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Trend Line Break

ADAUSDT → Correction (hunt for liquidity) before the fall BINANCE:ADAUSDT is pausing in the 0.41 area and entering a correction phase, during which it may test the zone of interest in a bearish market. Bitcoin failed to overcome resistance at 92K, with economic data intensifying bearish pressure, resulting in another decline. The market is stagnant within the trading range, and any correction could quickly turn into a sharp decline... ADA is forming a halt in the 0.41 zone and is entering a phase of local correction. The zone of interest is 0.426 - 0.434 (the area of local trend support breakdown). A retest of resistance may end in a false breakout... Resistance levels: 0.421, 0.426, 0.434 Support levels: 0.409, 0.392 A false breakout of the resistance zone or a retest of the previously broken support of the uptrend may end in pressure from the bears. The correction may be followed by a continuation of the downtrend and the zone of 0.421 - 0.434 Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
12
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Fed WeekXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Fed Week: prioritize Sell at VAH, Buy only when reaching discount price area 1. Market snapshot On H1, gold retested last week's peak and then dropped immediately, indicating that buying pressure at high price levels remains cautious – investors are not ready to "chase the price." The current structure does not clearly show a long-term trend, but in the short term, there are signs of distribution around high price levels, favorable for selling scenarios according to Volume Profile. Today, Brian prioritizes watching for a Sell after the price fills the FVG and touches the VAH, while also preparing a Buy scenario at a lower area if the market sweeps liquidity strongly. 2. Volume Profile & price structure The VAH area around 4,233–4,235 coincides with the FVG area above: This is where large volumes were previously traded, making it easy for profit-taking/sell-off forces to appear. Below, the sell-side liquidity levels are spread around 4,200 – 4,175 – 4,140, coinciding with the lows of previous sessions. The area 4,172–4,175 is a good balance zone for the Buy scenario: below it is a cluster of liquidity and just above a broader Buy zone around 4,140 on the chart. 3. Trading plan for this week Scenario 1 – Sell according to Volume Profile (priority) Entry Sell: 4,233–4,235 (VAH + FVG) SL: 4,241 TP1: 4,215 TP2: 4,200 TP3: 4,175 TP4: 4,140 Idea: wait for the price to fill the FVG and touch the VAH, observe the H1/M15 candle reaction. If there is a clear rejection signal (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…), activate the Sell order. This is a short-term play, based on volume & liquidity, not a chase sell when the price is in the middle of the zone. Scenario 2 – Buy when the price reaches the discount area Entry Buy: 4,172–4,175 SL: 4,165 TP1: 4,195 TP2: 4,220 TP3: 4,245 TP4: 4,290 Idea: if the price is strongly sold off sweeping through the sell-side liquidity areas, the area 4,172–4,175 can become a good demand zone to catch the rebound, especially when a nice candle reaction appears on H1. This is a "catch the rebound" buy position in the context of this Fed week, requiring disciplined SL. 4. Macro context – Why is the market hesitant? Last Friday, gold jumped to 4,260 USD and then quickly fell to 4,200 USD, mainly due to the sharp rise in US bond yields as the market awaited the Fed meeting. Although the market still prices in a high probability of the Fed cutting 25 bps, sentiment is divided by the "hawkish rate cut" scenario: The Fed cuts but maintains a tough tone on inflation → yields are unlikely to fall deeply, gold is easily sold at high levels. USD maintains its range, US economic data is relatively stable, causing money flows to "not dare to all-in" on gold before the dot-plot and Powell's speech. Therefore, this week is the Fed's week: the short-term direction of gold will depend heavily on the policy message, especially the expected reduction path for next year. Follow to receive the earliest articles from Brian
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
8
USDJPY → Attempt to return to the bullish trend from correctionFX:USDJPY may exit the correction phase and continue its upward movement within the trend. The global target has not yet been reached. The dollar is consolidating after breaking the bullish trend structure. The market is trying to keep the price above 99.0. Growth and a retest of 99.5 are possible. This move may support the growth of the currency pair. The correction may end. The main trend is bullish, and the market continues to follow the trend lines despite the weak dollar. A breakout of the correction boundary and maintaining the price above 155.4 may trigger a distribution of 157.8. Resistance levels: 155.4, 157.15 Support levels: 154.45 Local and global trends are bullish. The correction may end as the price continues to storm the resistance of the local bearish pattern. A breakout of 155.4 and consolidation above this zone may support further growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
EURUSD Is About to Surprise Everyone…1. Market Structure - EURUSD is currently respecting a well-defined ascending channel, with price bouncing consistently from the lower trendline and rejecting the upper boundary. This confirms a strong bullish structure. 2. Key Zones 🔹 Strong Support Zone (Bottom Green) This is the origin of the current bullish reversal. As long as price stays above this zone, the macro bullish bias remains valid. 🔹 Weak Support Zone (Middle Green) Price recently tapped this area again and produced a bullish reaction exactly at the lower channel support. This confirms buyers are actively defending the trendline. 🔹 Resistance Zone (Top Red) This is the next major area that could cause a temporary pullback before continuation. 3. Price Reaction Your chart marks a bullish signal at the channel’s lower boundary. this is a textbook continuation setup: -Higher lows -Higher highs -Trendline support respected - No structural break to the downside The circle highlight shows a successful retest, signaling fresh buying pressure.. 4. Expected Move If price holds within the channel: ✔️ Pullback into support ✔️ Bounce from lower trendline ✔️ Break above resistance ✔️ Extension to the top of the channel The green zig-zag projection on your chart perfectly illustrates this bullish wave sequence. 5. Bullish Scenario As long as price stays above the lower trendline → EURUSD remains in a clean uptrend. Next targets: 1.1680 – 1.1700 (Resistance Zone) Breakout above → Move toward upper channel extension 6. Bearish Invalidation The outlook fails only if: ❌ Price breaks below the channel ❌ Closes under the weak support zone As of now — this has NOT happened. Stay patient and trust the structure — clean price action inside a rising channel often leads to explosive continuation moves.
Long
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Gold Is Setting a Trap — The Real Move Comes After the LiquidityMarket Analysis — XAUUSD (H1) 1. Current Price Structure - The market previously created a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) → bullish order flow. - After the last HH, the price showed multiple CHoCH events → early signs of a shift from bullish to bearish structure. - Current consolidation is forming around 4,207 – 4,210, with price struggling to regain bullish conviction. - A rising dotted trendline represents the last support of short-term buyers — once broken, bearish momentum strengthens. 2. Liquidity Zones - Upper liquidity zone: 4,225 – 4,230 → where you expect price to sweep before reversal. - Key support: 4,181 – 4,183 → first downside liquidity zone. - Major target liquidity zone: 4,163 – 4,165 → final liquidity cluster before deeper bearish continuation. 3. Today’s Primary Scenario This matches the green projection drawn on your chart: 🔹 Main Scenario (Bearish Continuation After Liquidity Sweep) Price is likely to: - Push upward to retest the 4,225 zone → sweep liquidity and create a final LH. - Reject strongly → break the rising trendline. - Drop into 4,181 → first liquidity target. - Minor pullback → forming a reactionary LH. - Continue down toward 4,163 → completing the corrective leg. This aligns perfectly with the market structure + liquidity logic in your chart. 4. Market Psychology - Buyers are weakening: repeated CHoCH + BOS bearish signals. - Liquidity is building above and below → ideal for manipulation before expansion. - Narrow movement before news = accumulation phase. - Smart money likely pushes up first, then aggressively sells into trapped buyers. 5. Intraday Strategy Guidance 📌 SELL Setup (High Probability) Sell Zone: 4,225 – 4,228 TP1: 4,181 TP2: 4,165 SL: 4,232 This aligns perfectly with your chart projection. 📌 BUY Setup (Low Probability – Countertrend) Buy Zone: 4,163 – 4,166 TP: 4,178 – 4,185 SL: 4,158 ⚠️ Notes • Recent BOS patterns favor continuation to the downside. • Avoid chasing trades in the middle of liquidity zones Stay patient — the market always pays those who wait for the right setup, not the fast setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Gold is trending sideways ahead of major news.1️⃣ Trendline Short-term rising trendline (black dotted): Price is still moving above the trendline → the uptrend remains valid. Every pullback continues to find support. Long-term rising trendline (below): This is the major structural support, crucial for determining the medium-term trend if it gets broken. 2️⃣ Resistance 4,260 – 4,265: A strong resistance zone where price has been rejected multiple times → strong selling pressure. ➜ Break and close above this zone: opens a new upside expansion. ➜ Failure to break out: likely leads to a corrective move. 3️⃣ Support 4,165 – 4,170: Short-term support, a confluence of the rising trendline and a previous demand zone. Below 4,165: Price may slide quickly toward a lower rising trendline → higher risk of a deeper correction. 4️⃣ Main scenarios Primary scenario: Sideways consolidation below resistance → pullback toward 4,165, then watch for price reaction. Strong bullish scenario: Only valid if price decisively breaks above 4,265 with volume confirmation. 👉 Strategy: Avoid FOMO at resistance. Focus on price reaction at support or clear, confirmed breakouts. Trading Plan BUY GOLD: 4,169 – 4,067 Stop Loss: 4,159 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips SELL GOLD: 4,263 – 4,265 Stop Loss: 4,275 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
GOLD → Price within range ahead of Fed meeting FX:XAUUSD is consolidating within a wide range amid expectations of the Fed's interest rate meeting. The fact that interest rates will be lowered has most likely already been factored in by the market. There is a possibility of a long squeeze... New threats of tariffs by Trump (on fertilizers from Canada and against Mexico) are weakening the dollar and supporting gold. As for interest rates, the Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, but the market has most likely already priced in the cut. Accordingly, there may be countertrend movements (MM traps) to accumulate liquidity before further advances. Today's JOLTS data on job vacancies may cause increased volatility. According to statistics, before and after interest rate cuts, gold forms a swing correction, within which it may test the support of the range against the backdrop of a bullish trend... Resistance levels: 4219.5, 4256 Support levels: 4200, 4180, 4163 Ahead is a strong liquidity zone at 4220, and the retest may end in a decline. MM may continue to accumulate liquidity before further advancement. I expect a retest of the range support with the aim of retesting the liquidity pool at 4175-4165 before a possible rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
5
BITCOIN → False breakout of resistance on a downtrend BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating in the range of 86K - 92K, bears are holding resistance amid a global downtrend, traders lack drivers... Fundamentally, sentiment in the crypto market is weak, and there is increasing talk of a crypto winter, especially among companies that previously actively bought cryptocurrencies for their balance sheets. There is no bullish driver at the moment. Bitcoin is in a neutral state, with the market holding the price below 93K. The fundamental background is unstable, and technically, the market is in a downtrend. A reversal pattern is forming relative to 92K, and a retest and false breakout of the zone of interest could trigger a decline to the support range. Locally, we are seeing an upward channel, but this is a correction against the backdrop of the global trend. If the bears keep the price below 92K, the decline may continue. However, a breakout of 94K and a close above that level could trigger an upward momentum... Resistance levels: 91850, 92700, 93700 Support levels: 88000, 86300 A false breakout and price consolidation in the short zone could cause further sell-offs towards the areas of interest located at the bottom of the trading range. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
XAUUSD – Brian | H1 Volume ProfileXAUUSD – Brian | H1 Volume Profile: risk of deep decline as market awaits PCE data Market snapshot On H1, gold is declining in a rather "clean" structure, continuously creating lower highs and lower lows. The 4.175 area is currently the nearest support – if breached, the decline could extend another 50–60 points to lower areas. Price remains below 4.250 USD, as the market awaits PCE data (Fed's preferred inflation measure) to find a clearer direction. Technical map – Volume Profile & price areas Important areas today: 4.210 – 4.200 – 4.175 – 4.164 – 4.133 4.210–4.200: upper area, coinciding with the nearest POC/VAH cluster – selling pressure likely when price retraces here. 4.175: short-term support + area with sell-side liquidity; if this area is lost, price could be pulled to a deeper demand cluster. 4.164–4.133: potential Buy zone in a deep decline scenario – Volume Profile shows significant buying occurred around this area previously. In short: on H1, the trend is down, prioritize selling according to volume; consider buying only when price falls to a lower discount area. Trading scenario reference (Not personalized advice – adjust volume & SL according to your account) Scenario 1 – Sell following the downtrend structure (priority) Sell area: 4.210–4.200 (POC/VAH + technical retracement area) Idea: Wait for price to retrace to this area, observe H1/M15 for rejection candles (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…) before activating a Sell order. Suggested take profit areas: TP1: 4.175 TP2: 4.164 TP3: 4.133 (in case of a strong 50–60 point decline) Scenario 2 – Buy at deep discount area Buy area: 4.164–4.133 Idea: Only consider buying when price has "dumped" deeply enough into the buy zone, with clear reversal candles on H1. At that point, this is a technical retracement play, not trying to catch the bottom of a major trend. Suggested take profit areas: TP1: return to 4.175 TP2: 4.200 Macroeconomic context – Why is gold still hesitant? Gold recorded a slight increase on Friday, but remains within the narrow trading range of the week. Expectations of a dovish Fed continue to pressure the USD, generally supporting gold in the medium term. However, buyers are waiting for US PCE data before taking larger positions: If PCE cools significantly → reinforces the story of an early Fed rate cut → gold could easily rebound. If PCE remains stubborn → market fears a "hawkish rate cut" scenario from the Fed → yields may rise, adding selling pressure on gold. Risk management For the Sell scenario, avoid chasing price in the middle of the area – prioritize waiting for a retracement to POC/VAH before entering, with a tight SL above the 4.210–4.215 area. If participating in the Buy play at 4.164–4.133, consider splitting TP and moving SL to breakeven as soon as TP1 is reached to avoid constant chart monitoring.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
Gold is still compressed and waiting for a breakout1️⃣ Trendline Main ascending trendline (lower): Still holding firmly → the medium-term bullish structure remains intact. Every pullback continues to react positively at this trendline. Short-term ascending trendline (upper – mild slope): Price is moving very close to this line → showing signs of consolidation / price compression before the next directional move. 2️⃣ Resistance 4,240 – 4,245 (blue zone): Strong resistance. Price has tested this area multiple times without a clear breakout → selling pressure is still present. 4,380: Distant resistance / extended target if price successfully breaks above the resistance zone. 3️⃣ Support 4,210 – 4,215 (Fibo 0.618): Key short-term support, aligned with the short-term uptrend → a decisive zone for near-term direction. 4,135 – 4,130 (Fibo 0.5 + main ascending trendline): Strong structural support. A breakdown below this area would significantly weaken the bullish trend. 4️⃣ Primary scenarios Holding above 4,210 – 4,215: Continued consolidation → wait for a breakout above 4,270 to confirm bullish continuation. Break below 4,165: Price may pull back toward 4,135 – 4,140 to test demand. 👉 Overall trend: Bullish, but currently at a sensitive zone. A resistance breakout is needed to confirm continuation. 📈 Trading Plan BUY GOLD: 4,130 – 4,132 Stop Loss: 4,122 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips SELL GOLD: 4,213 – 4,215 Stop Loss: 4,223 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
BTC Is Coiling Up — One Big FED Candle Will Decide....BTC MARKET ANALYSIS – 1H 1. Current Price Structure - BTC continues to move inside a wide sideway range, with price repeatedly rejecting both the resistance zone and the support zone. - After the strong drop earlier, the market has entered a compression structure, signaling accumulation rather than continuation of the downtrend. - The sideway zone is clearly defined: + Resistance zone: 92,500 – 93,500 + Support zone: 88,700 – 89,500 The repeated sweep of highs and lows shows liquidity collection, a classic sign of market-makers positioning before major macro events. 2. Liquidity Zones - Resistance liquidity: A large cluster located at the top of the range. Price has tapped this zone multiple times → liquidity is building for a potential breakout. - Support liquidity: Several wick spikes into the support zone indicate stop-loss hunts and accumulation by larger players. - BTC is effectively building a liquidity box, preparing fuel for the next impulsive move. 3. Today’s Market Scenario 🔹 Main Scenario – Sideway Until FED → Then Breakout - BTC is entering a news compression phase, where the market moves sideways waiting for high-impact events. - With FED policy statements and U.S. inflation data approaching, traders and institutions are delaying large entries. The structure suggests: + Price continues ranging inside the sideway zone. + More false breaks (liquidity taps) both at support and resistance. + Once FED news is released → volatility expansion. + Highest probability: BTC breaks the resistance zone upward after news clears uncertainty. This aligns perfectly with your green-path projection on the chart. 4. Market Psychology Before major macro announcements, the market often freezes, showing: - Low volatility - Tight consolidation - Fake moves above and below the range Smart money avoids early positioning; instead, they accumulate inside the range. Retail traders become confused or trapped → ideal environment for MM to collect orders. Sideway → Liquidity → News → Expansion. This is exactly the structure BTC is showing now. 5. Intraday Strategy Do not chase breakouts before FED → high probability they are false moves. Best strategies: - Buy near support zone with tight SL. - Sell near resistance zone if price rejects and stays below. - Wait for FED announcement → then trade breakout with confirmation. Upside target after clean breakout: 94,500 – 96,000 Potential expansion if momentum is strong: 98,000+ Stay patient. Sideways is not weakness — it’s preparation. The market is saving energy for the traders who know how to wait.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Ajanta Pharma – Breakout Confirmation Zone AheadPrice has broken above the descending trendline after a long consolidation phase. Structure shows higher lows forming near support, indicating buyers stepping in. A small retest of the trendline or support zone (₹2,400–₹2,480) is possible before continuation. If the retest holds, price can resume upward momentum toward higher resistance levels. Overall: Setup is bullish as long as price stays above the breakout zone. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is purely educational technical analysis, not financial advice. Always manage your own risk before taking any trade.
NSE:AJANTPHARMLong
by SECLUDED_CHARTS
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & TrendlineXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Trendline: prioritize Sell, wait for a “good deal” in the liquidity zone 1. Market snapshot On H1, gold is touching the trendline just as yesterday's scenario – this is an area where strong price reactions may occur. The current structure shows that the price is gradually distributing below the trendline, with no clear signal that buyers have regained control. In the short term, Brian prioritizes the Sell scenario, utilizing the POC – VAH – FVG areas of the Volume Profile to find entry points. 2. Volume Profile – Key price areas to note Short-term POC/VAH area around 3,488–3,492 (according to his chart): This is an area where dense trading occurred, the profile “bulges” out, indicating strong market interest. When the price returns to this area, a reaction is expected – suitable for entering orders in the current priority direction. Sell-side liquidity below: If gold cannot hold the POC/VAH area and is pushed down, the liquidity area below will become a reasonable target for the next downward move. Gold is likely to fluctuate sideways on Friday to close the weekly candle below the trendline, then consider a clearer break at the start of next week. 3. Trading scenario for next week Scenario 1 – Prioritize Sell at the Volume Profile area Main mindset: When the price returns to the POC/VAH areas above, prioritize finding short signals instead of chasing buys. Watch for clear candle reactions (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…) at the thick profile area. Target: Gradually close towards lower liquidity areas (sell-side liquidity) below. Depending on price behavior, the target can be expanded if selling pressure intensifies at the start of the week. Scenario 2 – Break trendline & buy the retracement If gold decisively breaks the downtrend line, closes above, and maintains the new structure: Then, the strategy will shift to buying the retracement at the trendline itself (now acting as support). The POC/VAL area below will then become a reasonable “buy zone” to follow the new upward trend. In summary: before a clear break occurs, Brian still prioritizes selling at high liquidity areas, rather than rushing to catch the bottom. 4. Fundamental context – Large capital still supports gold Central banks are increasing gold purchases: In October, global central banks net purchased +53 tons of gold, the highest level since 11/2022. This figure increased by +194% compared to July, marking the third consecutive month of increased purchasing speed. This indicates: Short-term selling pressure may appear around the trendline/resistance, but long-term capital flow still favors gold. Any deep declines later may still attract buying power from large institutions. 5. Risk management suggestions Maintain the mindset: Sell is the current priority scenario, not the only option – if the structure changes, be ready to switch to buy. Do not overlook the nearest liquidity/swing low area to place SL – avoid dragging SL too far due to emotions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
Gold price developments at the end of the week of December 51️⃣ Trend Line Descent trend line (above – dashed line) Price has been touched and rejected several times → becomes strong dynamic resistance. The 4,225–4,230 price zone is a key area: → Valid breakout = opens upward momentum towards 4,260. → Failed breakout = price returns down following the previous trend. Ascending trend line (below – dashed line) This is dynamic support that maintains the short-term upward structure. If price breaks through this trend line, a downtrend will activate. 2️⃣ Support Area – Key Resistance 4,225 – 4,230: Confluence of the descending trend line + the previous supply zone → a designated area for buyers. 4,260 – 4,265: Strongest resistance. When price touches this area, a downward reaction is likely. Support 4,190 – 4,195: The first area to be tested if the trend line is broken. 4,140 – 4,135 (lower green zone): Very strong support – the main target if the downtrend is confirmed. 📌 Trading Signals BUY GOLD: 4,140 – 4,138 Stop Loss: 4,130 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips SELL GOLD: 4,260 – 4,262 Stop Loss: 4,270 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AstronautPioneer
GOLD → Retest of consolidation support on uptrend FX:XAUUSD is trading in a sideways range around $4,200, awaiting new labor market data to determine the Fed's policy trajectory after December's rate cut. Weak US data (a 32K decline in ADP employment and a slight increase in ISM services to 52.6) did not change market expectations. The probability of a 25 bp Fed rate cut on December 11 is around 90%. Attention has shifted to the trajectory of policy easing in early 2026. Key factors will be data on unemployment claims and sentiment on Wall Street. The fundamental background is relatively positive, and the dollar has entered a correction phase due to expectations of lower rates, which may support the gold price... Resistance levels: 4238, 4262 Support levels: 4185, 4175 Gold is testing the support levels of the key trading range. If the bulls keep the price above 4185 and form a bullish reversal pattern, then in the short and medium term, we can expect growth to intermediate highs. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
Brian|watch reaction at POC–VAL –VAH according to Volume ProfileXAUUSD – Brian | watch reaction at POC – VAL – VAH according to Volume Profile 1. Market snapshot Gold is entering a redistribution phase in the high price range, with fluctuations mainly revolving around large volume clusters on the Volume Profile. In this context, Brian's current priority scenario is to watch for a Sell when the price approaches the POC / VAL / VAH areas – where the market previously traded heavily. 2. Volume Profile – Notable price areas POC – VAH area 4.217 is the price area where buyers/sellers previously "struggled" strongly, suitable for looking for sell signals if there is a rejection reaction. VAL & the support area below around 4.134 is where short-term buying force may appear, suitable for a technical rebound buy scenario. 3. Trading plan (this week) Scenario 1 – Sell according to Volume Profile (priority) Sell: 4.217 SL: 4.125 TP: 4.200 – 4.182 – 4.150 Idea: wait for the price to rebound to the POC/VAH area around 4.217, observe the H1/M30 candle reaction. If a clear rejection signal appears (long upper tail, reversal candle...), the sell order can be activated according to the plan. Scenario 2 – Short buy at VAL/support area Buy: 4.134 SL: 4.125 TP: 4.155 – 4.180 – 4.200 Idea: if the price adjusts deeply near the VAL area and holds above 4.125, a technical rebound may occur. This is a short buy, not going too far against the trend, prioritizing partial profit-taking when the price returns to the upper POC area. 4. News to watch – Unemployment Claims Today there are US Unemployment Claims figures, which are quite sensitive data for gold because: The market will assess the strength/weakness of the US labor market. Worse-than-expected figures → increase the likelihood of Fed easing → positive for gold. Better-than-expected figures → support USD, may cause gold to face adjustment pressure. Therefore, it is advisable to limit new orders close to the news release time, wait for the post-news candle to stabilize, and then reassess the structure. 5. Risk management (user-friendly for phone users) Sell is the priority scenario but do not overlook SL 4.125, to avoid the case of a strong breakout above the current volume cluster. With the Buy 4.134 scenario, it is advisable to split TP, move SL to breakeven when the price hits TP1 to reduce the pressure of having to "watch the chart" continuously on the phone. If D1/H4 closes below the 4.125 area with large volume, Brian will consider it a signal to reduce short-term buying expectations and wait for a clearer new structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
8
Gold plans in Asian and European trading sessions1️⃣ Trend Lines • Descending Trend Line (Key Dynamic Resistance) Price has touched this trend line several times but has not broken through, confirming that selling pressure remains dominant. This is a crucial area: if a breakout does not occur, the price could potentially reverse sharply lower. • Long-Term Ascending Trend Line This is the main bullish structure in the market. A larger decline will likely break through this trend line before the price reacts. 2️⃣ Resistance (Red Zone Above) This is the intersection of: ✓ Descending Trend Line ✓ Nearest Local Peak (High) This is the best sell zone under current market conditions. Only if the price is able to close the candle with a strong breakout can a bullish reversal be confirmed. 3️⃣ Support (Green zone below) This zone has been a recurring price reaction area, serving as important short-term support. If the price breaks through this support zone, the downtrend will likely continue towards the long-term uptrend line. 📈 BUY GOLD: 4167 – 4165 Stop Loss: 4155 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips 📉 SELL GOLD: 4264 – 4266 Stop Loss: 4276 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AstronautPioneer
EURUSD → Consolidation above downtrend resistance FX:EURUSD is attempting to reverse the trend amid expectations of interest rate cuts in the US. Important resistance at 1.165... The dollar is breaking the support of the bullish trend amid expectations of interest rate cuts and news related to Powell. A decline in the index will support the euro exchange rate. EURUSD is breaking the resistance of the downtrend, followed by bulls trying to keep the currency pair above 1.160, a psychological level. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline, there is a chance of a breakout above 1.165 and growth Resistance levels: 1.165 - 1.1656 Support levels: 1.159, 1.155 Before breaking through resistance, the market may consolidate or retest support. However, a breakout of 1.165 - 1.1656 and a close above this zone could trigger a distribution towards 1.173 - 1.182 Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Correction to support amid a bullish trend FX:XAUUSD retreated from the $4,245 level reached on Monday. A countertrend correction is forming ahead of the news. But buyers are not sleeping... Weak US economic data has heightened expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut. The PMI index in the US manufacturing sector continued to contract. The market estimates the probability of the Fed easing policy next week at 87%. However, rising US Treasury yields and fears that the Fed may send cautious signals after its December decision are limiting gold's growth. Market attention is shifting to ADP employment data and the US services business activity index (ISM Services PMI), which will be released on Wednesday. They will provide new signals about the health of the US economy. The correction in gold appears to be under control amid continuing macroeconomic uncertainty. The 4200, 4193-4173 level remains an important area of struggle between bulls and bears. Resistance levels: 4211, 4245 Support levels: 4193, 4173 A false breakdown and the bulls holding the market above the above support zone could trigger growth within the trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
Gold price trend ahead of ADP news release on December 31️⃣ Trendline ▪ Rising Trendline (red / upward slope) Price is moving within a bullish structure, continuously forming Higher Lows. → This acts as the main dynamic support guiding the uptrend. Price is likely to retest this trendline around 4,145 before continuing upward. ▪ Falling Trendline (black / downward slope) This is the major dynamic resistance, also overlapping with the extended Fibonacci zone. → The next potential touchpoint lies near the strong resistance area 4,300–4,340. 2️⃣ Key Support – Resistance Zones ▪ SUPPORT: 4,145 – 4,150 Confluence with EMA + trendline. This is a high-probability zone where buyers are expected to defend the price. ▪ RESISTANCE: 4,335 – 4,340 Overlaps with the descending trendline. Matches the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. This is the main target of the current bullish structure. → A reaction or correction is expected when price reaches this area. Trading Plan BUY GOLD: 4145 – 4148 Stop Loss: 4135 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips SELL GOLD: 4260 – 4263 Stop Loss: 4270 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+ Brian – Prioritize buying with the trend, use VAL to position entry Market snapshot At the end of the US session yesterday, gold had a strong increase and then stabilized, currently moving sideways around 4,216 on H1. The structure is still an uptrend, the current decline is mainly a technical correction within the value area. On the chart, the 4,264–4,265 area is marked as important resistance, where if broken, the medium-term uptrend could be unleashed more strongly. Volume Profile & key price areas The VAL (Value Area Low) of the Volume Profile is currently around 4,200 – this is an area where the market has previously accepted a large volume of trades, suitable for trend-following buys. A deeper support area is around 4,164 (Supportsides on the chart), where buyers have previously intervened very clearly. Above: 4,265 – confirmed resistance, if broken will strengthen the scenario of gold heading to higher price areas, matching the "super cycle 5,000 USD" story in the long term. Trading plan for next week (according to H1 & Volume Profile) Priority scenario – Buy at VAL with the trend Buying area: around 4,200 (VAL of Volume Profile). Can flexibly range 4,198–4,203 depending on spread and market conditions. Idea: wait for the price to pull back to the VAL area, observe H1 candle reactions (long lower tail, rejection candles...) before entering the order. Immediate targets: TP1: area 4,240–4,245 TP2: 4,265 – important resistance marked as "important resistance, confirming medium term increase". If the price closes clearly above 4,265 and successfully retests, consider holding part of the position or finding additional entry points, according to the scenario of expanding to higher areas in the new cycle. Defensive scenario – Deep support If the 4,200 area does not hold, the 4,164 area will be the next support to watch. Closing H1/D1 below 4,164 will be a signal to reduce short-term expectations and wait for a new structure instead of trying to "buy every dip". Fundamental context – Reasons gold is still supported Gold is heading for its best growth year since 1979, with an increase of over 60% in 2025 – this is the context of a true bull market, not just a recovery wave. YTD performance of XAU outperforms BTC, showing that large capital flows prioritize stability and gold's safe haven role. Current supporting factors: US bond yields cooling, USD weakening. Geopolitical tensions escalating, Russia–US negotiations have not brought clear breakthroughs. The market prices in nearly a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates at the next meeting, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. Follow Brian to share the Gold scenario together
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
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