Bitcoin(BTCUSDT)–ResistanceRejection Setup|DownChannel structureBitcoin (BTCUSDT) is still respecting its downward channel structure, with multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) signals along the way.
Resistance Zone: 113,500 – 114,000
Support Zone: 107,500 – 108,000
Price is currently trading around 112,226, just below the resistance area. If sellers step in strongly, a rejection could drive price back down toward the support zone.
A sustained breakout above resistance would invalidate this short-term bearish outlook.
Watch for rejection patterns around resistance before taking entries.
Bearish continuation is valid only if the channel remains intact.
Always apply proper risk management and stop-loss levels.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Trend Analysis
GBPAUD | Possible Re-entry on 15Min When analyzing price movements on a 4-hour chart, it's important to note that the price is currently coming from a fresh demand zone. This return to the demand zone indicates a potential bullish intent, suggesting that buyers may be stepping in at this level.
Now, if we scale down to the 15-minute chart, we can observe a subtle shift in the price action. There is a trendline liquidity that is positioned just above our identified point of interest (POI), which is complemented by a fair value gap (FVG). This trendline presents an additional confluence that supports the possibility of continued upward movement.
As market participants, we should proceed with caution and closely monitor how price reacts when it approaches this zone once more. It is also beneficial to take the time to observe these patterns and phenomena in your own analysis to deepen your understanding. Happy trading!
EUR-NZD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD went down
And made a retest of the
Horizontal support level
Of 1.9656 from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish reaction so a
Further move up is to
Be expected
Buy!
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CORN Setup: Is This The Bullish Breakout We've Been Waiting For?🌽 CORN CFD | Money Heist Plan 🎭 (Swing / Day Trade)
🔑 Trading Plan (Thief Style Strategy)
Entry (Breakout Trigger): 📈 406.00 — when candle breaks ATR resistance, bullish plan activates.
Layering Entries (Thief Method):
Buy Limit Layers: 400.0 | 402.0 | 405.0 | 407.0 | 410.0 (flexible — adjust/add more based on breakout confirmation).
Layering helps manage entries & average position smartly.
Stop Loss (Thief’s Safety Lock): @ 395.00 🛑 after breakout trigger.
⚠️ Adjust SL based on your own risk tolerance.
Target (Escape Point): 🎯 421.00
Resistance zone + overbought condition = “police barricade” (take profits before getting trapped).
🌍 Why This Plan? | Thief Technical + Macro/Fundamental Mix
📊 Technical Edge
ATR breakout level at 406.00 ⚡
Momentum build-up near resistance, potential squeeze if volume spikes.
Layered entries provide risk-managed exposure.
🌽 CORN Market Data (10 Sep 2025)
Daily Change: -1.05% 🔴
Monthly Performance: +3.13% 🟢
Yearly Performance: -1.90% 🔴
👥 Investor Sentiment
Retail: 45% Long 😊 | 55% Short 😟 (slightly bearish bias).
Institutions: Net short 91,487 contracts 🏦 (hedging against oversupply).
😨 Fear & Greed Index
Score: 51/100 (Neutral 😐)
Balance between fear (supply risks) vs greed (demand resilience).
📉 Fundamentals & Macro Score
Supply Side
Record US production: 16.7B bushels 🟢
Brazil’s harvest adds oversupply pressure 🔴
Crop diseases (Tar Spot & Southern Rust) hurting yields 🔴
Demand Side
Exports YTD: +46.8% 🌍
Ethanol production: 1.105M barrels/day ⛽ (+30k WoW) 🟢
Tariff risks (China/Mexico) could slow trade 🔴
Macro Score: 6/10 → Moderately Bullish
🎯 Market Outlook Summary
Bull Case (Long) ✅
Strong exports (+28.6% YTD)
Biofuel/ethanol demand supporting floor
Technical rebound chances
Bear Case (Short) ❌
Record harvests (US/Brazil/Ukraine) = oversupply
Institutions scaling up shorts
Global glut risks
📌 Outlook Bias: Bearish-to-Neutral 🐻⚖️
Short-term pressure from supply glut, but demand stabilizes downside.
📌 Key Takeaways for Traders
Breakout Watch: 406.00 🚨
Layered Entry: Manage risk via staggered buys.
Target Zone: 421.00 (book profits before trap).
Macro Mix: Demand solid but supply risks dominate.
Watch List: CAPITALCOM:CORN , CBOT:ZS1! (Soybeans), CBOT:ZW1! (Wheat), CBOT:ZC1! (Corn Futures)
🔗 Pairs to Watch (in USD)
AMEX:SOYB (Soybeans CFD): Moves in lockstep with CORN due to shared ag trends.
AMEX:WEAT (Wheat CFD): Grains often trend together—keep an eye out!
TVC:USOIL : Influences ethanol demand, impacting CORN indirectly.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): A rising USD could pressure commodity prices.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#CORN #Commodities #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #MoneyHeistPlan #Futures #LayeringStrategy #BreakoutTrading #Agriculture #Ethanol #TradingCommunity
Ethereum: Undervalued Powerhouse or September Slump? Ethereum: Undervalued Powerhouse or September Slump? Breakout to $5K on the Horizon?
Ethereum (ETH) has held steady around $4,300 this month amid a choppy crypto market, down about 15% from its August all-time high but showing resilience with a modest 0.52% gain today to $4,328.5. Early September saw over $500 million in outflows from spot Ethereum ETFs, reversing summer inflows and fueling doubts about institutional appetite.
Yet, with analysts eyeing a potential rally to $9,000–$12,000 by year-end 2025 driven by ETF rotation and broader adoption, is ETH the undervalued blue-chip crypto ready for a rebound, or will seasonal weakness cap its upside? Let's dive into the fundamentals, charts, and key levels to navigate this pivotal moment.
Fundamental Analysis
Ethereum's core drivers remain tied to its ecosystem growth and macroeconomic tailwinds, but recent ETF flows have introduced volatility. As the backbone for DeFi, NFTs, and layer-2 scaling, ETH benefits from rising staking rewards and network upgrades like Dencun, which have boosted efficiency.
Analysts project ETH could hit $5,194 by late September, with long-term forecasts up to $12,000 in 2025 if institutional demand surges via ETFs. However, sticky inflation and Fed policy uncertainty could delay rate cuts, pressuring risk assets like crypto.
- **Positive:**
- Record ETF inflows in July–August signal growing institutional interest; recent positive territory returns hint at rotation back to ETH.
- Staking growth and adoption in DeFi (e.g., Aave, Uniswap) underscore undervaluation, with ETH's market cap at ~$520 billion versus Bitcoin's dominance.
- Broader trends like AI-blockchain integration and regulatory clarity (e.g., potential spot ETFs for challengers like Sui) bolster ETH's utility.
- **Negative:**
- $500M+ ETF outflows in early September reflect profit-taking and risk-off sentiment amid U.S. labor market weakness.
- Seasonal September weakness in crypto, compounded by geopolitical risks, could extend the correction if Bitcoin falters.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, ETH is coiling in a tight symmetrical triangle pattern after bouncing from the $4,320–$4,325 support base, with volume picking up on the upside. This consolidation follows a descending channel breakdown, but the hold above key EMAs suggests building momentum for a potential impulse wave higher. Current price: $4,328.5, with VWAP at $4,300 providing intraday support.
Key indicators:
- **RSI (14-day):** Hovering at 48, neutral but nearing oversold territory— a dip below 40 could signal a strong bounce. 📈
- **MACD:** Histogram in negative territory, but the signal line crossover is imminent, hinting at bullish divergence if volume confirms. ⚠️
- **Moving Averages:** Price above the 21-day EMA ($4,280) but testing the 50-day SMA ($4,350)—a sustained hold here avoids short-term bearish pressure.
Support/Resistance: Firm support at $4,320 (recent low and 200-day EMA), with major resistance at $4,500 (August high). Patterns/Momentum: The triangle apex nears; a bullish breakout above $4,500 could target $4,800–$4,952, while failure risks a retest of $4,200. 🟢 Bullish signals: Accumulation on hourly charts. 🔴 Bearish risks: Death cross if 50-day SMA flips below 200-day.
Scenarios and Risk Management
- **Bullish Scenario:** A clean break above $4,500 on ETF inflow news or positive macro data (e.g., softer PCE) targets $4,800 initially, then $5,000–$9,000 by Q4. Buy on pullbacks to $4,320 support for optimal entry.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below $4,320 eyes $4,200 (psychological level); a full death cross could accelerate to $3,800. Avoid longs if Bitcoin slips under $60K.
- **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $4,200–$4,500 if data remains mixed, ideal for scalping or options plays.
Risk Tips: Set stops 2–3% below support ($4,200) to cap losses. Risk no more than 1–2% of portfolio per trade. Diversify with BTC or stablecoins to hedge crypto correlations—avoid overexposure in this volatile September.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, a bullish bias emerges if ETH reclaims $4,500 and ETF flows reverse, positioning it as an undervalued play with 100%+ upside potential into 2025 amid institutional rotation.
But watch today's crypto volatility and upcoming Fed signals for confirmation—this fits the classic September Effect of weakness before Q4 rallies. What's your take? Bullish on ETH's rebound or sitting out the slump? Share in the comments!
$BTC Bounce Holds Strong: Eyes on $124.5K NextCRYPTOCAP:BTC is holding steady around $114,000 after bouncing right off the $111,600 support zone.
Buyers stepped in strongly at that level, showing they’re not ready to let the price drop further.
This green zone is acting as a solid base, and if BTC can continue to close above it, momentum is likely to shift back toward the upside.
The next key target sits near $124,500, which lines up with the last major swing high.
As long as we remain above $111,600, the market structure appears healthy, and bulls still hold the upper hand.
DYOR, NFA
DRIP potential rebound from support zoneDRIP is consolidating near the key support area of 8.40–8.60. Over the past few months, this level has been tested multiple times, creating a strong base for a possible rebound. If local resistance around 9.50–10.00 is broken, the price may extend toward 11.20 and 12.00. However, a breakdown below support could trigger a move toward 8.00.
From a fundamental perspective, DRIP reflects the dynamics of the oil and gas sector, where pressure on producers remains high. In the current market environment, DRIP can serve as a hedge against rising oil prices.
DeGRAM | DOGEUSD above the $0.24 level📊 Technical Analysis
● DOGE/USD found a bottom at 0.2300, rebounding above support and confirming bullish accumulation.
● The breakout projects a move toward 0.2650, with the broader structure eyeing the 0.2865 resistance if momentum extends.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● DOGE gains support from increased transaction volumes and renewed retail engagement, while improving sentiment across altcoins underpins the bullish outlook.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 0.2300; targets 0.2650 → 0.2865. Invalidation on a close below 0.2270.
-------------------
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Diwali Dhamaka Starts HereTechnical View Expected Upmove
1)Supply Sufficient ;
2)Cyclic DB Found ;
3)BB And Rsi Confirmed The UpMove ;
4)Gold Rate Also Booms Already ;
5)Risk is Low 475 Max SL. Reward Minimum upto 720 In shorterm.
Fundamental Understanding In My View
1)Company is expected to give good quarter;
2)Company has delivered good profit growth of 38.2% CAGR over last 5 years;
3)Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 18.1%;
4)Diis Increased Holdings Even Last Quater;
5)Ratings Upgraded To AA-(Stable)/ A1+ .
Its Not An Recommendation .My Views Only,Simple Learnings From One To One...
Happy Trading.
SPX500 – Retest of ATH, Bullish Flag in FormationSPX500 reached a new all-time high today and has since pulled back to retest the previous ATH level. The structure remains intact, and price is shaping up into a potential bullish flag, signaling continuation higher.
Confluences:
• Oscillators showing bullish momentum
• No major trends broken
• Small pullback likely enough for a bounce toward retesting the new ATH
On the 1H chart, this lines up with a quick 0.5R setup:
• Target: 1 ATR
• Stop loss: 2 ATR
Unfortunately, I didn’t notice the post was set to private instead of public.
Here’s the private link where you can view the original setup:
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
Correction Before Expansion? EUR/USD Setup📊 EUR/USD Analysis
🔹 Fundamental View
The Euro is being supported by expectations of stable monetary policy in the Eurozone, while the Dollar is showing signs of pressure as U.S. economic data softens. Market sentiment leans toward cautious optimism, with traders positioning for potential Euro strength if global risk appetite improves. Safe-haven demand for the Dollar, however, may create short-term swings.
🔹 Technical View
On the chart, price has been in a structural consolidation with multiple MSS and BOS signals on the 4H timeframe. This reflects liquidity grabs before directional moves. After the recent bullish expansion, the pair entered a corrective phase, likely aimed at rebalancing before continuation. The projected path shows potential accumulation before a fresh rally.
Oil Prices Rise on Geopolitical FactorsOil Prices Rise on Geopolitical Factors
As the XBR/USD chart shows, Brent crude opened this week’s trading around $65.70, but today the price is near $66.80 (around +1.7%).
Oil is being pushed higher by geopolitical factors, including:
→ Israel’s strike on Hamas leadership in Qatar;
→ Trump’s calls for Europe to impose tariffs on buyers of Russian oil.
It is also worth noting that over the weekend an OPEC+ meeting took place. Although the decision was made to increase production, the volumes were smaller than analysts had expected.
Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart
After the surge of extreme volatility at the end of July, Brent crude price fluctuations have been forming a descending channel (shown in red), with the following developments:
→ in September the price tested the lines dividing the channel into quarters (2 September – QH test, 5 September – QL test);
→ this week’s rise in oil looks like a return to the median, where supply and demand tend to balance out (in other words, where market participants more often agree on a fair price).
From a bullish perspective:
→ the $65.00 level appears to be an important support, having already proved its strength in August and September;
→ the sequence of higher highs and lows A→B→C→D→E suggests that pullbacks have been roughly half the size of bullish impulses – a sign of strong demand.
From a bearish perspective:
→ August price action suggests that a bear flag has formed as an interim correction within the prevailing downtrend;
→ the $67.50 level may act as strong resistance, as supply forces there were able to trigger a bearish breakout of the pattern.
Taking the above into account, we could assume that Brent prices may stabilise around the median in the short term, before sliding along it downwards – unless the balance of supply and demand shifts sharply (for example, under the influence of new geopolitical factors or the release of major economic indicators).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil StrugglesMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Struggles
Crude oil is showing bearish signs and might decline below $62.25.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- Crude oil price failed to clear the $65.60 region and started a fresh decline.
- There is a short-term bullish trend line forming with support at $62.25 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil, the price struggled to clear $65.60 against the US Dollar. The price started a fresh decline below $64.60.
The bears gained strength and pushed the price below $62.00. Finally, the price tested $61.20 and recently started a recovery wave. There was a move above $62.00, the 50-hour simple moving average, and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $65.63 swing high to the $61.23 low.
The bears are now active near $63.00. If there is a fresh increase, the price could face a barrier near $63.05. The first major resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement at $63.40. The next stop for the bulls could be near $64.60. Any more gains might send the price toward $65.60.
Conversely, the price might start another decline and test a short-term bullish trend line with support at $62.25 and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is $61.20. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $60.50. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward $60.00.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Pulls Back Short-Term After Hitting $3,673📊 Market Overview:
• Gold eased after touching $3,673, pressured by profit-taking and a slight rebound in the U.S. Dollar.
• Expectations of Fed rate cuts continue to support gold in the medium term, but near-term correction pressure is dominant.
• Geopolitical tensions and bullish forecasts of $3,800–$4,000 remain longer-term supportive factors.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,645 – $3,670
• Nearest Support: $3,600, further down $3,585
• EMA 09: Price is currently below EMA 09, signaling short-term bearish pressure.
• Candles / Momentum: After peaking at $3,673, gold formed a corrective sequence; RSI has cooled off from overbought, confirming selling pressure in the short term.
• Fibonacci Extensions: A breakout above $3,670 could open the way toward $3,697 and $3,725.
📌 Outlook:
In the short term, gold is likely to continue correcting toward $3,600 before buyers may step back in. A reclaim of EMA 09 and a breakout above $3,670 could extend the bullish move toward $3,697 – $3,725.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $3,670 – $3,673
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3676
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : $3,602 – $3,605
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3,599
EURUSD Outlook: Bearish Pressure Eyes 1.16300EURUSD is shaping up to be quite intriguing right now. Recently, it’s taken on a new look, and the pattern is leaning more bearish than bullish.
The latest move is particularly interesting because it shows signs of an early recovery, while the selling pressure has started to ease off. The next step could be a break of the trendline with some pressure, followed by red candles showing that the bears are in control. This all points towards a potential decline.
My focus is on a target around 1.16300. If we see this play out, it will mark a compelling chapter in the EURUSD story we’ve been following.
This setup is quite exciting. The story is unfolding, but we’ll need patience and confirmation before taking action.
AVAX W-Pattern Alert: 50% Upside Potential !Hello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I want to give you a trade setup for AVAX, which in my opinion is one of the best coins out there. Also, this W pattern looks very healthy, so let’s dive into it:
As I previously talked about the macro view of AVAX and the massive triangle where price is unfolding and accumulating energy for the breakout, today I want to give you a quick update about what is actually tradeable right now.
As you might know, the W pattern is one of the most tradable patterns out there. When price breaks above the neckline and closes above it, by using Fibonacci tools we can measure the price target of the pattern. Most of the time, the 1.618 ratio gives us a target — in this case, around 50% gain!
Make sure to act accordingly.
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺