SPY to 730 by January: The Great Eruption of 2025You ever look at a chart and feel like it’s whispering to you? Not in a calm, analytical, “buy-low-sell-high” way — no, I mean a chart that’s practically begging to burst through resistance like a teenager discovering caffeine and leverage at the same time. That’s exactly what SPY looks like right now: a coiled spring, a powder keg, a loaded slingshot — pick your metaphor, because they all end the same way — up, violently, and unapologetically.
Our God and Savior big daddy Trump has been rumored to be calling this one the “Chart of Destiny”, but some have affectionately dubbed it “The Rocket of Shame.” It starts innocent enough — a few bumps, a little consolidation — and then suddenly, the price action starts tightening, curling up like it’s holding something in. The candles get smaller, volume gets quieter, and then BOOM — that blue line eruption that could make a nun blush. SPY shoots its shot straight toward 730, leaving bears questioning every decision they’ve ever made.
Now, let’s talk fundamentals (because if we don’t, people might think this post isn’t serious). Inflation? “Contained.” Rates? Probably high enough to choke a small economy, but who cares when liquidity finds its way back into tech like it’s spring break in Miami. Earnings? Corporate America is back on its gym grind, trimming fat, buying back shares, and flexing margins like it’s about to post a thirst trap on Bloomberg.
Technicals? Oh, baby. You’ve got a bull flag within a bull flag, nested like Russian dolls of degeneracy. Every EMA is curling upward like a smirk on Jerome Powell’s face when the market refuses to die. RSI? Not overbought — motivated. Volume profile? Looks like a staircase to Valhalla. And that dashed trendline? That’s not resistance. That’s foreplay.
We’re sitting around 681 right now, and people are calling it “toppy.” Cute. That’s like calling a SpaceX launch “just a campfire.” Look closer: higher lows, breakout pressure, and enough built-up energy to launch this ETF into orbit. The move to 730 isn’t just possible — it’s inevitable. Think of it like a market-sized sneeze: you can feel it building, you can’t stop it, and when it happens, it’s going to be loud, messy, and probably land on someone’s short position.
Now I know what you’re thinking: “But Mike, what if it doesn’t happen?” Well, in that case, we’ll just say it’s consolidating before the “real” move. That’s the beauty of modern analysis — as long as you sound confident and draw enough lines, you’re never wrong, just early. Besides, the market isn’t about being right — it’s about being early enough to brag on X (formerly Twitter) and delete the post if it goes the other way.
But mark my words — by the time the calendar flips to January, SPY’s gonna be making the kind of move that turns skeptics into believers, traders into prophets, and bears into memes. You’ll see it climbing past 700, teasing 710, winking at 720, and when it finally breaches 730, we’ll all pretend we saw it coming. Because deep down, looking at this chart — you did see it coming.
So grab your popcorn, set your alerts, and maybe light a candle for the shorts. The setup is too clean, the energy too thick, and the chart… well, let’s just say it’s giving “pent-up potential.” If this thing rips, it won’t be a rally — it’ll be a spectacle.
SPY to 730 by January. Not financial advice — just a man reading the most seductive chart in the market and hearing it whisper, “higher Daddy, higher."
Don't let your bear friends get to far away though, when this baby takes off you'll want to be close enough to hear them crying "spit on it papaw! it hurts!"
Trend Analysis
GBP/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of GBP/JPY 1H chart you shared
---
Overall Bias: Bearish
The market structure shows consistent lower highs and lower lows, respecting a descending channel. The price remains below the 50 EMA and 200 EMA, confirming bearish pressure.
---
Technical Breakdown:
1. Trendline Resistance & Supply Zone
Price is reacting from a descending trendline confluence area with a Fibonacci retracement (0.62–0.79 zone).
The rejection from this zone aligns with the prior bearish order block, acting as a supply region (marked in blue).
2. EMA Confluence
The 50 EMA (201.7) and 200 EMA (202.3) are both above current price — bearish alignment.
The 200 EMA coincides with the upper limit of the correction zone, reinforcing it as a strong resistance area.
3. Fibonacci Levels
Price likely to pull back into the 0.62–0.79 retracement area, where sellers may step back in.
The next bearish leg is expected to extend to the 0 Fibonacci level, or the projected target point around 198.726.
4. Market Structure Expectation
After completing the minor corrective move (B wave), structure suggests a C-wave drop or continuation leg downwards.
The internal liquidity sweep near 201.7–202.0 could be the last liquidity grab before the next bearish impulse.
---
Trade Plan Idea:
Entry Zone: 201.700 – 202.300
Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle or break of minor structure
Stop-Loss: Above 202.600 (beyond 0.79 retracement and EMA resistance)
Take-Profit:
TP1: 200.000 (psychological level)
TP2: 198.726 (target zone)
---
Notes:
Wait for price to tap into the supply zone and show rejection before entering.
Watch for fakeouts above the 0.79 level, as liquidity may be grabbed before the true drop.
Maintain proper risk management (1–2%).
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary:
GBP/JPY is likely to complete a small corrective rally into the 201.7–202.3 resistance zone, then continue its bearish trend toward 198.7. The structure, EMA alignment, and Fibonacci confluence all support this bearish scenario.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Forgotten Gap
A week ago, US100 formed a gap up opening.
It looks like the index is finally ready to fill it.
A breakout of a major horizontal support is a strong bearish signal.
Expect a bearish continuation to 25420.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
QCOM: Weekly, Quarterly and EarningsPer request, here are my thoughts and analysis on QCOM.
Fundamentals are important for this ticker and here is why:
QCOM has underperformed the broader market ins 2025 due to its over-reliance on smartphone sales (about 75% of their business is tailored to smartphone sector, which is stagnate at present).
AAPL has shifted to custom chips for their phones, which has traditionally been a big supporter of QCOM.
QCOM is attempting to branch into the AI hype with its AI200 and 250 datacentre chips, the announcement of which boosted the stock by 11% in a day, investors still show caution with QCOM.
QCOM trades at a P/E ratio of ~16, far below Nvidia’s, suggesting undervaluation—but also reflecting investor caution
QCOM has made some big acquisitions and seems genuinely committed to diversification and expanding its operations and interests; however, its not at the level of AMD / NVDA and MSFT as of yet, leaving a lot of investor concern which you can see from the general under-performance of the stock.
As always, not advice!
S&P500 Possibly the last buy signal before Bull Cycle ends.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a 5-month Channel Up and is currently about to complete its latest Bearish Leg. All such pull-back sequences have reached at least the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) before rebounding and kick-starting the next Bullish Leg, with the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) providing the ultimate Support of this pattern.
As a result, especially since the 4H RSI also hit the 30.00 oversold barrier, we expect the index to initiate the new Bullish Leg and aim for a Higher High near the 2.5 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is 7150.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
USDCAD Consolidation Selling Pressure re-emerging near the top USDCAD is showing signs of consolidation after recent gains, with selling pressure re-emerging near the top of the recent range. Price action indicates exhaustion around resistance, suggesting a potential short-term rejection and downside correction.
Crude oil prices have stabilized near the mid-$60s, providing some support for the Canadian dollar. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada remains patient, balancing weak but steady domestic data. This cautious stance, combined with stable oil, adds to the likelihood of a pullback in USDCAD from current levels.
A rejection from resistance could lead to a correction toward 1.3955 initially, with a deeper move possible toward 1.3901 if momentum builds. While the broader trend remains supported, short-term price action favours sellers below 1.4060. A rejection from this zone could open room for a retracement toward the mid-1.39s, especially if oil maintains stability and USD momentum softens.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies,
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
EUR/USD: Bearish Setup Confirmed After Head and Shoulders BreaksHi guys!
The chart shows a Three Drives pattern followed by a Head and Shoulders formation, both signaling potential bearish continuation.
The Three Drives Pattern:
The price completed three consecutive bullish drives, each showing signs of exhaustion. This structure often indicates a weakening uptrend and prepares the ground for a larger reversal.
The Head and Shoulders Pattern:
After the third drive, the market formed a clear head and shoulders structure, confirming distribution at the top. The neckline has already been broken, suggesting a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
Current Structure and Expectation:
Price is now retesting the neckline area after the breakdown. A rejection from this level would likely trigger a deeper decline toward the highlighted target zone, which aligns with previous demand and the flip area.
Target:
The projected target of the head and shoulders pattern falls near 1.12500, matching the lower pink zone on the chart.
In summary, unless the market decisively reclaims the neckline and trendline support, EUR/USD remains biased to the downside, with the 1.1250 area as the next key level to watch.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
DeGRAM | GOLD held the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is testing the support line of the rising channel, which is a potential entry point for buyers. A break above the resistance line near $4,046 could lead to further upside momentum toward the next resistance zone.
● Price has recently shown strong reactions at key support levels and is maintaining a higher-low structure, indicating possible bullish continuation.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is gaining support due to uncertainty in global equities and rising inflation concerns, which favor safe-haven assets.
✨ Summary
● Look for a breakout above $4,046, targeting higher levels. The market is poised for a short-term upward move. Support at $3,960 should hold for a bullish bias.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
EUR/USD Outlook: Buyers Regain ControlThe EUR/USD market is beginning to show early signs of recovery momentum as sentiment gradually turns constructive. After an extended period of controlled weakness, the pair is attracting renewed interest from institutional participants positioning for a potential upward rotation in the coming sessions.
Market tone has shifted from defensive to cautiously optimistic. Liquidity distribution across recent sessions indicates accumulation behavior at lower price zones, often a precursor to a bullish transition. Traders appear to be building exposure in anticipation of improved Euro-area sentiment and potential easing of dollar strength, both of which may provide the foundation for a broader corrective advance.
Price action suggests that selling pressure is losing effectiveness as downside extensions are quickly absorbed. The slowdown in bearish momentum combined with increased buying participation signals a developing phase of re-accumulation, where stronger hands begin to dominate short-term flows.
Confidence is gradually improving, supported by expectations that market equilibrium is tilting back toward Euro favor. While volatility remains moderate, structural patterns imply that the market may be preparing for a sentiment-driven expansion to the upside. The tone of order flow has shifted toward buy-side liquidity, pointing to a constructive environment for continuation of the upward phase once momentum fully confirms.
In summary, EUR/USD appears to be entering the early stage of a bullish rotation characterized by accumulation, strengthening sentiment, and declining downside conviction. The pair is poised for potential medium-term appreciation as market positioning aligns with renewed optimism toward the Euro’s relative outlook.
AUDUSD Breakout and Potential Retrace!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.65800 zone, AUDUSD was trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.65800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4042 and a gap below at 3992. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4042
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4042 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4089
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4089 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4136
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4136 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4194
BEARISH TARGETS
3992
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3992 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3956
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3956 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3922
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3922 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3866
3820
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
BTC High Probability Forecast Based on Real Math Bitcoin has repeatedly corrected ~mid-20% during the last 12–24 months. Using this empirical drawdown profile, a base-case correction of ~25% from a recent $126,000 high implies a **probable correction low near $94,500–$95,000.
This is a high probability forecast based on real math and stats, not science
fiction. No expanding triangles, Elliott Wave counts, Wolfe and Dragon patterns.
Bitcoin does not trade by the textbook. This is real world TA by a pro trader.
Tactical view: Expect a final flush toward ~$95k, then a reversal/bounce if market structure and liquidity conditions confirm.
Confidence: VERY HIGH —pattern consistency is notable, but crypto remains headline- and liquidity-sensitive. Use disciplined risk controls. 🧠
2) Recent Corrections (Past 12–24 Months)
# High → Low % Drawdown
1 $72,000 → $54,000 25%
2 $108,000 → $76,000 28%
3 $70,000 → $50,000 28%
4 $74,000 → $56,000 24%
Empirical mean drawdown:
(25+28+28+24)÷4 = 26.25%.
We’ll use 25% as the base-case assumption (conservative vs. the 26.25% mean). ✅
Projection for the Current Correction
Reference high: $126,000
Base-case (25%) low:
$126,000 × (1 − 0.25) = $94,500
Empirical-mean (26.25%) low:
$126,000 × (1 − 0.2625) = $92,925
Projected buy-zone: $92.9k – $95k, centered near $95k. 🎯
Gold Nears Resistance — Buyers Target $4,130 BreakoutHello traders, here’s my current outlook on Gold (XAUUSD). The market structure shows that Gold has recently shifted from a sharp bearish phase into a short-term recovery pattern, finding solid demand near the $3,940–$3,950 Buyer Zone. After the last strong drop from the $4,130 Resistance Level, price stabilized within this accumulation area and began forming an ascending structure supported by a clear Support Line. Currently, Gold is trading inside a rising wedge pattern — a signal of a tightening market where buyers are gradually gaining ground. The Resistance Line near $4,050 represents a short-term barrier, and a confirmed breakout above this level could open the way for a move toward the $4,130 Resistance Zone (TP1), which aligns with the previous Seller Zone. From my perspective, as long as the price remains above the $3,940–$3,950 Support Zone, the bullish bias remains valid. A successful breakout above $4,050 would likely confirm the continuation of the current upward momentum, targeting $4,130. However, if the price fails to break above resistance and falls below the ascending support line, a short-term pullback toward the Buyer Zone could occur before any new bullish wave develops. In my opinion, the market structure currently favors buyers, with strong support underpinning the move. Therefore, I’m expecting a potential bullish continuation toward $4,130 as the next key target.
ETH/USD: Bullish Channel Under Pressure?
Daily ETH/USD chart shows price respecting a long-term ascending channel from the $3,200 low. After consolidation between $3,800–$4,200, ETH has pulled back to the channel midline (~$3,900) amid selling pressure.
• Key Support: $3,600–$3,700 (lower channel line + 0.618 Fib)
• Immediate Resistance: $4,100–$4,200 (upper line + psychological level)
• Volume: Declining on red candles → weakening bearish momentum
Bullish Case: Hold above $3,700 → retest $4,200
Bearish Case: Break below $3,600 → target $3,200–$3,000
Trade Idea: Long on pullback to $3,700 (SL below $3,550); short below $3,600.
Are We on the Verge of the Next Altseason?Over the past decade, Altcoin Dominance (OTHERS.D) has exhibited a clear cyclical pattern, with each major consolidation phase leading to a strong rally — the hallmark of every major Altseason.
2014–2017: Consolidation between 1–5%, followed by a surge above 12%.
2018–2021: Base range of 4–9%, then a breakout toward 20%.
2022–2025 (Current Phase): Another long consolidation between 6–12%, with the RSI near oversold levels (~30) and volume remaining muted — conditions similar to previous pre-breakout periods.
Historically, these cycles have aligned closely with Bitcoin’s halving events, as capital tends to rotate into altcoins once Bitcoin establishes dominance and stability post-halving.
If this recurring structure continues, altcoin dominance could expand from the current 6–7% zone toward 20–25% in the next major cycle — potentially marking the beginning of the next true Altseason.
Not financial advice.
EUR/NZD Made Clear Reversal Pattern,Long Setup To Get 150 Pips !Here is my 4H Chart On EUR/NZD , The price creating a very clear reversal pattern ( Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern ) and the price made a very good bullish price action now And the price confirmed the pattern by closing above the neckline. so we can enter a buy trade when the price go back to retest the broken neckline to can use a small stop loss , and we can targeting from 50 to 100 pips with a decent stop loss .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- Clear Reversal Pattern .
5- Pattern Confirmed .
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Pullback From Key Support
Bitcoin is currently trading within a wide horizontal range on a daily.
We see a test of its support now.
There is a high chance that the price will bounce from that, following
a formation of a confirmed bullish imbalance candle.
Goal - 105170
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin at Make-or-Break Zone. History Says Bounce Incoming!IG:BITCOIN is currently trading above the 50 EMA on the 1W chart, a level that has historically acted as a strong dynamic support during previous bullish cycles.
Each time CRYPTOCAP:BTC has touched the 50 EMA in the past (as highlighted on the chart), it has triggered a strong rebound leading to significant upside moves. Currently, the price is consolidating near both the support zone and the 50 EMA, suggesting that the market is once again at a critical juncture.
If IG:BITCOIN manages to hold this zone and bounce, we could see the next bullish leg pushing towards $150K. However, a clean break below the 50 EMA and support area could indicate a short-term downtrend or deeper correction before resuming the uptrend.
Traders should stay patient and prepared for all possible scenarios. Risk management remains key at these levels.Plan your entries and stops accordingly.
NZDJPY FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅NZDJPY Price has tapped into the demand level with a clean rejection wick, signaling potential short-term bullish reversal toward 87.40. Liquidity resting above equal highs could attract price.
—————————
Entry: 86.95
Stop Loss: 86.64
Take Profit: 87.40
Time Frame: 2H
—————————
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
retesting the bulltrend trendline suffering loss on ethereum or bitmine? i still dont see the problem, you thinking about selling? your way to late, its time to spend the money you got left to start buying
maybe if we actually lose $3356 i see a problem but we aint even there yet,
if we can find support at the $3500
we have a double bottom with a $5058 price target,






















