USDJPY Will Go Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 148.642.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 146.320 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USDJPY
USDJPY Will Go Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 149.732.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 148.888 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USDJPY H4 | Bullish bounce aheadUSD/JPY is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 147.86, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 146.99, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 149.81, which is a swing high resistance.
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Potential bearish reversal?USD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 149.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 150.88
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 148.12
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 148.31
1st Support: 145.39
1st Resistance: 151.23
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 148.850 Zone
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY FREE SIGNAL FOR MONDAY|SHORT|
✅USDJPY Price forms a double-top and breaks neckline, signaling bearish order flow. ICT framework suggests liquidity draw into the 149.00 demand area.
—————————
Entry: 149.60
Stop Loss: 150.05
Take Profit: 149.00
Time Frame: 3H
—————————
SHORT🔥
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USD/JPY 1-Hour Candlestick Chart
Entry Point: ≈149.394
This is set just below the current price and near the lower boundary of the recent consolidation/support zone. The anticipation is that the price will dip slightly to this level before reversing up.
Stop Loss (SL): ≈149.068
The stop loss is placed below a recent swing low or potential support level. This represents the point where the bullish thesis is invalidated.
Risk: The risk on this trade is the distance between the entry point and the stop loss: 149.394−149.068=0.326 pips.
Target Point (Take Profit - TP): ≈150.917
This is a significant distance above the current price and the recent highs. It is likely targeting a prior high or a psychological level like 151.000 (though the target is slightly below it).
Reward: The potential reward is the distance between the target point and the entry point: 150.917−149.394=1.523 pips.
Risk/Reward Ratio (RRR):
The RRR is calculated as Reward / Risk:
RRR=
0.326
1.523
≈4.67
A Risk/Reward Ratio of ≈4.67:1 is excellent. This means that for every 1 unit of risk, you are aiming for over 4.5 units of profit. A high RRR is a key characteristic of a favorable trade setup.
Potential Scenarios & Considerations:
Bullish Confirmation (Trade Works): The price follows the projected path (the small red line with an arrow), touches the entry point, finds strong support there, and reverses sharply upward to eventually hit the 150.917 target.
Trade Fails:
The price breaks convincingly below the stop loss at 149.068. This would indicate a failure of the support level and a likely continuation of the downtrend/retracement, invalidating the buy setup.
The price moves up and reaches the target without dipping to the entry point (missing the entry).
Trader Action Summary
The setup suggests a Limit Buy order to be placed at 149.394, anticipating a final dip before the rally.
Action: Limit Buy at 149.394
Contingency: A break below 149.068 indicates a stronger selling momentum, and the trade should be exited (Stop Loss triggered).
Goal: Targeting a significant extension of the recent upward trend
September 2025 Market Summary Gold and ForexProjectSyndicate Market Summary September 2025
📊 MTD performance
🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD): 3,759.65 | +286.65 (+8.31%)
💶 EURUSD: 1.1702 | +16 pips (+0.14%)
💷 GBPUSD: 1.3392 | −112 pips (−0.83%)
💴 USDJPY: 149.19 | +211 pips (+1.43%)
📈 SPX: 6,637.97 | +236.46 (+3.69%)
📈 NDX: 24,503.57 | +1,483.10 (+6.44%)
________________________________________
🗞 September overview
• 🇺🇸 The Fed cut 25 bps on September 17 and flagged the possibility of further cuts this year, reinforcing a softer USD bias and boosting gold demand.
• 🇪🇺 The ECB held rates on September 11, though left the door open for easing later.
• 🇬🇧 The Bank of England held rates and slowed quantitative tightening on September 18.
• 🇯🇵 The BoJ maintained a “hawkish hold” on September 19, started unwinding ETF/REIT holdings, and signaled possible rate risks into October — supporting JPY on abrupt USD strength.
• 🟡 Gold made a fresh intramonth high near ~$3,790, before settling slightly lower.
• Stronger U.S. economic data mid-month (jobs, yields) briefly undercut rate cut expectations, leading to a temporary gold dip, but the momentum has largely resumed.
• Tariff announcements and trade-policy uncertainty added safe-haven tailwinds to gold.
________________________________________
🟡 Gold Market Overview – September 2025
✨ Key Highlights & Drivers
• All-time high revisit: Spot gold pushed toward $3,790 mid-month on renewed enthusiasm for Fed easing and weaker USD.
• Volatility around economic surprises: Upside surprises in US data (jobs, GDP) triggered brief USD strength that pressured gold, but the downside was limited.
• Fed narrative remains gold’s ally: The dovish pivot (25 bps cut + future cuts flagged) continues to lend structural support to gold.
• ETF & institutional flows: Inflows into gold ETFs have reaffirmed investor appetite for safe-haven exposure.
• Risk / geopolitical spillovers: Oil price jitters, trade frictions, and general macro uncertainty underpin demand for non-correlated assets.
• Technical posture: After surging, gold has found interim support in the region of ~$3,650–3,700, with resistance clustering near $3,800. A sustained break above the latter could open targets toward $3,900+.
📊 Performance Recap
Gold has posted one of its strongest monthly performances of 2025, currently up ~8.7 % MTD.
Stronger parts of the rally were clustered around rate cut confirmation and safe-haven demand spikes.
🔍 Risks & Watch-Outs
• A surprise resurgence in U.S. economic strength (inflation, jobs) could push rate markets back toward dovish skepticism, pressuring gold.
• A re-strengthening USD (driven by rates or yield spreads) will be headwind for dollar‐priced gold.
• Central bank actions: further buying or selling by official sectors could tilt balance.
• Technical overextension: short-term pullbacks or consolidations are plausible given the sharp run-up.
________________________________________
💱 FX Landscape – September 2025
• EURUSD: The pair remains stuck under ~1.1700, recovering modestly from USD spikes but lacking strong directional conviction.
• GBPUSD: Under pressure through the month, sliding toward 1.3350 as sterling weakens on yield differentials and global risk dynamics.
• USDJPY: Strength in yields and risk dynamics have nudged USDJPY higher, though BoJ vigilance and intervention risk temper runaway moves.
Broader theme: while risk sentiment supports carry / USD strength, central bank policy cycles and macro surprises are injecting volatility and preventing runaway trends.
________________________________________
📝 Summary & Key Takeaways
✅ What Worked in September
• Gold leveraged dovish central bank messaging and USD softness to consistently outperform across risk regimes.
• Positioning toward safe havens paid off in a month marked by macro surprises and geopolitical noise.
• FX markets remained choppy, with no clear trending momentum — caution was rewarded.
⚠️ What to Watch Going Forward
• U.S. data flow — especially inflation, jobs, and PCE — could reshape Fed expectations and thus gold/FX direction.
• USD momentum — a reversal in dollar strength could compress gold gains; sustained USD weakness could accelerate the bull run.
• Intervention / central banks — any surprises from BoJ, PBoC, or central banks stepping into gold or FX markets could upend positioning.
• Technical zones — if gold can break and hold above $3,800, it may open new leg toward $3,900+; failure may invite a pullback toward $3,650–3,700.
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD | Gold at $3,740 – Demand Zone Decides the Next MoveBy analyzing the Gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday the price finally started a correction, dropping to $3,717 . From this key psychological level, demand stepped in and pushed gold strongly up to $3,761 .
Currently, gold is trading around $3,740 , but it hasn’t fully stabilized yet. For that, the price needs to revisit the $3,711–$3,726 demand zone . If gold holds there, we could expect another powerful rally toward levels above $3,800 . Otherwise, we may soon see it dropping into the $3,600 range .
THE LATEST TA :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAG/USD | Silver Rally Continues – Bulls Eye $44.60 & $44.80! By analyzing the Silver chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after correcting down to $43.34, the price gained demand again and rallied more than 2.5%, reaching $44.47.
Currently, silver is trading around $44.16. If the price breaks above $44.49, we could see another push higher, first retesting $44.47, and then aiming for $44.60 and $44.80 as the next targets.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDJPY 4H TRADE IDEA FOR 26TH SEP,2025The USD against the JPY has broken a balanced area it has been in for the previous weeks before, as bulls generally start to take back control of the momentum and trend, but the
The question is, will the move last? As the overall trend is still bearish, this could be signaling a trend reversal based on what we see happening currently, but at this moment price is within a short range as it finds a base to continue long for the rest of the session today.
As usual, my calls or analysis are based on what we see, the current Bias, and from a probability standpoint, meaning that this projection may be or may not be validated, so tread carefully, and as usual, this is not financial advice, trade responsibly
USDJPY Will Keep Growing!
HI,Traders !
#USDJPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the price
Made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal
Level of 148.876 and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish continuation !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
USDJPY Is Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 147.322.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 149.724.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDJPY Will Go Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 148.376.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 149.207 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Potential bullish continuation?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which has been identified as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 148.78
1st Support: 147.44
1st Resistance: 150.75
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Market Analysis | GU, UJ & GOLD – Key Levels & Fundamentals Last week, we spotted ranges across USDJPY, GBPUSD, and XAUUSD, waiting for the big central bank moves to decide direction. Now, the ranges are breaking, except for USDJPY, which is still locked in.
In this video, I walk you through:
✅What happened last week, and why the price moved the way it did
✅The fundamentals and events that shaped sentiment
✅My outlook and key chart levels for the new week (Sep 22–26)
Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
01:00 – GBPUSD: Breakout fails, dollar strength returns
07:10 – USDJPY: Still trapped in range, waiting for a catalyst
11:50 – XAUUSD: Breaks above range to test record highs
16:50 – Wrap up & key events to watch
This week’s focus will be on the Core PCE data, Powell’s speech, and S&P Global PMIs. These are the catalysts likely to drive sentiment across the dollar, yen, and gold.
Please note that this information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 26, 2025 USDJPYThe dollar is strengthening against the yen amid firmer US macro data and higher Treasury yields. Markets are paring back expectations for swift and deep Fed cuts, directly supporting the dollar. The dollar index’s return to recent highs and solid US economic readings widen the yield differential in favor of the US—a key fundamental driver for USDJPY’s rise.
In Japan, inflation in the capital region remains above target; however, the Bank of Japan’s normalization remains gradual. Japanese government bond yields are rising only moderately and do not offset the advantage of US paper. This supports capital outflows toward dollar assets and weighs on the yen, especially while global investors maintain steady demand for the dollar amid geopolitical and trade uncertainties.
Markets remain alert to verbal signals from Japanese authorities near round levels, but the fundamentals—US yields, the resilience of US consumer spending, and the trajectory of Fed policy—still dominate. With neutral or stronger US releases, the probability of USDJPY retesting recent highs remains elevated.
Trade recommendation: BUY 149.750, SL 149.600, TP 150.600
USDJPY Massive bullish break-out above the 1W MA50.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a 3-year Channel Up and more recently since the April 21 2025 Low, within a shorter term Channel Up (dotted trend-lines).
This pattern made a Higher Low last week and on this one it broke above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since July 28. If it closes the candle above it, it will be the first time to do so since January 27 2025, thus a massive buy signal.
Based on the Bullish Legs of the dotted Channel Up (+6.00%) we expect the current rise to test the Lower Highs trend-line at 154.000.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
USD/JPY - 4H forecast (sell side Imbalance to fill)🔥 USD/JPY – 4H Forecast 💵💴
Dollar-Yen just pulled a slick liquidity grab and is loading for another leg higher. Let’s map it out 👇
🕰 Market Context
Price cleaned up the 8H demand and launched with a monster impulse 🚀.
Structure flipped bullish with a strong Break of Structure (BOS).
We’re consolidating right under buy-side liquidity (BSL), teasing the breakout.
📈 Bullish Flow
4H Imbalance (IMB) has been filled → confirms buyers are still strong.
71% retrace + strong support zone aligning at 147.8–148.0 → golden buy zone 🎯.
Swing range shows room for expansion into new highs above 149.5–150.0.
⚡ Key Levels
Support / Buy Zone:
148.0 → ideal retrace entry
147.5 (deep discount if we sweep liquidity)
Resistance / Targets:
149.2–149.5 (first stop)
150.0+ (big figure liquidity magnet)
🎯 Forecast Path
Expect a dip into 148.0 zone for liquidity grab 🔄.
From there → bullish continuation into 149.5–150.0 🚀.
If 147.5 cracks → deeper retrace into 146.8 swing low support.
📝 Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish (structure flip + demand respected).
Plan : Longs on 148.0 retest.
Targets : 149.5 → 150.0.
Invalidation : 4H close below 146.8 kills the long bias.
📌 Summary : USD/JPY just reloaded off demand and is primed for a push into 150. Dips into 148.0 are gifts for buyers, unless 146.8 breaks.
USDJPY - Support Holding Strong!📈USDJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
This week, USDJPY has been bearish trading within the falling red wedge and it is currently rejecting the lower bound of it!
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower red trendline and orange support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDJPY is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr






















