USDJPY Had its 1st 1D Golden Cross since Dec 2024.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 22 2025 market bottom and just last week, it formed the first 1D Golden Cross since December 16 2024. As you can see, all three 1D Golden Crosses since June 2023 have been strong Buy Signals.
All have been formed within Channel Up patterns that formed Higher Highs just after the crosses. The target of the current Channel Up is 154.000, which represents a +6.06% rise, similar to both previous Bullish Legs of this pattern. The uptrend is so far restricted by the presence of the Lower Highs trend-line that started back on the July 03 2024 market Top.
This time however we may see this break as the 1W RSI has already broken above its own Lower Highs trend-line, signaling an early bullish warning. As a result, if the July 2024 Lower Highs trend-line breaks, we expect the pair to eye the upper Resistance at 159.000.
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DJ FXCM Index
DXY Rejection from Premium Zone | USD Weakness AheadHello Billionaires!!
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of exhaustion after tapping into the FVG + Order Block within the premium zone.
We’ve also confirmed a Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside — signaling a potential short-term reversal.
📊 Analysis Breakdown:
FVG & OB confluence near 98.90 🧠
MSS indicates bearish intent ⚡
Targeting buying zone around 98.30 area 🩸
This scenario supports USD weakness, aligning with potential bullish moves in EURUSD, GBPUSD, and AUDUSD.
💡 Trade Plan:
DXY → Short bias below OB
USDJPY → Short setup favored
EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD → Look for long setups
Smart Money likely engineered liquidity above before pushing price lower to rebalance inefficiency.
Dollar Index (DXY): New Bullish Wave Confirmed?!
Here a quick follow-up for my recent idea for Dollar Index.
The price retested a recently broken major horizontal structure cluster
and even went below that with a bearish trap.
A rising trend line was respected as a strong vertical support
and we see a bullish continuation now.
I think that we can expect a rise at least to 99.3 level now.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Tuesday, Oct 21st Weekly Forecast UPDATES!Welcome to the Weekly Forecast Updates!
In this video, we will analyze the following markets: DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, NASDAQ, S&P500
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XAG/USD – SELL Entry (H1- Wedge Breakout Pattern)The XAG/USD Pair, Price has been trading within a Wedge Pattern on the H1 chart, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price action is now testing the upper boundary of the Pattern, signalling a possible breakout. OANDA:XAGUSD
✅Market Context:
1️⃣Strong Upward Structure Inside the Pattern.
2️⃣Buyers are showing strength near Resistance.
3️⃣Breakout above the Trendline indicates Momentum continuation toward higher zones.
✅Trade Plan:
Entry: Buy after Confirmed Breakout above the Resistance (H1 candle close above trendline or retest of the breakout).
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – a Major Resistance area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Below the Pattern Structure.
✅Psychological Discipline :
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as Part of the Strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
💬 Support the community: If you found this useful, drop a 👍 like and share your thoughts in the comments!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
King Dollar Returns: 98.190 Break💵 Dollar Breakout — Cross Assets Dumping Hard
The U.S. Dollar just flipped 98.190 CAP
After weeks of hesitation, DXY broke clean through the 98.190 daily imbalance, turning prior resistance into a launchpad — and global markets are reacting fast.
📊 Technical Frame
The daily imbalance that capped price now acts as fresh support, confirming a higher-timeframe breakout.
Momentum alignment across 4H and Daily frames signals a firm trend shift.
Upside magnet sits at 98.800–99.200, the next liquidity shelf where sellers may regroup.
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
Cross assets are dumping — EUR AND GBP all bleeding as Dollar strength tightens global liquidity.
Yields grind higher with markets reloading for extended Fed tightness.
Risk aversion and portfolio deleveraging are amplifying the move — capital is flowing back into USD safety.
🧭 Takeaway
The Dollar is back in charge. Above 98.190, the structure supports continuation toward 99+.
In this regime, correlation flips: strong Dollar = weak everything else.
When the Dollar breathes in, global markets exhale.
US DOLLAR UPDATE DXYDXY — Rangebound but Firm: 98.19 Holds the Line
Dollar holds steady inside Friday’s range — a quiet coil before the macro rotation.
🧭 Context
The Dollar spent Monday trapped between Friday’s high and low, liquidating the upper wick at 98.190 before closing back within range.
Price currently sits near the 50% Fibonacci retracement (98.123), keeping the bullish range intact but unconfirmed.
The market is balanced, not directional — patience is the edge here.
📊 Technical Map
Structure: Price remains inside a clean bullish range with a volume imbalance still unfilled near 97.436.
Momentum: Mildly bullish but range-dependent — upward bias, no breakout confirmation yet.
Key Levels:
Support → 97.672 / 97.436
Pivot → 98.123
Resistance → 98.190 / 98.420
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
This week’s key drivers: PMI flash, GDP (Thu), and PCE inflation (Fri) — all high-impact data that will steer the Fed narrative.
Yields remain firm but cooling; risk appetite mixed as traders await fresh growth signals.
Without new inflation pressure, the Dollar likely stays rotational within its higher-timeframe band until late-week catalysts.
🎯 Plan
Primary: Avoid midrange noise. Best setups are at range extremes — 97.6 support and 98.2 resistance.
Execution Filter: Wait for volume expansion or 1H close confirmation before breakout engagement.
Alternative: Failure to hold 98.12 reopens imbalance toward 97.43; a break above 98.19 invites continuation to 98.4–98.6.
⚠️ Risk / Alt
Range = noise. Stay tactical. High-frequency trades only until volatility expands.
🧠 Mindset Pulse
“In dull markets, discipline is the premium asset — not conviction.”
Professionals don’t chase noise; they preserve readiness.
EURUSD Channel Down topped. Sell Signal.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a 1-month Channel Down since the September 16 High and last Friday it got rejected on its top and just above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). As long as it doesn't break higher, this is technically the pricing of the new Lower High.
Lower Highs tend to initiate Bearish Legs within such patterns. The two already formed before have declined by around -2.00%. As a result, our Target is 1.15000, which again will be valid as long as no new High is made.
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DXY AnalysisOn the weekly chart, the price has formed a new trading range. We mark it out and move down to the daily timeframe.
After the correction, the price reacted from an inefficiency zone, showing buyer interest.
At the moment, I’m considering two bullish scenarios:
1️⃣ An impulsive breakout of the daily FVG zone followed by an expansion of the current range.
2️⃣ A reaction from the FVG zone, then a sweep of Friday’s low, after which the price could resume its upward movement.
I see the second scenario as more likely, as it would allow the market to collect liquidity before continuing higher.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 97.71
1st Support: 96.64
1st Resistance: 99.98
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Wait for price to SHOW ME WHERE TO MAKE MONEY!Hey Squad,
Im going to keep this short and sweet but I want you to PEEP......lol the possible setups that are coming. This week we can not tell exactly what to look for since the market is giving us opposing call outs. For example, The Weekly looks like a double top has formed showing bears/selling favor but the 4/8h shows respecting of a low and shows the forming of a double bottom!
so what does this mean? We are waiting for price to show us who to follow!! But if you were to ask me....I believe the USD will suffer this week due to shutdown and uncertainty so I believe we will be trending low! Good for gold and silver traders and those that see weakness in the $!
If we can break below the 1.163 area and hold I think its clear we are moving down until we hit a high time frame FVG.
Tell me your thoughts and comments on this Analysis!
and like always! Gd look out there and TAKE PROFIT!
DXY — Between Balance and Breakout
Date: Sunday, October 19
Timeframe: Daily
Analyst: @CORE5DAN
Context
The U.S. Dollar Index holds a bullish daily range between 99.197 and 97.048, now sitting around the Fibonacci 50% retracement at 97.044.
Friday’s session formed a tight box — high 98.190, low 97.672 — showing compression inside balance conditions.
Price trades above mid-range, with a volume imbalance near 97.436 acting as a magnet for short-term rotation.
Key liquidity rests just below 97.700, and reactions there could define early-week direction.
Technical Map
• Structure: Short-term bullish, still inside a broader weekly bearish framework. Watch 97.436–97.700 — a clean reaction zone where imbalance and liquidity converge.
• Momentum: Range-bound bullish, confirming control but lacking expansion. A daily close above 98.190 opens the path toward the range high at 99.197.
• Volume: Imbalance remains unfilled — ideal for mean-reversion setups before any breakout impulse.
Fundamental Pulse (Week Ahead)
• Macro Drivers:
— US GDP advance data: key for growth tone.
— Core PCE inflation: the Fed’s favored inflation gauge.
— Fed speakers and PMIs: tone setters for November rate outlook.
• Yields:
— The 10-year sits near 4.6%.
— A push higher = bullish Dollar, stronger short-term flows.
— A pullback = potential consolidation across USD pairs.
• Global Flows:
— Mild rotation out of risk assets and emerging markets supports the Dollar.
— EURUSD and XAUUSD both reflect this hesitation near key supports.
Plan
Bias stays bullish in the short term, bearish in the long term.
We favor volume imbalance fills and reaction trades at 97.436–97.700 before re-evaluating structure.
If macro data or yield spikes support Dollar demand, expect continuation toward 98.190+.
Otherwise, a drift below 97.436 would signal distribution and confirm corrective pressure.
“Structure is the compass; sentiment is the weather.”
Mindset Pulse
“Authority comes from clarity, not prediction.”
Trade what’s confirmed — not what’s comfortable.
Dollar Index Behavior in a Descending DiamondThe dollar index has made a very polite effort and has been fluctuating within the range I have drawn, and I think this effort will continue and continue its downward trend until the price range I have indicated in the image!
Time will tell if this claim is true!
Good luck...
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent.
A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter).
Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time.
However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least.
What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1.
A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150...
Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility.
I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
XAU USD - keeps on giving in 2025Hello, it's been a while.
I've been on working building my pile in XAG, XAU reserves.
Now i am back, Gold is still giving a phenomenal return on printing up and right (meaning growth).
I don't know where price structure will end, however it's a highly probable chance we will hit $4,000USD per oz, and continue to raise.
Daily chart image shows my thought pattern and an opportunity I am waiting for price to revert to.
I'm referring to the Daily price chart and key counts are in line with Wave counting and supply and demand curve trading levels based on fair value gap intervals of weekly trading sessions plotted to a daily chart at intervals of 60.
Current wave - 3 of 5 in the Elliott wave count.
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed.
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
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LVPA MMXXIV
GBP/USD – Buy Entry (H1- Channel Breakout Pattern)The GBP/USD Pair, Price has been trading within a Channel Pattern on the H1 chart, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price action is now testing the upper boundary of the Pattern, signalling a possible breakout.
✅Market Context:
1️⃣Strong Upward Structure Inside the Pattern.
2️⃣Buyers are showing strength near Resistance.
3️⃣Breakout above the Trendline indicates Momentum continuation toward higher zones.
✅Trade Plan:
Entry: Buy after Confirmed Breakout above the Resistance (H1 candle close above trendline or retest of the breakout).
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – a Major Resistance area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Below the Pattern Structure.
✅Psychological Discipline :
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as Part of the Strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
💬 Support the community: If you found this useful, drop a 👍 like and share your thoughts in the comments!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
DXY UpdateDXY — The Volume Cap: Where Momentum Meets Memory
Every market has memory — and in the Dollar Index, it’s sitting right at 97.4.
That’s the current Volume Cap — a zone where heavy participation once stopped price cold, leaving unfinished business behind.
Price loves to revisit these caps, testing whether the imbalance still holds or finally gives way.
⚙️ Context (4H | Friday Recap)
Friday delivered heavy volume and clean directional flow — a textbook session.
DXY continues to rotate within the 97.048–99.198 range, holding a short-term bullish tone inside a larger consolidation.
📊 Technical Map
• Structure: Long-term bearish range inside a broader consolidation phase.
• Momentum: Still bullish, but showing early fatigue.
• Volume Cap: The 97.4 level remains unfilled, acting like a magnet for potential retests — the true battleground between continuation and correction.
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
After a month of running hot, the dollar finally cooled.
Retail Sales and Industrial Production softened, yields eased, and traders started whispering “rate cuts” again.
The Fed’s cautious tone keeps volatility contained ahead of next week’s Core PCE inflation data.
🧭 Trade Plan (If/Then)
If DXY runs through 97.4, watch for a bearish Volume Cap flip — potential downside toward nearby support.
If Monday’s price action drives higher, expect bullish momentum rotation back toward the 97.0 retest region.
USDCHF 10-year support points to major breakdown to 0.70! USDCHF BREAKDOWN ALERT: Decade-long support shattered – here's why this could be the start of a major move to 0.70 and below!
The Dollar-Swiss Franc pair is setting up for a potentially significant breakdown after breaking decade-long support levels since May. Both fundamental and technical factors are aligning for Swiss franc strength, creating what could be a rare high-probability trading opportunity.
Key Drivers:
Fed Dovish Pivot: Powell's Tuesday signal acknowledged downside risks to job markets, with 97% probability of October rate cuts and two more by December fully priced in
Swiss Franc Strength: CHF has strengthened nearly 9% over the past 12 months, now testing the 0.78 level, while Trump's tariff escalation forces Switzerland to slash GDP forecasts
Technical Breakdown: Multiple analytical methods (range breakouts, Fibonacci projections, and triangle pattern analysis) all point to targets around 0.7417-0.6840, representing potential moves to levels not seen since 2011
SNB Constraints: The Swiss National Bank cannot intervene in forex markets while trade talks are ongoing, meaning the Franc is likely to stay strong by default, with stable inflation data
Don't miss this detailed technical and fundamental breakdown! Like and subscribe for more high-probability forex setups, and drop a comment below with your USD/CHF targets - are you seeing the same bearish signals?
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USD/AUD Short Term OutlookHey guys, This is a thesis I've had for quite some time but seems to be unfolding of late. With the talks and worries about the regional banks in America and the private credit companies loan books not looking good as the consumer is being squeezed from tariffs, higher interest rates, unemployment slowly ticking up and student debts having to be paid back again after credit growth soared after covid i feel we could see a recession hit the US sometime over the next year. I doubt it will be a collapse anything like 2008 or anything but even a slow down on growth and a pull back on spending could lead to big declines from these AI bubble fueled highs as P/E have risen way out of hand. Something like the 2000s seems more accurate to current conditions.
IF this thesis is right you will see marked declines in the AUD against the USD and i have laid out my first target of .60 as it fits the technical pattern and we have a confluence of support there. We have also recently rejected off the resistance lines, broken the rising wedge (RED Lines), slipped back under the 100SMA. This provides a great enter point with a tight stop loss and a clear take profit.
I will be posting my future outlook for the AUD so please check it out to get the bigger picture
Also do your own research
US Dollar: Bullish! The Pullback To Support Is An Opportunity!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct 13 - 17th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD was bullish all of last week, except for Friday. Pres. Trump announced China tariffs and the market dumped. For me, this is a market knee jerk reaction, and temporary in nature. I am looking for the DXY to continue higher this coming week, rendering last Friday's candle as only a pullback to support.
There is an opportunity here for buyers, in my opinion.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DXY — 4H Fibonacci Discount ZoneDXY — 4H Fibonacci Discount Zone: bounce or breakdown?
Context (4H | Pre-London | 16 Oct)
Dollar Index is testing a 50% Fibonacci discount zone after an overnight -2 deviation.
Volume remains light, but buyers stepped in near the 98.2 region, defending short-term structure.
Big picture still leans bearish
Technical Map
• Structure: Consolidation within broader bearish context — 4H recovery attempts forming.
• Key Level: 98.2 acting as short-term decision point; deviation off 50% Fib zone.
• Momentum: −2 deviation within 4H range — early shift toward mean reversion.
• Volume: Heavy order flow support beneath 98.0; thin liquidity overhead until 98.6.
Structure overall remains bearish, but short-term momentum favors a corrective bid from the Fibonacci discount zone.
Fundamental Pulse
The Fed minutes gave us a small dip in yields, but the Dollar didn’t flinch — it’s still holding firm.
Sticky inflation keeps the Fed cautious, reinforcing that “higher-for-longer” tone.
Now all eyes turn to today’s CPI at 15:30 EET — the real test for rate expectations.
For now, rates steady, risk tone calm, traders waiting for direction.
Plan (If/Then)
If DXY pushes above 98.6, expect momentum toward the 99.0 zone.
Break below 98.05 reopens path toward 97.6–97.4 support band.
R:R potential ≈ 1 : 3 — solid setup if volatility expands post-CPI.
Stay patient and scale small before the CPI lands.
Mindset Pulse
Observation beats anticipation.
Let price confirm your story, not the other way around.
Stay aligned with structure; one mouse click can cost a narrative.
USDJPY – Demand Zone Retest | Bullish Reversal ExpectedFX:USDJPY
🟢
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price is testing the yellow demand zone (150.700 – 150.400), which aligns perfectly with the ascending channel’s lower boundary.
Structure remains bullish overall — the market is simply correcting after hitting upper-trend resistance.
A strong rejection from this demand area could initiate the next impulse leg toward the 152.600–153.300 zone.
Market Overview
USDJPY has been moving within a large ascending channel structure. After a sustained rally, price began to retrace, retesting the key demand zone that acted as a previous breakout base.
Buyers are expected to defend this region for continuation higher, targeting upper-channel liquidity zones and major resistance levels.
Confirmation will come from bullish engulfing or breakout candles off the yellow zone.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1 152.050 | 🎯 Target 2 152.600 | 🎯 Target 3 153.300
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Close below 150.400 may extend downside toward 149.500 support
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴 152.050 – 152.600
Support 🟢 150.700 – 150.400
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.






















