USDJPY- Do Not Ignore The Gaps And US Yields USDJPY has seen a nice recovery in the last few weeks, but prices are coming out of a previous triangle formation in wave B, meaning the upside could be limited within wave C. Especialyl fi we also conider that recovery from 2025 lows is coming into important 61-78.6% Fib area, where recently bulls slowe down a bit.
We are already seeing some reversal, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see some new leg down in xxx/JPY pairs too. Also keep in mind there are still some big unfilled gaps, and we can also see one at 149.20 on USDJPY, which could act as a magnet zone in the weeks ahead.
Its important to add at US yields are coming down, as investors moves into treasuries after recent stocks crash, and this can keep JPY supported.
GH
USDJPY
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 15, 2025 USDJPYThe yen is strengthening on Wednesday, 15 October 2025, as the dollar loses support amid expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut. Heightened US–China trade frictions lift demand for defensive assets, including the yen, pulling the pair lower from the 152.000 area. Periodic risk-off episodes during the Asian session add to corrective pressure on the dollar versus the yen.
On a medium-term basis, Japan’s fundamentals are gradually improving: international institutions have raised growth estimates for 2025, and the scenario of cautious Bank of Japan normalization alongside persistent inflation remains in place. Even gradual policy adjustment by the BoJ—against potential easing in the US—narrows the rate differential and caps USD/JPY upside.
Another constraint for the pair is the market’s sensitivity to the possibility of Japanese authorities stepping in during abrupt currency swings. Taken together, these factors form a constructive setup for a tactical short in USD/JPY with a balanced risk-to-reward and clearly defined management levels.
Trading recommendation: SELL 151.500, SL 152.000, TP 150.500
Forex Market Outlook | GU, UJ & Gold Analysis | Oct 13–17In this weekend’s Market Outlook, we break down the big moves from last week and share what to watch for in the coming week (Oct 13–17). We’ll look at GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD side by side, combining fundamentals (news, sentiment, data) with technicals (key price zones and chart setups).
By the end of this video, you’ll understand:
✅Why did the USD gain strength despite the government shutdown?
✅The key levels to watch on GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.
✅How upcoming events like Powell’s speech, UK jobs data, and U.S. inflation could move the markets.
⚠️ This isn’t a signal service; it’s my personal trading map, shared to help you think and trade smarter.
🔔 I’ll also be dropping updates in the comments section as the week unfolds, so keep an eye there for my real-time thoughts.
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Corrects GainsMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Corrects Gains
USD/JPY is correcting gains from 153.20 and might decline further below 151.00.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY rallied significantly before the bears appeared near 153.20.
- There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 151.55 on the hourly chart.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY, the pair started a steady decline from well above the 153.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below 152.50 against the Japanese Yen.
The pair even settled below 152.00 and the 50-hour simple moving average. A low was formed at 151.00, and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the downside, the first major support is near 151.00.
The next key region for the bulls might be 150.00. If there is a close below 150.00, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward 148.80. Any more losses might send the pair toward 148.00.
Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 153.27 swing high to the 151.00 low at 151.55. There is also a major bearish trend line at 151.55.
If there is a close above the trend line and the hourly RSI moves above 50, the pair could rise toward 152.00 or the 50% Fib retracement level at 152.15. The next major barrier for the bulls could be 152.75, above which the pair could test 153.50 in the coming days.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDJPY: Bearish Wave Confirmed?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Remember a huge gap up opening that USDJPY formed
at the beginning of the last trading week.
It looks like the market is finally ready to fill it.
A formation of a bearish imbalance candle on a daily time frame
this Monday provides a clear sign of a strong selling pressure.
I think that the market will continue falling steadily.
Goal - 148.0
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Stop!Loss|Market View: GBPUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the GBPUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.32869
💰TP: 1.31574
⛔️SL: 1.33603
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💬 Description: The situation for the pound is very similar to that for the euro. Here, too, the most likely scenario is further price accumulation near the key support level (1.32870), followed by an expected downward breakout toward 1.31000. An alternative scenario involves monitoring a sell entry point near the resistance level at 1.34500. Also, the 1.27000 - 1.28000 range can be looked for as an additional target.
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USD/JPY Bearish Channel Breakdown – Order Block Retest StrategyThe pair is clearly in a downtrend channel (bearish parallel channel).
Price has been respecting lower highs and lower lows, indicating consistent bearish pressure.
The recent bearish order block (OB) and support retest area are the key zones.
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📉 Chart Structure Analysis
1. Bearish Channel:
Price continues to move inside a well-defined descending channel.
Each pullback toward the upper boundary has been followed by a new lower low.
2. Support Zone:
The price is currently testing a support level near 151.00.
There’s a temporary pause here — possibly a minor liquidity grab before further downside.
3. Bearish Order Block (OB):
The OB is around 151.700–152.000, acting as a strong supply zone.
If price retraces back to this OB, sellers might re-enter with strong momentum.
🔍 Strategy Plan
✅ Bearish Scenario (Most Probable)
Expect a retest of the OB zone (151.700–152.000) before continuing down.
Once rejection appears (bearish engulfing / pin bar / break of structure on smaller TF), enter Sell.
Target: 149.700 (previous swing projection).
Stop-loss: Above OB at 152.200.
Trade Setup Example:
Entry: 151.800 (OB retest)
SL: 152.200 (40 pips)
TP: 149.700 (210 pips)
Risk/Reward: ≈ 1:5.2 ✅
⚠ Bullish Scenario (Low Probability
If price breaks above 152.200 with strong bullish candles and retests it as support,
the bearish channel is invalidated → next target could be 153.000–153.500.
📊 Confirmation Tips
Before entering:
Check for bearish rejection candles on the 15m–30m timeframe.
Confirm with RSI divergence (bearish) or MACD crossover downward.
Watch DXY strength — if the dollar weakens, USD/JPY will likely drop.
🧭 Summary
Bias Entry Zone Stop Loss Target R:R Confidence
🔻 Bearish 151.7–152.0 152.2 149.7 1:5+ High
USDJPY H1 | Bearish Drop-Off in MomentumUSD/JPY has rejected off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this levle to the downside.
Sell entry is at 152.43, whichis a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 153.21, whichis a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 150.50, whichis a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY (15M) – Demand Zone Reversal Setup FX:USDJPY
🚀
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price has tapped into the strong yellow demand zone, showing initial rejection wicks.
Structure forming a potential double bottom pattern, hinting at early bullish pressure.
Descending structure lines show a clear breakout point near 152.05 where momentum could shift.
Market Overview
USDJPY is trading within a compression channel after a heavy correction phase. The recent touch into the 151.60–151.65 zone confirms institutional demand. If buyers maintain pressure above this base, we could see a clean bullish continuation toward the 152.05–152.60 resistance zone. Patience for confirmation candle or BOS (Break of Structure) above 151.90 is key before entry.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1: 152.05 → 🎯 Target 2: 152.60
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Invalidation below 151.50
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 152.05 – 152.60
Support 🟢: 151.60 – 151.50
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Bearish reversal in play?USD/JPY has rejected off the rersistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level too ur take profit.
Entry: 152.44
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop lodd: 153.25
Why we ike it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 150.42
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
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XAU/USD | Gold Rockets Past $4090 – Over 1000 Pips Gained!By analyzing the Gold (XAU/USD) chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that Gold continued its strong bullish momentum, exactly as expected, and successfully hit all our targets at $4006, $4016, and $4028, fully filling the FVG.
However, Gold didn’t stop there — it kept pushing higher and has just printed a new all-time high (ATH) at $4090!
This move has already delivered over 1000 pips of profit.
Key demand zones are now located at $4051–$4060 and $4020–$4024.
Given the current momentum, I expect Gold to continue rising toward targets above $4100 in the short term.
THE Previous TA :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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USD/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure
FOREXCOM:USDJPY USD/JPY is trading near 151.70, consolidating after recent declines. The chart highlights a resistance zone at 152.28–152.39 and a support zone at 151.05–151.18. A short-term rebound toward resistance is possible, but failure at the resistance zone could trigger a downside move back to support. A break below 151.05 would open the door to deeper losses.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: 152.28–152.39 (sell near resistance)
Stop Loss: 152.50
Take Profit 1: 151.40
Take Profit 2: 151.18
Take Profit 3: 151.05
Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 4.96
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: 151.05–151.18
Resistance Zone: 152.28–152.39
Trendline Resistance: Downtrend from October highs
🌍 Macro Background
The Japanese Yen gained modest support after Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato warned of one-sided FX moves, fueling speculation of possible intervention. Expectations that the Bank of Japan may raise rates later this year also underpin the yen. However, political uncertainty following the LDP–Komeito coalition breakup and the pending confirmation of Sanae Takaichi as Japan’s first female Prime Minister adds risks, possibly slowing BoJ’s tightening.
On the US side, Trump softened his tariff stance after previously threatening 100% tariffs on Chinese imports effective November 1, easing trade-war fears and supporting risk appetite. The US Dollar remains firm near recent highs, but dovish Fed rate cut expectations (25 bps in October and December, with 97% and 90% odds respectively) limit further upside. Meanwhile, the US government shutdown has dragged into a third week, delaying key economic data releases. The market focus is now on Fed Chair Powell’s speech, which could provide the next directional driver.
📌 Trade Summary
USD/JPY is capped by 152.39 resistance. Short positions near this zone could offer favourable setups, targeting 151.17–151.05 support levels. A clear break above 152.55 would invalidate the bearish outlook.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Usd/Jpy - Breakout Or Breakdown?Price is currently retesting a key resistance zone (highlighted in red) after bouncing off the support zone (blue). The key level aligns with previous structure and acts as a decision point for bulls and bears.
Scenario 1 – Bearish Setup:
Price fails to break and hold above the key level.
We may see a rejection and continuation downward.
First target would be a retest of the blue support zone, with potential extension toward 151.000 psychological level if bearish momentum strengthens.
Scenario 2 – Bullish Setup:
If price breaks above the red zone with volume and confirmation, it could signal a bullish reversal.
Targeting the 152.400+ area where previous highs sit.
Key Levels:
Resistance (Key Level): ~151.940
Support: ~151.600
Psychological support: 151.000
Wait for confirmation (price action, candle structure, volume) before entering. This is a crucial decision zone—stay patient and manage risk properly.
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: -
💰TP: -
⛔️SL: -
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Metals continue to demonstrate impressive results. As a result, we are seeing new all-time highs. It's difficult to find any potential buy or sell levels for gold, but we can highlight an area around 4200-4250, where sell trades, especially mid-term, are highly likely to be liquidated. This assumption is based on a 25% price move from the start of the current rally since August, as well as the point of control (POC) of the same rally around 3650. We should likely expect the end of the US shutdown, after which we could see a correction in metals.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.15326
💰TP: 1.14123
⛔️SL: 1.16348
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The price continues to accumulate near short-term support 1.16600, indicating a likely breakout toward 1.15500. The most conservative entry points for selling are, surely, located directly at 1.16600, more aggressive - would be to look for selling from approximately current prices.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ [ b]Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
USD/JPY: Bearish Bias Remains Despite 1-Hour Triangle Break RiskA small symmetrical triangle has formed on the 1-hour chart, suggesting an upside break could be pending. However, with the elongated bearish engulfing candle that appeared on Friday after an extended move, I suspect any rally from here may be limited.
Bears could look to fade into moves towards the 153 handle and maintain a bearish bias while prices remain beneath Friday’s high. The bias is for an eventual move down to the March high (151.30), near the weekly pivot point (151.14). A break beneath the 150.32 high would imply a deeper retracement for USD/JPY and bring the 150.00 handle and 150.33 high-volume node into focus.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com.
Bearish reversal off pullback resitance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 152.54
1st Support: 151.20
1st Resistance: 153.20
AUD/USD is rising towards the pivot, which is an overlap resistanceance and oculd reverse to the multi swing low support.
Pivot: 0.6551
1st Support: 0.6469
1st Resistance: 0.6619
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPY) Bearish Trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY (1H) chart shows a bearish SMC (Smart Money Concept) setup — here’s the idea breakdown
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Trade Idea: Bearish Setup — USD/JPY
Market Context
Price has been in a strong bullish trend, reaching a local high near 152.35.
Recently, the price broke structure to the downside, signaling potential shift from bullish to bearish order flow.
---
Key Technical Points
1. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Break
The chart marks an FVG break zone around 152.30–152.45.
This zone acts as a premium re-entry area where institutional traders may rebalance orders before pushing price lower.
2. Rejection Zone (Supply Area)
Price is currently retracing back into the FVG zone, forming potential lower-high structure.
Expect rejection confirmation (bearish candle / liquidity sweep) before continuation down.
3. Bearish Continuation Expectation
After the retest, price is projected to drop toward the lower demand zone / target point around 150.25.
That area aligns with previous demand / liquidity pool, a likely point for profit-taking or reversal.
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Trade Plan
Entry: Wait for bearish rejection or liquidity sweep inside the 152.30–152.45 zone.
Stop Loss: Above 152.50 (above FVG high).
Take Profit: Around 150.25 target zone (major demand area).
Mr SMC Trading point
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Market Logic
The structure shows:
Break of structure (BOS) confirming bearish shift.
Fair Value Gap retest for premium entry.
Liquidity targeting at the lower demand zone.
This setup follows institutional flow — sell after retracement, target imbalance fill.
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Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
USDJPY: Waiting for bullish pullback signals on the 4h timeframeTo better understand my current outlook on USDJPY, please refer to my previous higher-timeframe and fundamental analyses:
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
George Vann @ ZuperView
USDJPY: Morning Gap Trading 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Monday's morning traditionally starts with trading gap openings.
One of the gaps that I spotted is on USDJPY pair.
With a high probability, it is going to get filled today.
Target level - 151.3
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USDJPY H4 | Potential Bullish Bounce SetupUSD/JPY is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 100% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 149.83, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss is at 148.78, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 152.43, whichis a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.






















