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Trend Analysis

Breaking through the trend line will go 100%As you can see from the descending channel, it's approaching the upper channel ceiling. All indicators point to accumulation at the line, which has been tested as shown in the circle. Now, all indicators are accumulating towards overbought territory. If it fails to break through, it will return to the channel's midline, allowing the indicators, especially on the daily chart, to recover. Alternatively, after a long candle, it could reach 100%, which is what I personally expect, before retracing to the 0.045 level.
by goldcrypto7
XAU/USD Monthly Chart Analysis: and Future Target 3000?On the monthly chart of XAU/USD, a classic Cup and Handle formation has developed, with a significant breakout occurring on March 1, 2024. Following this breakout, the price rallied by approximately 24.62%. To project future price targets, I employed a method of measuring the depth of the cup and adding it to the breakout level. This calculation resulted in a potential price target range of $2,915.24 to $3,000, reflecting a total expected increase of around 42.39%. As of today, August 22, the price has already moved up by 18.81%, leaving a potential upside of 16% to reach the target. The time projection for achieving this target was derived from the duration taken to complete the Cup pattern, which spanned 108 bars. By dividing this time period by two, I arrived at 54 bars, pinpointing a potential target date of September 1, 2028. Interestingly, there's a coincidental alignment between the breakout date of March 1 and the projected target date of September 1. However, it’s important to note that financial markets are highly sensitive to news and events, leading to dynamic price movements. The prices are not static and can experience various phases, including uptrends and downtrends. The intention behind this analysis is to identify and track high-time-frame patterns, providing a basis for future projections. I’ll also be tagging my previous Ethereum prediction, where I forecasted a price movement from $1,500 to $3,500 based on similar logic. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal study and predictions. It is not intended as financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult with a professional before making any investment decisions.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Jimmy_Rebello
1
XAUUSD: Bearish Continuation from Supply Zone?Market Context (M15): Gold (XAUUSD) is currently exhibiting a textbook corrective recovery within a broader bearish structure. After the sharp sell-off observed on Feb 12th, price action has been consolidating within an ascending channel (purple trendlines), which often acts as a bearish flag or "dead cat bounce" before the next leg down. Technical Breakdown: The Supply Zone: We are currently approaching a critical resistance area between $5,062 and $5,080. This zone has historically seen strong selling pressure and aligns with previous breakdown points. Trend Dynamics: The orange 15m EMA is providing immediate support for the current bounce. A break below this EMA and the rising channel support would confirm the shift in momentum back to the bears. Price Targets: If the $5,080 resistance holds, we expect a reversal targeting the deep liquidity pool in the $4,666 – $4,729 "Target Zone." 📊 Trade Plan: Bias: Bearish 🔴 Entry Area: $5,060 — $5,075 (Watch for bearish price action: pin bars or engulfing candles). Stop Loss (SL): $5,105 (Above the structural high to allow for market "noise"). Take Profit (TP): $4,730 (Primary Target Zone). Risk/Reward: Approx 1:8 (High-reward setup). ⚠️ Pro Tip: Monitor the US Dollar Index (DXY) for strength. If DXY breaks its recent highs, it will provide the necessary fuel for Gold to hit our lower targets. Always manage your risk and wait for confirmation before entry. Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Trading involves significant risk. Always use a stop loss.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by azizy73
Buy AUD/USD at strong support / broken trendline.The AUD has been the strongest major for awhile now so it makes sense to buy this pair. Price action however seems to be struggling and a correction / sideways looks likely. There are the RBA minutes and FOMC this week which might bring the price back to support around 0.6940 but I don't expect it to last and buyers step in to push the price back up again. Although I don't expect this trade to enter, never say never and if it does some traders might want to hold to 0.75 and above with 0.80 realistically possible this year. Buy Limit : 0.6942 strong support Stop : 0.6835 under strong support Profit : 0.7210 Fib Extension Risk 2 : 5 / stop is 107 pips.
Long
by ForexExpats1
SPY Structure Update (Daily)No predictions. Just structure. Price closed just beneath the 50 EMA, with the broader EMA stack still holding alignment above the 200. The trend has not broken, but short-term pressure is testing the intermediate level. Momentum & Participation • RSI (14) Short-term RSI is attempting a minor uptick (43.79), while longer-term RSI sits near 51.42 and continues to drift lower. This reflects short-term stabilization inside a broader momentum slowdown — not expansion. • ATR Volatility remains steady. No expansion, no compression. Environment is neutral — not impulsive. • On-Balance Volume (OBV) Slight uptick in participation, supporting the short-term RSI lift. However, participation has not accelerated enough to signal structural shift. Summary: Structure remains intact, but short-term pressure is present beneath the 50 EMA. Momentum is mixed. Volatility is stable. Participation is attempting to stabilize. No regime shift at this time. Just observing how structure behaves around key levels. Structure > emotion.
AMEX:SPY
by codymiller12727
AXSUSDT Ready to Explode? Channel Break Could Trigger Relief!The Axie Infinity / USDT pair on the 4H timeframe is still within a mid-term downtrend structure after failing to hold the supply area around 2.9 – 3.0 USDT. Price action continues forming consistent Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL), indicating strong seller dominance. Currently, price is consolidating right above a crucial support block following rejection from the main trendline resistance. --- Structure & Pattern Formation 1. Descending Channel / Falling Wedge Hybrid Two descending trendlines are visible: Resistance trendline (red) → connecting LHs. Support trendline (yellow) → holding LLs. Structure is tightening → indicates volatility compression. This type of pattern often results in: Continuation if breakdown occurs. Reversal if an upside breakout happens. 2. Support Block Demand Zone The strong demand area is located at: 1.30 – 1.35 USDT Key confluence factors: Previous base before impulsive rally. Multiple wick rejections. Volume absorption showing buyer defense. --- Key Levels Resistance: 1.54 → Minor resistance / latest rejection. 1.65 → Mid-channel resistance. 1.90 → Horizontal resistance. 2.11 → Supply flip area. 2.65 → Major resistance. 2.94 – 3.00 → Macro supply / swing high. Support: 1.30 – 1.35 → Major support block. 1.15 → Minor channel support. 0.91 → Extreme low / liquidity target. --- Bullish Scenario Bullish confirmation requires: 1. Breakout above the red resistance trendline. 2. Strong candle close above 1.54. 3. Successful retest turning resistance into support. Upside targets: 1.65 1.90 2.11 2.65 2.94 Additional confirmation: Volume expansion on breakout. Bullish RSI divergence (if present). Market structure shift from LH → HH. Meaning: Buyers escape channel pressure and initiate a mid-term reversal phase. --- Bearish Scenario Bearish continuation activates if: 1. The 1.30 – 1.35 support block breaks. 2. Candle closes below the demand zone. 3. Retest fails to reclaim the area. Downside targets: 1.15 1.00 psychological level 0.91 (liquidity sweep zone) A breakdown would confirm a new Lower Low, continuing the downtrend structure. --- Conclusion Primary trend: Bearish (mid-term) Current position: Above key demand Structure: Descending channel compression Potential: Reversal on breakout / Dump on support loss This is a decision zone. Price reaction between 1.30 – 1.54 will determine whether AXS: Starts a relief rally. Or continues distribution lower. #AXSUSDT #AXSAnalysis #CryptoTechnicalAnalysis #AltcoinSetup #DescendingChannel #SupportResistance #DemandZone #BreakoutSetup #TradingViewAnalysis #CryptoTrading #AltcoinSeason #PriceAction
Long
by CryptoNuclear
1000FLOKI/USDT – LONG SETUP! Hey Traders! If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 📊 Timeframe: 4H 📈 Structure: Falling channel + breakout from demand zone 🔹 Entry Zone: ➡️ 0.03250 – 0.03450 🎯 Targets: • TP1: 0.0400 • TP2: 0.0465 • TP3: 0.0515+ 🛑 Stop Loss: ❌ 0.0303 (Strict SL) 📌 Why this setup looks good: • Price reacting from channel support • Strong demand zone holding • Breakout attempt from descending channel • Attractive risk–reward setup Patience + proper execution = results 💪📈 Stay disciplined. Stay profitable.
BINANCE:1000FLOKIUSDT.PLong
by CoreCrypto1
Bearish potential detected for A2MEntry conditions: (i) lower share price for ASX:A2M along with swing of DMI indicator towards bearishness and RSI downwards, and (ii) observing market reaction around the 4hr support/resistance levels previously established, depending on risk tolerance (i.e.: $8.25 from 23rd January or $8.14 from 20th January). Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be: (i) above all congestion and declining yearly VWAP (currently $8.79), or (ii) above the previous support level established on 18th December (open of $8.92).
ASX:A2MShort
by Ivory_Wolf
Analysts See Massive Upside for Super Group (SGHC)Analysts See Massive Upside for Super Group (SGHC) as Momentum Builds and Catalysts Loom Super Group (SGHC) Limited (NYSE:SGHC), the global online sports betting and gaming operator behind renowned brands like Betway and Spin, is garnering significant attention from Wall Street analysts. Recent research notes paint a picture of a company on the cusp of a major growth phase, with multiple firms reiterating Buy ratings and price targets that suggest substantial upside from current trading levels. On February 2, Canaccord Genuity analyst Jason Tilchen reaffirmed his Buy rating on the stock, maintaining a price target of $18 per share. This target implies a remarkable 99% increase from the stock's current price, an upside projection that aligns closely with the median Wall Street estimate derived from the eight analysts currently covering the company. This bullish stance follows a series of positive developments and endorsements from other leading financial firms. Just weeks earlier, on January 21, the company itself provided a reassuring update to the market. Super Group disclosed that it remains firmly on track to meet its previously issued guidance ranges for both full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Management reiterated its forecast for revenue to land between $2.17 billion and $2.27 billion, a projection that sits comfortably in line with the Wall Street consensus of $2.22 billion. Simultaneously, the company expects its adjusted EBITDA to fall within a range of $555 million to $565 million. Demonstrating confidence in its financial health and future prospects, the board of directors also declared a special cash dividend of $0.25 per ordinary share, a move that rewards shareholders directly. Looking beyond the immediate financial results, Super Group’s management expressed optimism about the future, stating that they anticipate healthy growth to persist into 2026. They highlighted that the company’s core business drivers remain robust and are expected to fuel continued operational momentum in the coming quarters. This positive outlook is echoed by analysts who see a clear path to value creation. In a detailed report published on January 14, Needham analyst Bernie McTernan reiterated his Buy rating and a $17 price target for the stock. This target suggests a compelling 75.1% upside from the levels at the time of his analysis. McTernan’s conviction aligns with that of his peers, as Canaccord Genuity had also reaffirmed its Buy rating and $18 price target just a day prior, on January 13, projecting an 85.5% increase. The consistency among these eight covering analysts reinforces the view that the stock is significantly undervalued at its current price. The bullish thesis was perhaps most emphatically stated on December 31, when Benchmark named Super Group a "2026 EDM Top Idea." Analyst Mike Hickey, who maintained his Buy rating and $17 price target (implying a 71% upside), expressed strong conviction that the company is entering a multi-year phase of earnings compounding. Hickey’s report highlighted a compelling risk-reward profile for investors, especially when considering the company's rich catalyst calendar for 2026. Key upcoming events expected to drive growth and share price appreciation include: New Market Expansion: The company is poised to enter new, high-potential jurisdictions. The World Cup: As a major global sporting event, the World Cup is a significant driver of engagement and revenue for sports betting operators like Betway. Super Coin Initiative: The planned rollout of the "Super Coin" initiative presents a novel avenue for user engagement and value creation. Super Group (SGHC) Limited operates a diverse portfolio in the competitive online gaming space. Its flagship offerings include Betway, a premier online sports betting and casino platform, and Spin, a dynamic multi-brand online casino. With a truly global footprint, the company's operations span the Middle East, Europe, Africa, the Asia-Pacific region, North America, and South and Latin America. Headquartered in Saint Peter Port, Guernsey, Super Group is strategically positioned to capitalize on the ongoing secular shift toward digital entertainment and online gaming, a narrative that analysts believe is only just beginning to unfold for the company's shareholders.
NYSE:SGHCLong
by KalaGhazi