Trendreversal
Double BottomThis pair seems to have formed a double bottom which could be indication for a long position.Wouldn’t be surprised if this shot up for some good pips.
Entry: 140.258
SL:140.000
TP:141.529
Quote:’I’ve missed more than 9,000 shots in my career. I’ve lost almost 300 games. 26 times I’ve been trusted to take the game’s winning shot and missed. I’ve failed over and over and over again in my life and that’s why I succeed.’ - Michael Jordan
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Buy CHF/JPY At The Weekly Support ZoneNow is looking like a perfect opportunity to catch huge pips as price has approached a weekly tested support zone! As CHF weakened during the past 2 weeks it has pushed priced to a key zone which should cause price to reverse & we will capitalize on this move.
Trade Details :
Entry : 107.810
SL : 107.400
TP : 110.000
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Buy CHF/JPY Reverse Head & Shoulder PatternThis reverse head & shoulder pattern confirms the upcoming bullish movement for this pair. CHF has weakened quite a bit in the past 2 weeks which means it should start to strengthen from this time forth. Daily timeframe RSI is indicating way oversold which is another confirmation for a trend reversal. Let's see how everything pans out!
Trade Details :
Entry : 107.950
SL : 107.800
TP : 109.000
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AEBTC_LONG TRADE SETUPBreaking out from the downtrend channel
IF DAILY CLOSES ABOVE 872 sats
Buy zone: Daily S-R flip 860-885 sats
Resistance 1: 1011 sats
R2: 1109 sats
SL: 830 sats
IF DAILY CLOSES BELOW 872 sats
Buy zone: 810-830 sats
R1: 870 sats
R2: 1011 sats
SL: 783 sats
MTH_LONG TRADE SETUPBreaking out from the downtrend channel
IF DAILY CLOSES ABOVE 358 sats
Buy zone: Daily S-R flip at 358 sats
Resistance 1: 415 sats
R2: 473 sats
SL: 332 sats
IF DAILY CLOSES BELOW 358 sats
Buy zone: 322-328 sats
R1: 358 sats
R2: 415 sats
SL: 305 sats
BQX_LONG TRADE SETUPBreaking out from the downtrend with volume
Wait for Daily close above 2260 sats
Buy zone: Retest of Daily S-R flip at 2250-2280 sats
Resistance 1: 2619 sats
R2: 3034 sats
SL: 2145 sats
IF DAILY CLOSES BELOW 2260 sats
Buy zone: 2020-2050 sats
Resistance 1: 2269 sats
R2: 2619 sats
SL: 1865 sats
Interesting trend reversal signs and re-entry zone on BCD/BTCI drew 2 possible options on trading BCD. It has positive signs on trend reversal and stayed strong during the BTC breakout. Extra information can be found in the chart.
Bitcoin's Resistance Turned Support?Bitcoin Weekly Chart:
Bitcoin has found support on the previous resistance line as shown on the weekly chart above.
If Bitcoin can his can close this current week with a green '1' above the blue trend line, the bear market could finally be over!
This is not financial advice, as I am a self-taught investor.
Historical Average Bear Market Studies.. Applied To Bitcoin.Quite a few things going on within this chart, but what I'm trying to convey is actually very simple.
The chart is based off a few key models which have been used with tremendous accuracy for over a century.
Model 1) Bear markets will usually last about 18 months in duration.
Model 2) Bear markets will usually last about 1/3 as long as the previous bull.
Model 3) Average Model 1 and Model 2.
Blue Vertical Line: 18 Month Marker
.. Based on the historical average duration of bear markets.
Red Vertical Line: Bull Run Divided By 3
.. Based on the notion that a bear market will typically last
about 1/3 as long as the previous bull market. Historically
this is very accurate.
Yellow Vertical Line: Average of Both Bear Market Studies
.. Averaging both studies gives us a mean and a "prime"
timing window to hunt investment grade opportunities.
Purple Vertical Rectangle: The Window To Focus In On
... If you're long term bullish on this asset.
Key points here:
1) We've already retraced well beyond 78.6% of the entire range from bottom to top (from $109 to $19,800) - What I would consider Investment Grade location.
2) If history tends to repeat itself or rhyme... we're in the sweet spot in terms of TIMING a purchase, being right in between both of our historically accurate bear market studies.
3) Comparing this pice action to the 2015 bear market, we're actually in about the exact same location as we were in 2015 when the market bottomed. Right in between 78.6 retracement and 88.6% retracement . Anecdotal evidence we may be bottoming now.
4) "Buy When It Snows, Sell When It Goes" - Old adage in the stock market which has merit. Should you base your investment decisions based entirely off a saying on wall street? Absolutely not. But here we are coming out of the winter and in to crypto's favorite time of the year. Seasonality wise, we consistently see the market lift in the spring and in to the summer.
5) Internally - **NOT shown on this chart for the sake of keeping it clean and readable.
*Volume breakout shown on OBV.
*Looong double momentum divergence confirmed, shown in the MACD.
*Embedded momentum oscilator trying to break out of oversold. I use a modified W%R, but something more common like RSI or stochastics would give you the same reading.
*Overall the Weekly internals look massively bullish. Just keep in mind this is a WEEKLY chart. Each candle takes a week to print. So this DOES NOT MEAN that you can expect upward movement from this point forward. In many cases after the Weekly charts start showing buy signals, it can easily take a month before any significant price movement occurs. So be weary of the timeframe I'm referring to.
6) Final confirmation for me is a weekly close above $4040.99. At this point I'm not "betting the farm," but I will be exchanging a considerable amount of USD holdings back in to Bitcoin.
2nd Ascending Triangle Spotted on CAD/CHF!After the recent ascending triangle reversal back in October and November of 2018, the CAD/CHF has decided to give us another! It is currently appearing to break the bottom, so I'd definitely be on the lookout for many entry opportunities!
If you're curious about my previous Ascending Triangle analysis, check down below :)
I am still a rather new trader, so any critiques or insight would be greatly appreciated!
USD/CAD - Incoming BULLISH trend-reversal to re-test highsI have been looking for the bottom on this pair since the oil rally for the potential rise back up to re-test the highs.
Although I've successfully swing traded this pair, I have been unsuccessful on finding the proper bullish view for the re-test to the highs.
Bullish Confluences:
- Double bottom
- Potential inverse head and shoulder on D1/H4
- Trend-reversal on new bottom
If the price does break out of the new bottom created today, then I will be further bearish on this pair and will stop posting USD/CAD for awhile until the reversal actually occurs.
If this chart helped at all, leave a like or follow.
I would love any feedback/advice about my chart to correct any of my mistakes and learn more about TA.
DISCLAIMER: Not a financial advisor, I don't suggest using my ideas for your own as I am a complete amateur for TA.
Good luck to everyone!
Bitcoin waking up after being repeatedly poked with a stick..Good day Traders
As I'm sure everyone and their pet poodle knows, bitcoin had a triangle breakout a few days ago with all the volume we were looking for. If you see my previous post, I thought we would first drop to just under $3k for a dead cat bounce to $5200, however, we've averted the weekly EMA15 and EMA200 bearish cross for now. The market was impatient and started the wave up without that drop and it seems we could be in the midst of a mid term change in trend already (just a pause in downtrend, as opposed to the end of the downtrend).
Since we never had that drop, I think we could possibly reach an even higher fomo extension target than the $5200 I originally had in mind. During a strong trend reversal, it's not uncommon to have a 261.8 - 461.8 fib extension of the first breakout impulse wave.
We have a number of bullish signals and patterns for a mid term trend change:
Bullish crossover EMA10 and SMA100 about to take place
Bullish crossover EMA10 and EMA50 complete (backtest to see how significant these crosses are on the daily chart)
Price closed above SMA100, EMA10 and EMA50 on the daily
Potential Inverse H&S - currently printing the right shoulder
Breakout from symmetrical triangle (reversal scenario as opposed to the usual continuation pattern)
I suspect we'll now have a 38.2-68.1 fib retracement of the recent breakout impulse). These impulse waves have been so strong that we haven't had much pullback since the start of Feb. We should find support at our daily SMA100, and start moving towards our IHS neckline for a potential breakout. The breakout will need strong increasing volume to break through major trendline resistance from our ATH.
First TP is $4300/$4400 which is a 161.8 fib extension of the recent breakout impulse, and our daily SMA128 resistance, which has held as significant S/R in the past for bitcoin). This area has held as strong resistance since 28 November 2018, so we should have a better idea if this is in fact a change in trend once we reach those levels and assess the volume profile.
If $4300/$4400 doesn't provide much resistance and we blast through with ease with increasing volume, then safe to say we're probably heading up, with a change in trend direction to fill those outstanding liquidity gaps in the $4- 5ks.
Second TP is 261.8 fib extension target of $4760 - $4880 which is also the target for the inverse H&S.
Third TP is the minimum target for the symmetrical triangle breakout, our daily SMA200 resistance and a 361.8 fib extension target of $5230/$5350.
Any move above our daily SMA200, I expect to be a short-lived extension. That $6k resistance is not going to be an easy nut to crack, after serving as impenetrable support for almost a year and I suspect if we do fomo that high, we'll probably have a 461.8 fib bull trap extension limit of $5700-$5800, before resuming the downtrend from there, potentially to new lows.
Good luck and happy trading!
Previous chart:
"Already bottomed" view (unlikely) :






















