Trend Analysis
Bitcoin, Ethereum Breakout: 401(k) funds & the next "Altseason"Bitcoin is up 10% in August, driven by strong ETF inflows and a game-changing executive order allowing 401(k) retirement funds to invest in cryptocurrencies, potentially bringing trillions of dollars into the sector.
Technically, Bitcoin and Ethereum are breaking out toward multi-year highs, with BTC leading and ETH close behind—setting the stage for a possible "altseason" if these levels hold and capital rotates into altcoins.
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDCAD H4 | Bullish reversal off major supportBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has bounced off the buy entry which acts as an overlap support and could potentially rise from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 1.3730, whichis an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 1.3694, which i a pullback support.
Take profit is at 1.3790, whichis a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Bitcoin (BTC): FOMC Today, Volatility Incoming | CME Got Filled!BTC managed to fill the CME gap which means our first target is now reached. Since the FOMC meeting is today, we need to prepare for potential volatility; however, as long as buyers maintain control, we will continue to seek momentum toward the higher target zones.
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Ethena ENA Coin Price Prediction and Technical AnalysisTHE/USDT just broke out strongly from the 0.3594 resistance zone, surging toward the 0.4287 area before facing rejection. The breakout highlights renewed bullish momentum after a long consolidation. If buyers defend 0.3594 on a retest, continuation toward the 0.4640 resistance is likely. However, if the level fails, price could dip back into the 0.3223 demand zone before attempting another leg higher.
📈 Key Levels:
Buy trigger: Retest/hold above 0.3594 support
Buy zone: 0.3223 – 0.3594 region
Target 1: 0.4287 resistance (recent high)
Target 2: 0.4640 resistance
Invalidation: Daily close below 0.3223 (would weaken bullish structure)
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Meta Has Stalled Since July. Here's What Its Chart ShowsMeta Platforms NASDAQ:META has long seemed to defy expectations, but the social-media giant has seen its stock stall over the past six weeks or so. What does its chart say?
Meta's Technical Analysis
META has gained some 30% year to date and more than 40% over the past 12 months, but has gone pretty much nowhere since July. The stock was trading Wednesday morning at $770.77, down 0.3% from its July 31 $773.44 finish.
Let's look at META's six-month chart as of Thursday afternoon:
Readers will see that the stock came out of a bullish "cup-with-handle" pattern in May, as denoted with the black curving line at left in the above chart.
The stock blasted past the pattern's $661 pivot (marked with a short black horizontal line) to hit a $796.25 all-time intraday high on Aug. 15.
Based on that pivot and pattern, a trader such as myself would have had a target price in the mid-$790s. So, that technical pattern worked like a charm.
However, META has traded lower to sideways ever since hitting that apex.
In fact, the stock has developed what's called a "rising-wedge" pattern of bearish reversal that goes all the way back to the very bottom of its cup with handle.
META broke the rising wedge's lower trendline in recent days, but did find support at its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line above). A loss of that line would likely result in some loss of institutional support.
Why would technicals that worked so well for this stock suddenly look so lost? Maybe it becomes very difficult to sell tech stocks or even short them ahead of this week's expected dovish monetary-policy pivot by the Federal Reserve.
An Options Strategy Based on META's Volatility
Under these conditions, options traders might consider a strategy based on Meta's potential volatility instead of taking a directional stake in the stock.
After all, there are some potentially important catalysts for META on the way.
First, markets widely expect the Fed to cut the Fed Funds rate's target rate on Wednesday afternoon.
The Fed has scheduled its next policy decision after that for Oct. 29 -- roughly the same time that Wall Street expects Meta to release Q3 results. (META has yet to announce an official earnings-release date.)
An example of a volatility strategy would be a so-called "strangle." This would involve:
-- Selling a $690 Oct. 31 put.
-- Selling an $810 Oct. 31 call.
As I write this, that trade would net a rough $31 in premiums.
Of course, there's certainly risk in this move.
For instance, the trader would be obligated to purchase META shares at $690 or sell them at $810 if the stock moves beyond either of those bands.
That said, the trade doesn't lose money on a net basis in this set-up unless the stock trades above $846 or below $659 at expiration.
This chart illustrates the price levels for the equity where profit created by the options set up starts to degrade:
A more-cautious trader might purchase an even-wider strangle in order to manage the risk. However, that would eat into the net credit received from the premiums collected.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in META at the time of writing this column.)
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KSE 100 Index Technical Analysis for 17-09-2025KSE 100 Index Technical Analysis 17-09-2025
The index is moving upwards after a pullback from its all-time high of 157,820. Today's price action indicates potential support at 155,750.
Key Levels
- *Immediate Support*: 155,750
- *Retest Zone*: 152,450 - 150,450 (identified several days ago)
Scenario
- *Support Hold*: Potential upward move
- *Break Below Support*: Expected to reach retest zone (152,450 - 150,450) for potential A-B-C correction completion
Advice
- *Caution*: Recommended until further behavior is observed at the immediate support level.
This analysis highlights potential scenarios based on the index's behavior at key support levels.
Rate Cuts, Liquidity, and BTC: Why 120K Is the Danger ZoneYesterday , while everyone was screaming about a Bitcoin dump, we caught the breakout of that resistance I showed you.
Today, I want to talk about the upcoming rate cut news , what could happen after it, and what we should do with our open positions.
Now personally, I’m still holding the breakout position we entered a week ago . I didn’t secure any profits, and honestly—I didn’t even want to. Because if the Fed cuts rates, we could kick off the next leg of this uptrend.
But keep this in mind: opening fresh positions around 120K IS NOT EASY AT ALL. Why?
Because there’s massive liquidity up there, huge volatility, and the chances of getting stopped out are very high. That’s exactly why I’d rather hold my position from earlier than be forced to open new ones in that zone.
👉 Let’s look at yesterday’s daily candle: it closed super bullish. This shows the market is leaning positive on the idea of a rate cut. But is this candle just front-running the news? Hard to say. We can’t exactly go ask every trader if they bought because of the Fed. So, better not overthink it.
I personally expect a short-term dip after the news drops. But more important than the cut itself are Powell’s words. If he signals more cuts are coming, markets could explode higher. If he says “not anytime soon,” we might get a pullback.
⚠️ My advice:
If you don’t already have a position, stay on the sidelines for a few hours. Any stop loss you put now has a big chance of getting hit.
But if, like me, you’re already in from the earlier triggers, just hold. It’s worth it.
For me, I’m also long on GBP/USD, and I didn’t secure profits there either—I’m waiting to see how it reacts.
👉 Quick look at BTC.D: dominance is rising with Bitcoin, which means it’s smarter to keep focus on BTC rather than altcoins. When dominance turns bearish again, that’s when we’ll shift back to alts.
This is why for the past few days I’ve been saying: stick with Bitcoin. Liquidity is flowing into it.
Ethereum? It gave back almost 70% of its recent move.
LONG STORY SHORT: don’t do anything stupid here. The best play, if you don’t have an open position, is to stay patient. Don’t FOMO.
Remember: the most important thing is not Bitcoin’s price itself. It’s stop-loss size, liquidity zones, and momentum. here in Skeptic Lab, that’s exactly what we dig into.
I’ll try to post another update after the Fed news drops.
Until then, stay safe. Peace ✌️
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 39👋🏻 Hey everyone! How’s it going? Hope you’re all doing well.
❄️ Welcome to Crypto Winter.
⏰ Today, we’ll be analyzing BTCUSDT and exploring its potential opportunities.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we observe that after breaking the $116,000 zone, the price moved upward and buyers drove it to the $117,000 level. Then, sellers pushed the price back down to roughly the same level as yesterday. Currently, Bitcoin has two important triggers: one at $116,860 and another at $114,660. With a breakout of these levels, we can take positions more confidently. I don’t have a specific short scenario in mind because long positions, if taken, could continue with the news of interest rate cuts, and we could even add several funding levels to our positions.
🧮 On the RSI, the two critical zones are 70 and 38. If momentum breaks either, Bitcoin could move with much more strength.
🕯 The size and volume of green candles have increased significantly after micro-buyers entered. However, due to the interest rate cut news and upcoming scenarios, this kind of movement and these candles may not continue. One notable point on the chart is that the buying pressure has caused the size, volume, and number of green candles to be smaller, yet they produce larger moves. Our momentum for further upward movement is stronger and more powerful.
🔴 Today’s news could affect Bitcoin’s future price, so try to take a position aligned with the news. Although it seems risky, Bitcoin’s volatility relative to other coins is lower on news days, meaning less risk for traders.
🧠 There are two scenarios for entering a Bitcoin position:
1️⃣ Place a stop-buy at $116,850 to enter when the stop triggers. The stop size would be 2–3%, which is relatively large, delaying risk-to-reward, and there is a chance the scenario fails and the stop is hit.
2️⃣ Wait for a 15-minute candle setup (Indecision + SMA + Low Volume) to enter, allowing a smaller stop at roughly the same level. This still carries the risk of being stopped out quickly.
Risk management is essential — if we follow it today, nothing adverse should happen.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
DOW JONES (US30): Your Plan to Trade FOMC Today
US30 keeps coiling on a recently broken daily key resistance
that turned into a support after a breakout.
To buy the market with confirmation after today's rate decision,
concentrate your attention on a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame.
A bullish breakout of its neckline and a 4H candle close above 46850
will provide a reliable signal.
A bullish continuation will be expected to a current structure high then - 46087.
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US30 Consolidates Ahead of Fed – Key Range 46,000 to 45,680US30 – Technical Overview
The Dow Jones continues to consolidate between 46,000 and 45,680 as traders await the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later this week.
Markets largely expect a 25 bps cut, but the key driver will be Chair Powell’s guidance on inflation, labor-market softness, and tariff risks—factors that could spark a breakout from the current range.
Technical Outlook
📉 Support test
Price remains inside a consolidation zone and is expected to retest 45,680 before attempting a rebound.
📈 Bullish continuation
A bounce from support could drive price back to 46,000, with a breakout above this level targeting 46,125.
A sustained move above 46,125 would open the path for a new ATH near 46,250 → 46,430, especially if the Fed signals a more dovish stance.
Key Levels
Pivot: 45,910
Resistance: 46,000 – 46,125 – 46,250
Support: 45,680 – 45,500
previous idea:
Could Gold Repeat the 2020 Playbook After Fed Rate Cuts?Gold traders are asking whether today’s environment could trigger a move similar to March 2020, when the Fed cut rates to zero and gold first sold off before exploding to all-time highs. Here’s a breakdown of what happened then, what’s happening now, and what to watch.
What happened in 2020?
In March 2020, the Fed slashed rates by 100bps in an emergency move, bringing rates down to 0–0.25%.
Instead of rallying immediately, gold dropped about 10% in one week. Prices fell from around $1,670/oz to $1,470/oz as investors liquidated assets in a rush for cash.
The sell-off was short-lived: by the end of March, gold was back above $1,600/oz.
Over the following months, ultra-low rates and massive QE fueled a powerful rally. By August 2020, gold had reached a record high of $2,067/oz.
The lesson: liquidity panics can knock gold down quickly, but monetary easing and negative real yields drive strong recoveries.
Today’s backdrop (2025):
Rate cuts are back on the table. Markets expect the Fed to ease after holding rates high for nearly two years.
Real yields are softening. If inflation stays sticky while nominal yields fall, conditions favor gold.
Uncertainty is elevated. Trade tensions, debt concerns, and geopolitical risks are boosting safe-haven demand.
Gold is already near record highs. Bullish momentum is strong, but stretched positioning leaves room for pullbacks.
Could we see a 2020-style dip?
Yes, but probably not as severe:
A short-lived correction could occur if liquidity stress forces investors to raise cash quickly.
Unlike 2020, central banks now have stronger liquidity tools (repo facilities, swap lines), which could soften the impact.
Without an external shock on the scale of COVID-19, the drop would likely be smaller than the $200+ plunge we saw in March 2020.
What to watch
Fed tone – A sharper or surprise cut could spark volatility.
Real yields – Declining real yields remain gold’s most bullish driver.
USD strength – A weaker dollar boosts gold for non-USD buyers.
Liquidity signals – Stress in credit or funding markets could trigger a dash to cash.
Takeaway
History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes. The 2020 playbook shows that gold can dip hard on liquidity stress (from $1,670 to $1,470 in a week) before roaring back once monetary easing takes hold.
Today’s setup — high debt, expected Fed cuts, sticky inflation — still favors gold in the medium term. But traders should be ready for a fast shake-out before the next leg higher.
💡 My View: Any liquidity-driven dip is more likely a buying opportunity than a trend reversal. As long as real yields soften and the Fed stays dovish, gold’s long-term trajectory remains bullish.
ETH Awaits Fed Decision, High Volatility AheadCRYPTOCAP:ETH Update
Back on August 21, when news broke about a possible Fed rate cut on September 17, ETH instantly jumped nearly 14%. Fast forward to today, the actual announcement is scheduled for 2 PM ET, and the market is on edge.
There’s a strong probability of a rate cut, which could inject fresh momentum and push ETH higher. But if the Fed keeps rates unchanged, we could see a sharp downside correction as risk assets react.
Best approach right now? Stay patient. Wait for the full announcement from Powell, his tone will matter as much as the numbers. Extreme volatility is expected around that time, so caution is key.
DYOR, NFA
#PEACE
BTC 17.09.25I'm seeing descend marked maker involvement in this current range. If this does not get invalidated by the FOMC meeting later, i'm looking for a potential distribution in this area, which grabs liquidity and reaccumulates. I would want to see a demand mitigation followed by a slow move up to create a good looking liquidity trail to the downside. This could be the beginning of a bigger distribution that creates a lower high on BTC, but thats for the future.
Nestle India Buy Alert – Golden Opportunity for InvestorsNestle India – Technical Update
Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart
Price Action: Nestle India is trading within a well-defined parallel channel.
Support Zone: Currently sustaining above the 1170–1180 LOP support zone.
Outlook: If the stock holds this level, we may witness upside momentum.
Potential Target: 1280–1290 near the channel resistance.
Thank you!
Nvidia - The rally is still not over!🔌Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) still heads much higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past decade, Nvidia has perfectly been respecting a major bullish rising channel formation. Currently, Nvidia is still far away from the upper red resistance trendline, which indicates another potential move higher. Just understand that the trend is your closest friend.
📝Levels to watch:
$200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
GBPJPY a consolidation-to-growth patternGBPJPY the pair has been in a consolidation-to-growth pattern. Price recently tested and respected a key support line, which confirms that buyers are still active The market structure shows signs of a bullish breakout, suggesting that the pair could continue pushing higher if momentum holds.
Immediate resistance near 201.20. A clean break above this level would open the door for further gains as long as price continues to respect the support and hold above recent lows, the bullish bias remains valid. Buyers are likely to keep driving the pair upward
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely Best Of Luck.
Ps; Support with ike and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
Still more to go! Don’t short.. Don’t be afraidWe are still in wave C and we have not ran out of energy yet. According to the volume we are still in wave C and still have another move to push higher. How do I know? I used my custom made indicator that tells me exactly when a wave is actually done. If you want to try it for free send me a message. Full instructions included.
UsdChf Trade IdeaI executed some short positions on USDCHF with price still respecting a range between a major level. Price showed a clean structure shift below an hourly higher low with lower time frames supporting the shift. Entry was right after the retest and closure beneath the level with stops just above. If price continues dropping we could expect the level below to get tapped back into. We'll see what happens.