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Trend Line Break

GOLD → Retest 4060 within the range. What are the expectations?FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction from the Asian session, with the price testing the important 4060 zone ahead of two key events: US inflation data (CPI) and the results of US-China trade negotiations. Key factors: US inflation (CPI): Low data will support gold (expectations of two cuts in 2024), but high figures will strengthen the USD and weaken gold (rates for a rate cut in December will decline). Progress in negotiations between China and the US could weaken gold, while failure would bring back demand for safe havens. US sanctions against Russian oil are supporting oil prices and inflation expectations. Gold is in wait-and-see mode. Growth is likely with weak CPI or a failure of negotiations. Strong CPI and progress in trade will reinforce the correction. The mood remains cautious ahead of events. Resistance levels: 4090, 4150, 4163 Support levels: 4060, 4002 The important zone of 4060 - gold is forming a false breakdown. If the bulls hold their defense above this zone, it could trigger growth towards the resistance of the range. Otherwise, we can expect a retest of 4000K, and the reaction should be aggressive... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
7
GOLD → Fundamental background boosts interest FX:XAUUSD is recovering after a correction, trading in the range of 4060-4120 amid geopolitical tensions and risks of an escalating trade war. Key supporting factors: New threats from the US against China, which is responding with additional measures. Trump imposed sanctions against Russian oil companies, accusing Moscow of lack of progress on Ukraine. US inflation data (CPI) on Friday may cause volatility, although the Fed's rate cut next week is likely already priced in. The meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping next week remains uncertain. Gold remains a safe haven, but near-term dynamics depend on the balance between dollar strength and geopolitical risks. Resistance levels: 4116, 4163, 4200 Support levels: 4082, 4060, 4002 A retest of support at 4082-4060, as well as a breakout of resistance at 4116, could trigger a bullish reaction—a rise to the resistance level or imbalance zones. Against the backdrop of the escalating trade war, gold is becoming attractive again. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
GOLD → Correction after aggressive growthFX:XAUUSD is in a correction phase after a month and a half of aggressive growth. The price is forming a trading range and continues to storm support... The record growth was overheated, and traders are closing long positions. A gradual change in the fundamental background and market sentiment is also provoking an outflow of funds. However, US-China negotiations, the ongoing US shutdown, and the tense geopolitical situation, including the cancellation of Trump's meeting with Putin, create additional risks in the economy, which may support the metal. The correction in gold looks like a healthy pause. The $4,000 level remains key support. A recovery above $4100 indicates continued buyer interest, but further dynamics depend on news about trade negotiations. Resistance levels: 4082, 4107, 4163 Support levels: 4059, 4000 A breakdown of the trading range support could trigger further sell-offs. Focus on 4000K, aggressive reaction possible. At the moment, the market is falling as aggressively as it rose. We need to wait for the price to slow down in order to make reasonable technical decisions. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
19
GBPJPY's Reversal BaseHi Traders! When looking at GJ, the chart seemed messy as it was in a range for a long time. After finally breaking out of the 200s, priced reach a Weekly OB area in the 203s. Over the past weeks or so, GJ created a counter trend dipping back into the high 200s area with what it appears to be a reversal base. If this reversal is true, I would be planning swinging this trade into the next resistance areas around 206-207. That will bring price to a previous Monthly Bearish OB. Despite of how the chart has looked, the trend remained bullish. Therefore, IMO, GJ seems to want to keep its bullish momentum. Good luck to everyone! *DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
Long
by thattradergirl
BITCOIN → Trend reversal. Is there a chance for growth?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is breaking the trend and local market structure, forming a rally. Giving hope to buyers, we see a strong reaction from the Asian session. Are the bulls returning? The fundamental background is unstable; if Trump continues to escalate the trade war, the cryptocurrency market may close within the range. However, technically, we have positive signs of a bull market. BTC is breaking through the resistance level of 107,350 and entering a rally, which only confirms the change in trend and the breakdown of the structure. Since the Asian session, the price has strengthened by 3%, and a retest of the nearest strong resistance at 112K-113.6K could lead to a pullback before growth. Globally, there is bearish pressure, but if the bulls can hold their defense above 110K, then in the medium term, the market will be able to fight for the 115K-120K zone. Resistance levels: 111960, 113600, 115730 Support levels: 109700, 109200 In the short term, I expect a false breakout of the specified resistance and a correction of 1/2 of the local impulse, i.e., a retest of the 110K - 109200 support zone, which, in turn, could lead to another bullish run to 115K - 120K. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
14
GBP/JPY Support Flip in ActionLong-term vibe (2W chart): GBP/JPY's been cursing upwards since 2020, riding that strong support line. It's like the pair's got a safety net, and as long as it holds above this line, the trend's buddy-buddy with the bulls. Short-term play (1D chart): Check it, on the daily chart, GBP/JPY broke above a key resistance zone, and now that level turn into support. It's like getting a green light for a potential push higher. We're chillin' around the 203-204 zone now, if this holds, we're prob looking at higher targets. Putting it together: Long-term trend's up, and short-term breakout saying "hey, maybe more upside". If GBP/JPY hangs out above 203-204, bulls might keep pushing it higher. DYOR, NFA Thanks for reading! Appreciate your support and engagement 🙏
Long
by unichartz
BTCUSD: Waiting for breakout confirmation near the range highBTCUSD – Analysis for October 24, 2025 Yesterday, we had two trading setups for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD . The IRB setup played out as planned when the price rebounded from the EMA, formed a consolidation zone within the range, and then broke out strongly, pushing up toward the upper boundary of the range. This move shows that bullish momentum is still present, although the resistance near the range high remains a key area where short-term profit-taking may occur. Today’s Trading Plan Wait for the price to compress and form a tight consolidation zone near the upper boundary of the range. Confirmation condition: No candle closes below the EMA, which would confirm that buying pressure remains in control. Once a RB or ARB setup appears, that will be our signal to enter long positions. Bullish Scenario (primary bias): Entry: On confirmed RB/ARB setup near the upper edge of the range Stop Loss: Below the nearest EMA Take Profit: Targeting extended resistance levels above the range Alternative Scenario: If the price closes below the EMA and breaks the compression structure, we’ll stay out of the market and wait for a new setup once the structure stabilizes. Summary BTC continues to show strength, but the upper range boundary remains a key test. Today’s plan: Wait – Confirm – Execute. Avoid FOMO until a clear confirmation appears. Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ZuperView
BTCUSD: Sideways - Watch for setup near range boundariesBITSTAMP:BTCUSD Analysis – October 22, 2025 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently trading within a sideways range between 107,726 and 111,377 USD. After a breakout attempt, the price formed a buildup zone near the lower boundary of the range and surged upwards. However, it then created a false breakout at the upper boundary before pulling back to retest the previous buildup area. This false breakout was caused by weakening buying momentum after breaking above the range, partly because the buildup zone was too far from the upper boundary, limiting the follow-through. According to yesterday’s plan, we are waiting for a buildup close to the upper boundary and EMA compression to confirm a valid breakout. Trading plan for today: Look to sell when price forms a buildup near the lower boundary of the range with EMA compressing close. Enter the trade upon the appearance of rejection signals such as RB or ARB. The buy setup has not yet formed clearly but may be considered if an IRB appears within the larger BTC range. In summary, BTC is still in an accumulation phase. Prioritize waiting for confirmed signals before entering trades to minimize risk. Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ZuperView
XAUUSD — Prioritize selling on H1 todayXAUUSD — Prioritize selling on H1 today | Sell retest 4313–4315, wait to buy back at 4230–4232 🟡 Summary: H1 is moving within a descending channel; the recovery is just a pullback. The main plan is to sell when the price retraces to the confluence zone of Fibo 50% + resistance box around 4313–4315. Buying is only a strategy to catch the technical rebound at deep support zones, prioritizing 4230–4232 (Fibo 0.236 + support box). Article optimized for mobile readers: concise – clear zones – if–then. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1) Structure & Context Price has fallen from the nearest peak and is moving within a descending channel → intraday trend leans bearish. Zone 4313–4315 coincides with the 50% Fibonacci of the decline + resistance box on the chart (labeled “Sell fibonacci 50”) → a beautiful confluence for sell retest. Support boxes in order: 4288–4292 (near Fibo 0.786 of the recovery wave), 4250–4255, 4230–4232 (Fibo 0.236). Further below is a strong liquidity zone around ~4185–4195 (near EMA200 H1 ≈ 4181). If–Then (structure) If it retraces to 4313–4315 and prints a clear rejection candle (long tail/close below the zone), then prioritize selling according to the descending channel. If it breaks 4250–4255 and holds below this zone, then the downtrend is likely to extend to 4230–4232. If it breaks above 4320 (H1 close), then the intraday sell scenario is invalidated, shifting to the 4336–4345 zone (next box peak). 📰 Basic Context (quick points) Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic about potential improvements in US-China trade negotiations; however, the USD remains strong following bank news (Zions Bank report generally stable, despite some fraud factors) → putting pressure on gold during rebounds. Large central bank inflows into gold and strong net inflows into gold ETFs recently remain a medium-term support; but in the short term, prices are heavily influenced by yields/USD. 🎯 Trading Plan (intraday) — if–then, clear zones Scenario 1 — SELL retest (priority) Entry: 4313–4315 SL: 4320 TP: 4290 → 4277 → 4252 → 4220 Condition: clear rejection appears at zone 4313–4315 (Fibo 50% + resistance box + channel edge). Scenario 2 — BUY technical rebound (secondary, quick) Entry: 4230–4232 (assumption: your provided zone is 4230–4232) SL: 4224 TP: 4250 → 4272 → 4290 → 4308 Condition: wick/shadow at 4230–4232; better if it reclaims 4250–4255 afterward. Scenario 3 — Intermediate BUY (supporting the rhythm) Entry: 4288–4292 SL: 4282 TP: 4302 → 4310 Note: only short scalp when selling momentum slows at 0.786; do not hold if the market slips back below 4288. Invalidation & Risk Management Close H1 above 4320 ⇒ pause intraday sell scenario. Each trade risk ≤ 1–2% of the account; adhere to SL first – position later. 🛡️ Summary Intraday bias: Bearish within the H1 descending channel; prioritize sell retest at 4313–4315. Buy only to catch technical rebounds at deep supports: 4288–4292 and 4230–4232. Watch levels: 4313–4315 | 4320 (invalidation) | 4290 | 4277 | 4252 | 4232 | ~4190. This article is for reference purposes, if you find it useful, follow me for the fastest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
GOLD → The correction forms a trading range. Growth?FX:XAUUSD is adjusting to $4250 after retesting the all-time high of 4380. Short-term pressure is linked to hopes for an easing of the trade war between the US and China, but the bullish trend remains intact. Key factors: Bentsen's meeting with the Chinese Vice Premier this week has revived optimism for a deal. The reduction in trade risks is temporarily supporting the USD. Hassett's statements about the imminent resumption of government work have reinforced risk-on sentiment. Support for gold: The threat of tariffs rising to 155% from November 1 reminds us of the risks. Two rate cuts before the end of the year remain in focus. Friday's inflation data release and US corporate earnings reports are keeping demand for hedging alive. Accordingly, the correction in gold is a temporary pause. The uptrend will remain unchanged as long as macro uncertainty persists. Support levels: 4250, 4218 Resistance levels: 4278, 4316 Within the bullish trend, the price is forming a trading range. A retest of support could end in a recovery, with the fundamental background favoring the bulls. A retest of 4245 could trigger growth, as could a breakout of 4278 (closing above resistance). Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
USDCAD → Attempt to break through resistance to continue growth FX:USDCAD is attempting to break through consolidation resistance within an uptrend. Growth in the dollar index may support the current trend. The dollar is rising. The currency pair is consolidating ahead of resistance at 1.40600, against which it is attempting to break through in order to continue growing. The growth may continue if the current fundamental background remains unchanged. Consolidation may support further growth. A breakout and closing above 1.4060 will confirm the bullish sentiment and, in turn, may trigger a distribution to 1.411 - 1.415. Resistance levels: 1.4060 Support levels: 1.4028, 1.4005 The trend is bullish, with virtually no pullback after the growth, only consolidation, which is technically a positive sign. A breakout of the specified consolidation resistance could trigger distribution to areas of interest. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
DXY 1H Analysis: Trendline Break with Rising Volume 📊 DXY – 1 Hour Analysis Technical Outlook: The trendline has been broken and rising volumes are drawing attention. Based on this setup, my target level is: 98,498 🎯 Fundamental Analysis: Recently, a White House economist stated that “we are not in any kind of economic war with China,” which reduced uncertainty in the markets and strengthened the dollar index. In addition, FED policies, interest rate expectations, and tightening measures continue to be key factors supporting upward pricing on the DXY side. 🙏 Thanks to everyone who supports me with their likes.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by TraderTilki
5
US100: Needs a healthy pullback before breaking highs🧭 SKILLING:US100 (30-Min Chart) – The Market Needs a Pause Before the Breakout After a strong recovery from the 24,200 area , the US100 has shown an impressive upward acceleration, forming a steep speed line that pushed price back toward the previous highs around 25,150 – 25,250 — a major resistance zone where sellers previously dominated. However, as price reaches this area, the bullish momentum is starting to fade. Smaller candles and indecisive movements reveal hesitation — buyers are still in control, but the strength that carried the market this far is beginning to weaken. If we look closely at the market structure, it’s clear that the index has been trying to reclaim the entire prior range, but that effort hasn’t come easy. After such a fast rally, the market looks overextended, and bulls may need a healthy pullback to gather enough energy for a real breakout. ________________________________________ 🔍 Technical Outlook • The 25,150 – 25,250 zone remains the key resistance area. If price keeps getting rejected here, short-term sellers might step in. • A corrective move toward 24,850 – 24,950 (the pink zone) would not be surprising. • That area should be watched closely — if buyers defend it strongly, it could become the launchpad for another push toward new highs. ________________________________________ 🎯 Personal View The overall structure still favors the bullish side, but momentum needs a reset. A short-term pullback shouldn’t be seen as weakness — it’s an opportunity for the market to rebalance before the next leg up. If the 24,850 zone holds, the probability of a true breakout above 25,250 increases significantly, potentially opening room toward 25,400 – 25,500 in the next sessions. ________________________________________ 💬 In summary: The US100 has worked hard to reclaim lost ground, but breaking above the previous top will require fresh momentum. A short-term correction could be exactly what the market needs to build a stronger foundation for a sustainable rally. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
SKILLING:US100Short
by ZuperView
GOLD → Consolidation. 4269 - trigger. Chances for growth?Gold is consolidating due to uncertainty. On Friday, the market broke its local structure, which slightly changed sentiment. Focus on current consolidation. Key drivers of the week: Trump's threat to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports and China's response supported demand for safe havens. Problems with regional banks (Zions, Western Alliance) and the fall in Treasury bond yields below 4% increased the inflow into gold. Powell maintained a neutral tone, but markets are expecting two rate cuts in 2024. All eyes are on inflation data, US-China negotiations, developments between Russia, the US, and China; any de-escalation of the situation could trigger a correction. Technically, the upward trend in gold remains relevant. Corrections will be bought up as long as uncertainty surrounding trade policy, the banking sector, and the Fed's monetary policy persists. Resistance levels: 4269, 4316 Support levels: 4251, 4218 At the moment, a pre-breakout base is forming around 4269. If the structure remains intact and the price continues to attack resistance, the chances of a breakout and growth will be high. Otherwise, a close below 4251 could trigger a retest of 4218. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
BTCUSD: Waiting for EMA pullback and bullish setupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD Analysis – October 20, 2025 Overview: After a strong drop to the 103,600 area, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is showing a solid recovery momentum. Price has broken out of the previous accumulation range and made a pullback, but the early buying opportunity has already passed. Trading Plan for Today: Currently, price is approaching a previous key resistance level—a critical zone to watch for reaction. The main strategy is to wait for a pullback toward the EMA zone and look for a confirmed buy setup based on one of the following patterns: DD (Double Doji) – indicating a potential pause and reversal. SB (Second Break) – confirming continuation of the bullish trend. Alternative Scenario: If BTC continues to rally strongly without a pullback and breaks above the key level. It’s better to stay on the sidelines rather than chase the move. Avoid FOMO when the market doesn’t offer a clear setup — patience usually brings higher-probability entries. Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ZuperView
XAUUSD: Accumulation Within Price Channel XAUUSD: Accumulation Within Price Channel - Scalping Strategy Awaiting New Wave Hello traders community, XAUUSD (Gold) is expected to move sideways today, with accumulation being the main theme. Although the long-term upward pressure remains intact, in the short term, the market needs a "breather" and to accumulate more liquidity before it can break out strongly. 📰 Macro Analysis & Cash Flow Fundamental factors continue to provide a solid "support floor" for Gold prices: Safe Haven Flows: Ongoing trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions show no signs of cooling down, continuing to favor safe-haven assets like Gold. Weak USD: Expectations of an early Fed rate cut, combined with the risk of a US government shutdown, are weakening the USD and indirectly supporting XAUUSD. Conclusion: The foundation for an upward trend remains very solid. Sideways movements or short-term corrections should be seen as opportunities. 📊 Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, we clearly see Gold moving within a "Corrective Ascending Channel." This is a typical accumulation pattern. Resistance Zone ("SELL LIQUIDITY POC"): The $4340 - $4342 zone is an extremely important resistance area. This is the confluence of the upper edge of the price channel and the Point of Control (POC) for Sellers. Profit-taking and short-selling pressure will be strong here. Support Zone ("Buy scalping"): The $4207 - $4209 zone is the underlying structural support, corresponding to the lower edge of the price channel. This is where Buyers can step in to "Buy the dip." Current Status: The price is "compressed" within this range, creating excellent short-term trading opportunities. 🎯 Intraday Trading Plan (Scalping) With sideways movement being the main scenario, the optimal strategy is short-term trading (scalping) at the two edges of the price channel. Scenario 1: Short Selling (Sell) 📉 Entry: $4340 - $4342 (SL): $4350 (TP): $4320 - $4302 - $4288 - $4260 - $4242 Scenario 2: Short Buying (Buy) 📈 Entry: $4207 - $4209 (SL): $4200 (TP): $4233 - $4250 - $4275 - $4290 Summary Today is an ideal day for scalpers. Prioritize short-term trades within the $4207 - $4342 range. A strong breakout beyond one of the two edges of this price channel will be a confirmation signal for the next trend. Always manage your capital tightly and trade with discipline!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD-GOLD 1H Chart—SELL Setup with 3 Profit TargetsHello Guys, Here’s my 1-hour XAUUSD-GOLD analysis for you. These are the exact SELL levels I’ll be watching: 🔵SELL level: 4285.9 🔴 Stop level:4335.3 (or adjust based on your own margin) 🟢 TP1: 4264.8 🟢 TP2: 4232.1 🟢 TP3: 4185.0 Risk-to-reward ratio on this setup: 2.05 If XAUUSD-GOLD reaches these levels, I’ll definitely take a SELL position. Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses. Thanks to everyone supporting me!
TVC:GOLDShort
by TraderTilki
7
BTC/USDT — Volume Strength Returns, Eyes on 110K+ RecoveryBTC/USDT — Volume Strength Returns, Eyes on 110K+ Recovery 🚀 Bitcoin is showing renewed momentum as it re-enters the volume+ zone, signaling stronger market participation after recent consolidation. The move above the low time frame structure confirms short-term strength and suggests a potential continuation to the upside. Currently, BTC is holding steady around $108.9K, maintaining support within the accumulation range. If momentum continues, a breakout toward $110K+ looks increasingly likely, aligning with short-term recovery signals. 📊 Technical Overview: Volume Zone: $108K–$109K Short-Term Target: $111K Main Resistance: $122.5K Bias: Positive momentum forming above low time frame A strong hourly close above $109K would further confirm the shift in trend strength, potentially opening the next leg higher toward $111K–$122K. 📈 Outlook: Bullish short-term structure forming
Long
by SatochiTrader
Global Commodity Trends: An In-Depth Analysis1. Overview of Commodity Categories Commodities can broadly be categorized into three segments: Energy Commodities – including crude oil, natural gas, coal, and renewable energy components. Metal Commodities – comprising precious metals (gold, silver, platinum) and industrial metals (copper, aluminum, nickel, lithium). Agricultural Commodities – such as grains, oilseeds, coffee, cotton, and sugar. Each sector operates under different economic drivers but shares common threads: cyclical demand, global trade dependency, and vulnerability to geopolitical and climatic disruptions. 2. Energy Commodities: Shifting Power Dynamics Oil Market Evolution Crude oil remains the most influential commodity, dictating the rhythm of the global economy. After years of volatility, oil prices in 2025 have stabilized between $75–$90 per barrel, balancing between OPEC+ production controls and demand recovery in post-pandemic industrial economies. Key trends influencing the oil market include: Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts in the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine tensions, and sanctions have repeatedly disrupted supply routes and reshaped trade alliances. Energy Transition: Many nations are reducing fossil fuel dependence, creating dual effects—investment withdrawal from oil projects and short-term supply tightness. US Shale Resurgence: Technological improvements have revived U.S. shale production, moderating price spikes and diversifying global supply sources. Natural Gas and LNG Boom The liquefied natural gas (LNG) market has become a critical player in global energy security. Europe’s pivot away from Russian pipeline gas has spurred demand for LNG imports from the U.S., Qatar, and Australia. Asian markets—particularly India, Japan, and South Korea—are also expanding their LNG infrastructure. Prices remain elevated due to limited shipping capacity and long-term contract negotiations. Renewable Commodities The renewable sector is emerging as a commodity class of its own. Materials essential for wind turbines, solar panels, and batteries—like lithium, cobalt, and rare earth elements—are now strategically significant. Nations rich in these resources, such as Chile (lithium), the Democratic Republic of Congo (cobalt), and China (rare earths), have gained economic leverage in the green transition era. 3. Metal Commodities: Industrial and Technological Backbone Copper: The ‘New Oil’ of Electrification Copper is a vital indicator of global industrial health and the clean energy revolution. With rising demand from electric vehicles (EVs), grid expansion, and renewable infrastructure, copper prices have remained strong, hovering near $9,000–$10,000 per metric ton in 2025. However, supply shortages from major producers like Chile and Peru continue to pressure the market. Technological exploration and recycling have become key to meeting demand sustainably. Aluminum and Steel: Industrial Expansion Global infrastructure projects—particularly in India, Southeast Asia, and Africa—have driven demand for aluminum and steel. China’s gradual construction slowdown has been offset by growth in emerging markets. Decarbonization efforts have also led to “green steel” innovations, with major producers investing in hydrogen-based smelting technologies. Precious Metals: Inflation Hedges Gold remains a preferred hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and financial instability. In 2025, gold prices are resilient around $2,100 per ounce, supported by central bank purchases and investor uncertainty about global debt sustainability. Silver, platinum, and palladium also benefit from industrial use in electronics, solar energy, and automotive catalysis. Critical Minerals and Rare Earths The rise of electric mobility and digital technologies has made critical minerals central to geopolitical competition. Nations are now securing mineral supply chains to reduce dependence on single-country producers. The U.S. and EU have launched strategic mineral alliances to diversify sourcing and encourage domestic mining. 4. Agricultural Commodities: Weather, Demand, and Technology Food Security Challenges Global food prices have experienced volatility due to extreme weather, conflict disruptions, and changing consumption patterns. Droughts in key grain-producing regions (such as North America and Australia) have tightened wheat and corn supplies, while El Niño weather patterns have affected rice production in Asia. Grains and Oilseeds Wheat and Corn: Prices remain firm as global demand for animal feed and biofuels continues to grow. Soybeans: Driven by rising protein consumption in developing economies and biofuel production in the U.S. and Brazil, soybean demand remains robust. Rice: Export restrictions by major producers like India in 2024–25 have kept rice prices elevated, intensifying food inflation pressures in Africa and Asia. Soft Commodities: Coffee, Cocoa, and Cotton Coffee and cocoa markets face supply disruptions due to unpredictable weather and labor shortages. Meanwhile, cotton prices have stabilized as global textile demand recovers post-pandemic. However, sustainability standards and organic production are reshaping trade patterns, with premium pricing for ethically sourced materials. Technological Innovation in Agriculture Precision farming, AI-driven weather forecasting, and genetically resilient crops are transforming agricultural productivity. These innovations aim to balance yield improvements with sustainability and environmental preservation, reducing the carbon footprint of global agriculture. 5. Geopolitical and Economic Influences Global commodity trends are closely tied to geopolitics and macroeconomics. Several key developments have reshaped the landscape: Trade Wars and Sanctions: The U.S.–China trade rivalry and sanctions on Russia and Iran have disrupted traditional commodity flows, leading to new alliances among BRICS nations. Currency Movements: A strong U.S. dollar often suppresses commodity prices by making them costlier for non-dollar economies. However, increasing talk of “de-dollarization” could redefine commodity pricing in the long term. Global Inflation and Interest Rates: Higher interest rates have tempered speculative investments in commodities, yet inflationary pressures from supply chain disruptions continue to sustain price floors. Environmental Regulations: Climate policies and carbon taxes are influencing production costs and trade competitiveness, particularly in energy and metals sectors. 6. Technological and Structural Shifts Digitalization and Smart Commodities Blockchain and AI technologies are revolutionizing commodity trading systems. Digital platforms now enable transparent pricing, efficient logistics, and reduced transaction costs. Smart contracts in blockchain-based trade reduce fraud and enhance traceability from mines to markets. Green Commodities and ESG Investments Investors increasingly favor environmentally and socially responsible commodities. ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) frameworks are pushing companies to disclose emissions data, human rights practices, and sustainability metrics. This shift is influencing how commodity-backed financial instruments are structured and traded. Automation in Mining and Logistics Robotics, automation, and remote monitoring have transformed mining and shipping operations, reducing costs and improving safety. Autonomous drilling and AI-based maintenance systems enhance operational efficiency across industries dependent on raw materials. 7. Regional Insights Asia-Pacific Asia remains the largest consumer of commodities, with China and India leading demand for energy, metals, and food. India’s industrial expansion and renewable energy programs are reshaping regional trade flows. Southeast Asian nations are emerging as key exporters of palm oil, rubber, and rare earths. North America The U.S. and Canada benefit from abundant energy and agricultural resources. The shale industry revival and strategic mineral exploration position North America as a stable supplier amidst global uncertainty. Europe Europe’s energy diversification post-Ukraine war has accelerated investment in renewables, hydrogen, and circular economy practices. High carbon pricing has also made European industries more sustainable but less cost-competitive globally. Africa and Latin America These regions are rich in untapped resources, from lithium in Chile and Argentina to cobalt in the DRC and oil in Nigeria. However, political instability and infrastructure challenges hinder full potential. Strategic partnerships with China and Western investors aim to modernize extraction and processing industries. 8. Challenges Ahead Despite progress, several structural challenges persist in global commodity markets: Supply Chain Fragmentation: Geopolitical rivalries threaten trade connectivity. Climate Risks: Extreme weather events continue to impact yields, mining operations, and energy supply. Resource Nationalism: Governments are asserting greater control over natural resources, imposing export restrictions or windfall taxes. Market Volatility: Speculative trading and financial derivatives amplify short-term price fluctuations, complicating investment planning. Sustainability Pressure: Transitioning to low-carbon operations requires significant capital and policy alignment across nations. 9. The Future of Commodity Markets Looking ahead to 2030 and beyond, the global commodity landscape is expected to be shaped by four major forces: Energy Transition Acceleration: The world will see greater integration of renewables, hydrogen, and energy storage, reducing fossil fuel dependency but increasing demand for critical minerals. Technological Integration: AI, blockchain, and predictive analytics will dominate commodity trading, making markets more transparent and efficient. Sustainable Agriculture: Climate-resilient crops and smart irrigation will redefine global food systems. Geopolitical Realignment: Multipolar trade networks among BRICS+ nations will challenge traditional commodity pricing systems dominated by Western economies. Conclusion Global commodity trends in 2025 reveal a dynamic interplay of energy transformation, technological evolution, and geopolitical recalibration. While oil and gas remain vital to short-term stability, the long-term trajectory points toward green minerals, digital commodities, and sustainable agriculture. The world is navigating a complex transition where supply chains, trade policies, and investment strategies must adapt to environmental and political realities. In essence, commodities have evolved from mere tradable goods into strategic instruments of power, policy, and progress. Managing this transformation with foresight, equity, and sustainability will define the resilience of the global economy in the years ahead.
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
GOLD → Positive backdrop. Consolidation before growth?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a shake-down in the Asian and Pacific sessions. The price hit a new low of 4278, but bulls are aggressively buying up two liquidations (manipulation?). The metal is preparing for its ninth consecutive week in positive territory, with an 8% increase over the week. Key drivers: Fed members confirmed their readiness to cut rates in October and pointed to risks for the labor market. The situation with the trade war between China and the US is still tense. However, negotiations between the presidents of three countries on the conflict in Eastern Europe have raised hopes for de-escalation, which has temporarily reduced demand for defensive assets. The shutdown continues, which supports the price of gold. The correction in gold is a temporary pause, and any decline will be used for purchases. Technically, the focus is on the global trading range of 4280-4380, with consolidation within 4350-4330. A breakout of the accumulation zone could trigger a move in the direction of the breakout Resistance levels: 4350, 4380 Support levels: 4320, 4300, 4280 Technically, before rising, the price may test the liquidity zone located below the specified support zones. However, it is also worth watching the 4350 trigger—a breakout of resistance and a close above this level could trigger continued growth within the current bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
GBPCAD → The hunt for liquidity ahead of growthFX:GBPCAD , after breaking through the resistance of the ascending triangle consolidation pattern and updating its high to 1.8915, is forming a correction to retest the zone of interest before continuing its growth The British pound is forming an uptrend, which supports the price of the currency pair. The currency pair is forming a breakout of resistance. After updating the maximum, the price is rolling back to retest the previously broken consolidation border. Liquidity capture relative to 1.8825 - 1.8807 could lead to a shift in the imbalance towards buyers and provoke continued growth. Resistance levels: 1.8915 Support levels: 1.8825, 1.8808 If, during the retest of support, the bulls keep the price above this zone, then the chances of a reversal and growth will be high. 1.8915 - 1.900 can be considered as a potential target. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
BTCUSD: Short opportunities on technical retrace BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Analysis – October 17, 2025 Yesterday’s short setup (BB) was triggered and hit target as planned. The main trend remains bearish, confirming that sellers are still in control. For today, the focus remains on looking for short opportunities following the current downtrend. Expecting a technical pullback toward the 40%–60% retracement zone of the previous bearish leg. As price approaches this area and retests the EMA, wait for a clear confirmation signal before entering. If price fails to follow the setup, stay patient and wait for more confirmation to ensure a safe and disciplined trade. Main Plan: Keep a bearish bias — look for shorts near the 40–60% retracement zone once confirmation appears. Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ZuperView
2