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Trend Line Break

GOLD - The market bought the dip. ATH retest. 5150?FX:XAUUSD , after an aggressive rally, faced a correction (profit-taking) near 5100. However, the market is quickly buying back the decline and is once again storming the ATH with the aim of continuing its growth. Fundamental situation - Trump continues to escalate relations with Canada (new tariffs) and maintains tensions with the EU... - Russia-Ukraine negotiations in Abu Dhabi ended without result, which maintains geopolitical risks. - The Fed meeting (decision on January 31) will be the main event of the week. Rates are expected to remain unchanged, but Powell's tone could cause volatility. However, the market expects two Fed rate cuts in 2026. Technically, the market has the potential to continue its movement due to fundamental support. Resistance levels: 5100, 5111, 5125, 5150 Support levels: 5075, 5055 In the current situation, it is logical to consider two scenarios: - steady growth without pullbacks and a storming of resistance could lead to a breakout of 5100 and an upward momentum. Local target 5125-5150 - retest of the liquidity zone (long-squeeze) 5075 - 5055 before continuing growth Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
36
BITCOIN - Consolidation below 90K. Weak marketBINANCE:BTCUSDT failed to break through the 90K area, and the market is forming a cascade of resistance, indicating the dominant position of sellers in the current circumstances. The market still looks quite weak, and any attempts at growth are a hunt for liquidity. Global and local trends are bearish, with sales dominating (outflow of funds). There is no fundamental support, the transfer of assets to crypto exchanges and the outflow of funds from ETF funds continues, which in general indicates weak market sentiment during the crypto winter. The current cycle is downward, and there is a possibility of a retest of the 80,000-75,000 zone. Technically, Bitcoin is facing strong resistance at 89K and, unable to continue its growth, is rebounding and heading downwards. A short squeeze may form before the fall. Resistance levels: 88,950, 89,590, 90,350 Support levels: 86970, 86100 If the bears keep the price below 89000, the market may fall to an intermediate bottom of 86000, however, closing below 86K could signal a further decline to 80K. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
20
GOLD - Correction ahead of the Fed meeting. What next?FX:XAUUSD hit a new high of 5311 and entered a correction phase (profit-taking) ahead of the Fed's interest rate meeting... Fundamental situation Tensions between the US and NATO over plans for Greenland. Trump's threats to impose 100% tariffs on goods from Canada. Fruitless negotiations between Russia and Ukraine Fed: Expectations that rates will remain unchanged at the January 31 meeting. Powell's tone and the appointment of a new Fed chair (announcement possible today) could increase volatility. However, the market is pricing in two Fed rate cuts in 2026, despite a possible pause in the near term. US consumer confidence index fell to an 11.5-year low (84.5), supporting demand for gold Resistance levels: 5285, 5310, 5350 Support levels: 5250, 5230, 5190 Gold maintains its upward momentum thanks to geopolitical risks and expectations of a soft Fed policy. However, news volatility could trigger a correction before the growth continues. Focus on key (marked) support levels. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
GOLD - Waiting for a pullback to enter a long position...FX:XAUUSD continued its record growth for the sixth consecutive day, reaching $5,110. The driving forces behind this are geopolitical uncertainty, expectations of a softening of Fed policy, active purchases by central banks, and an outflow from the dollar... Fundamental drivers Geopolitics: Russia-Ukraine, Trump's threats of 100% tariffs on Canada, and the risks of further escalation with the EU... The dollar fell to its lowest level since September 2025 due to interventions by the Bank of Japan and expectations of interest rate cuts. At the same time, central banks in many countries continue to show high interest in the metal. The Fed's interest rate meeting is coming up (January 31 - February 1). The tone of the regulator is important; there are doubts about further rate cuts, and if this is confirmed, the market may enter a correction... Resistance levels: 5110, 5150 Support levels: 5080, 5055, 5031 Technically, it is quite risky to open long trades from the current price position (in the 5090 zone). I recommend waiting for a correction to the specified support zones to find more profitable and safer entry points! Best regards,
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
31
GBPUSD - The hunt for liquidity before the trend continues FX:GBPUSD entered a local correction phase amid a pullback in the dollar after a strong rally. The main trend is bearish, and growth after the correction may continue. A correction has been forming since the opening of the session. The dollar is recovering slightly, while the pound is correcting towards the daily level of 1.377 and the Fibonacci area of 0.5-0.6. If the bulls hold back the correction, the market may return to the trend. The main/medium-term trend is bullish. The correction and false breakout of support may shift the imbalance of forces towards buyers, which could trigger growth from strong levels. Resistance levels: 1.3831, 1.38688 Support levels: 1.377, 1.3748 A false breakdown of support and the upward trend line could trigger growth within the main trend Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
BTCUSD- Final Shake-out to the 58K Zone Before a New ATHFinal Shake-out to the 58K Zone Before a New All-Time High? - Market Overview Bitcoin is trading around $88,800 and is facing corrective pressure after failing to break above a high-liquidity resistance area. The current wave structure suggests the market may be entering a complex correction phase, designed to shake out weak hands before the next major expansion leg. - Technical Analysis & Key Levels Resistance (High Liquidity Zone): The $108,000 – $110,000 region is identified as a major liquidity zone, where sellers appear dominant and have capped upside momentum. Near-Term Support (Key Support Zone): Price is rotating toward the first key support at $76,000 – $78,000. Based on the scenario on the chart, BTC could see a brief rebound here (a potential bull trap) before continuation lower. Long-Term Buy Zone (Core Focus): The main zone in this analysis is $56,000 – $60,000, aligning with deeper Fibonacci extensions (1.618 – 2.618). This area is viewed as a potential “Spring” (final shake-out) to fully flush late longs before BTC reverses into a strong uptrend. - Trading Scenarios (Trading Plan) Short-Term: Look for short setups or stay sidelined if price breaks smaller bullish micro-structures. The short-term target is the $76,000 region. Mid-Term: Be cautious of a fake rebound around 76K. Avoid FOMO dip-buying too early. Long-Term: Stay patient and wait for clear reversal signals inside the $56K – $60K long-term buy zone. This is considered the lowest-risk, highest-upside area for the next major wave. Conclusion The chart suggests BTC may need a deeper correction to rebuild momentum. Stay patient and watch how price reacts at the marked key levels.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Stella_Soda
4
USDJPY - Interventions strengthen the JPY (price decline)FX:USDJPY is in a negative rally phase, passing through the entire trading range, breaking through the daily timeframe support at 154.450 and closing below the level, hinting at a possible continuation of the decline. The dollar is falling, the yen is strengthening. The Bank of Japan intervened, which contributed to the strengthening of the national currency. The current movement may continue... The currency pair breaks through the fairly important support level of 154.500 (154.45) as part of the rally and closes below the level. Consolidation is forming on the local timeframe, which may be aimed at a further decline. A short squeeze in the 154.45 zone could trigger a decline to 153 - 151.8 Resistance levels: 154.45, 155.65 Support levels: 152.96, 151.85 A breakdown from the local consolidation could trigger a continuation of the decline, as could a retest of the nearest resistance (liquidity hunt). The market still has the potential to continue falling to 151.85 and to the intermediate bottom of 149.5. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
XAUUSD – Brian | M45 Technical Outlook Gold remains firmly supported above the 5,000 level, with price action continuing to respect the broader bullish structure on the M45 timeframe. Despite recent intraday volatility, the market shows clear signs of acceptance at higher prices rather than distribution. From a fundamental perspective, holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed ETF, remained unchanged at 1,086.53 tonnes. While ETF flows are neutral for now, the lack of outflows suggests that institutional positioning remains stable even as gold trades at record levels — a constructive backdrop for the broader trend. Market Structure & Technical Context (M45) On the M45 chart, XAUUSD continues to trade above its ascending trendline, maintaining a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The recent pullback appears corrective in nature rather than impulsive, fitting well within a continuation framework. Key technical elements highlighted on the chart: Price holding above the value area, indicating ongoing buyer participation. A buy-on-dip zone around 5,040, aligned with trendline support and prior structure. Sell-side liquidity resting below recent lows, suggesting downside moves may be driven by liquidity sweeps rather than genuine weakness. A push through recent highs opens the path toward ATH continuation. Key Levels & Liquidity Zones Primary support: 5,040 (value + trendline confluence) Intermediate resistance: 5,150 (short-term reaction / scalping zone) Major resistance: 5,209 (strong resistance and potential reaction area) As long as price remains above the rising trendline, pullbacks should be viewed as part of trend development rather than reversal signals. Forward Expectations & Bias The market continues to trade in a momentum-driven environment, where structure and liquidity play a larger role than traditional indicators. Acceptance above 5,000 keeps the upside scenario intact, while short-term consolidations are likely to serve as fuel for continuation. Primary bias: Bullish continuation while structure holds Focus: Patience on pullbacks, discipline near resistance zones Preferred confirmation timeframe: M45–H1 Strong trends do not move in straight lines. Staying aligned with structure and liquidity remains key in this phase. Refer to the accompanying chart for a detailed view of market structure, liquidity zones, and key technical levels. Follow the TradingView channel to get early market structure updates and join the discussion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
2
Gold prices hit a record high ahead of the interest rate decisio1️⃣ Trendline Price is moving clearly within an ascending channel. The Higher High – Higher Low structure remains intact → the main trend is still BULLISH. The most recent strong rally was a breakout from a consolidation zone, confirming that buyers are in control. 2️⃣ Resistance 🔵 5,278 – 5,280 (Strong Resistance Zone) Confluence of: channel top + previous supply zone + trendline + Fibonacci level. Profit-taking and short-term pullbacks are likely to appear here. To confirm further upside → price needs a clear breakout and candle close above this zone. 3️⃣ Support 🟢 5,200 (Near-term Support) The most recent breakout area → first technical support. If price pulls back and holds here, the uptrend remains valid. 🟢 5,105 (Strong Support) Recent structural low + lower boundary of the ascending channel. If price drops deeper into this area and shows a buying reaction → potential continuation of the medium-term uptrend. 4️⃣ Main Scenario ✔ The trend still favors buying the dip while price holds above 5,200. ✔ A strong break above 5,280 → opens room for further upside within the channel. ⚠ A break below 5,105 → warns of a short-term structure breakdown and a deeper correction. 📌 Trading Plan BUY GOLD: 5,200 – 5,202 Stop Loss: 5,190 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips SELL GOLD: 5,278 – 5,280 Stop Loss: 5,288 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AstronautPioneer
Bitcoin Squeeze Point – Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin is approaching a key inflection zone where the Daily Downtrend Resistance and the Monthly Uptrend Support intersect. This confluence could be setting the stage for a major breakout or breakdown, and the next move could define BTC’s medium-term trend. 🧠 Key Levels to Watch: Daily Downtrend Resistance (Red) – Price is testing this descending trendline again. Monthly Uptrend Support (Green) – Strong support held since August 2024. Fibonacci 0.5 Level (~79.3K) – Acting as mid-zone control point. Fibonacci 0.618 Golden Zone (~72K) – Strong historical retracement support. 🟦 Bullish Scenario (Blue Arrow): If BTC breaks above the daily downtrend and holds above the green uptrend line: Possible target: 110K, aligning with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension. Would confirm continuation of the larger bullish trend. 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Not drawn but implied): If BTC breaks down below 79K and the monthly trendline: Eyes on 72K for a potential bounce at the 0.618 Fib level. Below that, potential deeper retracement toward the 65K–60K zone. ⏳ Conclusion: BTC is sitting at a high-confluence zone. This is not the time to chase—wait for confirmation of breakout or breakdown before reacting.
Long
by SmellyTaz
1
Will gold prices return to a liquid state and continue to rise? 📈 1️⃣ Trendline Primary Trend: BULLISH Price is moving within a medium-term ascending channel Market structure continues to form Higher Highs – Higher Lows The recent decline is only a technical pullback to the rising trendline No structural breakdown → no confirmed reversal ➡️ The lower trendline is currently acting as dynamic support 🟦 2️⃣ Support Zones 🔹 4,996 – 4,994 → Near-term support Confluence of ascending trendline + recent demand zone If price reacts positively here → high probability of bullish continuation 🔹 4,974 – 4,976 → Stronger support + structure retest Aligns with Fibonacci level + previous structural low A break below this zone would signal weakening bullish momentum 🟥 3️⃣ Resistance Zones 🔸 5,109 – 5,111 → Near-term resistance / recent high Price has reacted multiple times at this level A clear breakout and close above is needed to confirm bullish continuation 🔸 5,148 – 5,150 → Major resistance / supply zone Next upside target if breakout occurs Strong profit-taking pressure may appear here 🎯 Trading Plan 🟢 BUY GOLD: 4,996 – 4,994 Stop Loss: 4,989 Take Profit Targets: +100 / +300 / +500 pips 🔴 SELL GOLD: 5,148 – 5,150 Stop Loss: 5,155 Take Profit Targets: +100 / +300 / +500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AstronautPioneer
GOLD - Test $5000... Will the rally continue?FX:XAUUSD closes Friday's session with a new record and consolidation after the rally. Focus on 4988 - 4968. The session closed quite favorably for continued growth, everything depends on Asian traders... Fundamentals: The tense situation between Trump and the EU over Greenland and tariffs is still present. The Bank of Japan intervened (which strengthened the yen), triggering a fall in the dollar, which in turn is affecting the price of gold. Overall, the market remains aggressively bullish. New session: - Fed meeting (January 31) – focus on Powell's tone. Softening rhetoric on inflation could weaken the dollar and support gold. - Selection of a new Fed chair (announcement possible by the end of January) – candidates Waller or Warsh are perceived as more “dovish,” which could put pressure on the dollar. - Geopolitics – any escalation with Iran will trigger a new influx into gold Resistance levels: 4988, 5000, 5024 Support levels: 4967, 4958, 4945 Gold maintains its upward momentum, driven by a weak dollar and geopolitical risks. Any correction is likely to be limited. Asian traders may buy up all the supply. A breakout and close above 4988 could trigger a continuation of the rally to 5025-5050. However, it is possible that the market may test support at 4958-4945 before rallying... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
LTCUSDT - Hunting for liquidity before the fallBINANCE:LTCUSDT is consolidating below 70.0 before a possible continuation of the decline. The global trend is downward, liquidity is low... After a sharp decline, the coin entered a consolidation phase, during which a cascade of support is observed, which may falsely indicate the presence of a buyer. The goal of such a maneuver may be to capture liquidity at 69.70 before falling to 65.0 Within the context of a downtrend and low liquidity, MM may form a retest of the 69.3-69.7 zone (liquidity area) to continue consolidation and further decline to 67-65. Resistance levels: 69.30, 69.70 Support levels: 67.0, 65.3 A retest of the resistance and liquidity zone and the absence of bullish momentum may form a false breakout of the upper boundary of consolidation, which in turn may provoke a continuation of the decline towards both local targets and the global bottom... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
BTCUSDT - The battle for 90K may end in a decline BINANCE:BTCUSDT , against the backdrop of Trump's speech and various comments, caused a shake-up within the range of 87,800-90,300, but the price is consolidating below key resistance within the current downtrend... The downtrend may continue if Bitcoin consolidates below 90K. There is a chance of this happening as there is still no fundamental support for the market. Everyone is talking about the "CLARITY Act" on cryptocurrencies, but there is no date for its signing, and there are rumors that the process may be postponed until late winter or mid-spring, leaving the market without a bullish driver. The market is experiencing a phase of struggle for the 90K resistance zone. Bears are stubbornly resisting, forming a false breakout and consolidation below resistance. The structure could be broken if there is an impulsive breakout of the 90,500 zone and the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone, but the bears have formed a fairly strong resistance zone. Resistance levels: 90,400, 91,400 Support levels: 87800, 85000 I do not rule out another attempt to retest the 90350 zone, but if the bears keep the price below 90K, the market will have no chance for growth. In this case, a pullback to 89K - 88K can be considered. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
18
What will the new ATH level be? 26/01/20261️⃣ Trendline Main trend: BULLISH (UPTREND). Price remains above the long-term ascending trendline → Higher High – Higher Low structure is still valid. The current move is a technical pullback after a strong bullish wave, with no reversal signal confirmed yet. 2️⃣ Resistance 5,138 – 5,140: Strong resistance (target peak + upper boundary of the channel). Scenario: Profit-taking / price congestion is likely to appear. Bullish continuation condition: Clear break & close above this zone. 3️⃣ Support 5,021 – 5,019: Nearest support (confluence of ascending trendline + horizontal support). If held → prefer buying in line with the trend. If broken → price may pull back deeper toward the lower trendline / EMA. 4,967 – 4,965: Deeper support + EMA zone + liquidity sweep area (backup support). 📈 Trade Plan BUY GOLD: 5,021 – 5,019 Stop Loss: 5,011 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips SELL GOLD: 5,138 – 5,140 Stop Loss: 5,148 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AstronautPioneer
Why Strategy Performance Depends More on Testing Than LogicTwo traders can trade the exact same strategy and walk away with completely different conclusions. One calls it profitable. The other calls it broken. Most of the time, neither is wrong. The difference usually isn’t the strategy logic. It’s the testing. Strategy logic explains why a trade might work. It tells a coherent story about market behavior, momentum, mean reversion, or trend. But logic alone doesn’t tell you how often that behavior holds up, how sensitive it is to small changes, or how it behaves when conditions shift. That’s where many disagreements begin. Backtesting helps by expanding the sample beyond a single outcome. A strategy that looks reliable on one chart, timeframe, or parameter set may behave very differently when those assumptions are adjusted. Small changes in inputs, market regime, volatility, or timeframe can dramatically alter performance, drawdown, and consistency. Without testing across these variations, it’s easy to mistake coincidence for edge. This is why strategy debates never really end. Each trader is often judging performance based on a limited slice of data. Within that slice, their conclusion feels justified. One trader may be looking at a period where conditions favored the strategy. Another may be looking at a period where those same rules struggled. Both are drawing conclusions from incomplete information. Backtesting doesn’t exist to “prove” a strategy works. Its real value is in revealing distribution. It shows how often a strategy succeeds, how often it fails, and how fragile or stable it is when assumptions are changed. Robust strategies tend to exhibit similar behavior across a range of conditions. Fragile strategies depend heavily on specific settings or environments remaining intact. This is also why optimization alone can be misleading. A strategy that produces exceptional results at a single configuration may collapse when slightly perturbed. Testing across broader parameter ranges helps separate genuine structural behavior from overfitting. Logic still matters. Backtesting doesn’t replace it. But without testing, logic remains theoretical. With testing, it becomes contextualized. Performance stops being a story and starts becoming measurable. Most disagreements in trading aren’t really about the market. They’re about how much of the picture has actually been tested.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Quant_Trading_Pro
XAUUSD – Brian | H3 Technical Analysis Gold continues to trade within a well-defined bullish structure on the H3 timeframe, supported by strong technical momentum. Price action remains orderly, with impulsive advances followed by controlled pullbacks — a characteristic of a healthy trending market. From a macro standpoint, geopolitical uncertainty remains elevated after recent comments from President Trump regarding increased U.S. control over strategic military areas in Greenland. While not implying direct occupation, the development adds to broader risk sensitivity and continues to support gold’s role as a defensive asset. Market Structure & Technical Context (H3) On the H3 chart, XAUUSD remains firmly above its rising trendline, with market structure defined by higher highs and higher lows. A prior break of structure (BOS) confirmed bullish continuation and opened the door for further expansion. Key technical areas highlighted on the chart: A strong impulsive leg followed by corrective pullbacks, consistent with trend continuation. Fibonacci expansion with the 2.618 extension near the 5005 zone, acting as a major reaction area. A liquidity pullback zone around 4825, aligned with trendline support and suitable for continuation scenarios. A lower POC / value area acting as deeper support if volatility increases. As long as price holds above these demand zones, the broader bullish structure remains intact. Liquidity & Forward Expectations Upside liquidity remains available above recent highs, while short-term pullbacks are likely driven by profit-taking rather than structural weakness. The 5000–5005 area represents a key decision zone where price may pause or consolidate before the next directional move. Trading Bias Primary bias: Bullish continuation while structure holds Key zones to monitor: 4825 – liquidity pullback / trend continuation 5000–5005 – major extension & reaction zone Preferred timeframe: H1–H4 Risk management remains essential, particularly in a market sensitive to sudden news flows. Refer to the accompanying chart for a detailed view of market structure, liquidity zones, and Fibonacci extensions. Follow the TradingView channel to receive early updates and join the discussion on market structure and price action.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
9
GOLD - Correction to 4900. Is there a chance it will reach 5000?FX:XAUUSD continues to update historical highs. New 4967, bears appeared (profit-taking). The market has moved into correction, but the overall fundamental (geopolitical) background is still complex... Expectations of further easing of Fed policy remain the main factor supporting gold. Trump's reversal on Greenland temporarily improved sentiment, but did not stop the flow into defensive assets. Economy : GDP for the third quarter has been revised upward to 4.4%. Core PCE (inflation) rose to 2.8% y/y. Jobless claims (200,000) were better than expected. Despite strong indicators, the dollar is weakening amid the general trend of de-dollarization . Today, preliminary PMI (business activity) data for key regions will be released. The figures may affect global sentiment, but are unlikely to change the main upward trend for gold. Resistance levels: 4935, 4967, 5000 Support levels: 4900, 4888, 4870 The current correction is a distribution of the formed consolidation 4935 - 4967. In the context of the current movement, the market may test the key support area (liquidity zone) 4900 - 4888. I do not rule out a deep long squeeze (to 4870) before renewed interest in growth. In the current cycle, there is a possibility of a retest of 5000! Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
GBPUSD - Readiness for a breakthrough and rally FX:GBPUSD breaks through the resistance conglomerate and enters a long zone. Consolidation is forming (due to bullish activity), and we have a chance for a local rally... The long squeeze of the key support zone at 1.3400 forms distribution and growth towards the intermediate resistance at 1.3486. The trend is bullish, there is support in the market (weak dollar). The currency pair breaks through resistance with an impulsive movement, after which the bulls try to keep the price above 1.3486. A breakout of the local base will give a chance for continued growth to 1.3562 - 1.3671 Resistance levels: 1.3486, 1.3507, 1.3562 Support levels: 1.3486, 1.3456 Consolidation above 1.3486 - 1.3500 will be a strong signal of readiness to continue growth within the bullish trend Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
Island reversal, maybe bull trap and possible inverse H&S From August 2024 to September 2025 INTC ranged to form an island pattern which then reversed on 18 Sept 2025. The rise/uptrend to $54 looked like a breakout but now (Jan 23rd 2026) it will open below the $50.54 neckline which began in Jan 2022. Is this a bull trap? If it does fall further, it should make another shoulder to complete a 5 year inverse H&S pattern, and then break out over $50. Time will tell if this thesis is correct?
NASDAQ:INTC
by andmk2
GOLD - Pullback before growth after Asian momentum FX:XAUUSD is correcting after hitting a historic high ($4,900), due to the de-escalation of tensions between the US and the EU. Profit-taking is observed, but the trend remains bullish... Fundamental background: - Trump has cooled down: tariffs are temporarily suspended, as is the forceful seizure of Greenland. Negotiations are likely to continue. The market reacted quite aggressively to yesterday's “swings” led by Trump. Today, data on PCE inflation and US GDP for the third quarter will be released, which may provide new momentum. Further dynamics will depend on inflation data: weak indicators may renew interest in defensive assets, while strong ones may increase pressure. Resistance levels: 4838, 4850, 4880 Support levels: 4813, 4800, 4777 Technically, after the Asian momentum, gold may form a correction of 50% of the total movement. I consider the 4813-4800 area (liquidity area) to be a zone of interest. And as zones of interest at the top, I consider the 4850 area — the liquidity pool. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
34
Continuously setting new ATH records, getting closer to the 50001️⃣ Trendline Primary trend: BULLISH Price is still moving within a long-term ascending channel. The most recent move broke the short-term rising trendline → this signals a technical correction, not a trend reversal, as the major trendline remains intact. 2️⃣ Resistance 5,000 – 5,005: Strong resistance (channel top + distribution zone). → Profit-taking pressure is likely to appear. A clear break & close above this zone is required to confirm further upside. 3️⃣ Support 4,888 – 4,890: Near-term support (pullback area to the channel trendline). 4,840 – 4,845: Strong support (correction low + demand zone). → If this zone holds, the bullish trend remains valid. 4️⃣ Main Scenarios Preferred scenario: Pullback into support → bullish reaction in line with the trend. Risk scenario: A break below 4,840 → bullish structure weakens, market may shift into short-term consolidation or bearish movement. 📈 Trading Plan BUY GOLD: 4,888 – 4,890 Stop Loss: 4,880 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips SELL GOLD: 5,000 – 5,002 Stop Loss: 5,010 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AstronautPioneer
1
XAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook Liquidity Pullback Within a Strong Bullish Structure | Lana ✨ Gold continues to trade within a well-defined bullish structure on the H2 timeframe. The recent surge was impulsive, followed by a healthy retracement that appears to be rebalancing liquidity rather than signaling a trend reversal. Price action remains constructive as long as the market respects key structural levels and the ascending trendline. 📈 Market Structure & Trend Context The overall trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows still intact. Price continues to respect the ascending trendline, which has acted as reliable dynamic support throughout the uptrend. The recent pullback occurred after an aggressive upside expansion, fitting the classic sequence: Impulse → Pullback → Continuation No clear distribution pattern is visible at this stage. As long as structural support holds, the bias remains BUY on pullbacks, not selling strength. 🔍 Key Technical Zones & Value Areas Primary Buy POC Zone: 4764 – 4770 This area represents a high-volume node (POC) and aligns closely with the rising trendline. It is a natural zone where price may rebalance before resuming the bullish trend. Secondary Value Area (VAL–VAH): 4714 – 4718 A deeper liquidity zone that could act as support if sell pressure temporarily increases. Near-term resistance: 4843 Acceptance above this level strengthens the continuation scenario. Psychological reaction zone: 4900 Likely to generate short-term hesitation or profit-taking. Higher-timeframe expansion targets: 5000 (psychological level) 2.618 Fibonacci extension, where major liquidity may be resting. 🎯 Trading Plan – H2 Structure-Based ✅ Primary Scenario: BUY the Pullback Buy Entry: 👉 4766 – 4770 Lana prefers to engage only if price pulls back into the POC zone and shows bullish confirmation on H1–H2 (trendline hold, strong rejection of lower prices, or bullish follow-through). Stop Loss: 👉 4756 – 4758 (Placed ~8–10 points below entry, beneath the POC zone and the ascending trendline) 🎯 Take Profit Targets (Scaled Exits) TP1: 4843 First resistance zone — partial profit-taking recommended. TP2: 4900 Psychological level with potential short-term reactions. TP3: 5000 Major psychological milestone and upside expansion target. TP4 (extension): 5050 – 5080 Area aligned with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension and higher-timeframe liquidity. The preferred approach is to scale out gradually and protect the position, adjusting risk as price confirms continuation. 🌍 Macro Context (Brief) According to Goldman Sachs, central banks in emerging markets are expected to continue diversifying reserves away from traditional assets and into gold. Average annual central bank gold purchases are projected to reach around 60 tons by 2026, reinforcing structural demand for gold. This ongoing accumulation supports the idea that pullbacks are more likely driven by positioning and profit-taking, rather than a shift in long-term fundamentals. 🧠 Lana’s View This remains a pullback within a bullish trend, not a bearish reversal. The focus stays on buying value at key liquidity zones, not chasing price at highs. Patience, structure, and disciplined execution remain the edge. ✨ Respect the trend, trade the structure, and let price come to your zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1