USDTRY : :US DOLLOR TURKISH Hi Guys , Hope you well.
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SecondChanceCrypto
⏰23/May/23
⛔️(DYOR)
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USDTRY
Will Turkish lira reverse if new leader is elected?Could the upcoming Turkey election effect how their currency lira performs against western currencies including the USD? Any potential new leader may be able to get the lira to be much stronger then over the last few years. As for today, the USD against the Turkish lira is the only currency which seems to be somewhat strong in the world of Oanda forex. When my usual frequent scanning across forex and CFD universe, there are very few instruments that showed a consistent profit for the day. Something very strange is happening in the global markets today
full analysisThis analysis may be right or wrong. I always hope for the best and the best for the Turkish people, but my analysis is based on data only and not on wishes and the rules of Elliott science. This time frame is three months, which means a large frame and its implementation needs many years.
The currency rose in one large extended wave and made wave two, and it is expected to end in the next wave three, and it will be yellower than wave one at approximately 50% Fibonacci at the shaded area
Welcome to another debt crisis in economic history 7!It's been a while since I tracked the #usdtry pair. You can also find my past reviews below for comparison.
Concerns over
- high inflation,
- high levels of debt
- external financing needs
- geopolitical tensions
- a looser monetary policy stance to support economic growth
- high-level gov. corruption
- pressure on the parity
imo parity will be stabilized around 33-46
How to be careful against manipulation while trading Forex?It all started on the morning of December 20, 2021. The "Up Tick Rule" was implemented for one day in the stock market. The Up Tick Rule is an application that reduces the declines caused by short selling in stocks and is implemented to limit selling pressure.
The implementation method of this rule is that even though the capital market instrument subject to short selling can be realized at a price higher than the last transaction price, the short selling transaction can also be made at the last transaction price level if the last transaction price of the capital market instrument subject to short selling is higher than the previous price.
Thus, with the implementation of this rule, the possibility of the dollar falling is minimized. The dollar is raised up to 18.36 Turkish liras. At 18:15, after the daytime market closed, the manipulation began.
On the evening of December 20, 2021, the Central Bank started selling dollars through public banks at very low exchange rates. The aim was to transfer capital to some of the supporters by selling the Central Bank's dollars for less than 10 Turkish liras, but the dollar only fell to 12.49 Turkish liras. Because an investor who was unaware of this operation bought $1.5 billion at an average rate of 12.50 Turkish liras. Since the Central Bank had exhausted its selling limit for that day, it couldn't sell any more dollars. Thus, the operation remained incomplete.
With the panic that started in the market, BIST presented an announcement for approval at 09:25 on the morning of December 21, 2021. A trap was set for stock market investors to complete the operation. At 09:46 (16 minutes after the opening of the stock exchange), the approval of the announcement was published on KAP.
In this announcement, the limit for selling dollars at a discount of up to 10% was increased to 80%. However, during the 16-minute period before investors learned of this decision, the Central Bank's dollar reserves, which had started selling at 18.22 Turkish liras on the new day, had already been sold down to the level of 3.65 Turkish liras. (Although this level of 3.65 Turkish liras may not be visible on the Tradingview chart, data is available on applications such as Bloomberg Terminal and Matriks.)
The identity of those who had prior knowledge and purchased dollars at almost no cost is unknown. The Central Bank has been robbed, and those who were aware of the operation have made large profits, while others have lost their money and assets. Instead of protecting investors against manipulation, it looks like SPK and BIST have facilitated the setting of traps for them.
The most basic thing we can do to protect ourselves against such manipulations is to be vigilant when buying and selling currencies of countries with low credibility.
A Look at the Turkish EconomyAs we all know, the increase in foreign currency increases the general product prices extraordinarily, as it increases the input costs. The rise of the foreign exchange is a phenomenon that a country does not want. Every country aims to keep the exchange rate stable. But for some reason, Turkey came out of these countries.
As can be seen from this chart, from 2006 to 2020, Turkey continued to print money with a certain pattern. This is an acceptable factor for each country under certain conditions. The money supply, which increased with a trend of 23 degrees, started to rise more sharply after 2020, and especially after March 2021, the trend reached 53 degrees. This trend change is a clear indication of how fast the printing of money is. Therefore, as the money supply increases, there is a natural depreciation of the currency (Orange line shows the rising Dollar against the Turkish Lira).
In the same period, interest rates were reduced, as can be seen from the black line. By lowering interest rates, what a country normally aims at is to create consumption demand by reducing borrowing costs. Therefore, the demand for consumption has increased, and with it, demand inflation has arisen. Meanwhile, printing money decreased the value of the Turkish Lira (the exchange rate rose), which increased the input costs. The increase in input costs was reflected in the sales prices of the products. Therefore, inflation was fueled by both demand and foreign currency.
It will be impossible to know why the Turkish government did this, why it deliberately ignited inflation, which no economist can explain. If you have an idea, you can write it in the comments. Thanks.
USDT.D are you rdy for Down All professional crypto market analysts know that before anything else, they should check Tether's Dominance trend, then enter the market and open their position.
Based on my analysis, I announce that Tether's trend will soon be downward and a bull market will begin for crypto.
A Simple but Effective USDTRY Trading StrategyThe USDTRY pair tends to be extremely volatile, and hence it brings many scalping opportunities.
On the sell side, and on the hourly chart, you need to keep an eye on EMA-200, EMA-25, trading volume, its MA, and a few important points of time during the day. Zoom into the chart.
By 7:00 AM UTC (sometimes 8:00 AM), a significant trading volume spike above its MA line usually occurs and is followed by consolidation above the EMA-25 ahead of breaching it. By breaching the EMA-25, USDTRY usually breaks significantly below the EMA-200. A trader may enter a sell position as the USDTRY breaches the EMA-25 and close their position after nearly 4,000 ticks below the closing price of the 7:00 AM candle.
On the buy side, the move tends to be much faster. After that long bearish candle that breaks below the EMA-200, a long bullish candle usually forms with an opening price that is nearly identical to the closing price of that bearish candle. This bullish candle usually forms between 21:00-23:00. This move usually targets the EMA-25, about 4,000-8,000 ticks above the opening price of the bullish candle.
These strategies above seem to be intuitive for many traders. However, the previous patterns are usually followed by a significant amount of volatility. So, prudent risk management must be taken into account.
I would appreciate your opinion and I would be very thankful if you can cheer my account up a little :)
USDT.DOMINANCE LINE CHART UPDATE !!Hello and welcome to this USDT.DOMINANCE LINE chart update by Crypto Sanders.
I have tried to bring the best possible result in this chart.
Chart Analysis:-Dominance is lowering inside the parallel channel We expect the dominance line chart to touch the upper train line and break down back to the bottom of the parallel channel as pumps can be seen in the altcoin. And dominance in RSI is showing bullish divergence.
This is not a piece of financial advice.
Hit the like button if you like it and share your chart in the comment section.
Thank you
Quick one: USDTRY might be about to go boomForex market have started getting very volatile (after years of making us fall asleep), following the west heavily increasing their interest rates + the war against Russia.
The risk reward could be very good, the price can easily rally strongly. It looks like it could be about to burst. Even 15% odds of that happening are worth it to me.
The USDTRY fundamentals have changed:
- now it is as bad as before for the Lira
- but now the USD has interest to make it even more attractive compared to that dead currency
Makes sense to me it will continue to go up like it has been doing for years in a straight line as it now has even more reasons to go up.
Do not hold too long, the high lira rate hurts after a while; but not as much as it used to as it has been going down (from 20 to 10% in the past 12 months) and the USD rate has been going up.
Would really surprise me if the exchange rate between these two did not continue on its way up before very long. But you never know in this game...
#USDT Dominance retest. Possible signal here.USDT Dominance has broken to the upside.
Bearish retest in BTC.
All aligning to one signal:- Expect more lows.
537 DAYS LEFT FOR THE NEXT BITCOIN HALVING so we still have a lot of time.
Do not FOMO Buy or Sell anything.
Keep it slow and Steady.
Still DYOR, This is not financial advice.
I will keep posting important useful charts for you all.
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#PEACE
#USDT.DOMINANCE 1DAY UPDATE !!Hello, welcome to this USDT.DOMINANCE 1DAY chart update by CRYPTO SANDERS.
I have tried to bring the best possible outcome to this chart.
Show some support, hit the like button, and comment in the comment section. this motivates me to bring this kind of chart analysis on regular basis.
CHART ANALYSIS:-dominance resistance level 7.85 and dominance symmetrical triangle pattern upper trend line resistance and dominance support level green zone 5.60%
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thank you.
USDTRY Best time to buy long-term is nowThe USDTRY pair has been rising steadily since the December 2021 drop. The RSI on the 1W time-frame has formed a pattern that since 2013 at least, paved the way to very aggressive pumps. Technically the next wave is about to start and shouldn't retrace before it hits the RSI's Higher Highs trend-line. Based on the pair's Higher Highs trend-line, the next top can be around $25.00. As a long-term investor, there isn't a much better level to buy USDTRY than now.
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USD/TRY We are here interesting pointHey guys, if you guys check my profile from below link,
www.tradingview.com
You guys see I have a lot usdtry analysis and my analysis success rate is 90% on this pair because I live in turkey and I feel every single situation when our turkish lira lose value let me give example.
So right now our president want to lower interest rates but technic analysis say if we close up weekly 16.89 level dollar is begin new rally to upside carefully all this area is so imporant just watch to price actions and we decide what we do stay tune.






















