IonQ (IONQ) — Quantum Leader Targeting 8,000 Logical QubitsCompany Overview:
IonQ, Inc. NYSE:IONQ is a quantum computing pioneer using trapped-ion technology to solve problems beyond the reach of classical systems, offering investors exposure to the fast-growing quantum sector.
Key Catalysts:
Quantum communications expansion: Strategic acquisitions (e.g., Capella Space) and investments in quantum networking aim to build a future quantum internet.
Talent & execution strength: High-profile hires like Dr. Marco Pistoia (ex-JPMorgan) and Dr. Rick Muller (ex-IARPA) enhance R&D capabilities.
Long-term roadmap: Goal of 8,000 logical qubits by 2030, a milestone that could cement its competitive edge and drive adoption of practical quantum applications.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish above: $35.00–$36.00
Upside target: $80.00–$82.00, supported by tech milestones, strategic expansion, and top-tier talent.
#IONQ #QuantumComputing #Innovation #AI #QuantumInternet #Investing #TechGrowth
Trend Analysis
Oil tests 20 SMA resistanceOil trades within a descending channel dating back to 2023. The price also trades below its 20, 50, and 200 SMA in a bearish trend. Oil faced rejection at the 50 SMA and rebounded lower before finding support at 61.50, the August low. The price has recovered higher and is testing the 20 SMA resistance and the mid-point of the descending channel.
Buyers will need to close above 63.50 to extend gains towards 65.00, the 50 SMA, and the September high. A rise above here creates a higher high and exposes the 200 SMA.
Selles will need to break below 61.50 to create a lower low and extend the bearish trend.
FC
Gold prices have entered a wide range of 3330-3360.Gold prices have entered a wide range of 3330-3360.
As shown in Figure 4h:
Gold prices remain strong today.
Although gold prices fell sharply yesterday due to profit-taking, they have risen again today.
The impact of news and sentiment has largely reversed.
The market has returned to volatility, and gold prices are currently holding generally high around 3650 points.
I believe gold is unlikely to break new highs today.
The market needs a buffer zone for adjustment.
Sideways trading at high levels is the most likely pattern for gold prices going forward.
Based on this:
For Wednesday's strategy, I believe we can try a short position.
Sell: 3360-3370
Stop loss: 3380
Target: 3350-
This strategy is for intraday reference only.
With the revision of non-farm payroll data, tomorrow's CPI data will be a key focus.
Gold prices are forming a converging ascending triangle pattern, and the possibility of an upside breakout remains high.
This week, there's a strong chance that gold prices will break through the 3700-3750 range.
Therefore, buying low remains the prevailing strategy.
For this reason, it's crucial to clearly identify all key support levels.
Currently, key support levels for gold are: $3640, $3625, $3600, $3580, and $3560.
We can identify a high-probability range for gold price fluctuations: $3330-3360.
Key support levels to watch: $3625-3630.
I would most likely enter a position in this range.
However, if a pullback breaks through this range, gold prices could fall to $3580-3560.
Therefore, we should closely monitor this range when entering a position.
BANK OF INDIABank of India (currently trading at ₹117) is a leading public sector bank founded in 1906 and nationalized in 1969. Headquartered in Mumbai, it operates over 5,200 branches and 8,100 ATMs across India, with 22 overseas offices in financial hubs like New York, London, Dubai, and Singapore. The bank offers a full suite of services including retail banking, corporate credit, MSME lending, investment banking, and international trade finance. It is a founding member of SWIFT.With total assets exceeding ₹9.12 lakh crore and a business base of ₹14.46 lakh crore, Bank of India plays a pivotal role in India’s credit expansion and financial inclusion strategy.
Bank of India – FY22–FY25 Snapshot
• Sales – ₹48,500 Cr → ₹52,300 Cr → ₹56,700 Cr → ₹62,100 Cr Growth driven by loan book expansion and fee income
• Net Profit – ₹4,028 Cr → ₹4,710 Cr → ₹5,540 Cr → ₹6,200 Cr Earnings uplift supported by NIM improvement and lower credit costs
• Operating Performance – Moderate → Moderate → Strong → Strong Cost-to-income ratio declining; digital and retail yields improving
• Dividend Yield (%) – 0.40% → 0.50% → 0.60% → 0.70% Progressive payout aligned with profit growth
• Equity Capital – ₹3,000 Cr (constant) No fresh equity; capital adequacy comfortably above regulatory norms
• Total Debt – ₹0 Cr (deposit-funded) Liabilities driven by CASA and term deposits; no standalone borrowings
• Fixed Assets – ₹5,500 Cr → ₹5,700 Cr → ₹6,000 Cr → ₹6,300 Cr Capex focused on branch upgrades and digital infrastructure
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends
Promoter holding stands at 73.38% via Government of India. FIIs and DIIs maintain selective exposure, citing asset quality recovery and digital traction. Delivery volumes reflect accumulation by PSU-bank and dividend-focused funds.
Business Growth Verdict
Bank of India is scaling retail and MSME loan segments while stabilizing corporate credit. NIMs have expanded from 2.8% to 3.1% as liability costs eased. Credit costs have normalized, with PCR rising to 75% from 68%. Digital transactions and fee income growth underpin long-term revenue diversification.
Management Con Call
• NIM in Q1 FY26 improved to 3.2%, with CASA ratio at 44% • Gross slippage ratio declined to 2.1% from 2.5% YoY; PCR at 75% • Retail loan book grew 18% YoY; corporate loans up 12% YoY • CASA deposits rose 15% YoY; overall deposits grew 14% • FY26 outlook: loan growth guidance of 12–15%, NIM target 3–3.3%, credit cost ~0.9%
Final Investment Verdict
Bank of India offers a high-conviction PSU-bank play on India’s credit revival and digital banking drive. Its improving NIMs, steady asset-quality recovery and deposit franchise support durable earnings growth. With capital buffers intact, a rising PCR and strong retail-MSME momentum, it’s suitable for accumulation by investors seeking a value-oriented financial-services exposure.
HUPSENG - dividend gem at an attractive priceThis stock provides awesome dividend yield of around 7.0%.
It recently broke the downtrend with price hovering around 1.00 and forming a tight flag for the past few days.
Looking back, this stock tends to test the MA20 before moving higher so currently, waiting for price to test 0.97 is a reasonable bet.
Dividend ex date for this quarter is on 17.9.2025 so there is a potential for it to touch MA20 by then.
Fundamentally, its sound, nothing fancy.
Recent QoQ revenue was positive. But its hard to find "cookies" like this nowadays.
BTC capped at 113.2k–115.2k: fade rallies, watch CPI__________________________________________________________________________________
Market Overview
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC is chopping in the low-110k, capped by a stacked 113.2k–115.2k supply zone, with macro headline risk elevated into CPI.
Momentum: 📉 Range with bearish tilt — upside attempts fail below 113.2k–114k while HTF pressure remains risk-off.
Key levels:
• Resistances (HTF/LTF) : 113.2k–113.4k (LTF/240 PH) · 114.5k–115.3k (HTF/720 PH) · 116.6k (recent high, HTF).
• Supports (HTF) : 111.9k–112.0k (W pivot) · 110.8k (240 PL) · 107.8k (D PL).
Volumes: Normal on HTF; “moderate” upticks on 1H–30m during failed breakouts.
Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H/6H trend down; 4H–1H mixed with a hard cap at 113.2k–114k; 15m micro-bullish while 111.96k holds. Strong confluence at 113.2k → 115.2k resistance and 111.96k/110.77k/107.8k supports.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: NEUTRAL SELL ; Global Risk Regime stays STRONG SELL — confirms the bearish bias and fades micro-rallies.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Trading Playbook
__________________________________________________________________________________
As long as 113.2k–115.2k caps price, favor “sell the rip” and only buy on confirmed signals.
Global bias: SELL while below 115.24k; major short invalidation on daily > 116.6k.
Opportunities:
• Tactical short on 113.2k–114.0k rejection toward 112.0k/111.0k; inval. above 115.3k.
• Breakout long only on H1/H4 acceptance > 113.3k (retest holds) toward 114.6k/115.24k; inval. below 111.9k.
• Defensive long on clean reaction at 110.8k or 107.8k if risk blocks improve (≥ NEUTRAL BUY on LTF).
Risk zones / invalidations: Break < 110,77k voids defensive longs (opens 107.8k); H4/D12 close > 115.24k voids range shorts (opens squeeze to 116.6k).
Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): CPI next (direct vol around 111k–112k pivot) · Geopolitics (NATO Article 4; Middle East) supports risk-off · US tariff path (SCOTUS) preserves trade-policy uncertainty.
Action plan:
• Fade-rally short : Entry 113.2k–114.0k / Stop 115.3k / TP1 112.0k · TP2 111.0k · TP3 110.8k / R:R ~1.8–2.5.
• Breakout long : Entry > 113.3k (confirmed retest) / Stop 111.9k / TP1 114.6k · TP2 115.24k · TP3 116.6k / R:R ~1.6–2.2.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Insights
__________________________________________________________________________________
HTFs remain bearish while LTFs attempt extensions under a dense overhead supply.
1D/12H/6H: Downtrend, rallies capped below 113.2k–115.2k; dominant supply, supports layered at 111.96k → 110.77k → 107.8k.
4H/2H/1H: Mixed reads; need a clean close > 113.24k to open 114.6k–115.24k, otherwise frequent fades back to 111.96k.
30m/15m: 30m cautious (STRONG SELL) vs 15m micro-bullish (NEUTRAL BUY); classic pre-catalyst divergence — wait for H1/H4 confirmations.
Confluence/Divergence: Heavy multi-TF supply 113.2k → 115.2k; risk-on equities vs risk-off credit/crypto warns against chasing crypto bounces.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro & On-Chain Drivers
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro is mixed (gold ATH, firm oil, US equities buoyed by cut hopes) while geopolitics heats up and CPI looms.
Macro events: CPI imminently (sets risk tone) · NATO Article 4/Middle East tensions (risk premia higher) · US tariff track (SCOTUS) sustains uncertainty.
Bitcoin analysis: 100–1k BTC cohorts accumulating, 1k–10k distributing — potential cap on impulsive upside; ETF flows cooling, consistent with consolidation below 114k–116k.
On-chain data: Activity skewed by inscriptions/runes; sentiment in “fear” (44/100) implies positioning not crowded long.
Expected impact: Range-to-down bias while < 113.3k–115.2k; a benign CPI could trigger a push > 113.3k toward 114.6k/115.24k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Key Takeaways
__________________________________________________________________________________
The market stalls under multi-TF supply as key catalysts approach.
- Overall trend: 📉 bearish on HTF; LTFs try but stall below 113.2k–114k.
- Best setup: Fade 113.2k–114.0k into CPI with active management.
- Key macro: CPI and geopolitics drive the global risk regime.
Stay disciplined around the 111.9k–112.0k pivot and let confirmation lead exposure. ⚠️
USUALUSDT Forming Falling WedgeUSUALUSDT is currently displaying a falling wedge pattern, one of the most reliable bullish reversal signals in technical analysis. The narrowing price action indicates that selling pressure is fading, while buyers are gradually gaining strength. With trading volume remaining healthy, the setup points toward a potential breakout, with expected gains in the range of 90% to 100% once momentum fully shifts to the upside.
This structure often precedes strong rallies as it reflects accumulation by investors who anticipate significant upward movement. In the case of USUALUSDT, market participants are increasingly taking interest, positioning themselves ahead of a potential breakout. The wedge formation highlights the compression of price before expansion, which can fuel rapid gains when resistance is broken.
Investor sentiment around this project continues to improve, supported by consistent volume and growing market activity. This alignment of technical signals and investor participation strengthens the likelihood of a bullish move. Traders who monitor this setup closely may find a high-probability opportunity as the breakout level approaches.
In conclusion, USUALUSDT has all the elements of a bullish setup, with the falling wedge pattern pointing toward a breakout rally of 90% to 100%. Strong volume support and increasing investor confidence could push this pair into a powerful upward trajectory in the near term.
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NVIDIA Testing Downtrend — Breakout Could Unlock UpsideNVIDIA has been trading in a corrective downtrend after its recent highs, with price compressing under the red trendline. If this downtrend breaks, a strong bullish move upward could follow, but key supports below remain critical if sellers extend pressure.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Current price: 143.04 EUR (XETR).
Price is consolidating under the downtrend line, keeping short-term bias cautious.
Immediate supports: 141.40 (short-term) and 139.44 (intraday).
A break of the red trendline would flip momentum bullish.
🛡️ Support Zones & Stop-Loss (White Lines):
🟢 141.40 – Last 15m Support (High Risk)
Weak intraday defense.
Stop-loss: Below 139.44
🟠 130.84 – 4H Support (Good Entry)
Major demand zone.
Stop-loss: Below 128.2
⚪ 128.34 – Macro Base
Strong final floor if deeper correction plays out.
🔼 Resistance Levels:
🟥 Downtrend Line (Red)
The key resistance. A break above → signals bullish reversal.
Psychological resistance: 145.00
🧭 Outlook
Bullish Case: Break above trendline → upside momentum resumes, targeting 145+.
Bearish Case: Rejection under trendline + loss of 141.40 → opens path to 139.44 and 130.84.
Bias: Neutral to bullish — watching for a confirmed trendline breakout.
🌍 Fundamental Insight
NVIDIA’s latest earnings disappointed the market, with slowing revenue growth and concerns about sustainability of its AI-driven boom. Profit margins remain high, but weaker guidance has triggered selling pressure and fueled the current downtrend.
Bearish pressure: Revenue slowdown + post-earnings profit-taking.
Bullish support: Long-term AI leadership and strong market position keep investors interested on dips.
✅ Conclusion
NVIDIA is testing a critical downtrend line after weak earnings triggered a pullback. A confirmed breakout could reignite the bullish trend, but failure and a break below 141.40/139.44 opens the way toward deeper supports at 130.84.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
AUDUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.660.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.658.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GER30 (DAX 40)GER30 (DAX 40) Bullish Outlook
The DAX 40 is showing steady strength, with buyers stepping in around 23,500. Momentum is building, and if it pushes past 23,800, we could see it testing 24,000 soon.
Pullbacks to support might be great spots to consider entering long, keeping an eye on how the market reacts. Overall, the vibe is bullish and the trend is looking healthy.
XAU/USD Sell Idea | Setup Based on Liquidity & Break of StructuHello fellow traders,
In this analysis, we'll break down a potential short scenario for XAU/USD (Gold) on the 15-minute timeframe, based on Price Action and Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
The Rationale for the Setup:
Liquidity Hunt: As seen on the chart, the price first engineered a liquidity hunt, grabbing the buy-side liquidity (BSL) at the HUNT zone. This move is often a precursor to a strong reversal.
Change of Character (CHoCH): Following the liquidity grab, we witnessed a powerful downward impulse, resulting in a break of a key low and creating a "Change of Character" (CHoCH). This is a clear indication of a potential short-term shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Zone: To enter a short position, we are waiting for a price pullback into a premium area of value. This zone, identified using the Fibonacci tool, contains a confluence of a Breaker Block and a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This confluence adds significant validation to our entry area.
Trade Details:
Entry: 3,660.364
Stop Loss: 3,676.024 (Placed just above the original high where liquidity was taken)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,646.075 (Recent swing low)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,635.179 (Targeting the area near the Previous Day's Low - PDL)
Risk Management:
This analysis is purely an idea and not a financial signal. Please conduct your own due diligence and apply strict risk management before entering any trade. It's advisable to take partial profits at TP1 and move the stop loss to breakeven.
Good luck and trade safe!
#XAUUSD #GOLD #SMC #ICT #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdea #PriceAction #SmartMoney
Gold Bulls Reload: Technical Confirm, Fundamentals SupportHello traders,
Gold recently dipped in a minor correction, retracing toward its rising trendline support, a level that has historically provided strong reactions. After a liquidity sweep below Monday’s low and a confirmed break in market structure, I see potential for another bullish leg developing from here.
My Trading Plan:
With a break in market structure already in play, I’ll be looking for longs in the 3640–3646 zone.
First target: previous day’s high at 3635.67.
On the bigger picture, I still expect Gold to test new record highs, so extending beyond yesterday’s high looks reasonable.
Invalidation: a clean 1H candle close below 3620.
Why Fundamentals Support the Bulls:
Federal Reserve Outlook: Markets are pricing a 92% chance of a 25 bp rate cut in September, as weak job data and rising unemployment (4.3%) signal a slowing economy.
Inflation Risks: Even with slowing growth, “sticky” inflation, driven in part by tariffs, remains above the Fed’s target, keeping real yields pressured. This supports gold as an inflation hedge.
Political Pressure: Tensions around Fed independence, with political criticism of Chair Powell, are adding safe-haven demand.
Geopolitics: Escalations in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, plus central bank gold buying (especially from BRICS+), continue to underpin long-term bullish flows.
With both technical signals and macro forces aligned, gold’s case for another upside push looks solid.
What’s your take on this setup? Share your thoughts in the comments. If this idea adds value, please show your support with a boost.
The Golden Run Continues: XAUUSD Eyes $3800? The Golden Run Continues: XAUUSD Eyes $3800?
Prior Bullish Momentum & Consolidation : XAUUSD entered a period of consolidation following a robust bullish rally earlier in the year. This initial surge established a strong underlying demand.
Symmetrical Triangle Formation : This consolidation phase manifested as a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart. This pattern typically represents a period of indecision, or accumulation/distribution, before a continuation of the prior trend.
Decisive Bullish Breakout: Gold has now executed a powerful and decisive upward breakout from the upper trendline of this symmetrical triangle. This action confirms the prevailing bullish sentiment and signals the likely resumption of the uptrend.
Key Support Level Established: The former upper trendline of the triangle, now residing around the $3500 mark, has effectively transformed into a critical immediate support level. A successful retest and hold of this level would further validate the breakout.
Strong Upward Trajectory: Post-breakout, the price action has been emphatically bullish, currently exhibiting a steep ascent within the marked green channel, indicating significant buying pressure.
Primary Price Target at Based on the measured move principle, often applied to symmetrical triangle breakouts (projecting the height of the pattern from the breakout point), our primary upside target for XAUUSD is 3800. This implies significant rally potential from current levels.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
META 1D Time frame Meta Platforms (META) Daily Snapshot
Current Price: $765.70
Change: +1.78% from the previous close
Intraday Range: $753.43 – $766.30
Volume: 10,564,233 shares traded
Market Cap: $1.86 trillion
P/E Ratio: 25.95
EPS: $27.56
Beta: 1.42 → higher volatility than the market
🔎 Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: $764.73 (near-term)
R2: $771.51 (next zone)
Support:
S1: $745.67 (immediate)
S2: $738.89 (secondary)
S3: $732.75 (long-term)
📈 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): 52.41 → neutral, balanced buying and selling
MACD: 1.46 → positive, upward momentum
ADX (14): 14.16 → weak trend strength
Moving Averages:
5-day SMA: $745.11 → Buy
10-day EMA: $748.66 → Buy
50-day SMA: $739.04 → Buy
200-day SMA: $651.23 → Buy
📌 Market Sentiment
Catalysts: Positive momentum and analyst upgrades
Sector Strength: Tech sector strong, with Meta leading gains
AI Investment: Meta plans to invest heavily in AI over the coming years, expected to benefit the broader AI and data infrastructure ecosystem
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above $764.73 could push toward $771.51 and higher
Bearish Scenario: Drop below $745.67 may test support at $738.89
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, with momentum positive but near-term resistance to watch
GBPUSD POSSIBLE CONTINUATIONPRICE has recently broken its last higher high, shifting market structure and indicating Buyers are currently in control.
This break opened up a clear Demand Zone below, a small base or last bearish candle before the rise, which is a key area where unfulfilled buy orders may be resting.
Price has retraced back into this Demand Zone to fill those orders. I'm expecting buying pressure to resume and push price upward, honouring the imbalance left by the rise.
Entry: I will enter once I get a good confirmation in the demand zone
🎯 TP: Supply zone above
🛑 SL: Just below the demand zone
LODHA: Bullish DIVERGENCE in Daily AND Shorter TFLODHA: Bullish DIVERGENCE in Daily AND Shorter TF
DOUBLE Bottom Pattern. Possible Reversal.
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#3: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#4: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RL#1 & UTgt
HZ => Hurdle Zone, Specialty of “HZ#1 & HZ#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
retail trading strategies **review**Intro :
Over the past two decades retail forex traders have gathered around a handful of trading methods, some taught by personalities, other emerging from various trading online communities. These strategies range from rules-based technical systems to conceptual frameworks and mostly try to explain large institutional behavior. Most of these strategies are the ones that i have come across in my trading journey.
What this is not : a promise of riches, holy grail system, It's a technical and practical review so you can evaluate, backtest, and adapt.
1) Beat the Market Maker — Steve Mauro
(i) Overview: Popularized by Steve Mauro, this approach claims that major institutions (market makers) manipulate retail orderflow to generate liquidity. The method focuses on identifying accumulation/distribution phases and the ensuing directional move.
Core ideas & rules:
Identify periods of consolidation where "market makers" are believed to be accumulating.
Look for shakeouts (false-breaks) designed to hit stop clusters, then trade the ensuing impulse move.
Use support/resistance, liquidity pools (highs/lows), and structure breaks as confirmation.
Key tools: structure (swing highs/lows), volume spikes (if using a data feed that shows volume), and range breakout fails.
Strengths: Provides a narrative for why false breakouts occur and where liquidity sits.
2) ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Concepts — Michael Huddleston
Overview: ICT is a comprehensive set of market concepts and tactics covering market structure, institutional orderflow, liquidity, and time-of-day edges (e.g., London Open, New York Open). It mixes SMC ideas with very specific rules (split tests, fair value gaps, breaker blocks). It also important to know it's always evolving.
Core elements:
Market structure shifts (MSH/MSL)
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) — price imbalances to be filled
Order blocks — candles/areas where institutions allegedly placed big orders
Optimal trade entry (OTE) using Fibonacci retracements, often 61.8–79%
Time-based edges and correlation analysis
Strengths: Detailed playbook with clear confluence rules — useful for disciplined traders.
3) Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Overview: SMC is an umbrella term (overlapping heavily with ICT) used to describe approaches that try to model institutional behaviour: liquidity grabs, order blocks, fair value gaps, and structure breaks.
Typical rules:
Wait for liquidity sweeps (wick hunts) that break obvious swing highs/lows.
Identify the return to an order block or imbalance as a high-probability entry.
Only take trades in the direction of higher timeframe structure.
Strengths: Emphasizes risk management and trading with institutional flow.
4) Supply and Demand Trading ( my personal favorite)
Overview: Basically this is the imbalance between buyers and sellers, the greater the imbalance, the greater the move. A widely used retail approach that focuses on identifying institutional footprints. The idea is that price tends to revisit these levels because unfilled orders remain.
Core ideas:
Supply zones: areas where heavy selling originated, typically sharp moves away from consolidation.
Demand zones: areas where aggressive buying originated.
Trade the first return to these zones with stop-loss beyond the zone, with the entry being the proximal price and stop loss just a few pips from the distal price.
Strengths: Provides clear areas of interest for entries/exits, often aligning with institutional footprints.
5) Price Action (Naked Trading) & Candlestick Patterns
Overview: Pure price action traders use raw price and candle formations (pin bars, inside bars, engulfing patterns) rather than indicators.
Core ideas:
Read support/resistance structure
Use rejected wicks/pin bars as entry signals
Combine with orderflow context (higher timeframe structure)
Strengths: Lightweight, transferable across markets, robust if rules are clear.
6) Wyckoff Method
Overview: A classic institutional-style framework (dating earlier than 20 years but widely revived) focusing on accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown phases.
Core ideas:
Identify phases (A–E) and spring/spring failures
Volume and price structure show the footprints of large operators
Strengths: Provides a stage-based map of market cycles; excellent for swing traders.
7) Order Flow / Volume Profile (Footprint-style thinking)
Overview: Order-flow traders analyze where traded volume clusters and how price reacts to those clusters. In spot forex, exact volume data is limited, traders use tick volume or correlated markets.
Core ideas:
Volume Profile shows value areas, POC (point of control), and high-volume nodes
Rejections from value areas often lead to directional moves
Strengths: Gives a textured read of where supply/demand imbalance exists.
8) Trend-following & Moving Average Systems
Overview: Simple, time-tested approach using moving averages, breakouts, and momentum to ride sustained trends.
Core ideas:
EMA crossovers (e.g., 8/21/55) or price above/below a long MA
Use ADX or RSI to confirm trend strength
Strengths: Low subjectivity, easy to automate, works well in trending markets.
9) Grid & Martingale (Controversial retail staples)
Overview: Grid and martingale methods place multiple orders at fixed intervals or double down after losses.
Core ideas:
Grid: place buy/sell orders at intervals to capture mean reversion.
Martingale: increase position size after losses to recover.
Strengths: Can generate small, steady returns in low-volatility ranges.
10) Fibonacci & Harmonic Trading
Overview: Fibonacci retracement/extension levels and harmonic patterns (Gartley, Bat, Butterfly) are price geometry approaches used for precision entries.
Core ideas:
Use Fibonacci retracement for pullback entries (38.2 / 50 / 61.8)
Harmonic patterns require precise ratios to qualify, the same fib levels.
Strengths: Clear entry/target geometry; widely taught, backed by math gods (hahaha)
nerdy advice:
Backtest before you believe. Use TradingView’s strategy tester or export historical bars for offline testing.
Define objective rules. Ambiguity kills consistency; translate concepts (e.g., "order block" or "demand zone") into a reproducible rule set.
Risk management is king. Use fixed fractional sizing, stop-loss placement based on structure, and stress-test for tail events.
Simplicity beats complexity. Too many overlapping rules reduce clarity and make optimization fragile.
Document setups. Save your @TradingView ideas with full annotation so you can later audit winners and losers.
put together by : Pako Phutietsile as @currencynerd
*** i also like supply and demand because most these strategies use supply and demand but under different titles, for example an ict trader calls supply and deand CP,s order blocks..
IREN / 2h📊 Technical Update
NASDAQ:IREN 📈 rallied 15.2%, reaching the midpoint of the projected advance zone and breaking above the early September all-time high—a key level in the current wave structure.
📈 🎬 Wave Analysis
Both the wave structure and underlying momentum favour a sustained impulsive advance toward higher levels, potentially defining the peak of the extension of Minute Wave iii (circled) near $35.
#CryptoStocks #IREN #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BitcoinMining #BTC #AI
NASDAQ:IREN CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN NYSE:AI
Global Market Foundations1. Historical Evolution of Global Markets
Early Trade Systems
The roots of global markets can be traced back thousands of years to barter-based exchanges and regional trade. Ancient civilizations like Mesopotamia, Egypt, China, and the Indus Valley engaged in trade using goods such as grain, spices, textiles, and metals. Over time, currencies in the form of coins and later paper money simplified transactions.
Silk Road and Maritime Trade
Between the 2nd century BCE and the 15th century CE, the Silk Road connected Asia, the Middle East, and Europe. This network facilitated not just goods but also culture, ideas, and technologies. Maritime trade routes across the Indian Ocean and Mediterranean further accelerated cross-border exchange.
Colonial Era and Mercantilism
The Age of Exploration (15th–18th centuries) brought about European colonization, global trade in spices, cotton, and precious metals, and unfortunately, also the slave trade. The mercantilist philosophy—where nations aimed to accumulate wealth through exports and restricted imports—dominated global markets.
Industrial Revolution
The Industrial Revolution in the 18th and 19th centuries transformed global markets with mass production, mechanization, and steam-powered transport. This era witnessed the rise of global corporations, banking systems, and stock exchanges.
20th Century and Globalization
The 20th century saw the establishment of critical global institutions like the International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank, and later the World Trade Organization (WTO). The Bretton Woods system established a framework for currency exchange and stability. Post-1990s, globalization intensified with liberalized trade policies, financial deregulation, and technological innovation.
2. Core Components of Global Markets
Goods and Services Trade
The most visible aspect of global markets is the exchange of goods and services. Countries specialize in what they produce efficiently and trade for what they lack. For example, Saudi Arabia exports oil, while South Korea exports electronics.
Financial Markets
Financial markets provide the infrastructure for raising capital, trading securities, and managing risk. They include:
Equity markets (stock exchanges like NYSE, NSE, LSE)
Bond markets (government and corporate debt instruments)
Derivatives markets (futures, options, swaps)
Foreign exchange (Forex) markets (largest by volume globally)
Capital Flows
Investment across borders, including Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and portfolio investment, forms a crucial foundation of global markets. Companies establish subsidiaries abroad while investors allocate funds to international assets.
Labor Mobility
Though limited compared to capital, the migration of skilled and unskilled labor plays a role in global markets. For instance, remittances from migrant workers significantly support economies like the Philippines, Mexico, and India.
Digital and Technology-Driven Markets
Today, e-commerce platforms, fintech solutions, and digital currencies like Bitcoin represent new dimensions of global markets. Technology has reduced transaction costs and barriers to entry.
3. Institutions Supporting Global Markets
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Provides short-term financial assistance to countries facing balance-of-payment crises and advises on economic reforms.
World Bank
Focuses on long-term development projects, poverty alleviation, and infrastructure funding.
World Trade Organization (WTO)
Regulates international trade by providing dispute resolution and enforcing agreements to ensure free and fair trade.
Central Banks
Institutions like the U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and Reserve Bank of India influence monetary policy, interest rates, and liquidity that impact global capital flows.
Multinational Corporations (MNCs)
Companies like Apple, Toyota, and Nestlé drive cross-border trade, investment, and cultural integration. They represent both opportunities and challenges in terms of competition and regulation.
4. Principles and Theories Underpinning Global Markets
Comparative Advantage
Proposed by David Ricardo, this principle states that nations benefit by specializing in goods they can produce relatively efficiently and trading for others.
Supply and Demand
The universal law of supply and demand governs price discovery in all global markets—whether for oil, wheat, or currencies.
Market Efficiency
Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) suggests that asset prices reflect all available information, though real-world evidence shows markets can be irrational at times.
Risk and Return
Investors allocate capital globally based on risk-return trade-offs, diversification benefits, and hedging strategies.
5. Drivers of Global Markets
Globalization
Integration of economies through trade, investment, and culture increases interdependence.
Technology
From telegraph and container shipping to blockchain and AI, technology has always shaped the speed and efficiency of global markets.
Policy and Regulation
Trade agreements (NAFTA, EU, ASEAN), tariffs, and sanctions influence the flow of goods and capital.
Energy and Natural Resources
Oil, gas, and minerals remain critical drivers of global trade and geopolitics.
Geopolitics
Wars, sanctions, and alliances impact supply chains, commodity prices, and investor confidence.
6. Risks in Global Markets
Economic Risks
Recessions, inflation, unemployment.
Currency volatility and capital flight.
Political Risks
Instability, protectionism, and trade wars.
Financial Risks
Market bubbles, banking crises, and debt defaults.
Environmental Risks
Climate change, natural disasters, and sustainability challenges.
Technological Risks
Cybersecurity threats, digital fraud, and over-dependence on AI.
The Future of Global Markets
Sustainability and ESG Investing
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) principles are increasingly shaping investment decisions.
Digital Transformation
Fintech, blockchain, AI-driven trading, and Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) will redefine financial markets.
Regionalization vs. Globalization
While globalization remains strong, supply chain disruptions are pushing nations toward regional alliances.
Inclusive Growth
The future of global markets will depend on addressing inequality, ensuring fair trade, and supporting developing economies.
Conclusion
The foundations of the global market are built on centuries of trade, innovation, and institutional development. They rest upon principles like comparative advantage, risk management, and technological adoption, but they also face challenges from geopolitics, economic volatility, and environmental concerns.
For businesses, investors, and nations, understanding these foundations is not just academic—it is practical. Decisions about trade policy, investment strategy, and resource allocation depend on recognizing the forces that shape global markets.
As the world enters an era defined by digital transformation, sustainability, and geopolitical shifts, the global market will continue to evolve. Its foundations, however, remain rooted in human interdependence—the shared desire to exchange value, ideas, and opportunities across borders.