Fake-out of the triangle provided a long setupThis morning, we saw a clean fakeout of the triangle into the anchored VWAP from the all-time high, which provided a solid short opportunity.
Now, EUREX:FDAX1! is figthing to stay within the value area and ultimately push toward new all-time highs. However, there is significant resistance above, so remain cautious.
Volumepriceanalysis
Sideways No More?Waypoint REIT (WPR) has been range bound for nearly six years, but the current structure hints at a potential breakout. Price has retraced to the top of the long-term range and is now finding support at two key 50% levels projected from major swing highs and lows.
Trade Scenario 1: Aggressive Entry
Entry: Current levels
Stop Loss: Just below the bullish engulfing candle from the week ending 19 Oct
Target: Initial TP just under the yearly R2 pivot. Beyond that, trail your stop below new swing lows to manage risk.
Minimum Range Target: $3.70
This setup favors traders looking to front run the breakout with tight risk control.
Trade Scenario 2: Conservative Confirmation
Entry: Wait for a clean breakout and hold above the $2.82 high
Stop Loss & Targets: Same as above initial TP near R2, then trail stops with structure
This approach suits those prioritizing confirmation over early positioning.
High-Volume Spring After Crypto FlushTAO is showing serious strength following the $20B crypto dump on Friday, October 10th. That event triggered a high-volume Spring out of the range, closing strong and decisively.
Volume on the Spring exceeded that of the Selling Climax (SC), which suggests we should now expect a Test of demand. Two key zones are in play for this test, but given the size of the wick, we may not see a deep pullback being nimble is key.
Most Bullish Scenario
Price finds support near the local 50% level (green line)
Reaccumulation occurs
Price targets the top of the range, forming a Jump Across the Creek (JAC)
If price pulls back on declining volume with overlapping candles (BU/LPS), expect a strong continuation
The minimal range target is ambitious, but that’s what the structure tells us. Respect the setup, manage the risk, and most importantly don't tell the chart what to do.
Range Structure in PlayTLG is shaping up for a potential swing opportunity as price continues to respect a well-defined range and now presses against the upper boundary of the supply structure.
We’ve seen a clean base form, and while the entry here is slightly late, the risk-to-reward remains attractive given the structure and context.
Trade Scenario 1 – Aggressive Entry
Entry: Current price (breakout anticipation)
Stop Loss: Below the LPS (Last Point of Support)
Target: Minimal range projection aligning with the LVN and a key lower high
This setup leans into early momentum and offers a solid R if the breakout confirms.
Trade Scenario 2 – Confirmation Pullback
Entry: On a breakout and retest of the range highs
Stop Loss: Below the structure formed on the retest
Target: 1.140+ zone, aligning with prior supply and structural targets
This is the more conservative play waiting for confirmation and structure to form before committing. Ideal for those who prefer to trade the BU (Back Up) phase after the range is validated. Both scenarios offer clean structure and defined risk. Watching for volume confirmation and follow-through above the range.
Wyckoff Continuation PlayAKM is showing strong potential for upside continuation. After printing a clean SOS, price has retraced with overlapping candles on declining volume a classic sign of absorption and reaccumulation. This suggests price is coiling for a potential JAC (Jump Across the Creek) and explosive breakout.
Key Observation: There’s a sizeable Fair Value Gap (FVG) below current price that remains untested. This opens the door for a possible fakeout, a brief push above resistance followed by a sharp dip into the FVG before the real rally begins. If this plays out, the setup remains valid and the R:R improves significantly with the same targets intact. This underscores the importance of disciplined risk management and scenario modeling.
Trade Scenario
Entry: Begin scaling in here as price is sitting on strong support. Add to the position if we get a clean break and hold above the 0.285 high.
Stop Loss: Initial SL just below the BU/LPS zone. If invalidated, we’ll pivot to the FVG zone for a secondary entry with same targets, tighter structure and better R:R.
Spring in Play, Structure SpeaksGRT is showing a fantastic range structure with a clean spring—an ideal case study in Wyckoff volume analysis.
Despite the historic $20B crypto liquidation on October 10th, GRT’s wick printed on lower volume than the Selling Climax (SC), suggesting no need for a Spring retest. Price closed decisively back inside the range and above the yearly S1 pivot classic signs of smart money absorption.
Trade Scenarios
Option 1: Immediate Entry
Entry: Current price
Stop Loss: Just below the Spring
Targets:
TP1: ~$0.26 — strong resistance zone
TP2: ~$1.53 — projected range target aligned with macro 50% level
These targets may seem ambitious, but they’re structurally derived. This is what the chart is telling us.
Option 2: Pullback Entry
Entry: Wait for a pullback near the EQ of the Spring wick on the daily TF
Stop Loss: Based on daily structure
Targets: Same as Option 1
Smart Money Absorbs as Max Pain Setup UnfoldsSTX has been quietly range bound for nearly four years, but the recent price action demands attention. While most alts printed fresh lows during the October 10th liquidation flush, STX held firm its wick didn’t breach the Selling Climax (SC), and volume surged. This Last Point of Support (LPS) signals strong demand and potential smart money presence (weekly timeframe).
Trade Scenarios
Option 1: Immediate Entry
Entry: Current price
Stop Loss: Just below the LPS
Targets:
TP1: Yearly pivot + major 50% level
TP2: If price breaks the range high, a projected range extension gives a minimal target of ~$42
These targets may seem ambitious, but they’re derived directly from the chart structure, no hopium, just data.
Option 2: Pullback Entry
Entry: Wait for a pullback near the EQ of the large wick
Stop Loss: Based on daily TF structure
Targets: Same as Option 1
Webull Corporation — demand confirmation and growth potentialTechnical analysis: On the 4H chart, Webull Corporation (ticker BULL) is showing signs of a breakout from the accumulation channel. After a decline, the price stabilized in the 12.50–15.50 range, where demand confirmation is visible. The current level of 15.39 serves as a starting point for growth. The nearest upside targets are 17.40 and 20.40, with extended potential toward 25.30 and 41.00 if resistance is broken. Key support is located at 13.30–12.50, and losing this area may bring back bearish momentum.
Webull Corporation is a US-based fintech company offering online trading and investment services. Its platform provides retail investors with access to stocks, ETFs, options, and cryptocurrencies. Competing with Robinhood, Webull stands out thanks to advanced charts, analytics, and low fees. The growing popularity of online brokers and an expanding user base support the company’s long-term outlook.
As long as the accumulation structure holds and demand remains strong, the bullish scenario stays in focus. For long-term investors, the stock may be considered a buy-and-hold opportunity, supported by fintech sector growth and rising competition among online brokers.
Gold Analysis using ATAI Volume Pressure AnalyzerIntroduction:
In this analysis, we use the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer indicator , which is based on the logic of separating buy/sell volume. The indicator retrieves volume data from a lower timeframe and reconstructs it on the host timeframe. This is achieved using the internal function, TradingView/ta/10 → tvta.requestUpAndDownVolume(lowerTF) , which extracts Up Volume, Down Volume, and Delta from the selected lower timeframe, enabling aggregation and evaluation of market pressure. One-tick data provides the highest precision but is limited in historical coverage; conversely, higher timeframes provide more historical depth but with relative accuracy.
In this daily chart, to calculate 20-period volume averages, the lowest timeframe that both preserved relative accuracy and provided sufficient historical data for 20 candles was 30 seconds , which was selected. This choice is reflected in the corresponding rows of the left and right columns of the HUD panel. It should be noted that in the gold market, the actual traded contract volume is not centrally available; therefore, the volume used in this method is based on tick volume (the count of price changes within each bar) . This serves as a proxy for activity and order flow intensity rather than absolute turnover. Accordingly, aggregates and deltas are interpreted on a relative basis and used to identify acceleration, volume spikes, and breakouts alongside price structure.
Trendlines and Market Direction
Beyond volume-based calculations, the indicator also visualizes directional bias through adaptive trendlines. The dotted orange and turquoise lines are drawn from successive pivot highs and lows over a 50-bar window, effectively capturing the slope of price movement. In the chart, these diagonals clearly reveal the transition: price has broken out of a mid-range accumulation zone and established a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming a structural uptrend.
Complementing this, the blue horizontal line marks the base of the prior accumulation (support), while the red line highlights the resistance level at the top. The breakout above this framework, supported by bullish volume ratios shown in the HUD, validates that the market has shifted from neutrality into a sustained upward trend.
Labels and Market Conditions
The labels displayed on the chart — such as Accum, Breakout ↑, Sharp ↑, and Bull Trap Risk — are derived from explicit quantitative rules inside the indicator. These rules combine price levels, buy/sell volume deltas, and moving aggregates. Below, each label is explained with both its coding logic and its mathematical interpretation in plain language.
Accum (Accumulation)
Logic: |Δ| < ε ∧ Var(ΣV) → min
Meaning: The difference between buy and sell volume (Δ) is close to zero, and the variance of total volume ΣV is minimal over the chosen window. In simple terms, this marks a balanced market where buyers and sellers are matched, forming a neutral accumulation zone.
Breakout ↑
Logic: Pt > max(Pacc) ∧ Δ > 0 ∧ ΣV20 ↑
Meaning: The closing price Pt breaks above the maximum price of the accumulation zone (Pacc), while buy volume is greater than sell volume (Δ > 0), and the 20-bar aggregate volume ΣV20 is increasing. In simple terms, this confirms that buyers dominate and the market is breaking upward with sufficient volume support.
Sharp ↑
Logic: ΔP / Δt > θ
Meaning: The slope of price change (ΔP per unit time) exceeds a defined threshold θ. In simple terms, this indicates an accelerated move upward — a breakout with unusually strong momentum.
Bull Trap Risk
Logic: Pt < Pbreakout ∧ Δ ↓ ∧ ΣV20 ↓
Meaning: After an initial breakout, the price Pt falls back below the breakout level, while buy volume weakens (Δ decreases) and the 20-bar aggregate volume ΣV20 declines. In simple terms, this signals that the breakout has lost support and may have trapped buyers — hence the label Bull Trap Risk.
Trendlines and Guidance
The dotted trendlines are constructed from the slope of price and aligned with recent pivot highs (HH) and lows (LL). Mathematically, the slope is defined as:
m = (P_pivot2 − P_pivot1) / (t2 − t1)
where P_pivot are the price levels at successive pivots, and t are their bar indices. A positive slope (m > 0) indicates an upward trend, while m < 0 indicates a downward trend.
In this chart, the slope of the mid-band is clearly positive, and the label HH1 is printed at the breakout of the upper boundary. This confirms that the market has transitioned out of a ranging phase and into a structural uptrend characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Horizontal Lines
The horizontal guidance lines (support and resistance) are calculated from the extremes over the last N = 50 bars:
S = min(P_t), R = max(P_t) for t ∈
The blue line marks support at the lowest low, and the red line marks resistance at the highest high. Together, these dynamic references highlight where order flow has historically concentrated and provide anchors for interpreting future price reactions.
Each of these labels therefore reflects a mathematical condition expressed both in code and in statistical terms. Together they describe a sequence of phases: balanced accumulation, directional breakout, acceleration, and potential failure traps. This structured approach translates raw volume and price data into actionable signals.
Conclusion: XAUUSD Market Outlook
The recent chart action combines signals from the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer with a secondary tool, the 20-period Linear Regression channel. This multi-tool perspective highlights the importance of cross-validation in market analysis.
Key Observations
- Volume Pressure Analyzer Signals: After a strong breakout and sharp upward momentum, the indicator has now triggered the label Bull Trap Risk . This label reflects weakening buy-side dominance, declining delta values, and a potential failure of the breakout to sustain order-flow support.
- Linear Regression (20-period): The regression channel illustrates a clear ascending path starting from the former accumulation zone. The latest red candle has closed outside the channel to the downside, confirming a loss of alignment with the prior uptrend.
- Structural Divergence: The combination of volume weakness (as flagged by VPRC) and structural channel break creates a divergence. Price remains elevated but lacks the necessary buy-side reinforcement, raising the probability of a correction or a full trend reversal.
Interpretation
This scenario indicates a transition risk: from a sharp bullish phase into either a corrective pullback or a potential distribution phase. The decisive factor remains the behavior of buyers and sellers in the next candles — whether buyers can reclaim the channel or sellers consolidate control.
Disclaimer
This XAUUSD analysis has been conducted using the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer indicator in conjunction with the supporting Linear Regression (20-period) tool. It does not constitute any form of financial advice regarding buying, selling, or holding positions. The analysis solely illustrates the dynamics of buyer and seller behavior in the market.
Strategy update – H1 retracement & new plan I Sep/17/2025On the H1 timeframe, the market has formed a lower high 🔻. This may indicate a short-term retracement toward 3660 to reinforce the main bullish trend.
👉 Therefore, we’ll adjust our plan:
Take a short-term SELL targeting the 3660–3657 zone.
From that zone, we’ll look to BUY again with the main bullish trend for the next leg up.
💡 This approach combines short-term trades (SELL) with the bigger picture (BUY) to manage risk and maximize opportunities.
KOTHARIPRO (BSE: 1D) — Volume Pressure Analyzer | OB 5/7 Tool used
Analysis made with ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA), which decomposes daily flows into buy/sell volume, prints half-window deltas (C→B vs B→A), ATR-normalized wing slopes, α/β geometry at vertex B, and OverBought/OverSold spike labels confirmed by a 7-oscillator vote
1) Snapshot from HUD
◉ OB 5/7 fired on today’s +20% candle (RSI/Stoch/CCI/MFI/StRSI cluster).
◉ C→B (earlier half): Δ −14.21 → seller-tilted.
◉ B→A (recent half): Δ +72.25K → buyers in control.
◉ Angles: C→B wing both <0° (down), B→A wing both >0° (up).
◉ α=171.6°, β=188.4° → no red flags (thresholds are α>180 or β<180).
◉ Ranked zones:
- B1 High 93.0 / Low 77.0 (resistance)
- S1 Low 83.9 (support)
2) Interpretation
◉ The OB 5/7 tag warns of short-term exhaustion after an impulsive surge.
◉ Yet the right wing (B→A) shows positive deltas and slopes, meaning structure still favors buyers.
◉ No α/β stress flags, so the geometry is not “over-stretched.”
◉ The zone map is clean: B1 = resistance (93.0) and S1 = first support (83.9).
3) Scenarios
A) Base case — Pullback / Digestion
◉ Likely reaction into the S1 zone (≈84–87) after OB tag.
◉ Watch Δ(B→A): if it fades to ≤0 and wings flatten, pullback deepens.
B) Bullish continuation
◉ Requires daily acceptance above 93 with a buy-spike (TF_buy / SMA ≥1.6 or Z≥1.8).
◉ Validation = B→A Δ stays >0 and right wing >0°.
C) Bearish rotation
◉ Triggers if B→A Δ flips negative and right wing turns gray/red.
◉ Breakdown below 83.9 on a sell-spike would confirm shift.
4) Conclusion
Bias: Constructive with pullback risk.
◉ Immediate OB tag suggests a pause; however, the buyer regime in the recent half (B→A) is still active.
◉ Key invalidation = loss of 83.9 (S1) with negative Δ.
◉ Key confirmation = acceptance above 93 with buy-spike absorption.
The points above are the technical and educational details from the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA). Put simply, the takeaway is this:
The stock made a sharp +20% move today up to 93, and the indicator flagged an “OverBought” condition. That means buying pressure was unusually strong and the market may need to cool off with a pause or short pullback. Still, the recent volume balance shows buyers remain in control, so the broader structure is still constructive.
If price can hold above 93 with renewed strong buy-side volume, continuation to the upside is favored. But if it slips below 84 and selling pressure grows, that would mark the start of a deeper correction. In simple terms: the main trend is still positive, but after today’s surge it makes sense to expect some digestion before the next leg.
Three Paths for VEEM: Pullback, Breakout, or BreakdownScenario 1 (yellow line): Strategic Pullback to Value Zone
Price retraces to the ~$0.67 region, aligning with a Low Volume Node (LVN) and the Fair Value Gap from the June candle. A bullish reversal candle in this zone would signal a high-probability long setup, suggesting accumulation at a key structural level.
Scenario 2 (green line): Breakout & Reaccumulation Above Resistance
The most bullish scenario unfolds if price decisively breaks and closes above the major resistance at $1.50. A successful reaccumulation above this level would confirm strength, offering a textbook pullback entry for continuation higher.
Scenario 3: (red line) Rejection & Macro Lower High
Price pulls back but fails to hold above the ~$1.16 zone, facing rejection. A subsequent break of the recent lows would confirm a macro lower high (LH), shifting the bias toward bearish continuation and invalidating bullish setups.
NVDA Under Pressure: Sellers Dominate as Volume Spikes Fail NVDA Under Pressure: Sellers Dominate as Volume Spikes Fail to Sustain Price Gains
Context – This 60‑minute NVDA chart uses the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA) on a 55‑bar window. The indicator plots an A→B→C structure: the blue C→B segment tracks the preceding advance and the red B→A segment the subsequent pull‑back. Up‑volume and down‑volume are calculated on a lower time frame and then aggregated into host‑time‑frame bars to expose buying and selling pressure.
Volume ranking – Within this window the indicator labels the three largest buying and selling bars (B1–B3 and S1–S3) and reports their statistics in a HUD. The most prominent bar, B1, spans H 184.46 to L 176.41 and shows 5.68 M up‑volume versus 6.69 M down‑volume, producing a –1.01 M delta. B2 (H 178.15–L 173.76) is even more bearish, with 4.03 M up‑volume and 6.52 M down‑volume (delta –2.49 M). B3 (H 177.86–L 171.20) is the only buying bar with a positive delta: 3.50 M up‑volume, 2.79 M down‑volume and a +0.71 M surplus. On the sell side, S1 and S2 coincide with B1 and B2 and mirror their negative deltas. S3 (H 182.08–L 179.10) registers 2.38 M up‑volume against 3.34 M down‑volume for a –0.96 M delta. Collectively, the pattern shows that peaks in buying volume have not yielded higher closes; sellers control all but one of the ranked bars.
Segment behaviour – The C→B rally accumulated roughly 29.89 M up‑volume versus 27.81 M down‑volume, a modest +2.07 M delta. In contrast, the B→A decline logged 40.16 M up‑volume against 43.27 M down‑volume, giving a –3.11 M deficit. The slopes of the trend lines accentuate the story: the advance has gentle positive slopes (~+11° top, +12.4° bottom), whereas the pull‑back slopes downward (–8.5° and –6.9°). Sellers have pushed prices lower more decisively than buyers previously drove them higher.
Price structure and implications – Price currently trades around 174.28 USD. Resistance sits near 178.15 (B2/S2) and 184.46 (B1/S1). As long as price remains beneath these pivot highs and subsequent B‑ranked bars fail to show a positive delta, the selling bias persists. The red dashed guide, connecting recent lows, continues to slope downward, confirming the bearish tilt. Only a flattening or reversal of this guide—coupled with a new B‑ranked bar sporting a positive delta—would hint at a shift in momentum.
Risk management – This analysis is intended for educational purposes. It illustrates how separating up‑ and down‑volume on lower time frames can reveal hidden pressures in intraday charts. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell NVDA stock. Always consult your own trading plan and risk tolerance before acting.
ARBUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | Trendline Integrity & Key TargetsARBUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | Trendline Integrity, Volume, Divergence & Key Targets
🔍 Let’s break down ARBUSDT on the 4-hour chart, spotlighting trend structure, swing plays, volume signatures, and momentum for precise trading setups.
⏳ 4H Overview
The chart shows ARBUSDT maintaining a solid uptrend, respecting its ascending trendline while consistently printing higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). This structure underscores ongoing bullish conviction. Price action recently staged a strong bounce off the trendline with marked bullish divergence on RSI, and volume confirmation adds muscle to the move.
🔺 Key Bullish Setup:
- Trendline Continuation: Price respects and bounces off a well-defined yellow trendline, reinforcing the uptrend’s technical foundation and providing a dynamic support reference for traders.
- Swings (HH, HL, SL): The chart highlights multiple Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), validating persistent bullish order flow. A prior same low (SL) remains untouched, further cementing trend integrity.
- Volume Confirmation: Noticeable upticks in volume during upward impulses and corrections confirm genuine momentum and institutional participation. Recent volume surges during corrections point to accumulation.
- RSI & Bullish Divergence: The RSI (14) is currently at 60.51, below typical overbought territory and leaving room for more upside. Significantly, the latest HL forms alongside a bullish RSI divergence—price makes higher lows as RSI also rises—implying underlying buying strength and likely trend continuation.
- New Overbought OB Level: A fresh OB is marked at ~82.40 on the RSI, establishing a clear ceiling should bullish momentum accelerate.
- Resistance & Targets: Key resistance is at 0.5712 — price testing or breaking this level is pivotal. Above, technical targets are projected at 0.7175 and 0.9525, aligning with previous structural pivots and projected breakout extensions.
📊 Supporting Details:
- Trendline & Swings: The consistent pattern of HLs, HHs, and untouched SL demonstrates primary bullish control.
- Volume: Surging volumes during impulse moves and corrections confirm that buyers are driving rallies while also absorbing dips.
- RSI Bullish Divergence: Underlines demand emergence at each corrective phase.
- Order Book Dynamic: Price above 0.5712 faces thinner resistance, offering room for a rapid move toward the upper targets.
🚨 Conclusion:
With trendline support holding, recurring bullish swing patterns, strong volume on breakouts and corrections, and RSI confirming hidden buying pressure, ARBUSDT is positioned for bullish continuation. Watch for confirmed closes above 0.5712; upside expansions to 0.7175 and 0.9525 are highly probable if volume inflow and RSI momentum persist. The defined new RSI OB at 82.40 helps monitor overextension risk.
Stay alert for any trendline or HL breakdowns, but as long as this structure holds with supporting volume and momentum, the bias remains positive. Watch resistance reactions and momentum signals to ride the next wave.
Nanocap Precision: FOS Poised for Price Discovery?FOS Technical Outlook: Momentum Meets Structure
FOS is showing strong bullish structure, currently trading above previous all-time highs (ATHs). The April retest of the macro 50% level was textbook: a deep wick into support followed by a hammer close, signaling aggressive absorption and buyer intent.
Price is now attempting to form a higher 2-bar swing low, which—if confirmed by a clean break of the ATH—would reinforce the uptrend and validate continuation.
Long Setup: Two Tactical Entry Zones
Aggressive Entry: Stop-loss just below the Equilibrium Zone (EQ) of the April wick. This offers tighter risk but demands precision.
Conservative Entry: Stop-loss below the April swing low, allowing more breathing room and accounting for potential volatility.
Further confidence on trade will hinge on price breaking into ATH
Risk Advisory: Nanocap Terrain
FOS remains a nanocap, meaning liquidity is thin and volatility is amplified. Use extreme caution, size appropriately, and avoid overexposure. This is a precision strike, not a full-scale invasion.
Aussie Shorts Looks Promising This is a pullback trend trade anticipating trend continuation. Entry is based on LVN (low volume node) for entry. Also looking on the footprint chart there is a high volume node with -ve delta that was traded at 0.64715.
If the sellers return to defend that price then this pullback should give some strong rejection once we pierce the entry zone and send bulls packing.
TP1 - First swing low
TP2 - Value area low of the range, which also is in confluence with the ExoFade peak on the 1HR timeframe. ExoFade peaks always gets taken out in a strong trend, that's why i love using them as price targets for exits. ExoFade is free on Tradingview for those curious about it. Just search for it.
BTC Balanced Volume Profile BTC is now trading in a textbook D-Shape Volume Profile. In english - Buyers & Sellers are happy to transact here and will stay inside the value area & consolidating sideways until further notice.
Consolidation at POC is a signature of this profile, and one of the easiest and least stressful trade setups because now, your mission, should you chose to accept. Is to fade the Highs (VAH) and Lows (VAL) and avoid the middle unless you love donating money to the market.
I'll have buy limit orders waiting right below the VAL where we have the single prints. It doesn't get any easier than this.
Doesn't mean price cant rip through, but this is always the best entry with less risk, especially when the single prints have not been tested yet..
BINANCE:BTCUSD CME:MBT1!
Swiss Gaining Momentum Against The DollarSwiss futures gaining strength against the dollar. We have broken back into previous rotation that was somewhat balanced, but still leaning towards a "b" style volume profile . If we are able to get above the POC, then we''ll go straight for TP2 close to Value are high.
If the POC is really strong and we reject hard from the POC then we might lose the value area and fall back down to previous value area to continue consolidation there until further notice.
A Step-by-step Guide to One of the Chart Analysis Method: VOLTASHello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Today we're going to learn step-by-step guide to one of the chart analysis Method by analyzing a chart of " VOLTAS LTD. " to identify a trend change opportunity.(Educational Post).
Let's get started!
Applying Elliott Wave Theory
According to Elliott Wave theory, we can see that the high of September 20, 2024, marked the end of the wave III of the cycle degree in Red. After that, a corrective wave unfolded, which reached its low on February 1, 2025. This was the wave IV of the cycle degree in Red, with a low of 1135.
The approximately 6 months correction ended here, and now the wave V of the cycle degree in Red has begun. Within this, there will be five sub-divisions of primary degree in black, which we can label as waves ((1)) to ((5)). Of these, waves ((1)) and ((2)) are complete, and we are possibly now in wave ((3)) of the Primary degree in Black.
Within wave ((3)), there will be five sub-divisions of intermediate degree in blue, of which waves (1) and (2) are complete, and the (3)rd intermediate degree in Blue is underway. Within this, there will be five sub-divisions waves of minor degree in red, of which 1 and 2 are complete, and today we saw the breakout of the 3 of the (3).
Possibly, this is a momentum move according to Elliott Wave theory, which we can call the third of the third of the third.
Now that we have this low of wave IV at ₹1135, it should not go below this level according to Elliott Wave theory. If it does, our current wave count will be invalidated. That's why we have an invalidation level within Elliott Wave, which according to this chart is at ₹1135. This low should not be breached. If it is breached for any reason, we'll have to re-analyze our entire count, and the counts could be different.
However, if this low holds, then the minimum target for wave V, based on the projection of wave theory, would be at least 100% to 123% of the fall from top III to bottom IV, which could take it to around ₹2000 to ₹2100. Shown in chart image below
Possible Elliott Wave Counts on Daily Time Frame Along with Invalidation level & Target levels.
Dow Theory Suggests now Up Trend
After forming the top of wave III, we can see that the price has moved downwards in a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. However, after completing the bottom of wave IV, the price has started forming a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that an uptrend has begun.
This is a clear signal that supports our wave counts moving upwards, i.e., towards an impulse move, based on Dow theory. The successful completion of wave IV and the initiation of the higher highs and higher lows pattern suggest a strong bullish trend, and we can expect the price to continue moving upwards. Shown in chart image below
Breakout with good intensity of Volumes
In this chart, we've observed a rounding bottom type chart pattern, and today, we've seen a breakout above the upper resistance trend line. Today's candle volume is also significantly higher than the average. Shown in chart images below
Chart Pattern: Rounding Bottom
Resistance Trendline Breakout with Good Intensity of Volumes
Supporting Indicators & Moving Averages
Also we can see that the current price has closed above the 50-day EMA and 100-day EMA. Additionally, indicators like RSI is above 60 and showing momentum, MACD is positive and above the zero line, and the histogram is also showing a breakout. Shown in chart images below
Breakout above 50DEMA & 100DEMA
RSI Breakout above 60+ on Daily Time Frame
Bullish side Breakout in Histogram on Daily Time Frame
MACD running Positive & above zero line on Daily Time Frame
Bollinger Band on Weekly
If we look at the weekly time frame, the current week's candle is above the middle Bollinger Band, indicating that the price is above the 20-period simple moving average on the weekly time frame. which is very good sign. Shown in chart image below
Price Trading above 20 SMA on Weekly Time Frame (Mid.Bollinger Band)
Significant Observation in Price Action & Volumes
Before the breakout, the rounding bottom chart pattern that was forming at the bottom can be interpreted as accumulation, as a red bearish candle with high volume appeared, marking the highest volume. Notably, no candle has closed below the low of that candle since then.
Although a gap-down candle occurred, it opened and closed bullish, indicating no selling pressure below that level. The absence of bearish follow-up and the subsequent breakout today are significant observations, combining price action and volume. This is a positive sign suggesting the price may move upwards. Shown in chart image below
This is how chart analysis is done for investment purposes. We've seen many signs in our favor, and yet we still use a stop loss to prevent significant losses in case the stock or market moves unexpectedly. This is what stop loss is all about - minimizing potential losses.
We've also discussed the target projection based on Wave theory, 123.6% level, which we explained through an image. So, friends, I hope you've understood the entire conclusion and learned how to analyze charts using different methods, one of which we shared with you today.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
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STAR Health: Building Strength Quietly?STAR Health has shown a clear Wave (2) bottom and now appears to be in early stages of Wave (3). Price recently bounced from the 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone, retesting volume-supported levels around ₹425–₹430.
If this impulse unfolds cleanly, bullish targets lie ahead:
• Short-term: 506
• Extension: 562 (1.618 Fib)
Volume support + structure suggests institutional interest is active.
Fundamentals:
• Market Cap: ~₹25,000 Cr
• ROE: ~20%, Solvency Ratio: ~2.1x
• P/E: ~45x | P/B: ~9.2x (Premium valuation due to sector position)
• Promoter Holding: 58.28% (No pledging)
• Strong DII & FII interest, rising institutional exposure
STAR is India’s leading standalone health insurer with over 8 lakh agents, expanding presence, and structural demand tailwinds post-COVID. Long-term fundamentals support technical recovery.
Keep on radar: Break and close above 440–₹445 can ignite further momentum.
NOTE: This post is for educational purposes only not a buy/sell recommendation.
"Crypto Charts Whisper—Are You Listening?"As I’ve mentioned before, the market is manipulated. In a previously published idea, “VSA vs BTC: Into a Bearish Scenario or Not?”, this manipulation becomes obvious. The big players—whales, institutions, banks—are deliberately engineering traps to absorb liquidity from uninformed retail traders, boosting their profits and power.
Some informed retail traders like you and me understand that behind these entities are teams of insiders and highly trained traders operating around the clock—24/7, 365 days a year. That’s what it takes to survive in such a demanding environment.
This is especially true in the crypto market, which—despite its explosive growth—is still a baby in terms of total market cap. That’s why price fluctuations are so extreme, whether it’s Bitcoin, Ethereum, or altcoins.
Many of you who have been in the space since the early days already know: Bitcoin is the king. As the first coin built on cryptography, Bitcoin leads the way—and where it goes, altcoins follow. These movements often align with changes in Bitcoin Dominance.
So, yes, Bitcoin is the king—but its movements aren’t random. Bitcoin follows rules, and these rules are shaped by data—especially macroeconomic data. One major example is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), released monthly by the U.S. Department of Labor and Statistics.
And here's the key: the big players often have early access to this kind of information. They prepare accordingly—days before the official release—and when the data hits, they move the markets up or down. Even whales don’t act on gut feelings. They follow a framework.
We, as retail traders, must adopt a similar approach. We may not have insider access, but we do have knowledge—and with an open mind, we can act in advance.
As I’ve emphasized before: learning to read Market Structure lets you decode not just market psychology, but also the intentions of the big players. Their large positions leave footprints, just like a ship cuts a path through water. That trail is visible—for those who know where to look.
If you study volume correctly, you’ll start to notice certain zones that keep coming back. That’s all I’ll say—for now.
Unfortunately, many traders rely blindly on strategies like swing trading, expecting price to react at predefined swing highs or lows. But this rarely happens on schedule—especially in crypto. Yes, swing highs and lows exist—that’s the nature of all markets—but in between those levels, the big players create hidden structures that act as signals.
These aren’t just random formations—they’re part of how the big players "communicate" with one another. First, to maintain balance within their own circles. Second, to create FOMO and trap emotional retail participants.
Look at the SHIBA INU chart I’ve shared. This technique is unfolding in real time. Do you notice how the structure is compressing? How price and new swing levels are squeezing in? Look closer at the footprints I’ve highlighted—some of those levels are being respected and reused in the future.
We’re taught from childhood that "we can’t know the future." But is that really true? Repetition of such beliefs is common—worldwide. But again, is it true? I think not.
Think about this: if you drive a car full-speed toward a wall and don’t brake, what happens? You crash. Isn’t that a form of future reading? It’s based on logic, observation, and probability. The same tools we use in market analysis.
So, I hope my words challenge your thinking.
📅 As of this writing (June 11, 2025), Bitcoin is trading at $109,588.
Today’s candle still has about 17 hours left to form, and price action on the daily timeframe is sitting within a previously established supply zone. Bulls and bears are clashing here. But zoom in: what's happening on the lower timeframes? Which signals have been tested, and which haven't?
Are we about to see a breakthrough above the all-time high?
Could this be the launch of the next leg of the bull run?






















