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USD/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure FOREXCOM:USDJPY On the 60-minute (60M) chart dated March 13, 2026, USD/JPY is extending its bullish momentum, currently trading around the 159.40 level. The pair is supported by a steep ascending trendline that has guided the price action higher throughout the week. The price is now approaching a formidable Resistance Zone situated between 159.70 – 159.80, which sits just below the psychologically significant 160.00 level. On the downside, a firm horizontal Support Zone has been established between 159.28 – 159.37, providing an immediate cushion against pullbacks. Short-term bias: Bullish while holding above 159.22. Key Resistance: 159.70 – 159.80. Key Support: 159.28 – 159.37. 🎯 Trade Setup (Trend Continuation Scenario) Entry Zone: $159.28 – 159.37$ (Buying near the immediate support floor and trendline). Stop Loss: $159.22$ (Placed strictly below the recent structural support). Take Profit 1: $159.70 (Bottom of the primary resistance zone). Take Profit 2: $159.80 (Major psychological target and previous intervention level). Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.73 📌 Invalidation: A decisive hourly candle close below 159.22 would invalidate this bullish momentum setup, suggesting a breakdown of the trendline and a potential move toward 158.70. 🌐 Macro Background The pair's strength is fueled by diverging central bank outlooks and geopolitical energy concerns: Fed Policy Expectations: Markets broadly expect the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at 3.50%–3.75% at next week's meeting, supporting the US Dollar (USD). Inflation Cues: Traders are closely watching the upcoming PCE Price Index report for January, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. BoJ Intervention Risk: Finance Minister Katayama and Governor Ueda have signaled readiness to act against "excessive" Yen weakness, which could intensify imported inflation as oil prices surge. Oil Supply Disruptions: Japan relies on the Middle East for 95% of its oil, with 90% passing through the effectively blocked Strait of Hormuz. To mitigate the impact, Japan plans to release 80 million barrels (roughly 45 days of supply) from strategic reserves starting March 16. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $159.70 – 159.80. Support Zone: $159.28 – 159.37. 📌 Trade Summary USD/JPY remains in a clear technical uptrend, driven by the resilient Greenback and JPY's vulnerability to energy price shocks. While the 160.00 level looms as a potential intervention trigger, current technical momentum favors the bulls. Preferred strategy: Seek long entries on minor pullbacks toward the 159.30 support floor, targeting the 160.00 psychological resistance ahead of the US PCE data. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global
#USDJPY: Still Extremely Bearish On USDJPY 12/03/2026✴️ On January 23rd, 2026, the price experienced a decline to a significant level, specifically a premium selling zone at 159.343. While this initially suggested a robust bearish continuation, the price subsequently encountered substantial support at 152.20 and demonstrated a strong reversal. The current market dynamics are significantly influenced by ongoing geopolitical conflicts, which have contributed to the US dollar achieving a recent higher high. This development has effectively invalidated our prior selling zone at 159.343. Furthermore, the Japanese Yen (JPY) has been trading at an all-time low and may experience further depreciation if a de-escalation of tensions in the Middle East does not occur. ✴️ We maintain our commitment to a short position on USDJPY, with an estimated price target of 160.34, at which point we anticipate a rejection. The current price action is characterized by momentum rather than volume, which inherently introduces risk, as it is primarily driven by geopolitical or fundamental statements rather than tangible data such as trading volume or economic indicators. In the forthcoming weeks, we may observe a rebound in the JPY, potentially influenced by intervention from the Bank of Japan; however, this remains a speculative consideration. ✴️ Initiating a sell order at 160.25 with a stop loss at 163.25 is deemed optimal and advisable. A wider stop loss is necessary to allow sufficient room for the price to move favorably. The primary target is set at 152.00, and we strongly recommend prioritizing this initial take profit. A secondary target is established at 142.00 as a long-term objective. This strategy has the potential to yield over 800 pips if successful. Entry Criteria: 🔺Sell Entry: 160-161 🔺Stop Loss: 163.35 🔺Take Profit: 152.00 🔺Second Take Profit: 142.00 We encourage you to express your support and provide your insights in the comments section. Team Setupsfx_
Short
by Setupsfx_
17
USD/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure OANDA:USDJPY On the 60-minute (60M) chart, USD/JPY is exhibiting a strong bullish recovery, supported by a clear ascending trendline. The pair is currently challenging the Resistance Zone between 158.56 – 158.68, having gained significant ground during the early Asian session. The technical structure indicates that the previous resistance near 157.52 – 157.70 has now transitioned into a firm Support Zone. The price action remains constructive as long as it holds above the ascending trendline, with a decisive breakout above the 158.70 level potentially opening the door for a move toward the 159.50 handle. Short-term bias: Bullish while holding above 157.52. Key Resistance: 158.56 – 158.68. Key Support: 157.52 – 157.70. 🎯 Trade Setup (Trend Continuation Scenario) Entry Zone: $157.70 – 157.52 (Positioning on current bullish momentum near the trendline). Stop Loss: 157.41 (Placed strictly below the primary support zone and trendline). Take Profit 1: 158.68 (Top of the immediate resistance zone). Take Profit 2: 159.30 (Extended target upon a successful breakout). Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:3.33 📌 Invalidation: A sustained break and hourly candle close below 157.41 would invalidate the bullish trendline thesis, suggesting a shift in sentiment and a potential move toward 156.80. 🌐 Macro Background The JPY is facing pressure as central bank uncertainty and upcoming data weigh on the pair: BoJ Policy Uncertainty: Speculation that Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi may pressure the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to slow rate hikes has weakened the Yen. Governor Kazuo Ueda has signaled a likely prolonged hold on interest rates due to global economic uncertainties. Interest Rate Expectations: The BoJ is widely expected to maintain its policy rate at the upcoming meeting. This hesitation to aggressively tighten policy contrasts with the resilient USD, dragging the JPY lower. US CPI in Focus: Market participants are pivoting toward the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due later today. Headline inflation is estimated at 2.4% YoY, while core CPI is expected at 2.5%. Softer-than-expected data could temper USD gains, while a beat could fuel a breakout toward 159.00. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 158.56–158.68. Support Zone: 157.52–157.70. 📌 Trade Summary USD/JPY is maintaining its upward trajectory within a technical ascending corridor, driven by BoJ policy caution. While the pair is testing a major resistance ceiling, the fundamental backdrop remains supportive of the USD ahead of the CPI data. Preferred strategy: Seek long entries on minor pullbacks toward the 158.10 area while maintaining a strict stop below the trendline support. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global
USD/JPY: The Case for a Bullish ContinuationTitle: 📈 USD/JPY "THE NINJA" 🥷 MASTER TRADE PLAN: Bullish Heist Setup! (Day/Swing) 🚨 Asset: USD/JPY (The Ninja) - Forex Publication Type: Analysis & Idea Hello, Traders! 👋 Are you ready to think like an OG Thief? Forget locking in a trade and hoping for the best. Real pros analyze the scene, identify the guards (resistance), and know exactly when to execute the heist and when to disappear into the shadows. 🥷💰 Welcome to the USD/JPY "NINJA" TRADE OPPORTUNITY. This is your tactical guide for a potential bullish move, blending technical precision with real-world fundamental chaos. Strap in! 🚀 🎯 The Bullish Heist Plan: Entry & Exit Plan: Bullish (The Ninja attacks to the upside!). Entry Zone: 🥷 The Stealth Entry 🥷 Unlike rigid plans, a Ninja adapts. You can enter at ANY PRICE LEVEL that fits your strategy. However, the optimal stealth infiltration zone is on a retest of the broken structure near 155.800 - 156.200. Watch for bullish confirmation (Ninja stars!) on lower timeframes. Target: 159.000 🚔 "The Police Trap" 🚔 This is our primary exit. Why? Because the "Police Force" (Strong Resistance) is gathering: Structural Resistance: A previous swing high and a major psychological level. Overbought Conditions: Momentum could fade here, trapping late buyers. Correlation Trap: If equities tumble, the Yen might find a surprise bid. Advice: Escape with your profits here! Don't get caught! This is our calculated extraction point. TP @ 159.000 Stop Loss: 🚨 The Alarm Trigger 🚨 Your safety net is below the recent structure. If price drops below 155.500, the heist is compromised! The building is on lockdown, and it's time to abort the mission. 🔗 Intel Report: Correlated Pairs to Watch Smart thieves case the whole neighborhood. Watch these correlated pairs for confirmation: OANDA:EURJPY 🇪🇺🤝🇯🇵: The "Euro Ninja." It has a strong positive correlation with USD/JPY. If EUR/JPY breaks higher, it confirms strength in the Japanese crosses and supports our bullish bias. Key level: 170.00. OANDA:GBPJPY 🇬🇧🤝: The "Pound Ninja." Extremely volatile. A strong push here confirms risk-on appetite flowing into Yen pairs. Watch for a break above 195.50. OANDA:AUDJPY 🇦🇺🤝🇯🇵: The "Commodity Ninja." As a risk barometer, a rising AUD/JPY confirms a "risk-on" environment, which is healthy for our USD/JPY long play. Key level: 94.00. Inverse Watch: OANDA:USDCHF 🇺🇸🤝🇨🇭: Often moves in tandem with USD/JPY. Confirmation here adds conviction. 📰 Real-Time Fundamentals: Why This Setup is HOT! 🔥 This isn't a random guess; it's based on the current geopolitical and economic landscape (as of March 2, 2026): 🛡️ Dollar Dominance (The Big Boss): The US Dollar is flexing its muscles as the global reserve currency. The escalating US-Israel-Iran conflict has sent shockwaves through the market, and capital is flooding into the Greenback for safety. This is the primary fuel for our USD/JPY bullish move. ⛽ Oil & The Yen's Achilles Heel: Japan is a major energy importer. With oil prices spiking due to the Middle East tensions, Japan's terms of trade worsen, putting structural pressure on the Yen. It's a classic weak link. 🏦 BOJ Policy (The Unpredictable Sensei): While the Bank of Japan hints at policy normalization, the market isn't fully convinced yet. Recent softer inflation data in Tokyo gives them room to be patient, keeping the interest rate differential wide in favor of the Dollar. 🗓️ This Week's Market Movers: Stay sharp! These events could trigger volatility: US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Today) US ADP Employment Change (Wed) US Non-Farm Payrolls & Unemployment Rate (Fri) - This is the BIG ONE! Could determine the Fed's next move. Thief Trader's Mindset & Motivation Fellow OG Traders, listen up! "The market is the bank. We are just the security consultants... helping ourselves to a fee." 💼💰 "Don't be a greedy thief. The 'Police' at 159.000 are real. Take the money and run. There's always another heist tomorrow." 🏃‍♂️💨 "Your Stop Loss is your getaway car. You don't drive into a bank without one. Protect your capital, protect your life." 🚗💥 "Confidence comes from preparation. You've done the analysis (DD), you know the exits (TP), and you know your escape route (SL). Now, execute with precision." 🥷✅
by The-Thief
USD/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure FX:USDJPY On the 1H chart, USD/JPY continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel that has been intact since mid-February. Following a successful defense of the channel's lower boundary near 156.00. The pair has regained strong positive traction at the start of the new week. The price is currently challenging the Resistance Zone between 157.27 – 157.48. While the immediate trend is bullish, the pair lacks significant follow-through buying above the 157.00 handle, suggesting some exhaustion as it nears the upper boundary of the current corridor. A sustained breakout above this resistance would be required to open the door for a move toward the 158.00 level. Short-term bias: Bullish above 156.01; neutral/sideways while within the 156.22 – 157.27 range. Key Resistance: 157.27 – 157.48. Key Support: 156.01 – 156.22. 🎯 Trade Setup (Trend Continuation Scenario) Entry Zone: 156.00 – 156.22 (Buying on a retest of the channel's internal support or the lower zone). Stop Loss: 155.91. Take Profit 1: 157.27. Take Profit 2: 157.48. Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:4.02 📌 Invalidation:A decisive break and hourly close below 155.91 would signal a breakdown of the ascending channel, shifting the bias to bearish and exposing the 155.00 psychological support. 🌐 Macro Background The USD/JPY pair is caught between escalating safe-haven demand and central bank intervention fears: Middle East Tensions: A coordinated US-Israel military strike on Iran has dramatically escalated geopolitical risks. Potential disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz have fueled global economic concerns, reinforcing the US Dollar's (USD) status as a reserve currency. BoJ Normalization: Despite the global flight to safety, the Japanese Yen (JPY) finds support from expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue its policy normalization path. Intervention Fears: Market participants remain wary of potential government intervention to stem further JPY weakness, which is capping aggressive upside moves for the pair near the 157.00 mark. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 157.27 – 157.48. Support Zone: 156.01 – 156.22. 📌 Trade Summary USD/JPY is maintaining its upward trajectory within the ascending channel, supported by the geopolitical "risk-off" environment boosting the Greenback. However, the approach toward 157.50 represents a critical technical and psychological barrier. Preferred strategy: Look for long opportunities on pullbacks toward the 156.22 support floor while keeping a tight stop below the channel boundary at 155.91. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global
1
USD/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure FX:USDJPY On the 1H chart, USD/JPY is trading within a well-defined ascending channel. The pair recently encountered selling pressure near the 157.00 level and has pulled back toward the channel's midline and a horizontal Support Zone ranging from 155.56 to 155.77. The price action remains structurally bullish as it continues to print higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the pair is testing the internal support of the channel. A successful defense of this zone could lead to a retest of the upper boundary and the primary Resistance Zone at 157.12 – 157.28. Short-term bias: Bullish above 155.44; corrective risk below 155.44. 🎯 Trade Setup (Trend Continuation Scenario) Entry Zone: 155.56 – 155.77 Stop Loss: 155.44 Take Profit 1: 157.12 Take Profit 2: 157.28 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:4.01 📌 Invalidation:A sustained break and 1H candle close below 155.44 would invalidate the immediate bullish setup, signaling a potential break of the ascending channel and a deeper correction toward the 154.50 level. 🌐 Macro Background The USD/JPY pair is currently navigating a mix of US policy uncertainty and shifting BoJ expectations: Tariff Uncertainty: The US Dollar has softened as traders grapple with President Trump’s response to the Supreme Court's verdict. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer confirmed plans to raise tariff rates to 15% or higher for many countries within a 150-day window, creating "policy fog" that pressures the Greenback. BoJ Policy Stance: BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled a data-dependent approach, stating he will scrutinize figures from the March and April meetings before deciding on further rate hikes. While rate hikes are expected to continue if forecasts are met, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has expressed reservations, adding to JPY volatility. Upcoming Data: Market participants are bracing for Japan’s Tokyo CPI and US PPI reports due on Friday, which will provide critical cues for inflation trajectories in both nations. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 157.12 – 157.28 Support Zone: 155.56 – 155.77 📌 Trade Summary USD/JPY remains in a technical uptrend despite the recent "tariff fog" weighing on the USD. The pair is currently testing a high-confluence support area where the channel midline meets horizontal demand. Preferred strategy: Look for long entries within the 155.56 – 155.77 zone, targeting a move back toward 157.00+, provided the 155.56 floor remains intact. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global
USDJPY – Bullish Continuation Toward Weak High Liquidity📈 Current Price Behavior Strong impulsive move broke above prior resistance (~155.50). Price now consolidating below a weak high near 156.10–156.20. Consolidation appears bullish (flag-like structure). No strong bearish displacement yet — buyers remain in control. 🎯 Bullish Targets 156.20 – 156.30 (Liquidity above weak high) Channel upper boundary (premium zone) Extension if breakout continues toward 156.50+ 📍 Support / Invalidation Immediate support: 155.40–155.50 (recent BOS level) Strong low remains near 153.90 Bearish bias only if price breaks below 155.30 with displacement
Short
by Trade_Action
1
USDJPY: Two areas to sell, which one has more potential? Dear traders, This week has been incredibly volatile and uncertainty has likely led many traders to lose their entire capital. Here’s our view on the USDJPY in a smaller timeframe. There are two promising areas for sellers. The first shows strong price resistance, while the second suggests a potential move towards the second entry point. This could happen if the price fills the liquidity void, leading to a drop from that point. Consider setting a target at 150 or 148 and a stop-loss that aligns with your risk management. Good luck and trade safely. If you enjoy our work, please like and comment for more. Also, follow us for regular updates. Team Setupsfx_
Short
by Setupsfx_
12
USDJPY – 1HThe pair has broken below the ascending trendline and printed a weak pullback after the breakdown. The current structure shows a lower high formation, with momentum shifting in favor of sellers. On the volume profile, there is significant concentration in the upper region; however, price remains below this area. This suggests that upside attempts are being absorbed and a potential distribution phase may be underway. In the short term, the target is the liquidity pool and demand zone below. The current price offers a favorable risk/reward area for a short position. Scenario validity: The bearish bias remains intact unless we see an hourly close above the upper supply zone. Otherwise, the structure would need to be reassessed as neutral or bullish.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
2
USDJPY 4H Bearish Breakdown – Trendline Rejection Targets 151.50Price broke below the ascending trendline. Strong rejection from the 154.00 supply / support-turned-resistance zone. Lower highs forming → short-term bearish structure confirmed. Price currently consolidating around 152.90 – 153.10. 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias) As long as price remains below 154.00 – 154.30, downside pressure remains dominant. Targets: 🎯 152.25 (minor intraday support) 🎯 151.50 – 151.70 (major support zone) A continuation toward the lower boundary of the larger channel is likely if sellers maintain momentum. 🔴 Invalidation Level: A strong 4H close above 154.30 would weaken the bearish bias. Break and hold above that level may trigger a short squeeze toward 155.00 – 155.50. 📌 Conclusion: The market has shifted from bullish recovery into a corrective bearish phase after trendline breakdown and supply rejection. Sellers are in control below 154.00, targeting deeper liquidity levels near 152.25 and possibly 151.50.
Short
by Gold_Market_Mind
USDJPY: 1500+ Pips Selling Opportunity, Comment Your Views?Dear Traders, We hope you’re doing well. We’ve identified a fantastic selling opportunity in the USDJPY pair. We anticipate a drop in the DXY and increased influence for the JPY in the market. We need confirmation within a shorter timeframe. The intraday timeframe is ideal for entering or executing any potential trades. Set a stop loss above the recent daily high and target a profit of 1500+ pips from your entry point. If you like our idea, please like and comment below. Also, follow us to receive the latest updates. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
38
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Loses Bullish GripMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Loses Bullish Grip USD/JPY declined below 155.00 and is currently consolidating losses. Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today - USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below 156.00 and 155.00. - There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 154.65 on the hourly chart. USD/JPY Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/JPY, the pair started a steady decline from well above 157.20. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below 156.00 against the Japanese Yen. The pair even settled below 155.00 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a spike below 154.50 and the pair traded as low as 153.34. It is now consolidating losses with a bearish angle. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chartis near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 157.65 swing high to the 153.34 low at 154.35. There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming at 154.5. The first barrier for the bulls could be near the 38.2% Fib retracement at 155.00. If there is a close above the 155.00 level and the hourly RSI moves above 50, the pair could rise toward 156.00. The next key area of interest is near 156.60, above which the pair could test 157.00 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is near 153.35. The next key zone is near 152.50. If there is a close below 152.50, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward 150.00. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USDJPY Trading Strategy – February 6, 2026This morning’s trading range suggests that the market remains cautious between a potential recovery and a corrective move driven by profit-taking. However, the latest signals on the H1 timeframe indicate that profit-taking within the prevailing uptrend of USDJPY is inevitable toward the end of the week. As a result, a short position is established around the H1 EMA zone at 156.70–156.80, with both take-profit and stop-loss set at ±30 pips from the entry level
Short
by WaterEdge