Volume EPO – One bar, seven volume stories Volume EPO – One bar, seven volume stories (VAKFN, Borsa Istanbul)
This idea illustrates how different volume-classification methods can produce very different interpretations of the same bar. The Volume EPO overlay is used as a research tool to display seven methods side by side in a compact HUD.
The example is taken from VAKFN on Borsa Istanbul. On this market, TradingView provides extended intrabar volume data (BIST volume data plan), which allows the Intrabar row of the table to be built from lower-timeframe up/down volume and used as a high-precision benchmark.
Price is shown on the daily chart inside an ascending channel. The last daily bar in that structure is analyzed with the Volume EPO table on the right. Total volume on that bar is the same for every row (66.49M), but each method splits it into buy / sell / delta differently:
- Intrabar (Ref) – lower-timeframe up/down volume
≈ 36.66M buy vs 29.83M sell → delta +6.83M (moderate net buying; benchmark “truth layer”).
- BVC (Smart) – probabilistic split via normal CDF on normalized price change
Delta ≈ +7.61M, very close to Intrabar (Diff ≈ 1.1%), confirming a mild buy imbalance.
- Tick Rule – classic uptick/downtick classifier
Because the close is above the previous close, the whole 66.49M is classified as buy volume
→ delta +66.49M (Diff ≈ 90%), an extremely bullish reading.
- Lee-Ready Style – delayed midpoint quote test with Tick fallback
On this bar the close falls on the sell side of the delayed midpoint, so the entire volume is classified as selling
→ delta −66.49M (Diff ≈ 110%), the exact opposite of Tick Rule.
- Wick Imbalance – geometric supply/demand from upper vs lower wicks
A strong upper wick and weak close again lead to a full sell reading
→ delta −66.49M (Diff ≈ 110%).
- ML-Logit – logistic model of normalized return and volume deviation
Shows only a small negative imbalance
→ delta ≈ −1.38M (Diff ≈ 12.1%), close to neutral flow.
- Geometry – legacy CLV-style candle approximation
With the close near the low of the range, more volume is assigned to sellers
→ delta ≈ −33.25M (Diff ≈ 60.1%), strong selling.
On this single daily bar of VAKFN, the conclusions range from “mild net buying” (Intrabar, BVC) to “massive buying” (Tick Rule), “massive selling” (Lee-Ready Style, Wick Imbalance), “almost neutral” (ML-Logit), and “strong selling” (Geometry).
Only the Intrabar row uses actual lower-timeframe up/down volume from TradingView; all other rows are models built on top of OHLCV. Access to deeper intrabar history on small timeframes (such as 1s/5s, depending on data plan and subscription level for BIST) strengthens this benchmark layer and makes it easier to see which methods stay close to the underlying flow and which ones drift away.
This idea is presented as a research and educational example on VAKFN, not as a trade signal or financial advice.
Volumepriceanalysis
In-Depth Bitcoin VolumeData is on the chart.
The single most important indicator is the Volume.
There are certain anomalies in the volume that can be attributed to wash trading in the beginning or the Covid.
As you can see, since the early cycles, volume in price discovery has been steady.
More importantly, the current volume in price discovery is still very low.
There are lots of talks about how some mythical players are accumulating. For 21M of issuance, the volume is huge, IMO.
!!! It is not trading advice, but an overview of the market in the past and the current situation.
I do not advise investing in highly volatile markets like crypto unless you are prepared to mark losses.
Wheat in Focus: How Ukraine, China, and Weather could move WheatWheat is one of the world’s most widely traded agricultural commodities, essential for food and animal feed. Prices are heavily influenced by global supply and demand, with major producers including the U.S., Russia, the EU, Canada, Australia, and Ukraine. Weather conditions, geopolitical events, and large importer activity can all create significant volatility in the market. Let’s break it down.
1. What Drives Wheat Prices
Supply Factors
Wheat supply is heavily shaped by the major exporting regions—Russia, the EU, Australia, the U.S., Canada, and Ukraine. Weather is the biggest swing factor: drought, heat stress, floods, or winterkill can quickly tighten global supply and spark rallies. Crop progress reports and yield updates show how each production cycle is developing, while geopolitics—especially in the Black Sea—can disrupt export flows overnight. Input costs like fertilizer and fuel influence how much farmers plant, and currency moves affect which exporters are most competitive. Together, these factors determine how much wheat the world can actually deliver to the market. To summarize:
Major producers: Russia, EU, Australia, U.S., Canada, Ukraine
Weather: drought, heat stress, winterkill, floods
Crop progress: planting pace, crop conditions, yield expectations
Geopolitics: Black Sea tensions, export bans, sanctions, port disruptions
Input costs: fertilizer, fuel, logistics
Currency impact: strong USD usually weighs on wheat prices
Demand Factors
Demand for wheat is driven by global food consumption, animal feed needs, and the buying behavior of major importers such as China, Egypt, and Indonesia. Economic conditions matter because stronger economies consume more food and feed. Price relationships with other grains like corn and rice can shift demand toward or away from wheat. Changes in trade flows—such as China sourcing more from the U.S. instead of the Black Sea—can quickly redirect global shipments. These factors help traders understand whether demand is strengthening or weakening relative to available supply. To summarize:
Global consumption (food + feed use)
Large importer buying: China, Egypt, Indonesia, Turkey
Economic conditions in EM (Emerging Markets)
Substitution vs. corn/rice
Global trade flow shifts
2. Key Reports Traders Actually Need to Track
Instead of monitoring everything, wheat traders focus on the handful of reports that truly move price:
WASDE (Monthly) – The most important report in wheat trading. This is where global production, consumption, exports, and ending stocks get revised.
Wheat can rip or dump instantly on WASDE changes. If you track only one thing, track WASDE.
Weekly USDA Export Sales – This shows an immediate view of demand. Watch for:
Big purchases from China, Egypt, Indonesia
Surprising cancellations
Shifts from Black Sea to U.S. buying
It’s one of the fastest ways to spot demand changes ahead of price.
Crop Progress (Weekly, in season) – Important only during planting, growing and harvesting periods. The report tracks:
% planted
% harvested
Crop condition (% good/excellent)
Poor Conditions generally = bullish. Strong Conditions generally = bearish
Geopolitical headlines – In our opinion wheat is the most geopolitically sensitive commodity. Anything related to the following can cause immediate moves.:
Corridor shutdowns
Port attacks
Export bans
Ceasefire rumors
This is the intraday volatility driver that news traders capitalize on.
Weather in key regions (Daily / weekly) – Focus on the key regions of the U.S. Plains, Black Sea, Australia.
Drought in these regions generally = bullish. Good moisture generally = bearish.
Use simple sources like NOAA maps or short ag weather summaries (weather reports that impact agriculture).
CFTC COT (Weekly) – This is for context and is not used for trading signals. It shows whether funds are heavily long or short. Only the extremes matter:
Funds very short → short-covering rallies possible
Funds very long → risk of liquidation selloffs
This report is more relevant for swing and position traders.
3. Recent Market Drivers
Peace-proposal speculation:
Reports of a U.S. proposal involving Ukraine ceding Donbas triggered a fast selloff as markets priced in the possibility of Ukrainian exports normalizing.
Zelenskiy has stated he won’t accept territorial concessions, so a confirmed ceasefire remains unlikely unless U.S./EU pressure increases.
Market reaction:
Wheat dumped immediately on the headline, but the move didn’t sustain — traders want confirmation, not speculation.
China buying U.S. wheat:
Ongoing chatter that China is shifting some purchases to the U.S. (no official tonnage yet). This is a supportive demand story worth monitoring.
4. Chart Analysis: Recent Price Action and What to expect
The developing monthly VPOC for November 2025 has shifted higher, marking a potential change in market sentiment after three consecutive months of declining VPOCs. In addition, the developing VA for November appears unlikely to overlap with the previous month’s VA. This suggests that market conditions are changing and that the recent downward trend may be ending.
Market based out around 520 and rallied from mid-October to early November, breaking 552’4 (previous seller defense) and reclaiming back above 559’6 daily level.
This rally was likely supported by the potential U.S.–China trade deal and initial Chinese wheat purchases in early November.
However, sellers stepped in at 570 (July’s VAL + monthly 1SD high), offering price back below 559’6. Market is now rotating inside a developing range between 559’6 and the 540–535’6 zone (October settlement/LVN) to establish value.
Bearish Scenario
A break and acceptance below 540 opens the door toward:
520 (October’s VPOC + monthly 0.5SD low)
510 (October low)
504’6 (monthly 1SD low)
Catalyst: Any news of confirmed progress toward a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire → removal of war-premium → likely downside.
Bullish Scenario
If market accepts back above 559’6, sets up a move toward:
570 (July VAL / M 1SD high) — expect sellers here.
585’6 (July VPOC) if 570 is cleared
Catalyst: Headline reversal or escalation in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
Neutral Scenario
Without fresh catalysts, expect continued range rotation between 559’6 and 540, with the market establishing value in this zone.
5. Conclusion
Wheat remains a headline-driven and weather-sensitive market, where geopolitical developments, major buyer activity, and crop conditions can quickly shift sentiment. Traders should monitor key reports and technical levels while staying aware of global supply and demand dynamics. With multiple factors in play, range rotations and sudden spikes or drops are likely until a clear catalyst drives the market decisively.
What are your thoughts? Are you watching the headlines, weather, or technical levels for clues? Please share your insights below and give this post a boost so the rest of the community can join the conversation.
Glossary Index for technical terms used:
VAH (Value Area High)
VAL (Value Area Low)
VPOC (Volume Point of Control)
SD (Standard Deviation)
LVN (Low Value Node)
VA (Value Area)
AUC Pulling Into Key AOI
AUC setup is shaping up well. After the initial breakout on expanding volume, price has pulled back ~30% and now retesting the top of the prior range. That’s a healthy retrace, and structurally, the chart still leans bullish.
Entry
You could begin scaling in here, but the more compelling support zone sits closer to ~$0.56. Notably, October closed with heavy volume and a bearish engulfing candle so ideally, we want to see this pullback continue on declining volume with overlapping candles. That would signal absorption rather than distribution.
Take Profit (TP)
• First TP sits around the EQ of the monthly supply structure (already marked).
• Beyond that, there’s minimal overhead resistance, so you can trail stops using higher swing lows as they form.
Stop Loss (SL)
• Since we haven’t seen a new swing low (LPS) yet, the $0.220 LPS remains the logical invalidation point.
• Once a monthly higher low confirms, you can tighten the stop accordingly.
• Until then, risk management is key especially for a small cap stock
Fake-out of the triangle provided a long setupThis morning, we saw a clean fakeout of the triangle into the anchored VWAP from the all-time high, which provided a solid short opportunity.
Now, EUREX:FDAX1! is figthing to stay within the value area and ultimately push toward new all-time highs. However, there is significant resistance above, so remain cautious.
Sideways No More?Waypoint REIT (WPR) has been range bound for nearly six years, but the current structure hints at a potential breakout. Price has retraced to the top of the long-term range and is now finding support at two key 50% levels projected from major swing highs and lows.
Trade Scenario 1: Aggressive Entry
Entry: Current levels
Stop Loss: Just below the bullish engulfing candle from the week ending 19 Oct
Target: Initial TP just under the yearly R2 pivot. Beyond that, trail your stop below new swing lows to manage risk.
Minimum Range Target: $3.70
This setup favors traders looking to front run the breakout with tight risk control.
Trade Scenario 2: Conservative Confirmation
Entry: Wait for a clean breakout and hold above the $2.82 high
Stop Loss & Targets: Same as above initial TP near R2, then trail stops with structure
This approach suits those prioritizing confirmation over early positioning.
High-Volume Spring After Crypto FlushTAO is showing serious strength following the $20B crypto dump on Friday, October 10th. That event triggered a high-volume Spring out of the range, closing strong and decisively.
Volume on the Spring exceeded that of the Selling Climax (SC), which suggests we should now expect a Test of demand. Two key zones are in play for this test, but given the size of the wick, we may not see a deep pullback being nimble is key.
Most Bullish Scenario
Price finds support near the local 50% level (green line)
Reaccumulation occurs
Price targets the top of the range, forming a Jump Across the Creek (JAC)
If price pulls back on declining volume with overlapping candles (BU/LPS), expect a strong continuation
The minimal range target is ambitious, but that’s what the structure tells us. Respect the setup, manage the risk, and most importantly don't tell the chart what to do.
Range Structure in PlayTLG is shaping up for a potential swing opportunity as price continues to respect a well-defined range and now presses against the upper boundary of the supply structure.
We’ve seen a clean base form, and while the entry here is slightly late, the risk-to-reward remains attractive given the structure and context.
Trade Scenario 1 – Aggressive Entry
Entry: Current price (breakout anticipation)
Stop Loss: Below the LPS (Last Point of Support)
Target: Minimal range projection aligning with the LVN and a key lower high
This setup leans into early momentum and offers a solid R if the breakout confirms.
Trade Scenario 2 – Confirmation Pullback
Entry: On a breakout and retest of the range highs
Stop Loss: Below the structure formed on the retest
Target: 1.140+ zone, aligning with prior supply and structural targets
This is the more conservative play waiting for confirmation and structure to form before committing. Ideal for those who prefer to trade the BU (Back Up) phase after the range is validated. Both scenarios offer clean structure and defined risk. Watching for volume confirmation and follow-through above the range.
Wyckoff Continuation PlayAKM is showing strong potential for upside continuation. After printing a clean SOS, price has retraced with overlapping candles on declining volume a classic sign of absorption and reaccumulation. This suggests price is coiling for a potential JAC (Jump Across the Creek) and explosive breakout.
Key Observation: There’s a sizeable Fair Value Gap (FVG) below current price that remains untested. This opens the door for a possible fakeout, a brief push above resistance followed by a sharp dip into the FVG before the real rally begins. If this plays out, the setup remains valid and the R:R improves significantly with the same targets intact. This underscores the importance of disciplined risk management and scenario modeling.
Trade Scenario
Entry: Begin scaling in here as price is sitting on strong support. Add to the position if we get a clean break and hold above the 0.285 high.
Stop Loss: Initial SL just below the BU/LPS zone. If invalidated, we’ll pivot to the FVG zone for a secondary entry with same targets, tighter structure and better R:R.
Spring in Play, Structure SpeaksGRT is showing a fantastic range structure with a clean spring—an ideal case study in Wyckoff volume analysis.
Despite the historic $20B crypto liquidation on October 10th, GRT’s wick printed on lower volume than the Selling Climax (SC), suggesting no need for a Spring retest. Price closed decisively back inside the range and above the yearly S1 pivot classic signs of smart money absorption.
Trade Scenarios
Option 1: Immediate Entry
Entry: Current price
Stop Loss: Just below the Spring
Targets:
TP1: ~$0.26 — strong resistance zone
TP2: ~$1.53 — projected range target aligned with macro 50% level
These targets may seem ambitious, but they’re structurally derived. This is what the chart is telling us.
Option 2: Pullback Entry
Entry: Wait for a pullback near the EQ of the Spring wick on the daily TF
Stop Loss: Based on daily structure
Targets: Same as Option 1
Smart Money Absorbs as Max Pain Setup UnfoldsSTX has been quietly range bound for nearly four years, but the recent price action demands attention. While most alts printed fresh lows during the October 10th liquidation flush, STX held firm its wick didn’t breach the Selling Climax (SC), and volume surged. This Last Point of Support (LPS) signals strong demand and potential smart money presence (weekly timeframe).
Trade Scenarios
Option 1: Immediate Entry
Entry: Current price
Stop Loss: Just below the LPS
Targets:
TP1: Yearly pivot + major 50% level
TP2: If price breaks the range high, a projected range extension gives a minimal target of ~$42
These targets may seem ambitious, but they’re derived directly from the chart structure, no hopium, just data.
Option 2: Pullback Entry
Entry: Wait for a pullback near the EQ of the large wick
Stop Loss: Based on daily TF structure
Targets: Same as Option 1
Webull Corporation — demand confirmation and growth potentialTechnical analysis: On the 4H chart, Webull Corporation (ticker BULL) is showing signs of a breakout from the accumulation channel. After a decline, the price stabilized in the 12.50–15.50 range, where demand confirmation is visible. The current level of 15.39 serves as a starting point for growth. The nearest upside targets are 17.40 and 20.40, with extended potential toward 25.30 and 41.00 if resistance is broken. Key support is located at 13.30–12.50, and losing this area may bring back bearish momentum.
Webull Corporation is a US-based fintech company offering online trading and investment services. Its platform provides retail investors with access to stocks, ETFs, options, and cryptocurrencies. Competing with Robinhood, Webull stands out thanks to advanced charts, analytics, and low fees. The growing popularity of online brokers and an expanding user base support the company’s long-term outlook.
As long as the accumulation structure holds and demand remains strong, the bullish scenario stays in focus. For long-term investors, the stock may be considered a buy-and-hold opportunity, supported by fintech sector growth and rising competition among online brokers.
Gold Analysis using ATAI Volume Pressure AnalyzerIntroduction:
In this analysis, we use the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer indicator , which is based on the logic of separating buy/sell volume. The indicator retrieves volume data from a lower timeframe and reconstructs it on the host timeframe. This is achieved using the internal function, TradingView/ta/10 → tvta.requestUpAndDownVolume(lowerTF) , which extracts Up Volume, Down Volume, and Delta from the selected lower timeframe, enabling aggregation and evaluation of market pressure. One-tick data provides the highest precision but is limited in historical coverage; conversely, higher timeframes provide more historical depth but with relative accuracy.
In this daily chart, to calculate 20-period volume averages, the lowest timeframe that both preserved relative accuracy and provided sufficient historical data for 20 candles was 30 seconds , which was selected. This choice is reflected in the corresponding rows of the left and right columns of the HUD panel. It should be noted that in the gold market, the actual traded contract volume is not centrally available; therefore, the volume used in this method is based on tick volume (the count of price changes within each bar) . This serves as a proxy for activity and order flow intensity rather than absolute turnover. Accordingly, aggregates and deltas are interpreted on a relative basis and used to identify acceleration, volume spikes, and breakouts alongside price structure.
Trendlines and Market Direction
Beyond volume-based calculations, the indicator also visualizes directional bias through adaptive trendlines. The dotted orange and turquoise lines are drawn from successive pivot highs and lows over a 50-bar window, effectively capturing the slope of price movement. In the chart, these diagonals clearly reveal the transition: price has broken out of a mid-range accumulation zone and established a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming a structural uptrend.
Complementing this, the blue horizontal line marks the base of the prior accumulation (support), while the red line highlights the resistance level at the top. The breakout above this framework, supported by bullish volume ratios shown in the HUD, validates that the market has shifted from neutrality into a sustained upward trend.
Labels and Market Conditions
The labels displayed on the chart — such as Accum, Breakout ↑, Sharp ↑, and Bull Trap Risk — are derived from explicit quantitative rules inside the indicator. These rules combine price levels, buy/sell volume deltas, and moving aggregates. Below, each label is explained with both its coding logic and its mathematical interpretation in plain language.
Accum (Accumulation)
Logic: |Δ| < ε ∧ Var(ΣV) → min
Meaning: The difference between buy and sell volume (Δ) is close to zero, and the variance of total volume ΣV is minimal over the chosen window. In simple terms, this marks a balanced market where buyers and sellers are matched, forming a neutral accumulation zone.
Breakout ↑
Logic: Pt > max(Pacc) ∧ Δ > 0 ∧ ΣV20 ↑
Meaning: The closing price Pt breaks above the maximum price of the accumulation zone (Pacc), while buy volume is greater than sell volume (Δ > 0), and the 20-bar aggregate volume ΣV20 is increasing. In simple terms, this confirms that buyers dominate and the market is breaking upward with sufficient volume support.
Sharp ↑
Logic: ΔP / Δt > θ
Meaning: The slope of price change (ΔP per unit time) exceeds a defined threshold θ. In simple terms, this indicates an accelerated move upward — a breakout with unusually strong momentum.
Bull Trap Risk
Logic: Pt < Pbreakout ∧ Δ ↓ ∧ ΣV20 ↓
Meaning: After an initial breakout, the price Pt falls back below the breakout level, while buy volume weakens (Δ decreases) and the 20-bar aggregate volume ΣV20 declines. In simple terms, this signals that the breakout has lost support and may have trapped buyers — hence the label Bull Trap Risk.
Trendlines and Guidance
The dotted trendlines are constructed from the slope of price and aligned with recent pivot highs (HH) and lows (LL). Mathematically, the slope is defined as:
m = (P_pivot2 − P_pivot1) / (t2 − t1)
where P_pivot are the price levels at successive pivots, and t are their bar indices. A positive slope (m > 0) indicates an upward trend, while m < 0 indicates a downward trend.
In this chart, the slope of the mid-band is clearly positive, and the label HH1 is printed at the breakout of the upper boundary. This confirms that the market has transitioned out of a ranging phase and into a structural uptrend characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Horizontal Lines
The horizontal guidance lines (support and resistance) are calculated from the extremes over the last N = 50 bars:
S = min(P_t), R = max(P_t) for t ∈
The blue line marks support at the lowest low, and the red line marks resistance at the highest high. Together, these dynamic references highlight where order flow has historically concentrated and provide anchors for interpreting future price reactions.
Each of these labels therefore reflects a mathematical condition expressed both in code and in statistical terms. Together they describe a sequence of phases: balanced accumulation, directional breakout, acceleration, and potential failure traps. This structured approach translates raw volume and price data into actionable signals.
Conclusion: XAUUSD Market Outlook
The recent chart action combines signals from the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer with a secondary tool, the 20-period Linear Regression channel. This multi-tool perspective highlights the importance of cross-validation in market analysis.
Key Observations
- Volume Pressure Analyzer Signals: After a strong breakout and sharp upward momentum, the indicator has now triggered the label Bull Trap Risk . This label reflects weakening buy-side dominance, declining delta values, and a potential failure of the breakout to sustain order-flow support.
- Linear Regression (20-period): The regression channel illustrates a clear ascending path starting from the former accumulation zone. The latest red candle has closed outside the channel to the downside, confirming a loss of alignment with the prior uptrend.
- Structural Divergence: The combination of volume weakness (as flagged by VPRC) and structural channel break creates a divergence. Price remains elevated but lacks the necessary buy-side reinforcement, raising the probability of a correction or a full trend reversal.
Interpretation
This scenario indicates a transition risk: from a sharp bullish phase into either a corrective pullback or a potential distribution phase. The decisive factor remains the behavior of buyers and sellers in the next candles — whether buyers can reclaim the channel or sellers consolidate control.
Disclaimer
This XAUUSD analysis has been conducted using the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer indicator in conjunction with the supporting Linear Regression (20-period) tool. It does not constitute any form of financial advice regarding buying, selling, or holding positions. The analysis solely illustrates the dynamics of buyer and seller behavior in the market.
Strategy update – H1 retracement & new plan I Sep/17/2025On the H1 timeframe, the market has formed a lower high 🔻. This may indicate a short-term retracement toward 3660 to reinforce the main bullish trend.
👉 Therefore, we’ll adjust our plan:
Take a short-term SELL targeting the 3660–3657 zone.
From that zone, we’ll look to BUY again with the main bullish trend for the next leg up.
💡 This approach combines short-term trades (SELL) with the bigger picture (BUY) to manage risk and maximize opportunities.
KOTHARIPRO (BSE: 1D) — Volume Pressure Analyzer | OB 5/7 Tool used
Analysis made with ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA), which decomposes daily flows into buy/sell volume, prints half-window deltas (C→B vs B→A), ATR-normalized wing slopes, α/β geometry at vertex B, and OverBought/OverSold spike labels confirmed by a 7-oscillator vote
1) Snapshot from HUD
◉ OB 5/7 fired on today’s +20% candle (RSI/Stoch/CCI/MFI/StRSI cluster).
◉ C→B (earlier half): Δ −14.21 → seller-tilted.
◉ B→A (recent half): Δ +72.25K → buyers in control.
◉ Angles: C→B wing both <0° (down), B→A wing both >0° (up).
◉ α=171.6°, β=188.4° → no red flags (thresholds are α>180 or β<180).
◉ Ranked zones:
- B1 High 93.0 / Low 77.0 (resistance)
- S1 Low 83.9 (support)
2) Interpretation
◉ The OB 5/7 tag warns of short-term exhaustion after an impulsive surge.
◉ Yet the right wing (B→A) shows positive deltas and slopes, meaning structure still favors buyers.
◉ No α/β stress flags, so the geometry is not “over-stretched.”
◉ The zone map is clean: B1 = resistance (93.0) and S1 = first support (83.9).
3) Scenarios
A) Base case — Pullback / Digestion
◉ Likely reaction into the S1 zone (≈84–87) after OB tag.
◉ Watch Δ(B→A): if it fades to ≤0 and wings flatten, pullback deepens.
B) Bullish continuation
◉ Requires daily acceptance above 93 with a buy-spike (TF_buy / SMA ≥1.6 or Z≥1.8).
◉ Validation = B→A Δ stays >0 and right wing >0°.
C) Bearish rotation
◉ Triggers if B→A Δ flips negative and right wing turns gray/red.
◉ Breakdown below 83.9 on a sell-spike would confirm shift.
4) Conclusion
Bias: Constructive with pullback risk.
◉ Immediate OB tag suggests a pause; however, the buyer regime in the recent half (B→A) is still active.
◉ Key invalidation = loss of 83.9 (S1) with negative Δ.
◉ Key confirmation = acceptance above 93 with buy-spike absorption.
The points above are the technical and educational details from the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA). Put simply, the takeaway is this:
The stock made a sharp +20% move today up to 93, and the indicator flagged an “OverBought” condition. That means buying pressure was unusually strong and the market may need to cool off with a pause or short pullback. Still, the recent volume balance shows buyers remain in control, so the broader structure is still constructive.
If price can hold above 93 with renewed strong buy-side volume, continuation to the upside is favored. But if it slips below 84 and selling pressure grows, that would mark the start of a deeper correction. In simple terms: the main trend is still positive, but after today’s surge it makes sense to expect some digestion before the next leg.
Three Paths for VEEM: Pullback, Breakout, or BreakdownScenario 1 (yellow line): Strategic Pullback to Value Zone
Price retraces to the ~$0.67 region, aligning with a Low Volume Node (LVN) and the Fair Value Gap from the June candle. A bullish reversal candle in this zone would signal a high-probability long setup, suggesting accumulation at a key structural level.
Scenario 2 (green line): Breakout & Reaccumulation Above Resistance
The most bullish scenario unfolds if price decisively breaks and closes above the major resistance at $1.50. A successful reaccumulation above this level would confirm strength, offering a textbook pullback entry for continuation higher.
Scenario 3: (red line) Rejection & Macro Lower High
Price pulls back but fails to hold above the ~$1.16 zone, facing rejection. A subsequent break of the recent lows would confirm a macro lower high (LH), shifting the bias toward bearish continuation and invalidating bullish setups.
NVDA Under Pressure: Sellers Dominate as Volume Spikes Fail NVDA Under Pressure: Sellers Dominate as Volume Spikes Fail to Sustain Price Gains
Context – This 60‑minute NVDA chart uses the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA) on a 55‑bar window. The indicator plots an A→B→C structure: the blue C→B segment tracks the preceding advance and the red B→A segment the subsequent pull‑back. Up‑volume and down‑volume are calculated on a lower time frame and then aggregated into host‑time‑frame bars to expose buying and selling pressure.
Volume ranking – Within this window the indicator labels the three largest buying and selling bars (B1–B3 and S1–S3) and reports their statistics in a HUD. The most prominent bar, B1, spans H 184.46 to L 176.41 and shows 5.68 M up‑volume versus 6.69 M down‑volume, producing a –1.01 M delta. B2 (H 178.15–L 173.76) is even more bearish, with 4.03 M up‑volume and 6.52 M down‑volume (delta –2.49 M). B3 (H 177.86–L 171.20) is the only buying bar with a positive delta: 3.50 M up‑volume, 2.79 M down‑volume and a +0.71 M surplus. On the sell side, S1 and S2 coincide with B1 and B2 and mirror their negative deltas. S3 (H 182.08–L 179.10) registers 2.38 M up‑volume against 3.34 M down‑volume for a –0.96 M delta. Collectively, the pattern shows that peaks in buying volume have not yielded higher closes; sellers control all but one of the ranked bars.
Segment behaviour – The C→B rally accumulated roughly 29.89 M up‑volume versus 27.81 M down‑volume, a modest +2.07 M delta. In contrast, the B→A decline logged 40.16 M up‑volume against 43.27 M down‑volume, giving a –3.11 M deficit. The slopes of the trend lines accentuate the story: the advance has gentle positive slopes (~+11° top, +12.4° bottom), whereas the pull‑back slopes downward (–8.5° and –6.9°). Sellers have pushed prices lower more decisively than buyers previously drove them higher.
Price structure and implications – Price currently trades around 174.28 USD. Resistance sits near 178.15 (B2/S2) and 184.46 (B1/S1). As long as price remains beneath these pivot highs and subsequent B‑ranked bars fail to show a positive delta, the selling bias persists. The red dashed guide, connecting recent lows, continues to slope downward, confirming the bearish tilt. Only a flattening or reversal of this guide—coupled with a new B‑ranked bar sporting a positive delta—would hint at a shift in momentum.
Risk management – This analysis is intended for educational purposes. It illustrates how separating up‑ and down‑volume on lower time frames can reveal hidden pressures in intraday charts. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell NVDA stock. Always consult your own trading plan and risk tolerance before acting.
ARBUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | Trendline Integrity & Key TargetsARBUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | Trendline Integrity, Volume, Divergence & Key Targets
🔍 Let’s break down ARBUSDT on the 4-hour chart, spotlighting trend structure, swing plays, volume signatures, and momentum for precise trading setups.
⏳ 4H Overview
The chart shows ARBUSDT maintaining a solid uptrend, respecting its ascending trendline while consistently printing higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). This structure underscores ongoing bullish conviction. Price action recently staged a strong bounce off the trendline with marked bullish divergence on RSI, and volume confirmation adds muscle to the move.
🔺 Key Bullish Setup:
- Trendline Continuation: Price respects and bounces off a well-defined yellow trendline, reinforcing the uptrend’s technical foundation and providing a dynamic support reference for traders.
- Swings (HH, HL, SL): The chart highlights multiple Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), validating persistent bullish order flow. A prior same low (SL) remains untouched, further cementing trend integrity.
- Volume Confirmation: Noticeable upticks in volume during upward impulses and corrections confirm genuine momentum and institutional participation. Recent volume surges during corrections point to accumulation.
- RSI & Bullish Divergence: The RSI (14) is currently at 60.51, below typical overbought territory and leaving room for more upside. Significantly, the latest HL forms alongside a bullish RSI divergence—price makes higher lows as RSI also rises—implying underlying buying strength and likely trend continuation.
- New Overbought OB Level: A fresh OB is marked at ~82.40 on the RSI, establishing a clear ceiling should bullish momentum accelerate.
- Resistance & Targets: Key resistance is at 0.5712 — price testing or breaking this level is pivotal. Above, technical targets are projected at 0.7175 and 0.9525, aligning with previous structural pivots and projected breakout extensions.
📊 Supporting Details:
- Trendline & Swings: The consistent pattern of HLs, HHs, and untouched SL demonstrates primary bullish control.
- Volume: Surging volumes during impulse moves and corrections confirm that buyers are driving rallies while also absorbing dips.
- RSI Bullish Divergence: Underlines demand emergence at each corrective phase.
- Order Book Dynamic: Price above 0.5712 faces thinner resistance, offering room for a rapid move toward the upper targets.
🚨 Conclusion:
With trendline support holding, recurring bullish swing patterns, strong volume on breakouts and corrections, and RSI confirming hidden buying pressure, ARBUSDT is positioned for bullish continuation. Watch for confirmed closes above 0.5712; upside expansions to 0.7175 and 0.9525 are highly probable if volume inflow and RSI momentum persist. The defined new RSI OB at 82.40 helps monitor overextension risk.
Stay alert for any trendline or HL breakdowns, but as long as this structure holds with supporting volume and momentum, the bias remains positive. Watch resistance reactions and momentum signals to ride the next wave.
Nanocap Precision: FOS Poised for Price Discovery?FOS Technical Outlook: Momentum Meets Structure
FOS is showing strong bullish structure, currently trading above previous all-time highs (ATHs). The April retest of the macro 50% level was textbook: a deep wick into support followed by a hammer close, signaling aggressive absorption and buyer intent.
Price is now attempting to form a higher 2-bar swing low, which—if confirmed by a clean break of the ATH—would reinforce the uptrend and validate continuation.
Long Setup: Two Tactical Entry Zones
Aggressive Entry: Stop-loss just below the Equilibrium Zone (EQ) of the April wick. This offers tighter risk but demands precision.
Conservative Entry: Stop-loss below the April swing low, allowing more breathing room and accounting for potential volatility.
Further confidence on trade will hinge on price breaking into ATH
Risk Advisory: Nanocap Terrain
FOS remains a nanocap, meaning liquidity is thin and volatility is amplified. Use extreme caution, size appropriately, and avoid overexposure. This is a precision strike, not a full-scale invasion.
Aussie Shorts Looks Promising This is a pullback trend trade anticipating trend continuation. Entry is based on LVN (low volume node) for entry. Also looking on the footprint chart there is a high volume node with -ve delta that was traded at 0.64715.
If the sellers return to defend that price then this pullback should give some strong rejection once we pierce the entry zone and send bulls packing.
TP1 - First swing low
TP2 - Value area low of the range, which also is in confluence with the ExoFade peak on the 1HR timeframe. ExoFade peaks always gets taken out in a strong trend, that's why i love using them as price targets for exits. ExoFade is free on Tradingview for those curious about it. Just search for it.
BTC Balanced Volume Profile BTC is now trading in a textbook D-Shape Volume Profile. In english - Buyers & Sellers are happy to transact here and will stay inside the value area & consolidating sideways until further notice.
Consolidation at POC is a signature of this profile, and one of the easiest and least stressful trade setups because now, your mission, should you chose to accept. Is to fade the Highs (VAH) and Lows (VAL) and avoid the middle unless you love donating money to the market.
I'll have buy limit orders waiting right below the VAL where we have the single prints. It doesn't get any easier than this.
Doesn't mean price cant rip through, but this is always the best entry with less risk, especially when the single prints have not been tested yet..
BINANCE:BTCUSD CME:MBT1!
Swiss Gaining Momentum Against The DollarSwiss futures gaining strength against the dollar. We have broken back into previous rotation that was somewhat balanced, but still leaning towards a "b" style volume profile . If we are able to get above the POC, then we''ll go straight for TP2 close to Value are high.
If the POC is really strong and we reject hard from the POC then we might lose the value area and fall back down to previous value area to continue consolidation there until further notice.






















