the rising blue channel. After the recent push higher, price is now pulling back into a very interesting area.
We’re approaching the intersection of the demand zone and the lower blue trendline. This is exactly the kind of confluence I like to see in a trending market.
As long as this intersection holds and price respects the lower boundary of the channel, I’ll be looking for trend-following long setups, with confirmation coming from lower timeframes.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC - Structure Flip, Next Leg Loading...BTC just did something important.
Price broke above a key resistance, and that level has now flipped into support. This kind of structure shift usually confirms that the previous range is done and a new leg is starting.
That said, this doesn’t mean price can’t breathe.
A pullback toward the $92,000 demand zone is still possible, especially since it lines up nicely with the lower blue trendline. If that happens, it would still be considered a healthy correction.
As long as structure holds, the expectation remains the same:
one more impulse higher, with the $100,000 round number acting as the next magnet.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
USDCHF - Let the Market Come to YouUSDCHF remains overall bullish, and price is now doing exactly what we want to see in a healthy trend.
We’re currently retesting a key intersection:
– the lower blue trendline
– and the green structure support
As long as this intersection holds, my focus stays on trend-following long setups. I want to see buyers step in again from here and defend structure before considering any entries.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Above the Trendline — Is Gold Reloading for the Next ATH Break?Market Structure Overview
Gold remains in a strong bullish market structure on the H1 timeframe. The impulsive rally that pushed price into a new All-Time High (ATH) was followed by a healthy pullback not a reversal. Importantly, price continues to respect the ascending trendline, confirming that buyers remain in control.
This is a classic bullish continuation environment, where the market pauses to rebalance liquidity before the next expansion leg.
Liquidity, Gap & Institutional Context
Below current price, we can clearly see a Liquidity Zone and an unfilled Gap, formed during the aggressive impulsive move. These areas represent institutional footprints and serve as strong downside protection. As long as price holds above this liquidity base, any pullback should be treated as corrective, not bearish. The EMA 89 is also rising and aligning closely with the gap area, reinforcing the bullish framework.
Trendline & Price Behavior
Price has just completed a controlled pullback into the trendline, followed by a reaction bounce. This behavior signals:
- Sellers are failing to break structure
- Buyers are defending higher lows
- Market is compressing energy for continuation
There is no structural evidence of distribution at this stage.
Key Levels
Support / Buy Zone:
4,550 – 4,575 (Liquidity Zone + trendline confluence)
4,520 – 4,540 (Gap + EMA support)
Resistance / Targets:
ATH zone (previous high)
Next Target: 4,660 and above (liquidity expansion zone)
Scenarios
➡️ Primary Scenario (Bullish Continuation):
Price holds above the trendline and liquidity zone, forms a higher low, then breaks above the ATH. Acceptance above ATH opens the door for a strong expansion toward 4,660+, driven by breakout traders and stop-run liquidity.
⚠️ Risk Scenario:
A clean breakdown below the trendline followed by acceptance below the liquidity zone would delay continuation and trigger a deeper pullback into the gap. Until that happens, bearish setups remain counter trend.
Conclusion
Gold is not showing weakness it is consolidating above key bullish structure. Trend, liquidity, and momentum all align in favor of another upside leg. The market is not asking if it wants to go higher, but from where it wants to launch .
EURUSD at a Structural Turning Point — Reversal Confirmation On the H1 timeframe, EURUSD is showing early signs of a potential trend transition, but the market is still positioned at a highly sensitive decision zone where confirmation is critical. The broader context remains bearish, as price has respected a well-defined descending structure and stayed below the dynamic resistance represented by the moving average. The recent sharp bullish candle from the 1.1618 support zone indicates a liquidity sweep and aggressive short covering, suggesting that sellers may be temporarily exhausted. This impulsive move breaks the immediate bearish momentum and introduces the possibility of a short-term bullish cycle starting to form. However, from a structural perspective, this alone is not enough to confirm a full reversal. Price is currently reacting around the 1.1670–1.1695 resistance zone, which aligns with prior breakdown structure and acts as a key supply area. This level will determine whether the move is a genuine change of character or simply a corrective retracement within the larger downtrend. If EURUSD can achieve clean acceptance above the 1.1695 level, followed by a higher low, the market would officially transition into an early bullish cycle. In that scenario, upside expansion toward the 1.1720 and 1.1750 liquidity targets becomes highly probable as buyers take control. Conversely, failure to hold above current levels would strongly suggest a bearish continuation scenario. A rejection from resistance would likely send price back toward the 1.1618 support, where liquidity rests. A breakdown below that level would invalidate the reversal attempt and confirm continuation of the bearish cycle.
In summary, EURUSD is currently sitting at a cycle inflection point. Bulls have made their first statement, but the market still requires structural confirmation. Until price proves acceptance above resistance, this move should be treated as a corrective phase rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
ETHUSD At a Critical Support Test — Accumulation or Breakdown?On the H1 timeframe, ETHUSD is currently trading at a key decision zone, where market structure, EMA positioning, and liquidity dynamics are all converging. From a broader perspective, the market previously completed a clear bearish cycle, with price trending below the EMA and producing lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that the dominant structure before the current phase was bearish, not impulsively bullish.
As price reached the lower area around 3,080–3,100, selling pressure began to weaken. The market transitioned into a sideways accumulation phase, marked by compressed candles and reduced downside follow-through. This zone now acts as a critical support and liquidity base, where buyers and sellers are actively battling for control.
Currently, price is trading below the EMA, which is an important technical detail. As long as ETH remains below this dynamic resistance, upside moves should be treated as corrective pullbacks, not confirmed trend reversals. The recent push up and rejection back into the support zone reinforces the idea that the EMA is still capping price.
Two primary scenarios are now in play:
In the bullish cycle continuation scenario, if price holds above the highlighted support zone and forms a higher low, this would signal successful absorption of sell-side liquidity. A reclaim and acceptance above the EMA would then shift the structure into early markup. In this case, the first upside target sits near 3,163, followed by a higher liquidity objective around 3,218, where previous supply and imbalance remain untested.
In the bearish continuation scenario, a clean break and close below the support zone would confirm that accumulation has failed. This would open the door for a renewed markdown phase, with price likely targeting the lower liquidity pool around 3,036–3,026, where unfilled demand and stops are resting.
In summary, ETHUSD is sitting at a cycle inflection point. The support zone is the line between accumulation and further distribution. Traders should remain patient and wait for confirmation — either a strong reclaim above the EMA for bullish continuation, or a decisive breakdown below support to confirm bearish expansion.
Bitcoin Rejected at EMA — Bearish Continuation Still in PlayPrice has failed to reclaim the EMA around 90,900, confirming the EMA as dynamic resistance within a broader downtrend. The sharp rejection from this level signals that buyers lack follow-through and sellers remain in control. As long as BTC stays below 90,900–91,000, downside pressure is favored, with a move toward 90,200 as the first reaction level. A clean breakdown below 90,200 would likely accelerate selling into the 88,500–88,400 target zone. Only a strong close back above the EMA would invalidate this bearish continuation setup.
Wave Structure in Play — Is Gold Setting Up for a New ATH?Market Context & Structure
- Gold is trading in a strong bullish expansion phase, with price firmly holding above the key breakout base and continuing to print higher highs. The recent impulsive leg from the gap fill zone confirms that buyers are in control, and the broader structure favors continuation rather than exhaustion at this stage.
- From a structural perspective, price action aligns well with an Elliott Wave impulse sequence, where the market appears to be progressing through the later stages of the motive phase. Momentum remains constructive, and pullbacks so far have been shallow and corrective.
Wave Structure & Technical Confluence
- The move from the highlighted gap area marks Wave (1), followed by a controlled Wave (2) retracement that held above dynamic support (EMA). Price then accelerated into Wave (3) the strongest and most impulsive leg confirming bullish dominance.
- The recent consolidation represents Wave (4), a healthy pause without structural damage. As long as price remains above the gap fill support zone, the path remains open for Wave (5) to unfold, targeting a potential new all time high (ATH).
- Beyond the completion of Wave (5), the projected A–B–C corrective structure becomes the primary risk scenario, implying that upside extension should be followed by a deeper, but corrective, retracement rather than an immediate trend reversal.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4,630 – 4,660 (potential Wave 5 / new ATH zone)
Support:
+ 4,510 – 4,525 (gap-fill / structural demand)
+ Below this zone would invalidate the immediate bullish impulse
EMA / Dynamic Level: Rising EMA acting as trend support throughout the impulse
Scenarios
➡️ Primary Scenario (Bullish Continuation):
Price holds above the gap-fill demand zone and completes Wave (5), extending toward a new ATH. Any minor pullbacks are expected to remain corrective and shallow while structure stays intact.
⚠️ Risk Scenario (Post-Impulse Correction):
After Wave (5) completion, the market may transition into an A–B–C corrective phase, with price rotating back toward the gap-fill zone. This would be a structural correction, not an immediate trend reversal, unless demand fails decisively.
CHFJPY - Pullback Into a Key Confluence!CHFJPY has been overall bullish , respecting the rising blue channel nicely over the past weeks.
Right now, price is pulling back into an important intersection:
the demand zone lining up with the lower blue trendline.
This is the kind of area where trends usually get tested, not broken.
As long as this confluence zone (highlighted by the blue circle) continues to hold, my bias remains straightforward:
I’ll be looking for trend-following long setups, preferably after confirmation on lower timeframes.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Gold Rebuilds Strength on H4 — New All-Time Highs Back in SightOANDA:XAUUSD on the 4-hour timeframe remains firmly embedded in a strong bullish macro structure. Despite the sharp corrective drop seen previously, price has successfully absorbed selling pressure and rebuilt a sequence of higher lows, confirming that the pullback was corrective rather than a trend reversal.
The recent recovery leg has reclaimed multiple key structure levels, with price now consolidating above the 4,470–4,490 region, a former resistance that is transitioning into support. This behavior signals bullish acceptance, not distribution. Buyers continue to step in on dips, keeping momentum constructive.
Structurally, the market is now compressing below the 4,520–4,545 resistance band, which represents the final barrier before price explores new highs. The consolidation here is healthy and typical before continuation, especially after a strong expansion leg.
Importantly, no major bearish displacement is present. Candles → pullbacks remain shallow, volume stays supportive, and downside attempts are quickly absorbed — all signs of a market preparing for another upside leg.
Bullish scenario (preferred): As long as price holds above 4,450–4,420, continuation toward 4,520, then 4,545–4,560, is favored. A clean breakout above this zone opens the path toward new all-time highs.
Bearish scenario: Only a sustained breakdown below 4,418 with acceptance would signal a deeper correction, potentially targeting 4,380–4,350. Until then, bearish moves remain corrective.
Overall, Gold is coiling beneath resistance in a bullish environment. This is not a topping structure it’s a pause before expansion. Patience favors trend continuation, with confirmation at breakout levels rather than anticipation.
Consolidation Before Expansion or Deeper Liquidity Grab?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the H1 timeframe is currently trading within a clearly defined range, bounded by a strong supply zone overhead and a well-established demand zone below. After the recent impulsive move into the upper supply area, price was met with aggressive selling pressure, resulting in a sharp rejection and a return back toward the mid-range. This behavior confirms that the market is still in a balancing phase rather than trending decisively.
The supply zone around the 91,800–92,200 region continues to act as a distribution area, where previous upside attempts have failed to gain sustained acceptance. The most recent rejection from this zone reinforces the presence of active sellers defending higher prices, suggesting that breakout attempts remain vulnerable unless supported by strong momentum and follow-through.
On the downside, the demand zone near the 89,600–89,900 region remains a critical area of interest. This zone has previously absorbed selling pressure effectively, leading to sharp reactions and range continuation. A corrective rotation back into this demand area would be structurally healthy, allowing the market to sweep liquidity and potentially establish a higher low before the next directional move.
If demand holds and price forms a clear higher-low structure, Bitcoin could rotate back toward the upper boundary of the range and challenge the supply zone once again. A clean break and sustained acceptance above supply would signal a transition from consolidation into bullish expansion, opening the path toward higher liquidity targets.
Conversely, failure to hold the demand zone would invalidate the range structure and increase the probability of deeper downside continuation. Until either boundary is decisively broken, Bitcoin remains in a state of equilibrium, with price oscillating between supply and demand as the market builds liquidity for its next impulsive move.
EURUSD Is Reclaiming Structure — Support Flip1. Current Market Structure
- EURUSD has been trading in a short-term bearish structure, respecting a descending trend and staying below the EMA 50 for most of the session.
However, the most recent price action signals a potential structural shift.
- Price aggressively swept the lows, then reclaimed the key support zone with strong bullish displacement, breaking the sequence of lower lows. This move is not corrective in nature — it shows intent and strength from buyers.
- While the broader trend was bearish, the latest impulse suggests the market is transitioning into a corrective to bullish phase, rather than immediate continuation to the downside.
2. Key Zones & Market Positioning
Support Zone (Structure Flip Area):
1.1654 – 1.1659
→ Previous resistance turned support
→ Strong reaction and acceptance above this zone
Immediate Resistance Zone:
1.1700 – 1.1705
→ Key supply area
→ Likely pause or reaction zone on first test
Upside Target / Liquidity Pool:
1.1740 – 1.1744
→ Unfilled liquidity and prior high
→ Main upside objective if bullish momentum holds
As long as price holds above 1.1654, the bullish corrective structure remains valid.
3. Liquidity & Price Behavior
The sharp bullish candle from the lows indicates a sell-side liquidity sweep, followed by strong buy-side absorption.
Key observations:
Long lower wick at the lows → stop-hunt confirmation
Strong close above support → acceptance, not rejection
Rising volume on the bullish impulse → real participation
This behavior aligns with a liquidity grab followed by a reversal, not a weak bounce.
4. Today’s Market Scenarios
🔼 Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation (Corrective Rally)
Expected flow:
- Price holds above 1.1654 – 1.1659
- Minor pullback into support
- Higher low formation
- Push toward 1.1700 – 1.1705
If broken and accepted → extension toward 1.1740+
This scenario favors buying pullbacks, not chasing the initial impulse.
🔽 Alternative Scenario – Range / Failed Follow-Through
If price:
- Fails to reclaim 1.1700
- Starts printing lower highs below resistance
Then expect:
- Sideways consolidation
- Range between 1.1655 – 1.1700
- Market waiting for new liquidity
❌ Invalidation Scenario
Only if price:
- Breaks and closes below 1.1654
This would invalidate the bullish reversal thesis and signal continuation of the broader bearish trend.
5. Trading Perspective
Bias: Short-term bullish (corrective)
Execution: Buy pullbacks above support
Risk: Chasing price into resistance
EURUSD is not trending aggressively yet but it is shifting control from sellers to buyers.
EURUSD Breaks Support — Sellers Target Deeper LiquidityPrice has cleanly broken and closed below the 1.1645 support, confirming a continuation of the bearish market structure with lower highs and lower lows firmly in place. Selling pressure remains dominant, and recent pullbacks are being sold aggressively.
As long as price stays below 1.1650, any short-term bounce is likely corrective and vulnerable to renewed downside pressure.
A sustained move lower opens the path toward 1.1620, followed by the major liquidity target near 1.1590. Only a strong reclaim back above 1.1680 would invalidate the bearish continuation scenario and signal a potential shift in short-term momentum.
Ethereum Breaks Descending Structure — Is a Fresh Bullish Leg UnEthereum (ETHUSD) on the H1 timeframe is showing a notable shift in short-term structure after breaking cleanly above a well-defined descending trendline. This trendline had capped price throughout the recent corrective phase, so the breakout signals that bearish momentum is fading and buyers are beginning to regain control.
The prior move down now appears corrective within a broader bullish context rather than the start of a trend reversal. Price has formed a higher low after the breakout and is stabilizing above the 3,080–3,100 support zone, confirming this area as a key demand base and structural pivot.
With the trendline broken, the market is transitioning from sell-the-rally behavior into a potential buy-the-dip environment, provided price continues to hold above the breakout area.
Overhead, ETH faces a sequence of clear resistance levels that will define the strength of any continuation:
- 3,180 – first reaction and intraday structure resistance
- 3,260 – prior consolidation high and liquidity magnet
- 3,300–3,320 – major resistance and key upside objective
Bullish: As long as price holds above 3,080–3,100 and respects the broken trendline, continuation toward 3,180, then 3,260, becomes likely. Acceptance above these levels opens the path toward 3,300+.
Bearish: A failure to hold above the breakout zone and a sustained move back below 3,080 would invalidate the bullish shift and suggest a return to range or deeper correction.
At this stage, Ethereum is at a post-breakout validation phase. Patience is key the highest-probability opportunities come from holding above the broken trendline or clean continuation through resistance, not from chasing price mid-structure.






















