Trend Analysis
GBPUSD | FRGNT DAILY FORECAST | FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY📅 Q1 | W6 | D13 | Y26
📊 GBPUSD | FRGNT DAILY FORECAST | FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY
🔍 Analysis Approach
I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on:
• Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
• Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐
• Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
• Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅
This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price.
💡 My Motto
“Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.”
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ On Losses
Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they are necessary, expected, and managed.
We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section.
Stay sharp 🧠
Stay consistent 🎯
Protect your capital 🔐
— FRGNT 🚀📈
FX:GBPUSD
EUR/USD ANALYSIS - 11.02.2026━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 EUR/USD ANALYSIS - 11.02.2026
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📊 DAILY TIMEFRAME
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On daily timeframe we can note some pretty interesting things in order to form ourselfs an ideea on where EU wants to go. Of course we will need some more detail from lowertime frame charts but long story short there are 2 posibilities.
First thing first, EURUSD is a pair that is bullish on a swing level. So longs are more apropiate to look for. The problem is that currentlly we have a supply zone that seems strong enough not to let EURUSD fly to upside. The most recent bullish reaction was from a daily demand zone, after getting liquidity and after touching discounted prices.
1. The bullish scenario is that Orderflow is respected on daily timeframe and we can see multiple demands respected. Price in this case, after touching the last demand zone, will push even higher in price.
2. The bearish scenario is that current supply zone will push price lower, to find out even more liquidation before going again up. And the most recent liquidity point in this case is actually the supply zone itself.
For a better understanding we need to head on to lower timeframes.
📸 Chart:
⏱️ 4H TIMEFRAME
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On the 4h chart we can see things more clear. The most recent supply zone on daily hides also a supply zone for 4h chart but also starting of the bearish Orderflow. The supply zone formed is based on a liquidation so that means it is powerfull enough to hold. In my mind, now, price will start respecting the orderflow wich is bearish for at least the connection with the 4h demand. And after the connection with demand, there are multiple posibilities but i will name only the 2 most important.
1. After connecting with 4h demand zone, price can give a reaction (because we are also inside the daily demand) and push up higher.
2. After connecting with 4h demand zone, sellers actually gain too much confidence and buyers will wait for a better moment to push leaving this demand zone as consolation prize for them. And after liquidating the 4h/daily demand zone, and entering the 2nd demand zone on daily, we can see a good reaction to upside.
But until then, we need to focus on what price does now.
📸 Chart:
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💡 Analysis by @YourUsername | 11.02.2026
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GBPUSD - Rejection from Channel Resistance, Downside Targets GBPUSD tested the upper boundary of the ascending channel near 1.38 and formed a clear bearish reaction.
The rejection occurred within a historical supply zone, after which price moved back below the 1.3680 level, increasing the probability of a corrective move inside the channel. The current structure suggests a potential decline toward the midline of the channel around 1.34, and if selling pressure continues, further downside toward 1.3190 and 1.2990 support levels becomes possible, where strong demand was previously observed.
The CCI indicator is turning down from overbought territory, confirming weakening bullish momentum. Although the broader trend remains bullish, the reaction from the upper channel boundary may signal the beginning of a deeper correction. The main scenario favors a move toward 1.34 and 1.3190, while the alternative scenario would activate if price reclaims and holds above 1.3680, restoring bullish continuation potential.
Apple - Correction on Schedule TodayWe continue to cover corrective moves in Apple stock.
Previously, we discussed Wave A .
Currently, the stock price is in Wave B .
The five -wave impulsive move up is complete and is now being corrected.
Key targets:
265 - local correction
260
256
Potential move from current level: 5-7% .
After that, expect a return to the growth phase,
with possibly one more small upward impulse toward the 290 area, slightly above or below, before Wave C develops.
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Gold Short-Term Trading Plan!Gold on the 1H timeframe is still trading inside a symmetrical triangle, but price has just shown clear rejection near the upper boundary (~5,030–5,050).
Key observations:
• Lower highs forming near resistance
• Price struggling to hold above short-term moving average
• Momentum weakening near triangle apex
• Rising trendline support currently around 4,950–4,970
Compression is almost complete — breakout likely soon.
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Currently Higher Probability)
If price breaks below 4,950, the triangle support fails.
Downside targets:
• 4,900
• 4,820
• 4,700
• Extended target: 4,550 major support
This would confirm bearish expansion from compression.
✅ Short Stop Loss:
• Above 5,050
• Conservative SL: above 5,100
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation of Bearish View)
If price reclaims and closes above 5,050, then:
Upside targets:
• 5,150
• 5,300
• 5,500
Would confirm bullish breakout from triangle.
✅ Long Stop Loss:
• Below 4,950
• Conservative SL: below 4,900
GBPUSD – 2H timeframe....GBPUSD – 2H timeframe.
I can see:
Head & Shoulders pattern
Neckline already breaking
Price below short-term structure
Inside / near Ichimoku cloud → momentum shifting bearish
📉 Bearish Setup (Primary Scenario)
Current price around 1.3625
🎯 Sell Targets:
TP1: 1.3560 (recent support)
TP2: 1.3500 (psychological + structure)
TP3: 1.3450 (measured move of H&S – matches my lower marked target)
📏 Measured Move Logic:
Head to neckline projected downward ≈ 150–180 pips → Gives target around 1.3450 area
❌ Invalidation
2H close above 1.3700
Strong break above right shoulder high
📌 My View
Neckline break + cloud resistance = downside likely
Best continuation below 1.3600
ETH/BTC 1W: The Final Resistance - 9-Year Breakout Imminent!We are looking at the single most important chart for the entire crypto ecosystem. This is not just about Ethereum; this is the "Master Key" for the long-awaited Altcoin Season.
The "Line of Death" (2017-2026):
The chart shows a massive descending resistance trendline that has suppressed the price since the 2017 Peak. This line has acted as a ceiling for 9 years.
The 4th Test:
We are currently testing this macro trendline for the 4th time (Previous touches: 2017, 2022, 2025). In technical analysis, the more a resistance is tested, the weaker it becomes.
Compression & Squeeze:
Volatility has completely collapsed. The price is being squeezed into the apex of this massive wedge. According to the laws of market physics: "Compression leads to Expansion."
This is the decision point.
A weekly close above this black trendline triggers a massive capital rotation from Bitcoin to Altcoins (The real "Altseason").
Keeps the liquidity trapped in Bitcoin and continues the "BTC Dominance" pain.
Stop watching the dollar pairs. Watch this line. The fate of your altcoin portfolio depends entirely on this breakout.
EurUsd short term sell ideaPair: EUR/USD
Position: Sell Now
Stoploss: 1.18900
Take Profit 1: 1.18428
Take Profit 2: 1.18300
Overall, I am still bullish on EUR/USD from the higher timeframes. However, price has broken the bullish trendline, and we are anticipating a potential break of support. Because of this shift in short-term structure, I am taking this sell setup.
CPI news is scheduled for tomorrow at 8:30 AM, so we could see increased volatility.
WLD: potential breakout ahead? key levels to watch for todayWLD. Still watching this thing drip and wondering if the next move is finally up? AI coins are back on the radar after fresh headlines about new partnerships in the sector, while, according to the market, WLD is facing another wave of attention around supply and regulation. Volatility is waking up again right at a key support zone.
On the 4H chart price is sitting on a big demand block around 0.36–0.37, where we already saw a sharp wick and quick buyback. RSI bounced from oversold and is curling up near 40–50, hinting at a possible mean‑reversion push. With a fat volume node under price and several stacked resistance shelves above, I’m leaning toward a short‑term long bounce into 0.40–0.42, maybe 0.43–0.45 if momentum joins. I might be wrong, but this looks more like accumulation than a fresh breakdown.
My simple plan: ✅ bullish scenario is long from this green zone or on a 4H close above 0.38 with first take‑profit near 0.40–0.41, second around 0.43–0.45. Stop for me lives below 0.355, where this demand idea dies. ⚠️ If price closes below that area and holds, I flip the bias and expect a slide toward the next liquidity pocket closer to 0.33, so I’d rather step aside than bag‑hold.
XAGUSD: downside opportunuties🛠 Technical Analysis: On the H4 chart, Silver (XAGUSD) is consolidating after a sharp selloff from the recent peak. Price is currently capped by a descending trendline and a key resistance zone overhead, while the lower boundary of the formation is acting as short-term support. The Moving Averages show mixed conditions: price is holding above the fast MA, but remains below the higher-period averages, keeping the broader bias pressured. This compression typically precedes expansion, and a rejection/false breakout from the upper wedge line would reinforce the bearish continuation scenario. A confirmed breakdown from the pattern opens room for a move into the next major support area around 69–71. If momentum accelerates, the lower support band becomes the next downside objective near 64.
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❗️Trade Parameters (SELL)
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➡️ Entry Point: Approx. 81.00
🎯 Take Profit: 69.43
🔴 Stop Loss: 90.14
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Bought Natural Gas futures $NG yesterday. Three reasons:Bought Natural Gas futures AMEX:NG yesterday in after-hours trading.
Three reasons: 👇
- A bear wedge is forming, and statistically these structures tend to break upward.
- Price is near the bottom of a broader range — and in ranges, the edge comes from buying low and selling high.
- Storage levels are likely to be replenished at lower prices, and we’re trading near the lowest levels in roughly 14 months.
Gas storage data is due at 11:30 AM EST, so be prepared for elevated volatility.
The entry was shared live with members.
BTC - Dip Buy SetupThe bull trap shakeout (yellow arrow) can signal significant downside, but the longer it holds the more it actually switches to signal the opposite: bear trap, exhaustion.
This area is under all local supports (white arrow) so it is the area of highest liquidity and most likely to see a reversal (relative to consideration of liquidity).
Could be some significant upside from here if it holds and could reach an eventual $87K as covered in my recent video (linked on this page).
That target is made by looking back historically to see that Bitcoin historically bounces to log 0.5 retracement as a dead cat bounce.
Good luck.
Boost, comment.
Not advice.
BTC/USD — The Volume Profile Is Telling You Exactly Who Left
Bitcoin at $66,413. Structure: BEARISH. Price sits 25.54% below the Point of Control. Outside the value area. Three words that should end every "buy the dip" conversation before it starts.
But this chart isn't about the bearish case. Everyone can see the downtrend. What most traders can't see — and what the volume profile on the left side of this chart reveals — is the absence that matters more than the price action itself.
Study the volume histogram. There are two distinct clusters of institutional activity. The first sits in the $88,000–$93,000 zone — dense, heavy, where the real positioning was built. That's where institutions accumulated during the consolidation before the breakdown. That's their cost basis. That was "fair value" when smart money was actively trading.
Now look at the space between $70,000 and $85,000.
Almost nothing. A few thin horizontal bars. That's an air pocket — a zone where price traveled through but almost no institutional volume was transacted. Nobody was building positions there. Nobody was defending levels. Price fell through it like dropping a stone through empty space.
This is one of the most important concepts in volume analysis that retail traders never learn: what isn't there tells you more than what is. A volume vacuum between the current price and the institutional cost basis means there is no structural support in that zone. Any rally attempt into the $70,000–$85,000 range is traveling through territory where institutions have no cost basis to defend, no positions to manage, and no reason to step in.
The magenta AVWAP — the institutional volume-weighted average anchored to the swing structure — is curving down through the $77,000 area and falling. It hasn't flattened. It hasn't even begun to decelerate. When the AVWAP is both falling and far above the current price, it means the institutional regime is not just bearish — it's actively deteriorating. Every new bar that closes at these levels pulls the average lower, but the gap between price and the AVWAP isn't closing. That tells you sellers are still in control of the pace.
Now here's what makes this chart worth watching closely rather than simply dismissing as "bearish and done."
The $66,000–$68,000 zone where price is currently chopping? Look at the left side again. There's a small but visible cluster of volume from an earlier period. It's thin compared to the overhead structure, but it exists. Price found the $60,000 level last week and bounced nearly 20% in a single session before sellers regained control. That bounce happened because there was a historical volume node at that level — a place where institutions had previously transacted.
The question isn't whether Bitcoin is bearish. The structure answers that unambiguously. The question is whether this thin volume node at $66,000–$68,000 can absorb enough selling to stabilize the decline — or whether it breaks and price drops back toward the $60,000 retest where the real structural floor lives.
The difference between those two outcomes depends on something most retail traders never check: what's happening in the macro flow environment above crypto in the Cantillon sequence. Money doesn't arrive at risk assets first. It arrives last. And right now, the assets that receive flows first are telling a very specific story about where we are in the cycle.
That story — and what it means for Bitcoin's next move — is the kind of analysis we cover in the daily institutional volume brief.
Regime first. Volume second. Price last.
Bullish continuation setup?AUD/NZD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 1.16828
1st Support: 1.16203
1st Resistance: 1.17994
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Eur/Usd Buy Idea
Pair: EUR/USD
Position: Buy Now
Stoploss: 1.18333
Take Profit: 1.19518
EUR/USD is overall bullish on the higher timeframes. Price continues to respect the bullish channel. As long as we maintain structure and stay within this channel, we will continue looking for buying opportunities in line with the trend.
Higher timeframe bias remains bullish, so we are targeting continuation to the upside.
#SUI/USDT – Bullish Triangle Breakout Confirmed | Resistance#SUI
The price is moving within a descending channel on the hourly timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a downward trend, approaching the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is anticipated.
There is a key support zone in green at 0.8870. The price has bounced from this level several times and is expected to bounce again.
The RSI is showing a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward move.
Entry Price: 0.8968
Target 1: 0.9162
Target 2: 0.9367
Target 3: 0.9612
Stop Loss: Below the green support zone.
Remember this simple thing: Money management.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Tesla: Corrective Dip Before The Next Bullish Leg?Tesla staged an impressive recovery from its April 2025 lows, extending the rally to fresh highs near the 500 level. However, the beginning of 2026 has introduced a notable retracement, raising questions about whether this marks a larger reversal or simply a pause within a broader uptrend.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the current decline appears to be part of a corrective wave four. The pullback has unfolded in three visible subwaves so far, suggesting that the correction may be approaching completion. While the retracement has been deeper than initially expected, it still fits within the structure of a healthy consolidation phase following a strong impulsive advance.
A key technical area to monitor lies between 400 and 370. This zone is particularly significant as it aligns with the previous fourth wave of lesser degree and the former swing high from May 2025—both common areas for corrective pullbacks to find support. Such confluence strengthens the probability of a bullish reaction if price stabilizes within this range.
Momentum indicators further support this view. The Elliott Wave Oscillator has declined to levels comparable to those seen during the July and November 2025 consolidations, both of which preceded renewed upside momentum. This similarity suggests that bearish pressure may be fading and that buyers could soon attempt another push higher.
As long as Tesla remains above the 275–277 invalidation zone, the broader bullish structure remains intact. A sustained hold above key support could pave the way for the next impulsive move to new highs.
Highlights
Key support zone: 400–370
Current pullback: Likely part of wave four, potentially nearing completion
Momentum signal: Elliott Wave Oscillator approaching historical support levels
Bullish structure valid above: 275–277 invalidation zone
Amazon $AMZN has likely entered corrective phase.Three reasons:Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN - has likely entered a corrective phase.
Three reasons: 👇
- It broke below a six-month range and has remained there for several sessions, increasing the probability of further downside.
- The most recent lower high failed to approach the prior higher low — this is a sign of a strong trend could be coming.
- Ongoing concerns around AI spending continue to weigh on sentiment.
Shared this entry live with members yesterday.
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DOGE entry zone & price action: Deep altcoins market analysisJoin me in this analysis as we look at Dogecoin on the weekly timeframe, let's go deep into this chart and also the altcoins market.
There is something about counting the weeks. It is a strange phenomena but it works as a guide.
Not many projects close more than four consecutive weeks red. In this chart DOGEUSDT closed more than four weeks red only once, and this chart has more than two years worth of data.
The only time DOGE closed five weeks red there was a strong reversal on the sixth.
Within a down move, there can be additional bearish action after four weeks close red but it is always very close to the reversal point. After the sustained bearish action becomes actualize, the market turns.
This is the situation we are in now. Four weeks already closed red and everything is very similar to August 2024.
DOGEUSDT started to decline March 2024. Reaching the end of this decline, first a little bit of bullish action, which is equivalent to the green week we see here late-December/early January. Then the consecutive red weeks and the reversal starts to form.
Caution around these levels because there is always some sort of shakeout, liquidity hunt or flush.
Dogecoin is now trading within a good "entry zone." Bottom prices with support shown as a rising trendline and also the October 2025 flush low.
Two things to consider: This chart shows a reversal can happen within 2 weeks counting this week. So the current active candle and then the next candle. This is based on past action and the size and duration of the bearish wave. So we are very close to a reversal but here anything can happen.
A spot trader, investor, can buy as much as he/she wants without a care in the world. You can't go wrong when prices are this low. Even if the market were to move lower, it would only be a momentary drop.
Second, the next move is not expected to last a long time. While we expect bullish action, the fact that Bitcoin will turn extremely bearish later on, the most bearish since 2022, calls for caution. After this bearish period though we can go all-in with full force.
This is to say that it would be wise to prepare and plan for selling at the appearance of the next bullish wave. As soon as prices are high, excitement is present across the market, there is lots of hype and the sentiment turns from fear to greed, that's the moment to take profits. We will then have several months to enter again when prices are low.
Any type of bullish action will be short-lived, lasting 1-2 months at most. Then we get the bearish climax, months of bearish action, Bitcoin's bottom, consolidation at bottom prices followed by a recovery.
If Bitcoin were to move now suddenly below $70,000 and wick at $60,000 then things can change. A bullish period can last not only 1-2 months, but 2-4 months; we adapt to market conditions depending on what is happening today.
We use the past as a guide but the action is never truly the same. It is similar, but as the market grows, the patterns continue to change.
When the futures trading got started this changed the whole dynamic the market used to go through, all the patterns were distorted. Then we saw the ETFs and again, huge change. Now we have the options trading and this also is making hard to predict exact dates. With each new addition, we have to adapt to new possibilities and we are open to everything.
Let's say 1-2 weeks at most, can be more but this is my prediction right now. We go bullish and this bullish wave can be mild or strong, never small because of the size, strength and duration of the bearish cycle.
Then this bullish move being strong also will support the major crash that follows. Those projects/pairs that are set to remain within higher lows will grow really high. Those pairs that are set to crash bad will perform poorly. There will be countless of choices, it will be mixed. Choose wisely.
Namaste.






















