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Trend Line Break

GBPUSD → Correction amid a global bullish trend...FX:GBPUSD is testing the 1.345 - 1.35 area as part of a correction. The price is closing the imbalance zone and testing support, which may trigger a reaction. Further developments will largely depend on the dollar, which is testing resistance. The daily market structure is quite strong. The correction against the backdrop of a strong trend is within acceptable limits, and bulls should fight to keep the price away from risk zones. GBPUSD, as part of the correction, closes the imbalance zone of 1.34 - 1.35 (0.7 - 0.79f) and forms a false breakdown of the intermediate support level of 1.3476. If buyers hold their ground in the 1.347-1.35 zone, the currency pair will be able to return to the global trend. Support levels: 1.3476, 1.345, 1.3382 Resistance levels: 1.3511, 1.359, 1.375 Price consolidation above 1.349 - 1.350 will confirm the market's intentions. In this case, we can expect growth to 1.36 - 1.374. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
14
BITCOIN → Stopping after the rally? What next? 125K or 110K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT rose and updated its historical maximum to a new record of 118K with “kopecks” (different prices on different exchanges). Now the price has supposedly stopped and entered a consolidation phase, but it is too early to draw any conclusions based on this alone... Fundamentally, Bitcoin rose following the SP500 and NQ100 indices. The reasons are clearly geopolitical. The correlation level is not high, but the flagship is following the stock indices, which are also updating their historical highs. Technically, Bitcoin has emerged from a two-month consolidation and entered a realization phase. So what's next? Continuation of the phase or correction? Let's take a look. On the daily chart, I would highlight two zones. The risk and sell zone is below 117,500. If the price closes below this zone today/tomorrow, we will most likely be able to look for signals for a possible correction. As part of the correction, we can expect a decline to 115,500, 114,300, or even to the old ATH of 112K. The second zone is the buying zone. A closing price above 118,400–118,900 and consolidation with the gradual formation of a breakout of structure may hint at a possible continuation of growth toward psychological targets. Resistance levels: 118,400, 118900 Support levels: 117100, 116700, 115500 In the chart above, I have highlighted the situations, levels, and zones that interest me more precisely. Now I am waiting for Bitcoin to retest resistance or support and confirm certain levels, based on which decisions can be made. I think that in the near future, Bitcoin will show us where it is headed. Updates will be published as something interesting emerges... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
51
NATURAL GAS - REBOUND FROM THE MAJOR TRENDLINE AND ANOTHER LONG CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS Last week on Wednesday and Thursday we observed the false breakout of the major trendline. Eventually, Thursday ended up bullish, gaining 4.8% day-to-day. On Friday the asset has been trading majorly sideways, retesting the major trendline (pic 1). Technically, looks like the divergence on RSI, MACD and Momentum works out as well as the bullish wedge (pic 2). Fundamentally, we still have warm temperature weather forecasts in the U.S. and bullish Thursday's EIA report. Additionally, today the market opened with a bullish gap and continues to grow, which is a good signal for the buyers. Considering major levels here, I decided to open long positions: 🔼 a market buy order at 3.4556 with ❌a stop loss at 3.2995 and 🤑a take profit at 3.7927 At 3.6000 would be reasonable to reduce long position on a half. Thank you for the attention!
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
SOLUSDT → Countertrend correction and hunt for liquidityBINANCE:SOLUSDT looks quite promising on the bullish side. The price is testing one of the key resistance levels within the local trend rally. A correction is forming. Is it beneficial for us? On the higher timeframe, we see a change in character, a breakout of the trend resistance, and the formation of an upward trend support line. Bitcoin is still bullish (locally) at this time, but it is consolidating, which generally provokes a correction in SOL as well. Focus on the 150-149 area. If the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone after the retest, followed by the formation of momentum, this can be considered a positive medium-term sign. Locally, the price within the trading range of 149.36 - 158 is heading towards the area of interest and liquidity (eql) at 149.36. The current sell-off is most likely triggered by a large player seeking a more favorable entry into the market. Resistance levels: 154.75, 156.8 Support levels: 149.36, 147.93 In the current situation, it makes the most sense to consider an intraday trading strategy. A countertrend correction and a retest of support could attract buyers... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
13
GOLD → Retest of consolidation resistance. Breakout?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern. The price is stabilizing amid a falling dollar and uncertainty... Gold is recovering after falling to $3,283 thanks to a weaker dollar and lower bond yields amid concerns over Trump's new tariff threats. The announced tariffs against seven countries, including Brazil and the Philippines, have heightened tensions, partially offsetting the Fed's hawkish signals. Markets are now awaiting new data from the US and speeches by Fed officials, which could influence the further dynamics of gold. Technically, gold is squeezed between the resistance and support of a symmetrical triangle. The price is being aggressively pushed away from support within a bullish trend, but at the same time, gold is testing resistance for the fifth time, which only increases the chances of a breakout. Resistance levels: 3330, 3345, 3358 Support levels: 3308, 3295 If gold continues to storm the local resistance at 3330 and the triangle resistance during consolidation, we will have a good chance of catching the breakout and growth. An additional scenario could be growth after a shake-up of the triangle support and the global trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
30
GOLD → Distribution. There is potential for growth to 3450–3500FX:XAUUSD breaks through consolidation resistance and forms a distribution pattern. A breakout of 3345-3358 could lead to another rally amid high economic risks... Gold is rising for the third day in a row amid growing concerns about new tariffs announced by Trump. He threatened to impose tariffs on Canada and most of its trading partners, as well as the EU. Despite the strengthening of the dollar, demand for gold remains strong due to uncertainty and expectations for US inflation data next week. Investors are cautious ahead of CPI and the Fed's possible response The correlation between gold and the dollar is declining, with gold rising due to geopolitical reasons amid high economic risks. If the bulls keep the price above 3300-3345, the market could be extremely positive for 3400-3500. Resistance levels: 3345, 3358 Support levels: 3330, 3308 Gold has broken through the resistance of the “triangle” consolidation pattern and is forming a distribution phase towards the zone of interest 3345 - 3358, from which a small correction may form before growth. Since 3345 is an intermediate level, the focus is on 3358. I do not rule out the possibility of a long squeeze of the support levels 3330, the triangle support, and 3310 before the growth continues. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
XRPUSDT → Resistance ahead. Correction before growthBINANCE:XRPUSDT is rising after breaking through consolidation resistance. Bitcoin's rally supported the overall market momentum, but a new resistance zone lies ahead... Bitcoin is testing its ATH and updating it, but is facing pressure and forming a false breakout. A correction in the flagship coin could trigger a correction in XRP, but if Bitcoin continues to storm the 112K area without a pullback, followed by a breakout, the market could find support and continue to rise. After XRP broke through resistance, the coin entered a distribution phase and is testing an important resistance zone of 2.4488 - 2.4772. The inability to continue growth, a false breakout, and price consolidation in the selling zone could trigger a correction. Resistance levels: 2.4488, 2.4772, 2.6524 Support levels: 2.3587, 2.3375, 2.2455 Despite breaking through resistance, XRP is still in a local downtrend. Pressure on the market is still present. The formation of a false breakout will indicate that growth is limited for now. However, if the price consolidates above 2.4772 and begins to break out of the local structure, we can expect growth to continue. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
12
GOLD → Readiness to test the local bottomFX:XAUUSD is under pressure from the rising dollar and uncertainty, breaking through support levels, which opens up a corridor for the market to fall to 3255 - 3246 The price of gold is consolidating around $3300 after falling more than 1% amid expectations of the Fed minutes and news about tariffs. Investors remain cautious: the dollar is supported by hopes for US trade deals, while the threat of new tariffs from August 1 is holding back gold's growth. Weak inflation data in China did not support the metal, while expectations that the Fed will not rush to cut rates due to inflationary pressure from tariffs are also limiting interest in gold. Traders are waiting for the Fed minutes and new statements from Trump to determine the further direction. Technically, the market looks weak (on D1, the price closed below the key level of 3300 on Tuesday) and there is a chance of a further decline. Resistance levels: 3300, 3311 Support levels: 3295, 3255, 3246 Consolidation below 3295-3300 could trigger a further decline to 3255, from which the market could react with a correction. Buying can be considered if gold reverses the short scenario, manages to strengthen to 3311, and consolidates above this level. At the moment, the price is in the selling zone... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
24
EURUSD → Bullish daily structure. Correction before growthFX:EURUSD , after significant growth and a break of structure, has entered a local correction, the target of which may be a phase of accumulation of potential for updating intermediate highs (1.183). The daily market model is bullish. A break of the structure has formed on D1, and the market is entering a correction phase, during which it may be interested in testing 0.5 or the 0.7 Fibonacci area before continuing its growth. I would also like to draw attention to the previously broken resistance level of 1.164 - 1.163, which, within the current correction, may act as a support level for buyers... In addition, the market has not yet reached the liquidity level it was heading for during the correction for a possible continuation of growth. Zone of interest: 1.168, 1.164, 1.159 Resistance levels: 1.1728, 1.1766 Support levels: 1.168, 1.164, 1.159 A false breakdown of the specified support zone could change the market imbalance and attract buyer interest, which could generally support the bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
GOLD → Correction for confirmation before growthFX:XAUUSD is recovering due to increased demand as a safe-haven asset. After breaking through local trend resistance, an upward channel is beginning to form on the chart. On Monday, gold tested the 3295-3300 zone (liquidity zone) and, against the backdrop of incoming economic data, is buying back the decline, forming a rather interesting pattern that could lead to continued growth, but there is a but! Investors are reacting to President Trump's threats to impose tariffs on imports from a dozen countries starting August 1. In addition, the main question is the Fed's interest rate decision. The regulator is likely to leave the rate unchanged due to inflation risks. Uncertainty surrounding tariffs is supporting interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. The market is awaiting further news and the publication of the Fed minutes on Wednesday. Resistance levels: 3345, 3357, 3396 Support levels: 3320, 3311, 3295 A correction to support is forming. If the bulls hold their ground within the upward channel and above the key areas of interest, the focus will shift to 3345, a resistance level that could hold the market back from a possible rise. A breakout of this zone would trigger a rise to 3357-3396. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
22
Gold (XAU/USD) Structure Analysis : Trendline Break + TargetGold is trading around $3,338, positioned at a decisive point where both bullish momentum and bearish pressure are converging. The price action over the past few weeks suggests a brewing breakout, supported by multiple technical factors. This analysis provides a complete breakdown of what’s happening and what to anticipate next based on the current structure. 🔹 Market Structure & Context Since mid-May, XAU/USD has been trading within a rising price channel, respecting a well-defined ascending trendline support. This rising support zone has provided a floor for buyers to step in, especially during pullbacks, which demonstrates consistent buying interest and underlying bullish sentiment. At the same time, gold has also been respecting a descending trendline resistance formed by multiple lower highs. This forms a squeeze pattern, suggesting that the market is building energy for a breakout. As price compresses within this wedge-like structure, the tension between bulls and bears grows, setting the stage for a sharp directional move. This is a classic accumulation vs. compression scenario, where the outcome of the breakout will dictate short-to-medium-term direction. 🔹 Channel Support Zone – Buyer’s Stronghold The channel support zone is critical here. This area, visible as a bold upward sloping line, has provided reliable support through repeated market cycles. It acts as a dynamic line where institutions and swing traders accumulate long positions during dips. The fact that price has respected this trendline for over a month signals the importance of this structure in current market psychology. Any break below this zone would invalidate the bullish bias and open the door for a steeper decline. However, as long as price stays above this line, the buyers retain control. 🔹 Trendline Resistance – Key Barrier to Break The descending trendline resistance, drawn from mid-June highs, has been a significant cap on upward moves. Each test of this trendline has resulted in a rejection, pushing price back into the range. Now, gold is testing this level again — and this time, the setup is stronger for a potential breakout due to growing momentum and multiple rejections weakening the resistance. From a technical standpoint, the more a resistance level is tested, the weaker it becomes, and the higher the probability of a breakout. 🔹 Break of Structure (BOS) Zones – Momentum Confirmation The chart marks both Minor BOS and Major BOS zones. These are crucial areas to watch for price confirmation. The Minor BOS, just above the current price (around $3,360), represents a short-term structural shift. A clean break above this with strong candles and volume could trigger a momentum rally. The Major BOS, located in the $3,400–$3,420 area, is more significant. This is the last major swing high. If gold manages to break and hold above this zone, it would confirm a complete bullish reversal in market structure — turning what was once a lower-high pattern into a potential new uptrend. These BOS levels act as validation checkpoints for trend direction. Without a clean break, the move is unconfirmed and prone to reversal. 🔹 Next Reversal Zone – Anticipated Reaction Area Above the BOS zones lies the Next Reversal Zone, marked in green. This is a potential area of resistance or profit-taking, based on historical price reactions, Fibonacci confluence, and psychological levels. This area spans approximately $3,420 to $3,440, which is where price might pause, consolidate, or reverse depending on momentum. This zone doesn’t necessarily mean price will reverse immediately, but it’s a smart area for traders to monitor reactions or start managing their risk. 🔹 Price Action Flow – What Could Happen Next? Currently, gold is testing both the trendline and the minor BOS, building momentum around this critical zone. There are two primary paths forward: If gold breaks the descending trendline and confirms above the minor BOS: Expect a move toward the major BOS at $3,400. A successful break of this zone opens the path to the next reversal zone ($3,420–$3,440). Bulls gain clear control and the market may attempt a sustained breakout continuation. If gold gets rejected again at the trendline: Price could drop back toward the channel support, between $3,280 and $3,250. This would maintain the current consolidation range, with further testing likely before a breakout. Bears may gain temporary control, but only a break below the ascending channel would signal a trend shift to the downside. 🔹 Why This Setup Matters This chart captures a textbook breakout setup — compression at a trendline, rising channel support, and BOS zones layered in. These kinds of technical setups often precede strong moves because: Volume typically increases after breakout zones are breached. Market participants are watching the same structure, making reactions more predictable. Risk-to-reward becomes favorable with tight invalidation points. For disciplined traders, this is a high-probability environment to wait for confirmation and trade the reaction, not the anticipation. 🔹 Risk Management Reminder It’s essential not to chase breakouts prematurely. Look for: Strong bullish candles breaking key resistance. Retests of broken trendlines turning into support. Volume confirmation (spikes can signal genuine breakout vs. fakeout). Also, be prepared for false breakouts, especially during overlapping macroeconomic events or low liquidity sessions. 🧭 Final Thoughts This is a powerful confluence zone for gold, and whichever side breaks it will likely control the next leg. Whether you're a day trader or a swing trader, this is a must-watch area on your chart. Stay alert, trade with confirmation, and respect your risk parameters.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
GOLD → Buyers are hesitant due to new tariffsFX:XAUUSD continues its correction phase after updating local highs and breaking through trend resistance. The dollar is making traders nervous... After rising 2% last week, gold started Monday with a decline to $3,300 amid a stronger dollar due to the risk of new tariffs from Trump, who sent letters to 12 countries threatening to impose duties of up to 70% if no agreements are reached by July 9. This boosted demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Gold is also under pressure from strong US employment data, which has dampened expectations of a rate cut. The market is focused on news on tariffs and the publication of the Fed minutes on Wednesday, which may clarify the outlook for monetary policy. Technically, the correction may end in the 0.7 Fibonacci zone, in the range of 3295-3300. After the formation of a reversal pattern, the market may strengthen to 3350-3360. Resistance levels: 3315, 3344, 3358 Support levels: 3300, 3295 Locally, the price is trying to consolidate below the range, which could lead to a decline to 3300-3295. If, during the correction from support, the market manages to consolidate above 3315, we can expect growth. Otherwise, a weak reaction at 3295 could lead to a retest of 3275 and consolidation in the selling zone, which could lead to a further decline to 3245 . BUT! We are closely monitoring the position of the US and Trump on tariffs, as he is once again issuing ultimatums to countries, to which the markets are reacting... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
27
GBPUSD → Correction before the bullish trend continuesFX:GBPUSD is forming a trading range for consolidation of potential ahead of a possible continuation of growth as part of a countertrend correction. The dollar is trying to recover from its decline due to a local change in the fundamental background, but the global trend for the DXY is bearish. This could provide support for the GBP to continue growing, provided that the bulls hold their defense above the 0.5 Fibonacci zone of the main impulse movement. The market is holding GBPUSD within the trading range of 1.359 - 1.3675. The trend is bullish, and within the correction, liquidity may be captured from 1.359 before further growth. Resistance levels: 1.3675, 1.3764 Support levels: 1.359, 1.3511 If the reaction to the subsequent retest of support at 1.359 is weak, we can consider a continuation of the correction to the 0.7-0.79 Fibonacci zone, which would be the most favorable entry point for us (focus on 1.3511 — a false breakout will increase interest in buying). In the current situation, the focus is on 1.359. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5