XRPUSD → Will the rate meeting be a bullish driver for altcoins?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is consolidating above the previously broken boundary of the descending triangle formed within the bullish trend. Important news is ahead—the Fed's meeting on interest rates, which is highly likely to become a bullish driver for the cryptocurrency market.
The daily structure of the XRP market looks promising. The price is not updating global lows, is staying within the boundaries of the uptrend, and at the same time is breaking through the resistance of the downward correction, trying to consolidate above the fairly strong support level of 2.9535. But the market is waiting for a driver, namely fundamental background. If this background strengthens after Powell's speech, Bitcoin and altcoins may strengthen, including XRP. However, the fundamental background largely depends on the overall mood of the Fed and its comments. The market has already priced in an interest rate cut, as this is predictable given the economic data. But traders will be watching Powell's tone and how dovish or hawkish his view of the situation is.
Support levels: 2.9535, 2.8853
Resistance levels: 3.0577, 3.155, 3.359
Technically, at the moment, I am considering a scenario of a retest of support and the formation of a long squeeze at 2.9535 - 2.8853 against the backdrop of increased news volatility (manipulative nature). However, if this does not happen, the focus will be on 3.0577, and a close above this level could trigger further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Trend Analysis
EURUSD This is its final rally before Bear Market.The EURUSD pair has been rising aggressively within a (blue) Channel Up since the January 13 2025 bottom. The current Bullish Leg started 6 weeks ago when it hit the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) and rebounded.
This is a critical buy level as it has supported all similar Channel Up patterns since January 2017. When that broke and a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) crossing came equally fast, the new Bear Market in the form of a (red) Channel Down started.
The key now is the 1W RSI, which has started to form a Double Top peak pattern similar to those that led to the tops of February 12 2018 and January 04 2021. What those two have in common is contact with the Lower Highs trend-line, an 8-year Resistance level that EURUSD is targeting now.
If the 1W RSI double tops again, we expect another brutal rejection on the Lower Highs trend-line and we estimate that to be around the 1.20000 psychological level. As a result, we call the current rise, EURUSD's final rally on a Bull Cycle that lasted a year. After that, we expect the new Channel Down to lead to the Bear Market that will at least target the top of the 9-year Support Zone. It is a long-term projection but we see 1.06500 getting hit by the end of 2026 - beginning of 2027.
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USDJPY – The Gloomy Days Aren’t Over👋Hello everyone, what’s your take on FX:USDJPY ?
The market is showing an interesting contrast: while XAUUSD has been surging thanks to a weaker USD and falling Treasury yields, USDJPY has been under significant pressure.
In recent sessions, weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data has reinforced expectations that the Fed may cut rates soon. This has weighed on the USD, boosting demand for gold as a safe haven. On the flip side, the Japanese yen — long pressured by ultra-loose monetary policy — is now benefiting from USD weakness, intensifying the downward pressure on USDJPY.
Technically, USDJPY has been moving sideways for weeks, with momentum fading. Bears are seizing the opportunity, eyeing a potential breakdown below the key 147.0 support level, which could open the door to deeper declines.
A clear break beneath this support would confirm the bearish scenario. Let’s watch closely to see how this unfolds.
What about you — do you think USDJPY will break lower or hold steady? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments!
Amd - The path is too clear!🪓Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) will rally another +75%:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past five years, Amd has been trading in a simple rising channel formation. With the recent retest of a major confluence of support, Amd once again confirmed the bullish trend. Following those previous cycles, Amd will now break the all time high and rally another +75% from here.
📝Levels to watch:
$200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
USD/CAD 4H chart:USD/CAD 4H chart:
Current price: ~1.3753
Support zone: ~1.3720 – 1.3730 (where price has bounced)
First target (TP1): ~1.3835 – 1.3840 (next resistance zone)
Second target (TP2): ~1.3915 – 1.3920 (major resistance zone at the top)
So the trade plan shown in chart is:
✅ Entry from support ~1.3730
🎯 Target 1 → ~1.3840
🎯 Target 2 → ~1.3920
GOLD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,684.42.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,743.94 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NZDUSD: A Slow Pair, but a Clear Setup1. What happened before
Although NZDUSD has been a very slow mover lately, the pair remains highly technical. Looking back, the broader downtrend started in 2014, with the decline visible on the chart since 2021. The most recent leg down began exactly one year ago and ended in April at 0.55 – a level that coincided with both the pandemic low and the October 2022 bottom.
2. Key question
Has NZDUSD finally built a foundation for a bullish continuation, or will the market remain trapped in its slow range?
3. Why upside continuation looks possible
• The rebound from April low reached 0.61 resistance before pulling back.
• Importantly, the pullback stopped at 0.58, forming a higher low and aligning with an old support.
• The new rise that followed confirms strong demand at 0.58, suggesting momentum may continue to the upside.
4. Trading plan
• The pair is bullish above 0.58.
• First upside target: 0.61 resistance.
• Longer-term soft target: 0.64.
• Patience is required – NZDUSD is a slow pair, and such a move needs time to develop.
5. Conclusion
NZDUSD might not be the fastest market, but its technical precision makes it worth watching. Above 0.58, the bias stays bullish, with the market slowly but surely building a case for higher levels 🚀
Gold Ahead of FOMC: Holding the Uptrend Near 3,700Hi everyone, gold is heading into a highly sensitive week as the FOMC prepares to release its rate decision and policy guidance. On the H1 chart, price just broke above 3,680 with a strong candle and higher volume, now consolidating just below the 3,690–3,700 resistance cluster. The overall trend remains bullish, with price riding the upward-sloping Ichimoku cloud and clear support steps below: 3,662–3,665 as the nearest cushion, 3,648–3,642 as the deeper defence, and 3,635–3,625 as the intraday pivot. As long as gold holds above 3,660, I lean towards further accumulation and a retest of 3,690–3,700. A confirmed close above 3,700 on H1/H4 could unlock 3,715–3,730.
From the news angle, the FOMC midweek is the main trigger. A dovish Powell and softer dot-plot would likely weigh on USD and yields, giving gold a strong chance to clear 3,700. On the flip side, a hawkish surprise could spark profit-taking, dragging price back to 3,662–3,665 or even 3,648–3,642 to test buyers. Labour data, PMI, and the BoE decision will also shape sentiment. With recent US figures underwhelming, markets are leaning towards a softer Fed, which underpins gold’s bias. For now, I favour the bullish scenario, keeping an eye on reactions around 3,665 and 3,645 once the FOMC news hits.
What’s your call – dovish or hawkish Fed this week?
AUDUSD Rejection at Resistance – Bearish Setup AheadAUDUSD is testing a key resistance zone near 0.6680 after a strong bullish trendline move. The market has shown multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) signals, indicating potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
If price fails to break above this resistance, we may see a bearish rejection followed by a downside move toward 0.6620 – 0.6600. A confirmed break below the trendline could accelerate bearish pressure.
This is a technical analysis idea, not financial advice. Always manage your risk properly and follow your trading plan.
XAUUSDOverall, gold prices remain in a strong uptrend, but in the short term, if the price fails to break above 3704, there is a possibility of a downside, so consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Nasdaq Echoing December FOMC| NQ1 Short SetupAfter spotting the new day opening gap, I immediately analyzed the charts for a comparable All-Time High NDOG scenario. Sure enough, I found nearly identical price action — unfolding on the same days and with the exact same news catalysts.
I’m planning to short from around 24,600.00, with the expectation that 24,200.00 will get taken out.
Let's see how this plays out⚡
EURUSD: Correction will ContinuesHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, we saw a significant bullish impulse on EURUSD after the price broke out of a multi-week upward wedge. This breakout carried the price well above the Support 1 level at 1.1780, culminating in a new local All-Time High before entering a corrective phase.
Following that peak, the market has pulled back and is now consolidating. Currently, it appears that the price is attempting to build support for another move higher, likely to re-challenge the recent highs.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is a bearish one, built on the expectation of a failed retest of the recent ATH. I'm looking for the price to make one more push upwards towards the recent ATH. The key signal for this short idea would be a clear and strong rejection from that high, showing that buyers no longer have the strength to continue the trend.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this failure at the highs. A confirmed reversal would validate the short scenario. The primary target for the subsequent decline is the 1.1795 support zone, which aligns with the Support zone 1 area.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Is the Rate cut priced In | Potential Gold Correction
In this video I highlight the possibility that the highly anticipated rate cut decision is already priced in . If this is the case then we could be at the brink of a healthy correction .
I demonstrate what that could look like if we start to pull back and go into correction territory.
I support this idea with not only the psychological motive but additional confluences using the TPO chart .
Thanks for your support
EURUSD Strengthens in Upward Channel: Next Target at 1.19850?Hello everyone, Ken here!
Looking at the current market, it's clear that EURUSD is moving within a strong upward channel. This trend is not only clear but solid, with the next target around 1.19850, a crucial level at the upper boundary of the channel. This gives us confidence that the bullish trend will continue in the near future, though we still need to watch out for some factors.
While the main trend is leaning towards the buyers, we know the market never moves in a straight line without adjustments. A short-term pullback could happen, and this would present a great opportunity for us to enter, especially if strong bullish candlestick patterns, like engulfing candles, appear to confirm continued buying strength. If the price breaks above recent highs, it will further reinforce the bullish momentum, pushing EURUSD toward the next target.
However, as we know, nothing is certain. If the price breaks below the lower boundary of the channel, we’ll need to reassess the bullish outlook, as this could signal a potential change in the trend.
Remember, what we share here is just our personal opinion—not financial advice. Always double-check your setups and manage your risk carefully before making any trading decisions.
GOLD hits new all-time high, watch out for FedOANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise sharply, renewing all-time highs, currently trading around 3,678 USD/oz. Gold rose thanks to the weak Dollar and US Treasury yields. In addition, there was new news about Trump's tariffs. The US plans to add steel and aluminum derivatives to the tariff list. Trade uncertainty has contributed to the increase in gold prices.
The US Dollar Index TVC:DXY fell 0.3% on Monday and is now down another 0.11% at 97.235, hitting a one-week low, and the 10-year Treasury yield also weakened, reflecting that investors are preparing for a possible rate cut ahead of the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated meeting this week. The weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated gold more attractive because of the inverse correlation between the two assets.
Regarding Trump's tariffs, according to a notice issued by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Monday, the U.S. Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) has established a process to include additional steel and aluminum derivatives in the tariff scope authorized by President Trump under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. The notice said the filing period for the September 2025 period has begun. The filing period will begin on September 15, 2025, and end at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on September 29, 2025.
Traders are gearing up for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting on September 16-17. Expectations for a rate cut are high, and as a result, US Treasury yields fell sharply on Monday. Gold prices are reflecting the restart of the Fed's easing cycle amid mixed data. Inflation remains high, but a revised jobs report last Tuesday showed that job growth from April 2024 to March 2025 was overestimated by 911,000, raising concerns about a labor market downturn.
As a result, last week’s data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s abrupt change of heart at the Jackson Hole symposium in late August have opened the door to a 25 basis point rate cut. However, few still expect the Fed to cut by 50 basis points.
Along with their decision, Fed officials will also release their latest economic projections and a “dot plot” of interest rates, in which the committee charts the future path of the federal funds rate.
Investors will be watching U.S. retail sales data on Tuesday ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Wednesday, which could shape gold’s price direction ahead of the Fed’s decision.
Focus on Federal Reserve Decision
The Federal Reserve will meet this week under unusually heavy pressure as US President Trump seeks greater influence over monetary policy and the Senate clears a seat for White House economic adviser Milan to join the rate-setting committee in time for a vote at its policy meeting on Wednesday.
On Monday, Trump tweeted that he was calling on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to cut the benchmark interest rate “much more aggressively,” and hinted at the need for more aggressive monetary easing, citing the housing market as an example. This came just ahead of this week’s Fed meeting.
Traders have fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut at the September 16-17 FOMC meeting and see a 5% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s (CME) FedWatch tool.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to renew its all-time high, surpassing the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level noted by readers in the previous issue. And now, it is likely to continue towards the full price level of $3,700 with all the technical indicators in place.
The RSI is operating in the overbought area (80-100) but has not shown any signal for a possible price decrease, a signal for a corrective price decrease is when the RSI bends down below 80. Therefore, in terms of momentum, gold remains very resilient.
The short-term trend is highlighted by the price channel, while the main support is from the EMA21.
As long as gold remains above the raw price point of $3,600, the main technical outlook in the short-term is bullish, the dips should only be viewed as a short-term correction or a new buying opportunity.
During the day, the bullish outlook for gold will be highlighted again by the following positions.
Support: $3,677 – $3,645
Resistance: $3,700 – $3,722
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3699 - 3697⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3703
→Take Profit 1 3691
↨
→Take Profit 2 3685
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3645 - 3647⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3641
→Take Profit 1 3653
↨
→Take Profit 2 3659
AUDUSD – Testing the 0.6670 Resistance -->Breakout ? Hello everyone, let’s discuss OANDA:AUDUSD !
Today, the pair maintains its bullish momentum, trading near 0.6670 since the start of the session. The Aussie dollar is strengthening as demand for risk-sensitive assets rises, fueled by solid expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin its monetary easing campaign this Wednesday.
Technical View: AUDUSD remains highly attractive as price continues to respect the ascending trendline, supported by EMA 34/89. At the moment, it’s testing the 0.6670 resistance zone – a key level that will decide the next move. If the pair holds above the trendline, a breakout above resistance could open the way for higher targets.
What do you think? Will AUDUSD break through resistance and launch a fresh rally? Share your views below!
Money, Time and Emotions – The Trio before Balance in Trading
Gurus love to tell traders: “You just need to find your balance.”
But to be honest, balance doesn’t exist when Gold just ripped through your stop loss for the second time today, and you do a sneak charts check on your phone while pretending to work.
For sure, you are not calm or zen.
At least in the first 2 years... more like frustrated, scattered, and asking yourself if this whole thing is even worth it.
But you’re not broken.
Just carrying the wrong kind of weight, and it usually shows up in three ways combined.
⏳ The Time Pressure
Trading doesn’t fail because you cannot read the charts when you put a bit of an effort into it.
But your life is already so full. Work, family, bills, endless noise, and you’re trying to squeeze trading into the cracks for the sake of a better financial outcome.
So you start chasing candles and force trades into the tiny windows you’ve got. Plus stare at the screen longer, hoping focus & hidden entries will magically appear.
But Gold does not bend to your schedule. And that mismatch wrecks your decisions.
🔑Shift: Don’t out-stare the chart. Get rid of some stress levels by: Set alerts near the key reaction zones. Create focus slots. Let price knock on your door by doing homework in advance.
💰 The Money Illusion
Every trader has tried it: opening a tiny 200 USD account and hoping it’ll explode into freedom.
But pressure makes that account heavier than it really is.
Instead of freedom, you get fear. So your clarity goes away.
And suddenly every single candle feels like it’s deciding your future. So in the end, that little account gets blown several times.
🔑Shift: Lower the stakes. Trade smaller than you think you should. ALWAYS. Track everything, especially your state of mind, keep a journal, and do not be ashamed to put down some thoughts. The game isn’t about miracles, but making repetition boringly consistent like gym reps.
🐺 The Lone Wolf Spiral
The hardest part isn’t the losses but the silence that surrounds when you choose trading.
When you do it alone, every mistake feels like proof that you are bad at this in the beginning. Every win feels like dumb luck, or it blinds you further more. There’s no feedback loop, no outside voice to ground you.
And that silence eats at you until you are second-guessing everything you do.
🔑Shift: Find real traders to connect with. Not 15 channels and 10 Discords, they will eat your time alive. Not fake hype. Actual humans who talk about process, not just profits. The right community cuts through the spiral faster than any indicator ever will. One group that gives you a direction and you can learn from, or gives you the secrets to the ropes ‘til you catch them.
🧭 And The Good News Is...
Stress doesn’t mean you’re doomed.
It just means the game is heavy in the wrong places: your time, your money, your isolation.
And all three are fixable in time with patience and the right support.
Balance isn’t about meditating after a loss, even though that can be good too:)
Start building a structure in your daily trading schedule bit by bit. And by putting systems around your weak spots. About letting caring trading mentors who guide you well, in your life, instead of doing all of the thinking by yourself.
If this article helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology. Thank you.
Bitcoin will break resistance level and continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market dynamic for Bitcoin has undergone a significant shift, with the prior bearish trend being invalidated by a strong breakout from a downward channel. This reversal has established a new bullish market structure, with the price action for BTC now being methodically guided higher within a well-defined upward channel. This pattern has been confirmed by multiple rotations between its support and resistance boundaries, originating from the 108400 - 109400 buyer zone. Currently, the asset is undergoing a healthy correction after testing the upper part of the channel, and the price is now approaching a critical confluence of support. This area is defined by the ascending support line of the channel and the major horizontal 109400 support level. The primary working hypothesis is a long, trend-continuation scenario, anticipating that buyers will defend this support confluence. A confirmed bounce from this area would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the primary upward trend. This move is expected to break through the intermediate 117500 resistance level. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 119600, targeting the upper resistance line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
And there's the EUR/USD breakoutEUR/USD and DXY did not want to wait around for the FOMC meeting tomorrow. It's been a strong breakout so far with the pair pushing up to a fresh four-year high and at this point, bulls have an open door to make a run on the 1.2000 handle.
Leading into this setup and looked at in these posts, there was both a bull pennant and an inverse head and shoulders pattern in-play. That began to give way at the NFP report, with another push appearing in the following week.
But it was the Christine Lagarde comment regarding the disinflationary process being over in the Eurozone that gave the pair fundamental motive, and that continues to drive today as the Fed nears the start of a cutting cycle at tomorrow's rate decision.
At this point, market expectations are stretched for a very dovish push at the Fed. If we do see the Fed pare that back even just a little bit, there could be reason for EUR/USD bulls and DXY bears to square up, which could offer a pullback in both markets.
For EUR/USD, there's support potential at the 1.1830 level which was the prior high, but it's the Fibonacci level at 1.1748 that stands out as it was the 76.4% retracement of that same sequence that helped to catch the lows last week, right around that ECB meeting. It was the 1.1748 level that came into play shortly after, and that's now a spot for bulls to defend - if we do get a pullback at or around tomorrow's FOMC meeting. - js