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Trend Analysis

Bearish reversal off key resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.7991 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.8023 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.7932 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by Vantage
Potential bullish reversal?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is amulti swing low support and oculd bounce from this levle to our take profit. Entry: 1.3724 Why we like it: There is a multi-swing low support Stop loss: 1.3678 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projections. Take profit: 1.3848 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by Vantage
GOLD Update (Before/After) & What's next?✅ GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD moved exactly as expected. You can check our previous forecast here: If you followed the plan with proper risk management, we hope you banked profit and stayed disciplined through the move. The macro backdrop we highlighted remains supportive overall, and we’ll keep sharing clean, structured analysis like this so you’re not guessing, you’re executing. What's next? We are expecting Gold to keep pushing up after a corrective structure. So make sure to look for your buy setups after a pullback or complete correction. And don't forget WTW 4 Golden rules! 1) Do not jump in 2) Do not over risk/trade 3) Do not trade without Stop Loss 4) Never ever add to a losing position! Take with care, WTW Team
FX:XAUUSDLong
by WeTradeWAVES
WEEKLY SPY (ES-SP500-SPX-US500) Outlook - Prediction (14 DEC)WEEKLY SPY (SP500-SPX-US500) Outlook - Prediction (14 DEC) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment has turned slightly bullish again following the FED’s rate cut decision. We saw the market react quickly after Powell’s speech. QE has restarted, and the FED stated it will buy $40 billion of Treasury bills over the next 30 days. This narrative supports the bullish case; however, $40B is relatively small when compared to the overall size of the U.S. market. At the same time, the bearish narrative is strengthening. Powell stated that “rates are now in a plausible range of neutral,” and the FED emphasized that it will assess incoming data until the January meeting. No decision has been made for January yet. This keeps the market in a state of uncertainty and when the market lacks a clear narrative, it often turns bearish. Keep this in mind. 📈 Technical Analysis Price ran the 690 level and printed another all time high, which I highlighted in last week’s prediction (see the linked idea below). However, although price tagged 690, it failed to close above it, and we saw a strong rejection. This reaction is a textbook example of a range deviation model. When price cannot close above a key level, it often seeks lower prices to gather liquidity and energy for continuation. 📌Prediction – Game Plan There are two scenarios I am monitoring: Scenario 1 (Black Scenario) – Bullish: Price targets the 678.75 level and runs that swing but fails to close below or closes back above 678.75. This would indicate that price has collected sufficient liquidity to expand higher. In this case, I will be buying calls, taking partial profits at 684.25, and letting the remainder run toward all time highs. Scenario 2 (Red Scenario) – Bearish: Price aggressively breaks 678.75 and closes below it on a 4H candle. In that case, I will look to buy puts around 678.75 if price provides a retest. My first target will be 670, followed by 660.5. The 670 level may act as a reversal zone for SPY. If we tap this level and see a daily close above 670, I will consider that price is attempting to seek higher levels again. 💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPY
by UA_CAPITAL
GBPUSD – 4H Structure & Projection Breakdown🔹 Market Structure Price has shifted from a downtrend into a short-term bullish structure. We can see a series of higher lows, supported by the ascending trendline drawn from the recent swing low. This confirms bullish market intent, but price is currently reacting at a key decision area. 🔹 Key Levels (Horizontal Lines) 1.3470 area (upper red line) → Major resistance / previous supply zone → This is the bullish target if continuation confirms 1.3360 area (current price / mid-level) → Short-term resistance & reaction zone → Acts as a decision point (break or pullback) 1.3230 area (lower red line) → Strong demand / support → Confluence with structure + trendline support 🔹 Orange Box (Reaction Zone) This zone represents a minor supply / pullback area Price already reacted here, suggesting: Short-term sellers stepping in Liquidity resting below before continuation 🔹 Arrow Projection Logic The arrows illustrate a classic bullish continuation scenario: Initial pullback → Price retraces from the orange zone Deeper dip into support (near 1.3230) → Liquidity sweep + trendline support Strong bullish reaction → Buyers step in from demand Continuation toward 1.3470 resistance → Completion of the higher-high structure This is not prediction, but a high-probability path if structure holds. 🔹 Bias Summary Overall Bias: Bullish continuation Condition: As long as price respects the ascending trendline and 1.3230 support Invalidation: Clean break and close below the trendline + support “We are in a bullish structure, but not in breakout mode yet. Patience for pullbacks into structure gives better risk and confirmation.” To someone would trade with us... kindly comment..
Long
by D1GITALTRADES
BTCUSDT – Bearish Continuation After Channel DistributionPrice completed a corrective move inside an ascending channel after the impulsive selloff. We’ve now rejected the upper structure and rolled over back below the EMA cluster, signaling trend continuation to the downside. The rising channel acted as a bearish retracement, not a trend reversal. Trade Plan (Short): • Entry: 88,100 – 88,500 (rejection zone) • Invalidation: Clean break & close above 90,100 • Targets:  1) 85,500  2) 83,000  3) 80,700 (main objective) Confluence: ✔ Bearish market structure ✔ EMA resistance ✔ Channel breakdown ✔ Weak follow-through from buyers As long as price remains below channel resistance and EMAs, shorts are favored. Expect continuation once liquidity above the red zone is fully mitigated.
Short
by origami_capital33
The resistance level is at 4355. Consider a small short positionGold continued its upward trend, exhibiting a renewed upward movement without any pullbacks. The highest point reached was 4350, close to Friday's high of 4253. In this current upward trend, it's advisable to close out some positions with profits, as the bullish momentum is quite strong, and to avoid a technical pullback in prices. Gold has been rising steadily on the hourly chart. Although the rise in silver has contributed to this, the bullish sentiment remains strong. The key question now is whether gold will continue its upward trend and break through 4355. If it does, it will likely test the historical high of 4381. The current trend has been moving upwards along the middle Bollinger Band. Even if there is a pullback, as long as it doesn't break through 4315, the trend will remain extremely strong. The 4-hour chart shows no decline at the Asian open this week. There are currently no suitable entry opportunities in the European session. Short-term focus is on the resistance around 4355, with further testing of this resistance level expected. Quaid suggests a small short position. If there is a strong break above 4355, the target should be the historical high of 4381. Short-term strategy: Try shorting around 4350-4355, with a stop loss at 4360 and a profit range of 4320-4315. The current market is highly volatile; I will update more trading information in the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_3
1
2H | BTC/USD Bullish Setup & Key LevelsBitcoin is currently trading near $89,854, showing signs of recovery after retesting trendline support. Price action suggests a potential bullish continuation if the market holds above the $89,000 zone. Key Levels: Entry Zone: $89,000 – $90,001 Target 1: $92,002 Target 2: $95,004 Invalidation: $86,026 (break below this level negates bullish bias) Scenario: If price sustains above the bullish zone and breaks $90,001, buyers may push toward $92,002 and possibly $95,004. Failure to hold above $89,000 could lead to invalidation at $86,026. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always confirm signals and manage risk.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Revan_Dynasty_Trades
1
Is the Cable Entering a New Bullish Expansion Phase?🔥 GBP/USD "THE CABLE" BULLISH BREAKOUT SETUP | SWING/DAY TRADE 📈💷 📊 CURRENT MARKET DATA (Real-Time Verified) Current Price: 1.3372 ✅ Today's Range: 1.3341 - 1.3401 52-Week Range: 1.2098 - 1.3789 Technical Rating: Strong Buy 🟢 🎯 TRADE SETUP OVERVIEW Asset: GBP/USD (British Pound / US Dollar) Nickname: "The Cable" 🌊 Trade Type: Swing Trade / Day Trade Direction: BULLISH 📈 💡 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & PLAN Bullish Confirmation: ✅ Simple Moving Average Pullback Confirmed Breakout Pattern Identified Retest Completed Successfully Currently Trading Near Support Zone Strategy: SMA Pullback + Breakout + Retest Entry 🎲 "THIEF" LAYERING ENTRY STRATEGY Entry Method: Multiple Limit Orders (Layering Style) Suggested Entry Layers: 🟢 Layer 1: 1.33200 🟢 Layer 2: 1.33400 🟢 Layer 3: 1.33600 Note: You can add additional layers based on your own strategy and risk tolerance. This layering approach allows for averaging into the position as price pulls back. 🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT Thief Strategy Stop Loss: 1.33000 ⛔ ⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - Adjust your stop loss based on YOUR OWN strategy and risk management rules. This is not a recommendation, but rather one approach to consider. Your capital, your rules! 💪 🎯 TARGET & EXIT PLAN Target Price: 1.34900 🎯 Exit Strategy Considerations: Strong resistance zone ahead Potential overbought conditions Trap zones identified near target ⚠️ PROFIT-TAKING DISCLAIMER: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - This is NOT a recommendation to hold until this specific target. Take profits at YOUR own discretion based on YOUR risk appetite. Your money, your rules. Exit when YOU feel comfortable! 💰 🌍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH Monitor these correlated USD pairs for confluence: 💵 USD Index ( TVC:DXY ) Why Watch: Direct inverse correlation with GBP/USD Key Point: USD weakness = GBP/USD strength Current Status: Showing bearish pressure per COT report 💶 FX:EURUSD Current Price: ~1.1744 Correlation: Strong positive correlation with GBP/USD Key Point: Both pairs move together against USD Watch For: EUR/USD breakouts often lead GBP/USD 💴 OANDA:GBPJPY Current Price: ~208.29 Correlation: Shows GBP strength independent of USD Key Point: Confirms overall Pound momentum Watch For: Yen weakness adds fuel to GBP strength 🦘 OANDA:AUDUSD Current Price: ~0.6646 Correlation: Risk-on/risk-off indicator Key Point: Risk appetite affects both pairs Watch For: Commodity currency strength = risk-on environment 🍁 OANDA:GBPCAD Correlation: Direct GBP strength measurement vs commodity currency Key Point: Isolated GBP performance indicator Watch For: Divergence signals unique GBP catalysts 📌 KEY CORRELATION INSIGHTS 🔴 When USD Weakens: GBP/USD rises ↗️ EUR/USD rises ↗️ AUD/USD rises ↗️ DXY falls ↘️ 🟢 When GBP Strengthens: GBP/USD rises ↗️ GBP/JPY rises ↗️ EUR/GBP may fall ↘️ GBP/CAD rises ↗️ 💡 Trading Tip: If you see ALL USD pairs rising together (EUR/USD, AUD/USD, GBP/USD), this confirms broad USD weakness. If only GBP/USD rises while EUR/USD stalls, this signals specific GBP strength. ⚡ FUNDAMENTAL CATALYSTS 🇺🇸 USD Factors: Federal Reserve expected to cut rates (90% probability of 25bps cut) Softer US economic data weighing on Dollar "Hawkish cut" expected with cautious guidance 🇬🇧 GBP Factors: Bank of England meeting scheduled December 18 Mixed UK economic data (inflation cooling, labor market softening) 88% probability of BoE rate cut priced in 📱 TRADE MANAGEMENT CHECKLIST ✅ Monitor DXY for USD strength/weakness ✅ Watch EUR/USD for confirmation ✅ Check GBP/JPY for isolated GBP strength ✅ Set alerts at entry layers ✅ Adjust position size to your risk tolerance ✅ Use proper stop loss discipline ✅ Take partial profits at psychological levels ✅ Trail stop loss as position moves in your favor ⚠️ FINAL RISK DISCLAIMER This is an educational trade idea, NOT financial advice. Trade at your own risk Past performance ≠ future results Only risk capital you can afford to lose Adjust ALL levels to your own strategy Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent Always use proper risk management 🏆 TRADE WITH DISCIPLINE | PROFIT WITH PATIENCE Good luck, Thief OG's! May the pips be ever in your favor! 🎯💰📈 Like 👍 | Follow 🔔 | Comment 💬
by The-Thief
Gold Spot / U.S.Dollar . 1 HBonjour and greetings to my dear followers, This is a brief analysis to catch the momentum on a 1-hour time frame, so please don’t overlook the shorter-term view. The 1-hour chart is the Gold Spot chart (XAUUSD), which clearly shows buying opportunities. Based on the DXY, this analysis is updated. Chart review: Monthly target based on the DXY’s downward step: the gold target is 4756.51 dollars, and the 1-hour buying area is 4223.26. A buy is appropriate with confirmations. The 4-hour liquidity is 4163.46, and the decision zone is 4061.18. At the moment I have received very strong sell confirmations, so this week should present excellent selling opportunities up to these levels, with confidence. The weekly buying zone is 3378.77 dollars, where the likelihood of price reaching these levels is very high. These price points have been observed for gold in the past several times; we will reassess the chart. After price reaches the 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily zones and receives a sign of renewed upward confirmation, we will proceed. When the price reaches these levels, we will enter buying positions upon receiving appropriate confirmations. Position updates: I regularly update both buy and sell positions on the 4-hour and daily time frames and will republish this analysis. Risk disclosure: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Trading in financial markets carries risks and may result in the loss of your capital. Therefore, please conduct the necessary research and enter trades with full awareness before taking action. Thank you! Wishing everyone success! Fereydoon Bahrami “A retail trader in the Wall Street trading center (Forex).”
FX:XAUUSDShort
by fereydoon1199
SPY at a Breaking Point – Dec. 15 Could Set the Tone SPY is no longer in an uptrend. The structure already broke, and what we’re seeing now feels like damage control after a hard sell, not buyers stepping in with confidence. After the sharp drop, price bounced, but that bounce stalled quickly and failed to reclaim prior support. Since then, SPY has been grinding sideways near the lows, which usually tells me the market is deciding whether to stabilize or continue lower. This isn’t strength — it’s hesitation. Key levels that matter The most important area right now is 681–682. That zone is acting like a short-term balance area. Price keeps reacting there, but it hasn’t shown any real commitment in either direction yet. If this level breaks cleanly, downside momentum can pick up fast. Below that, 679–680 is the next level that matters. If SPY loses this area, the door opens toward 676–675, where there’s unfinished business from the prior move. On the upside, 688–690 is the main ceiling. This zone was strong support before the breakdown and is now acting as resistance. Any bounce into this area that stalls is likely just a relief move, not a trend reversal. Above that, 692+ would be the level that starts changing the conversation — but price hasn’t earned that yet. How options positioning fits in Options positioning lines up with the heavy feel on the chart. There’s strong PUT interest below, which explains why SPY isn’t free-falling. At the same time, CALL resistance is stacked overhead, especially near 688–690, which makes upside follow-through difficult. That’s why moves up feel slow and corrective, while moves down feel sharper. How I’m approaching SPY As long as SPY stays below 688–690, I’m cautious on longs. That area needs to be reclaimed and held for the chart to start improving. If price loses 681, I’d expect downside pressure to build quickly toward 679 and potentially lower. For me: * Below 681 → downside continuation risk * Between 681–688 → chop and fakeouts * Above 690 with acceptance → relief rally attempt Until proven otherwise, this still looks like bearish consolidation, not a bottom. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Gold at $4,300: A Structural Bull Market Takes ShapeGold’s surge to a new all-time high at $4,300 is not a short-lived spike, but a confirmation of a broader structural trend. A 62% gain in 2025, 150% over three years, and consistent outperformance versus bonds signal a shift: gold is no longer just a cyclical hedge, but a long-term strategic asset. Falling yields, persistent inflation risks, and a weakening USD continue to attract sustained institutional inflows. On the H1 chart, price action reflects a textbook re-accumulation phase. Fair Value Gaps are created and efficiently filled, indicating controlled pullbacks rather than distribution. Gold remains firmly above a rising Ichimoku cloud, keeping bullish momentum intact. The recent dip merely absorbed liquidity around the 4,305–4,315 zone before price stabilized again. As long as gold holds above that support, the next upside extension toward 4,335–4,350 remains likely. A decisive breakout could open the door toward the 4,375–4,400 region, aligning technical structure with increasingly bullish long-term projections from major institutions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Momonoo
POTENTIAL SHORT ON AUDUSDHello traders! Here’s a clean technical and fundamental breakdown for AUD/USD based on structure, trend, and momentum. (This is analysis, not financial advice. Always manage risk.) 📉 AUD/USD Technical & Fundamental Breakdown — Sell Idea Below Key Zone We have a weekly close below 0.66500 – 0.66600, the critical structure zone and underside of the rising channel. Why This Zone Matters • It’s the mid-channel support price previously respected. • It aligns with a classic break → retest → rejection pattern. • Price was already rejected off the upper channel boundary. • A close below this range confirms bullish momentum failure and a shift in sentiment. Entry Strategy • Wait for a 4H retest back into 0.6650–0.6660 and sell the rejection. Stop-Loss Placement Place the stop above the recent swing high: 👉 0.66950 – 0.67050 This sits safely above: • The upper wick rejections • The failed breakout attempt • Channel resistance 🎯 Take-Profit Targets We identified layered demand zones—perfect for clean R-to-R targets. • INTRADAY TARGET: 0.66100 First reaction zone and minor structure • SWING TARGET: 0.65600 – 0.65500 Major liquidity pocket + significant demand • Extended Move: 0.65000 Channel bottom + multi-week demand cluster 🧠 Why This Setup Makes Sense This weekly close below the zone would confirm: • Rejection from the upper channel • Bulls losing control • A complete structure break, shifting momentum bearish • A clear imbalance toward 0.65500 This is a high-probability continuation play because we would be selling confirmation, not tops. 📉 FUNDAMENTAL/ECONOMIC BACKDROP (Supports the Sell Bias) 1️⃣ Weak Australian Jobs Data • November saw the largest job drop in 9 months, signaling softer domestic demand. • Mixed data (job losses + stable unemployment) is already weighing on AUD sentiment. Weak labor conditions reduce RBA tightening expectations → weakens AUD further, especially if technical support fails. 2️⃣ AUD Rally Stalling After Data • Recent price action shows AUD’s rally stalling at key highs. • This aligns perfectly with this technical condition: ➝ If price fails above last week’s high and closes back below structure, momentum clearly shifts bearish. 3️⃣ Divergent Monetary Expectations • RBA remains cautious with uncertain future tightening. • Meanwhile, the USD still holds the advantage if U.S. data surprises to the upside. Any strong U.S. numbers or uptick in inflation could easily flip AUD/USD lower. Together, these factors strengthen the case for a continuation drop into 0.6610 → 0.6550 →
Short
by PipTips