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QQQ Price Action Recap & Tomorrow’s Outlook📈 QQQ Price Action Recap & Tomorrow’s Outlook 1. **QQQ opened with a gap above the weekly R3 pivot level**, signaling strong bullish momentum at the start of the day. 2. **It retraced intraday, testing R3 as support**, which held firmly through the session. 3. **R3 is now acting as a key support zone**, reinforcing the bullish bias. 4. **Volume picked up significantly in the final hour**, suggesting renewed buying interest. 5. **Based on current price action and momentum, I anticipate further upside tomorrow.** 📝 **Chart Notes:** - I'm using **Camarilla weekly pivot levels** for reference. - At the bottom of my chart, you'll find the **Stochastic Momentum Index**, which adds context to the trend strength and potential reversals. Warning: This idea is published for educational purposes only. Please do your research before taking any position.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by eemani123
Uno Minda Ltd (UNOMINDA) Technical & Price Action Insights Bullish MACD on OBV: The convergence of the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) on On-Balance Volume (OBV) suggests strong accumulation and increasing buying pressure — a positive technical signal for upward movement. Ascending Triangle Pattern: Uno Minda's stock chart is forming a classic ascending triangle, a continuation pattern typically indicating bullish momentum with potential for a breakout above resistance. Breakout Zone Near ₹1,140–₹1,155: Price is hovering just below its resistance level. If a breakout occurs on high volume, it could trigger a sharp upward move toward ₹1,250 and beyond. Strong Volume Confirmation: Volume has been increasing during consolidation near the triangle’s upper boundary, a sign that institutional players may be positioning ahead of a breakout. Above 50 DMA & 200 DMA: The stock is comfortably trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming a bullish trend across short and long-term timeframes. Fundamental Strengths Robust Revenue & Profit Growth: Revenue CAGR (5Y): ~22% Profit CAGR (5Y): ~41% Uno Minda has consistently posted strong top and bottom-line growth, supported by increasing demand from OEMs and expansion into EV components. Solid Operating Margins & ROE: OPM stable at ~11–12% ROE: 17.5% These margins are consistent with premium auto component manufacturers and reflect operational efficiency and pricing power. Diversified Product Portfolio: Uno Minda offers 25+ auto component systems catering to ICE and EV platforms — mitigating industry-specific risks and positioning the firm for long-term secular growth. Capex-Driven Expansion: Recent AGM approvals include a ₹2,500 crore fund raise, indicating aggressive investment plans, possibly in R&D, automation, or EV capacity expansion. Institutional Support & Strong Promoter Holding: Promoter Holding: ~68.7% Increasing FII interest over recent quarters A steady promoter stake and growing institutional interest highlight market confidence in the company’s long-term outlook. Conclusion: With a bullish technical setup, strong fundamental tailwinds, and growing demand from both traditional and EV auto segments, Uno Minda looks poised for an upside breakout. A sustained close above the triangle resistance could unlock a new leg of rally — making it a stock to watch closely in the short to medium term.
NSE:UNOMINDALong
by stocktechbot
Volume and Structural Analysis of THYAO — Reaching Resistance at📝 Analysis: My initial focus in this chart was on the daily buy and sell volumes. According to the table displayed at the bottom of the chart for August 6th: Buy Volume (t-0): 46.305M Sell Volume (t-0): 24.566M These values show a clear increase compared to previous checkpoints (t-13 and t-26). Notably, the buy volume is 28.3M higher than t-13 and about 1.6M higher than t-26. This gives us a broader picture: buying strength remains dominant, even though delta volume has not surpassed its value at t-26 (still about 7M short). Nevertheless, the current volume levels show stronger positioning compared to the mid-term past. On the upper-right side of the chart, four system-based scenarios have been triggered via our custom indicator: ✅ Scenario 01 – Buyer Power Convergence with Price ✅ Scenario 08 – Seller Weakness Divergence ✅ Scenario 09 – Bullish Volume Pressure ✅ Scenario 11 – Volume Dominance Bullish Together, they present a market that is tilting in favor of the buyers, with bullish sentiment supported by volume structure. Next, my attention shifts to the triangle formations on the chart, which were automatically plotted based on cross high/low logic. 🔺 The green ascending triangle, with a slope of 20.65°, indicates a healthy and steady bullish structure. Its top has not yet reached the resistance zone, where the red triangle forms a descending structure aligned with the R4 level at 314.25. Beyond the technical interpretation, I also look at triangles symbolically. Throughout history, from the Seal of Solomon (Star of David) to the Egyptian pyramids, triangles have represented stability, energy focus, and a path upward. In this chart, that symbolism holds true — the green triangle embodies a progressive, rising support, while the red triangle offers a calculated obstacle. What’s intriguing is the parallel structure of the triangle bases — suggesting a balanced energy field, ready to be tipped by momentum. 📊 When combined with other indicators: Price is above the red Ichimoku cloud It sits in the upper zone of the regression channel Bollinger Bands show an upward breakout bias Daily pivot levels align with this structure, and the R4 level (314.25) becomes a relevant resistance to monitor 📍 Conclusion: Given the alignment of structural elements and volume behavior, a move toward the resistance at 314.25 is well within reach under current market dynamics. ⚠️ This analysis is based on a custom-built indicator named Volume Based Analysis V 1.4+ and is provided strictly for educational and analytical purposes. No investment or trading advice is intended. 👥 I welcome your interpretations and experiences — Do you also see 314.25 as a realistic target?
BIST:THYAO
by ata_sabanci
GBPUSD – Hourly Head & Shoulders in PlaySpotting a potential head and shoulders pattern on the GBPUSD hourly chart. I’m still waiting for confirmation before entering the trade. Trade Setup: Risk/Reward: 3.4 Entry: 1.34433 Stop Loss: 1.34645 Take Profit 1 (50%): 1.33822 Take Profit 2 (50%): 1.33603 On the higher time frame, price is also testing diagonal resistance — adding extra confluence to the short bias. For now, it’s a waiting game to see if the pattern confirms. 💡 Trading Tip: Nobody knows for certain where the market will go — always predefine your risk before entering a trade. Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Short
by GTradingMethod
BTCUSD | H4 Technical OutlookThe current Bitcoin setup on the 4-hour chart tells a story of balance, rejection, and re-acceptance within a key trading range. After a prolonged equilibrium period followed by a breakout, price is now at a critical juncture where market participants are testing old boundaries and seeking fresh value zones. Table of Contents ➺ The Bigger Picture ➺ The Flip Zone ➺ Range Dynamics ➺ Demand Zone Reaction ➺ Current Short-Term Outlook ➺ Risks and Invalidations ⦿ The Bigger Picture – Context of the Move Before dissecting the present, it is important to remember where we came from. The market spent over two months (60+ days) in a broad balance zone between late May and early July, where buyers and sellers found a fair price. The eventual upside break was decisive, showing intent and pulling price away from that old equilibrium. Such breaks often leave behind “flip zones” and thin value zones, which tend to get revisited once momentum fades. ⦿ The Flip Zone The grey zone on the chart marks a critical flip level. It’s the intersection of an old resistance and the point from which price impulsively launched toward the 21-day balance area. On the recent pullback, price dipped into this level without forming a deeper value-building phase, effectively treating it as a confluence of old resistance turned support and a demand pocket. This type of shallow value development before rejection often hints that the zone remains structurally strong. ⦿ Range Dynamics Since mid-July, the market has been rotating inside a well-defined range between roughly 116,000 and 122,000. Buyers and sellers have repeatedly tested each other’s conviction near the extremes without breaking the stalemate. The rejection from the upper boundary earlier this month showed hesitation among buyers to commit above the range high, while the swift recovery back into the range after the early August dip signals that sellers lacked the follow-through to force a sustained breakdown. ⦿ Demand Zone Reaction The bounce from the 112,000–114,000 region was textbook. It aligned with the prior breakout zone, a demand base, and a level where buyers previously absorbed supply. The bounced lead to a sharp re-acceptance into the range, showing that market participants were quick to defend this level. Such behavior often precedes another test of the upper range boundary, especially when there is no major resistance cluster in between. ⦿ Current Short-Term Outlook At present, price sits just below the range high around 122,000. The structure favors an attempt to test that value high again in the short term. However, as always with range trading, false breakouts are a constant risk, and the first touch often draws a reaction rather than an immediate expansion. ⦿ Risks and Invalidations The key risk level sits back at the 116,000 mid-to-lower range boundary. A breakdown and sustained acceptance below this line would suggest the demand at 110,000-112,000 might need to be retested, and possibly even the flip zone itself. ⦿ TLDR BTC has moved from a 60-day balance into a 21-day balance after a breakout. Price recently tested and held a key flip zone near 112,000, bounced back into the range, and is now pressing toward the value high at 122,000. Short-term bias favors a retest of the highs, but acceptance above them is required for sustained upside. A break below 116,000 would weaken the bullish case and put lower supports back in play. If you’re trading this setup, don’t just chase the breakout. Watch the reaction at 122,000 closely and let the market tip its hand. In range environments, it’s the second move that usually pays, not the first one that grabs the headlines. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is provided solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor should it be relied upon as such. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any investment or trading decisions you make are entirely at your own risk, and you should always conduct your own research and due diligence. Where appropriate, seek guidance from a qualified financial professional before acting on any information contained herein. (And if all else fails, you can still run it by your cat. 🐱)
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSD
by johntradingwick
AUD/USD: Volume Profile & FVG Confluence Creates Strong Support On AUD/USD, it’s nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 0.65 There’s a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. (FVG) – Fair Value Gap and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
by Trader_Dale
2
JOHN HOLT LONG IDEAJOHN HOLT stock retested a support level and trendline last week and closed above these key levels, showing the readiness of buyers to push price higher. This was confirmed with a strong volume momentum. To take advantage of this long signal, you can buy at the current market price. The stop can be at N5.75 (-20.14%) while the targets are N10 (38.89%) and N10.95 (52.08%). Confluences for the long idea: 1. Breakout and retest of a trendline 2. Uptrend 3. Strong volume momentum 4. Support level Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you're not willing to accept the risk.
NSENG:JOHNHOLTLong
by KofTFx
How to Read COT Data: Understanding Big Players’ Order FlowHey whats up traders, today Im going to reveal my COT approach. If you’re serious about finding higher timeframe bias based on what the big players are doing, then COT data is a tool you need to know. It offers unique insights into the positioning of institutional traders—and if read correctly, it can help you align with real market momentum rather than noise. Before we break it down step-by- step. I want to mention that this is my personal approach. Larry Williams is doing it differently and I have seen some other approaches. This is what works for me, might you find it also usefull. What Is COT Data? The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is published every Friday by the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission). It shows the open positions of various market participants in the futures markets as of the previous Tuesday. This data is based on the requirement that large traders must report their positions once they pass a certain threshold. In short, we’re peeking into the order flow of institutions—excluding high-frequency trading and market making noise. Hope you already recognized small disadvantage to us as retail traders. Big players report data on Tuesday and it's published on Friday. So we basically have it late and we dont know what has happen in last 3 days. But no worry I will show you my trick how to read between the lines. COT helps us: • Understand HTF (Higher Timeframe) bias • Spot shifts in institutional positioning • Identify trend continuations or potential reversals • Avoid getting trapped in retail sentiment traps It’s not a standalone entry tool, but rather a macro confirmation layer for swing or position trades. Huge advantage by following large players is that they are trading on fundamentals and you dont need to worry about that - you just follow them. But you must follow the right participants, because there is few. Who Are the Market Participants? The COT report breaks down traders into several categories. Each one has a different motive and behavior in the market: 1. Commercials • Think of them as hedgers. • These are producers, manufacturers, and institutions trying to lock in prices for raw materials or currencies. • They are usually contrarian at extremes. When they reach record net long or net short positions, reversals often follow. 2. Non-Commercials (Speculators) • These are institutional funds, hedge funds, and large speculators. • Their goal? Profit. • Often, they follow trends and their positioning reflects the broader market sentiment of the big money. 3. Dealers • Mostly big banks and institutions facilitating trades. • They manage risk rather than speculate heavily, so they typically take the opposite side of speculative flows. 4. Leveraged Money • Hedge funds using high leverage. • Their positions often reflect short-term speculative behavior. • Watching their net positioning and changes week-to-week can give clues on momentum exhaustion. Now you might think which one to follow and Yes you can build your strategy on following any of them fore example Larry Williams - been trading base on Commercials Anton Kreil - suggest following Leveraged money I tried both but for me works best - Non commercials ( Speculators) Again here you cant say definitely which one is right or wrong. What works for you is right. Thats it. There are multiple versions of the report, but here are the most commonly used, Im using - ✅ Traders in Financial Futures (TFF) • Focused on financial markets like forex, bonds, and indexes. Where to find COT data? It's free and you can find it on the SEC website there is simple week to week format. As you can see below. Many traders are watching this. I dont say this is wrong but you dont have complete data - missing big picture. As you can see here these data below are clearly giving you a picture about an order flow and positioning changedsvn the positions which can confirm trend or help you spot potential reversal you need to watch bigger data sample. Institutions doesnt reverse market in a week, they need to of load positions and I it takes them some time. Which will explain later. Im collecting the data to the collums. I want see longs, shorts of commercials and from that I calculate. Following Longs % exposure Shorts % exposure Net positions 13 weeks average Historical Highest positions Historical Lowest Positions Relationship between these numbers helps me justify whats going behind the price action, but also spot strong levels. I will show you how to put it together with the context of the charts and then I will show you few order flow patterns examples, it's not difficult but it requires a bit of practice. Bullish Pattern - Longs growing / Shorts being closed This is the strongest COT patter and clean sign of buying This is classing pattern what we have just seen on the EURUSD Notice how longs has been growing constantly and net positions confirms that. In may been able to see rapid shorts closing, which and confirmed bullish trend and we can look just for the bullish setups. Now lets look to the USDJPY chart it will be tricky because it's all red and looks tricky but focus to the numbers and price action, how longs are growing while shorts being closed. Very weak JPY. Bearish consolidation Shorts being build Massive shorts being added int he consolidation phase longs doenst move at all. Further big drop coming. This is now happening on the AUDUSD. Look at this tight price consolidation and let's read what is happening. just look at the COT its clean longs around 23K constantly while they are building massive shorts. Whats gonna happens next is clear. Profit taking move This ofter occurs when we can see sharp move above the highs but without real longs being added, rather they being closed. As on our example below on the gold. We can see massive profit taking on longs while price was moving up. But they were not been adding shorts. What doest it tell us. They do not want to trade full reversal - not building short position, but market is overheated and they taking profits to buy later for lower or price can go to the consolidation where they will be building short, but definitely its late for us to go long. Here is another example on USDCHF Notice longs positions in the moment where there was 46K long and then next week change -12K net. It's a huge change which has started Sell off. But look in to Shorts , there is no heavy shorting, price simply go down based on huge longs profit taking. This is why its important to look in to bigger picture because if you look only in to week to week data. You will still see bigger longs than shorts and it will give you bullish opinion. Hope it's clear. And by the way now we can see 2 weeks with more then +3.4K longs. Its getting bullish IMO. Now lets look to the another example on the USDCAD Now we will use one of my past analysis where based on the data I predicted further move. And here I want to mention one thing. Even though we can see COT being bearish. It doesnt mean that price cant go up in short term (can be be 2- 3 weeks) There for you still need to use price action and dont just blindly short, but short run above the highs, because this is where big players add shorts. Not on the lows. P rice moving up shorts being added - Reversal coming This is showing positions building for the sell. In this case you can see both growing longs and shorts remember. Big players are hedgers, they are taking longs to move price up so they build shorts. Once they got their positions they close longs and sell of starts. Lets look to my TV analysis where I have seen shorts grown recently while GBP was moving up close the Monthly Order block , but notice the shorts colum how the shorts were growing recently and also longs dropped from 110K to 100K. Clena signs of the reversal but again I waited for a pullback above the weekly highs. Click to open a chart bellow This was a prediction from few week ago. Now let's look how the data looks right now. On the GBPUSD chart below we can see reveal in the data. Long significantly dropped by 50% and shorts increased by 50%. This is a clean reversal pattern in the COT. Look at net positions it clearly flipped to the bearish and big drop is coming. Few more tips Remember they know we are watching this data and what we see is what they want us to see, so they are often trying to hide their positions as long as possible. Thats why intra-week reversal are happening on Wednesday after they report their positions. They cannot hide the data forever, follow the data week by week to keep in track whats happening. It will increase your winning ratio. Every 3 months there is a new futures contract. The must close the positions and reopen them in to the new contract, They are using it for reversals. Also some if there is some US holidays on the day when report should be released to the public its delayed to the next week. And thats when they do biggest positions changes secretly. COT data isn’t a magic crystal ball—but it’s a powerful tool if you know how to combine it with technical analysis. You need to use your mechanical system. It perfectly fits with my CLS strategy and It's suitable for swing traders. Think outside the box. Even when you see bearish COT - dont be stupid to sell low. It's not NOD order flow for intraday scalping, you have time. But if you something is clearly bearish every run above weekly and daily highs is high probability Sell in the smart money trend. Dont hesitate to ask any questions and follow. I share COT weekly updates. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by David_Perk
47
Bitcoin Bears Lining Up? My Short PlanBitcoin is flirting with a potential pullback, and I’ve got my eyes locked on this short setup. The setup is a double top on the hourly chart. 📊 Risk/Reward: 3.7 🎯 Entry: 117 515 🛑 Stop Loss: 118 033 💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 115 629 💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 115 116 Seeing negative rsi divergence on the hourly chart, signaling slowing buying momentum. I am looking for the hourly candle to close within the range drawn on the chart with lower volume. I’ll be scaling out at TP1 and letting the second half ride if the bears get their way. 📅 Will today be the start of a deeper drop? 📍 I’m documenting my trades as part of my live trading journey – follow along to see how this one plays out and catch my next setups in real time. Not financial advice – just my personal analysis.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by GTradingMethod
Is oil price heading back up? Watching a potential inverse head and shoulders forming on the 30-minute chart for Oil. 🔹 Risk/Reward: 2.7 🔹 Entry: 63.290 🔹 Stop Loss: 63.043 🔹 Take Profit 1 (50%): 63.93 🔹 Take Profit 2 (50%): 64.21 A couple of key factors still need to align before I pull the trigger: • One will confirm around 14:45 SAST (GMT+2) • Looking for lower volume on the right shoulder compared to the left What do you think? Is oil ready to push higher? Drop your thoughts or how you trade inverse head and shoulders below! 👇
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDEShort
by GTradingMethod
Gold short – Head and Shoulders Setting Up on 15min?There’s a potential head and shoulders pattern forming on the 15-minute chart. 📌 What I’m watching for: A 15min candle close back inside the neckline range Lower volume on the right shoulder vs. the left (to confirm weakening momentum) 🧠 Trade Idea (Short bias) 🎯 Entry: 3380.9 ❌ Stop Loss: 3388.0 ✅ Take Profit 1 (50%): 3358.9 ✅ Take Profit 2 (50%): 3346.3 ⚖️ Risk/Reward: 3.8R This setup lines up with my trading method that focuses on structure, volume, and clean risk/reward. 🤔 What are your thoughts on gold today? Are we about to roll over — or will bulls push through resistance?
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by GTradingMethod
2
GER40CASH (DE40) - potential short - HSThere is a potential head and shoulders continuation pattern. What I like about this setup is the GER40 is potentially creating a bear flag. Finding a continuation pattern within the bear flag, like the head and shoulders, is a great entry point for the second part of the downward move. Still waiting for my system to confirm some variables before I take the trade. Risk/reward = 4.3 Entry price = 23 905.3 Stop loss price = 23 955.4 Take profit level 1 (50%) = 23 733 Take profit level 2 (50%) = 23 628
CAPITALCOM:DE40Short
by GTradingMethod
1