USDJPY trend and trade analysiswe will look for sell side here in usdjpy. Important zones are already marked,whenever the market come here we will shift to smaller timeframe of 5 minutes and identify a trend shift go for sell side
Trend Analysis
XAU/USD: Resistance at 3,650 Triggers Potential Pullback SetupXAU/USD has reached the 3,650 resistance zone after a strong bullish rally within its upward channel, but momentum is now stalling. A visible top formation is emerging on the chart, with sellers actively defending this level, suggesting a possible corrective move ahead.
If gold fails to break and sustain above 3,650, the price may retrace toward the next key support at 3,546. While the broader trend remains bullish, near-term momentum indicates a likely pullback phase. Upcoming economic data could also influence whether the market consolidates or corrects from current levels.
GBPCHF breakout retest supported at 1.0740The GBPCHF remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.0740 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.0740 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.0850 – initial resistance
1.0910 – psychological and structural level
1.0960 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.0740 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.0710 – minor support
1.0680 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 1.0740. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Itron: Undervalued Smart Grid Play or Tech Pullback Risk? Itron: Undervalued Smart Grid Play or Tech Pullback Risk? $144 Target in Play?
Itron (ITRI) shares are trading at $118.29 today, down 0.40% from yesterday's close but up 2.5% over the past week amid broader market gains following S&P 500 and Nasdaq record highs. As a leader in smart metering and utility analytics, Itron reported record Q2 2025 profitability and raised its full-year earnings guidance, even as revenue expectations were trimmed slightly due to supply chain hiccups.
With analysts pegging a $144.40 one-year target—implying 22% upside—and the stock flagged as one of September's top undervalued picks, is ITRI poised for a breakout on IoT and energy transition tailwinds, or will sector rotation and macro jitters weigh it down? Let's dissect the fundamentals, SWOT, technicals, and setups for September 11, 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
Itron's growth is anchored in the booming demand for smart grid solutions, with Q2 2025 delivering EPS of $1.12 (beating estimates) and margins hitting all-time highs at 11.05%. Analysts forecast 2025 EPS of $6.45 on $2.5B revenue, up 10% YoY, fueled by utility digitization and partnerships in renewables. However, softer demand in some segments and persistent supply issues could pressure short-term execution if inflation lingers.
- **Positive:**
- Raised 2025 earnings guidance signals operational strength; strong backlog in smart metering amid global energy upgrades.
- Institutional buying and ETF inflows in industrials highlight undervaluation at 18.35 forward P/E versus sector average of 22x.
- Broader trends like AI-driven grid management and ESG mandates position Itron for 15%+ annual growth.
- **Negative:**
- Revenue trim in guidance reflects supply chain vulnerabilities and delayed projects.
- Economic uncertainties, including potential tariff escalations, could slow utility capex if rate cuts stall.
SWOT Analysis
**Strengths:** Dominant market position in smart metering with a 20%+ share in North America; robust R&D pipeline yielding high-margin IoT innovations and recurring software revenue.
**Weaknesses:** Heavy reliance on cyclical utility spending exposes earnings to economic downturns; elevated debt levels at 0.8x EBITDA limit flexibility amid rising rates.
**Opportunities:** Expansion into emerging markets like Asia-Pacific for grid modernization; integration of advanced analytics and AI for $11.9B global utility market by 2025 end.
**Threats:** Intensifying cybersecurity risks in connected devices; fierce competition from Siemens and Schneider, plus regulatory shifts in energy policies.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, ITRI is forming a bullish ascending triangle after rebounding from $115 support, with volume rising on the upside amid the broader tech rally. This follows a 3.68% monthly dip, now stabilizing near key EMAs as September forecasts eye a range of $108–$120. Current price: $118.29, with VWAP at $117.80 offering intraday balance.
Key indicators:
- **RSI (14-day):** At 52, neutral but climbing from oversold—bullish if it sustains above 55. 📈
- **MACD:** Histogram ticking positive with lines converging for a potential crossover, signaling emerging momentum. ⚠️
- **Moving Averages:** Price above the 21-day EMA ($116.50) but testing the 50-day SMA ($119)—a hold here maintains the uptrend.
Support/Resistance: Solid support at $115 (recent low and 200-day EMA), resistance at $120 (September high). Patterns/Momentum: Triangle apex approaching; breakout above $120 targets $130. 🟢 Bullish signals: Higher lows and analyst upgrades. 🔴 Bearish risks: Bearish MA trend could drag to $108 on sector weakness.
Scenarios and Risk Management
- **Bullish Scenario:** Clear $120 on strong earnings momentum or soft CPI data targets $130 short-term, then $144 by year-end. Buy dips to $115 for value entries.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below $115 eyes $108 (monthly low); broader tech correction could trigger 10% pullback.
- **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $115–$120 if data mixed, suitable for covered calls or waiting for Q3 catalysts.
Risk Tips: Set stops 2% below support ($112.70) to curb downside. Risk 1-2% of portfolio per trade. Diversify with peers like SEDG or broader industrials to dodge utility-specific traps.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, a bullish bias if ITRI holds $115 and guidance beats continue, cementing its undervalued status with 20%+ upside on smart grid demand.
But watch Q3 earnings and Fed minutes for confirmation—this echoes September's value rotation in tech amid record highs. What’s your take? Bullish on Itron's rebound or sidelining for now? Share in the comments!
KOHC is forming Pennant Pattern📌 KOHC is forming Pennant Pattern
KOHC is forming a Bullish Pennant pattern which is the continuation pattern formed after a sharp price move (flagpole). Currently price is consolidates in a small symmetrical triangle, upon breakout in the same direction price can projected towards the target of 133.
SUSHI/USDT – Symmetrical Triangle Compression Near Key Flip Zone🔎 Market Overview
SUSHI is currently trading around $0.799, consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern that has been forming since mid-July. This setup reflects a period of decreasing volatility and volume, where the market is accumulating energy for the next major move.
The $0.72–0.83 zone is acting as a critical support-resistance flip area, tested multiple times since March. This is the battlefield where bulls and bears are fighting for dominance. The eventual breakout from this zone will likely dictate the mid-term trend.
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📐 Technical Pattern Breakdown
Symmetrical Triangle: Converging trendlines (lower highs + higher lows). Neutral by nature, direction depends on breakout.
Historical Context: Prior to the triangle, price rallied from $0.45 → $1.05, hinting this could be a bullish continuation pattern if an upside breakout occurs. Still, the broader macrotrend has been bearish since the start of the year, so both outcomes remain on the table.
Key Levels:
Major Supports: $0.72 → $0.67 → $0.45
Major Resistances: $0.89 → $0.94 → $1.02 → $1.14 → $1.28 → $1.72
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🚀 Bullish Scenario (Upside Breakout)
If price manages to close a daily candle above the $0.85–0.89 resistance trendline with strong volume, upside potential is significant. Bullish targets include:
🎯 Target 1: $0.945
🎯 Target 2: $1.02
🎯 Target 3: $1.14
🎯 Target 4: $1.28
🎯 Extended Target: $1.72
This would represent a possible +100% upside if momentum builds.
Bullish Confirmation Signals:
Daily close above $0.89–0.94
Increasing breakout volume
Successful retest holding above former resistance
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🐻 Bearish Scenario (Downside Breakdown)
Failure to hold the $0.72–0.75 flip zone would likely trigger a bearish continuation. Downside targets are:
🎯 Target 1: $0.67
🎯 Target 2: $0.59
🎯 Target 3: $0.45 (yearly low & major psychological support)
A confirmed breakdown could mean a -30% to -40% drop from current levels.
Bearish Confirmation Signals:
Daily close below $0.72
Strong selling volume
Retest rejection at $0.72 (new resistance)
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⚖️ Trading Strategy & Risk Management
Conservative traders: Wait for a confirmed breakout + retest before entering.
Aggressive traders: Consider entries near triangle support (~$0.75) with tight SL below $0.70.
Risk control: Limit exposure to 1–3% of total capital per trade, use disciplined stop-losses, and take profits in stages at key levels.
Risk/Reward: Look for setups with at least a 2:1 or 3:1 ratio.
---
📌 Conclusion
SUSHI is at a critical crossroads. The symmetrical triangle suggests a powerful move is imminent. A breakout to the upside opens the door for a rally toward $1.72, while a breakdown could drag price back toward $0.45.
Traders should focus on confirmation signals before committing, as the next breakout will likely define the mid-to-long term trend.
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#SUSHI #SUSHIUSDT #SushiSwap #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TrianglePattern #BreakoutTrading #SupportResistance #CryptoTrading #Altcoins
LONG EURUSDWave 5 counting
Price will head to take extreme premium zone top
Created the Bull Trap at 1.174
Created the Bear Trap at 1.162
Drive Wave back up to take the extreme premium at 1.180
Goodluck
Gold buy1. Trade Setup Overview
Entry: Around 3645.53
Stop Loss: 3635.54 (approx. 10 points below entry)
Take profit 1:3655
Take Profit2: 3669.77
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.05
Position Size: 22 contracts
P&L Targets:
Risk: ~11.2 (0.31%)
Reward: ~23.0 (0.63%)
This is a long (buy) trade setup with favorable risk/reward above 2:1.
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2. Technical Levels
Immediate Resistance (Target Zone): 3669.7 – this aligns with a recent swing high and liquidity cluster.
Immediate Support: 3635.5 – stop placement just below local structure support.
Mid Support: 3641.2 zone – a demand level (highlighted with green boxes / FVG-BPR).
---
3. Market Structure
Price is consolidating with higher lows forming since Sept 9, showing accumulation.
Several fair value gap (FVG) zones have been plotted, acting as liquidity magnets.
Currently, price is bouncing near support and attempting a move toward higher liquidity at
The most important number for silver$37.80. No other number on the price chart has as much significance as this number. When each candle represents 3M the textbook Cup and Handle on Silver suddenly reveals itself. More importantly the breakout! The Real breakout in Silver isn't $50. The Real breakout in silver just happened. And since it happened on 3M candle chart, one could assume this is a lasting breakout, much like $2000 Gold. We all saw what happened there.
From Fish Farming to Agribusiness Giant: Ellah Lakes’ 304% Rise Ellah Lakes Plc is a Nigeria‑based agribusiness firm, once focused on fish farming but now primarily engaged in oil palm, cassava, maize, soya, and rice production and processing, operating plantations across Edo, Ondo, Enugu, Ekiti (Nigeria) and Ghana.
This asset has made roughly 304% gain since 2nd of June of this year.
The questions are:
1. Is this vertical growth sustainable?
2. Will price action be respected technically as shown on the chart?
3. Will Ellah Lake drop back to close the yellow gap? (N5.3 - N6 zone)
My final view:
After a 304% gain since June, I am now questioning the sustainability of this vertical move, key technical zones, and whether a price correction to the ₦5.3–₦6 gap is on the horizon
Trade with care
ONDOUSDT Forming Bullish ContinuationONDOUSDT is currently forming a consolidation structure that signals a potential breakout in the coming sessions. The chart pattern shows price compression within a narrowing range, which often acts as a precursor to a strong directional move. With trading volume holding steady at supportive levels, the conditions appear favorable for a bullish continuation. Investors are closely monitoring this setup, as the pair has been gathering momentum, hinting at the possibility of a significant upside rally.
If ONDOUSDT manages to break above its resistance trendline, it could trigger a strong wave of bullish momentum. The technical projection suggests a potential 50% to 60%+ gain, aligning with the market’s anticipation for higher valuations. Historically, such breakout formations have delivered powerful price surges, especially when paired with increasing investor confidence and rising market interest.
Market sentiment around ONDOUSDT has been growing more optimistic as it continues to attract investor attention. The volume profile highlights active participation, which often signals accumulation by strong hands ahead of a breakout. A confirmed move above resistance could set the stage for a sharp rally toward higher targets, giving traders and investors a strong opportunity in the short to mid-term.
In conclusion, ONDOUSDT is positioned for a bullish breakout as long as momentum continues to build. With solid volume backing the price structure and investors taking interest, the coin could be preparing for a notable rally. Traders should watch for a decisive breakout to capture the potential upside move.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
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GBPUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GBPUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.3577
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.3550
My Stop Loss - 1.3590
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Today, we focus on gold's support range of 3600-3620.Today, we focus on gold's support range of 3600-3620.
As shown in Figure 2h:
Technical Analysis
1: Gold prices are clearly in a period of profit-taking this week.
2: Gold prices have risen for three consecutive weeks and are currently fluctuating near historical highs.
3: So far this week, major news and data have been positive, but gold prices have not risen further.
Summary: Gold prices are unlikely to break new highs this week. The market is clearly relying on positive news to drive gold prices higher, followed by selling at high levels. This suggests that gold prices will continue to fluctuate downward, and the expected price range for this pullback is between 3580-3600.
Swing Strategy:
Wait for the 3580-3600 range to bottom out and stabilize before continuing to go long.
Set a stop-loss in the 3665-3670 range.
Intraday Strategy:
Short at high levels, targeting a pullback. Today, our target price range for gold's decline is 3620-3600.
Sell: 3640-3650 (Ideal Entry Range)
Sell: 3635-3645 (Aggressive Strategy)
Stop Loss: 3655
----------------------------
Target Price: 3630
Target Price: 3620
Target Price: 3615-3600
Summary:
1: Gold prices are expected to enter a wide range (3620-3660), consistent with our recent analysis.
2: Bulls are actively selling. Long-term long positions should patiently wait for gold prices to bottom (3580-3600).
3: Trading gold prices will be difficult during this range-bound trading; observe and wait for the highs and lows of the range whenever possible.
S&P500 reactsd to US Inflation dataUS CPI rose to 2.9% YoY in August (vs. 2.7%), showing inflation is re-accelerating.
Markets still expect a 25bp Fed cut next week, but scope for deeper easing is reduced.
For equities, this means headwinds for tech and other rate-sensitive growth stocks, while defensives and commodity-linked sectors may hold up better.
Overall, the print adds to volatility ahead of the Fed meeting, with equities likely to trade cautiously.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6590
Resistance Level 2: 6610
Resistance Level 3: 6630
Support Level 1: 6440
Support Level 2: 6410
Support Level 3: 6380
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Excellent Profits of current Bull runAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: 'My position: As advised many times, do not Sell Gold at all costs as wherever you Buy Gold on this market, you won't be wrong. I have Bought Gold on #3,652.80 and #3,654.80 minutes ago and closed all on #3,657.80 extension. Keep Buying Gold on each dip is my practical suggestion.'
I have firstly engaged #3,652.80 - #3,654.80 Buying orders, closed them on #3,657.80. Then re-Bought #3,650.80 - #3,657.80 as well, followed my #3,645.80 and 3,640.80 #10 - 14 re-Buys in total as Gold was Trading within Neutral Rectangle at that point, delivering excellent Intra-day results.
Technical analysis: Gold has tested and reversed near the #3,657.80 local High's which is currently posing as an hard Resistance zone. I spotted necessary similarities on Daily chart after the latest Monthly High's test, in a candle sequence that resembles the sideways movement from July #15, July #29, (abnormal wick on August #4), September #3, and November #9. This suggests that Technically, Hourly 4 chart can’t stay Bearish anymore and should turn fully Bullish any moment as #3,620.80 Support zone extension is realized and #3,700.80 benchmark in extension is on my aim as long as #3,600.80 benchmark is preserved and not invalidated. This slowdown Daily chart is also an indication that the Bearish trend / much needed correction should already be over, and that the Weekly chart is charging Medium-term Bullish reversal. I was aware that reversal might be delivered as past #4 Asian sessions delivered decent Bearish reversal on Gold.
My position : I am on sidelines waiting for Profitable pattern to trade by with my Profit Target already done for the week.
ETHUSD - Bullish Weeks/Months Ahead Curved channel shows consistent bottoms along the solid green line
I think a large pattern will play out like the one seen in this triangle in yellow
The white line is honestly max and wishful
Bullish Weekly Chart
DAX bullish consolidation support at 23950The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23400 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23400 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
23950 – initial resistance
24116 – psychological and structural level
24250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23400 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23250 – minor support
23094 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23950. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOGEUSDT – Adam & Eve Pattern Targets $0.43CRYPTOCAP:DOGE on USDT market pair is gearing for a move upside after breaking out above the descending trendline.
With price forming an ADAM & EVE pattern, it going to provide an opportunity for bulls to obtain profits from a bullish rally with it now accumulating at pattern's neckline.
Key upside targets are marked at $0.317, $0.380, and $0.434,
As long as DOGE holds above $0.23,it remains bullish. A weekly close below this level would weaken the structure and could trigger a retest toward $0.20.
USDCHF daily chart ,the corridor paysThe USDCHF daily chart looks like a corridor battle the price continues to move between support at 0.7910 and resistance at 0.8170 and as long as these levels hold the swing trading strategy remains valid buying near support and taking profits near resistance works textbook style if resistance at 0.8170 is broken the next logical target shifts to the 0.8440 zone where significant volume is concentrated technically the structure still points to a sideways market with possible false breakouts fundamentally the pair remains driven by the US dollar index and Fed policy while the franc traditionally acts as a safe haven any shifts in Fed rhetoric or SNB actions could trigger a breakout from the range in conclusion as long as USDCHF trades in this corridor it is a convenient instrument for range trading and breakouts should only be traded with volume confirmation and price consolidation above key levels
EURUSD awaiting newsToday at 1:15 PM (London), the ECB will announce its interest rate decision.
Just 15 minutes later, U.S. inflation data will be released.
These are key events that are expected to trigger strong market moves.
It’s advisable to reduce risk on all open positions and avoid opening new ones before the news.
Once the data is out, clearer entry opportunities will appear.
3,417 – 3,360 (final defense for buyers).1. Price Structure
Gold has surged strongly from 3,360 → 3,657, forming a steep uptrend inside a rising wedge channel.
Currently, price is near the upper boundary of the wedge and has just made a pullback.
2. Pattern & Technical Signals
A rising wedge pattern is visible, which often signals downside pressure when price touches the upper boundary.
The recent candlestick shows a long upper wick, indicating strong selling pressure around the 3,657 top.
The blue arrow on the chart highlights a potential correction back toward the wedge’s lower trendline.
3. Fibonacci Support Levels
From the rally 3,360 → 3,657:
Fib 0.786 = 3,573: short-term support, likely to be tested.
Fib 0.618 = 3,508: key medium-term support.
Fib 0.382 = 3,417: if this breaks, the short-term uptrend could reverse.
Red zone (3,360 – 3,417): a strong demand zone, may attract buying interest again.
4. Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 (primary):
Price continues to correct down toward 3,573 – 3,508, then rebounds if the trendline holds.
Suitable for trend-following buys if reversal signals appear around the 0.618 Fib.
Scenario 2 (breakdown of wedge):
If price breaks below the wedge and Fib 0.5/0.382, it could drop back to 3,360 – 3,417.
In that case, the short-term bullish trend weakens → short opportunities may open up.
5. Conclusion
Gold is currently in a correction phase after a strong rally.
Key levels to watch:
3,573 – 3,508 (decisive for holding or losing the uptrend).
3,417 – 3,360 (final defense for buyers).
👉 Short-term: wait for price action signals around 0.786 – 0.618 Fib zone to consider buying with the trend.
👉 Medium-term: if 3,417 breaks, bearish momentum could return.
USDJPY.USDJPY. the up coming fed and BOJ monetary decision will shape the direction of trade.
THIS CHART IS JUST FOR REFERENCE.
#USDJPY
Precious metals bull market starting pointLot's of similar charts aligning. We are right at the decision point. Will it be like "false start" 2016 or summer 2020? Or will it be more like 1976 or 2000??
If it's like 1976 or 2000, that means the bull market for precious metals and precious metals miners, in real terms, is just beginning.
We'll find out soon!
