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Trend Analysis

Current Gold Price (Spot) Spot gold is hovering around $3,6401. Expectations of U.S. Rate Cuts Markets are pricing in a very high probability of a 25 basis point cut at the Fed’s upcoming meeting, with some possibility of a larger 50 bps move. Weaker U.S. labor and inflation data has helped cement these expectations. Indiatimes +2Reuters +2 2. Weakening U.S. Dollar A softer dollar makes gold more appealing, helping fuel the rally. This trend underpins its attractiveness as a non-yielding but safe asset. Financial Times+1 3. Central Bank Demand & Investor Inflows Chinese central bank purchases are continuing (now in the 10th consecutive month), and global central bank acquisitions are expected to total roughly 900–950 metric tons in 2025. Additionally, gold ETFs like SPDR saw about $5.5 billion in inflows in August. Reuters+1 4. Geopolitical Tensions & political risks Uncertainty around Fed independence and broader political developments is prompting investors to shift into gold. Goldman Sachs warns that if Fed autonomy is compromised, gold could potentially reach $5,000 per ounce. More moderate forecasts still suggest $3,800–$4,000 by mid-2026. Investopedia Analyst Forecasts ANZ Group raised its year-end forecast to $3,800, with a potential peak of $4,000 by June 2026. Reuters Goldman Sachs sees baseline levels of $3,700–$4,000 by mid-2026, with a possible surge to $5,000 if trust in U.S. policy erodes. Investopedia +1 Other analysts also largely echo the $3,800–$4,000 range as achievable before mid-2026. New York Post+1
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VuthelasTechnologies
1
US100: Is the Bullish Trend Gaining Momentum?CAPITALCOM:US100 The price is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel , with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. Recently, buyers have taken control, indicating the potential for continued upward momentum. Given the strong bullish momentum right now, there's a high likelihood that the price will break through the key resistance zone. If this happens, the price may retest the support level before pushing higher. A successful retest would strengthen the bullish structure, opening up the possibility to reach the target of 25,100 , aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. However, if the price fails to break above resistance, it could signal weakening bullish momentum, leading to a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel. Always remember to confirm your setups and manage your risk appropriately. Good luck and trade safely!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Dorian_Unugureanu
2
Bitcoin BTC is at a Critical Level: Equal Highs Trade Plan💰 Bitcoin (BTC) Update 💰 BTC is currently trending upward 🟢📈 on the 30M timeframe ⏰ and has reached a critical level ⚖️. We’re seeing a shift in structure 🔄, but there are equal highs forming 📍, leaving the question: will price break higher and continue bullish 🚀, or reject and move lower 🔽? 📊 My trade plan is simple: ✅ Wait for a break above the current range/equal highs 📈 ✅ Look for a retrace + retest 🔄 ✅ Enter long on confirmation 🎯 If this setup fails to play out, then the idea is invalidated ❌ and we stand aside. ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. 📚
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
1
Sep 10 MES Recap: Watching MAG7, Session Highs/Lows, and Higher MES Journal – September 10, 2025 Today I traded MES using supply and demand levels, while also tracking leadership from the MAG7 (with QQQ as my main proxy). Track the MAG7 with me on TradingView using the MAG7 List . I didn’t trade with this strategy until a few guys in my Discord recommended it. I had a bit of a learning curve, but I finished green on most accounts for the first time in a while. Context I Tracked Asian session high/low: 6,514 / 6,492 London session high/low: 6,528 / 6,506 Previous day high/low: 6,536.25 / 6,489.25 PPI report (Aug 2025): -0.1% vs forecast, shifted bias from bullish to bearish intraday VWAP levels on both ES and QQQ Wins Stayed green overall on funded accounts with payout potential. Saw the end-of-day pump confirmed by MAG7, even after an initial retrace. Reinforced my supply/demand and VWAP process. Losses and Lessons Learned Entered one trade without higher timeframe confirmation, which cost me a FundingTicks eval account (treating this loss as tuition). Learned that higher timeframes (1H/4H/Daily) must confirm intraday levels before entering. Looking Forward I’ll combine: Supply/Demand + Session Highs/Lows Leader ETF (QQQ/MGK/MAG7) Higher Timeframes (1H/4H/Daily) This approach gives me more conviction and fewer blind trades. Indicators Since I’m still learning how to mark levels properly, I’m starting out with indicators to help reinforce that I’m using potentially correct levels. I primarily used: Asian & London Sessions High/Lows Previous Highs & Lows Supply and Demand Visible Range TradingView default VWAP indicator
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EliasVictor
1
NZDUSD → Correction before bull run to 0.600FX:NZDUSD , after breaking the downtrend, is forming a consolidation, the goal of which is the potential for continued growth... The dollar is forming a small countertrend correction, to which the market is reacting, but overall sentiment on currencies is relatively bullish amid expectations of interest rate cuts... NZDUSD is forming a trading range (consolidation) after breaking through the resistance of the downtrend. 0.5915 - 0.596. Before the growth, MM may form a liquidity capture at 0.5915 - 0.5f. Support levels: 0.5915, 0.5884 Resistance levels: 0.5960, 0.5996 Interest rate cuts, especially aggressive ones, could trigger a fall in the dollar, which in turn would support forex currency baskets. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD could trigger medium-term growth from the specified support zone. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
AEVOUSDT Forming Falling WedgeAEVOUSDT is displaying a strong technical setup with the formation of a classic falling wedge pattern. This is widely recognized as a bullish reversal signal, especially when combined with healthy trading volume. The price action has been consolidating within this structure, gradually squeezing and preparing for an upward breakout. With volume confirming investor interest, the conditions appear favorable for a significant move to the upside. Based on current technicals, the pair has the potential to deliver gains in the range of 60% to 70%+. The falling wedge pattern often marks the end of a corrective phase, paving the way for a fresh bullish rally. AEVOUSDT is showing signs of strength as it approaches a breakout zone, supported by growing market participation. Such setups are typically followed by strong rallies as trapped sellers exit positions and new buyers step in, creating momentum-driven surges. Investor sentiment is also improving around AEVO, adding confidence to the technical picture. If the breakout sustains, AEVOUSDT could quickly climb toward higher resistance levels, providing a lucrative opportunity for short- to medium-term traders. This setup places AEVOUSDT on the radar as one of the promising coins to watch in the coming weeks. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
1
A brief discussion on my views on recent gold price trendsLast night, I clearly outlined my outlook for gold. Today, the gold price retreated to the support range of 3635-3620 and then stabilized and rebounded. Our long orders have reaped considerable profits. It is a pity that the limit long order set at 3620 before going to bed failed to be triggered, and I missed out on a bigger profit. Currently, gold's volatility is relatively low, and it has rebounded again to around 3645, which aligns with my view that gold will remain in a range-bound pattern in the short term. Our trading strategy is still highly referenceable. If gold falls back to test the lower support again in the short term, we can still consider going long again. If gold slowly fluctuates upward in the European session, the first thing to pay attention to is whether it can effectively break through 3655. Once it effectively breaks through, gold may retest the short-term resistance of 3665-3680.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
2
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6600.Colleagues, the main idea is still the upward movement in the impulse of the middle wave “5”. Wave “4” is likely to take place, because the bulls need to gain strength to update the local maximum of 6512. The most important thing here is that the target of 6600 is a round number, which is quite attractive for buyers and limit sellers. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
16
Price broke below EMA200 on M15 + Shooting Star + MACD CrossPrice below EMA200 on M15 + Shooting Star + MACD bearish cross - Tokyo. Entered this trade a few hours ago during Tokyo session. Price finally broke through the EMA200 on M15 putting us into sell territory. A shooting star had been printed and the MACD produced a bearish cross. As several of you noted, there’s a clean FVG stack below — I placed my TP at the end of that block. SL was set just above the most recent structure high, giving this trade a strong R:R of nearly 1:9. RSI is already oversold, but in strong trending conditions, it can remain that way for a while. Looks like we’re (hopefully lol) printing the closing leg of a clean M-pattern.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miss_GoldFinger
5
ORCL – Historical +40% Move to ATH, Wave 5 CompletedMy original post was hidden due to a house rule violation, but I’m sharing the setup again here: Oracle just made a historical one-day gain of over 40% with a gap-up at market open — the largest single-day move in its history. This instantly fulfilled Elliott Wave 5 and pushed price to new all-time highs. From here, consolidation is expected with an ABC correction, which has not yet started but is likely to begin from this ATH level. At minimum, a 23.6% retracement is highly probable for the first leg, with further direction depending on market structure. The open gap also sits below the 23.6% retracement and will need to be filled at some point. This is considered a high-probability concept even against the trend, as the plan is to aim for a tight 0.5R trade (1 ATR target, 2 ATR stop loss on the 4H chart). Oscillators don’t play a role here — all are overbought in the uptrend without trend breaks — but this is a different type of entry setup under the Trading Unicorn approach. Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
NYSE:ORCLShort
by XXXX4X
2
GOLD 5-Minute Smart Money Analysis (Bearish Setup)🔸 OB M5 (Order Block) – A supply zone around 3,652–3,654. This is where institutional sellers may re-enter. Price is expected to retrace here before dropping again. 💧 Liquidity Level marked at 3,638.253 – below recent lows. This is where many stop-loss orders are likely placed. Smart money often targets these zones to fuel bigger moves. ⚙️ Trade Setup Idea 🔄 Wait for price to retrace into OB M5 (yellow zone) 🔻 Look for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing or market structure shift) 🎯 Target: Liquidity level at 3,638.253 🛑 Stop Loss: Just above the OB (low-risk entry) ✅ Current Bias: Bearish As long as price stays below the OB zone, we favor shorts. Break above OB invalidates this setup
TVC:GOLDShort
by Ibraahim-Ismacil20
1
xauusdPYTH:XAUUSD the chart is on a short-term timeframe (probably 15m or 1h). A Rising Wedge pattern is drawn, which usually signals a bearish reversal. After breaking below the wedge, price dropped sharply. Now, the market has pulled back and is consolidating around 3645–3650. Three levels are marked on the chart: Risk free (~3630) → meaning if someone entered a short trade, once price reaches this level, they can move the trade to break-even. TP1 (~3580) → the first bearish target. TP2 (~3520–3530) → the second bearish target. Overall takeaway: The structure suggests that the bearish scenario is more likely (because of the wedge breakdown). Right now, price is consolidating near a local resistance area. If sellers step in again, hitting TP1 and possibly TP2 is on the table. But if price breaks and holds above 3660–3670, that would invalidate the bearish setup.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Aryana_mhj
1
NIFTY 1D Time frame📊 NIFTY 50 Snapshot Current Price: Approximately 24,991 Change: Up ~0.49% from the previous close Trend: Fifth consecutive day of gains 🔎 Key Levels Resistance: Near 25,000 — psychological level and recent high Support: Around 24,800 — recent low and consolidation zone 📈 Technical Indicators RSI (14): Approximately 58 — neutral to slightly bullish MACD: Positive — indicating upward momentum Moving Averages: Price trading above key moving averages, suggesting a bullish trend 📌 Market Sentiment Catalysts: Optimism over potential GST cuts and revival of trade talks with the U.S. Sector Performance: Broad-based gains across sectors, with IT and financials leading 📅 Outlook Bullish Scenario: Sustained trading above 25,000 could lead to a push toward 25,200–25,300. Bearish Scenario: A drop below 24,800 may test support around 24,600.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by DiamondCharts1
1
Swing TradeBased on 4H analysis w e have Lower high/Previous high formation within the "Range 3670.9 - 3655.0". It is a sighn where Mkt can reach TP 1 Range 3624.1 - 3620.0 and only when Mkt breakes this range and close below it we can expect a movement which will be considered as retracement. During the retracement period we can expect Mkt to reach TP 2 & TP 3 Targets. In this TP 2 is solid. Please wait for Mkt to take a side and take any position accordingly. By today tomorrow we might get a clear idea on which side market has desided to continue.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KTSV
2
GBP/JPY – Testing Strong Resistance at 200.200👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:GBPJPY ? Today, this pair is facing strong resistance around the 200.200 level, a key area that needs to be broken for further bullish momentum. After forming a gap and a corrective move to fill it, GBP/JPY could continue its upward trend if it leverages the strength from the trendline support. As long as the trendline holds, the buy strategy remains favorable. Pay close attention to price action around this level to find safe trading opportunities. What are your thoughts on GBP/JPY? Share your opinions in the comments!
by Kevinn_Nguyen
12
Concept of GON...Overview Concept of GON - Get Out Now!!! Thanks to spending most of my time on the wrong side of the markets, the GON (Get Out Now!!!) found me. GON aids in telling me when the markets are about to gain momentum and start to move strongly against a wrong position, the realisation check to save oneself... Understanding the trading journey; SPOT trading turned into glorified DCA (dollar cost average) trading, resulting in greed wanting to make more and then fighting this cumbersome world of liquidations, sizing, leveraging continually beaten by the markets. Clarity on Abbreviations (how would one word it) F8 = Fibonacci tool in short, makes it easier to withstand typos. print ('F'+len('ibonacci')) Last leg - The last leg is calculated from the start/beginning of the trend till the last highest high (HH) or lowest low (LL) position - dependant on direction of the trend. This last stretch/movement whereby the F8 tool is pulled/drawn from the top and bottom, in this article be referred to as the last leg. External leg - This is the bigger move before the last leg. Golden Pocket - between 0.618 (or 61.8%) and 0.65 (or 65%) of the last leg Inverse Pocket - taking the opposite position of the golden pocket, calculating 100 - 61.8 (38.2) and 100 - 65 (35) Momentum - it would be the force used to keep the price moving in one direction with little or no retracements. Retracement value - The % mapped to the K8 tool position, this position would be compared against either the last leg or external leg. Mixing F8 and Momentum The F8 is useful in many ways, for me it would be to identify points of interest (POI), also putting a name to the reaction %. During the course of learning the markets, what made sense to me about this Great F8 tool and how I could make use of it. When drawing it, there is a starting point/value of 0 and ending point/value of 1. Depending which direction, the 0 and 1 could be swapped around and in this chart the 1 position would be at bottom and 0 at top. Knowing the potential retracement % level would be useful to calculate DCA probabilities. This is by bringing factors such as the direction, size and likelihood into equation. The last leg helps to paint the picture of what the market is doing now. The most recent market conditions formed by the latest active key players. By observing their game and looking at it from this perspective helped me to determine the trends. By observing the retraced % value against the last leg, a few hypothesis could be made. 1. If the F8 reaction % value increases/decreases, the force behind price is strengthening and the chart gaining momentum in a given direction, (aka: lower highs | higher lows). 2. Strength of market, as price is held to the upper bracket forcing the price higher, would indicate strong buyers. If the price is held at the lower bracket forcing price lower. 3. The opportunity to DCA decreases and later in the chart nearly impossible - depending on account balance. 4. The retraced position forms the MSS (market structure shift), or BOS (break of structure). BOS confirms strength in the current trend, while MSS warns of a possible reversal and new trend forming. More-on F8 Reaction %, vs normal Trend Statistic Analysis, vs key entries 0% = Double tops or bottoms. Meaning, price bounced at an exact location at 0%. For beginners the Key Entry to enter the trade. 30% < or < 70% < Premium/Discount zones, momentum starts to build confirming the movement and also safe to enter the markets with SL just below the 0%. 40%/60% = Golden Pocket depending on sell/buy, or how you draw'em. You comfortable with the risk, know that these give greater results. 50% = You now need to know what you are doing... The nice thing about momentum would be that the more people notice the new trend forming, the more likely they would jump in trying to try and catch the current move of the market and this would ultimately push the price further in any given direction. Now unto the chart. So, to define the early beginnings of momentum, we start observing the change in trend. The trend always starts with the lowest low (LL), or HH (highest high) depending which side the new leg is forming (opposite of the external leg). From this point we observe the next price reaction during the retrace and bounce against the last leg. We expect an increased new value, thus comparing the F8 position of the lowest low (LL) and higher low (HL) for LONG/BUY, or HH (highest high) to LH (lower high) for SHORT/SELL. Whenever a higher low (HL) or lower high (LH) is formed, we draw a new leg but interestingly the retrace % value increases as the markets keep pushing higher with force and momentum is gained. In this chart the F8 .1 is drawn at the bottom, and .0 is positioned at the location of the last leg up, highlighting the retrace % value during a retracement. So you want to get the maximum profit from any given trade, but that would mean that your profit margin would continue to increase. Logically, who would take 10% if they could make initially 25%? There would be a buffer, like a trailing SL but calculated differently as price increases. If the markets do hold and continue, who would rejoin and re-entering the markets again pushing the price even further. In the world of DCA, you should have high volatility, but with leverage and sizing it becomes tricky and you perhaps "have one shot" . The outcome of this COIN reached just over 70% before retracing, and when it did retrace returned to +-2% of the original position around 25 days. This technique may be tedious to continually draw the K8 on the last leg, especially as new higher highs or lower lows are formed, whereby one need to look at the new retrace % value and calculate if it would exceed that of the previous retrace value. Think this is where MSS and BOS would help, as it would be the same position. If you are following the trend, you have a position working for you, then following with a SL (stop-loss) at the last formed MSS or BOS would be safe for greater profits. If the trend isn't your friend, notice the trends shifting with momentum and be GON!!! This isn't f inancial or trading advice, rather an interesting phenomenal aspect which helped me understand the usefulness of the F8 tool during any trade. Also do not promote any DCA strategies. Hope that you had fun reading this article. Wasn't myself in this particular trade, just taking a previous lesson learned from this COIN and seeing the relevance all around in the markets. Welcome for correction, proper acronyms/abbreviations and any comments.
Education
by secnam
2