HLU - Trio Retest: Where Structure Meets Opportunity!Homeland Uranium TSXV:HLU just secured a long-forgotten 35-million-pound uranium deposit in Colorado, originally discovered in 1979 and abandoned when the nuclear industry collapsed.
With uranium prices up 141% in four years , and global demand expected to jump another 28% by 2030 , Homeland is positioning itself inside a powerful multi-year commodity cycle few investors are watching.
Add AI-driven power demand, national security concerns, and new U.S. policies fast-tracking domestic uranium, and HLU becomes a high-conviction asymmetric energy play.
📊 Technical Analysis
After surging by over 160% , HLU has been in a healthy correction phase, trading within the falling channel marked in red.
However, from a long-term perspective, HLU remains overall bullish, trading within the rising broadening wedge pattern.
The orange circle represents a massive rejection point, the intersection of three confluences, what I call a TRIO RETEST :
- The lower bound of the rising wedge pattern
- The lower bound of the falling channel, acting as an oversold zone
- The structure marked in blue
As HLU approaches the orange zone, we will be looking for trend-following longs.
For the bulls to confirm long-term control and kickstart the next big impulse upward, a break above the falling red channel is needed.
💡 Bigger Picture
Here’s why the fundamentals add fuel to the technical setup:
- A $2.7B uranium prize reclaimed for pennies: Homeland acquired a 35-million-pound U.S. uranium deposit for just $0.15/lb, material now worth nearly $80/lb.
- Trump’s Day-One energy orders: New executive actions prioritize U.S. nuclear power and domestic uranium production. Homeland controls a rare U.S.-based asset right as the policy tide shifts.
- AI is outgrowing the grid: Microsoft, Google, and Oracle are moving toward nuclear due to soaring power needs. Homeland owns the fuel they’ll need.
- National security tailwind: The U.S. imports 98% of its uranium. Russia banned exports. China is hoarding supply. Homeland’s American deposit is uniquely strategic.
📘 Bottom line
HLU is sitting at a key technical zone while the macro, political, and energy narratives align in its favor. If the TRIO retest holds, the next bullish impulse could unfold from a position of both structural and fundamental strength.
📌 Always do your own research and consult your financial advisor before investing.
📚 Stick to your trading plan, entry, risk management, and execution.
All strategies are good, if managed properly.
~ Richard Nasr
Uranium
Uranium Energy Corp Weekly Outlook (Count 1)Here is my weekly outlook on AMEX:UEC .
UEC is one of my bigger holdings, I've added at various times as shown on the chart (see green dashed lines).
In this outlook i am viewing the price action from the lows in Mar 2020 to the end point of wave (1) as a leading diagonal pattern. After that we have seen wave (2) and another wave 1 and 2 in the red degree (red wave 2 may not be complete yet).
Are we next going to see a breakout in red wave 3? the case for this will be helped if the COMEX:UX2! Uranium Futures chart plays out as predicted along with LSE:YCA & TSX:U.UN ...see my linked charts
More comments on the chart!
Note: My analysis is more focused on price levels as opposed to wave duration, so bear that in mind if you see a particular price level at a certain date in the future and think i'm rigid on both price and time.
Urally Need To See ThisUranium is poised for a move. Charts show demand is ramping up and supply is slow to catch it as world leaders slowly catch on to it's inevitable necessity. As long as commodities hold up, URA should stay on trend and begin to take it's next leg up from the bottom of the channel.
Should prices break down, it could mean a plunge lower to the fib retracement levels. Sooner or later though, the yellow cake wants to go to 66
UX2! Uranium Futures Daily OutlookDaily update on the previously posted weekly outlook on COMEX:UX2! Uranium futures. Price is potentially making a i, ii, (i), (ii) with a bullish outbreak looming. Nice moves today on LSE:YCA and TSX:U.UN which i have covered recently, but need to update. The miners have moved more, haven't checked the news, but if Spot breaks out as the chart suggests then not going to hurt the upside is it!! More comments on the chart.
OKLO: watching for top formation NYSE:OKLO : as long as price remains below the 175–183 local resistance zone, I’m watching for at least a mid-term top formation, with selling pressure likely to start dominating. The first support levels to watch are 135–125.
A confirmed break above 183 would shift the odds toward one more upside leg into the 210 macro-resistance area.
Chart:
Macro view:
Previously:
On macro-bottom potential (May 1): www.tradingview.com
Natural Gas Full Bear After Inventories!Natural GAs plummeted today on inventory report.
The consensus was for 76BCF build but came in higher at 80BCF build.
This demonstrates less demand and higher production.
The technical picture is slowly starting to breakdown for Nat Gas...the bulls need to do something quick to firm up price or we run the risk of the weekly downtrend taking hold.
next key area to watch will be a retest of the 3.30 zone.
Simultaneously you need to be monitoring inter market analysis (ie. watch Nat gas resource stock to see how their price action responds).
We booked profits on a small Boil long scalp today.
Daily Outlook On YCA Yellow Cake PLCThis is my Daily time frame outlook on LSE:YCA . In the weekly view I posted recently I was looking for a breakout of the consolidation in wave 3, so far this looks to be playing out. I'm again looking for a continuation higher. I did add to my position shortly after posting the weekly outlook, declared on X but forgot to mention here, entry is shown on the chart. Spot uranium looks to be moving higher, potentially in a wave 3, and again in line with my outlook. So as mentioned on the chart comments, the levels of the impulse could get stretched if spot really gets moving.
Macro & Technical Signals: IWM, Uranium, Dollar, Oil, ALAB, LULUIn todays video we discuss the breakdown in small caps and high beta stocks.
A macro shift could be unfolding today as we saw the dollar & oil rally all day.
Uranium & gold saw some distribution.
Financials reversed off the highs.
High Beta stocks that have rallied are softening up.
SPX has triggered a near term bearish pattern while losing the 7 day MA.
$UUUUTrump’s executive orders to ease Nuclear reactor regulations and improve fuel supply chains, boosting nuclear energy demand.
Before 2025 started, once Trump won the election I was certain he would eventually pass executive order(s) and/or make political deals to ease nuclear reactor regulations and improve fuel supply chains, naturally boosting nuclear energy demand. This does not just affect AMEX:UUUU it also affects most of the Nuclear Energy stocks and Uranium-related stocks, like AMEX:UEC , NASDAQ:CEG , NASDAQ:NNE , NYSE:OKLO etc.
We should see most of these stocks continue to grow in value throughout 2025 at the very least. I don't know yet how they will fair in 2026 though 2025 should continue to be a good year for nuclear energy and uranium stocks :)
LTBR Lightbridge-Any Day Now LTBR is on the cusp of a violent move, strongly favored to the upside. Timingwise, This should break within days. Should it break soon, the potential for a very violent move is on the table assuming new highs will be reached, by the FOMC meeting. This would likely coincide with a intermediate market top on the FOMC meeting SEPT17
Tesla, Nio, XPEV breakout ahead of NVdA earnings tomorrowTesla is breaking out of a daily chart wedge pattern.
This pattern suggest a move to 400 could occur as long as the indices don't fall on NVDA earnings.
If you look at how some of the China ADR EV companies have performed, Tesla could be well on its way to replicating a move.
All eyes on NVDA earnings tomorrow. Heading into the print with a 58 PE and looking like it wants new highs.
NVDA guidance will once again be crucial for the market. $46B revenue estimate is likely to be beat.
We secured profits on the massive nuclear pop today. SMR calls printed over 100%
Denison Mines: A very bullish chartDenison Mines is on the verge of breaking a 14 years consolidation.
The whole sector of uranium has been very strong in 2025 but the price of uranium itself hasn't moved that much and neither most of the small and mid cap names in the space. I'm expecting those to start waking up soon and when they do, their moves can be very powerful.
"The longer the range, the bigger the breakout" is a famous quote in trading. Let say how this one plays out above $2.45.
New Bear Market? Heavy Tech SelloffToday the markets were shattered by weakness in mega cap tech.
All major leading companies in the QQQ were severely down.
We saw the majority of the S&P 500 sectors green with health care leading the charge.
Despite all indices closing negative this was not a full fledge market sell.
Commodities were hit across the board. Gold, Nat gas, Oil, Uranium, Silver were all down.
It seems the market is de risking into J Powell Jackson Hole meeting on Thursday / Friday.
Today we closed out NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:PLTR short & trimmed AMEX:MSOS puts for over 105%
We were very active on the option and swing trading side of the market.
News mentions of Nuclear this & Uranium that, whats the Macro?This is a look into the macro developments happening currently in UROY.
This is strictly a TA look into the big picture. We zoom out to Timeframes bigger than 1W.
At times zooming in to check (3 Day, 5 Day, maybe 1D) for potential swing trades.
I tend to look into things like price action, indicators, volume and other data to sway probabilities of where an asset may go and determine best opportunities of supply and demand zones based on my interpretations.
So jumping right in this is a look into price action on the 1 Month timeframe.
Looks to me like a massive macro falling wedge.
But theres massive volume. So thats a little contradicting.
In anycase always look for confirmation of breakouts.
On another negative note: this is only 5 years of data. Would have loved more price data.
Also note potential bullish cross of STOCH RSI, a momentum indicator. Still need confirmation though. If blue and orange line above 20 level on STOCH at monthly candle close.
COuld be a positive.
But key is to watch for confluence of many signs and or indicators.
I will be keeping my eyes on this.
Look for more posts as things develop on UROY.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Uranium The Epic Explosion!Global uranium demand is up to rise about 28% by 2030, driven by clean-energy pushes, nuclear restarts (e.g., Japan), and advanced modular reactors
Kazakhstan’s largest producer, Kazatomprom, cut its 2025 production forecast by ~17% due to logistical hurdles and resource constraints
Iran signaled openness to discussions with European counterparts aimed at curbing its uranium enrichment levels. However, seasoned diplomacy and regional conflict issues complicate prospects for an agreement
Bottom line: Uranium markets are tightening due to production cuts and geopolitical risk, while long-range demand is gaining momentum thanks to nuclear expansion and emerging energy technologies.






















