XAUUSD-GOLD 1H Chart—SELL Setup with 3 Profit TargetsHello Guys,
Here’s my 1-hour XAUUSD-GOLD analysis for you.
These are the exact SELL levels I’ll be watching:
🔵SELL level: 4285.9
🔴 Stop level:4335.3 (or adjust based on your own margin)
🟢 TP1: 4264.8
🟢 TP2: 4232.1
🟢 TP3: 4185.0
Risk-to-reward ratio on this setup: 2.05
If XAUUSD-GOLD reaches these levels, I’ll definitely take a SELL position.
Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to everyone supporting me!
Trend Line Break
BTC/USDT — Volume Strength Returns, Eyes on 110K+ RecoveryBTC/USDT — Volume Strength Returns, Eyes on 110K+ Recovery 🚀
Bitcoin is showing renewed momentum as it re-enters the volume+ zone, signaling stronger market participation after recent consolidation. The move above the low time frame structure confirms short-term strength and suggests a potential continuation to the upside.
Currently, BTC is holding steady around $108.9K, maintaining support within the accumulation range. If momentum continues, a breakout toward $110K+ looks increasingly likely, aligning with short-term recovery signals.
📊 Technical Overview:
Volume Zone: $108K–$109K
Short-Term Target: $111K
Main Resistance: $122.5K
Bias: Positive momentum forming above low time frame
A strong hourly close above $109K would further confirm the shift in trend strength, potentially opening the next leg higher toward $111K–$122K.
📈 Outlook: Bullish short-term structure forming
Global Commodity Trends: An In-Depth Analysis1. Overview of Commodity Categories
Commodities can broadly be categorized into three segments:
Energy Commodities – including crude oil, natural gas, coal, and renewable energy components.
Metal Commodities – comprising precious metals (gold, silver, platinum) and industrial metals (copper, aluminum, nickel, lithium).
Agricultural Commodities – such as grains, oilseeds, coffee, cotton, and sugar.
Each sector operates under different economic drivers but shares common threads: cyclical demand, global trade dependency, and vulnerability to geopolitical and climatic disruptions.
2. Energy Commodities: Shifting Power Dynamics
Oil Market Evolution
Crude oil remains the most influential commodity, dictating the rhythm of the global economy. After years of volatility, oil prices in 2025 have stabilized between $75–$90 per barrel, balancing between OPEC+ production controls and demand recovery in post-pandemic industrial economies. Key trends influencing the oil market include:
Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts in the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine tensions, and sanctions have repeatedly disrupted supply routes and reshaped trade alliances.
Energy Transition: Many nations are reducing fossil fuel dependence, creating dual effects—investment withdrawal from oil projects and short-term supply tightness.
US Shale Resurgence: Technological improvements have revived U.S. shale production, moderating price spikes and diversifying global supply sources.
Natural Gas and LNG Boom
The liquefied natural gas (LNG) market has become a critical player in global energy security. Europe’s pivot away from Russian pipeline gas has spurred demand for LNG imports from the U.S., Qatar, and Australia. Asian markets—particularly India, Japan, and South Korea—are also expanding their LNG infrastructure. Prices remain elevated due to limited shipping capacity and long-term contract negotiations.
Renewable Commodities
The renewable sector is emerging as a commodity class of its own. Materials essential for wind turbines, solar panels, and batteries—like lithium, cobalt, and rare earth elements—are now strategically significant. Nations rich in these resources, such as Chile (lithium), the Democratic Republic of Congo (cobalt), and China (rare earths), have gained economic leverage in the green transition era.
3. Metal Commodities: Industrial and Technological Backbone
Copper: The ‘New Oil’ of Electrification
Copper is a vital indicator of global industrial health and the clean energy revolution. With rising demand from electric vehicles (EVs), grid expansion, and renewable infrastructure, copper prices have remained strong, hovering near $9,000–$10,000 per metric ton in 2025. However, supply shortages from major producers like Chile and Peru continue to pressure the market. Technological exploration and recycling have become key to meeting demand sustainably.
Aluminum and Steel: Industrial Expansion
Global infrastructure projects—particularly in India, Southeast Asia, and Africa—have driven demand for aluminum and steel. China’s gradual construction slowdown has been offset by growth in emerging markets. Decarbonization efforts have also led to “green steel” innovations, with major producers investing in hydrogen-based smelting technologies.
Precious Metals: Inflation Hedges
Gold remains a preferred hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and financial instability. In 2025, gold prices are resilient around $2,100 per ounce, supported by central bank purchases and investor uncertainty about global debt sustainability. Silver, platinum, and palladium also benefit from industrial use in electronics, solar energy, and automotive catalysis.
Critical Minerals and Rare Earths
The rise of electric mobility and digital technologies has made critical minerals central to geopolitical competition. Nations are now securing mineral supply chains to reduce dependence on single-country producers. The U.S. and EU have launched strategic mineral alliances to diversify sourcing and encourage domestic mining.
4. Agricultural Commodities: Weather, Demand, and Technology
Food Security Challenges
Global food prices have experienced volatility due to extreme weather, conflict disruptions, and changing consumption patterns. Droughts in key grain-producing regions (such as North America and Australia) have tightened wheat and corn supplies, while El Niño weather patterns have affected rice production in Asia.
Grains and Oilseeds
Wheat and Corn: Prices remain firm as global demand for animal feed and biofuels continues to grow.
Soybeans: Driven by rising protein consumption in developing economies and biofuel production in the U.S. and Brazil, soybean demand remains robust.
Rice: Export restrictions by major producers like India in 2024–25 have kept rice prices elevated, intensifying food inflation pressures in Africa and Asia.
Soft Commodities: Coffee, Cocoa, and Cotton
Coffee and cocoa markets face supply disruptions due to unpredictable weather and labor shortages. Meanwhile, cotton prices have stabilized as global textile demand recovers post-pandemic. However, sustainability standards and organic production are reshaping trade patterns, with premium pricing for ethically sourced materials.
Technological Innovation in Agriculture
Precision farming, AI-driven weather forecasting, and genetically resilient crops are transforming agricultural productivity. These innovations aim to balance yield improvements with sustainability and environmental preservation, reducing the carbon footprint of global agriculture.
5. Geopolitical and Economic Influences
Global commodity trends are closely tied to geopolitics and macroeconomics. Several key developments have reshaped the landscape:
Trade Wars and Sanctions: The U.S.–China trade rivalry and sanctions on Russia and Iran have disrupted traditional commodity flows, leading to new alliances among BRICS nations.
Currency Movements: A strong U.S. dollar often suppresses commodity prices by making them costlier for non-dollar economies. However, increasing talk of “de-dollarization” could redefine commodity pricing in the long term.
Global Inflation and Interest Rates: Higher interest rates have tempered speculative investments in commodities, yet inflationary pressures from supply chain disruptions continue to sustain price floors.
Environmental Regulations: Climate policies and carbon taxes are influencing production costs and trade competitiveness, particularly in energy and metals sectors.
6. Technological and Structural Shifts
Digitalization and Smart Commodities
Blockchain and AI technologies are revolutionizing commodity trading systems. Digital platforms now enable transparent pricing, efficient logistics, and reduced transaction costs. Smart contracts in blockchain-based trade reduce fraud and enhance traceability from mines to markets.
Green Commodities and ESG Investments
Investors increasingly favor environmentally and socially responsible commodities. ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) frameworks are pushing companies to disclose emissions data, human rights practices, and sustainability metrics. This shift is influencing how commodity-backed financial instruments are structured and traded.
Automation in Mining and Logistics
Robotics, automation, and remote monitoring have transformed mining and shipping operations, reducing costs and improving safety. Autonomous drilling and AI-based maintenance systems enhance operational efficiency across industries dependent on raw materials.
7. Regional Insights
Asia-Pacific
Asia remains the largest consumer of commodities, with China and India leading demand for energy, metals, and food. India’s industrial expansion and renewable energy programs are reshaping regional trade flows. Southeast Asian nations are emerging as key exporters of palm oil, rubber, and rare earths.
North America
The U.S. and Canada benefit from abundant energy and agricultural resources. The shale industry revival and strategic mineral exploration position North America as a stable supplier amidst global uncertainty.
Europe
Europe’s energy diversification post-Ukraine war has accelerated investment in renewables, hydrogen, and circular economy practices. High carbon pricing has also made European industries more sustainable but less cost-competitive globally.
Africa and Latin America
These regions are rich in untapped resources, from lithium in Chile and Argentina to cobalt in the DRC and oil in Nigeria. However, political instability and infrastructure challenges hinder full potential. Strategic partnerships with China and Western investors aim to modernize extraction and processing industries.
8. Challenges Ahead
Despite progress, several structural challenges persist in global commodity markets:
Supply Chain Fragmentation: Geopolitical rivalries threaten trade connectivity.
Climate Risks: Extreme weather events continue to impact yields, mining operations, and energy supply.
Resource Nationalism: Governments are asserting greater control over natural resources, imposing export restrictions or windfall taxes.
Market Volatility: Speculative trading and financial derivatives amplify short-term price fluctuations, complicating investment planning.
Sustainability Pressure: Transitioning to low-carbon operations requires significant capital and policy alignment across nations.
9. The Future of Commodity Markets
Looking ahead to 2030 and beyond, the global commodity landscape is expected to be shaped by four major forces:
Energy Transition Acceleration: The world will see greater integration of renewables, hydrogen, and energy storage, reducing fossil fuel dependency but increasing demand for critical minerals.
Technological Integration: AI, blockchain, and predictive analytics will dominate commodity trading, making markets more transparent and efficient.
Sustainable Agriculture: Climate-resilient crops and smart irrigation will redefine global food systems.
Geopolitical Realignment: Multipolar trade networks among BRICS+ nations will challenge traditional commodity pricing systems dominated by Western economies.
Conclusion
Global commodity trends in 2025 reveal a dynamic interplay of energy transformation, technological evolution, and geopolitical recalibration. While oil and gas remain vital to short-term stability, the long-term trajectory points toward green minerals, digital commodities, and sustainable agriculture. The world is navigating a complex transition where supply chains, trade policies, and investment strategies must adapt to environmental and political realities. In essence, commodities have evolved from mere tradable goods into strategic instruments of power, policy, and progress. Managing this transformation with foresight, equity, and sustainability will define the resilience of the global economy in the years ahead.
GOLD → Positive backdrop. Consolidation before growth?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a shake-down in the Asian and Pacific sessions. The price hit a new low of 4278, but bulls are aggressively buying up two liquidations (manipulation?). The metal is preparing for its ninth consecutive week in positive territory, with an 8% increase over the week.
Key drivers: Fed members confirmed their readiness to cut rates in October and pointed to risks for the labor market. The situation with the trade war between China and the US is still tense.
However, negotiations between the presidents of three countries on the conflict in Eastern Europe have raised hopes for de-escalation, which has temporarily reduced demand for defensive assets. The shutdown continues, which supports the price of gold.
The correction in gold is a temporary pause, and any decline will be used for purchases.
Technically, the focus is on the global trading range of 4280-4380, with consolidation within 4350-4330. A breakout of the accumulation zone could trigger a move in the direction of the breakout
Resistance levels: 4350, 4380
Support levels: 4320, 4300, 4280
Technically, before rising, the price may test the liquidity zone located below the specified support zones. However, it is also worth watching the 4350 trigger—a breakout of resistance and a close above this level could trigger continued growth within the current bullish trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPCAD → The hunt for liquidity ahead of growthFX:GBPCAD , after breaking through the resistance of the ascending triangle consolidation pattern and updating its high to 1.8915, is forming a correction to retest the zone of interest before continuing its growth
The British pound is forming an uptrend, which supports the price of the currency pair.
The currency pair is forming a breakout of resistance. After updating the maximum, the price is rolling back to retest the previously broken consolidation border. Liquidity capture relative to 1.8825 - 1.8807 could lead to a shift in the imbalance towards buyers and provoke continued growth.
Resistance levels: 1.8915
Support levels: 1.8825, 1.8808
If, during the retest of support, the bulls keep the price above this zone, then the chances of a reversal and growth will be high. 1.8915 - 1.900 can be considered as a potential target.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSD: Short opportunities on technical retrace BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Analysis – October 17, 2025
Yesterday’s short setup (BB) was triggered and hit target as planned.
The main trend remains bearish, confirming that sellers are still in control.
For today, the focus remains on looking for short opportunities following the current downtrend.
Expecting a technical pullback toward the 40%–60% retracement zone of the previous bearish leg.
As price approaches this area and retests the EMA, wait for a clear confirmation signal before entering.
If price fails to follow the setup, stay patient and wait for more confirmation to ensure a safe and disciplined trade.
Main Plan: Keep a bearish bias — look for shorts near the 40–60% retracement zone once confirmation appears.
Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
BTCUSD: Sideways in a block, looking for setup🧭 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD analysis – October 16, 2025
Currently, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD remains in a broader downtrend, so for today’s session, our main focus will be on looking for short (sell) opportunities, rather than counter-trend buys.
I’m using the 30-minute timeframe (M30) for today’s setup.
At the moment, BTC price action is quite complex — moving sideways within a block structure and has recently retested the resistance area around 110,904.
The plan for today is to wait for solid accumulation and a clear BreakBlock (BB) setup to confirm continuation to the downside.
Once a valid setup forms, we can look for short entries following the main trend, with strict risk management and flexible profit targets depending on market volatility.
Alternative Scenario:
If price breaks above the current range, we’ll stay patient and wait for clearer signals before entering any trades.
This approach helps us avoid FOMO and stay disciplined, ensuring all trades align with our predefined plan and market structure.
Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Capital Leaving Bitcoin for Gold?XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Capital Leaving Bitcoin for Gold?
Hello traders community,
XAUUSD (Gold) is showcasing extraordinary strength, continuously breaking records and reaching new heights. The upward momentum seems to have no end, despite technical indicators entering the "overbought" zone. While Gold shines, the Crypto market is witnessing selling pressure, indicating a clear shift of safe-haven capital.
This analysis will delve into the factors driving the market and outline a detailed trading strategy for this tidal wave.
📰 Macro Analysis & Capital Flow
The market is being driven by a very clear narrative: Capital is seeking the ultimate safe haven.
Gold Ascends, Bitcoin Challenges: The contrasting movements between the two assets considered "digital gold" and "physical gold" are the most notable highlights. While XAUUSD continuously peaks, Bitcoin has plummeted sharply after hitting a historical high, currently struggling at the critical support level of $107,000. If this level is breached, a new wave of selling could be triggered, further driving capital flow towards Gold.
"Doping Boost" from the US Economy: Gold's strength is bolstered by the weakening USD. Factors such as the US government facing a potential shutdown and particularly the market betting that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates to support the slowing economy have reduced the allure of the greenback and interest-bearing assets.
Global Uncertainty: Not to mention the trade uncertainties and escalating geopolitical tensions. In a risk-laden environment, Gold is always the top choice for institutional investors and central banks to preserve value.
📊 Technical Analysis
The M30 chart shows a perfect and sustainable bullish structure.
Ascending Channel: Price is moving very disciplined within a steep ascending channel. The lower support line of the channel is an extremely important dynamic support area.
Main Support Zone - "Buy Zone": The $4285 - $4287 area is a confluence of the lower channel line and old structural zone. This is an ideal area for Buyers to wait, watching for pullbacks to join the main trend.
Resistance and "Breakout": Price has formed a short-term sideways structure after forming a peak around $4380. A confirmed "breakout" through this area will open up further upside potential, aiming for higher liquidity zones.
Next Target - "Sell Liquidity": The liquidity zone for Sellers and also the expansion target of this bullish wave lies at $4468 - $4470, corresponding to the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension level. This is where profit-taking pressure and sellers may emerge.
🎯 Detailed Trading Plan
The main strategy is "Buy the Dip" - Watch for buying opportunities when price pulls back to key support zones. Selling should only be considered when there is a clear reversal signal at strong resistance areas.
Scenario 1: Buy the Trend (Priority) 📈
Entry Zone: $4285 - $4287.
Stop Loss: $4280.
Take Profit: $4310 - $4355 - $4377 - $4400.
Scenario 2: Sell the Rally (High Risk) 📉
Entry Zone: Watch for selling at the liquidity zone above $4468 - $4470.
Stop Loss: $4476.
Take Profit: $4453 - $4423 - $4410 - $4388.
Summary
Gold's rally is supported by both technical factors and solid macro narratives. Although prices are in the overbought zone, the saying "never fight a strong trend" is entirely accurate at this moment. Minor pullbacks, potentially to the EMA or lower channel line, should be seen as opportunities to increase Buy positions.
Trade with discipline and manage your capital tightly. Wishing everyone a successful trading day!
Follow me for the earliest strategies
XAUUSD: Prioritize Buying, Is the $5000 Target Still Distant?XAUUSD: "No More Gold to Sell" - Prioritize Buying, Is the $5000 Target Still Distant?
Hello trading community,
The Gold market (XAUUSD) is in a state of "extreme euphoria," continuously setting new highs. The upward momentum is driven not only by technical charts but also by extremely strong macroeconomic factors.
This article will analyze why the strategy "Prioritize Buying on Dips" is optimal, and the $4400 level, though seemingly high, might not be the final stop.
📰 Macro Analysis: "No More Gold to Sell!"
The market is witnessing a physical supply shock that cannot be ignored:
Supply Shock: Japan's largest gold retailer has temporarily halted gold bar sales due to overwhelming buying demand. This is a clear signal that physical gold demand is far outstripping available supply. When physical gold is scarce, paper market prices must rise to reflect true value.
Falling Bond Yields: The 10-year German government bond yield (representing Europe) has dropped to its lowest level since June. Lower yields make Gold (a non-yielding asset) significantly more attractive compared to holding bonds.
Both factors are creating a "perfect storm" supporting the price rise of XAUUSD.
📊 Technical Analysis
The M30/H1 chart shows a very sustainable parabolic uptrend:
Trend: The uptrend is undeniable. Prices are moving in a steep upward channel, with all selling efforts quickly absorbed by buyers.
Fibonacci Extension: Fibonacci extension levels are acting as the next price targets:
Zone $4382 (Fib 2.273): Conquered.
Zone $4407 - $4410 (Fib 2.407): This is a potential "Sell Scalping" zone, where a short correction might occur.
Zone $4480 - $4483 (Fib 2.618): This is a strong resistance "Sell Zone," the next target for buyers.
Volume Profile (VPVR):
"Buy Retest" Support ($4290 - $4300): This is an extremely important liquidity zone, a former peak that has been broken and also an area with large accumulated trading volume. Buyers will strongly defend this zone.
🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy
The main trend is Buying. Any Sell orders at this time carry high risk and should only be considered for short-term scalping to catch corrections.
Scenario 1: Buy the Dip 📈
Entry Zone: Wait for price to correct to the "Buy retest" zone $4290.
Stop Loss: $4280.
Take Profit: $4312 - $4334 - $4372 - $4390.
Scenario 2: Sell Scalping ⚡️
Entry Zone: Look to sell at the Fibo $4410 zone.
Stop Loss: $4420.
Take Profit: $4393 - $4380 - $4370. (Note: Counter-trend order, use small volume and take quick profits).
Scenario 3: Sell at Strong Resistance Zone 📉
Entry Zone: $4480.
Stop Loss: $4490.
Take Profit: $4463 - $4442 - $4410.
Summary
The combination of a strong technical uptrend and a fundamental supply shock is pushing Gold into a new price cycle. The $4400 level has been conquered, and with this momentum, the long-term target of $5000 is no longer a fantasy.
The wisest strategy is to "go with the flow," looking to Buy at key support zones.
Wishing traders a successful week!
GOLD → The aggressive trend continues. Focus on 4240FX:XAUUSD continues to break records, testing the $4,240 level amid a weakening dollar and sustained demand for safe-haven assets. The risks of a correction are growing as economic news releases approach.
Key supporting factors: Statements by US officials about China's “seizure of supply chains” and retaliatory measures are keeping markets on edge. US shutdown: The government shutdown is costing the economy $15 billion a week, increasing uncertainty. The probability of a rate cut in October and December is ~95%, which is putting pressure on the dollar. However, statements by Fed officials may adjust market expectations.
The bullish trend for gold remains unchanged. Any corrections will be seen as a buying opportunity. Key benchmarks are the development of the trade conflict and negotiations on the resumption of the US government.
Support levels: 4212, 4203
Resistance levels: 4234, 4235, 4250
Within the uptrend, it is worth waiting for a correction to support in order to open positions more profitably. There are no reasons for a trend reversal, and the fundamental background is bullish. We expect a retest of support before growth. However, a breakout of the 4234-4239 zone could trigger further growth!
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY → False breakout? Target - gap?FX:USDJPY faces trend resistance during its rally and enters a correction. A retest of the range boundary is forming, the breakdown of which may trigger a sell-off.
The currency pair's growth, linked to the news, is slowing down. The price is testing the range boundary as part of a pullback, and the bullish reaction is weakening. Wednesday's daily candle closed below 151.23, which generally indicates buyer uncertainty.
Accordingly, there is a struggle for the 150.85 - 151.23 area, and the price closing below the key support zone will bring the price into the range. This, in turn, may provoke the closure of the gap (149.0 - 147.55).
Resistance levels: 151.23, 151.73
Support levels: 150.85, 149.93, 149.0
A false breakout and consolidation in the selling zone is a fairly strong signal that indicates the strength of the seller. A decline in the dollar index may trigger a decline in the price of the currency pair.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: End of Wave 5Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: End of Wave 5, Awaiting Powerful ABC Correction Wave
Hello trading community, Gold continues to make waves as it extends its record-breaking rally, setting a new all-time high above 4,240 USD. However, after a strong upward cycle, technical signals indicate a short-term correction wave (ABC Wave) is forming to gather liquidity before the uptrend resumes.
🧭 Technical Analysis (30m Chart – XAUUSD)
Based on the 30-minute chart, the price structure suggests the possibility of:Completing Elliott Wave: Gold appears to have finished the 5th Impulse Wave cycle (Elliott Wave 5), reaching the peak area near 4240 USD.
ABC Wave Forming: After Wave 5, the market tends to enter a correction phase following the ABC Wave pattern.
Wave A: Has formed from the peak of Wave 5 to the 4200 USD area.
Wave B: Currently unfolding (recovering upwards).
Wave C: The preferred scenario is a deeper corrective decline to the Buy Support area to gather enough liquidity for the next upward move.
Liquidity Areas to Watch:Sell Resistance (Sell Scalping): Around 4240 – 4270 USD. This is the technical peak and the final resistance of the price channel, ideal for scalping sales.Buy Support: Area 4170 – 4180 USD. This is a crucial support zone where Wave C is expected to end, triggering the next upward move.
🎯 Intraday Trading Scenario (Europe & US)
Today's preferred scenario is to watch for selling (Sell) to catch the correction wave and then watch for buying (Buy) at the strong support area.
📉 Sell Scalping (Priority to sell to catch Wave C correction)
Based on the expectation that the price will complete Wave B and begin Wave C decline to gather liquidity.📍 Entry: 4266 – 4268 (Watch for selling at the channel peak resistance)
🛑 SL: 4275
🎯 TP: 4245 - 4222-4210.5 (Targeting the temporary support area)
📈 Buy Swing (Following the main trend)Wait for a deep correction to the critical liquidity area before the price rises again.
📍 Entry: 4181 – 4183 (Buy Support area – where Wave C ends)
🛑 SL: 4175
🎯 TP: 4190 - 4205 - 4233 - 4250 (Targeting to break the peak)
📌 Fundamental View & Conclusion
Main Driver: Gold prices remain firm near historical highs due to sustained safe-haven demand and expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates in the future (long-term supportive factor).Conclusion: Gold is in a short-term technical correction phase (ABC Wave) during the European and US sessions to consolidate the foundation before continuing its upward trend. 4180 USD is an extremely important liquidity area to trigger a new upward move.
👉 Follow me for detailed updates as the price approaches the outlined Entry areas!
BITCOIN → Consolidation in the medium term. Focus on 109,5KBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is forming a trading range after a sharp decline. Each distribution is followed by consolidation before the next distribution. Market phases in all their glory
After a sharp decline, Bitcoin is entering a consolidation phase, forming a trading channel of 109,500-115,700. A liquidity pool has formed relative to the lower boundary and resistance at 113600, which can be liquidated in turn (within the current consolidation).
Technically, the market has paused for consolidation and stabilization of the situation provoked by Trump and the liquidation. There are no technical prerequisites for the price to break out of the range. There is a liquidity pool relative to 109500, formed by the halt in the decline on October 11 and the retest on October 14, which may be of interest to MM before the growth.
Support levels: 109500, 108500
Resistance levels: 113,600, 115,730
Classic consolidation, the boundaries of which have not yet been tested. Possible false maneuvers relative to the specified levels to form a large MM position before moving in one direction or another in the medium term. Major players are still uncertain about further movement due to Trump's activism and his tariff strategy, which creates additional risks, and for this reason, I would not expect strong growth beyond the specified boundaries for now.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
SWING IDEA - BEMLBEML Ltd , a key player in India’s defence and heavy equipment sector, is displaying a strong bullish breakout setup supported by multiple technical confirmations.
Reasons are listed below :
Breakout of a long-term trendline after multiple retests
Cup and Handle breakout, signaling continuation strength
VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) breakout indicating accumulation
Bullish engulfing candle on the daily timeframe confirming momentum
Higher highs and higher lows structure intact
Trading above 50 & 200 EMA, reinforcing trend strength
Target - 5400
Stoploss - daily close below 3940
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
GBPCHFHigher Highs (HH) & Higher Lows (HL): The pattern of higher highs and higher lows is an indication of an uptrend, showing that the buying momentum is strong.
Entry: Place a buy stop order just above the recent higher high (HH). This allows you to enter the trade if the price continues moving upward, confirming the bullish momentum.
BTCUSD: Waiting for a range breakBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently trading within a tight accumulation range between 112,004 and 113,524.
Today’s plan:
Wait for price to consolidate near the upper boundary of the range while the EMA compresses close to price action. Once a clear range break (RB) to the upside occurs, enter a market buy.
If the price breaks early without enough consolidation, wait for a pullback to retest the breakout level and look for a buy setup after the range break (ARB).
Profit targets and stop loss levels should be chosen according to individual risk management preferences.
Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
GOLD → Correction to 4090. What could this mean?FX:XAUUSD , after updating its high to 4180, formed a correction and descended to the support zone of 4090, forming an intermediate bottom. We have a trading range...
Key drivers: China has introduced controls on rare earth metal exports, and the parties are holding consultations. A meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping is scheduled for the end of October.
Expectations of two rate cuts before the end of the year are strengthening gold's position. The ongoing government shutdown is fueling demand for safe-haven assets.
Today, attention is focused on Powell's speech, which could set the tone for the market.
The bullish trend for gold continues. The absence of bearish factors and ongoing macro risks continue to push the price up. Corrections are seen as an opportunity to buy.
Resistance levels: 4150, 4180
Support levels: 4117, 4090, 4059
The price is testing the 4150 liquidity zone, which could trigger a pullback within the range. A retest of support at 4117-4090 could support the market, and a change in imbalance could lead to another rally to 4180 - 4200
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD – Continues to set ATHXAUUSD – Continues to set ATH, prioritize buying according to POC 4,146–4,148 🟡
Gold continues to create higher highs after a strong rally in the Asian session; the upward channel structure remains intact. On H1, POC ~4,147–4,148 is the nearest support; above is the resistance cluster according to FE 1.618 ~4,186 and the sell zone 4,221–4,240.
Key levels
Support: 4,146–4,148 (POC) • 4,140 (short-term invalid).
Resistance/targets: 4,166 • 4,186 (FE 1.618) • 4,188–4,200 • 4,221 (sell scalping) • 4,240 (sell zone).
Trading scenario
Buy 1 – POC pullback
Entry 4,146–4,148 | SL 4,140 | TP 4,166 → 4,188 → 4,200 → 4,245.
If it pulls back to POC and H1 shows a confirmation candle/mid-trendline support, prioritize buying.
Buy 2 – Shallow retest
If the price only dips ~4,160–4,162 and then bounces back above POC, consider adding buys with SL 4,152, TP as above.
Sell reaction (higher risk)
Entry 4,240 | SL 4,250 | TP 4,222 → 4,200 → 4,188 → 4,160.
Only activate when there is a clear rejection signal at 4,221–4,240; this is a counter-trend trade.
Invalidation & management
Buying bias weakens when H1 closes below 4,140 or breaks the lower channel edge.
After TP1, move SL to entry; avoid chasing price in the 4,18x–4,20x area when volume is thin. 🎯
Quick context
The upward momentum is maintained thanks to expectations of the Fed ending QT/loose conditions soon and safe-haven flows; however, the 4,221–4,240 area may create short-term reactions before the uptrend extends.
Trade well with this scenario!
US30: Triangle breakout signal deeper sell move
📉 US30 Analysis: 4-Layer Resistance, Bearish Imbalance & Triangle Breakout | TradingView
The SPREADEX:DJI just printed a clean bearish breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 30-minute chart 🕒.
What makes this setup stand out is the 4-layer resistance zone perfectly overlapping with a Bearish Imbalance, creating a strong confluence for a potential continuation to the downside.
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🧠 Technical Overview
On TradingView, the chart shows multiple lower highs forming inside a symmetrical triangle — a sign of buying exhaustion and seller accumulation. After several attempts, price finally broke below the structure, confirming a bearish market shift.
Key zones:
🔴 4-Layer Resistance: 46,850 → 46,550
⚫ Bearish Imbalance: 46,500 – 46,550
🟣 Demand Zone / Support: 46,150 – 46,250
Each resistance layer acted as a rejection point, showing how Smart Money continues to distribute orders and defend that area aggressively.
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📊 Breakout – Retest – Continuation Setup
Following the breakout, price made a quick pullback to retest the 4-layer resistance zone — right where the Bearish Imbalance sits.
This is a textbook Breakout–Retest–Continuation pattern on TradingView, confirming that sellers are still in control.
1️⃣ Breakout: Price breaks below the triangle.
2️⃣ Retest: Price retraces to test the 4-layer resistance and imbalance.
3️⃣ Continuation: Strong rejection signals the next bearish leg.
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💡 Trading Plan
Our trading plan for this setup is straightforward. I’m waiting for price to retest the 46,500–46,550 zone and show clear signs of rejection — such as a bearish engulfing candle or a break of structure on lower timeframes.
If confirmed, I’ll look to enter a short position targeting the Demand Zone around 46,150–46,250.
A stop loss would be placed just above 46,650, beyond the resistance cluster, to protect against false breakouts.
This plan aligns perfectly with Smart Money Concept (SMC) and Price Action trading, offering a strong risk-to-reward ratio 📈.
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🧩 Market Psychology
✅ The four consecutive rejections at the same price zone clearly show how institutional traders are defending supply levels.
✅ Every time price pushes higher, Smart Money sells into liquidity, leaving wicks and imbalances behind.
✅ This behavior reinforces the bearish bias and supports the idea of a continued drop once short-term liquidity is collected.
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🔎 Summary
✅ Bearish breakout confirmed from the triangle pattern
🔴 Strong 4-layer resistance overlapping with Bearish Imbalance
📉 Expecting price to continue toward the lower Demand Zone
This setup is clean, confluence-rich, and ideal for traders using TradingView, Price Action, and Smart Money Concepts.
A well-timed short from this zone could deliver a high-probability trade with excellent structure confirmation 🔥.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
BTCUSD: Failing to recover, short setup near EMABTC analysis – october 14, 2025
At the moment, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has failed to sustain its recovery and is pulling back toward the 111,192 USD area. The overall trend remains bearish, as price is now trading below the EMA, indicating that sellers still have control over the market.
Trading plan for today:
Priority: look for short (sell) opportunities in line with the main trend.
Wait for a pullback as price retests the EMA zone.
Once price reaches that area, watch for one of the following price action setups:
DD (Double Doji)
SB (Second Break)
→ When either setup appears, consider a market entry.
Trade management:
Stop loss: above the nearest swing high of the pullback.
Take profit: targeting a 2R – 3R reward-to-risk ratio, depending on price behavior.
Summary:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD remains in a clear downtrend. Any short-term bounce is seen as an opportunity to sell with the trend. Patience is key wait for a clean setup around the EMA zone to secure a good entry and minimize risk.
Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
XAUUSD — Decline Reaction Not Yet Confirmed as ReversalXAUUSD — Decline Reaction Not Yet Confirmed as Reversal | Favor Buying on Fibonacci Pullbacks 🟡
Summary: The rapid early session decline hasn't broken the upward structure. Gold continues to move within the Fibonacci expansion wave; prioritize buy-the-dip at confluence zones. Sell orders are only for short-term scalping when there's a clear rejection signal.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1)
Structure & Price Behavior
Price is climbing in a stair-step pattern, with recent adjustments not breaching key lows, leaning towards a trend-following pullback.
The chart shows multiple Fib expansion levels (0.618/0.786/1.618/2.618); the 4120–4135 zone is the short-term trading hub, with clusters above at 4160–4188–4179 and further at 4200–4220.
Volume has slightly decreased compared to previous sessions → easier for price to bounce at support before continuing.
Price Zones to Watch
Resistance: 4160–4162, 4179, 4200.
Support: 4116–4118, 4102, 4073, 4062–4065, 4024.
Significance: 4062–4065 coincides with Fib + old resistance (good confluence for buying); 4116–4118 is the nearest retest; 4160–4162 is a sell retest only for scalping.
If 4116–4118 holds and H1 closes above 4130, the probability of retesting 4155/4188 increases.
If 4062–4065 breaks and stays below 4057, the adjustment range may extend to 4024.
📰 Fundamental Factors (Highlights)
Central banks continue to buy gold, supporting foundational demand.
On October 14, gold led the commodity basket this year; expectations of Fed rate cuts in upcoming sessions are the main driver for holding gold.
Gold ETF: attracted an additional ~2 billion USD (~14 tons) last week; YTD cumulative ~68 billion USD, annual demand ~645 tons (second only to the 2020 record).
⇒ The cash flow picture supports a medium-term uptrend, although short-term fluctuations remain around Fib/resistance levels.
🎯 Trading Plan (European–US Session) — if–then
Scenario 1 — BUY near retest (priority)
Entry: 4116–4118
SL: 4110
TP: 4134 → 4155 → 4188 → 4222
Condition: if price retests 4116–4118 and a confirmation candle/bounce appears on H1.
Scenario 2 — BUY at Fib + old resistance (backup)
Entry: 4062–4065
SL: 4057
TP: 4082 → 4098 → 4115 → 4135
Condition: only activate if there's a bounce at 4062–4065; better if reclaiming 4073/4102 thereafter.
Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (scalping)
Entry: 4160–4162
SL: 4168
TP: 4134 → 4118 → 4100 → 4078
Note: only sell when there's a clear rejection signal (long wick/distribution volume); do not chase price.
Invalidation & Risk Management
Losing 4057 → reduces buy priority, wait for new signals at 4024.
Risk only ≤1–2% per trade; adhere to SL first, position later. 🛡️
Summary
Bias: Upward; current decline reaction not yet confirmed as reversal.
Strategy: Prioritize buying at 4116–4118 and 4062–4065; sell only to scalp at 4160–4162 when signaled.
Levels to Watch: 4102 – 4073 – 4024 – 4179 – 4200.
Note: This article is for reference purposes only, not investment advice.
GOLD → Ready for continued growth. Target 4100 - 4125FX:XAUUSD remains above $4,000, starting the week with a record high amid the escalating trade war between the US and China. Traders bought up all of last week's decline.
Key drivers: Trump's new tariffs: Introduction of 100% tariffs on all Chinese goods and export controls on software from November 1. China is not sitting idly by: Restrictions on exports of rare earth metals and technologies.
The ongoing shutdown and trade uncertainty are weakening the dollar.
US inflation data (CPI on October 24) will be the first key release after the shutdown.
Speeches by Fed officials may adjust rate expectations.
Gold remains in an uptrend, but momentum will depend on the progress of trade negotiations. A breakout to new highs is likely if tensions remain high.
Resistance levels: 4078, 4100, 4110
Support levels: 4059
A breakout of 4078 and a close above the key level could trigger a continuation of the growth to 4100. An additional scenario could be a correction to 4059 before further growth to 4100-4125.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBP/CAD 4HR Trendline Breakout Long Setup. Daily Continuation.I am going to be placing a trade once spread hour is over on the daily open on GBP/CAD to the upside.
Stoploss and take profit is provided.
I will be looking to trail my stoploss either at the 4HR or 8HR Lows as the trade progresses based on my own discretion.
Mostly likely will close the trade at the close of Tuesday daily candle if I feel this is the right decision to make.






















