Firmly bearish, waiting for the waterfall to fallAfter hitting a temporary high of 3660 during the day, gold fell back to test the middle track support line of 3636. If it fails to effectively fall below the short-term support in the European session, gold may still rebound to test the upper resistance of 3655-3665. I would still consider shorting if the overhead resistance area is touched again.
Today, we will focus on the preliminary data on the change in the U.S. non-farm employment benchmark for 2025 and the revised NFP data released in the U.S. market. If the data falls short of expectations, the extreme bullish market that has been running high for nearly two weeks may see a sell-off during today's U.S. trading session. Also, it's worth noting that not everyone in the market shares my bearish view. Recently, many have been bullish, but today, many have turned bearish. Be wary of a potential surge followed by a decline in the gold market.
The current market is difficult to predict, and my focus is on serving VIP members. Brothers in the group must make reasonable decisions based on their own account conditions. You can consider leaving the market after earning $10-20.
Trend Lines
Don’t rush to buy, the pullback is the golden opportunity!Yesterday, the technical analysis of gold quickly retreated and stabilized at the 3580 mark during the Asian session, ushering in a strong pull-up by the bulls. It continued to rise in the European session and continued the extremely strong unilateral rise of the bulls, and accelerated to break through the 3646 mark and closed strongly. The daily K-line closed strongly and broke through the high-middle yang. The daily level rose strongly and formed an extremely strong unilateral rise pattern of the bulls. It touched a high of 3646.3 in the evening. Gold fluctuated at the opening today. There were signs of a pullback and repair on the technical side. Although the general trend is still bullish, the short-term technical pullback and adjustment cannot be ruled out. I think the recent rise of consecutive yangs currently requires certain technical adjustments, so we should not be overly bullish on gold, especially above the 3650 line. Don't chase more, and be vigilant about the technical pullback demand. If you are not satisfied with your gold operations at the moment, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the current gold trend analysis, today's short-term support is around 3630-3620, and the important support below is 3615-3610. If it retraces during the day, it will continue to be bullish and follow the trend based on this position. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3600. If it stabilizes at this position at the daily level, it will continue to maintain the main tone of retracement and low buying. For specific operations of counter-trend short positions, pay attention to the bottom notification and maintain the main tone of participating in the trend.
Gold operation strategy: Go long on gold when it retraces to around 3630-3620, target 3650-3655, and continue to hold if it breaks through.
Long bond bulls’ eye bigger breakoutThe bullish move in U.S. ultra-long bond futures anticipated last week has played out nicely, with the contract surging higher over the subsequent days, taking out a key topside hurdle comprising the 200DMA and horizontal resistance at 119’19. The move has now stalled at a downtrend from the highs set in September last year, a period when the Fed went full-bore dove on concerns the U.S. was potentially slipping into recession. Sound familiar?
Zooming out, the contract is coiling within a falling wedge, a continuation pattern that points to the potential for a far larger extension of the bullish move should the price break and hold above the September 2024 downtrend. The signal from the breakout may not be as reliable as others given long bond futures have been anything but bullish in recent years, but convention suggests we could eventually revisit the September 2024 highs, implying a 30-year yield of less than 4%.
122’18 and 124’24 are minor levels to monitor on the topside before more significant tests await at 129’00, 132’00, 135’13 and the September 2024 swing high. RSI (14) and MACD point to building bullish momentum, favouring a similar directional bias that should improve the odds of the breakout sticking, should it occur.
Good luck!
DS
DOGE 1HR FractalAccumulating for weekly Take Profit. This feels as if we’re rallying the horses.
Find Risk management levels in the weekly and you’ll understand Weekly Take Profit % > this small 2% move…
Retest, reload… Time will tell… Be patient as there are levels we need to hold to see if what we feel is going to play out
Baidu | BIDU | Long at $82.50Baidu NASDAQ:BIDU - the Google of China. This one is being ignored by AI investors, and may be an opportunity. Maybe... nothing is certain (especially with the "risks" of Chinese investments).
P/E = 9x
Debt/Equity = 0.27x
Price/Sales = 1.55x
Price/Book = 0.80x
Price/Cash flow = 7.59x
Thus, at $82.50, NASDAQ:BIDU is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$109.00
$125.00
$150.00
USDSEK: Trend ContinuationUSDSEK looks to resume its downtrend. This is observable based on the daily and 1-hour timeframe confluence.
Daily Timeframe:
Starting on the daily timeframe, EMA20 rests below EMA60, with price hovering below EMA20. This indicates that the overall trend is down.
In addition, price recently made a clean break below the horizontal trendline (HTL). It then tried to trade above it with no success.
1-Hour Timeframe:
Over on the lower timeframe, we see confluence as well. Price crosses below the ascending trendline, which indicates the overall trend is resuming. There's alignment on the daily and 1-hour timeframes.
My entry is based on the consolidating range that formed after the price pullback. Price is now breaking out of this range, which signals that momentum is picking up.
USOIL latest trend analysis and operation layout#USOIL
Crude oil continued to rebound in the European session, but the short-term 4H moving average was still pressing downward, and it was obvious that the short-selling momentum had not completely subsided. The overall trading rhythm is mainly based on rebound shorting. The short-term upper resistance level is 63.5-64.5. If it fails to break through effectively, crude oil will usher in a retracement, with the target looking at 62.5-61.5
🚀 SELL 63.5-64.5
🚀 TP 62.5-61.5
Gold surges, beware of a pullbackGold opened slightly lower on Monday and then rebounded in a volatile manner. It has now stood above 3610. The short-term watershed of 3570 has been confirmed. Above it, it still maintains a very strong upward trend. However, it should be noted that as the upward range continues to increase, even if the strong rhythm is maintained in the future, it is likely to run in the form of a surge-fall-and-higher again. The market is moving forward in constant correction. Therefore, remember not to chase orders blindly. Even if you follow the trend, you must grasp the trading rhythm, have a plan in mind, and execute in hand. In terms of specific operations, you can consider a light position in the 3615-3625 area to tentatively short. The short-term target is the 3600 line first. If it can effectively break down, it will further look to the 3585-3580 area. During the decline, according to the strength performance, look for low-long layout opportunities and continue to follow the general trend. If there is no obvious decline before the US market, you should adjust your positions in time and wait for new signals again. Don't fight blindly.
18 years breakout done hereThe Smart Way Research Desk Company Report: Prime Focus Ltd Date: 08 September 2025
About the Company Prime Focus Ltd is a global media services powerhouse offering post-production, visual effects (VFX), animation, and cloud-based content management solutions. Headquartered in Mumbai, it operates across 24 cities and 4 continents, with over 10,000 professionals. Its subsidiary, DNEG, has won multiple Academy Awards for VFX work on films like Inception, Interstellar, and Tenet. Prime Focus serves major studios, broadcasters, and OTT platforms, and is undergoing strategic restructuring to consolidate its global media assets.
1. Core Financials Snapshot (FY23–FY25)
Revenue: ₹873 Cr (FY23) → ₹979 Cr (FY24) → ₹1,023 Cr (FY25) — CAGR ~8.3%; steady topline growth Net Profit: ₹(80) Cr (FY24) → ₹61.85 Cr (Q1 FY26) — Turnaround visible; driven by non-operating income EBITDA: ₹879 Cr (FY25); margin ~14.5% — Operating leverage improving EPS: ₹2.05 (Q1 FY26) vs ₹(5.27) loss in Q1 FY25 — Positive swing ROE: ~6.0% (FY25 est.) — Below industry average Debt/Equity: ~0.42x (FY25) — Moderate; post-IPO dilution expected Dividend: Nil — Reinvestment priority Total Assets: ₹5,552 Cr (FY25) — Expanded via DNEG share swap Promoter Holding: ~67.6% (Jun 2025) — Stable FII Holding: ~8.86% (Jun 2025) — Strong foreign interest DII Holding: ~0.0% — No mutual fund exposure
Verdict: Bad Despite revenue growth and profit turnaround, reliance on non-operating income and weak ROE dilute financial strength.
2. Strategic Drivers & Business Expansion
DNEG Consolidation: ₹5,161 Cr share swap for DNEG stake — Global VFX integration Fundraising: ₹390.5 Cr via preferential allotment — Liquidity boost Ranbir Kapoor Investment: 12.5 lakh shares allotted — Brand visibility Cloud Media Platform: CLEAR suite for content management — Tech moat Global Footprint: 24 cities across 4 continents — Scalable infrastructure Blockbuster Pipeline: VFX work on Avatar, Baahubali, Blade Runner — Premium client base
Verdict: Good Global brand equity, tech-led services, and strategic consolidation support long-term growth.
3. FY26 Forecast (Estimated)
Revenue: ₹1,200 – ₹1,250 Cr Net Profit: ₹120 – ₹140 Cr EPS: ₹4.0 – ₹4.5 ROE: ~7.5% EBITDA Margin: ~15.5% Capex: ₹300 – ₹350 Cr Free Cash Flow: Neutral to slightly negative
Verdict: Good Revenue and margin expansion expected; profit visibility improving post DNEG integration.
4. Business Growth Verdict
Revenue CAGR ~8.3%; Profit turnaround in FY26 Debt profile manageable; equity accretion via share swap VFX + Cloud + OTT = diversified engine Valuation (P/E ~36x FY26E) moderate for global media tech player
Verdict: Good Strategic execution, global assets, and tech moat support long-term compounding.
Maintain bearish outlook, expecting a waterfall in the eveningAlthough the gold price has fallen slightly in the past two days and the short positions in my hands have generated certain profits, the gold price has never been able to effectively reach the ideal TP, so I did not choose to close the position. Since the price began its decline from 3578, which became a short-term high, I've executed my short trade according to my trading plan and remain in the position.
Yesterday I also stated that if gold rises due to data, I will choose to increase my position, so that even if the final result is not satisfactory, we can still generate good profits through the multiple high-level short positions we hold.
From a technical perspective, the market focus during the day is on the NFP data, and gold is expected to remain volatile before the data is released. The lower 3540-3530 area is an area of intensive trading in the early stage, which provides certain support for gold prices in the short term. If the NFP data tonight is bullish for gold, gold may rebound in the short term with the help of 3540-5330, but the bulls are more likely to choose to sell off after the data is released. Once gold falls below 3540-3530, it can be regarded as the start of a short-term correction trend. In the short term in the future, the lower side can be seen at 3510-3500, or even lower expectations.
If tonight's NFP data is bearish for gold, then consistent with the current severe overbought nature of gold's technical indicators and the need for a correction based on a top-side divergence, gold's decline could accelerate, potentially finding support around 3510-3500 or even 3480.
In short, no matter whether the NFP data is good or bad, gold needs to be adjusted. We are bearish and will definitely get good returns. Let us look forward to the arrival of the waterfall tonight.
EURUSD InsightWelcome, subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the boost and subscribe.
Key Points
- According to the U.S. Department of Labor, nonfarm payrolls in August increased by 22,000 compared to the previous month, well below the market expectation of 75,000. June’s figure was revised down from 14,000 to 13,000, while July’s was revised up from 73,000 to 79,000. The unemployment rate stood at 4.3%, in line with expectations but up 0.1% from the previous month.
- The Federal Reserve has entered its blackout period, and the market has begun suggesting that the Fed should cut rates by 50bp at the upcoming meeting.
- On September 7, Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba held an emergency press conference and officially announced his resignation as LDP president. Sanae Takaichi and Shinjiro Koizumi are emerging as strong candidates for the next prime minister.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ September 10: U.S. August Producer Price Index
+ September 11: ECB Rate Decision, U.S. August Consumer Price Index
+ September 12: U.K. July GDP, Germany August Consumer Price Index
EURUSD Chart Analysis
For the past three weeks, the pair has shown no clear direction, moving in a narrow range near the 1.17000 level. Since it is approaching key resistance, a breakout above this zone could push it up to 1.20000 in the short term, and potentially toward 1.22000 in the longer term. However, if the resistance holds, another pullback down to the 1.15000 level could occur.
USDJPY Heading Up..Usdjpy weekly outllok this review is going for a long term trade as we can see in this structure the pair is moving towards a partial resistance with target at 152.30 where it is expected to meet next reversal before breakout.
Key Points;
Hold a long position with a target 151.65,a confirmed breakout above this resistance area would activate long continuation.
Like and follow
Thanks for taking a look.
Gold ended this week successfully,and the trend is under controlStimulated by the non-farm payroll data on Friday, gold rose sharply and set a new historical high. Combined with previous forecasts, we successfully predicted that gold would hit the 3600 line. It finally hit a high of 3600 and then rebounded to 3586 to close. Overall, gold still showed no signs of a sharp decline, and the bullish trend remained strong. Continuous high-point breakthroughs have gradually made market sentiment fearful of heights, but each pullback still becomes a new opportunity to accumulate strength. The market rhythm is completely in line with the bullish logic of pullback-repair-and-re-rush. The daily line continues to oscillate upward on the short-term moving average, and it rises again after the 4-hour oscillation repair. Although there is pressure in the short term, the general direction is still dominated by bulls. The idea for next week remains unchanged. The trend will continue to focus on buying on pullbacks. There is short-term pressure near 3600 above, but once it breaks through, the upper space will open up further. Pay attention to the support in the 3573-3563 area below. Further key support is at the 3550 line. In terms of operation, maintain a low-long rhythm, do not blindly chase the rise, try to avoid contrarian short orders, and wait patiently for the bullish opportunity after the pullback. I will remind you of the specific entry position at the bottom, so remember to follow it.
Gold Setup. Midas losing his touch.TVC:GOLD has reached an all time high of $3500. It further created a LH @ $3435 in the daily TF. This signals the beginning of a possible down trend of the commodity with the current fundamentals as confluence.
Furthermore, TVC:GOLD is likely to reach level $3160 and possibly test levels as low as $2960, below the much acclaimed $3000 support structure.
EURUSD: three paths and none of them easyFor the third month in a row EURUSD closes below the highs of the period — buyers fail to break through, while the 200 EMA adds extra pressure from above. On the other hand, every dip is aggressively bought, leaving sellers unable to reverse the trend. The dollar index has been stuck in the 98.50–97.50 range for eight weeks, and each attempt to strengthen pushes it lower again. Against this backdrop, three scenarios remain on the table.
First scenario: short positions with tight stops from 1.1780, targeting 1.1600 and 1.1400, where reversal patterns may appear.
Second scenario: continuation of sideways trading, prioritizing shorts while price remains below 1.1780.
Third scenario: breakout above 1.1780 with a move toward 1.2200, where selling opportunities may arise, followed by a correction and renewed buying with the trend.
All actions depend on entry points, and each entry has its own rules. Questions? Let me know.
BTCUSD📊 BTC/USDT Analysis
✅ Update: TP2 successfully hit as per plan. (As in Previously shared plan)
⚠️ Catch: BTC made a new 1H HH around 113,434, but failed to break the 4H resistance at 113,506±.
🔎 Key Observations:
4H structure remains bearish (Lower Highs intact).
1H still holding bullish structure with HLs along the trendline.
Price is currently retesting our buying trendline zone, showing respect to HLs.
🎯 Scenarios:
Long 📌 Plan:1
Aggressive traders:
1️⃣ Bullish Case (Buying Zone Active)-CMP
BTC is at the trendline support zone → early longs possible
Long 📌 Plan:2
Conservative traders: Enter long only if BTC breaks & holds above 113,500±.
Wait for a bullish 4H confirmation candle at the buying zone before entering long.
📌 Short Plan:
Bearish Case (4H Continuation)
If BTC breaks the trendline & last HL of 1H TF , then Short for 4H bearish pattern continuation.
This would invalidate the current buying zone and 1H Bullish Pattern.
📌
Trade with proper risk management.
Bitcoin's Incredible Potential for a $400,000+ Price TagBINANCE:BTCUSD Bitcoin looks to remain the talk of the financial world as it prepares for a strong upside stretch to $191K by end of year 2025. Though we may see a prolonged pause near the $150K-$160K rage, it will likely only serve to trap bears and allow profitable entry for new buyers. My macro outlook on Bitcoin remains as bearish as it could ever be, but until November 2026 - March 2027, I think that it will continue to move up by small margins (especially when compared to memes/alts like UNISWAP:TSUKAUSDC_67CEA3 ). Some of the most renown experts have end of cycle targets like $1,000,000+. I think this is the most farfetched news you could be fed right now.
Protect peace.
Protect purpose.
Protect profits.