Mastering Market Rhythm Through Adaptation👋Welcome, everyone!
In my previous post, I shared “The Secret Formula: Time + Structure = 80% Win Rate!” – a powerful way to increase your trading accuracy. But here’s the truth: even the best formula won’t work if you apply it blindly to every situation.
That’s why today I want to dive deeper into the next key lesson:
👉 Mastering Market Rhythm Through Adaptation
Why is this important?
The market has its own rhythm. Sometimes it trends strongly, sometimes it ranges, and other times it becomes extremely volatile. If you try to force one strategy on every scenario, you’ll be out of sync – and out of money.
By adapting, you will:
Know when to trade aggressively and when to scale down.
Choose the right strategy for the right market phase.
Most importantly: protect your capital and survive long enough to thrive.
How to adapt in practice
- Identify the market condition: Trend – Range – High Volatility.
- Adjust your strategy:
Clear trend → trend-following.
Range-bound → trade support and resistance.
High volatility → reduce lot size, focus on risk control.
- Multi-timeframe analysis: H1 may look sideways while H4 shows a clear trend.
- Always prepare a Plan B: If the market shifts, you won’t be caught off guard.
Real-world examples
XAUUSD: Fed cuts rates → gold rallies → follow the trend.
EURUSD: Pre-news uncertainty, ranging between 1.0850 – 1.0950 → range trading.
BTCUSDT: ETF approval sparks huge volatility → cut position size, wait for stability.
Final thoughts
There is no “holy grail” in trading. The real edge comes from knowing how to dance in sync with the market’s rhythm . The formula Time + Structure shows you where and when, while market adaptation shows you how long you can stay in the game.
👉 Would you like me to share a live case study on XAUUSD , applying both Time + Structure and Market Condition Analysis step by step?
Trend
NEAR’s Biggest Move of 2025 Incoming?NEAR has been consolidating for months, carving out a textbook accumulation phase within the broader descending channel. Each previous cycle bottom (marked in red) has acted as a launchpad, and price is once again aligning with the cycle rhythm.
As long as the $2.5 – $2.7 demand zone holds, NEAR remains well-positioned for a potential breakout. A clean push above the short-term descending structure could ignite the impulse leg toward the $5.5 – $6.5 zone, where the next projected cycle top lies.
📌 Key Takeaways:
Structure: Price is respecting the descending channel with repetitive cycle bottoms and tops.
Accumulation: Sideways action suggests smart money is loading up.
Impulse Potential: Breakout could trigger a strong rally into the next resistance zone.
Invalid Level: A daily close back below $2.5 would put the bullish scenario on hold.
Patience is key here ⏳—waiting for confirmation above structure ensures we catch the move, not the noise.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
EURJPY: Uptrend ContinuationSeveral observations over on the daily and H1 timeframes.
Daily Timeframe:
EMA20 remains above EMA60, which indicates uptrend from a technical standpoint.
Price is also crossing above HTL so that's no longer holding as resistance.
H1 Timeframe:
Price crosses above ATL, pulls back, and holds above breakout level.
The demand zone is subjective but price's pull-back did remain above this zone.
BTC - The Head and Shoulders of the Year?Bitcoin is shaping one of the most powerful reversal patterns traders could ask for: the inverse head and shoulders. After holding the ascending channel’s lower bound and bouncing from the key structure zone, BTC is signaling that bulls may soon take over.
Here’s what stands out on the chart:
🟢 Bullish Channel: Price continues to respect the rising channel, maintaining its long-term bullish outlook.
🛡️ Structure Zone: The $110,000 – $113,000 region is acting as a crucial pivot, flipping from support to resistance.
🔄 Inverse Head and Shoulders: A textbook reversal setup is forming, with the neckline aligning perfectly with structure.
🚀 Bullish Breakout: A confirmed break above this neckline could trigger the next major impulse move, putting BTC back on track toward higher channel targets.
Bulls need a clean daily close above the neckline for full confirmation — until then, the setup is in play but not yet validated.
📌 Will this become the pattern of the year that propels Bitcoin to new highs?
This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage your risk before entering any trade.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025: Gold is stable, traders prepare ahead of important US CPI data, conditions and technical positions to watch.
Fundamental news: Spot gold prices were generally stable in today's Asian trading session, currently around $3630/ounce. Gold prices are in a wait-and-see mode, closely watching the all-time high before the release of US CPI data for August. Weak US PPI inflation data, fueling speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue its easing cycle at its upcoming meeting in September.
Technical analysis: After making the latest ATH at 3675, gold prices are correcting and forming a short-term downtrend channel in the H1 frame, however, the 3620 - 3625 area is still a good support zone for gold prices. Currently, there will be 2 scenarios with the highest probability of occurrence: Case 1: Gold price will form an upward price pattern around the 3620 - 3625 area and increase sharply, we will wait for the reaction when the price meets resistance at 3660 - 3665. Case 2: Gold price continues to follow the downtrend channel to the lower support area of 3595 - 3600 and then increase again. We will trade based on these 2 scenarios and still prioritize trading according to the main trend.
Important price zones today: 3620 - 3625, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3620 - 3622
SL 3617
TP 3625 - 3635 - 3645 - 3665 - OPEN.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3598 - 3600
SL 3595
TP 3603 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660 - OPEN.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025: Gold is stable, traders prepare ahead of important US CPI data, conditions and technical positions to watch.
Fundamental news: Spot gold prices were generally stable in today's Asian trading session, currently around $3630/ounce. Gold prices are in a wait-and-see mode, closely watching the all-time high before the release of US CPI data for August. Weak US PPI inflation data, fueling speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue its easing cycle at its upcoming meeting in September.
Technical analysis: After making the latest ATH at 3675, gold prices are correcting and forming a short-term downtrend channel in the H1 frame, however, the 3620 - 3625 area is still a good support zone for gold prices. Currently, there will be 2 scenarios with the highest probability of occurrence: Case 1: Gold price will form an upward price pattern around the 3620 - 3625 area and increase sharply, we will wait for the reaction when the price meets resistance at 3660 - 3665. Case 2: Gold price continues to follow the downtrend channel to the lower support area of 3595 - 3600 and then increase again. We will trade based on these 2 scenarios and still prioritize trading according to the main trend.
Important price zones today: 3620 - 3625, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3620 - 3622
SL 3617
TP 3625 - 3635 - 3645 - 3665 - OPEN.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3598 - 3600
SL 3595
TP 3603 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660 - OPEN.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
USD/JPY - Weak Support suggests breakoutHi all traders. Ive done a few breakdowns of this market now all following similar fundamentals.
Here is my conclusion:
Market is currently ranging. We are approaching a Strong 8H Supply zone facing close to a much tested Support.
Im looking for a strong rejection off this Supply into this support with enough pressure to make Bearish movements through this zone. Monthly Imbalance suggests Buyers are sitting lower so I will be aiming beyond this support.
Good luck to all and I follow me for more updates.
CADCHF: Trend Continues Below Daily LevelCADCHF is beginning to show confluence, which gives me an opportunity to frame my entry opportunity. Here are the key observations across the daily and H1 timeframes.
Daily Timeframe:
Price made a strong break below the HTL and is holding below it.
Although two bullish bar formed, they did not engulf the previous bearish bar, which is a good indication that buying strengh just isn't there.
H1 Timeframe:
There's quite a bit of confluence on the H1 timeframe with the first being price entering and exiting the potential supply zone.
In addition, price is about to cross below the ATL, which is another sign that the counter-trend move is ending.
Finally, there's confluence with the moving averages where EMA20 is crossing below EMA60; price is also beginning to cross below EMA20.
USD/JPY - Top Down Analysis 🟣 Monthly Chart (Macro Structure)
Context: Price has been ranging within a broad band between 162 resistance and 138–140 support.
Current Zone: Sitting mid-range near 147–148, right under a heavy monthly supply block (150–152).
Bias: Until 150+ breaks clean, upside is capped. Structure suggests more downside liquidity hunts.
🔵 Weekly Chart (Swing Bias)
Supply Zone: Weekly supply at 150–152 rejected strongly.
Trendline: Rising liquidity channel (higher lows), but capped at supply.
Order Flow: Repeated rejections indicate sellers still control the higher timeframe.
Bias: Bearish toward the liquidity resting around 145.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 150–152
Support: 144–145
🟢 Daily Chart (Refined Structure)
Supply Reaction: Strong rejection from the 61.8% retrace within the weekly supply zone.
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): Resting neatly at 145 handle, aligning with trendline support.
Bias: Lower-high structure under supply → daily order flow favors continuation down.
⏱ 1H Chart (Execution Layer)
Supply Zone: 147.7–147.9 (confluent with 71% fib retrace & weak resistance).
Reaction: Intraday rejection already showing weakness.
Next Path: Break of weak support at 147.0 would confirm continuation toward 146.8 → 145.5.
Intraday Bias: Sell rallies back into 147.7–147.9.
USD/JPY - Targets for next move Hi Traders, what are everyone's thoughts on USD/JPY?
This is my view.. I see price in HTF making Bullish movements reacting of Demand zones. What we have now is a very clear ranging market after price came off the Supply zone. BSL was swept and now we are stuck between a very weak Support and Resistance.
So what I belive will happen next will be due to HTF bullish Demand, I see SSL liquidity that has to be swept before buyers step in to drive the price back up again. Im seeing much stronger rejections from sellers than I am from buyers currently telling me Sellers have more control.
I do have short positions currently active but I will continue to add more positions on this pullback. The highlighted yellow area within the IMB will be my targets.
Good luck traders and please follow and comment if this was helpful
USDSEK: Trend ContinuationUSDSEK is one of the latest pairs to break below a key daily level. Here's my analysis on both the daily and intraday timeframes.
Daily Timeframe:
EMA20 is below EMA60, which indicates that this is a downtrend.
Price crossed below the horizontal trend line (HTL) and then a bullish bar formed that remain below the HTL.
H1 Timeframe:
Price entered a supply zone, and seemed to hold below it.
Price also crossed back below the EMA20, signaling confluence with the overall daily downtrend.
Review and plan for 10 September 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
GBPJPY – Testing the Range Once AgainGBPJPY has been stuck in a wide range between 198.00 (support) and 200.50 (resistance) for several weeks now.
🔻 Sellers continue to defend the upper boundary (red arrows).
🔹 Buyers are stepping in around the 198.00 demand zone (blue arrows).
📈 Price is currently rejecting the resistance area once more while also sitting above the rising trendline (red).
If the resistance holds, we could see a rejection toward the lower bound of the range. On the other hand, a clean breakout above 200.50 would be needed for bulls to take full control. 🚀
This setup makes GBPJPY one of the key pairs to watch in the coming days.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and follow your trading plan before making any investment decisions.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Risky NZDUSD Trade RecapThis setup wasn’t the cleanest, but sometimes calculated risk pays off.
📉 Setup:
Price was in a clear downtrend, making this buy counter-trend.
Demand zone around 0.5818 offered a possible bounce.
Break of the descending trendline gave early confirmation.
✅ Entry: 0.58189
❌ SL: 0.57964
🎯 TP: 0.59420 – 0.59490 supply zone
📊 Outcome:
Despite the risk of fading the trend, price respected demand, broke structure, and ran straight into my supply target at 0.5940+ for full profits.
⚠️ Not every trade will be textbook perfect — but with proper risk management, even the risky ones can pay off.
#NZDUSD #ForexTrader #RiskManagement #RiskyTrade #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexJourney #MarketStructure
USDSEK: Trend ContinuationUSDSEK looks to resume its downtrend. This is observable based on the daily and 1-hour timeframe confluence.
Daily Timeframe:
Starting on the daily timeframe, EMA20 rests below EMA60, with price hovering below EMA20. This indicates that the overall trend is down.
In addition, price recently made a clean break below the horizontal trendline (HTL). It then tried to trade above it with no success.
1-Hour Timeframe:
Over on the lower timeframe, we see confluence as well. Price crosses below the ascending trendline, which indicates the overall trend is resuming. There's alignment on the daily and 1-hour timeframes.
My entry is based on the consolidating range that formed after the price pullback. Price is now breaking out of this range, which signals that momentum is picking up.
Understand This, and You Will Always Be the Winner👋Welcome, everyone!
Have you ever wondered what causes the market to rise and fall? You may have seen in my analysis that I always refer to the news, and yes, that’s the answer. In addition to technical analysis, news always plays a crucial role as a catalyst, driving stronger trends. Let’s explore more!
TOPIC: Identifying The News Groups That Strongly Affect Gold Prices
Not all news is important. Gold often fluctuates strongly due to the following factors:
-Interest rates & FED policies (FOMC, FED chairman’s speech)
-Inflation data: CPI, PCE, Core CPI
-USD strength: DXY index, employment report (NFP)
-Geopolitics: Conflict, war, financial crisis
➡️ If the news falls into these 4 groups, pay close attention.
💡 Understand the basic logic of USD and gold
🔼 When the USD strengthens (due to good news about the U.S. economy, the FED raising interest rates) → gold usually decreases.
🔽 When the USD weakens (bad news, the FED loosens, high inflation) → gold usually increases.
🚫 When there is instability (crisis, war, risk) → safe-haven money flows into gold.
➡️ By understanding this logic, you don’t need to memorize too much.
📢 Read the news in 3 steps
When the news is released:
-Compare the actual results with the forecast and previous period.
-Place gold in the logic above to speculate on the initial direction.
-Combine with the chart to find a reasonable entry instead of entering immediately when the news is released (avoid getting stopped out).
⭐️ Real example: OANDA:XAUUSD A strong rally to 3600 USD.
Cause: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) released on September 6.
📊 The data showed:
-Actual: 22K
-Forecast: 75K
-Previous: 79K
This is a strong bullish signal: the number of jobs created was much lower than expected, showing a weakening U.S. labor market → USD weakens → gold surges, providing a great buying opportunity.
📌 In conclusion: Reading the news doesn’t have to be complicated. Just remember:
✅ Important news that affects gold.
✅ USD and gold are almost opposites.
✅ Always combine news + technical analysis for safe entries.
Now, it’s your turn to put the knowledge into practice. Please like this post if you understand everything and are looking forward to the next lessons, it will be a great encouragement for me.
Wishing you all the best on your way to becoming an expert!
BTC – Bulls Guarding the Key Zone!Bitcoin is retesting a major support zone 🛡️ that overlaps with the previous ATH breakout level.
This area has been acting as a strong demand zone, keeping the overall structure bullish despite recent corrections.
As long as this zone holds, we will keep looking for long opportunities 📈, with the next wave of momentum likely pushing BTC higher. If the bulls manage to reclaim the minor resistance ahead, we could see them fully take over and drive price back into an upward rally.
For now, this zone remains a crucial pivot — watch closely for bullish confirmation signals.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
ETH – Watching the Falling Channel!Ethereum is currently trading within a falling channel on the 4H timeframe, showing short-term bearish pressure.
Price is approaching the support zone around the $4,000–$4,100 area, which also aligns with the lower boundary of the channel.
As long as this zone holds, it could act as a springboard for bullish momentum, offering a potential long setup.
A breakout from the channel would further confirm buyer strength and open the way toward the resistance zone near $4,800–$4,900.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
GOLD – New All-Time High Gold has just reached a new all-time high, touching the level of 3598.10 for the first time in history. With this move, the market has created a new Higher High (HH), placing the price near a very significant resistance zone.
🔎 Key points to watch:
If price holds above this zone, continuation of the bullish momentum remains possible.
However, in case of rejection, we could expect a pullback towards the 3500 and potentially 3440 levels.
📊 This zone will be crucial for defining the next direction of Gold. Traders should pay close attention to how price action behaves in the coming sessions.