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USDTRY

Stable TL For the Next Few Years? A quick update on the future of the Turkish Lira (TL): Interest rates will rise to the range of 30% to 35% and will remain high for the following years (possibly 2-3 years). The Turkish Central Bank will stop printing vast amounts of money, and getting loans for purchasing houses or cars will become difficult. This action will lower inflation for few years. TL will have a correction to the levels of 20-23 within a few years. After 3-4 years, the next target will be levels of 40-60. The Central Bank will continue to print money and lower the interest rates. That will trigger another inflation around 2027-2028. Targets: First target: Range of 28-29 Second target: Range of 25-28 for a few years Third target: Levels of 20 for a swift correction Last target: Levels of 40 after 2-4 years This constitutes a very long-term analysis. It is important to note that this assessment could be inaccurate; all the stated opinions are personal. The market can undergo drastic changes due to even a minor policy adjustment. Therefore, exercise caution and conduct your own research before making any decisions. Stay safe.
by MinimumWagerLvl1
5
Right, I'm calling it! 😁💥Overview I'm calling 2024 the end of Lira selling. The Details 2024 could see Turkish inflation peak🗻 The main driving force of the TRY selling has been unconventional monetary policy, erratic changes of the head of Turkey's central bank and finance ministers, and undisciplined high inflation A rate hiking cycle has been in play since May 2023 - rates hiking from 8.50% to 45.00% - and conventional monetary policy seems to have finally arrived😅 Erodgan seems more committed to tackling inflation and having central bank stability Things to consider I am not suggesting that Turkey is on the verge of a boom, though I am not ruling this out; inflation could be peaking, so the Lira may finally see strength. This will create an all-time high on the TRY charts. I suggest that the aggressive uptrend could be coming to an end, even if that means TRY pairs start ranging. The carry trade makes this an irresistible opportunity for me. I have been long TRYJPY since June 2023, which has resulted in generous daily swap payments💰
Short
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
2
#USDT Dominance signalling a Buy Signal, EXIT ALTCOINS OR WAIT?Tether Dominance Analysis: ☑️ A slight rejection is visible; historically, rejection leads to continuation, while a breakout triggers an exit from the market. ☑️ G-Trend has already triggered a buy signal, implying a shift to selling altcoins for USDT. ☑️ For confirmation, altcoins might dip a bit more. ☑️ The blue trendline and the 6% level are crucial points to observe. I exited 40% of my altcoins which had vertical moves on the 4th Jan right before the bleeding started. I have plans to buy back lower but not unless I see some confirmation! Do hit the like button if you like my updates and share your views in the comment section. If you do, I will let you know when the sentiment changes! #PEACE
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by Cryptorphic
4
Update USDTRYThere is strong resistance between sellers and buyers of the Turkish currency, and the monthly candle that ended there is strong support for a further decline against the dollar, but there is an indication that the rise is nearing the end and will stop soon in the shaded area above, and I believe it will become an area of resistance and strong support for the Turkish currency against the dollar, and a major correction will begin from it. Please clarify that I am helping you with my point of view, which may be right or wrong, and see my previous analyzes of many currencies and forex in order to judge the owner of this analysis with a more accurate look Good luck
Long
by KhaldHegazy
1
USD/TRY 1$ = 29 TL You can see my previous graph (above). There is no good development in Turkey so I think that the dollar will increase more. Under the rule of Recep Tayyip Erdogan Turkey has descended into a dictatorship. In order for Turkey's dollar rate to improve needs to be changed through elections. It also occurs when the incoming government takes democratic steps. - RTE factor (Anti democratic leader) - Kurdish (Syria) Problem and security problems - war funds - - Economic indicators - Graph indicator / Technic Analysis (StochRSI + MACD + Mov50 + TD )
Long
by keci
12
USD/TRY is to jump in 2023?For the last months, the Turkish lira has been traded near the all-time lows against USD. I think that demand for the lira would shift soon, and it would trigger a breakout of resistance of 18.7 with the first psychological price target of TRY 20 for 1 USD with consolidation near 25 in the second half of the year. In terms of technical analysis, I do not see any compelling things on the USD/TRY chart. Therefore, I decided to look at an exotic currency pair with TRY on one side. I have taken Hungarian forint or HUF. Comparing HUF with USD or EUR , we can say, it is a weak currency that has constantly lost its value for the last 20 years. However, against the weakest TRY, HUF is a king. On the TRY/HUF chart, I see an opportunity to breakout of support of HUF 18.4 for TRY until the end of the year. The first target could be 14 with the chance to drop to 10. Keeping in mind that HUF is a weak currency that is now in a temporary good shape against the world currencies, such a possible forint strengthening against the lira could happen only if the latter drop to the majors. If TRY/HUF is to be 14, and USDHUF is near its essential middle-term resistance of 380. It means USDTRY would be around 27,14. If TRY/HUF reaches 10, USDTRY would be 38. With a magical macroeconomic policy in Turkey, including jumping inflation , artificially low-interest rates in Turkey , and raising interest rates in USD, EUR, and Erdogan's elections in June (and budget spending increase), it doesn't seem impossible to me.
Long
by Nikita_Kalinin
USD/TRY: The Turkish Central Bank updates inflation expectationsThe dollar pair stabilized against the Turkish lira USD/TRY during today's trading, to trade the Turkish currency at its lowest level ever against the dollar. On the American front, the dollar rose against major currencies after the Federal Reserve's decision last week to raise interest rates, as the dollar received support after a limited decline. At the present time, investors are awaiting more economic data to try to explore the path of monetary policy that the Federal Reserve may follow during the coming period, especially after inflation began to slow down. Current expectations indicate that raising interest rates during the past month represents the peak of monetary tightening in the United States of America, as the Fed is expected to stabilize the interest rate for several months before shifting and applying a rate cut starting from the second quarter of next year.
by Evar_Mayi
USDJPY-06/21/2023Preferred direction: SELL Comment: The Japanese yen has been rising, and trying to catch a V-revers is not the best idea. However, the pair has a good potential for a correction against the background of a well-established pattern of horizontal levels, as well as volume distribution. In addition, the yen will also actively respond to the speeches of the head of the Fed today and tomorrow. According to this instrument, the best entry set up would be a phased one, that is, with a gradual set, of course, we determine the overall risk and do not go beyond the limits. Thank you for like and share your views!
Short
by Strifor
5
TRY Bleeding Out%19 Interest rate, huge debts, vaccination progress is still very low. Turkish Central Bank manager kicked out because of interest rates, but we have still a huge interest rate and USD/TRYis still going forward. What Turkey could do? No tourism income for now, no leverage hand for interest anymore. Unfortunately, TRY will be 10 soon if we close daily above 8.58. Also, don't forget DXY is bleeding out what is gonna happen when DXY hits 98 again. Not financial advice.
Long
by kargaa
6
EURUSD-06/19/2023Preferred direction: BUY Comment: Over the past week, buyers have significantly pushed the price up and fixed it at the highs, preventing the instrument from rolling back lower. Most likely, the movement against the dollar would continue for many instruments, and especially for EURUSD. Active trades will definitely resume only on Tuesday, it is on this day that we should expect an approach to the local maximum at the level of 1.10677. This resistance is the only thing preventing the buyer from moving further towards more significant resistance at 1.10677. Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Strifor
4
One time Hell 🔥 - Two times Paradise 🏝️💼Hello Traders, I'd like to take a moment to discuss a rather peculiar scenario unfolding in the world of Forex, centered on the Turkish Lira (TRY). It's a tale of two paradises – a seeming conundrum where what seems like a hardship for one can be a fortune for another. 🔥 Hell for Turkish people: Firstly, let's understand the current state of Turkey's economy. With ongoing economic uncertainty under President Erdogan, it's a trying time for the Turkish population. The economic policies, coupled with steep inflation rates and the devaluation of the Turkish Lira, are causing a significant amount of strife for locals. In other words, it's a tough environment for the average Turkish citizen - a kind of 'economic hell', if you will. 💼 Paradise for Forex Brokers On the flip side, the very turmoil that's causing despair for the Turkish people is creating a unique set of opportunities for Forex brokers. The Lira's volatility is attracting an increasing number of traders, drawn by the promise of high risk, high reward scenarios. Yet, the Forex market is a fickle beast, and as we see the Lira begin to trade sideways, the profits expected by these traders could be replaced by hefty commission fees, effectively creating a 'broker paradise' of sorts. Not for traders..for brokers! 🏝️ Paradise for Erdogan's Tourist season The second 'paradise' situation can be found in Turkey's tourism industry. Despite the economic challenges, or rather because of them, Turkey will see a surge in foreign tourists. The weakened Lira makes it an affordable destination for many, boosting the local tourism sector. Cheap currency, while problematic domestically, can be a tourist's paradise, offering them more bang for their buck. Especially for Russians, who currently are treated as 'blocked' citizens for European countries. Erdogan must be very happy with a cheap Lira this summer. he will make his moves towards the end of the summer, trust me on this one. 🛑 Don't trade TRY this period So what does this mean for us as traders? It serves as a reminder that markets are multifaceted and that the factors influencing them are interwoven in complex ways. Although the TRY might be attractive due to its high volatility, remember that trading in such conditions can be risky. In the short term, we might see the TRY continue to trade sideways, meaning that the cost of trading might outweigh the benefits. I am already out of my TRY Trades for this reason. Remember, trading is about understanding the dynamics of the market and adapting your strategies accordingly. Stay safe, stay informed, and trade wisely. Note: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Mine is to sit out this summer and go Long on Turkish lira after the tourist season. 👑President Erdogan, you might just be a Forex genius - although I can't say for sure. It still does not look healthy at all 🔥 Good luck and happy trading! the FXPROFESSOR
by FX_Professor
Türk lirası (USDTRY)- Textbook Entries 🏛️📑Given that I am Long on EURUSD this period i prefer to trade EURTRY instead of USDTRY: Check my post here for targets: Thoughts: Some governments (not the people) prefer their currency cheap, it helps with exports. People choose their government. In this case Erdogan has been re-elected. A cheaper Turkish lira supports the plan of what I will dare to call  'Islamo-China-ization': Cheap currency helps bring tourism and business but does not help the Turks study abroad or buy from abroad.  China for example likes their currency cheap. Erdogan focuses on producing and selling (from goods to guns) instead of importing and at the same time turns the country into a 'claustrophobic anti-Western entity' to achieve so. Off course himself and his bankers are only growing stronger assisting Russians with sanctions and keeping 'one leg in NATO and the other in the East'. Creating an 'enemy or 2 or 3 or 50' helps the cause. Talking about Ottoman empire, Islam and 'kismet' also helps the 'Supreme Leader's' purpose.... but this sounds more like Iran and North Korea than a 'democratic modern nation'. Are people happy in those countries/regimes? These can be dangerous days for the Turkish Lira and the Turkish people. Will the IMF need to step in? Will it want to step in? Will Erdogan accept it? Or will Qatar, the Russians or anyone else (?) run to the rescue for their own interest? Could that be the BRICS? (in any case, there is no such thing as free money) All these questions will remain un-answered until we know the answer. For the time being TRY keeps weakening against the USD and EUR. 26,5 TRY to a EUR is a possibility here. By the way, my last post was a PERFECT entry and it was the third in a row: When a country goes into economic problems and it's leader is a revisionist there lies a danger of war. Ukraine is a battlefield nearby where East and West are 're-shaping borders'. The worst case scenario here would be for Turkey to end up picking a 'camp' and entering a fight, which historically has happened many times in similar situations. (Look at the last 2 links below....) “Old men make war, young men fight and die.” — Winston Churchill I can only wish Turkish people peace and prosperity and may Erdogan find a balance between reality and economy. Young people with 'warm blood' should not waste it for 'dangerous political ambitions' but instead should have access to education, opportunities, jobs and prosperous future. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR Links: Economic unorthodoxy and culture wars : www.theguardian.com The West: www.bbc.com Brics: watcher.guru Russia and Turkey have a Long history of being friends and then fighting: www.reuters.com Turkey and Greece tensions ease: greekcitytimes.com EURTRY PERFECT ENTRIES: www.tradingview.com
Long
by FX_Professor
14
EURTRY- Textbook Entries 🏛️📑Some governments (not the people) prefer their currency cheap, it helps with exports. People choose their government. In this case Erdogan has been re-elected. A cheaper Turkish lira supports the plan of what I call 'Islamo-Chinaization': Cheap currency helps bring tourism and business but does not help the Turks study abroad or buy from abroad. China for example likes their currency cheap. Erdogan focuses on producing and selling (from goods to guns) instead of importing and at the same time turns the country into a 'claustrophobic anti-Western entity' to achieve so. Off course himself and his bankers are only growing stronger assisting Russians with sanctions and keeping 'one leg in NATO and the other in the East'. Creating an 'enemy or 2' helps the cause. Talking about Ottoman empire, Islam and 'kismet' also helps the 'Supreme Leader's' purpose.... but this sounds more like Iran and North Korea than a 'democratic modern nation'. These can be dangerous days for the Turkish Lira and the Turkish people. Will the IMF need to step in? Will it want to step in? Will Erdogan accept it? Or will Qatar, the Russians or anyone else (?) run to the rescue for their own interest? Could that be the BRICS? (in any case, there is no such thing as free money) All these questions will remain un-answered until we know the answer. For the time being TRY keeps weakening against the USD and EUR. 26,5 TRY to a EUR is a possibility here. By the way, my last post was a PERFECT entry and it was the third in a row: When a country goes into economic problems and it's leader is a revisionist there lies a danger of war. Ukraine is a battlefield nearby where East and West are 're-shaping borders'. The worst case scenario here would be for Turkey to end up picking a 'camp' and entering a fight, which historically has happened many times in similar situations. (Look at the last 2 links below....) “Old men make war, young men fight and die.” — Winston Churchill I can only wish Turkish people peace and prosperity and may Erdogan find a balance between reality and economy. Young people with 'warm blood' should not waste it for 'dangerous political ambitions' but instead should have access to education, opportunities, jobs and prosperous future. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 🌅 Links: Economic unorthodoxy and culture wars : www.theguardian.com The West: www.bbc.com Brics: watcher.guru Russia and Turkey have a Long history of being friends and then fighting: www.reuters.com Turkey and Greece tensions ease: greekcitytimes.com EURTRY PERFECT ENTRIES:
Long
by FX_Professor
6