IMPORTANT BITCOIN ALERT! TRAP BEFORE THE CRASH? Jan 30 2026!!BTC IMPORTANT ALERT! Jan 29 2026.
I know you've been waiting for this update, but there's been a new development in the chart.
Data from 2014 to 2026, presented across multiple charts, suggests that we are approaching a major market crash. That said, there may still be short-term rallies in altcoins, while Bitcoin is likely to remain relatively muted. This final move could turn out to be the ultimate bull trap.
This is purely based on fractal analysis; it’s not a personal bias.
I expect Bitcoin to form a bottom somewhere between $44k and $54k over the coming months. I’ll be sharing a more detailed chart soon, including the projected timelines for potential bottoms in both BTC and altcoins.
I plan to position on the bearish side once the final bull trap is in. Until then, we will continue scalping on lower timeframes, primarily from the short side.
We will make money even if the market crashes.
This cycle hasn’t been the bull run we hoped for; it’s been brutal. But what defines us is that we never give up. We adapt, we fight back, and we keep going.
Hope this gets the point across.
In short, BTC could still push as high as $100k in the coming weeks as part of a final bull trap, even though the overall structure looks extremely ugly.
Please hit the like button if you like it.
Let me know what you think in the comments.
Thank you
#PEACE
Trend Analysis
Bitcoin Cheat sheet for next super cycleHello Traders,
i made a cheat sheet for BTC traders,
Thought it might be of use to every one,, until now BTC has followed previous cycle price actions 90% similarly..
So i shaded the current cycles areas the same color as previous cycles areas so you could use it to time Your entry for the next super cycle.
i have marked the current location of BTC as per today 5/Feb/2026 in comparison to previous cycle.
As per this,, we will have another 30-40% drop to around the 35-45k area where we will then accumulate for SOME time and hopefully after that fly to the moon
Last cycle we went from a bottom for 15k to 126k which is almost x8.5 RR
if we catch the bottom which i assume is 35-45k and we 8.5x that.
the next cycle can possible push us to 290-380k (Fingers Crossed)
hope this idea was useful..
thanks and please share
GBPUSD H4: Correction Before the Next Bullish ExpansionHi!
GBPUSD is currently transitioning into a short-term corrective phase after showing signs of trend exhaustion near the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Following the strong impulsive rally, price failed to sustain momentum at the channel top and has since reacted lower, signaling that buyers are stepping back temporarily.
The recent decline has brought price back below the internal trendline and short-term structure, with prior support now acting as near-term resistance. This shift suggests that any rebound toward the 1.3650–1.3700 area is more likely to be sold into, rather than developing into a fresh impulsive move higher.
From a structural perspective, the broader trend remains bullish, but the current price action favors further downside testing first. I expect GBPUSD to continue correcting toward the 1.3550–1.3600 demand zone, where previous accumulation and channel support converge. This area is key to watch for signs of stabilization or bullish reaction.
As long as price holds above the lower boundary of the ascending channel, this pullback should be viewed as a healthy retracement within a broader uptrend, not a reversal. A successful defense of support could open the door for the next bullish leg, targeting 1.3750 initially, and potentially extending higher as momentum rebuilds.
In summary, short-term bias is corrective to bearish, while medium-term structure remains constructive. I’m treating rallies as corrective until price reclaims broken structure — patience around support will be critical for the next directional move.
GBP/USD – Trendline Breakout | Bullish Reversal SetupGBP/USD has shown a clear breakout above a well-respected descending trendline on the M30 timeframe, hinting at a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. Price action is reacting strongly from a key demand zone, increasing the probability of continuation to the upside. OANDA:GBPUSD
📊 Technical Overview :
Price respected the descending trendline multiple times, confirming its validity.
The recent clean breakout and hold above the trendline suggests buyers are stepping in.
A strong base has formed at the lower demand zone, acting as a launchpad for the move.
Upside targets are aligned with psychological levels and higher-timeframe key zones, offering a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
As long as price holds above the breakout area, bullish continuation remains the preferred bias.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
Why I Am NOT Buying $62kThe market just flushed 14% in a single day. The Retail crowd is looking at RSI and hitting "Buy." The Smart Money is waiting.
We are currently sitting at $62,900 after a brutal liquidation cascade.
The technicals are screaming "Oversold" (RSI is 9.5, Stochastic is 4.5).
In a normal market, this is a buy signal.
This is NOT a normal market.
As I sure hope you've already read the posts from a few days ago where we were eyeing the $70K area:
Today, we are going to break down why this "Oversold" reading is actually a trap, and exactly where I am looking to enter the next trade.
__________________________________________________________________________________
1. THE MOMENTUM TRAP (ADX vs RSI) 📉
Most traders lose money because they fade strong trends too early.
* The Bait: 4H RSI is at 9.5 . This looks cheap.
* The Trap: The ADX (Average Directional Index) is at 74.9 .
* What this means: An ADX above 50 signals an extremely powerful trend. When ADX is this high, "Oversold" indicators stay oversold for days while price grinds lower. Catching this knife is not trading; it's gambling.
2. MARKET STRUCTURE SHIFT (The 4-Year Break) ☠️
The damage to the daily structure cannot be ignored.
* Trendline Broken: We have violated the ascending trendline that has held for 483 bars (since March 2020).
* CHoCH Confirmed: We have a confirmed Change of Character (Bearish) .
* Volume: Selling volume came in at $134k (vs $63k avg). This is institutional distribution, not just retail panic.
__________________________________________________________________________________
3. THE "SMART MONEY" SETUP (The Fade) ♟️
I am not shorting here (too late), and I am not buying here (too risky).
I am waiting for the "Dead Cat Bounce" to execute the high-probability play.
The Kill Zone: $76,500 - $77,000
* Why: This level aligns with the Bearish Order Block ($76,952) and the unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) .
* The Logic: Late bulls will chase the relief rally. We wait for them to hit this Supply Wall, then we look for rejection candles to fade the move back down.
The Targets:
* TP 1: $62,233 (Swing Low liquidity)
* TP 2: $58,000 (Major Weekly Support)
Invalidation:
A 4H candle close above $77,000 invalidates the supply zone and flips the bias back to neutral.
__________________________________________________________________________________
🎯 SUMMARY
* Trend: Bearish (ADX 75+)
* Strategy: Wait for the bounce to $76k -> Short the rejection.
* Mindset: Patience pays. Let the price come to your level.
Are you catching the knife or waiting for the bounce?
Vote Below! 👇
A) Buying the dip ($62k is a steal) 🐂
B) Waiting to Short ($76k is the play) 🐻
Lingrid | DOGEUSDT Potential Buy at August 2024 Low ZoneBINANCE:DOGEUSDT perfectly played out my previous trading idea . Price is currently showing signs of a rebound after reaching the lower support zone, with the price testing the August 2024 low. This support level, combined with the downward trendline, suggests a possible bounce back to higher levels, as the price remains within a range. The bullish momentum appears to be building, especially after the recent long-tailed bar formation.
The price could be on the verge of another upward move, with the risk/reward ratio pointing toward a favorable buying opportunity, especially around the 0.0900 levels. If it manages to hold the support and break above, a swift move toward 0.1090 may follow.
➡️ Primary scenario: Rebound from 0.0850 → continuation towards 0.1090.
⚠️ Risk scenario: A break below 0.0850 would invalidate this bullish outlook and indicate further downside toward 0.0800 or lower.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
S&P 500 Future Outlook: Green Zone Capital Targets 8,000Summary:
The TVC:SPX remains in a structural uptrend, trading within a defined rising channel. After a strong advance into our previous target of 7,000, price has pulled back and is consolidating near ~6,800, a healthy reset that keeps structure intact and offers a potential re-entry window.
Technical Structure:
Trend remains bullish while price holds the channel and key supports.
This pullback looks like re-accumulation, not breakdown.
If support holds, continuation favors a move toward 7,000, then upper channel projections toward ~8,000.
Key Levels:
Support: 6,700-6,800
Resistance: 7,000
Target: ~8,000
Invalidation: ~6,500
Thesis Alignment:
This outlook aligns with our long-term thesis: AI + Digital Infrastructure + Physical Bottlenecks (power, cooling, grid, compute, storage) will continue to drive multi-year capital expenditures, earnings durability, and secular equity demand. Volatility creates the opportunities to accumulate positions at better pricing.
Bias: Long
Setup: Pullback buys at support with defined invalidation
Disclosure: For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
This Volatility Period: February 6th - 8th
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(BTCUSDT 1M Chart)
The price fell from the critical 69,000 - 73,499.86 range.
We need to see if it finds support near the previous high of 57694.27 to 61299.80.
I believe the price range it cannot return to is below the 42283.58 to 43823.59 range.
-
(1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to last from February 6th to 8th.
Therefore, the key question is how far it can rebound.
We need to see if it can rise to the critical 69000 to 73499.86 range.
If not, we need to see if it can rise above the left Fibonacci level of 0.618 (65760.59).
The next period of volatility will be around February 17th (February 16th-18th), so the key question is where the price will begin its sideways movement after this period of volatility.
The 57694.27-61299.80 range represents the previous high point, the first significant uptrend, and thus holds some significance.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is still forming at 87944.84, so we should also monitor whether it re-forms after this period of volatility.
This is because an uptrend begins when it meets the minimum DOM (-60) or HA-Low indicator.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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Gold May Continue Short-Term Correction Amid High Volatility📊 Market Overview:
Earlier today, spot gold (XAU/USD) experienced a sharp sell-off toward the 4,655 USD/oz area before rebounding. This move highlights elevated market volatility, driven by a firm US dollar and cautious investor sentiment following the previous strong rally. Dip-buying emerged near lower levels, but short-term selling pressure remains evident.
📉 Technical Analysis:
Key Resistances:
• 4,900 – 4,950 USD
• 5,020 – 5,080 USD
Immediate Supports:
• 4,700 – 4,750 USD
• 4,600 – 4,650 USD
EMA:
• Price is hovering around the EMA 09, indicating an unclear short-term trend and a consolidating market.
Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• Large-range candles with long wicks show strong buying and selling pressure. Volume remains elevated, confirming active market participation, but bullish momentum is not yet strong enough to confirm a sustainable uptrend.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to correct in the short term if price fails to hold above the 4,700 USD/oz support, while rallies may continue to face profit-taking pressure.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4,947 – 4,950
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 4,957
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4,703 – 4,700
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 4,693
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to support area of 6849.I haven't updated my forecast for SNP in quite some time, but in reality, little has changed, and I believe that the upward movement is not yet over.
Within the higher-order upward wave “5,” I am observing the completion of the medium-order wave ‘1’ and therefore expect a correction in wave “2.”
I expect the price to complete its upward movement in the 7058 area, and then I consider the support area of 6849 to be the main target.
In general, a correction is a rather risky wave, so I would recommend hedging and moving trades to break-even.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EURUSD: Triangle Resistance Holds - Bearish Bias Toward 1.1730Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD previously traded within a well-defined consolidation range, where price moved sideways for an extended period, reflecting temporary balance between buyers and sellers and gradual liquidity accumulation. This range eventually resolved to the downside, initiating a sustained bearish move that developed into a clean downward channel, marked by consistent lower highs and lower lows. This structure confirmed strong seller control and an orderly bearish continuation rather than a panic-driven sell-off. After reaching the lower boundary of the descending channel, selling pressure weakened and price staged a corrective rebound. This rebound led to a breakout above the channel resistance and triggered a sharp bullish impulsive move, which reclaimed the Support Zone and extended into the Resistance Zone around 1.1800–1.1810.
Currently, EURUSD is trading below the Triangle Resistance Line, with price showing a weak pullback and consolidation just under the resistance zone. This behavior suggests a classic bearish retest scenario, where former support has flipped into resistance. The lack of impulsive bullish continuation and repeated rejections from the triangle resistance further reinforce the bearish bias.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario favors short continuation, as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1800 Resistance Zone and the descending triangle resistance line. The recent bullish push appears corrective and liquidity-driven rather than the start of a sustainable trend reversal. From a structural perspective, the market has failed to reclaim higher highs, and the rejection from resistance confirms that sellers remain in control. As long as price stays capped below resistance, rallies are viewed as selling opportunities rather than signals of bullish continuation. The first downside objective lies near the 1.1730 Support Zone, which represents a key demand area and a prior reaction level. This zone is expected to act as the first major downside target where buyers may attempt a reaction or short-term stabilization. If EURUSD reaches the support zone and shows strong rejection or consolidation, a temporary bounce is possible.
However, a decisive breakdown and acceptance below 1.1730 would confirm further bearish continuation and open the door for a deeper move toward lower demand areas. The short bias remains valid as long as price respects resistance and the descending structure stays intact. A clean breakout and acceptance above the triangle resistance and the 1.1800 zone would invalidate the short scenario and shift focus back toward bullish continuation. Until then, overall structure clearly favors sellers.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
USDCHF 3M CLS I AMD - HTF Reversal ComingHi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close.
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Oracle - The worst drawdown ever!💣Oracle ( NYSE:ORCL ) will ends its bearmarket soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the past five months, Oracle has been correcting more than -60%. And while we can clearly witness a major selloff, Oracle is also approaching a major support area. And if we see bullish confirmation in the near future, Oracle might even create new all time highs.
📝Levels to watch:
$125
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BITCOIN: The bottom is in ... October of 2026I mean did we really think that anything could have possibly changed with Bitcoin? The time to buy is next year. Save your cash. The next bull run will be worth the wait I'm sure.
Patience is a virtue, and ironically, cash is king... For now.
No trade advise.
Will the status quo remain? or will it change?
BTC Rettesting old ATH - Next HigherBitcoin is retreating ATH 2022 of end cycle
BTC: Retreating to the 2022 Cycle Highs – The Ultimate Panic Buy? 📉🚀
Market Mood: Extreme Fear / Panic Timeframe: Daily / Weekly
Bitcoin is currently undergoing a brutal stress test, retracing toward the $69,000 - $70,000 zone—the previous "end of cycle" peak from 2021/2022. This area is more than just a horizontal support; it’s a psychological line in the sand for the entire market.
The Thesis: Reversal is Immiment
While the "Crypto Winter 2026" headlines are starting to scream, the technicals and sentiment suggest we are approaching a capitulation floor.
The Retrace: We have officially pulled back to the 2022 ATH levels. Historically, previous cycle highs act as massive magnets and, once tested, often provide the launchpad for the next structural leg up.
Sentiment Washout: The "moon" talk has been replaced by "zero" talk. We are seeing massive liquidations and "forced selling" from over-leveraged players. This is exactly the kind of blood in the streets that contrarian whales look for.
The RSI Signal: We are dipping into oversold territory on multiple timeframes, reminiscent of the mid-2022 and late-2018 bottoms.
Wave (2)- Wave (3)
I see two possibilities; Blue or Brown ?
Technical Section:
Wave (2)- Sharp Correction
Common Ratios for Wave 2:
Wave 2 = either 61.8% of Wave 1 or 76.4% of Wave 1
Long Term support levels:
The Blue Path: $ 57655 (once complete the market will reverse ..)
The Brown Path: $ 47986 (Possible and probable (Middle East war))
Wave (3)
Wave 3 = either 1.618 x length of Wave 1
or 2.618 x length of Wave 1
or 4.236 x length of Wave 1
Long Term resistance levels:
1 x length of Wave 1= $ 181000 (always travels beyond the end of wave 1)
1.618 x length of Wave 1= $ 258000
2.618 x length of Wave 1= $ 383000
4.236 x length of Wave 1= $ 584000
BTCUSD – 1H Chart Targets...BTCUSD – 1H Chart Targets 📊
Based on the chart me shared (strong bearish move + Ichimoku resistance above):
🔍 Market Bias
Short-term Bullish Correction (Pullback), overall structure still weak
📈 Buy (Relief Rally) Targets
🎯 TP1: 71,000
🎯 TP2: 74,000
🎯 TP3: 78,000 (major resistance / marked target)
Buy Zone:
63,000 – 64,000 (demand + rejection area)
Stop Loss:
🛑 Below 62,000
⚠️ Important Notes
This move is a pullback, not full trend reversal
Strong selling pressure previously → expect volatility
Partial profits recommended at each target
Bitcoin hits bottom at $60,000 —RSI hits lowest since March 2020My dear reader... I have some really great-amazing news for you... Truly, the best news ever!
Bitcoin's daily RSI just hit the lowest point since March 2020. Needless to say, this is an extremely powerful reversal signal. This signal alone can mean that the bottom is in. This signal reveals a true overextended bearish move.
Here is the chart:
One more signal for your entertainment.
In August 2024 Bitcoin produced a major flush. The day that produced the highest bearish volume was also the day the flush ended. The same happened today.
5th February 2026 Bitcoin hits bottom and produces the highest volume since 5-August 2024. This also reveals the bottom is in.
Additionally, we have the hyper mega strong support zone being challenged, the one I mentioned recently on several articles. We can also see price action reversing above $57,772, that major fib. retracement level mentioned recently as well.
This is all to say that the bottom is in.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
XAUUSD Buyers Defend Demand Zone | Upside Move Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading near a well-defined demand zone after completing a corrective move. Price previously respected a descending channel, followed by a healthy rebound and consolidation. The current structure shows buyers stepping in again near intraday support, suggesting accumulation at lower levels.
As long as price holds above the highlighted support zone, the short-term bias remains bullish. A reaction from this area could lead to a higher low formation and a continuation toward the upper resistance zone. However, a clean break below support would invalidate the bullish scenario and open the door for further downside.
📌 Key Focus:
– Intraday support reaction
– Higher low confirmation
– Momentum follow-through
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always use proper risk management.
XAGUSD Rebound from Demand Zone.....Nice setup 👍 This XAGUSD (Silver) 2H chart shows a strong bearish move into support, followed by a reaction from the lower demand area. If you’re planning a **pullback / mean-reversion target**, here are the clean levels:
### 🎯 Upside Targets (from current bounce)
* **Primary Target (TP1): ~90.0 – 92.0**
👉 This matches your marked **range high / target point** and the underside of the Ichimoku cloud (strong resistance zone).
* **Extended Target (TP2, aggressive): ~95.0**
👉 Upper boundary of the previous range + cloud resistance. Only likely if momentum flips bullish and price reclaims the trendline.
### 🔄 Invalidation (keep it simple)
* If price **fails to hold above ~70–72**, the bounce is weak and downside continuation risk increases.






















