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USDJPY Long Technical Analysis🔎 Technical Analysis – USDJPY (4H) Currently, USDJPY is trading around 147.30, consolidating within a wide range. The market has been sideways, but signs of a bullish breakout are building. • Support Zone: 146.30 → strong base tested multiple times. Buyers are stepping in aggressively here. • Resistance Zone: 149.10 → the immediate ceiling. A breakout above this can fuel continuation. • Trend Context: Although the pair has been choppy, the repeated higher lows near 146.20–146.30 suggest accumulation and potential upward pressure. • Indicators (from chart levels): Previous “Buy” signals were accurate near demand zones, giving weight to the bullish bias. ________________________________________ 📊 Trade Setup (Bullish Bias 🚀) • ✅ Entry: 147.30 • 🛑 Stop-Loss: 146.30 • 🎯 Take Profit 1: 148.00 • 🎯 Take Profit 2: 149.10 (major resistance) • 🎯 Extended Target: 150.90 if momentum sustains above 149.10 • ⚖️ Risk/Reward: ~1:2 ________________________________________ ⚡ Risk Handling & Profit Booking • 💰 Partial Profit Booking: Close 40% at 148.00 → locks in profit while staying in position. • 🏹 Trailing Stop: After 148.00 is hit, move SL to entry (147.30) → risk-free trade. As price pushes toward 149+, trail stop to 148.20–148.50. • 📉 Capital Allocation: Keep exposure limited so a full SL hit at 146.30 risks 1–2% equity only. ________________________________________ ✨ Summary: USDJPY is preparing for a bullish leg 📈. A break above 148.00 could accelerate toward 149.10, and if momentum is strong, even 150.90 is on the table 🚀. Smart risk handling with partial profits + trailing stop ensures both safety and upside capture. ________________________________________
Long
by SupertradeOfficial
USDJPY Forming Ascending ChannelUSDJPY is currently trading around 147.28, moving within a clear ascending channel structure on the daily chart. Price is testing the lower trendline support near 146.40, making this a critical zone for buyers to defend. If the pair holds above this level, we could see momentum building back toward the 149.40–150.00 resistance area, while a breakdown would expose downside levels near 139.80. On the fundamental side, the Japanese Yen remains under pressure as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose monetary stance, despite inflation running higher than historical averages. In contrast, the US Dollar is being driven by shifting expectations on Federal Reserve policy, with recent economic data suggesting that rate cuts may be delayed as inflation cools gradually but remains sticky. This divergence keeps USDJPY well supported in the medium term. Traders are closely watching upcoming US CPI and labor market data, which will provide further clarity on Fed policy direction. A strong recovery from the ascending channel support could confirm bullish continuation, while a decisive break below could trigger a sharp corrective move. Risk management is key at this stage, as volatility remains elevated with potential central bank interventions from Japan if the Yen weakens too aggressively. Holding above the channel base keeps the structure bullish, but losing it shifts bias to a deeper retracement.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
147.20 Holds Strong — Next Stop 150.00 on USD/JPY?🔎 Technical Outlook (USD/JPY – 4H) The pair is currently trading around 147.78, consolidating within a broad range. The key observation is repeated rejections near 147.20 support, suggesting buyers are defending this zone. On the upside, 149.00–149.20 remains a strong resistance ceiling. Momentum indicators (based on price action structure in your chart) show buyers stepping back in after a retracement. The bullish setup comes from the fact that price is rebounding off support, forming higher lows, and still holding above the mid-range of the consolidation channel. ________________________________________ 📈 Bullish Trade Setup (USD/JPY – 4H) • ✅ Entry Zone (Buy): 147.60 – 147.80 (current area, confirmation above 147.90 ideal) • 🛑 Stop Loss: 147.20 (below recent swing low & defended support) • 🎯 Take Profit 1: 148.70 – lock partial gains (book ~50%) • 🎯 Take Profit 2: 149.20 – key resistance test, move stop to breakeven • 🎯 Take Profit 3: 150.00 – extended bullish breakout potential, trail stop to 148.70 ________________________________________ 📊 Risk Handling & Trade Management 1. Risk no more than 1–2% per trade — USD/JPY can be volatile. 2. Partial Profit Booking: Secure profits at TP1 to reduce exposure while riding further upside. 3. Trailing Stop: After TP1, shift SL to entry. If TP2 is hit, trail stop tighter under 148.50 to lock profits while leaving room for 150. 4. Be mindful of U.S. economic releases this week (highlighted at bottom of chart), which can cause sharp spikes in JPY pairs. ________________________________________ ⚖️ Summary USD/JPY is showing strength from support, and as long as 147.20 holds, the bullish structure remains valid. A clean break above 149.20 could trigger momentum buying toward 150.00, making this a favorable R:R setup with disciplined management. ________________________________________
Long
by SupertradeOfficial
USDJPY Holds 147 – Is a Bullish Breakout Imminent?The USDJPY pair has been consolidating in a well-defined range between 146.60 and 148.20. This range has acted as the battleground between buyers and sellers, but the repeated rejections from the lower boundary highlight strong accumulation by buyers. The zone between 146.60 and 146.85 has been tested multiple times, and each test has produced a rebound, confirming it as a key demand area where institutional buyers are stepping in. On the upper side, resistance has remained firm at 148.10–148.20, where several intraday reversals occurred. However, despite repeated rejections, the structure is gradually shifting in favor of the bulls. The series of higher lows seen after the recent dip toward 146.60 shows that buyers are gaining strength and absorbing selling pressure. This is a classic sign of an impending breakout, especially when the market refuses to break the downside after several attempts. The hourly trend structure is now tilted in favor of a bullish continuation. Price is trading near the mid-zone of the range, with buyers defending 147.00–147.20 strongly. Momentum indicators (based on the candle structure and range holds) point toward the likelihood of a retest of the upper boundary. A clean break above 148.20 would unlock the next upside leg toward 148.75, and if momentum continues, even toward 149.50 in the medium term. From a risk/reward perspective, the trade setup in the chart is favorable. By keeping the stop below 146.67, risk remains tightly managed while the upside potential is nearly double. This aligns with the bullish market context and provides a strong edge for long positioning. Trade Setup (Bullish) • Entry Zone: 147.15 – 147.20 • Stop Loss: 146.67 • Take Profit 1: 148.12 • Take Profit 2: 148.75 As long as the pair holds above 146.60, the bullish case remains intact. A breakdown of this zone would invalidate the setup and open the path toward 146.00 or even 145.50, but for now, the market structure favors continuation higher. USDJPY is building pressure inside a consolidation range, with strong demand at the bottom and weakening resistance at the top. The technical picture suggests that buyers have the upper hand, and a breakout above 148.20 could be the trigger for the next bullish wave.
Long
by SupertradeOfficial
USDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D5 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D5 | Y25 📊 USDJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25 📊 USDJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D3 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D3 | Y25 📊 USDJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPUSD shorts due to better than expect US Eco dataFor the week ending August 23, 2025, U.S. initial jobless claims were 229,000, below the forecast of 231,000 and down from the previous week's revised figure of 234,000. This suggests a slight improvement in new unemployment filings. Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent (0.8 percent at a quarterly rate) in the second quarter of 2025 (April, May, and June), according to the second estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Due to the above data being better than expected, we can expect the dollar to increase in strength over the short term.
Short
by NDOBObanks
USDJPY Long Bias Forecast Q3 W35 D28 Y25 – NY Session 🗓️ USDJPY Long Bias Forecast Q3 W35 D28 Y25 – NY Session Top-Down Technical Outlook 🔹 Weekly Timeframe Price Action: Strong rejection from the Weekly 50 EMA, acting as dynamic support. Note: With two trading days left in the week, the previous weekly wick remains a key area — it may still fill, suggesting further upside potential. Implication: Structure suggests continuation to the upside, but current price must confirm with internal shifts before entry. 🔹 Daily Timeframe Current Price: Hovering around the Daily 50 EMA – a key equilibrium level. Expectation: Potential bullish reaction if buyers defend this zone. Risk Consideration: Aggressive long entries must be approached cautiously without a confirmed change in internal structure (CHOIS). 🔹 4H Timeframe Confluence: Bullish wick closure on the last candle suggests rejection from lower prices. Order Block (OB) identified near Daily 50 EMA – an ideal POI. Narrative: Structure is preparing for a potential shift. Look for breaks of internal structure (BOS) to confirm bullish intent. 🔹 1H Timeframe Candlestick Confirmation: Last 3 consecutive bullish candles forming a classic bullish continuation pattern. Order Block in alignment with 4H and Daily 50 EMA adds weight to the area. Bias: Bullish – pending confirmation via BOS and clean pullbacks. 🔹 5-Minute Timeframe Microstructure: Refined entry points within OB zone. Ideal for tight stop entries post BOS and retest of lower-timeframe OB. Watch For: Shift from bearish to bullish market structure. Entry following a break + retest of a demand zone or OB. ✅ Confluences for Longs Rejection from Weekly 50 EMA. Price respecting Daily 50 EMA. 4H OB + Bullish candle closure. 1H Bullish formation + OB. 5M potential BOS/CHOIS for refined entry. ⚠️ Cautions / Trade Management Wait for internal structure shift on lower timeframes before full commitment. Liquidity sweeps below current price are still possible before upside continuation. Maintain awareness of macroeconomic catalysts (e.g., U.S. or Japan economic data or central bank commentary). FRGNT FX:USDJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25 🔍 Daily Forecast | USDJPY Here’s a concise breakdown of the current chart setup 🧠📈: 📌 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. We wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before executing any position. This keeps us disciplined, and in sync with what the price action is actually telling us — not what we want it to say. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core Principles: Max 1% risk per trade Execute only at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan (minimum 1:2) 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take — you're paid for how well you manage risk. "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work for you. 🎯📊 FRGNT FX:USDJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY — Q3 W35 Mid-Week Forecast Top-Down Analysis | USDJPY — Q3 W35 Mid-Week Forecast - Top-Down Analysis | mid-week forecast for USDJPY — let’s break it down top to bottom: 🕰️ Weekly Outlook: No clear structure or trend bias from the weekly candle 🕯️ However, price closed below the Weekly 50 EMA 📉, leaving a bearish upper wick This signals a possible continuation to the downside this week But — as always — wicks tend to get filled first on lower timeframes before short setups play out 📌 Key Reminder: "Sell from the highs, buy from the lows." 🔁 📆 Daily Structure: Daily candles have been pushing into lower-timeframe POIs This aligns with potential sell zones, building confluence If candles continue to push up, we're watching closely for rejection from the Weekly 50 EMA ⚠️ Don’t be thrown off by a bullish weekly candle midweek — we're anticipating a rejection wick and bearish close. Let structure confirm. ⏱️ Lower Time Frame Confluence: 🔻 Primary Short Bias (High Confidence Zone): 🔸 4H POI containing: A clean Order Block (OB) A void (imbalance) 🔹 Within that, a 1H OB + void adds strong confluence 🔐 Once price enters the zone: ⬇️ Scale to 5-min Wait for Break of Structure (BoS) Execute the short ✅ 🔺 Optional Long Setup (If Structure Shifts): While short bias is primary, longs are not off the table A separate POI based on 4H / 1H / 15' exists for a possible long If price hits this zone: Wait for LTF BoS (1' or 5') Consider long entries, only if confluence stacks 🧠 Key Takeaways: Weekly close below 50 EMA = bearish tilt, but lower timeframe confirmation needed Let the wicks fill before forcing shorts Only take longs with strong confluence As always — one trade at a time, risk managed, confluence stacked Trade safe, stay disciplined. FRGNT FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY has done false breakdown?USDJPY trade setup for today : Before we look at potential entry in this pair first let’s look at multiple timeframe analysis in this market. Monthly: 150.79 Monthly resistance price has got rejection strongly from the top Weekly: After multiple doji formation, price is about to bounce off the support level potentially move back to the upside. Daily: With a massive rejection on Friday, USDJPY started to fill the imbalance and price may continue to move back to the upside. Entry timeframe 4H : Upon rejection from any previous candles support, price may continue to bounce. Possible trade recommendation : Bullish entry with SL above sessions high
Long
by ForexWizard01
USD/JPY) Bullish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY (2H) analysis you shared: --- Technical Breakdown 1. Price Action & Zone Price retraced into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) / demand zone (yellow box) around 147.00 – 147.40. Strong buying interest is visible from this zone. 2. Falling Wedge Pattern A falling wedge has formed, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern. Price is attempting to break out above wedge resistance, showing potential for upside momentum. 3. EMA (200 Close) Price is interacting with the 200 EMA (147.58), serving as dynamic resistance. A sustained breakout above this EMA would confirm bullish continuation. 4. RSI (14) RSI currently around 46–50, suggesting neutral momentum with room for upside. --- Trade Idea Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: On breakout & retest of wedge / demand zone. Target: 148.680 (as marked). Invalidation: Below 146.60 (clear break under demand/FVG zone). Mr SMC Trading point --- This setup suggests a bullish reversal from support, with a likely push toward 148.68 after wedge breakout. please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
USDJPY: Simple Role Reversal Play - Fibonacci RetracementSharing my straightforward read on USDJPY for the immediate term. 🎯 **📍 The Setup:** I'm expecting a role reversal move back toward the recent range highs. After that initial bounce, I'm looking for a stronger upward move targeting approximately the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the larger range structure. 📊 **⏰ Timing Expectations:** If this scenario plays out, it should happen within the next day or two. Currency moves often have tight timing windows, and this setup has that "ready to go" feel to it. ⚡ **🎯 Why This Makes Sense:** Role reversals at key levels are bread-and-butter setups. Former resistance becomes support, and the market often tests these flipped levels before continuing the broader move. Simple market mechanics. 🔄 **🧠 Keep It Simple:** Sometimes the best trades are the most obvious ones. No complex analysis needed here - just clean technical levels and patient execution. 📈 📈 **This trade setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 5:1.** Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 16.67%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. 🧠 💡 **Pro Tip**: If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. ✅ --- **Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates. --- *Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
Long
by Hiroyuki-Suzuki
3
Big Bounce from 146.20! Is USDJPY Heading for 149.00?The USDJPY 4H chart is showing signs of recovery after a period of volatility. Price recently bounced from the 146.20–146.70 support zone 🛡️, which has acted as a strong demand area multiple times in the past week. Buyers have stepped in strongly from that level, and the pair is now trading around 147.60–147.85, pushing upward with a constructive bullish structure. Looking at the broader picture, USDJPY had been under pressure earlier, printing lower highs and testing deeper supports. However, the rejection near 146.20 marks a potential swing low formation 🔄, as price immediately rallied higher with strong bullish candles. Importantly, the market has shifted above the mid-level 147.20–147.40 area, turning it into a short-term base for buyers. On the upside, the immediate resistance 🚧 lies at 147.85–148.00, which is already being tested. A breakout above this zone would expose the higher resistance at 148.52, a key level where sellers previously rejected price. If bulls clear 148.52 decisively, the next possible leg could target the 149.00 handle, a psychological level and prior supply zone. The trade setup 🎯 as shown on the chart is structured with bullish bias: • Entry: Around 147.60–147.85 (already activated) • Stop Loss (SL): Near 147.18 (just below recent consolidation base 🛡️) • Target (TP): First target near 148.00–148.10, extended target at 148.52 🚀 This gives a risk-to-reward ratio better than 2:1 ✅, which is favorable for continuation trades. The structure also shows multiple “Buy (B)” markers clustering at the bottom around 146.20–146.70, confirming that dip-buying interest is strong. On the other hand, the “Sell (S)” markers above 148.50 highlight the importance of this resistance zone. Bulls need strong momentum to flip this level; otherwise, price may stall temporarily. In terms of strategy, the bullish trade remains valid as long as USDJPY holds above 147.20. Traders can consider booking partial profits 💰 near 148.00 and leaving the rest toward 148.50. Once price moves in profit, it’s wise to trail the stop-loss 🔒 to breakeven or slightly in the green to protect against sudden pullbacks. ✅ Conclusion: USDJPY is looking bullish in the short term 📈 after bouncing from 146.20–146.70 support. A move toward 148.00–148.50 is favored, with potential extension toward 149.00 if momentum stays strong. However, active risk management is key—secure small profits at intermediate levels and trail stops as the trend progresses.
Long
by SupertradeOfficial