XAU/USD | Next Key Zone: Watch for Rejection at $3334! (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, just as expected, the price dropped from $3310 to $3288 in the first leg, where it hit a demand zone and bounced up to $3305, delivering a 170-pip rally. The main bearish move from $3333 to $3288 yielded 450 pips, bringing the total return on this analysis to over 620 pips!
In the second phase, gold dropped sharply again to $3268, and once more found demand, currently trading around $3307. If the price holds above $3294, we could expect further upside toward the $3322–$3334 zone. Once gold reaches this area, a strong bearish rejection is likely, with a potential return of 250 to 400 pips.
All key supply and demand levels are marked on the chart — make sure to monitor them closely and study the chart in detail. Hope you’ve made the most of this powerful analysis!
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USDJPY
USDJPY 30Min Engaged (Buy & Sell Reversal Entry's Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 148.750
🩸Bearish Reversal - 150.100
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USD/JPY: Fifth Wave Target in SightUSD/JPY is painting a textbook five-wave impulse structure from the recent lows, and we're now positioned for what could be the final act of this motive sequence.
Current Wave Count
✅ Waves 1-3 Complete: Clean impulsive structure with wave 3 showing strong extension
✅ Wave 4 in Progress: Currently correcting from the 150.94 high
🎯 Wave 5 Setup: Targeting completion around 151.95 - 152.20
Key Levels to Watch
Support Zone: 150.00 area (ideal wave 4 retracement)
This aligns with wave principle fourth-wave correction parameters
Provides a healthy pullback without threatening wave 1 overlap
Target: 151.95 - 152.20 zone for wave 5 completion
Classic 5 vs 1+3 projection
Trade Strategy
Monitor for supportive price action near 150.00
Look for an impulsive price action to confirm wave 5 beginning
Structure suggests one more leg higher before a larger correction
The beauty of Elliott Wave: when the count is this clean, the roadmap becomes crystal clear. Let's see if USD/JPY delivers this final push to complete the sequence.
Today’s Opportunity: Stay Sharp on GBPJPY!Hey friends,
Here's my latest analysis on GBPJPY.
📌 Buy Entry Zone: 197.590 - 197.336
🎯 Target Level: 198.642
📅 Today, major economic data will be released from the U.S.
Make sure to factor this into your fundamental analysis.
📊 It’s not just about the charts—fundamentals matter too.
Technical + Fundamental = Powerful outcomes ✅
💬 Every like and bit of support keeps me going.
Thanks so much to everyone backing this journey! 🙌
USDJPY Analysis : Key Reversal Zone After Parabolic Rally🧠 Market Psychology & Structure
The USDJPY 4-hour chart reveals a classic parabolic curve pattern signifying an acceleration phase in bullish momentum. This phase typically occurs during the final stages of a bullish move, where price action becomes increasingly steep due to aggressive buyer participation.
The rounded curve drawn on the chart reflects momentum compression—where pullbacks become shallower, and higher highs are formed rapidly. However, this pattern often ends in a blow-off top or a sharp correction, especially when approaching key supply zones.
🧩 Key Technical Highlights
Major Break Zone: The previous resistance around 148.80–149.00 (now flipped to support) was clearly broken with strong bullish candles, confirming trend continuation.
Break Out Demand : Price retested the breakout zone (around 149.80–150.00) before launching higher, validating this level as a new demand zone.
Current Price Action: The pair is currently hovering around 150.50 after a powerful rally, showing early signs of exhaustion with smaller bullish candles and slight upper wicks.
🔍 Target Area – Next Reversal Zone (151.80–152.30)
The green highlighted zone marks a strong supply area / reversal zone, identified from:
Previous price rejections in historical data.
Overbought conditions due to vertical rally.
Completion of the parabolic structure (climax zone).
We can expect price to reach this zone in the coming sessions, where it may:
Face strong selling pressure.
Trigger short positions from institutional sellers.
Lead to distribution or reversal back toward the demand area near 150.00.
🔄 Forecast & Trade Plan
Scenario 1 (High Probability): Price taps into 151.80–152.30, forms bearish engulfing or rejection wick, then pulls back to 150.00 or lower.
Scenario 2 (Invalidation): Strong breakout above 152.30 with momentum—bullish continuation towards 153.00+ possible.
🧠 Trader’s Mindset (MMC Insight)
This chart suggests a matured bullish trend nearing exhaustion. As smart traders, we anticipate rather than react. Wait for the price to reach the supply zone, then observe for confirmation (bearish structure, divergence, candlestick pattern) before shorting.
Avoid chasing longs at these highs—risk-to-reward is no longer favorable. Patience will offer a much cleaner entry if the reversal unfolds as expected.
DeGRAM | USDJPY fixed above the descending channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Dollar-yen has punched through the 16-month descending channel top and twice retested it as support (false-break tags), carving a rising trend line that now guides price away from 144.90.
● Inside the break zone a smaller pennant is forming; a 4 h close above 147.18 completes the pattern and activates the channel-height target at 150.80 near the November swing cap.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US 2-yr yields pushed to a three-month high after hotter CPI core-services and Barkin’s “inflation progress has stalled”, while the BoJ July minutes flagged only “gradual” QT—widening the policy gap and reviving carry demand for yen shorts.
✨ Summary
Long 145.2-146.2; pennant break >147.18 targets 150.80. Bias void on a 4 h close below 142.80.
-------------------
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Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 151.17
1st Support: 149.03
1st Resistance: 154.51
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USDJPY: The Fed & BOJ Likely To Keep Rates In Place. Buy It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
USDJPY
The FED and BOJ are expected to keep their perspective interest rates, come Wednesday. The USD is stabilizing, a US-Japanese tariff deal inked, and investors are slowing moving money from the Yen safe haven to riskier assets.
Look for USDJPY to slowly move higher.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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USDJPY I Technical and Fundamental Analysis Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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USD_JPY RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅USD_JPY is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 151.232
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 150.368
SHORT🔥
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BoJ keep interest rate unchanged, yen weakeningFollowing the July meeting, the BoJ maintained its interest rate at 0.5%, citing prevailing uncertainties from trade tariffs. Concurrently, the BoJ revised its inflation forecast upward to 2.7% YoY from 2.2%. The central bank's language on economic uncertainty has become less pessimistic, downgrading trade policy risks from "extremely high" to "high uncertainties remain," which signals a growing, albeit cautious, confidence in the economic outlook.
In the US, the June PCE surged to 2.6% YoY, surpassing the 2.5% prev. cons. The increase was attributed to tariff impacts, with Goods prices rising 0.4% MoM, the fastest pace since January, while Services prices held steady at 0.2% MoM.
The higher-than-expected US PCE data and the BoJ's decision to hold interest rates have continued to drive further appreciation of the USDJPY.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
The USD/JPY pair is trading above its EMAs extensions, signaling a continuation of the bullish momentum. The price has successfully breached the ascending resistance trendline. However, the RSI is in overbought territory, suggesting that the current rally may be extended, and a potential pullback could be imminent.
The pair could continue to test the resistance level at 151.367. Should it fail to break this level, a rebound could see the USD/JPY pair test the support at 149.65.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Exness
DXY USDOLLAR CRASH Incoming!Long-term fundamentals are bearish
Long-term sentiment = bearish
Long-term technicals = bearish
Trump wants a weaker dollar + FED injecting endless amounts of cash into the markets
driving stocks/ gold up, and the dollar down, losing purchasing power.
My plan is to look for shorts on the 1hr-4hr timeframe with lower timeframe confirmation.
Once price starts turning over, day-traders can join in.
Agree or disagree?
USD/JPY Analysis is Ready USD/JPY is showing a bullish setup. Price broke out of a rising channel and is expected to retest the 148.887 support level before moving higher toward the 150.600 and 151.568 resistance zones, targeting the 152.000 area. The demand zone adds strength to the potential upside.
USDJPY 4H Analysis : Curve Breakout & Retest Completed + Bullish"Momentum Building Above Retested Demand – Will Bulls Take Control?"
📊 Market Structure Overview:
USDJPY has shown a clean bullish structure in recent sessions, supported by a strong demand retest and a steady parabolic curve formation (Black Mind Curve Line). The pair has successfully broken above a major resistance, retested it, and is now holding higher ground—suggesting potential for continued upside if current structure holds.
🧱 Detailed Technical Breakdown:
🔹 1. Demand & Retesting Behavior
The chart highlights a key demand zone (green box) that was previously used after a bullish move.
Price recently returned to this zone for a clean retest, validating its role as a strong support.
This type of retesting behavior is critical in smart money analysis, confirming that accumulation has occurred and sellers have been absorbed.
🔹 2. Major Breakout Confirmation
The previous major structure level has been decisively broken to the upside.
This level now acts as support, increasing the probability that the bullish move will sustain.
🔹 3. Black Mind Curve Line (Parabolic Structure)
A parabolic curved trendline supports the current price action, showing how bulls are gradually gaining momentum.
This curve represents buyer interest increasing over time, which often leads to an aggressive breakout when paired with retest confirmation.
📍 Key Price Zones:
Type Price Level (Approx.) Description
🔹 Retesting Zone ~148.800 – 149.100 Support zone after major breakout
🔺 Resistance Target (1) ~150.500 Bullish breakout target (short-term)
🔻 Downside Risk (2) ~147.000 – 146.500 Bearish invalidation zone if demand fails
🔹 Full Supply Area ~145.000 – 145.500 Historical supply zone if price fails completely
🔮 Trade Scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias)
Retest is complete, and price is holding above the curve and demand zone.
If bullish momentum continues:
📈 Target 1: 150.50 – Near-term resistance and liquidity area
📈 Target 2: 151.20+ – Extension target if buyers dominate
Bullish Confirmation:
Price must stay above ~149.00 and continue forming higher highs.
Entry ideas: Wait for minor consolidation above current price or bullish breakout from mini range.
⚠️ Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection
If price rejects from current level and breaks below the curve and demand zone (~148.80):
📉 First downside target: 147.00 (minor support)
📉 Final bearish target: 145.50 (full supply zone)
Bearish Confirmation:
Breakdown of curve support and close below the retesting zone with momentum.
Such a move would suggest buyers failed, and market may rotate lower.
🧠 Market Sentiment & Psychology:
Smart Money Behavior: Demand was filled cleanly and retested, indicating possible institutional interest at that level.
Momentum Curve: As shown by the black curve, momentum is rising gradually—this reflects confidence building among buyers.
However, price is near psychological resistance (150.00–150.50 zone), where heavy sell orders might be placed.
The market is in a decision zone, where confirmation of strength or failure will dictate the next 200–300 pip move.
🎯 Summary:
USDJPY is showing a bullish structure supported by:
A valid retest of demand
A clean breakout of major resistance
An ascending parabolic curve
If bulls defend the current zone, we may see a powerful continuation toward 150.50+. If price fails to hold above the retest zone, downside risks open toward 147.00 and potentially the full supply at 145.00.
📌 Trade Smart: Wait for price confirmation, manage risk with stop placement below the demand zone or structure lows, and avoid chasing the move.
The Fed aftermath. US dollar bulls enjoy the moment.The US dollar bulls went in hard after during and after the Fed's press conference. Can the momentum stay? Let's dig in.
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
TVC:DXY
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USD-JPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY keep growing and
The pair made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 149.181 and the pair is
Already retesting the new
Support and we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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USDJPY Setup: Prime Buy Zone with a Clear Target!Good morning my friends,
I've prepared a fresh USDJPY analysis just for you.
Currently, the most logical buy zone sits at 147.170. If price reaches this level and performs a retest, it’s likely to target the 149.185 level.
I'll personally be entering at 147.170 and waiting for my target: 149.000.
This setup is based on the 4-hour timeframe, so it may take some time to reach the target.
Every single like you give is a major source of motivation for me to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks so much to everyone supporting with a like!
USDJPY A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 148.71
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 147.93
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY UPSIDE The dollar index (DXY00) on Tuesday rose by +0.22% and posted a 5-week high. The dollar has carryover support from Monday following the EU-US trade deal that is seen as favoring the US. Also, expectations for the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged at the end of Wednesday's 2-day FOMC meeting are supportive of the dollar. The dollar extended its gains after the US Jun advance goods trade deficit unexpectedly shrank, a supportive factor for Q2 GDP, and after July consumer confidence rose more than expected.
XAU/USD | Gold Below $3345 – Key Demand Awaits at $3282–$3296!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after dropping to the $3301 area, strong demand came in, helping the price stabilize above $3300 and rally up to over $3334. Currently, gold is trading around $3331. If the price fails to break and hold above $3345 within the next 8 hours, we may see a price correction soon. A key demand zone lies between $3282–$3296, where a strong bullish reaction could occur if price revisits this area. Important supply levels to watch are $3366, $3382, $3393, and $3404.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDJPY rising wedge capped at 148,90The USDJPY pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 149.90, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 148.90 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 146.93, followed by 146.50 and 146.10 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 148.93 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 149.75, then 150.20.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 148.90. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.






















