USDJPY Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 147.950.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 150.890 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USDJPY
JPXY 1D TFFirst, note that price is currently in a downward trend. You can review my recent analysis on JPYX for better context on what I’m observing. At the moment, price is sitting on a strong demand level, and I anticipate a move toward the premium zone around 745–750 before potential sell opportunities emerge, after which XXX/JPY pairs may experience significant upward movement.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Buy and sell Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal Movement from - 147.950
🩸Bullish Reversal - 147.450
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
BoJ holds rates, yen gives up gainsThe Japanese yen climbed 0.50% earlier against the US dollar but was unable to consolidate these gains. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.92, down 0.04% on the day.
The Bank of Japan maintained its key interest rate at 0.50% at today's meeting. The non-move was widely expected by the markets. What was a surprise was the split vote, as two of the nine members voted in favor of a rate hike, indicating some support for a more hawkish monetary policy.
Governor Ueda has been cautious and has the markets guessing as to when the BoJ will raise rates. The markets have priced in a 59% chance of a rate hike before the end of the year, up from 50% a week ago, according to LSEG.
The policy statement noted that the domestic economy had "recovered moderately" but was still showing signs of weakness. Members also expressed concern that exports will be hurt by US tariffs, with Japan facing a 15% tarriff on most of its exports to the US.
On the inflation front, the statement said that underlying inflation is weak but is expected to increase gradually and reach the 2% inflation target. After years of deflation, prices are moving higher, which has led to expectations that a rate hike is just a question of timing. Consumer inflation is running between 2.5-3%, above the BoJ's 2% target. The central bank has stressed that it wants to see sustainable underyling inflation at around 2% before the next rate hike.
The BoJ is also concerned about the political turmoil in Japan. Prime Minister Ishiba recently resigned and the ruling Liberal Democratic Party is holding an election to choose a new leader.
USDJPY tested support at 147.77 and 147.51 earlier
There is resistance at 148.12 and 148.38
USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The market is trading on 147.95 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable USDJPY continuation.
Target - 147.30
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY setting up for a drop!Series of lower highs with multiple liquidity grab from the trend line, with respecting dynamic resistance 20ema showing up the market to potentially continue to drop through the daily FVG. With upcoming Fed rate cut decision made dollar weaker, while BOJ policy rate on Friday causing to JPYX move up for correction which also fueling USDJPY to drop.
Based on current market structure on 1h timeframe, A potential sell entry upon price action confirmation around 146.48 zone is an ara of value for sell entry!
USDJPY breakout ?USDJPY with Fed interest rate annoucement, has finally got a rejection from key level of support at 145.50 to another key level 148.27. As BOJ policy rate remain as forecast <0.5%, signaling continued bearish turn on JPY which fueling further bullish on USDJPY.
From technical perspective, price had a very strong rejection from key support which potentially continue to rise above 149.12
A potential buy trade upon cross of this 148.27 on a retest is high probable.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportUSD/JPY is falling towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and oculd bounce to the upside.
Buy entry is at 146.58, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 145.75, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 148.78, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which aligns with he 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 147.07
1st Support: 145.87
1st Resistance: 149
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USD/JPY(20250919)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
On Thursday, the U.S. reported its largest drop in initial jobless claims in nearly four years, reversing the previous week's sharp increase. (Note: Hours after the data was released, news broke that North Carolina's continuing claims data had been incorrectly and significantly understated by over 19,000. A Labor Department spokesperson stated that the matter is still under investigation.)
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
147.67
Support and Resistance Levels:
149.16
148.60
148.24
147.09
146.73
146.18
Trading Strategy:
On a breakout above 148.24, consider a buy entry, with the first target at 148.60.
On a breakout below 147.67, consider a sell entry, with the first target at 147.09.
Dot Plot Divide: Dollar Gains, Gold Stalls The USDJPY spiked lower following the Fed’s 25 basis point cut yesterday but quickly reversed trajectory as the dot plot projections from the FOMC came in softer than markets had expected.
The updated dot plot showed a narrow majority of FOMC members anticipating two more small rate cuts in 2025, while others leaned toward just one or even none.
This potentially suggests that the Fed is not simply aligning with Trump sycophant and newly appointed FOMC board member Stephen Miran’s aggressive call for repeated 50-basis-point cuts and instead signals an element of independence.
USDJPY (left chart, 1H): The pair has carved out a sharp V-shaped reversal after its Fed-driven dip, showing strong bullish momentum. This suggests buyers remain in control unless a reversal candle (such as a bearish engulfing) forms.
XAUUSD (right chart, 4H): Gold’s rally topped out near 3,707 before pulling back more than 600 pips to 3,646. The most recent candles show shorter bodies with upper wicks — a potential sign of fading momentum and supply pressure. If this develops into a bearish continuation pattern, the channel’s border becomes the next area of focus.
DeGRAM | USDJPY under the supply zone📊 Technical Analysis
● USD/JPY is consolidating below the descending resistance line, with repeated rejections from the 148.00–149.00 supply zone confirming bearish dominance.
● Price structure favors a downside move, with initial targets at 145.85 and deeper potential toward 144.33 as long as resistance holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● The yen is supported by rising Japanese government bond yields amid speculation of BoJ policy adjustments, while dollar strength is capped by softer US economic momentum and shifting Fed expectations.
✨ Summary
Bearish below 148.00; targets 145.85 → 144.33. Invalidation on a close above 149.00.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for September 18, 2025 USDJPYAfter the Fed’s rate cut, the U.S.–Japan yield differential narrowed slightly, supporting the yen and capping USD/JPY. The focus now is on tomorrow’s Bank of Japan meeting: the base case is unchanged policy settings, with heightened attention to assessments of inflation and wages as well as comments on the balance of risks over the coming months.
Even without immediate BoJ steps, expectations of further normalization of monetary policy in Japan later this year periodically boost demand for the yen. At the same time, the dollar enjoys short-term support after the Fed decision, though it is constrained by messaging about a gradual approach going forward, which limits the potential for a sustained rise in the pair.
Overall, the balance of factors tilts toward a tactical decline in USD/JPY, while warranting caution given the pair’s sensitivity to BoJ communication and U.S. yield dynamics. Selling with a moderate stop-loss and a conservative target is preferred.
Trade recommendation: SELL 146.900, SL 147.400, TP 146.000
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Movement from - 147.350
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USD/JPY Short Setup – Resistance Rejection Opportunity”USD/JPY (1-hour timeframe)
Chart Setup
Trend: The price has been moving in a downward channel (highlighted in red).
Current Position: Price has recently bounced up from the lower boundary of the channel and is approaching the resistance zone (purple box).
Resistance Zone: ~147.247 – 147.645
Planned Entry Point: 147.264
Stop Loss: 147.662 (above resistance)
Target Point: 145.482
Trading Idea
This is a short (sell) setup.
The idea is to wait for price to reach resistance (around 147.247–147.500) and then enter a short position.
Expectation: Price will get rejected from resistance and move back down toward the target (145.482).
Risk/Reward
Risk: ~40 pips (147.264 → 147.662)
Reward: ~178 pips (147.264 → 145.482)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:4.4 → very favorable setup.
Key Notes
✅ Strong risk-to-reward setup.
✅ Trade follows the dominant downtrend (channel).
⚠️ If price breaks and closes above 147.662, setup is invalid (trend may shift bullish).
⚠️ Best to wait for bearish candlestick confirmation in resistance zone before entry.
🔎 In short: This chart suggests a sell trade setup at resistance with a clear stop loss and a large potential downside profit target.
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDJPY?
USD/JPY has been oscillating within a defined range for several weeks, bouncing between key support and resistance levels.
Price action remains choppy and directionless within the current range.
Potential Scenario:
• A break below the support zone could trigger a downside move toward the next identified targets.
• For a more confident entry, it’s recommended to wait for a confirmed breakdown below support before entering short positions.
Upcoming FOMC and BoJ policy meetings could act as catalysts for the next directional move.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
USDJPY selling pressure ahead of Fed rate decision The USDJPY pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 148.90, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 148.90 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 146.10, followed by 145.40 and 144.60 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 148.90 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 149.75, then 150.20.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 148.90. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
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Market Analysis: USD/JPY Shows WeaknessMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Shows Weakness
USD/JPY declined below 147.00 and is currently consolidating losses.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below 147.00.
- There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 146.65 on the hourly chart.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY, the pair started a steady decline from 148.00. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below 147.50 against the Japanese Yen.
The pair even settled below 147.20 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a spike below 146.25 and the pair traded as low as 146.21. It is now consolidating losses with a bearish angle. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 148.07 swing high to the 146.21 low at 146.65.
There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming at 146.65. The next resistance for the bulls could be near the 50% Fib retracement at 147.15.
If there is a close above the 147.15 level and the hourly RSI moves above 50, the pair could rise toward 147.65. The next key area of interest is near 148.05, above which the pair could test 148.50 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is near 146.20. The next key zone is near 145.80. If there is a close below 145.80, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward 145.00.
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USDJPY Holds Below 146.33 Ahead of Fed Rate DecisionUSDJPY – Overview
USDJPY remains under bearish pressure ahead of today’s Federal Reserve rate decision, a key event expected to drive significant volatility across USD pairs.
Markets anticipate a 25 bps rate cut, while a surprise 50 bps cut—though less likely—would strengthen the Japanese yen as a safe-haven asset and deepen the downside move.
At the same time, attention is on President Trump’s second state visit to the U.K., where early trade deals have already boosted confidence in the British government.
If a U.S.–U.K. trade agreement gains traction, it would reduce global risk and likely diminish safe-haven demand for the yen, which could offer medium-term support for USDJPY despite near-term Fed-driven pressure.
Technical Outlook
📉 Bearish Scenario
As long as price trades below 146.33, bearish momentum remains active.
Downside targets: 145.83 → 145.08 → 144.40.
A dovish Fed or larger-than-expected rate cut would accelerate this move.
📈 Bullish Scenario
A confirmed 4H close above 146.35 would support a bullish correction toward 147.07.
A sustained break above 147.07 would shift bias to a stronger bullish trend, targeting 147.82 → 148.49, with a U.S.–U.K. trade deal acting as an additional upside catalyst.
Key Levels
Pivot: 146.33
Resistance: 147.07 – 147.82 – 148.49
Support: 145.83 – 145.08 – 144.40
Market Context
Fed Decision: A dovish Powell and a deeper rate cut would likely strengthen JPY, keeping USDJPY on the back foot.
Trade Deal Impact: Positive headlines from the U.S.–U.K. visit would reduce safe-haven demand for JPY, creating a bullish counterforce that could limit downside or spark a rebound if technical levels break.
USDJPY POSSIBLE BUY SETUP📊 USD/JPY 1H Market Outlook
The pair is currently consolidating inside a strong demand zone (146.200–146.500) after a clear bearish leg. Liquidity grabs at the lows and accumulation patterns suggest that buyers may soon step in.
Projection:
Expecting bullish continuation from current levels.
Possible breakout and move toward the 147.600–147.800 supply zone.
If price breaks below 146.200, this outlook becomes invalid.
🔎 Key Technicals:
Market structure shift: BOS & CHoCH confirming trend exhaustion.
Demand zone holding, showing accumulation.
Liquidity sweep at lows, strengthening bullish bias.
📈 Trading Plan:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 146.200–146.500 (confirmation required)
Target: 147.600–147.800
Invalidation: Below 146.200
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USDJPY Deat Cat Bounce at play after Jackson Hole remarks?In this video, we analyse the sharp move in the USDJPY following crucial speeches from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Powell signalled the possibility of a September rate hike, highlighting ongoing weakness in the US labour market. Meanwhile, Ueda emphasised Japan's strong job market, supported by immigrant labour, which is driving wage growth and sustaining inflationary pressures.
Ueda’s Hawkish Stance:
Ueda maintained a hawkish tone, noting that wage hikes in larger Japanese companies are now spreading to smaller firms, strengthening expectations for continued inflation. This commentary increased the likelihood of a BOJ rate hike, giving the yen additional support.
Market Reaction:
Prior to the Symposium, traders were positioned for a potential rate cut by year-end. However, after Ueda’s remarks, futures market pricing suggests the odds of an October rate cut are now evenly split at 50-50.
Technicals:
Open triangle completion may trigger further downside after the post-JHS drop. Current rally to the upside could be a relief rally, part of a potential Dead Cat Bounce (DCB).
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USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Movement from - 146.500
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.






















