Get started

Usdjpytrade

USD/JPY | Market Structure Signals Upside Continuation🔥 USD/JPY “THE NINJA” — Breakout Play Above 157.800 | Smart Momentum Setup 📌 Asset USD/JPY – “THE NINJA” Forex Market Trade Opportunity Guide (Swing / Day Trade) 🧠 Trade Plan 📈 Bias: Bullish (Pending Order Strategy) 🧩 Market Logic: Compression → Resistance Break → Retest → Continuation 🎯 Entry Strategy 🚀 BUY ONLY AFTER CONFIRMED BREAKOUT 🔑 Key Level: 157.800 ✅ Enter after resistance breakout + retest confirmation ⚠️ Avoid early entries before structure confirms 🛑 Stop Loss (Risk Control) ⛔ Thief SL Reference: 156.000 📌 Place SL only after breakout & retest is validated ⚖️ Adjust SL as per: Your timeframe Risk-to-reward model Position sizing rules 📝 This SL is a reference, not a recommendation. Trade responsibly. 🎯 Target / Exit Logic 🚨 Target Zone: 160.500 👮‍♂️ Police Force Zone = Strong historical resistance Overbought conditions Liquidity trap probability Correction risk increases 💰 Book profits smartly — do not marry the trade 📝 TP is a reference, not a fixed rule. Manage exits based on market behavior. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Map) 💵 JPY Strength / Weakness Confirmation OANDA:EURJPY 📊 ➝ Confirms broad JPY weakness if pushing higher OANDA:GBPJPY ⚡ ➝ High beta pair, leads momentum moves in JPY OANDA:CHFJPY 🧱 ➝ Risk sentiment gauge (safe-haven vs carry trade) 💲 USD Strength Confirmation TVC:DXY 📈 ➝ USD strength above key levels supports USD/JPY upside OANDA:USDCHF 🔄 ➝ Confirms dollar demand vs safe havens 👉 If JPY weakens across crosses + USD holds firm, USD/JPY continuation probability increases. 🌍 Fundamental & Economic Factors to Monitor 🏦 Bank of Japan (BoJ) Policy remains accommodative Yield control stance keeps JPY structurally weak Any verbal intervention = short-term volatility only 🏛 Federal Reserve (USD Side) Higher-for-longer rate narrative supports USD Strong US data → USD bid → USD/JPY bullish pressure 📊 Key Upcoming Data (High Impact) 🇺🇸 US CPI / Core CPI 🇺🇸 NFP & Unemployment Rate 🇺🇸 Retail Sales 🇯🇵 BoJ statements / inflation data 📌 Strong US data + neutral BoJ = bullish continuation fuel ⚠️ Risk Notes Avoid entries during high-impact news spikes Wait for close above resistance, not just wicks Liquidity hunts are common near psychological levels 🧭 Final Trader Reminder 📌 This is a structure-based breakout plan, not financial advice. 🧠 Trade with discipline. 📊 Let price confirm. 💼 Protect capital first — profits follow. 👍 If this breakdown adds value, support with a like & follow. 📢 Share with traders who respect structure, patience, and risk control.
by The-Thief
USD/JPY Slides Towards Key SupportUSD/JPY Slides Towards Key Support A Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting is due this week, and expectations around the decision are supporting the yen today. Traders increasingly believe that the central bank may raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to 0.75%. Moreover, according to Trading Economics, analysts expect the interest rate to reach 1% by July 2026. Senior officials in Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s cabinet are also unlikely to oppose tighter policy, as an excessively weak yen could drive up import costs and fuel inflation. Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart The chart shows USD/JPY moving lower today towards the important support level at ¥155 per dollar. Earlier this month, bears attempted to break below this level but failed to gain leading momentum. Notably, market fluctuations since October have formed an ascending channel. Within this framework: → the channel median has twice acted as resistance, a bearish signal; → the price is currently near the lower boundary of the channel, which may serve as strong support. Given these factors, it is reasonable to assume that expectations of tighter monetary policy could lead to a break below the combined support formed by the lower channel boundary and the key 155.00 level. If this occurs, the area could turn into resistance, opening the way for USD/JPY to move towards the next major support near ¥150 per dollar. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
#USDJPY: From +1100 Pips To +1350 Pips A Possible Swing BuyDear Traders, I hope you’re all having a great trading week! The USDJPY is currently trading in a 152 price range and is experiencing extreme bullish momentum. The price is rallying without making any corrections, primarily due to the collapse of the Yen. We may see it fall further below. Given this market condition, it’s much riskier to trade with USDJPY. Here are two approaches you may consider: 1. Take the entry at the current trading price with an accurate stop loss while using a smaller timeframe. 2. Wait for the price to return to the liquidity gap area, where it’s expected to fill. Good luck, and thank you for your support throughout. We appreciate your support. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
38
Balance with an upward biasIn recent days, USDJPY has shown mixed dynamics, remaining within a range but still retaining signs of gradual strengthening. The upward movement does not appear rapid, yet the wave structure indicates buyer interest and the potential for a bullish scenario to develop. The chart shows that the price is holding above key zones, while corrective pullbacks remain moderate. This configuration reflects a balance of forces, where sellers lack sufficient pressure and upward impulses are gradually taking shape. The fundamental backdrop also supports a tendency toward strengthening: demand for the dollar remains steady, and interest in risk assets reinforces buyer positions. As a result, the pair remains in a neutral phase with a bullish bias, where the next move may confirm the formation of a sustainable upward trend.
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
1
USD/JPY Price Outlook 📊 Technical Structure FX:USDJPY USD/JPY remains under bearish pressure below the descending trendline and the 155.99–156.17 resistance zone. Price repeatedly failed to break through this area, signalling strong selling interest and reinforcing the broader downtrend structure. The pair continues to oscillate toward the 155.20–155.02 support zone, where buyers have previously stepped in, but momentum still favours the downside as long as the market stays below 156.00. A retest of resistance followed by rejection would keep the bearish sequence intact. A confirmed breakout above 156.17 would invalidate this structure. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bearish Scenario) Bias: Sell from resistance after rejection. Entry: 155.99 – 156.17 Stop Loss: 156.40 Take Profit 1: 155.20 Take Profit 2: 155.02 Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1 : 2.4 The bearish idea remains valid while price remains below 156.17 on a 4H closing basis. 🌐 Macro Background (Simplified) JPY fundamentals continue to lean supportive despite short-term fluctuations: Markets expect the Bank of Japan to hike rates as early as next week, supporting the Yen and reinforcing policy divergence with the US. The Federal Reserve delivered another rate cut, keeping the USD soft and maintaining downward pressure on USD/JPY. Risk-on sentiment limits safe-haven demand for JPY, but BoJ’s tightening trajectory outweighs this, keeping upside capped. Japan’s weaker fiscal outlook creates some hesitation among Yen buyers, yet does not offset the broader macro forces favouring JPY strength. Overall, the macro environment aligns with the technical bias for further USD/JPY downside. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 155.99 – 156.17 Support Zone: 155.20 – 155.02 Invalidation Level: 156.17 (4H breakout) 📌 Trade Summary USD/JPY continues to respect the descending trendline and strong resistance near 156.00. As long as the pair remains capped below 156.17, the market maintains a bearish bias toward 155.20–155.02. Retests of resistance provide attractive short opportunities aligned with both technical and macro trends. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Extends Sharp UpsideMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Extends Sharp Upside USD/JPY managed to reclaim 156.00 and might aim for more gains. Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today - USD/JPY climbed higher above 155.50 and 156.00. - There is a bullish trend line forming with support near 156.30 on the hourly chart. USD/JPY Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/JPY, the pair started a decent increase from 154.35. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 155.00 against the Japanese Yen. It settled above the 50-hour simple moving average and 156.00. The upward move was such that the pair even tested 156.90. A high was formed at 156.93 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a minor pullback below 156.75. The current price action is positive, and the pair seems to be aiming for more gains. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support near 156.30 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 154.34 swing low to the 156.93 high. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 156.90. The first key hurdle sits at 157.00. If there is a close above 157.00 and the RSI moves above 60, the pair could rise toward 157.50. The next stop for the bulls might be 157.80, above which the pair could test 158.40 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is near the trend line at 156.30. The next area of interest could be near 155.65, below which the pair could test the 61.8% Fib retracement at 155.35. Any more losses could open the doors for a move toward 154.35. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure FX:USDJPY USD/JPY is trading around 155.00, struggling to break above the 155.05–155.18 Resistance Zone, where repeated rejections continue to maintain a short-term bearish bias. Price remains capped beneath this ceiling, with bearish wicks showing supply pressure. The structure favours a pullback as long as price stays below 155.18. A clean hourly close above this level would invalidate the setup and indicate deeper recovery potential. On the downside, the 154.43–154.56 Support Zone remains the next magnet if rejection continues. 🎯 Trade Setup (Sell Bias) Entry: 155.05 – 155.18 Stop Loss: 155.30 Take Profit 1: 154.56 Take Profit 2: 154.43 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1 : 2.23 Bearish idea remains valid as long as USD/JPY stays below 155.18. A breakout and hourly close above this level invalidates the trade. 🌐 Macro Background USD/JPY remains trapped in narrow consolidation on Friday, but the broader macro backdrop still favors JPY strength. Despite weak Japanese Household Spending falling 2.9% YoY, the market remains focused on rising expectations for a BoJ rate hike, supported by Governor Ueda’s recent hawkish remarks. Elevated Japanese government bond yields—10-year JGBs at the highest levels since 2007 and 20-year yields near 1999 highs—continue to narrow the rate differential and attract JPY buying. Meanwhile, the US Dollar struggles to extend its rebound, even after upbeat US labor market data, as traders expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates next week. Fed expectations remain firmly dovish, marking a significant contrast to the BoJ’s tightening bias, keeping upward pressure on the Yen. Traders remain cautious ahead of the US PCE inflation report, which will act as a key driver for both USD volatility and short-term direction in USD/JPY. Overall, diverging policy expectations—BoJ hawkish vs. Fed dovish—maintain a bearish macro tone for USD/JPY. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 155.05 – 155.18 Support Zone: 154.43 – 154.56 Invalidation Level: 155.30 Downside Targets: 154.56, 154.43 📌 Trade Summary USD/JPY continues to face resistance around 155.18, holding a bearish intraday structure. The preferred approach is to sell rallies into the resistance zone, targeting a continuation toward 154.43–154.56. A move above 155.30 cancels the idea and signals a shift in momentum. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
USD/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure FX:USDJPY USD/JPY remains under pressure within a clear downtrend, capped by a descending trendline from recent highs. The pair has bounced off the 155.21–155.39 support zone, but any recovery is still unfolding below the key 156.08–156.27 resistance zone, where prior demand has turned into supply. The chart shows a bearish continuation structure: Resistance zone: 156.08 – 156.27 Support zone / target area: 155.21 – 155.39 As long as price remains below the descending trendline and 156.27, rallies into the resistance band are likely to attract sellers, with downside potential back toward the 155.39–155.21 support area. A 1H/4H close above 156.27 would warn that the bearish structure is breaking and could open the way toward 156.60+. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Sell rallies into resistance, targeting a move back toward the 155.49–155.27 support zone. Entry: 156.08 – 156.27 Stop Loss: 156.35 Take Profit 1: 155.39 Take Profit 2: 155.21 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 2.64 Bias stays bearish while price holds below 156.08–156.27 on a closing basis. A sustained break above 156.27 would invalidate the short setup and call for a reassessment. 🌐 Macro Background According to FXStreet, the Japanese Yen retains a bullish bias as comments from BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reinforced expectations for an imminent rate hike. Ueda signalled that if growth and inflation evolve as expected, the BoJ remains on track to raise rates further, pushing Japanese government bond yields to their highest levels in years and narrowing the rate gap versus other major economies. This supports the JPY and weighs on USD/JPY. At the same time, the US Dollar has slipped to a nearly two-week low as markets increasingly accept that the Federal Reserve will cut rates again in December. Recent dovish remarks from several Fed officials, combined with softer US data, have strengthened rate-cut bets and pressured the USD, adding to the downside bias in USD/JPY. Japan’s data backdrop is also mildly supportive for the Yen: Capital Spending has risen for a third straight quarter (though at a slower pace), Composite PMI sits at 52.0, pointing to modest private-sector expansion, The government pledges prudent fiscal management while monitoring rates. Overall, hawkish BoJ expectations + dovish Fed pricing + softer risk tone favour further downside in USD/JPY, aligning with the bearish technical setup. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance zone: 156.08 – 156.27 Support zone: 155.21 – 155.39 Invalidation level (bears): 156.35 📌 Trade Summary USD/JPY remains locked in a downtrend beneath a descending trendline, with sellers defending the 156.08–156.27 resistance zone. As long as this ceiling holds, the strategy favours selling rallies into resistance and targeting the 155.39–155.21 support band. Divergent policy expectations—BoJ turning more hawkish while the Fed leans dovish—continue to support the bearish view on USD/JPY, though upcoming US data (ISM, later NFP/ISM services, etc.) could inject short-term volatility. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
USD/JPY Currency Pair Has Stabilised Around the 156.300 LevelThe USD/JPY Currency Pair Has Stabilised Around the 156.300 Level The ATR indicator is sitting near its lowest readings and is trending downward. This may reflect not only reduced trading activity over the Thanksgiving period in the US, but also uncertainty among currency traders who are weighing the many factors influencing USD/JPY at the moment. On one hand, the US dollar is being pressured by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, with Fed officials delivering notably dovish comments this week. On the other hand, the yen’s valuation is being shaped by: → the economic stimulus package from Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi; → expectations of Bank of Japan intervention to support the weakening yen; → geopolitical tensions between China and Japan. Technical Analysis of USD/JPY The chart supports the view that the market is balanced. Using the ascending channel that began forming after USD/JPY broke above the psychological 150 level, we can see that the pair has moved into the lower half of the channel, while the median line has shifted from acting as support to working as resistance (as shown by the arrows). At present, USD/JPY is compressing into a triangle formed by: → the lower boundary — the line dividing the lower half of the channel into quarters; → the upper boundary — the descending trendline drawn through last week’s lower highs. A breakout from this triangle may be sudden and tricky, so the current fall in volatility should not lull USD/JPY traders into complacency. It is entirely possible that after repeated verbal warnings, the Bank of Japan could proceed with direct intervention — an action that would almost certainly break the existing upward channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/JPY – Strong Buy SetupUSD/JPY has retraced into a major demand zone, perfectly filling the fair value gap (FVG) created during the recent bullish impulse. When an imbalance is filled within an uptrend, price often uses that level as a base to continue higher. A bullish hammer on the higher timeframe confirms strong buying interest, showing that buyers are defending this zone. 📌 Bias: Bullish continuation 🛡 SL: Below the demand zone 🎯 Target: Higher swing levels This area offers a high-probability long setup supported by FVG fill and strong demand reaction.
Long
by Charts_M7M
1
USD/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure FX:USDJPY USD/JPY is trading lower after failing to sustain above the 156.65–156.89 resistance zone, with sellers defending this area and applying downward pressure. Price action has shifted into a corrective bearish structure, and momentum indicators show fading bullish strength. The chart presents a bearish continuation setup: Resistance zone: 156.65 – 156.89 Support zone / target area: 155.26 – 155.50 As long as the pair remains capped below 156.65, rallies toward resistance are likely to attract sellers, with downside potential extending toward the 155.50–155.26 support band. A 4H close above 157.04 would invalidate the bearish bias. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Sell rallies into resistance, targeting a move toward the 155.50 support zone. Entry: 156.65 – 156.89 Stop Loss: 157.05 Take Profit 1: 155.50 Take Profit 2: 155.26 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.6 Bias remains bearish while price stays below 156.65–156.89 on a closing basis. A clean break above 157.04 would invalidate the bearish structure. 🌐 Macro Background According to FXStreet, USD/JPY remains under pressure as BoJ–Fed policy divergence shifts in favor of the Japanese Yen. Reports suggest the BoJ is ramping up its rate-hike messaging, keeping JPY supported. Japan / BoJ: The BoJ is stressing the inflation risks associated with a persistently weak Yen. A December rate hike is now a live possibility. Japan’s Services Producer Price Index rose 2.7% YoY, reinforcing tightening expectations. United States / Federal Reserve: Weak US data dragged the USD to a one-week low. Fed official Stephen Miran signaled worsening labor conditions justify large rate cuts. Markets widely expect a December Fed rate cut, weighing on USD. Meanwhile, optimism around a Russia–Ukraine peace framework has boosted global risk appetite, slightly reducing safe-haven demand for the Yen — but BoJ tightening expectations remain the dominant driver. Overall, stronger BoJ hawkish signals + weaker USD support a downside bias in USD/JPY. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance zone: 156.65 – 156.89 Support zone: 155.26 – 155.50 Invalidation level (bears): 157.04 📌 Trade Summary USD/JPY has shifted into a bearish corrective structure, with sellers defending the 156.65–156.89 resistance area. As long as this zone caps price, the setup favours selling rallies toward resistance and targeting the 155.50–155.26 support region. A more hawkish BoJ combined with softer USD fundamentals strengthens the downside bias. Traders should watch upcoming US data releases for short-term volatility. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
USDJPY: Oscillating, awaiting breakoutUSDJPY is generally in a narrow-range oscillatory downward trend today. Exchange rate fluctuations are influenced by the interplay of multiple factors, including expectations of Japanese government intervention and dovish signals from the Federal Reserve, with the technical side showing characteristics of bull-bear confrontation. On the support front, short-term focus is on the intraday low around 156.00, with further strong support concentrated in the 156.50 range. If this zone is breached, the exchange rate may decline toward the key psychological level of 156.00. For resistance, initial attention falls on the intraday high of 156.98, while the subsequent core resistance remains the intervention risk level at 157.30. A breakout above this level could trigger a brief surge to around 157.50, but it is highly likely to prompt intervention by Japanese authorities, leading to a sharp pullback in the exchange rate. Sell 157.00 - 157.30 SL 157.50 TP 156.50 - 156.20
Short
by KingArthur_
#USDJPY: 1300+ Pips Swing Buy, Comment Your Views! Dear Traders, We hope you are trading successfully. The price has filled the liquidity gap and reversed positively with strong volume emerging. While the USD was extremely bearish, the DXY has begun to show bullish momentum which will directly affect the DXY and the future of the USDJPY. We have identified two potential targets. The first is a nearby target. If the DXY continues to remain bullish we may see the price reach this target soon. The second target is a swing entry. We wish you the best of luck and trade safely. Team Setupsfx
Long
by Setupsfx_
6
USDJPY setting for a drop daily support!💹 Trade Setup USD/JPY USDJPY has got rejected from weekly resistance with multiple liquidty sweep. With potential Fed rate cut in December has weaken DXY which eventually pushing USD/JPY bearish. Besides USD weakness JPY indext also approaching a montly support level which could bring a at least short term pullback of JPY index to the upside. 📈Trading Idea : Look for bearish setup on a false breakout above 156.35 or above and potential rejection back below can trigger a sell signal. ✈️Targets 1st support 154.93 2nd support 153.705 🔴Stop level above 157.22 follow for more ideas and trade setups!
Short
by ForexWizard01
USD/JPY Rises Above 157.00 for the First Time Since JanuaryUSD/JPY Rises Above 157.00 for the First Time Since January According to media reports, the Japanese government is in the final stages of preparing an economic stimulus package worth 21.3 trillion yen (USD 135.38 billion) to help households cope with persistent inflation. This could become the largest stimulus since the COVID pandemic. The Cabinet plans to approve the package on Friday, and the supplementary budget to fund it on 28 November, aiming to secure parliamentary approval before the end of the year. This decision has led to a significant weakening of the national currency. Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart Fluctuations in the Japanese yen against the US dollar are forming an upward channel (shown in blue), and the fundamental backdrop this week has caused the price to: → break the QL line from below (and after the breakout, the rise accelerated, indicating imbalance — forming a Fair Value Gap pattern); → reach the median. It is reasonable to assume that around the median, supply and demand may balance each other, stabilising the market. It is also possible that the FVG area will act as support in the event of a correction. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USDJPY Edges Higher Above 155Today, USDJPY exhibited a oscillatory upward trend and broke through the key psychological level of 155, achieving a slight rise. However, constrained by the implicit risk of Japanese foreign exchange market intervention, there was no significant one-sided upward movement. On the upside, core resistance is concentrated at the 155.6 level. After breaking through this position, the next strong resistance zone will be around 156.00, which will exert strong pressure on the exchange rate's upward movement. Regarding downside support, the primary support lies in the 154.45-154.50 range. As a key range for the exchange rate's fluctuations in the early stage, this level possesses certain supporting strength. If this support is breached, the exchange rate may further decline to 153.50. Should this level also be broken, it may subsequently fall to the deeper support level of 152.10.
Long
by KingArthur_
USD/JPY: Impulse Squall or Bearish Ambush – Where Will the Wave USD/JPY: Impulse Squall or Bearish Ambush – Where Will the Wave End? 📈 Weekly Scenarios Bullish scenario: If USD/JPY holds support at ~142.50 and breaks above ~146.00, a rally to ~149–150 is possible. Consolidation: The pair could move in the ~142.50–146.00 range, accumulating strength before the next move. Bearish scenario: A break below ~142.50 with volume confirmation could lead to a pullback to ~140.00–141.00. ✅ Conclusion USD/JPY is at an important weekly crossroads: either a surge in upward momentum or a significant correction. Key levels to watch: 142.50 (support) and 146.00 (resistance). The wave structure is not yet clear; it is important to monitor the price reaction at these levels and confirmation of the wave count.
by Trade_Hive_Signals