Trend Lines
BTC : REVERSAL or FAKEOUT ?? Hello Bitcoin Watchers 📈
BTC is looking promising with a price recovery towards the upside, currently trading just over $90k.
📢But let's not forget, a higher high was observed here as well.
A further -30% drop followed after this pullback to the upside:
If we have to follow a similar trend, over the next two months we could end up at around $65K:
Conclusion - I'm leaning towards more drop to follow after a period of sideways trading here. We could see this zone hold for two or three weeks up until after Xmas, at which point longs could be liquidated again if the optimism goes too high.
If you've been following my previous BTC updates, you would have seen that it's not uncommon for the price to recover to the basis of the Bollinger bands, or mid-level moving average. And the only way that can be considered a reversal, is if the WEEKLY starts closing above the 50day moving average, which we are no where near close to seeing.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
GOLD → Correction to support amid a bullish trend FX:XAUUSD retreated from the $4,245 level reached on Monday. A countertrend correction is forming ahead of the news. But buyers are not sleeping...
Weak US economic data has heightened expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut. The PMI index in the US manufacturing sector continued to contract. The market estimates the probability of the Fed easing policy next week at 87%.
However, rising US Treasury yields and fears that the Fed may send cautious signals after its December decision are limiting gold's growth.
Market attention is shifting to ADP employment data and the US services business activity index (ISM Services PMI), which will be released on Wednesday. They will provide new signals about the health of the US economy.
The correction in gold appears to be under control amid continuing macroeconomic uncertainty. The 4200, 4193-4173 level remains an important area of struggle between bulls and bears.
Resistance levels: 4211, 4245
Support levels: 4193, 4173
A false breakdown and the bulls holding the market above the above support zone could trigger growth within the trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
#GBPCAD: Swing Buy Activated Get Ready For Next Big Thing±GBPCAD moving nicely from our previous trading setup where we had pointed out two possible reversal zones. Where price moved and reversed as we had expected from our zone one. We expect price to continue moving upwards and towards our target one and then later on our target two.
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GOLD → Retest of consolidation support on uptrend FX:XAUUSD is trading in a sideways range around $4,200, awaiting new labor market data to determine the Fed's policy trajectory after December's rate cut.
Weak US data (a 32K decline in ADP employment and a slight increase in ISM services to 52.6) did not change market expectations. The probability of a 25 bp Fed rate cut on December 11 is around 90%. Attention has shifted to the trajectory of policy easing in early 2026. Key factors will be data on unemployment claims and sentiment on Wall Street.
The fundamental background is relatively positive, and the dollar has entered a correction phase due to expectations of lower rates, which may support the gold price...
Resistance levels: 4238, 4262
Support levels: 4185, 4175
Gold is testing the support levels of the key trading range. If the bulls keep the price above 4185 and form a bullish reversal pattern, then in the short and medium term, we can expect growth to intermediate highs.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Brian|watch reaction at POC–VAL –VAH according to Volume ProfileXAUUSD – Brian | watch reaction at POC – VAL – VAH according to Volume Profile
1. Market snapshot
Gold is entering a redistribution phase in the high price range, with fluctuations mainly revolving around large volume clusters on the Volume Profile. In this context, Brian's current priority scenario is to watch for a Sell when the price approaches the POC / VAL / VAH areas – where the market previously traded heavily.
2. Volume Profile – Notable price areas
POC – VAH area 4.217 is the price area where buyers/sellers previously "struggled" strongly, suitable for looking for sell signals if there is a rejection reaction.
VAL & the support area below around 4.134 is where short-term buying force may appear, suitable for a technical rebound buy scenario.
3. Trading plan (this week)
Scenario 1 – Sell according to Volume Profile (priority)
Sell: 4.217
SL: 4.125
TP: 4.200 – 4.182 – 4.150
Idea: wait for the price to rebound to the POC/VAH area around 4.217, observe the H1/M30 candle reaction. If a clear rejection signal appears (long upper tail, reversal candle...), the sell order can be activated according to the plan.
Scenario 2 – Short buy at VAL/support area
Buy: 4.134
SL: 4.125
TP: 4.155 – 4.180 – 4.200
Idea: if the price adjusts deeply near the VAL area and holds above 4.125, a technical rebound may occur. This is a short buy, not going too far against the trend, prioritizing partial profit-taking when the price returns to the upper POC area.
4. News to watch – Unemployment Claims
Today there are US Unemployment Claims figures, which are quite sensitive data for gold because:
The market will assess the strength/weakness of the US labor market.
Worse-than-expected figures → increase the likelihood of Fed easing → positive for gold.
Better-than-expected figures → support USD, may cause gold to face adjustment pressure.
Therefore, it is advisable to limit new orders close to the news release time, wait for the post-news candle to stabilize, and then reassess the structure.
5. Risk management (user-friendly for phone users)
Sell is the priority scenario but do not overlook SL 4.125, to avoid the case of a strong breakout above the current volume cluster.
With the Buy 4.134 scenario, it is advisable to split TP, move SL to breakeven when the price hits TP1 to reduce the pressure of having to "watch the chart" continuously on the phone.
If D1/H4 closes below the 4.125 area with large volume, Brian will consider it a signal to reduce short-term buying expectations and wait for a clearer new structure.
EURUSD → Consolidation above downtrend resistance FX:EURUSD is attempting to reverse the trend amid expectations of interest rate cuts in the US. Important resistance at 1.165...
The dollar is breaking the support of the bullish trend amid expectations of interest rate cuts and news related to Powell. A decline in the index will support the euro exchange rate.
EURUSD is breaking the resistance of the downtrend, followed by bulls trying to keep the currency pair above 1.160, a psychological level. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline, there is a chance of a breakout above 1.165 and growth
Resistance levels: 1.165 - 1.1656
Support levels: 1.159, 1.155
Before breaking through resistance, the market may consolidate or retest support. However, a breakout of 1.165 - 1.1656 and a close above this zone could trigger a distribution towards 1.173 - 1.182
Best regards, R. Linda!
Elite | XAUUSD 15m – Bullish Continuation SetupOANDA:XAUUSD
After sweeping liquidity beneath major support, the market broke downward structure and initiated a bullish correction phase. The breakout above internal range highs and the descending trendline confirms a bullish shift, supported by strong demand rejections. Price is now trading above reclaimed structure and targeting the upper liquidity zone toward $4,256 – $4,260.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Hold above the re-test demand zone:
🎯 Target 1: $4,230
🎯 Target 2: $4,256 – $4,260 (final liquidity objective)
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Only active if price breaks and closes below $4,210
🎯 Downside Target: $4,170 (previous accumulation level)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: $4,230 / $4,260
Support 🟢: $4,218 / $4,170 / $4,150
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Head & Shoulders on 1H is pumping it above 100K$ soonFirst lets take a look at that Attractive Reversal pattern which is now obvious in all tokens:
#Head_Shoulders :
The recent downward movement successfully triggered a significant number of long-position stop losses, effectively executing a 'long squeeze' and absorbing substantial sell-side liquidity. This classic market-clearing event often removes weak hands and over-leveraged positions, thereby reducing immediate overhead resistance.
With this liquidation event concluded, the market structure has notably cleared a key obstacle. The path upward now encounters less selling pressure from previously vulnerable positions. This development supports a bullish technical outlook, with the next primary targets residing at the $100,000 psychological level and beyond, as the new market structure allows for a more sustained advance.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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BTCUSD Short-Term Setup: Buyers Defend Support, TP1 at $89,200Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current market structure. After reaching the Seller Zone near $92,000, the price once again faced strong rejection, forming a clear reversal right under the descending Trend Line. This confirms that sellers continue to defend this area and keep Bitcoin within a broader corrective structure. From there, BTC pulled back toward the Buyer Zone around $86,000–$85,500, which has acted as a reliable support multiple times in the recent sessions. The market is now forming a potential short-term recovery after a fake breakout below this zone, highlighting attempts from buyers to regain control. However, as long as the price trades below the Seller Zone and the descending Trend Line, bearish pressure still dominates the chart. The structure suggests that Bitcoin may attempt a move toward TP1 at $89,200, where the market previously consolidated and faced resistance. A clean rejection from the Trend Line could send the price back toward support for another test, while a confirmed breakout above $92,000 would shift short-term sentiment and open the way for stronger bullish continuation. On the other hand, a breakdown below $85,500 could expose BTC to deeper declines toward lower support lines. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSD Long: Volatility Rising — Retest of 90,000 ExpectedHello, traders! The price auction for BTCUSD has been in a corrective phase, forming a broad descending structure guided by the major Trend Line. This bearish pattern has been defined by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, with price repeatedly getting rejected from the Supply Zone and consolidating inside the highlighted range. The market has respected both the descending supply line and the rising Demand Line, creating a well-defined compression of price action.
Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point, with BTC retesting the Demand Line near the 85,600 demand level. After a series of volatile moves inside the range, the price is attempting to stabilize at this structural support while gradually approaching the descending trendline once again. This tightening of volatility between supply and demand suggests that a significant directional move is likely to occur soon.
My scenario for the development of events is a bullish rebound from the Demand Line, followed by a test of the descending supply line. I expect the price to attempt an impulsive breakout toward the major Supply Zone. In my opinion, a successful breakout above this zone may carry BTC toward the 92,300 resistance target marked on the chart. Manage your risk!
XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+
Brian – Prioritize buying with the trend, use VAL to position entry
Market snapshot
At the end of the US session yesterday, gold had a strong increase and then stabilized, currently moving sideways around 4,216 on H1.
The structure is still an uptrend, the current decline is mainly a technical correction within the value area.
On the chart, the 4,264–4,265 area is marked as important resistance, where if broken, the medium-term uptrend could be unleashed more strongly.
Volume Profile & key price areas
The VAL (Value Area Low) of the Volume Profile is currently around 4,200 – this is an area where the market has previously accepted a large volume of trades, suitable for trend-following buys.
A deeper support area is around 4,164 (Supportsides on the chart), where buyers have previously intervened very clearly.
Above: 4,265 – confirmed resistance, if broken will strengthen the scenario of gold heading to higher price areas, matching the "super cycle 5,000 USD" story in the long term.
Trading plan for next week (according to H1 & Volume Profile)
Priority scenario – Buy at VAL with the trend
Buying area: around 4,200 (VAL of Volume Profile).
Can flexibly range 4,198–4,203 depending on spread and market conditions.
Idea: wait for the price to pull back to the VAL area, observe H1 candle reactions (long lower tail, rejection candles...) before entering the order.
Immediate targets:
TP1: area 4,240–4,245
TP2: 4,265 – important resistance marked as "important resistance, confirming medium term increase".
If the price closes clearly above 4,265 and successfully retests, consider holding part of the position or finding additional entry points, according to the scenario of expanding to higher areas in the new cycle.
Defensive scenario – Deep support
If the 4,200 area does not hold, the 4,164 area will be the next support to watch.
Closing H1/D1 below 4,164 will be a signal to reduce short-term expectations and wait for a new structure instead of trying to "buy every dip".
Fundamental context – Reasons gold is still supported
Gold is heading for its best growth year since 1979, with an increase of over 60% in 2025 – this is the context of a true bull market, not just a recovery wave.
YTD performance of XAU outperforms BTC, showing that large capital flows prioritize stability and gold's safe haven role.
Current supporting factors: US bond yields cooling, USD weakening.
Geopolitical tensions escalating, Russia–US negotiations have not brought clear breakthroughs.
The market prices in nearly a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates at the next meeting, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive.
Follow Brian to share the Gold scenario together
BTC Bullish Shark Pattern: DCB or Moon?BTC 1W – Bullish Shark forming. After the ‘total unload’ and a potential liquidity sweep into the 2022 lows (final D leg), I’m looking for the ultimate reversal that could launch the new epic parabolic leg toward 100k+ and a full‑blown altseason
Market stays bullish if this pattern fails to play out in the DCB zone
XAUUSD: Bearish Drop to 3885?OANDA:XAUUSD is eyeing a bearish reversal on the daily chart , with price testing resistance near ATH levels after recent rebounds from support, converging with cumulative sell liquidation and a potential entry zone that could spark downside momentum if sellers defend the highs. This setup suggests a pullback opportunity amid the ongoing uptrend, targeting lower support levels with strong risk-reward exceeding 1:3.
Entry between 4280–4340 for a short position (entry from current levels with proper risk management is recommended if price reaches the zone). Target at 3885 . Set a stop loss at a close above 4400 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3 . Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging gold's volatility near peaks.🌟
Fundamentally , gold prices are hovering around $4,207–$4,222 per ounce as of December 3, 2025, after a 0.5% daily gain and a 7.37% rise over the past month, driven by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and expectations of Fed rate cuts. However, forecasts for 2025 suggest potential volatility with upside to new highs like $4,000+ in the longer term, though short-term corrections could emerge due to overbought conditions, central bank policies, and inflation dynamics. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Short):
4280 – 4340
(Entry from current levels is valid if price reaches the zone with strict risk management.)
🎯 Target:
• 3885
❌ Stop Loss:
• Daily close above 4400
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• >1:3 overall
💡 Your view?
Will gold reject this ATH resistance zone for a deeper correction — or break higher into new territory?
👇 Share your thoughts below! 👇
EURJPY: Bullish Push to 182?FX:EURJPY is eyeing a bullish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price consolidating near major and minor resistance levels after rebounding from support, converging with a potential entry zone that could fuel upside momentum if buyers break through the resistances amid recent volatility. This setup indicates a rally opportunity post-pullback, targeting higher levels with risk-reward exceeding 1:3.
Entry between 180.800–181.000 for a long position (entry a current levels with proper risk and capital management is recommended). Target at 181.790 . Set a stop loss at a daily close below 180.730 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with increasing volume, capitalizing on the pair's upward bias near key levels.🌟
Fundamentally , EURJPY is trading around 181.00 in early December 2025, with focus on upcoming economic data that could drive volatility. For the Euro, key releases include Retail Sales (MoM forecast 0.1%, YoY 1.1%) on December 4 at 10:00 UTC, which could support EUR if stronger-than-expected, signaling resilient consumer spending amid stable growth; followed by GDP revisions (QoQ 0.2%, YoY 1.4%) and Employment Change (QoQ 0.1%, YoY 0.5%) on December 5 at 10:00 UTC, potentially bolstering EUR if confirming economic steadiness. For the Yen, notable events are Household Spending (MoM 0.7%, YoY 1%) on December 4 at 05:30 UTC, which might weaken JPY if indicating softer consumption; and GDP Final (Annualized -1.8%, QoQ -0.4%) on December 7 at 05:50 UTC, where downward revisions could pressure JPY further due to signs of contraction, alongside other indicators like Current Account and Bank Lending. Overall, positive Euro data versus potential JPY weaknesses could favor upside in EURJPY, though markets await these catalysts for direction. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
180.800 – 181.000
(Entry at current levels is valid with proper risk & capital management.)
🎯 Target:
• 181.790
❌ Stop Loss:
• Daily close below 180.730
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• >1:3 overall
💡 Your view?
Will EURJPY break through resistance and push toward 182—or stall below the ceiling?
👇 Share your thoughts below! 👇
ZEC touching 0.61 Fibonacci support wait for pumpOn the ZECUSDT chart, we have observed a decisive breakdown below the key $500 support level, resulting in a decline toward the $300 zone. This level now represents a critical technical confluence, aligning with both a historically significant support area and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
Given the oversold conditions and the strength of this Fibonacci-support confluence, a technical rebound toward the $500 level—now likely to act as resistance—is plausible. Such a move would be characteristic of a retest of the broken support level, which, if rejected, could result in a continuation of the downtrend. Should the $300 support fail to hold, the next significant structural support would become the primary focus.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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EUR/CAD: Bullish Movement Continues?!The 📈EURCAD pair has recently formed an ascending triangle pattern, following a successful test of a significant intraday horizontal support level.
The violation of its neckline suggests a strong presence of buyers in the market.
It is anticipated that the pair will continue its upward trajectory, potentially reaching at least the 1.6311 marked.
GOLD | Data-Driven Momentum Ahead of ADP & PCEGOLD – Technical Overview
Gold prices are rising as investors await key U.S. economic data this week for clearer signals on the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook.
Markets are watching ADP employment, ISM Services, and the PCE price index, all of which are expected to influence rate-cut expectations.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders now price in an 87% probability of a December rate cut.
Meanwhile, physical demand remains firm, with ETFs increasing their gold holdings for the fifth consecutive day, supporting overall bullish sentiment.
Technical Analysis
Gold maintains bullish pressure as long as it trades above 4207, targeting 4226 and 4255.
A breakout above 4255 could extend momentum toward the 4300 zone.
However, a 1H close below 4207 will trigger a bearish correction toward 4187.
A break below 4187 would further confirm a bearish trend continuation toward 4173 and 4151.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 4207
Resistance: 4226 · 4255 · 4300
Support: 4187 · 4173 · 4151
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis Gold.
Vertical Structures:
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 4164 - 4172 area
Support 2: 4080 - 4132 area
Support 3: 3996 - 4045 area
Support 4: 3869 - 3930 area
Resistance 1: 4230 - 4264 area
Resistance 2: 4359 - 4382 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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