USDJPY H4 | Falling towards overlap supportUSD/JPY is falling towards the buy entry, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 145.89, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 144.65, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 147.85, which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY
USDJPY Set to drop to support?USDJPY trade setup for today :
Before we look at potential entry in this pair first let’s look at multiple timeframe analysis in this market.
Monthly: 150.79 Monthly resistance price has got rejection strongly from the top
Weekly: Previous weekly closed with bearish engulfing patter with liquidity grab.
Daily: Upon formation of head and shoulder price has got rejection with a strong momentum and price may continue to drop to support level.
Entry timeframe 4H : As price has confirmed cross over of 20ema and 10ema we may see price continue to drop to daily support level.
Possible trade recommendation : Bearish with SL above the sessions high.
USDJPY protracted sideways consolidation The USDJPY pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 148.90, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 148.90 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 146.10, followed by 145.40 and 144.60 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 148.90 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 149.75, then 150.20.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 148.90. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USD/JPY) Bullish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY (2H) analysis you shared:
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Technical Breakdown
1. Price Action & Zone
Price retraced into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) / demand zone (yellow box) around 147.00 – 147.40.
Strong buying interest is visible from this zone.
2. Falling Wedge Pattern
A falling wedge has formed, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern.
Price is attempting to break out above wedge resistance, showing potential for upside momentum.
3. EMA (200 Close)
Price is interacting with the 200 EMA (147.58), serving as dynamic resistance.
A sustained breakout above this EMA would confirm bullish continuation.
4. RSI (14)
RSI currently around 46–50, suggesting neutral momentum with room for upside.
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Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: On breakout & retest of wedge / demand zone.
Target: 148.680 (as marked).
Invalidation: Below 146.60 (clear break under demand/FVG zone).
Mr SMC Trading point
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This setup suggests a bullish reversal from support, with a likely push toward 148.68 after wedge breakout.
please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Aims Fresh SurgeMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Aims Fresh Surge
USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above 148.20.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY climbed higher above the 147.00 and 147.40 levels.
- There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 147.70 on the hourly chart.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh upward move from 146.20. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 146.50 against the Japanese Yen.
It even cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and 147.50. The pair climbed above 148.00 and traded as high as 148.10. It’s now consolidating gains above the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 146.73 swing low to the 148.10 high.
The current price action above 147.40 is positive. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near a bearish trend line at 147.70 and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The first key hurdle is near 147.95. If there is a close above 147.95 and the RSI moves above 50, the pair could rise toward 148.10. The next major stop for the bulls could be 148.50, above which the pair could test 150.00 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is 147.40. The next area of interest for buyers could be near the 76.4% Fib retracement at 147.05.
If there is a close below 147.05, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward 146.20. Any more losses might open the doors for a drop to 145.00.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D20 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W34 | D20 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:USDJPY
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) recovered from a slight decline during the Asian session caused by mixed domestic data and on Wednesday showed positive dynamics for the second day in a row against the strengthening US dollar (USD). A government report showed that core orders for machinery and equipment in Japan unexpectedly rose in June. However, this was offset by a decline in Japanese exports in July for the third consecutive month, raising concerns about the outlook for the export-dependent economy. This added to uncertainty about the likely timing of the next interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and triggered some intraday selling of the Japanese yen.
On the other hand, the US dollar is attracting some follow-up buying for the third day in a row amid a decline in the likelihood of more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This is proving to be another factor providing some support for the USD/JPY pair. Nevertheless, traders still consider it more likely that the Fed will resume its cycle of rate cuts in September. In contrast, the Bank of Japan is expected to stick to its policy normalization course and raise interest rates before the end of the year. This, in turn, could limit the US dollar's gains and help contain deeper losses for the lower-yielding Japanese yen ahead of the FOMC minutes release.
Trade recommendation: SELL 147.10, SL 148.00, TP 146.20
USDJPY: Multi-Timeframe Liquidity Hunt Setup - Monthly OutlookSharing my longer-term perspective on USDJPY with a two-phase liquidity scenario. 📊
**🎯 The Big Picture:**
I'm expecting a classic two-phase move: first a liquidity hunt down to the lower purple line (white-boxed zone), followed by a strong rally up to the upper purple line. This would represent my ideal scenario for the coming months. 📈
**📍 Liquidity Zones Explained:**
The purple lines (highlighted in white boxes) represent key liquidity zones where stops are likely parked. Markets love to sweep these levels before making their real moves - it's textbook institutional behavior. 💰
**⏰ Timing Expectations:**
I expect the downside liquidity hunt to occur within the remaining days of this month or early next month. These moves often happen faster than people anticipate. ⚡
**🛡️ Invalidation Level:**
The yellow line marks the low of a strong weekly bullish candle - a significant structural point. If price breaks below this level, it would invalidate this bullish scenario entirely. 🚨
**🧠 Why This Setup Makes Sense:**
This type of liquidity grab followed by reversal is classic market mechanics. The lower liquidity zone represents trapped shorts and protective stops - perfect fuel for the eventual rally to the upper target. 🔄
**⚠️ Risk Management:**
Clear invalidation point below the yellow line, targeting the upper liquidity zone for a clean setup with defined parameters. 🎯
📈 **This trade setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 5:1.** Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 16.67%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. 🧠
💡 **Pro Tip**: If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. ✅
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**Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates.
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*Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
USD/JPY - Triangle Breakout (20.08.2025)The USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Ascending Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 146.82
2nd Support – 146.40
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY: Simple Role Reversal Play - Fibonacci RetracementSharing my straightforward read on USDJPY for the immediate term. 🎯
**📍 The Setup:**
I'm expecting a role reversal move back toward the recent range highs. After that initial bounce, I'm looking for a stronger upward move targeting approximately the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the larger range structure. 📊
**⏰ Timing Expectations:**
If this scenario plays out, it should happen within the next day or two. Currency moves often have tight timing windows, and this setup has that "ready to go" feel to it. ⚡
**🎯 Why This Makes Sense:**
Role reversals at key levels are bread-and-butter setups. Former resistance becomes support, and the market often tests these flipped levels before continuing the broader move. Simple market mechanics. 🔄
**🧠 Keep It Simple:**
Sometimes the best trades are the most obvious ones. No complex analysis needed here - just clean technical levels and patient execution. 📈
📈 **This trade setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 5:1.** Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 16.67%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. 🧠
💡 **Pro Tip**: If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. ✅
---
**Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates.
---
*Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 148.73
1st Support: 146.91
1st Resistance: 150.78
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
Bearish Reversal : 147.650
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
1 hour ago
Trade closed manually
Avoid Closed Near entry 147.800
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
Bearish Reversal : 147.700
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY H4 | Bearish reversal USD/JPY is rising towards the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 148.67, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 150.81, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 146.37, which is a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Would Firm Treasury Yield Continue to Support USDJPY?Fundamental approach:
- USDJPY edged higher this week amid resilient US growth signals and firm Treasury yields, while dovish-leaning BoJ communication kept Japanese rates anchored. Risk sentiment was mixed ahead of Fed minutes and Jackson Hole.
- US data and Fed repricing supported the US dollar as markets weighed sticky services momentum and steady consumption into Jul, focusing on how minutes may shape Sep cut odds.
- In Japan, authorities maintained vigilance on FX moves and inflation normalization, but BoJ policy settings and modest wage/inflation follow-through limited Yen support.
- USDJPY could remain supported if Fed minutes and Jackson Hole skew hawkish, while any signs of softer US demand or a stronger BoJ tilt could cap gains. Upcoming US PMIs and durable goods, plus Tokyo CPI, may recalibrate rate differentials.
Technical approach:
- USDJPY is sideways above the key support at 147.00. The price is slightly above both EMAs and within the ascending channels, indicating a potential upward movement.
- If USDJY remains above 147.00 and both EMAs, the price may retest the resistance at 148.60.
- On the contrary, closing below support at 147.00 may prompt a decline to retest the following support at 146.00, which is confluent with the ascending channel's lower bound.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D19 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W34 | D19 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:USDJPY
Everything’s Aligned: USDJPY Buy Setup Locked and LoadedHey friends 👋
I’ve prepared a fresh USDJPY analysis for you.
I’m planning to open a buy position around 146.631 or 146.451, targeting the 147.700 level.
Also, today’s upcoming U.S. economic data will play a key role from a fundamental analysis perspective.
Every single like you send is my biggest source of motivation to keep sharing these insights. Huge thanks to everyone supporting me 🙏
Nikkei 225 & USD/JPY AnalysisThe Nikkei 225 has reached new all-time highs (almost reaching 44,000), driven by strong domestic economic indicators and robust corporate earnings.
The yen has strengthened against the US dollar, influenced by
1) speculation over the timing of a rate cut from the FOMC, and
2) the Bank of Japan's hawkish stance and expectations of interest rate hikes.
(narrowing of monetary policy between the two countries)
Historically, a weaker yen (rising USD/JPY - thin blue line) has been beneficial for Japanese exporters, leading to increased corporate earnings and, consequently, a rising Nikkei 225.
But, at times, this inverse relationship has shown signs of divergence.
The current divergence between the USDJPY and the Nikkei 225 suggests that the Nikkei 225 is increasingly driven by domestic economic factors rather than the traditional USD/JPY correlation.
In the short term, the Nikkei 225 may continue its upward momentum, supported by strong economic fundamentals and investor confidence.
With the price breaking out and staying above the upward channel, climbing toward the 45,000 price level.
Medium-Term Risks: Potential geopolitical tensions and shifts in global economic conditions could introduce volatility in the medium term. This could lead to a retracement down to 42,000 before trading higher again.
While the traditional correlation has weakened, ongoing monitoring of USD/JPY movements remains essential, as significant fluctuations could still impact investor sentiment.
USDJPY The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 147.73 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 147.86
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 147.44
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/JPY: Liquidity Hunts Inside the RangeHello guys.
After the sharp drop at the end of July, USD/JPY has been consolidating inside a well-defined range. We’ve now seen two classic liquidity hunts:
Hunt 1 (top of range): Price spiked above resistance, took stops, and quickly rejected.
Hunt 2 (bottom of range): Price swept liquidity below support before bouncing back inside the range.
This type of price action suggests accumulation of orders before the next expansion.
Currently, price is rebounding from the second liquidity hunt, showing signs of strength. If buyers can hold above the 146.80 range low, we may see continuation toward the 149.04 resistance zone, which is the next liquidity pool above.
Levels to Watch:
Support: 146.80 (range low)
Resistance: 148.00 (mid-range resistance)
Target: 149.04
Short-term bullish as long as 146.80 holds. A clean break above 148.00 could open the path to 149.04.