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Trend Analysis

Elite | XAUUSD | 4H – Weekly Market Structure Outlook New ATH |OANDA:XAUUSD After rejecting from the ATH double-top region, price corrected deeply into higher-timeframe demand, where buyers regained control. The market respected trend support and printed a clean structural continuation, followed by consolidation and breakout. Current price is approaching a critical resistance band where reaction is expected before the next directional expansion. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 If price holds above the recent breakout zone and shows acceptance: 🎯 Target 1: Previous ATH zone 🎯 Target 2: ATH extension 🎯 Target 3: New price discovery highs ❌ Bearish Case 📉 If price rejects strongly from resistance and breaks below the bullish structure: 🎯 Downside Target 1: Broken structure retest zone 🎯 Downside Target 2: Trend support / demand area Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: ATH / Weekly supply zone Support 🟢: Breakout base & ascending trend support ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elite-Forex-Trades
2
Gold Is Quiet — Because It’s About to ExplodeGOLD (XAUUSD) — 4H MARKET ANALYSIS ATH Preparation | Accumulation → Breakout Model 1. Market Structure Overview Gold remains in a strong bullish macro structure on the 4H timeframe. The market has repeatedly shown a clear behavioral pattern: Impulse → Accumulation → Expansion. At the current stage, price is consolidating just below the All-Time High (ATH), which is a classic sign of strength, not weakness. There is no aggressive rejection instead, price is being absorbed. This confirms the market is preparing for a continuation breakout, not a reversal. 2. Accumulation & Liquidity Behavior Multiple Accumulation Zones are visible throughout the trend: - Each accumulation previously led to a strong impulsive leg higher. - The current accumulation zone is forming directly below ATH, which is the most bullish location possible. - Liquidity has already been collected on minor pullbacks, leaving little resistance overhead once ATH is breached. This behavior signals institutional positioning, not retail speculation. 3. Key Levels to Watch - Major Resistance: ATH zone (~4,380 – 4,400) - Key Support (Structure Hold): Upper accumulation range (~4,280 – 4,300) As long as price holds above the accumulation base, the bullish structure remains fully intact. 4. Forward Scenarios Primary Scenario – Breakout Continuation (High Probability): - Price holds above the accumulation zone - Breaks and accepts above ATH - Enters price discovery, targeting a new ATH expansion leg Projected path: ➡ Break ATH → shallow pullback → continuation ➡ Momentum builds toward new historical highs Alternative Scenario – Extended Accumulation (Low Risk): - Price continues ranging just below ATH - Further compression before the breakout This only adds fuel to the next impulsive move. No structural evidence currently supports a bearish reversal. 5. Market Psychology & Conclusion - The market is not rejecting ATH — it is absorbing orders beneath it. - Volatility compression near highs is a bullish continuation signal. - Gold is behaving exactly as it has before every major upside expansion in this trend. Conclusion: Gold is not topping it is loading liquidity. Once ATH breaks with acceptance, new all-time highs become the base case, not the exception. The biggest moves come after patience — not prediction. Stay aligned with structure, and let the breakout pay you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
3
XAUUSD (Gold/USD) Direction: Buy (Long)OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD (Gold/USD) Direction: Buy (Long) Entry Range: 4325 - 4330 (on pullback or retest of demand zone) Stop Loss: 4320 (just below the demand zone for risk management) Take Profit Targets: 4350 (initial resistance), 4370 (next potential high) Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2 or better, depending on position size Timeframe: 15M - Short-term trade, monitor for quick moves #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingSignal #Bullish #Forex #DemandZone #TrendBreakout This is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk of loss, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consider consulting a professional advisor.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by popularexperttrader57
1
ADA - Bearish Expanding TrianglePrice is trading within a broadening (expanding) triangle , with higher highs and lower lows indicating increasing volatility and distribution. The structure favors a bearish resolution , and I’m expecting a breakdown below the lower trendline to confirm continuation to the downside. Expectations: Breakdown from the expanding triangle → acceleration lower. Downside Targets: 🎯 $0.25 🎯 $0.15 As long as price stays below the upper boundary, the bearish scenario remains dominant.
Short
by BlessingTrade
1
Gold prices fluctuated, experiencing repeated oscillations. Gold prices retreated during Thursday's Asian session, primarily reflecting improved market risk appetite and reduced safe-haven demand amid thin holiday trading. As market expectations for another Fed rate cut in December intensified, coupled with rising hopes for regional peace negotiations, global market sentiment turned optimistic, prompting some funds to flow from gold to risk assets. This week's US economic data was mixed, but overall did not change the market's assessment of the Fed's policy path. Data from the US Commerce Department showed that durable goods orders rose 0.5% in September, a significant slowdown from the previous 3.0%, but still higher than the market forecast of 0.3%. Excluding transportation, orders rose 0.6%, indicating continued resilience within the manufacturing sector. Gold prices retreated slightly after previous gains, mainly influenced by improved market risk appetite and rising expectations for peace negotiations. However, strong expectations of a Fed rate cut in December put pressure on the dollar, continuing to support gold. While various US economic data showed mixed results, they did not shake the market's judgment on a rate cut. Recent speeches by several Federal Reserve officials have clearly shifted towards a dovish stance. John Williams of the New York Fed stated that if the economy remains as it is, interest rate cuts would not affect the inflation target; while Fed Governor Waller pointed out that the weakness in the labor market is sufficient to support another rate cut. Against this backdrop, the dollar index fell to a one-week low, continuing to be a significant supporting factor for gold. On the other hand, signs of improvement in the atmosphere surrounding regional peace negotiations have further boosted risk appetite. Multiple statements indicate that while negotiations remain far off, external sentiment has improved, thus weakening gold's safe-haven appeal. Overall, gold's fundamentals present a mixed structure of "cooling safe-haven demand + support from interest rate expectations." Short-term fluctuations in gold are more driven by sentiment than by trend reversal signals. From the combined perspective of interest rate expectations, dollar performance, and technical structure, this round of correction is more like a natural adjustment within an upward trend. If subsequent economic data continues to support expectations of rate cuts, then gold still has the potential to resume its upward trend after retracing to key support levels. However, it should be noted that fluctuations in peace negotiation expectations could bring additional volatility. There are no key data releases or events to watch today. The gold market will close two hours early due to Thanksgiving in the US, but this can be disregarded. Gold Price Analysis: Gold touched around 4173 in the US session yesterday before falling back. We identified the 4170-75 resistance level yesterday, a key resistance point we've emphasized in the past two days. If this level continues to act as resistance today, the downward momentum may persist. This morning, gold saw a slight pullback to around 4140 before consolidating in a narrow range. This morning's pullback is likely a tentative move; we will continue to monitor the resistance level to see how much further it may fall. Looking at the four-hour chart, the triangle consolidation pattern for gold remains unchanged. The downward trendline resistance is at 4173-75. Only a decisive break above this trendline will allow for further upward movement and a new opportunity. Otherwise, it will remain in consolidation at the end of the consolidation phase. On the one-hour chart, the price has started to break below the short-term support zone and is now under pressure from the short-term moving averages. There may be some room for adjustment in the short term; we will monitor the short-term correction. Today, continue to focus on the resistance level of the upper trendline of the triangle pattern, which is also the watershed between bulls and bears. If the resistance holds, expect a pullback. Therefore, we still need to try to establish short positions today. If there is a rebound to around 4168-73, we can short. In summary, the short-term trading strategy for gold today is to focus on selling on rallies. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is 4173-4175, and the key support level is 4110-4100. Please keep up with the pace.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by dgfacpe
2
XAU/USD Gold looking strong bullish trend buy move 📈 XAUUSD (Gold) New Forecast – Bullish Momentum Building Gold is showing strong bullish structure, and price action suggests a potential continuation to the upside. For buyers, the key focus will be on a clean breakout above the 4218 resistance zone. 🔑 Buy-Side Technical Outlook If price successfully breaks and sustains above 4218, we could see bullish continuation toward the following resistance targets: 4230 4237 4249 ⏱ Recommended Time Frame Use the 30-minute chart for confirmation. Wait for a decisive breakout with strong candle closure before considering entries. ⚠️ Risk Management Always apply proper risk management. Avoid overleveraging and ensure your stop-loss aligns with your trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ExpertTraderASK
4
Gold Near ATH & PRZ — Is This the Top?As I expected , Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ), after its pullback to the symmetrical triangle, has risen toward its target. Now, the question arises: given that Gold is near its all-time highs, is it still sensible to take long positions, or should we consider short positions instead? Gold is moving close to its All-Time High(ATH=$4,381) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , also nearing the target of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Gold is in the process of completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5. One indication of this is the presence of negative Regular Divergence (RD-) between the two corresponding peaks. I expect that Gold will experience a downward correction and potentially drop to around $4,263, with significant support lines in place. Should those support lines be broken, we could anticipate even further declines. What are your thoughts? Do you believe Gold will reach new all-time highs, or are we looking at a correction ahead? First Target: $4,263 Second Target: Support lines Stop Loss(SL): $4,433 Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
3
XAUUSD H1–Liquidity Sweep & Breaker Retest Bullish ConfirmationSince December 1st, Gold traded within a range between 4264 and 4164, forming a clear accumulation. After the FOMC release, price broke above 4264 resistance, confirming a bullish expansion. Last Friday, Gold pulled back sharply to sweep liquidity around 4262 (Asian low) while retesting the breaker zone (4260–4241) — former resistance turned support. A strong bullish rejection from this area suggests buyers are defending the structure. As long as price holds above the breaker, bullish continuation is expected into next week. ⸻ 📈 Bias: Bullish above 4241
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alpha_Trading_Lab
2
ZEC - Decision Time After Liquidity ShenanigansAlright traders, we already did the full liquidity circus — up, down, fake moves, stop hunts… the whole show. 🎪 Now the market actually has to decide a direction. BTC is hanging around 90K, which is a pretty strong resistance, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see another dip from here. And for ZEC? This lines up beautifully with a head & shoulders pattern, which could send us down toward a lower FVG. Will it happen? Maybe. Will crypto troll us instead? Also very possible. 😅 Yes, the chart looks like a complete mess — BUT the important thing is: I know what I’m looking at. 😂 (And honestly, that’s already a win.) So yeah, you could just trust me and short ZEC today… or you could be responsible and manage your risk. Because nothing is certain at this point. Oh — and just to be clear: I’m already in the trade. 😄📉 ⸻ 👉 BTC at resistance 👉 ZEC H&S potential 👉 FVG target below Good luck traders — may the mess make sense today 😄📉🚀
Short
by minno91
1
XAUUSD: Bullish Continuation Expected Following a fantastic bullish session on Friday, momentum remains firmly in favor of buyers as the market opens today near 4,340, close to the Asian session high. The recent breakout and sustained strength suggest that bulls are likely to maintain control, provided key psychological levels are breached. The strategy for today is simple and aligned with Friday’s analysis: Primary Bias: Bullish continuation. Current Position: Waiting for confirmation before entry. Trigger: Price invading the 4,352 psychological zone. Entry: Buy above 4,352. Targets: First: 4,381; Second: 4,400 This setup leverages the strong upward momentum and aims to capture the next leg higher toward new highs. With bullish momentum intact and fundamentals supportive, the path of least resistance remains upward. Traders should monitor 4,352 closely as the next critical breakout zone. A decisive move above this level could open the door to record highs, while failure to hold above 4,300 may trigger a short-term correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by XAUBanker
2
BTC at a Critical Breakdown ZoneThis Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 2-hour chart highlights a clear bearish market structure using Smart Money Concepts. After forming a BOSS (Break of Structure to the upside) earlier, price failed to continue higher and printed a CHOCH (Change of Character), signaling a potential trend reversal. Price has since retraced into a bearish Order Block (OB) aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 91,000–92,000 USD zone, where selling pressure is evident. The rejection from this premium area confirms bearish intent. With market structure now flipped, downside liquidity targets come into focus. The first target is around 86,500 USD, followed by a deeper move toward the 83,800 USD level, which aligns with prior demand and liquidity resting below equal lows. Overall, the chart suggests continued downside momentum unless price reclaims the OB convincingly.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
5
Gold at a Critical Crossroad — One Last Push Before the Trap?MARKET BRIEFING – GOLD (XAU/USD) | 1D Market Structure: Gold remains in a rising structure, respecting the ascending trendline. However, price is now approaching a major resistance zone, where selling pressure has previously stepped in aggressively. Key Levels to Watch: – Resistance Zone: 4,380 – 4,420 – Intermediate Support: 4,225 / 4,136 – Major Support Zone: 3,900 – 3,950 Price Action Read: – As long as price holds above the rising trendline, bulls still have control. – A final push into resistance is possible, but momentum is weakening near the highs. – Failure to break and hold above resistance could trigger a sharp pullback toward the 4,000 handle and deeper into the support zone. Bias: ➡️ Short-term: Cautious bullish into resistance ➡️ Medium-term: Watch for rejection → corrective move likely Trader Focus: This is decision time — either a clean breakout with acceptance above resistance, or a liquidity sweep followed by a downside rotation. Patience > prediction
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Gold_Dominator
4
DeGRAM | USDJPY is testing the support area📊 Technical Analysis ● USD/JPY rebounded from the rising support line near 155.0–155.2, forming higher lows after a corrective pullback within the broader ascending structure. Price continues to respect the medium-term bullish channel. ● Rejection from the descending resistance line around 157.0 was followed by consolidation above former intraday resistance at 156.0, signaling a potential continuation toward the upper trend boundary. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● The bullish bias is supported by a persistent US-Japan yield spread, as expectations of prolonged Fed policy tightness contrast with the Bank of Japan’s cautious and gradual normalization stance. ✨ Summary ● Bullish while above 155.0. Upside targets: 156.5–157.0. Key support: 155.0–155.2. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3
GUN - Breakout from Descending Channel → Potential PumpPrice has been trading inside a well-defined descending channel for several months, forming lower highs and lower lows. Recently, the market showed accumulation at the lower boundary of the channel, followed by a strong impulsive move upward , signaling increasing buying pressure. The current structure suggests a possible breakout from the descending channel, which often leads to an accelerated move (pump) as short sellers are forced to cover and new buyers enter. 📌 Key points: Long-term downtrend channel is being challenged Consolidation at the bottom indicates accumulation Break above channel resistance would confirm trend reversal 🎯 Targets: Target 1: $0.0275 — previous resistance / mid-range reaction zone Target 2: $0.045 — higher resistance and major liquidity zone ❌ Invalidation: Breakdown back below the accumulation range would invalidate the bullish scenario This setup favors high risk–reward if the breakout is confirmed with volume.
Long
by BlessingTrade
1
Gold Reclaims Range High – Eyes on Major ResistanceSummary: Gold continues to trade with bullish intent after breaking out of a well-defined consolidation range, with price now pushing toward a higher-timeframe resistance zone. Technical Analysis: On the 4H chart, gold formed a clean range between roughly 4,180 support and 4,250 resistance (purple zones), showing repeated acceptance and rejection — a classic accumulation structure. Price has now broken and held above the range high, flipping former resistance into support. Market structure remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows, and the recent impulsive move suggests strong buyer commitment rather than a false breakout. Current candles show continuation rather than exhaustion, indicating momentum is still intact. Fundamental Context: Bullish price action aligns with ongoing Fed uncertainty and expectations of looser financial conditions. Any USD softness or renewed safe-haven demand continues to support upside pressure in gold. Key Levels: Key Support (Range Flip): 4,240 – 4,250 Intraday Support: 4,200 – 4,220 Major Resistance: 4,370 – 4,380 Upside Targets: 4,400 → 4,450 Bearish Invalidation: Sustained break back below 4,200 Takeaway Bullish bias while price holds above the former range high. Buyers are favored on pullbacks into support; bears only gain control if gold accepts back below 4,200. #Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #MarketStructure #Breakout #TradingStrategy
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by uncleHamid
2
BTC PATH to 2028 - early 2030 I created this so that you don't have to spend more money on influencers who can't keep their word or who are rich from selling classes without giving you benefits, and even abdicating their responsibilities. why does the bitcoin target remain close to even almost 1 million usd is an almost certain thing? I don't need to discuss bitcoin fundamentals here, you can look it up yourself, even AI can explain it to you. here you understand that we as humans always have the same pattern as our predecessors even from our childhood we will try new things, then go wrong, then learn and so on, where here I mean to explain the pattern where this is likely to happen again. we continue to the analysis: why 1 million dollars is almost certain? because bitcoin is currently juxtaposed with gold, as a safe haven, which I have explained in the Gold outlook that I also gave you until 2028, and if that happens, then the scenario that I calculated where gold liquidity will at least 1/2 run to bitcoin and make bitcoin have a marketcap that is almost the same as gold, at least this is what might happen first before the bitcoin narrative can beat gold as a safe haven. We never know the success of bitcoin or whether quantum computing will thwart the current scenario (2025) the opportunity for bitcoin to become a substitute for gold is indeed great even the value can be 1: 1 in my personal opinion. 1/2 of the gold market cap will be around 20T (if my prediction analysis is correct), where in the future the estimate for the 20T bitcoin market cap is close to the price of 1 million USD. (please check ) from QT, QE, or others that I cannot explain all the catalysts that make me confident in the analysis that I present to you. hopefully my analysis can be useful for everyone.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by LaurentWilvyne
5
EURUSD: A Brief Pause Before Acceleration?In the current environment, where the market is still pricing in a weaker USD scenario due to expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve , EURUSD has a solid foundation to maintain its bullish momentum . When the greenback lacks strong upside momentum, capital tends to rotate into counterpart currencies like the euro , especially when the technical structure clearly supports the trend . From a chart perspective, EURUSD is trading within a well-defined rising wedge , following a clean rhythm of push higher – pull back – continuation. The previous impulsive rally printed a new high, and instead of selling off aggressively, price shifted into consolidation above the equilibrium zone, signaling that buyers remain firmly in control. The Ichimoku system is also leaning bullish, with price holding at elevated levels, reinforcing the trend continuation scenario. In terms of price action, the 1.1720 zone is a key pivot. It serves both as a healthy retest area within the rising wedge and a balance point where buyers are likely to defend structure. If price pulls back toward 1.1720 and shows a clear bullish reaction, EURUSD has a high probability of extending toward the 1.1790 region — an area where short-term profit-taking and volatility typically emerge. In summary, with fundamentals and technicals aligned , the highest-probability approach remains buying pullbacks rather than chasing price. And if 1.1790 is tested in the coming sessions, the real question will no longer be whether price can go higher, but whether the market pauses there — or ignites a much larger breakout for the next bullish leg.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
2
H - Ascending Channel RetestPrice is currently making a corrective bounce after a breakdown from the midline of the ascending channel. I consider this move as a retest of the lower boundary of the rising channel, acting as resistance. As long as price remains below the channel support, the structure favors continuation to the downside. After the retest, I expect selling pressure to resume, with a potential move toward the highlighted demand zone at $0.0175 – $0.0130. Bias: Bearish below channel Invalidation: Strong reclaim and acceptance back inside the channel
Short
by BlessingTrade
1