Move on, nothing to see hereSideways movement predicted for USDCNH till the end of 2017. Nothing to see here, move on to another pair.
Fundamentals
-CNY fixing
(Higher swaps -> lesser short interest)
(Authority looking to keep yuan stable. Volatile Yuan -> Bad for economy)
-Fed Rate Decision
(Yuan least affected by fed decision -> see capital flows for direction of currency)
-Balance of Payments
(Don't expect BOP to deviate in extreme fashion -> See FX reserves)
-Devalued Yuan is providing support to economy -> improvement in industrial profits
Technicals
Strong resistance at 7.0, Support expected to deviate between 6.7 - 6.75
Black Swan Events
-Real Estate Bubble pops - 20% (Personally, I do not expect the bubble to pop in 2017. Open for debate)
No further explanation needed
-Donald Trump - 5% (North Korea deal informally reached? -> See Xi's visit to US)
"China is a currency manipulator" -> competitive devaluation
USDHKD
Triple Bottom on USDHKDHello traders,
I am always on the lookout for ranging markets.
If we have triple bottoms formation then thats
a good way to go long.
The risk on buying that support is next to nothing.
If that never happens then you could buy on the breakout of resistance straight away
and set your target on the next resistance.
Trade safe, trade well
USDHKD: Time at mode signal predicts even this managed floatVery clear how the Time at mode downtrend signal here predicted the end of the decline in time...
Now we have a long signal, and it's likely to return to the 7.79 handle.
If you can trade this pair and margin requirements don't kill you, you can go long at market with stops under yesterday's low.
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.



