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Trend Analysis

Bitcoin Faces Key Test as Macro Pressures Influence Price ActionRecent Market Forces Shaping Bitcoin’s Direction Bitcoin sentiment has shifted noticeably since late 2025 as optimism about greater institutional adoption met a more challenging macroeconomic environment. The most important headline for Bitcoin has been the change in expectations around global liquidity. Since November 2025, markets have repriced the path of rate cuts as US inflation data re-accelerated and labor markets remained resilient. This pushed bond yields higher and strengthened the US dollar, creating a headwind for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Another specific driver has been ETF related flows. Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows slowed materially through November and December after a strong first half of the year. Several weeks of flat to negative net flows reduced the marginal bid that had supported higher prices earlier in 2025. At the same time, miners increased hedging activity into year end, adding incremental supply during a period of weaker demand. Across the broader crypto complex, performance has been mixed to weak. Large cap altcoins have underperformed Bitcoin, while smaller tokens saw sharper drawdowns as liquidity thinned. This has reinforced a defensive tone within crypto, with capital rotating back toward Bitcoin dominance rather than expanding risk. Overall sentiment can best be described as cautious and reactive rather than outright bearish, with participants focused on where longer term value may re-emerge. What the market has done • Since the end of October 2025, buyers lost control of 110000, which aligned with the 2025 developing VPOC. Sellers were then able to take control and offer prices back down toward the 87700 to 83100 area, which corresponds with the 2024 VAH and a key yearly level. • From November 2025 through January 2026, the market balanced between 98600 and 83100 as buyers and sellers fought for control. This period reflected uncertainty around macro policy direction, slower ETF inflows, and reduced risk appetite across global markets. • In the past week, buyers failed to defend the 83100 area. Price auctioned aggressively through the 2024 value area and reached the 60200 area, which marks the 2024 VAL. Buyers have responded at this level, suggesting responsive demand at longer term value. • The broader decline since November 2025 has occurred alongside tighter financial conditions, a firmer US dollar, and fading expectations for near term monetary easing, all of which historically pressure Bitcoin valuations. What to expect in the coming weeks Key levels to watch are 82000, which aligns with a yearly level and offer block 2 low, and 60200, which represents the 2024 VAL. Neutral scenario • Expect the market to consolidate and auction two way between 82000 and 60200 as value is rebuilt. • This scenario would likely align with stable macro data, no major policy surprises from central banks, and muted ETF flows that neither add nor remove significant demand. Bullish scenario • If buyers are able to step up bids within the current range, it may be an early signal that the bullish scenario is developing. • A break and acceptance above 82000 would open the door for a move back through offer block 2 toward the 100000 area, which aligns with the 2025 LVN, where sellers are expected to respond. • A bullish outcome would likely require renewed ETF inflows, easing financial conditions, or a clear shift toward more accommodative monetary policy. Bearish scenario • If sellers begin to step down offers within the range and compress price toward the 60000 area, it would hint that the bearish scenario is in play. • A break and acceptance below 60000 would suggest continuation lower toward the 40000 area, which aligns with the 2023 VAL, where buyers are expected to respond. • This path would likely coincide with further tightening in financial conditions, stronger dollar trends, or renewed risk off behavior across global markets. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently trading at a critical inflection point where longer term value is being tested against a challenging macro backdrop. Technically, the response at the 2024 VAL near 60200 is constructive, but acceptance back above 82000 is needed to shift the balance in favor of buyers. Fundamentally, the next sustained move will depend on liquidity conditions, ETF flows, and how global markets price the path of monetary policy. Until clarity emerges, Bitcoin is likely to remain in an environment where patience and level awareness matter most. Let me know how you are positioning around these key levels and which scenario you think is most likely to play out. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Analysis is for educational purposes only; trade your own plan and manage risk. Acronyms: C - Composite w - Weekly m - Monthly VAH - Value Area High VAL - Value Area Low VPOC - Volume Point of Control LVN - Low Value Node HVN - High Value Node LVA - Low Value Area SP - Single print
CME:MBT1!
by EdgeClear
Gold resistance retest at 5,057The Gold remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 4,517 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 4,517 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 5,057 – initial resistance 5,135 – psychological and structural level 5,227 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 4,517 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 4,400 – minor support 4,310 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Neutral bias remains intact while the Gold trades around pivotal 4,517 level. A sustained break below or abve this level could shift momentum. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Trade Nation
SELL GBPCAD now for bullish trend Reversal ..........SELL GBPCAD now for bullish trend Reversal .......... STOP LOSS: 1.8605 This sell trade setup is based on divergence for trend reversal trading pattern on the 4h time frame ... Always remember, the trend is your friend until it reverses against you , so whenever you can get a signal that the trend is about to come to and end is good for you to be part of it... TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything... Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with...
Short
by BALE_FX
DogeCoin...When you look at the chart, the main thing every trader wants to know is whether the price has taken support. Or it will fall further. The answer is that the price has tested the strong support, which is a triple bottom, and now it is trying to move up. From which level can we expect good movement? 0.110 is one of the important level and the price should gain strength around it to give trending movement. Will the price bounce now itself? I am expecting some range movement before the breakout, but who knows it can happen any time. Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Long
by vanathi
Dow Surpasses 50,000 Milestone Amid Futures SlipDow Surpasses 50,000 Milestone Amid Futures Slip The Dow Jones Industrial Average's historic close above 50,000 on Friday up 1,200 points or 2.5% marks a recovery from AI-tech routs, but futures are dipping 0.1% pre-market, signaling caution. S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures are down 0.3% and 0.5%, respectively, ahead of delayed jobs and CPI reports. Key facts: The surge reflects broadening earnings beyond tech, with small caps gaining traction. International boosts, like Nikkei's 3.9% rally, add global context. Implications: Opportunities in value rotations 📈, but risks from China-US bond tensions and inflation data could trigger pullbacks ⚠️. Ties to commodities (gold up, nat gas down) and sectors (AI, energy) suggest interconnected volatility. Bigger picture: This milestone may fuel IPO surges to $160 billion, benefiting diversified portfolios. Monitor for trading reports on take-profit levels.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by DCAChampion
USOIL Analysis: Oil Testing Critical 63.85 Pivot Zone!Crude Oil (USOIL) Technical Analysis Date: February 9, 2026 Pivot Point: 63.85 The price is currently hovering around the 63.85 level. This is the decisive zone for the next market move. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Main Outlook): As long as the price remains below the 63.85 pivot point, the downward trend prevails: First Target: A decline toward the support level at 62.40. Second Target: Breaking below this level will drive the price further down to 61.40. Bullish Scenario (Alternative Outlook): If the price manages to break above the 63.85 pivot and stabilizes, the trend will flip to bullish: First Resistance: The target will be 64.65. Further Gains: A breakout above this resistance will push the price toward 65.20 and potentially reach 65.95. Key Summary: Below 63.85: Bearish momentum dominates. Above 63.85: Bullish reversal confirmed. Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance: 64.65 | 65.20 | 65.95 Support: 62.40 | 61.40
TVC:USOILShort
by EvarMayi
EURUSD 4H: Likely Pullback Into 1.1796–1.1776EURUSD on the 4H is in a recovery phase after the sharp selloff from the 1.20 area, but price is now pressing into a key overhead pivot around 1.1870–1.1871. That level is acting as near-term resistance, so this is less of a chase zone and more of a decision area where the market typically either accepts for continuation or rotates lower to rebalance. The structure on your chart supports a corrective dip first scenario. A rejection from current levels can pull price back into the marked demand block around 1.17958–1.17758, which is the most important support zone in this setup. If buyers defend that area and we see bullish confirmation, the path back toward 1.1870+ opens again, with extension potential toward 1.19188 if momentum follows through. In other words, the bullish idea remains valid as long as pullbacks are held above the highlighted demand region on a closing basis. A clean loss of 1.17758 would weaken the recovery structure and shift focus to lower supports near 1.17319, with deeper risk toward 1.16985 if selling pressure persists. Until that breakdown happens, this still reads as a retracement-then-continuation framework rather than a fresh bearish trend leg.
Short
by Astton
Selena | USDJPY – 4H – Bullish Structure Under CorrectionFX:USDJPY The recent drop represents a liquidity-driven correction rather than confirmed trend reversal. Price is now testing a critical support zone aligned with previous demand and the lower boundary of the broader structure. Holding this region keeps the bullish continuation scenario valid. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Sustained support above 151.00–150.60 may trigger a corrective bounce 🎯 Target 1: 154.00 🎯 Target 2: 156.50 🎯 Target 3: 159.00–160.00 (HTF Liquidity) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 (Invalidation) → Acceptance below 150.00 would weaken bullish structure and open deeper downside. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 154.00 – 157.50 Support 🟢: 151.00 – 150.00 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
9
ETHUSD – 2H (Chart pattern)...ETHUSD – 2H (Chart pattern). What the chart is saying Overall downtrend (descending trendline). Price has broken above the trendline and is now holding above Ichimoku support (yellow cloud). This looks like a trend reversal / pullback-buy structure, not a continuation sell. Key levels I see Current zone (buy area): 2,050 – 2,090 (inside the cloud + above broken trendline → good base) 🎯 Targets (Bullish continuation) Target 1 (safe / partial): 2,300 – 2,350 Target 2 (main): 2,450 – 2,500 Target 3 (extended, only if momentum stays strong): 2,800 – 2,900 These match my marked “target points” on the right side of the chart. 🛑 Invalidation / Stop idea Below 1,980 – 1,950 If price goes back under the cloud and holds there, bullish idea is weak. Bias summary Above 2,050 → Buy on dips Below 1,950 → Avoid longs / reassess
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by XAUxBTC_Pro
3
NATGATE - 8 RECORD SESSION LOWS ?NATGATE : CURRENT PRICE : RM1.00 - RM1.02 NATGATE has been in a corrective phase and recently printed an 8-session low, which often signals selling exhaustion and opens the door for a technical rebound. (The record session topic is discussed by STEVE NISON in his book - BEYOND CANDLESTICK , PAGE 121 - 127) A bullish piercing line appeared in Friday’s session, where buyers pushed price well into the prior bearish candle’s body. Stochastic oscillator is currently in the oversold zone, signalling a potential technical rebound. ENTRY PRICE : RM1.00 - RM1.02 FIRST TARGET : RM1.10 SECOND TARGET : RM1.22 (near EMA 200) - The EMA 200 has capped price twice, acting as strong dynamic resistance, look at the green highlighted area. SUPPORT : RM0.935 Notes : For reference, I’ve attached the link to my previous write-up related to this setup.
MYX:NATGATELong
by IMRAN_96
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Reversal Setup: SMC Analysis at Major ResThis 15-minute (15m) chart for Gold outlines a "Sell" setup based on institutional trading patterns. Here is a detailed look at the technical elements: 1. Market Structure Breakdown • CHoCH & BOS: The chart is labeled with multiple instances of "Change of Character" (CHoCH) and "Break of Structure" (BOS). These indicate that the previous bullish momentum is exhausting and shifting toward a bearish trend. • Weak High vs. Strong Low: The price has reached a "Weak High" near the $5,017 mark. In SMC, a weak high is an area where the price is expected to fail and reverse, which aligns with the "Strong Sell" label. 2. Supply and Demand Zones • Premium Pricing (Red Zone): The price is currently sitting in a red-shaded supply zone. This is considered a "Premium" area where sellers are looking to enter the market. • Liquidity Targets (Blue Lines): The horizontal blue shaded areas below the current price represent liquidity pools or "Fair Value Gaps" that the price is expected to "fill" as it moves downward. 3. Price Projection • The Black Path: A projected price line shows a zigzag movement downward, expecting the market to create lower highs and lower lows. • Target: The green-shaded area at the bottom marks the "Strong Low" target, with a specific price label at 4,592.444. This represents the ultimate Take Profit (TP) zone for this trade. 4. Risk/Reward Visualization • The large red/green box overlay indicates a Short Position tool. • Stop Loss (SL): Placed just above the recent high (around 5,174). • Take Profit (TP): Aiming for the major liquidity sweep at the bottom.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by marcomr
Oil Above Trend Support: Breakout Fuel or Bull Trap Pullback?WTI Crude Oil is sitting in one of those make-or-break technical zones where structure, macro, and positioning all collide. After a strong recovery leg, price is now compressing above a rising trendline while stalling under a clear horizontal resistance band. That tells me the market is loading up for expansion — the only open question is direction. I’m leaning constructive while trend support holds, but I’m not blind to the fact that crude loves fake breakouts before the real move. Current Bias Neutral to bullish Structure shows higher lows and trendline support is intact. As long as price holds above the rising support zone, the bias favors another push toward resistance and a potential upside break. A clean loss of trend support would flip the bias quickly to corrective bearish. Key Fundamental Drivers Inventory data: Recent crude inventory draws (larger-than-expected draw in the latest report you shared) point to tighter near-term supply conditions. Supply discipline: OPEC+ supply management continues to limit aggressive downside unless demand collapses. US production: US output remains high, which caps runaway rallies but hasn’t been enough to force a breakdown. Demand signals: Services-sector resilience in major economies supports steady fuel demand expectations. Macro Context Interest rate expectations: Fed policy remains restrictive but markets are watching for eventual easing. Lower forward rate expectations generally support growth-sensitive commodities like oil. Economic growth trends: US growth is slowing but still expanding in services. That keeps baseline demand expectations stable rather than recessionary. Commodity flows: Broad commodity sentiment has been stabilizing, not collapsing — that reduces tail-risk downside in crude. Geopolitical themes: Middle East tensions, sanctions regimes, and shipping route risks continue to add a geopolitical premium to oil pricing, even when not front-page daily news. Primary Risk to the Trend The biggest downside risk is a sharp global growth scare — weak US or China data that shifts demand expectations lower fast. That would likely break trend support and trigger liquidation. A secondary risk is a surprise build in crude inventories over multiple weeks, reversing the tightening narrative. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event Weekly US crude inventory reports OPEC+ guidance or compliance headlines Major US and China growth data Any geopolitical escalation tied to energy routes or producers These are the catalysts most likely to break the current range. Leader/Lagger Dynamics Oil is more of a sector leader than a lagger. It influences: CAD pairs like USDCAD and CADJPY Energy equities and energy-heavy indices Inflation expectations and rate pricing at the margin It tends to follow: Broad global growth expectations Risk sentiment shifts in equities When oil trends cleanly, CAD and energy stocks usually respond after it, not before it. Key Levels Support Levels: 62.00–63.00 trendline support zone 55.50–56.00 major horizontal support band Resistance Levels: 66.40–66.50 resistance ceiling 70.40 next major upside target 76.00 higher resistance extension zone Stop Loss (SL): Below 61.80–62.00 for bullish continuation setups Take Profit (TP): TP1: 66.40 area TP2: 70.40 area TP3: 76.00 zone if breakout extends Summary: Bias and Watchpoints WTI is compressing above rising support with a neutral to bullish bias while structure holds. Inventory draws and supply discipline support the floor, while steady services-driven growth keeps demand expectations alive. The trade structure favors upside toward 66.40 first, then 70.40 if resistance breaks. A logical invalidation sits below the 62 zone where trend support fails. The biggest watchpoints are weekly inventory data and any OPEC or geopolitical headlines — those are the triggers most likely to decide whether this coil resolves into a breakout or a deeper pullback.
TVC:USOILLong
by ultreosforex
1
BUY EURUSD now for bearish trend Reversal ...............BUY EURUSD now for bearish trend Reversal ............... STOP LOSS: 1.1794 This buy trade setup is based on divergence for trend reversal trading pattern on the 4h time frame ... Always remember, the trend is your friend until it reverses against you , so whenever you can get a signal that the trend is about to come to and end is good for you to be part of it... TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything... Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with...
Long
by BALE_FX
Gold ABC Correction | Wave C to 3,652 $ if B Stays Below 0.618📊 Current Structure Gold is developing a classic ABC correction on the 4H chart: •Wave A: Completed (initial drop) ✅ •Wave B: Currently at peak retracement testing 0.618 Fibonacci (~5,100) •Wave C: Projected target 3,652 USD Wave B has an internal W-X-Y corrective structure and is now testing critical Fibonacci resistance levels. 🎯 Main Scenario: Wave C Projection (CONDITIONAL) IF Wave B stays below 0.618 Fibonacci (~5,100): •Target (Wave C): 3,652 USD •Projected move: -1,386 points (~-28%) •Key level: Price must reject at or below 0.618 for this scenario ⚠️ Alternative Scenarios 1.If 0.618 breaks → Wave B extends to 0.764 (~5,300) or 0.854 (~5,400) 2.If price breaks above 0.854 → Wave B invalidated, ABC structure fails (potential new bullish leg) 🔒 Risk Management Conditional setup: Wave C is valid ONLY if 0.618 holds. Monitor price action at 5,100 closely. If broken, reassess for extended Wave B scenario. 📉 Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by IndigoGogo2
1
GBPUSD (H1) – Structure OverviewPrice continues to respect a descending channel, indicating controlled bearish market structure. Recent upside movement appears corrective rather than impulsive. Channel Respect: Price remains below the channel’s upper boundary, maintaining bearish pressure. H1 Order Block Reaction: Current price is testing a prior H1 supply zone, aligning with channel resistance. Market Context: Failure to accept above this zone keeps price within the broader downward structure. Momentum: Lower highs within the channel suggest continuation of range-to-bearish behavior unless structure changes. ⚠️ Educational analysis only. No buy/sell recommendation. Always wait for confirmation and manage risk.
Short
by Selena_FX_Trader
ETHUSD Trend Shift: Bullish CHoCH from Demand ZoneETHUSD on the 2H timeframe is coming out of a strong descending channel after tapping a clear demand zone near the lows. The market printed a bullish CHoCH (change of character), signaling a potential short-term trend reversal. Price is now consolidating around the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting early accumulation, with upside room toward the first resistance/target area around the 2,400 zone. Overall bias shifts from strong bearish momentum to a cautious bullish recovery while price holds above the demand base.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
2
Ethereum’s CME Gap: The Hidden Price Magnet Traders Are WatchingEthereum currently has a CME gap between $2,405 and $2,665, which remains unfilled. Historically, CME gaps tend to get filled over time, making them an important reference for both swing traders and long-term market participants. These gaps represent areas where liquidity was temporarily unavailable, and the market often “returns” to these levels to close the inefficiency. At present, price has moved significantly away from this gap range. This makes a short-term fill less likely, as the market would need a meaningful correction or retracement to reach it. Momentum, overall trend strength, and macro factors can all influence how quickly or slowly the gap might be revisited. Despite this, the gap should not be ignored. It remains a high-probability zone for future price action, potential support/resistance reactions, and liquidity collection. Traders should keep this range marked on their charts as a reference point. In summary, while Ethereum may not fill this CME gap immediately, these levels are likely to be revisited eventually. Awareness of this zone can help traders plan entries, exits, and risk management strategies more effectively, keeping in mind that gaps often act as natural “magnets” for price over time. If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you. This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
CME:ETH1!
by behdark