Gold Breakout and Potential Retrace! Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GOLD for a selling opportunity around 4,980 zone, Gold was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 4,980 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Trump
WLFI/USDT Near Accumulation Zone – Potential Reversal?WLFI/USDT on the Daily (1D) timeframe is still moving within a mid-term consolidation phase after experiencing strong selling pressure previously. The current price is trading around the 0.13 – 0.14 area, approaching a major demand zone highlighted by the yellow box at 0.115 – 0.107, which has repeatedly acted as a strong reaction area.
From a structural perspective, the market has not yet formed a valid uptrend and remains range-bound, with increasing volatility as price approaches the demand zone.
---
Pattern & Price Structure
Range / Sideways Market Structure
Price is clearly moving within a range, with mid resistance around 0.17 – 0.18 and strong support at 0.115 – 0.107.
Equal Lows & Liquidity Sweep
Multiple similar lows formed near the demand zone indicate liquidity accumulation, suggesting potential smart money interest.
Rejection Candles from Demand
Previous strong rejections from the yellow zone confirm this area as an institutional accumulation zone, not just a regular support level.
This structure suggests the market is in a waiting phase, with the yellow zone acting as a key decision area.
---
Key Levels
Major Demand / Support: 0.115 – 0.107 (yellow zone)
Minor Support: 0.125 – 0.130
Mid Resistance: 0.150 – 0.155
Major Resistance: 0.170 – 0.180
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Bullish Scenario
The bullish scenario remains valid if:
1. Price holds above 0.115 – 0.107 without a daily close below it.
2. A higher low forms above the demand zone.
3. A strong break and daily close above 0.150 confirms bullish momentum.
Bullish Targets:
TP1: 0.150
TP2: 0.170
TP3 (extension): 0.185 – 0.200
This scenario indicates that the yellow zone serves as a strong accumulation base, allowing price to perform a mean reversion toward the upper range.
---
Bearish Scenario
The bearish scenario is triggered if:
1. Price makes a valid daily close below 0.107.
2. The demand zone fails to hold selling pressure.
3. Breakdown is accompanied by strong momentum or impulsive candles.
Bearish Targets:
TP1: 0.100
TP2: 0.092
TP3 (extension): 0.085
A breakdown below the yellow zone would shift the structure into a bearish continuation, opening room for further downside.
---
Conclusion
The yellow zone at 0.115 – 0.107 is a critical decision area. As long as price holds above this zone, the potential for a mid-term rebound and reversal remains valid. However, a daily close below this zone would be a strong signal that sellers are back in control.
The market is currently at a decision point, making proper risk management and price action confirmation essential.
#WLFIUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #Altcoin #DailyChart #DemandZone #SupportResistance #BullishScenario #BearishScenario #PriceAction #MarketStructure
EURUSD at Key Resistance | Fed Warsh Boosts DollarHey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around the 1.18500 zone.
EURUSD remains in a clear downtrend and is currently undergoing a corrective pullback, with price approaching the descending trendline and the 1.18500 key support–resistance zone. This area could act as a strong technical rejection zone in line with the broader bearish structure.
Fundamentally, the recent nomination of Kevin Warsh as the new Fed Chair is supporting a stronger US dollar bias in the short term. Warsh is widely viewed as a more hawkish and fiscally disciplined choice, which may reinforce expectations of tighter monetary conditions — adding further pressure on EURUSD to the downside.
As always, wait for price action confirmation at the zone before execution and manage risk accordingly.
Trade safe,
Joe
Gold Under Pressure | Fed Chair Warsh Fuels Sell Zone at 4,800Hey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are closely monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) for a potential selling opportunity around the 4,800 zone. Gold was previously trading in a strong uptrend and is now undergoing a corrective phase, approaching a key retracement level and the 4,800 support-turned-resistance area, which may act as a strong reaction zone.
From a fundamental perspective, the recent nomination of Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve Chair has reinforced expectations of a more hawkish and fiscally disciplined policy stance. This development is providing short-term strength to the US Dollar, which tends to be bearish for Gold, especially during corrective phases.
With both technical resistance and near-term USD strength aligning, Gold may face additional downside pressure before any broader trend continuation.
As always, wait for confirmation and manage risk responsibly.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Gold up 30%, then down nearly 16% what is really happening?Gold +30%, then -16%: What’s really happening?
In early 2026, gold surged over 30% in January alone — not due to technicals, but a crisis of confidence: Trump, geopolitics, and fears that the Fed could lose its independence.
Then gold dropped nearly 16%.
👉 This was not a normal pullback.
👉 It was a shift in confidence.
Gold rose because of Trump — so who caused the drop?
Markets believed Trump would install loyalists at the Fed → easy money → weaker USD → higher gold.
But Trump pivoted.
Instead of Kevin Hassett (Trump ally, dovish expectations), he surprised markets with:
👉 Kevin Warsh — a figure known for:
Resigning from the Fed in 2011 over opposition to excessive monetary easing
Rejecting cheap money and rate populism
Prioritizing long-term stability over short-term growth
👉 This was the opposite of what markets priced in.
Confidence returns to the Fed and the USD
Despite constant political pressure, Jerome Powell:
Refused to cut rates
Continued to base decisions on data, not politics
👉 Fed independence held
👉 USD credibility returned
As confidence shifted back to the USD:
Investors preferred yield-bearing dollars
Gold was no longer needed as a “fear hedge”
➡️ The sharp gold correction was the result.
The deeper issue: a battle of systems
Trust in the U.S. system → strong USD → pressure on gold
Loss of trust → weaker USD → gold rallies
Compared with China:
No independent central bank
High political intervention risk
Limited transparency
👉 This is why global capital still chooses the USD.
Conclusion
Gold doesn’t move on headlines.
👉 It moves on systemic confidence.
Confidence in USD returns → gold corrects
Confidence in USD breaks → gold rebounds fast
Next question:
If Kevin Warsh truly becomes Fed Chair, how should traders position?
👉 FOLLOW — choosing the wrong side in this phase is extremely costly.
Gold up 30%, then down nearly 16% what’s really going on?Since the start of 2026, gold surged over 30% in January alone — an extreme move driven by fears of systemic risk and global macro instability.
Then came the shock.
Gold corrected nearly 16% in a very short time.
This wasn’t a normal technical pullback.
It was a confidence shock.
The problem isn’t the chart.
👉 It’s trust.
Gold rose because of Trump — so why did it fall?
A major source of this volatility is Donald Trump.
Trump plays outside the old rulebook:
tariffs, sanctions, threats, pressure on allies and rivals alike.
More importantly, Christopher Waller, a Fed Governor directly appointed by Trump, is already inside the Federal Reserve system.
That alone was enough to spark fears that the Fed’s independence could be compromised — and those fears helped drive gold sharply higher earlier.
Then Trump flipped the script
Markets expected Trump to push one of his loyalists into the Fed Chair role.
Kevin Hassett
(close Trump adviser, former Chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers — a political “disciple”)
was widely rumored.
But Trump did not choose Hassett.
Instead, he shocked the market with:
👉 Kevin Warsh
Why this changed everything
Trump constantly pressures the Fed to cut rates.
Yet Kevin Warsh is firmly against easy money.
Former Fed Governor
Resigned in 2011 over excessive monetary expansion
Strongly opposed to sacrificing long-term stability for short-term growth
This nomination ran directly against market expectations.
And suddenly, confidence began to shift back.
Trust returns to the Fed — and the dollar
Despite political attacks and pressure,
the Fed under Jerome Powell has not cut rates.
Decisions remain data-driven, rule-based, and transparent.
That independence is why the world still trusts:
The Fed
The U.S. financial system
The U.S. dollar
👉 Trust in the Fed = trust in USD.
As trust flows back into the dollar,
investors prefer yield-bearing USD
over holding gold as a defensive hedge.
That’s why gold corrected —
not because of technicals,
but because confidence moved.
The deeper issue: a system-level battle
Gold ultimately reflects one core question:
👉 Does the world trust the U.S. system or China’s?
Strong trust in the U.S. → strong USD → pressure on gold
Loss of trust in the U.S. → weak USD → gold rallies
China’s system carries its own risks:
No independent central bank
Political intervention at any time
Opaque power dynamics (even internal rumors remain unclear)
That lack of transparency keeps many countries from fully committing.
Bottom line
Gold doesn’t move on headlines.
It moves on trust.
Trust toward USD → gold pulls back
Trust away from USD → gold comes back fast
In the next post:
If Kevin Warsh actually becomes Fed Chair,
👉 what should traders and investors prepare for?
If you don’t want to miss it,
hit FOLLOW.
Because in this market,
being on the wrong side is expensive.
EURUSD Under Pressure? Warsh Fed Pick Puts 1.19500 in Play!Hey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are closely monitoring EURUSD around the 1.19500 zone. EURUSD remains in a broader downtrend and is currently undergoing a corrective pullback, approaching a key trendline confluence and the 1.19500 support-turned-resistance area, which may act as a critical reaction zone.
From a fundamental perspective, markets are digesting President Trump’s announcement of Kevin Warsh as the new Fed Chair. Warsh is widely viewed as a conventional and fiscally disciplined choice, which could be USD-supportive in the near term. This shift in expectations may apply downside pressure on EURUSD, while also being short-term bearish for Gold, as tighter policy credibility supports the Dollar.
As always, wait for confirmation at key levels and manage risk accordingly.
Trade safe,
Joe.
AUDUSD Buy Setup | 0.69800 Support + Bullish Gold Prices!Hey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are closely monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.69800 zone. AUDUSD remains in a well-established bullish trend and is currently undergoing a healthy corrective pullback, approaching a key trendline confluence and the 0.69800 support-turned-resistance area, which may act as a strong demand zone for trend continuation.
From a fundamental perspective, the Australian Dollar often benefits from its positive correlation with Gold. With Gold prices maintaining a constructive bullish tone, this relationship could provide additional upside support for AUDUSD, reinforcing the bullish technical setup and favoring a continuation toward higher levels.
As always, wait for confirmation and manage risk responsibly.
Trade safe,
Joe.
#USDCAD , First one after many month !📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep
🔎 Instrument Focus: #USDCAD
⚠️ Risk Environment: High
📈 Technical Overview:
Not a Quality Setup as EJ ... just will observe it .... no need to rush on it
🚀 Trading Plan:
• Need Valid momentum Structure Close
• LTF ENTRY NEEDED ‼️
• Just and Only for QuickScalp
🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
THE BRUTAL TRUTH ABOUT GOLD Stop listening to the "price targets." They are all BULLSHIT. 🚫
The current move in Gold is a once-in-history event. Nobody knows where the ceiling is because there is no ceiling in a system that's breaking.
📍 THE NUMBERS: $4k? $8k? $10k? It's all on the table.
📍 THE STRATEGY: If you’re holding, DO NOT LET GO. If you’re out, find your entry NOW.
THE WARNING: ⚠️
This isn't a "bull market" celebration. It’s a warning. The aggressive buying tells us that the whales think SOMETHING BIG is coming. This isn't about local skirmishes ( war between Iran and US , or Greenland )—it’s about a global shift that changes everything. 📉🌍
We’ve lived through enough "historic events" from Corona to wars. We all hope for peace, but GOLD is screaming that the storm isn't over.
Protect yourself. The numbers don't lie. 💎🙌
#GOLD #XAUUSD #MARKETALERT #THEBIGONE #FINANCE2026 #HOLD
Is Gold Going Past 6000$- AnalysisGold has been going up for several reasons: Central banks around the world are buying gold at record volumes; Trump's threats of taking over Greenland and Iran are a clear violation of international law, which means that other conflicts around the world can start; Trump's threats of taking Greenland destabilize NATO relationships; China's Mineral Act puts immense pressure on metals such as Silver, which destabilizes supply chains all over the world; The Dollar keeps losing value, and this can be seen with EUR/USD that is around 1.2; FED might lower rates in the future, which helps gold's value rise compared to the dollar.
The reasons for which gold can rise to 6k per ounce might be there. The main reasons revolve around wars that might destabilise the world we live in (Greenland and Iran being taken over), but I believe it mainly involves around new wars that might occur due to a violation of international law by Trump. Now, Gold prices can drop really hard if all these wars settle, Trump makes a deal with China regarding minerals and he stabilizes the US relationship with NATO members, but it seems very unlikely to happen fast. Nonetheless, gold might actually rise to 6k but beware of risks such as it dropping hard in the near future as this gold rise might only be hyper speculation. Don't forget that these institutions buying gold have to sell their gold to realise their unrealized profit, so don't become exit liquidity by buying at any levels. Do your due diligence first before buying in.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Asset prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not a licensed financial advisor or professional trader. I am not personally liable for your own losses; this is not financial advice.
Gold breaks $5600 post FOMC: Dissents, Iran & path to $6kGold extended its record-breaking rally to a fresh high of ~$5,620 on Thursday, driven by a perfect storm of dollar weakness, Fed uncertainty, and escalating geopolitical risks. In this video, we analyse why the precious metal is surging despite the Fed holding rates and map out the long-term path to the psychological $6,000 target.
Key topics :
Fundamental catalyst : How the Fed’s decision to hold rates, marred by two dissents and the ongoing investigation into Chair Powell, has shattered confidence in the central bank.
Geopolitics & dollar : We discuss the impact of President Trump’s "speed and violence" warning to Iran and why the US dollar has collapsed to 4-year lows despite "strong dollar" rhetoric from the Treasury.
Weekly chart : A look at the multi-year Elliott Wave 5 structure. We have cleared the 3.618 extension at 5,350 and are now eyeing the 4.236 Fibonacci extension, which aligns perfectly with $6,000.
Short-term setup : On the 4-hour chart, price is testing the 200% extension near $5,600. And guess what? The 261.8% also aligns with the $6,000 mark. But we identify the key support levels that must hold to sustain this parabolic move.
Is the move to $6k inevitable, or is a pullback due? Let us know in the comments!
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
#EURJPY , Gonna be sweet with us ?📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep
🔎 Instrument Focus: #EURJPY
⚠️ Risk Environment: High
📈 Technical Overview:
Not a Quality Setup , if it Moves Perfectly will take it , if not .... just let it go
🚀 Trading Plan:
• Need Valid momentum Structure over the POI
• LTF ENTRY NEEDED
• Just and Only for QuickScalp
🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bearish SignalSell Setup Entry: Current levels / around ~5,260–5,263 (post-support breakout on 5m chart)
Target: ~5,233–5,240 (lower structure / previous low area)
Invalidation: Sustained reclaim above 5,273
Reason: Clear break below key support zone + elevated crash risk heading into tonight's FOMC decision (potential USD strength or risk-off move on hawkish tone / no-cut confirmation).Monitor closely around announcement for volatility spike.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #Breakout #FOMC #Fed #GoldCrash #TechnicalAnalysisNot financial advice — Purely technical observation from the chart. Trading carries very high risk, especially around FOMC. DYOR and manage risk strictly.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Signal Buy Setup Entry: ~5,266 (Demand Zone after full retracement complete on 5m chart)
Target: ~5,290–5,300 (next resistance area)
Invalidation: Sustained break below 5,254
Reason: Price completed retracement into strong demand zone — buyers defending this level for potential continuation higher. Wait for bullish confirmation before entry.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #DemandZone #GoldTrading #Investing #PreciousMetals #InvestorNot financial advice — Technical observation only. Trading carries high risk of loss. DYOR and manage risk properly.
USD/AUD Outlook: RBA Hawkishness Meets Dollar DebasementThe USD/AUD currency pair is undergoing a significant structural repricing. A convergence of persistent Australian inflation and a politically engineered devaluation of the U.S. Dollar has created a powerful bearish trend for the pair (favoring a stronger Australian Dollar).
Macroeconomics: The Inflation Divergence
The primary economic driver is the divergence in monetary policy lifecycles. Australia’s consumer inflation accelerated to 3.6% in the fourth quarter of 2025, exceeding the RBA’s 2–3% target. Monthly data for December printed at 3.8%, forcing the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to maintain a restrictive "higher for longer" stance.
Conversely, the U.S. macro outlook is dominated by fiscal concerns. With U.S. debt approaching $39 trillion, markets are pricing in a higher risk premium for holding U.S. assets. This fundamental mismatch, an RBA forced to fight sticky inflation versus a U.S. regime tolerating currency weakness, creates a distinct downward pressure on USD/AUD.
Industry Trends: Housing as an Inflation Engine
A sector-specific analysis reveals that housing costs are the engine room of Australian inflation, rising 5.5% in December. This reflects deep supply chain constraints and elevated construction costs.
Unlike transitory price shocks, housing inflation is sticky. It spreads across consumption sectors, including "Recreation and Culture," indicating broad-based demand. This industry trend virtually eliminates the possibility of near-term RBA rate cuts, solidifying the Australian Dollar's yield advantage.
Management and Leadership: Policy Culture Clash
The fluctuation is also a result of conflicting leadership styles.
The RBA (Prudence): Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser and Governor Michele Bullock represent a culture of orthodox central banking. They have explicitly ruled out near-term easing, prioritizing mandate compliance over popular sentiment.
The White House (Disruption): President Trump’s management style involves "verbal intervention." His recent comments that the dollar is "doing great" while it plummeted removed the executive safety net. This signaled to traders that the administration implicitly supports a weaker currency to boost exports.
Geopolitics and Geostrategy: The Debasement Trade
Geostrategically, the U.S. Dollar is facing a crisis of confidence dubbed the "debasement trade." Investors are rotating capital out of the USD and into emerging markets and gold to hedge against fiscal unpredictability.
Trump’s tariff threats and unpredictability have alienated allied capital. The market views this not just as a tactical dip, but as a strategic withdrawal of foreign liquidity from U.S. Treasury markets. This geopolitical friction weakens the USD’s status as the ultimate safe haven, benefiting high-beta currencies like the AUD.
Technology and High-Tech: The Algorithmic Shift
In the domain of financial technology, derivatives markets are flashing warning signals. Data from the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation shows turnover hitting near-record levels.
Algorithmic trading systems are aggressively pricing "risk reversals," with premiums on short-dated options favoring a weaker dollar. This high-tech market sentiment indicates that institutional machines are programmed to sell USD rallies, exacerbating the downward volatility.
Conclusion: A Structural Downtrend
The USD/AUD pair is caught between a rock and a hard place. Australia’s resilient economy (growing at 2.1%) and sticky inflation demand a strong currency to dampen prices. Simultaneously, the U.S. political apparatus is dismantling the "strong dollar" doctrine.
Unless the RBA pivots unexpectedly or the U.S. fiscal outlook stabilizes, the path of least resistance for USD/AUD remains lower.
THE DOLLAR IS CRACKING | HISTORIC 4-YEAR LOWS 🚨 THE DOLLAR IS CRACKING | HISTORIC 4-YEAR LOWS 🚨
The TVC:DXY (USD Index) has officially reached a critical tipping point. We haven't seen these levels in 4 years, and the global markets are feeling the heat. This is the definition of a "Make or Break" zone.
📉 THE CRITICAL LEVEL: 94
The dollar is currently hovering at 96. If we see a weekly candle close below 94, the dollar officially enters a structural breakdown.
* If it breaks: It will be "hard" to ever recover that ground.
* The Result: A massive capital flight into hard assets—most notably GOLD.
💰 MARKET SNAPSHOT (TODAY):
* 💵 USD Index: 96.00
* 🟡 GOLD: $5,266
* ⚪️ SILVER: $115.2
* 📈 Nasdaq: 26,210
* 💷 GBP/USD: 1.3812
* 🇦🇪 XAU/AED: 19312
THOUGHTS: The inverse correlation is screaming. As the Dollar loses its grip, Gold and Silver are entering a new era of price discovery. This week's close determines the next decade of macro trends.
Stay sharp. Stay hedged. 🛡
---
✨ ✨
The pulse of the markets.
Silver have more room to surgeSilver briefly surged to a new record high, exceeding 116 USD/ounce, before consolidating around 110 USD/ounce, propelled by escalating geopolitical tensions initiated by the US. Markets anticipate a "polycrisis" as the new paradigm, disrupting the post-World War II global order. Consequently, investors are diversifying away from Gold into other precious metals, such as Silver and Palladium.
The Gold/Silver ratio collapsed from a peak of 110 to 46, trending toward the 2011 low of 32. Persistent geopolitical risks could drive prices to the 160–200 USD/ounce range. Silver maintains a high correlation with Gold but exhibits a higher standard deviation, which may amplify price gains—particularly as supply deficits loom due to surging demand from the energy transition and AI infrastructure.
Technically, XAGUSD retreated to test the EMA21 before rebounding above both expanding EMAs, signaling a continued uptrend.
If price surpasses the recent swing high, XAGUSD could target the 227.2% Fibonacci extension at 131.
Conversely, failure to sustain levels above the EMA21 may trigger a retest of the lower trendline boundary.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Exness
Gold ATH Is Not Random – It’s a War to Defend the USDBombs and bullets are just smoke screens.
The real war is about who still controls the world’s money.
And that’s why Trump appears at the right time.
This is not a shooting war.
It’s a war to protect the US dollar.
If you look at US actions separately, everything feels messy:
Pressure on Iran
Sanctions and control over Venezuela
Tough stance with Russia, yet still talking
For new traders → it looks chaotic.
But once you put everything on one chessboard, there’s only one objective:
👉 Make sure the world still needs USD.
Not oil.
Not Iran.
Not Venezuela.
👉 Settlement currency.
Why is USD so important?
The US today:
Doesn’t compete on cheap labor
Doesn’t mass-produce low-cost goods
Doesn’t live off exports
👉 The US lives on money and the financial system.
If USD loses its central role:
Printing money becomes hard
National debt becomes a real burden
Military power loses its “credit-backed” strength
👉 Lose USD = lose superpower status.
Where does the real problem start?
Some countries sell oil to China without using USD, instead using:
Chinese yuan
Bilateral swaps
Systems outside US control
👉 For the US, this is a direct attack on the foundation of its power,
without firing a single bullet.
So what is Trump doing?
Not fighting to seize oil.
Not fighting to take land.
👉 Trump is making non-USD oil trading risky.
Very pragmatic moves:
Creating controlled instability
Disrupting “off-system” oil flows
Forcing countries back to USD because… it’s safer
A simple example for traders
Imagine a market where only one currency is accepted.
You want to buy anything?
You must use that currency.
One day, some stalls say:
“We’ll accept another currency. It’s cheaper.”
The market owner doesn’t shut them down.
He just:
Makes selling harder
Increases delivery risks
Tightens inspections
👉 Eventually, those stalls go back to the old currency to avoid headaches.
That’s exactly how USD and oil work.
Putting it all together – the trader’s view
Iran – Venezuela – Middle East
These are not random events.
👉 This is a war to maintain the monetary order.
Trump:
Isn’t fighting for oil
Isn’t fighting for morality
👉 He’s fighting for the settlement currency.
Anyone who makes the world less dependent on USD
automatically becomes a target.
CONCLUSION – trader style, slightly sarcastic 😄
Gold ATH is not the market being crazy.
👉 It’s the result of a war to protect the global “toll currency.”
If you understand this:
Charts feel less “stupid”
You stop wanting to short every high candle
Your account suffers less heart attacks
But wait 😄
The real question is:
If the big players are fighting a monetary chess game,
where should retail traders stand to avoid getting wiped out?
In the next part, I’ll talk about:
Why SELLING gold at ATH is extremely hard to survive
When chasing BUYs is stupid – and when it’s actually right
How traders can protect their rice bowl when the chart runs like it’s being chased
👉 If this hits home, drop a 🚀
Enough 🚀 and I’ll continue – no secrets 😏
NOVO: The Pawn That Refused to Fall – Triangle Breakout ImminentThe Thesis: Novo Nordisk (NOVO_B / NVO) just survived the ultimate geopolitical stress test. With the recent threats regarding US tariffs on Denmark (the "Greenland leverage"), Novo was the perfect pawn in a high-stakes negotiation. The market panic briefly flushed the price down to test critical support, but the rebound was instant and violent. This tells me one thing: There are no sellers left. The underlying demand is massive.
Technical Setup: The First Consolidation We are currently witnessing the completion of the first major consolidation phase within the newly birthed uptrend. After reclaiming the 200-Day Moving Average (the black line), the stock has coiled into a classic Bullish Triangle / Pennant formation.
Support Held: The 200 DMA was successfully defended as a "floor" during the political volatility.
The Pattern: We are compressing between rising lows and a flat resistance. This energy is about to release to the upside.
The Trade:
Breakout & Targets We are looking for a clean break above the upper trendline of this triangle to trigger the next leg up.
🎯 Mid-Term Target: 450 – 480 DKK (This zone represents the next major structural resistance and gap-fill area from 2024. Once we clear the psychological 400 level, there is very little air resistance up to 450.)
🛡️ Invalidation (Stop Loss): Close below 375 DKK (If we lose the 200 DMA and the recent "Greenland Lows", the thesis is invalid.)
Verdict: The political noise was a bear trap. The trend is real. The consolidation is ending. I am long and strong with my option trades.
Miss the latest TACO trade? Gold hit a fresh record above $4,800 on Wednesday as investors moved into safe havens amid fresh tariff threats from the White House.
That move is now unwinding. In a social media post, President Donald Trump said he no longer plans to impose tariffs on European countries that opposed his ambitions for the US to acquire Greenland. He wrote: “I will not be imposing the Tariffs that were scheduled to go into effect on February 1st.”
US equities rallied on the shift. The Dow jumped 588.64 points, while the SP500 rose 1.16% and the Nasdaq gained 1.18%.
Gold gave back earlier gains. While gold remains historically high, the removal of the February 1st tariff deadline has punctured the immediate US risk premium.
CoreWeave: The Trump-Backed AI Power PlayPresidential portfolios rarely scream "growth stock," but recent financial disclosures change the narrative. Donald Trump purchased over $50 million in corporate bonds, including debt from AI infrastructure unicorn CoreWeave (CRWV). This move places the GPU cloud provider alongside established industrial titans. Investors must now decide if this political endorsement aligns with fundamental value.
Geopolitics and Geostrategy
The executive branch views Artificial Intelligence as a sovereign asset. CoreWeave’s infrastructure directly supports U.S. dominance in the global AI arms race. By financing domestic GPU capabilities, the administration signals a strategic pivot away from foreign reliance. This investment acts as a tacit endorsement of CoreWeave’s role in national security. The company is no longer just a cloud provider; it is a critical national infrastructure.
Business Models and Economics
CoreWeave rejects the speculative excesses of the dot-com era. Management utilizes a disciplined "take-or-pay" revenue model. They only deploy capital expenditure after signing five-year customer contracts. These agreements cover infrastructure costs and debt service immediately. This strategy reduced financing costs significantly, securing recent funding at highly competitive rates. The company builds to meet existing demand, not anticipated hype.
Industry Trends and Financials
The financial data reveals explosive momentum. Third-quarter revenue hit $1.4 billion, a staggering 134% year-over-year increase. The revenue backlog swelled to $55 billion, nearly quadrupling since the year began. This backlog confirms that demand for high-performance computing far outstrips supply. Unlike legacy cloud providers, CoreWeave offers pure-play AI exposure.
Technology and Innovation
Hardware is useless without intelligent orchestration. CoreWeave’s proprietary software, "Mission Control," serves as its technological moat. This layer autonomously manages operations to maximize performance and extend GPU lifespan. Industry experts awarded CoreWeave the exclusive Platinum ClusterMAX ranking twice. No other cloud provider holds this distinction. This technical superiority drives customer retention, evidenced by early contract renewals at near-original prices.
Management and Leadership
Executive leadership actively mitigates concentration risk. At the start of 2025, a single customer held 85% of the backlog. Today, no client exceeds 35%. Furthermore, over 60% of this backlog now comes from investment-grade entities. Management proved their transparency by lowering 2025 guidance due to third-party construction delays. They prioritized realistic communication over inflating short-term expectations.
Macroeconomics and Future Outlook
The macroeconomic environment favors infrastructure builders. Forecasts suggest revenue will skyrocket to $29 billion by 2028. Adjusted earnings per share could swing from a loss to $4.51 in the same period. If the stock trades at a reasonable 35x forward earnings, CRWV offers over 55% upside. The market consensus rates the stock a "Strong Buy" with a $124.70 price target.
Conclusion
CoreWeave combines political tailwinds with elite technical execution. The Trump debt purchase validates the company's stability. However, the $55 billion backlog serves as the true buy signal. For investors seeking direct exposure to the engine room of the AI economy, CoreWeave represents a high-conviction opportunity.






















